信源画像
来源覆盖
最近更新: 2026-04-01
来源数
54
大陆
4
港澳台
0
海外
50
官媒/官方
7
非官媒
47
聚合源
2
优先原始报道
52
中文覆盖
4
英文覆盖
25
参考链接
200
国家 / 地区: Brazil / Canada / China / EU / France / Germany / India / Indonesia / International / Israel / Japan / Qatar / Russia / South Korea / Turkey / UK / USA / Ukraine
来源样本
Xinhua World · 大陆 / 官方Al Jazeera Middle East · 海外 / 媒体RT News · 海外 / 媒体Google News - World · 海外 / 聚合Nikkei Asia · 海外 / 媒体O Globo Politics · 海外 / 媒体EL PAÍS América · 海外 / 媒体The New Indian Express · 海外 / 媒体China News Service · 大陆 / 官方Yonhap News TV · 海外 / 媒体Times of India [timesofindia.indiatimes.com] · 海外 / 媒体France 24 #3 · 海外 / 媒体
覆盖差异
覆盖差异
仅基于来源结构生成的规则观察，不包含立场判断。
覆盖以海外信源为主
提示当前窗口内海外信源 50 个，大陆信源 4 个。
英文覆盖多于中文覆盖
提示当前窗口内英文信源 25 个，中文信源 4 个。
2026-04-01
2026-04-01
进展要点
- 欧洲央行可能因通胀数据而调整货币政策路径，加息预期升温
- 美国贸易政策转向，设立退款门户返还特朗普关税以缓解贸易紧张
- 美国政府寻求在伊朗战争中降低军事卷入，但面临盟友压力和国内政治动态
- 欧盟呼吁减少航空出行和推广远程办公，以应对石油危机引发的经济挑战
关联路径
中东地缘政治事件 / 石油供应风险 / 全球通胀压力 / 央行政策反应
北约联盟动态 / 地缘政治不确定性 / 避险资产流向
能源价格变化 / 消费者信心和经济活动 / 企业盈利和市场情绪
来源
Xinhua World / Al Jazeera Middle East / RT News / Google News - World / Nikkei Asia / O Globo Politics / EL PAÍS América / The New Indian Express
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/31/us-israel-launch-major-attacks-as-iranian-authorities-maintain-defiance?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/4c4cac52441b485dbd6a8df270ff155b/c.html
- [3] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/38b5771ae34c407f81670651669100ff/c.html
- [4] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/732d80efd7f9462f8d3b745e1ee64101/c.html
- [5] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/4fa12e0e7874490a86812ff9c4188bb1/c.html
- [6] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/18d6a28a2bc847bdb7d6e8b8bdc7b7fe/c.html
- [7] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/8f2ffd6270b542fba98a9d8cbae5a0b7/c.html
- [8] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/048988fff40141b7aecf9cd2c5373dfb/c.html
- [9] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/55e6f8748c3a4d8faeec9c26b56c1f89/c.html
- [10] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/31/trump-says-us-will-be-leaving-iran-in-two-to-three-weeks?traffic_source=rss
- [11] https://www.rt.com/news/636893-nato-without-america-shift/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/31/after-strait-of-hormuz-opens-turmoil-would-still-last-months-analysts-say?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/31/eu-warns-oil-and-gas-prices-wont-quickly-return-to-normal-after-iran-war?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxOdDBCeWVSazlVOWZVR2JNQkVxbTloSjAtOUZtaDBadkwzNW9zZHcyWHNQaFhqNGJYQm1kMlp6UEkxLWRaU1FBLVBmYUNMMEs3UUFSejJpVjMzclFkcjl2Yl8wZ3p5a0N5Tm9TWGNyS3htQ3haRFVlb1g4T3V2ejJGSHhIZlExR01kNDFHU0tydk9BWWswV0R6QjJVWFp0VnhLWVhpdXVmN3A1elpyRXdoQXRKTGJ4dw?oc=5
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxPTGI1RDRzSnZ0MW9jTlhyd0tGNFdjQk5EQkwtS3U3UjJXUzFxR05NRVlmT01WLUtEeGlTZzhiUExVbEpENElQT05YckFqcS1URTRZQUZtMzZ1UF9YSXFUYVNlT2ttbjRaTFlhUXVkQmJHVV9oUUFtNjA2N1VzVFpOS0QxNFkzeWozYmFOYWx0bFZ3YzJESUtxZ2RfREtYR2RiaWFQS2VBRzdhcUpUNTBVRGQyMkYweHFHd0Ew?oc=5
- [16] https://asia.nikkei.com/economy/trade-war/trump-tariffs/us-rushes-to-set-up-refund-portal-to-pay-back-166bn-in-trump-tariffs
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTE53b3lVZW5GdzFVOU5YSGZoOFJDVWNORVl2SHZZTjBQNjhlY05tY2R6RzdpcF9yWWxEMUZ4MllSNU92SDhnRkQ3clBsZU5lV3ltcVA5YllGWVlOemV1TzlEZ2stNk5XMU1uZ3hsVTMzQXJOWFN5eEVmS2F1SkVjQms?oc=5
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxQTEJJSWs3ZWoxYi1rSWs2YXd3VWFMNGs0UEtERkM5OVcwNm44V3dxcVd0anUzb3A1SFZ0MndLU3dHYnROR1FaekxYNDRPaUlMTUQtbHlFWDZXajhWeXRKRmJfUDVnSTYwSDdBX3h6eHVLNncxU2NsSS1zYjcwUzd4MnZwMTdqM1BwaTNNR3BOcEQwdw?oc=5
- [19] https://oglobo.globo.com/blogs/miriam-leitao/post/2026/03/crise-do-petroleo-uniao-europeia-ja-pede-menos-viagens-de-aviao-e-mais-home-office.ghtml
- [20] https://elpais.com/economia/2026-03-31/wall-street-sube-y-el-petroleo-cae-ante-la-disposicion-de-iran-de-negociar-el-fin-del-conflicto.html
- [21] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Mar/31/we-changed-face-of-middle-east-netanyahu-says-war-on-iran-not-over
- [22] https://www.rt.com/news/636876-putin-steps-up-iran-war-live-updates/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/31/hiring-in-the-us-drops-to-pandemic-lows-as-job-market-under-trump-stagnates?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/31/whats-behind-donald-trumps-interest-in-irans-kharg-island?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Mar/31/china-pakistan-outline-five-point-plan-to-end-us-israel-war-on-iran
- [26] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiZ0FVX3lxTE90dHZRdWlORGY0UVFheG5CTUVaYXhmZ2xsdHpzTERQaUMtUjllc0lXMC1udVJMTlJFVTB5ckljUGx5RFZuREtab2JVcVRRNDBiUi1mV3o0NV9FWGlsRHlRY0lXNGFZRjA?oc=5
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTE9MYWZqOWJKMmJsOWl2ZmtOcG1qUHlLWk02b1NzUlFvU2Z0ZVRTaFpYZHRZX01URFM2OExMUmNQTGRWU1NFNlQxMkxpa292TDRYbWJMSGw1R2htR3lpT1l0WHVIY2hkNHN4OWxXckcyanNNdzhlMkRla3IzTXp2YVk?oc=5
- [28] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-plunges-stocks-soar-after-iranian-president-offers-first-signs-of-willingness-to-end-war-with-us-183158792.html
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxNTkNSR1NUcVd4NEkyRXN6TTVBZFVvNEFKZHRJc0RqMjBmVTR6eXBRVVFKeDcwLXA3YmlrQUYxZDlFa1hSb2h1TS03LXVnNy1SellPczFibzVEWUVfSW1XLThHZkZnWG42WENKN1F0NWtMNTJ3TEotaE5GbFdiVXVjNHdrUkhXaWl2V0pwWU5ucDJoRWs5VUlPVHFvT1k5UTcxMWNXV0FjX2I2b19WMXc?oc=5
- [30] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxNZnctT3ZsYkZIVFJPUXNFb1pvWDRxWDJxWjlkM0JmZHlOenltb2dnZVQyYUVCaXE1aVowZkowSlA1eUNRa0RuNGhYc2tsUzF4b0xiWlRJcGRCVTRQV3poUnk2Z1czX2VXMEptUkhQRnF3Ml9mcVNNWDJnUWxsaFNVN1BzMG9qM0xfcTdPbUd6QXVGX2hqY2tEWURGamdjS0NlV1JUeTIwbVJXbUJfMTdvYUhBMFlRZw?oc=5
2026-03-31
2026-03-31
进展要点
- G7正协调全球政策应对能源危机，可能推出联合干预措施稳定油价。
- 特朗普政府设4月6日为谈判最后期限，政策走向取决于伊朗回应。
- 法国呼吁各国不要禁止碳氢化合物出口，以缓解供应紧张。
- 美国可能让阿拉伯国家分担战争成本，影响地区联盟动态。
- 央行可能面临通胀压力，政策收紧预期上升。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡封锁 / 石油供应中断 / 油价飙升 / 全球通胀
避险情绪上升 / 股市下跌 / 安全资产如黄金和美元需求增加
G7政策协调 / 能源干预措施 / 油价稳定预期 / 市场情绪缓和
美伊谈判进展 / 地缘风险下降 / 石油供应恢复 / 通胀压力缓解
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / Yonhap News TV / Times of India [timesofindia.indiatimes.com] / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #3 / Yonhap News Agency [en.yna.co.kr] / BBC News (Top)
参考链接
- [1] https://www.news.cn/world/20260330/a4156a8c98604fbaaee1ed080d686a4e/c.html
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20260330/9f3ed09e09c8421bb08ee61c114fa897/c.html
- [3] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-31/10595633.shtml
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331060611dr8
- [5] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/supreme-leader-ali-khamenei-security-chief-larijani-more-key-iranian-leaders-killed-in-us-israeli-strikes/articleshow/129907599.cms
- [6] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/03-30/10595608.shtml
- [7] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/f4f265702ff24d1292cbd62c8636324f/c.html
- [8] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/b7c8e9000fbd4cfc871051de1ed7b6f9/c.html
- [9] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/0b757beb8ee44c1186169d4b984f3d83/c.html
- [10] https://www.news.cn/world/20260330/2d2a9d5efb5446f99f6a0040090631cb/c.html
- [11] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/31/iran-war-live-kuwaiti-oil-tanker-hit-in-dubai-port-3-un-troops-killed?traffic_source=rss
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/31/al-jazeeras-full-interview-with-marco-rubio-on-us-war-on-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/questions-directes/20260330-crise-%C3%A9nerg%C3%A9tique-le-g7-%C3%A0-la-hauteur
- [14] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260331002400320
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331091039Faa
- [16] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-31/10595636.shtml
- [17] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9qdwpnwzwpo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [18] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/30/us/politics/us-missile-strike-iran-sports-hall-school.html
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331082958BSb
- [20] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202603310824239gJ
- [21] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-31/10595631.shtml
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxPZE1Oc2xwRE93TmlxNGxnNFZldTMzS2RuNG9KZHhTT2o2OVczQlhvR1pBZnJJNXlRSWtndDFlbFY4alFoMThScHZQcHJkcTlSMTJZTnJOcmlZTVNqcU1MdDlPR0ZaWmpMSUt1NE1pY3NFbXdZaWlzdlgyQ0hfSk5MbDhJMGVLUVRmVENQYllYYWhmSnd6NWdUYnJ0S1NRVHdMVlZyZzEzT2g2ekhxVTU2U0dlT0s?oc=5
- [23] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/iran-news-heute-us-spezialeinheiten-im-nahen-osten-angekommen-a-f1df0f24-9734-4bc2-b88c-caa4761ed54d
- [24] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331075620sy9
- [25] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331075817J9n
- [26] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-31/10595626.shtml
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTFBDeXpnM3NIMmhOUGR6Z0o0eU42Mm5JZURDT0hOdko2M05KRHpZeWJMdXNaMnVWeDd0U1RLVnh3VzhOOG9pakVwZnVENHFSYXhRbk1Fam5zM0JjSEpNWGxPcTBFMHlIcUZ2N2c?oc=5
- [28] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/info-%C3%A9co/20260330-contre-la-crise-de-l-%C3%A9nergie-un-g7-in%C3%A9dit-avec-banque-mondiale-fmi-aie
- [29] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/trump-eyes-arab-nations-to-fund-iran-war-amid-peace-talks-with-tehran/articleshow/129910962.cms
- [30] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331072941ROe
2026-03-30
2026-03-30
进展要点
- 美国增强中东军事部署，政策方向不明，可能涉及地面行动。
- 地区外交调解如巴基斯坦会晤，旨在缓解紧张局势。
- 美联储政策信号将影响市场情绪，需关注官员讲话。
- 全球贸易政策可能受冲突影响，调整供应链。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡关闭 / 石油供应中断 / 油价上涨 / 全球通胀压力
军事行动扩大 / 避险需求增加 / 黄金和美元走强 / 股市承压
俄乌冲突升级 / 能源供应担忧 / 避险资产需求上升
外交调解努力 / 缓解紧张 / 风险情绪改善 / 市场反弹
来源
Google News - World / France 24 #2 / Al Jazeera Middle East / The Hindu / Ukrinform / Yahoo News - World / DW (Deutsche Welle) [rss.dw.com] / BBC News (Top)
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxPemo4aG92YmVObXh2c2lZeXpZdlFZUUR0S0VEUUF1TWdObEdCMnBOaGJQa2FWS1FjTGRISXhMcjM1bXVpalpPSW9uNG10aC1fNWJ4ay10eHhwZ1JlSGZ6ZUVFSFZqNkJQR3lOMGpQb3Mwbl9qWC1QQUhWTzJiTklIaF9VdlBzMkd6bk1wam1KMGhqX1YzZjVHcWlHTmg0UFByZHRZ?oc=5
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMie0FVX3lxTE80aEc4OWU4TGtJMUw2MTRhWHo1SDgwdVpnTzJ3OEVRT2FGWkVxeHlhNlVxSXI3WnJyRDYtRmhFa0NRdHcwUTBHWTNzYzZoMU5CVEVPT2l5VDZvdVpsTWlLSnBpYU5wLWlEdFh6QUdmVmlKTy1zbFVjTHA3Zw?oc=5
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMib0FVX3lxTE5rUGkxamwyaHNNNGJ4M2ZZNXVpOHN2X0hDMG00dnVMS0J1SXd2WHFKc2gzMVZZLXpSSzJ2QTN2SllBcEJZU05CaTk3aE5TS0QwNUxKeDc0ek1XZmQxSkhYOFdlaWQxQmpqOWItUDhzWQ?oc=5
- [4] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/spotlight/20260329-world-trade-is-struggling-as-war-in-iran-continues
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiogFBVV95cUxQcjBLWHhQcG96UjU0RHh4a0JvRW5oWWZ5X3lFYzJkLW4tT3RjZXdkejJWcERZX01xd0wycUZuQVFCanZzUHIxVTVUSEx3blg0TWRMYnlod2pTRk5TT0wyVEhQVkF5eThBclFGeEdPNGF3aG5KTVRkdkpiMUJwb3VYc2ZJQlRBYXRRcFJUZ1NIc0hzcGNVZHRSYXlpSnlkanFtWHfSAacBQVVfeXFMUG1NWFY3ZUJrRl8xMGh1TTlxaEN3aEtmY2x6ODQyV1JYQ0NFVEdocGZyY0x3YXVXbjVDRW5fOXFPemhhWDRmbFlLTWhydHdBSWx6SmdoTktUQzFLT2RPRVJXVmQ5ek12QWp2UnplZ2kxTmVVa2ZWb2o4NHNsVVVhM0I3dE5DS05vd2VrUHVvamhRa3c3NWptcy1yRlI0SWUwM3l6WDdKems?oc=5
- [6] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/29/netanyahu-announces-expansion-of-security-buffer-zone-in-south-lebanon?traffic_source=rss
- [7] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/one-month-of-israel-us-war-on-iran-a-timeline/article70800535.ece
- [8] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4106917-uae-intercepts-58-missiles-and-drones-launched-from-iran.html
- [9] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMibkFVX3lxTE1xbHZQRWhXdGJmZ2lKM3NuUEEzWEVGN09pQzF5ZnZFX2I2bVlkYlNNc2ZWcmw4T2FUZlZuRVNJRHNuTXFqbHB3YVRzNkNjQnBtOXEwY1BvVVUzbGdLVWZySE8ySFdYNnNaY0JFeWFR?oc=5
- [10] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/iranian-missile-hit-neot-hovav-162832864.html
- [11] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/iranian-attack-saudi-injures-least-224939787.html
- [12] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-tehran-warns-us-against-ground-assault/live-76581165?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [13] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-houthis-claim-2nd-attack-on-israel-in-24-hours/live-76573681?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [14] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/russia-reports-fire-in-new-ukrainian-strike-on-major-baltic-port/article70800282.ece
- [15] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cge01w2dxe0o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [16] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cp86yrq5jy7o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/29/iran-hits-industrial-zone-in-southern-israel?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260329-moyen-orient-washington-muscle-sa-pr%C3%A9sence-militaire
- [19] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4106892-war-update-enemy-launches-66-attacks-pokrovsk-and-kostiantynivka-sectors-see-fiercest-battles.html
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxNeERGX0FoN1B4bXRIUmktRHRLZnNOUnpha2tpYk5fZW92Z3FNVXRkZEpYTng1NzdRTFFPS0tKQ2dtYVlsLWpScnJXem1EMG1KT0kyVmhJVkNvQWJIZW9BYTVHZFBaWmNWYW9HQnQ4R2hzWWRNWG52V1NNVjBMQktiOHF0X0RaWS1jS3hjUURGakluVWJkWWZydGtILUctSzNqa1o0UjduQWxUd1BYUFlyT9IBtgFBVV95cUxOYlRSZkhFVHNCMFI2ZlJGMXJfcXktNEJVa3hhcGJCZDh3NExYdVViQ1RpWXZkVkx3SHE4RmtaSUd5TUdVWWN0NEExT29QNklNbmZ2MHlLckxMSGtuajlIMjFaMVI1cEpISzF1S0QydGRiTU5PZjNKaFpxcnlRXzl1dkg4QThCdFlxQkhjT0ZEWi1SZVo2Sy1fbVQ5VTJxZ0FvczB
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi8wFBVV95cUxNWFhyQ1p0emoyTk1xOWpzMEZhZGxpd0pPVGVva0xiUFpnRkpCSHhnU2Q3VVNRNmFCbHhZaFlCMHBacXZWYVpLOVVlb2MzNnFnZVZYWVAzWThNdjBlYV90Mm8wMUdFal9hc2ZhN3lkcks1UDg5M1Z2WGdaU1U2RVVNQjhOcGZaTmJXQzhrUklWTi05VnE1YlBqbTdNZ1RFbFhDUG44LUFTV2NMTWhheW1PbXZlXzlqREhUbVV3ZlN1SGhBRk1NWXJDd3p2dXI5ei0xTUttTVdrMFd5YW9wM0k5T2JYV2p4VkVwejN6LVV6MG5Nb0k?oc=5
- [22] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/29/houthis-open-new-front-in-iran-war-will-yemeni-group-block-bab-al-mandeb?traffic_source=rss
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMizwFBVV95cUxPZ2lfV3pPSXZNdG5HUE10NDE1YThZZDVFakdkb3lfa3UyLTdSRHhhX3RmS2VuZ1U2dC0tSjU3dXlBMDg3Y0hWanh6WW14RXRjZy1TS3ZFcGloNGFya1FTZHNvc1Jzc25RVTJnajVTTHJkZ244SVJiM0d5NTNPYWg3Y2E3a25mVmUtckoxa0FCRG4zNk9FYUtCMTRneHpDRTNxR3lfczFZSUtaM1FHMUIxVlFLZ2VjWXJLejJxQU1EZHM5dFNPMnp2cjJKYUJwWjg?oc=5
- [24] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxPMVhGcGtmWFFLbGxsLUpUY2tlNUZablRoMVhObzdQYlFBWTVmZGVyc3NaZGRFanVKVGxBX0YtNGRKblBKUjM5c0xqaW1LZW9nSFJTQXdJVTlqRDg3cVd3TXdjV2RaeFdBR2RLYkRpRURGczJwX2dNeGNwLWd2RElfY3N3Z1hGMk1H0gGLAUFVX3lxTE80Yk5sMER1YkxQaTQzTDczdHV0WkF6ek55eVhjQkJpdXFQdzNHbnU4N19wQ3c3UWl3aWdpMU4yQ2UtY1llclRpLVpwX0IwOWQ0dENTSzZTZDhWc1pyTTRhVjBacmpIUDg4VEl2QlJxQzhPZDhWa2FlRTk5Nl9ncjktVTZKWTN2b1ctc1U?oc=5
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxOSXE4WVFndEZQVWNOQjh2UkVNV2FIaTQ3MERlWEtuN192WG1pRnlsVE9zMVFHUVRncDZmX0NKb204STYwNXQ3LV9HQm51c2thVVJLWWExNGx6U2pnd2QyMnpPb3BRMlMzMC1SS1N1NTFVOVo1UWE2TDRYbWJCU0tXRXFnV2pCb0l2Z3pB?oc=5
- [26] https://www.france24.com/en/iran-3-500-us-troops-arrive-in-the-region
- [27] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/middle-east-crisis-mediators-gather-in-pakistan-for-talks-on-ending-month-long-iran-war/articleshow/129881093.cms
- [28] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/gold-silver-outlook-bullion-markets-brace-for-volatile-week-as-middle-east-tensions-and-fed-cues-weigh/articleshow/129881732.cms
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxNRlZTZnRnR0tGckFFMFNyZkFpMkFYSm41Y3FmNmtWTlF0ZWZIYlpGZE04SFc4Nm9nZENQMFVNWW1kUURBSjR5Q1pfS3BIR3FFUUNTRDY5N1A4RUxRUHROTnNoLUdNX2J6ckVmNGhJM2dYaFRSQmFXX2VCM1RXcHNxeWlOR2F5VV9qQ2lQa09FS0xndw?oc=5
- [30] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqwFBVV95cUxQTkVyUEN2ejdNYWNQOWRLZHVJLTJyNlRSeHVjT1R1YUg1UTE4dTR4YWtVLTZsZWZFNnNWZzFpQ0VoSzl6RDNvMW9uazV4QXBfb285NlUyYWRjV25ubjJRY2tDTlZqcHAxbkJVbG1YbDdVNUhJcGJOem1sSTRfRU9fN1c0TDVnQ2ZtY1dBQkNNbXZwZUQ5ZFo4MWpnajFWRnhidExsd2dZX05zRTg?oc=5
2026-03-29
2026-03-29
进展要点
- 美国可能继续增兵中东，强化军事存在以应对伊朗威胁。
- 伊朗或正式退出核不扩散条约，加剧国际核危机。
- 特朗普政府施压伊朗重开霍尔木兹海峡，但北约盟友反应分歧。
- 全球央行可能因通胀压力而维持或收紧货币政策。
- 反战情绪上升，可能影响美国国内政策可持续性。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 石油供应中断 / 全球通胀上升 / 央行政策收紧 / 市场避险
胡塞武装袭击 / 红海航运风险 / 供应链通胀 / 避险资产需求 / 黄金和美元上涨
伊朗核威胁 / 地缘政治不确定性 / 市场波动加剧 / 风险资产抛售
战争延长 / 经济增长放缓 / 企业盈利下降 / 股市回调 / 债券需求上升
来源
Al Jazeera Middle East / Google News - World / Yahoo News - World / Times of India [timesofindia.indiatimes.com] / RT News / ORF.at News / France 24 #3 / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/28/key-moments-in-first-month-of-us-israeli-war-on-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTE9zNUlleUlBNHRhY2g2Z2JXLUNrcjZ5bzJRYlRkNm0yQWRtcDR1UHJLeXRwRVNkWFZNdDJEbEMxMXdFNWhYVS1YODV3WnJDSmJhbGQ1dkxRVUpVVVMteUVtSmxWSmZUblMzZVE?oc=5
- [3] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/analysis-1-month-war-iran-150728746.html
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/29/iran-war-live-houthis-attack-israel-anti-war-protesters-rally-in-tel-aviv?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/iran-hits-airbase-in-saudi-allies-houthis-enter-war-target-israel/articleshow/129874132.cms
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwAFBVV95cUxNRnNNMXp6endjeWw0eWo0SkJfX0JfVExSUnRyd2lYV01CcVN0bnVrREVUSnQxSkM0TFMzNjVWNzdCNXBNcDZ4TmgtTTNkUE94R1VSa09lb3VwUUhDVWUxRzktOXlwS1ZidFliRTNIUng3QWVFeUtNVVNZZjVia0FZZW4yZjVJRTJoRzFQcnd0bGpRaE1rNFpDaE1uMlVVVlFIVFRtSXg5ZHZPNUZfSXNndDBlcVNrME9KWWpuVVA1eEjSAcYBQVVfeXFMTUlJaHJnOHJwb2lBQmQwSmltZ0Vrd25YWnR2TGl1TUJuWUJxOGJRUnk0a3ZfQ0l6bnNETVl5Ny1PREVaVkVtaHd1VlY2akRMbHNNbUtWTTFSM2RaRnp2QWFTbF9UbzdoZjVvc21laUVxeGxWVVkta1lVS2RxY1NZckJfUWhXQXdBaWIxR1ZiT2M1R0d
- [7] https://www.rt.com/news/636572-iran-us-israel-war-updates/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMifEFVX3lxTFB2LW9fUjBuQ1haQUdiQzRBSDBVNkFWazR3dDZsbDBJZE5yeDRUQjFBN0RaS0dzWjNCSm1TdW85anFXNno3V3p4OXFEUEgwRVJNOC1LcUhRN3p6X21FRm5uaFZwTUFxeDVmR2pZYm9iem4wOHBzUGpyOWRLSEg?oc=5
- [9] https://orf.at/stories/3425270
- [10] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260328-les-houthis-du-y%C3%A9men-lancent-une-attaque-contre-isra%C3%ABl-les-frappes-contre-l-iran-continuent
- [11] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260328-yemen-s-houthis-launch-ballistic-missile-at-israel-as-middle-east-conflict-escalates
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/28/kuwait-airport-hit-by-iranian-drone-strikes?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/28/opinion/iran-trump-israel-geopolitics.html
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipgFBVV95cUxOblloY2RKTmxkUWY2ZUQwak54MXZLRHJzcTZVNWk4STFDb3VQZkU5OXg1ZUp6dXpITmxFVkRubXAwTDZkcDU4cTBjZmhHSnd3dzRqZ1dGQXBVUldqakRLbTFzUENheUotNTQ5Vm9jTV9HemE4dUtEVDhXbl93YnRIS3hoVHJWOFpoSHBzUUFUU1NjMDNDcGhEbmpvSFZndDByODVUT2dn?oc=5
- [15] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd6l5n8jv4yo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [16] https://www.iris-france.org/operations-aeroterrestres-sur-liran-de-quoi-parle-t-on
- [17] https://elpais.com/economia/negocios/2026-03-28/larry-fink-presidente-de-blackrock-y-el-hombre-mas-poderoso-del-mercado-si-la-guerra-en-iran-se-alarga-mas-de-un-ano-la-economia-mundial-entrara-en-recesion.html
- [18] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-03-27/trump-exige-a-iran-que-reabra-el-estrecho-de-ormuz-mientras-critica-a-la-otan-en-estos-tiempos-uno-aprende-quienes-son-sus-verdaderos-amigos.html
- [19] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Mar/28/iranian-attack-on-saudi-base-injures-us-troops-as-more-american-forces-arrive-in-west-asia
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxQYnNQVkNDSkdjNEVEOHlNUzlPQkFrenhKRGhOdnNxU09SLW1BOXlEeDFGZ0ZRdWtsWjZVWnhxYUhyYUVpMWsza0d1ejJxT0RtQ25DU3ZKUGVscnpud2MxNzdJd1V6bjgza3ZscmZLOTZfT0g1emxaY1hVZnFuU3VlR0RPOFo3WUNMclN3?oc=5
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMioAFBVV95cUxOaXNoeE54X2RSMXpjVGEzNklVVW5QckY5cjYxRzhWQXBBMmZyOU9VUHR2Z1hIRndXM21odExpRzNMbFhObm5lQUc5azVhQmZxMktRS2lDZW5XcmVmZ3lSRnBwX1hZd1pJOU1fYWZmeWYwd09CU29CRlZ6Z3gwZktIcS1Edmtta0xIV0Y2SEkweDRJVGpQS1A0UFlfX1VvZGV0?oc=5
- [22] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4106683-air-defense-systems-activated-in-kyiv-region.html
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/28/lawmakers-push-npt-exit-as-us-israel-hit-irans-nuclear-sites-steel-plants?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/us-troops-wounded-in-iran-strike-on-base-in-saudi-arabia-us-official-says/article70795431.ece
- [25] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/massive-blaze-at-kuwait-airport-after-iran-drone-strike-fuel-tanks-hit/articleshow/129869192.cms
- [26] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260328-moyen-orient-les-possibles-impacts-mondiaux-de-l-entr%C3%A9e-des-houthis-dans-le-conflit
- [27] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260328-ukraine-des-frappes-visent-odessa-zelensky-dans-le-golfe
- [28] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260328-moyen-orient-premi%C3%A8res-frappes-revendiqu%C3%A9es-par-le-houthis-du-y%C3%A9men
- [29] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260328-iran-frappes-isra%C3%A9liennes-sur-sites-nucl%C3%A9aires-et-civils
- [30] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260328-moyen-orient-des-soldats-am%C3%A9ricains-bless%C3%A9s-dans-une-frappe-sur-une-base-en-arabie-saoudite
2026-03-28
2026-03-28
进展要点
- 特朗普政府可能维持强硬立场，军事行动或延长至数周
- 美联储货币政策可能受避险情绪影响，关注利率路径
- 日本财务省可能干预汇市以遏制日元贬值
- G7国家协调对伊朗制裁和外交努力
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡封锁 / 全球石油供应中断 / 通胀压力上升
避险情绪主导 / 美元和黄金需求增加 / 资产配置调整
联盟紧张 / 地缘风险溢价上升 / 风险资产抛售
来源
Google News - World / El Mundo - International News / DW (Deutsche Welle) [rss.dw.com] / Anadolu Agency Politics / Al Jazeera Middle East / Le Monde International / Yahoo News - World / Ukrinform
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwFBVV95cUxPZEtyeXAteExYR1BmQ1hmendwdEJQbFo0eGRCVXdWMWFwT1JkSmU4UHJIYTJtT0puUVUzVTBFd2hfVk1ONXVNV3MxZGMtOHBUdnlCVG9pU3BhMk8zY0VpcHpBTXZTalRpLVpkZUlJNF9TbUxsWGZhd09BLS1na29SR08wQVIzZ3daZ3lpMmVleGp4WkV3ZWtv?oc=5
- [2] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/03/27/69c6f005e85ece997c8b456f.html
- [3] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-israel-hits-iranian-heavy-water-nuclear-reactor/live-76555531?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [4] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/live/explosions-rock-iranian-capital-amid-us-israel-attacks/3882486
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimwFBVV95cUxNR3F4N2t1WExsVkJXTzNGT183ZDc0SU9LWTAtWE8zX0tRRllRMFkwdHl2LV9ESDJxeDlTR0hzM2ltVDlETmhyV3RnWmhLY2RWX1I0Q3lMaXlfeEdUWVk0Sm1vS0htQTVMWmRXQ0FJZVBhS2VXNWRSdXdWUDkzanU0U0tJcjhGam9OMTVUMmU4dWFTVm1qY2l6d01JUQ?oc=5
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxPT1lyU19ZVDZLRWc2emFWcWhUcFo5clVjM0N5R2FVQ3ZZZjQtOExQV0hpZ2xScEU3Xy1yUmYtR3hTenNLaWtlZUREdGZ4Ni1lNjZ0RzZGeWhRaU4wUHhHTm5OM1RYLTZKNUVQY2JfdGVnVzVLODE4N3kwOG1fb3AxWDhvYlBub29XdXZ6MGJkWVVTVXBwRGtET1JkM2Z1dXpXTF9EcEpYUmlnMlVoOVVmcXctaw?oc=5
- [7] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/27/israel-launches-strikes-on-iran-nuclear-sites-as-war-enters-fifth-week?traffic_source=rss
- [8] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/27/israel-attacks-major-industrial-and-nuclear-sites-in-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [9] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/03/27/en-direct-guerre-en-iran-plusieurs-sites-nucleaires-frappes-marco-rubio-au-g7-prevoit-une-fin-des-operations-d-ici-deux-semaines_6673056_3210.html
- [10] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTE93bjF0N2pQUWF3SWRVeENjeUNiM1lFeWR6aGZnVmJaU2NRYnc0YTkxT1dUX3BHWTZzNUVpMkt6SDRQMW5NcXl1SHdRS09IVnBuRnFpR0dkVDljd3BSUW5tcy00a3F1YVZ4OHc?oc=5
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikAFBVV95cUxONFp1WFh4TlAya0RwNGhQM25SYktuNDVXOHdOZ2ZhVXEySXRaUUM3aDRHLUk5SzVvV01tanRKUHdTMm1PZXRnZUItSFpNOU4tZzNBZ0dIay1VMWRXenFNYkFzUkxJOVMzZUhMSzRnRGRjdk5SQzVZVXNZTTEweUdVZWtZYmhZcDdNeWZzdXdfYnLSAZYBQVVfeXFMT0N6QTFnQUhnTlNKeFo1S2ZZQ2Vlcmdnc3dsM3N5dE0zaG5laXFRTlVEckI3ajJ2cmJKalhFel9DZmtGMVQ1RFR0Y3JSekpNdG11LVpXNFJCczl5djRrbTNjYzQ4OVlHM0V5R3JJal9hWC1lNE1YSXEyZlRXOWVvSVJxaDY5SVp5OWRJWjNCdDF4Rm5hckZB?oc=5
- [12] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/us-uses-hundreds-tomahawk-missiles-101814598.html
- [13] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4106269-irgc-announces-strait-of-hormuz-closure.html
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/28/trump-says-us-israeli-war-on-iran-creating-a-new-middle-east?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/28/iran-war-live-trump-again-slams-natos-lack-of-support-for-war-on-tehran?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://www.tagesschau.de/newsticker/liveblog-iran-samstag-104.html
- [17] https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2026/04/release-the-bank-canadas-summary-deliberations-2026-04-01
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/27/rescue-workers-rush-to-save-lives-after-south-tehran-missile-strike?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-03-27/trump-exige-a-iran-que-reabra-el-estrecho-de-ormuz-mientras-critica-a-la-otan-en-estos-tiempos-uno-aprende-quienes-son-sus-verdaderos-amigos.html
- [20] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/03/28/en-direct-guerre-en-ukraine-le-chef-de-la-diplomatie-americaine-marco-rubio-accuse-volodymyr-zelensky-de-mentir-sur-les-garanties-de-securite-proposees-par-washington_6673450_3210.html
- [21] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/03/27/69c6aabf21efa07c798b45b9.html
- [22] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/03/28/69c6c1ade4d4d8ca6d8b4571.html
- [23] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-03/28/trump-stellt-unterstuetzung-fuer-nato-partner-infrage
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/27/houthis-warn-fingers-on-the-trigger-as-us-israeli-war-on-iran-continues?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/live/nearly-1-500-civilian-deaths-in-a-month-of-us-israel-strikes-on-iran-human-rights-report/3882476
- [26] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/live/trump-says-cuba-next-after-iran-war/3882480
- [27] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/washington-donald-trump-pete-hegseth-b2947437.html
- [28] https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/73131
- [29] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/27/fingers-on-the-trigger-for-military-intervention-houthis-warn?traffic_source=rss
- [30] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxOaTZ2TFgyZmVUZk1DRUpidjlZcGV1NkpFX2IxVk9QRUZNdGZRWi1ZMktlcDFncGFUOTlNajloY1l6Sy1NdHBpU3hvdk5hakJxMEJDTVVhTnh2TjRRUm9SNFZPdDRhV1J5LTVwNmNsMGNqTy1MTW9ad1ZSaUo2V3duNkhaTjItczdP?oc=5
2026-03-27
2026-03-27
进展要点
- 特朗普政府可能继续使用军事威胁作为谈判筹码，政策信号混乱。
- 美联储可能因油价上涨导致的通胀压力而调整货币政策，加息预期上升。
- G7国家等待美国澄清伊朗战争立场，可能影响国际合作和外交协调。
- 美国国内政治压力可能迫使政府调整中东政策，以缓解选举担忧。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡封锁 / 石油供应中断 / 全球通胀风险
地缘政治紧张 / 避险情绪上升 / 黄金和美元需求增加 / 资产价格波动
油价上涨 / 美国通胀压力 / 美联储加息预期 / 全球利率波动
WTO改革失败 / 贸易保护主义上升 / 全球经济增长放缓 / 市场风险偏好下降
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / El País Internacional / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / El Mundo - International News / n-tv Politik / RT News
参考链接
- [1] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-03-26/ultima-hora-del-ataque-de-estados-unidos-e-israel-contra-iran-en-directo.html
- [2] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-03-25/ultima-hora-del-ataque-de-estados-unidos-e-israel-contra-iran-en-directo.html
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivgFBVV95cUxOazM5aVI0RjBGa0NfUzU4UGNKMXpONTNmc2tQdG5Gc0E1UTBrS292SHJCSzZHcTlHdXNEVHhtM2hXeDh4OFVqZFM4N24xVzZlVTZSNlJmWlhxQmhvZWtWd3NlV2dZdDVCNWhvQ0lYN244cEt6QTFlcWM3ZTVTaGtBUUlRTUdUMkd4R1kxWjhacEVrNnV1MHRfZmtQXzN1WXliN194MnJEZEJWa0R3Qmt6ZU1Eckg3ZXNBc0xIU0930gHDAUFVX3lxTE83b3hyNjVEWXUtWE5KRTZEX040cnZhcTdvb1VFeEhxR1luQXVTR2lKaWE3T2xmWElrT3U2NV9xMkdHd0hxV21BLTJmUjhxODc3blNfUGtwNHRCdWM2YmplQnVqMFgzS0dDaWVoZ2ZOME4zSVNBaVo2LTE5MElLQlBiTjZVYnhPSkMtMkw3VlFjSnEwcjJ
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/26/iranian-missiles-cause-widespread-damage-across-israel-in-latest-wave?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://www.news.cn/world/20260326/4ba703685484482e8b989fe883829511/c.html
- [6] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-27/10593524.shtml
- [7] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-27/10593519.shtml
- [8] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-27/10593516.shtml
- [9] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/03/26/69c54b06e85ece6b448b45a0.html
- [10] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/03/26/69c56546fc6c83733f8b4588.html
- [11] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/26/trump-pausing-plan-to-destroy-iranian-power-plants-for-10-days?traffic_source=rss
- [12] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Trump-verlaengert-Ultimatum-um-zehn-Tage-id30517240.html
- [13] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Teheran-kontrolliert-Strasse-von-Hormus-mit-Mautstellen-id30515770.html
- [14] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Hauptverantwortlicher-fuer-Sperrung-der-Strasse-von-Hormus-soll-tot-sein-id30514792.html
- [15] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Iran-feuert-ballistische-Rakete-auf-Abu-Dhabi-Tote-durch-Truemmerteile-id30513646.html
- [16] https://www.rt.com/news/636330-us-israel-iran-war-updates/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/the-take-2/2026/3/26/aje-onl-tt_irq_neighborspillover_av_v2-260326?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/26/what-are-the-red-lines-for-iran-and-the-us-in-the-war?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/26/wto-holds-crunch-meeting-amid-collapsing-multilateral-system?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/26/trump-postpones-us-strikes-on-iranian-power-grid-to-april-6-amid-talks?traffic_source=rss
- [21] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-03/strasse-von-hormus-iran-trump-ultimatum-verlaengerung-ostern
- [22] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/iran-starts-formalize-chokehold-strait-192024062.html
- [23] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/03/26/guerre-en-iran-avant-le-g7-le-canada-et-ses-partenaires-attendent-des-eclaircissements-de-washington_6674368_3210.html
- [24] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/03/26/en-direct-guerre-au-moyen-orient-au-liban-au-moins-1-116-personnes-ont-ete-tuees-depuis-le-debut-de-guerre-au-moyen-orient-selon-les-autorites_6673056_3210.html
- [25] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-03/26/trump-verlaengert-iran-ultimatum-erneut
- [26] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/26/israel-sends-more-troops-into-southern-lebanon-as-ground-invasion-expands?traffic_source=rss
- [27] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-03-26/una-guerra-de-final-incierto-en-la-que-los-dos-bandos-elevan-sus-exigencias-que-se-sabe-de-las-negociaciones-entre-ee-uu-e-iran.html
- [28] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-03-26/israel-mata-al-responsable-del-cierre-de-ormuz-mientras-trump-urge-a-iran-a-alcanzar-un-acuerdo-antes-de-que-sea-demasiado-tarde.html
- [29] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-03-25/iran-rechaza-la-oferta-de-estados-unidos-para-acabar-la-guerra.html
- [30] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-03-24/ultima-hora-del-ataque-de-estados-unidos-e-israel-contra-iran-en-directo.html
2026-03-26
2026-03-26
进展要点
- 欧洲央行将密切关注通胀风险，可能推迟降息，以应对能源供应冲击。
- 美国或加强制裁执行，增兵海湾地区，但外交压力可能促使谈判尝试。
- 北约需回应领土遇袭事件，可能加强东翼防御，推高地缘风险溢价。
- 伊朗坚持五项条件，包括霍尔木兹海峡控制权，谈判进展依赖美国让步。
- 全球能源政策或转向储备释放和替代供应，以缓解价格压力。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡封锁 / 全球石油供应中断 / 油价上涨 / 通胀风险上升
俄乌冲突加剧 / 俄罗斯能源出口受阻 / 全球供应紧张 / 避险资产需求增加
美伊谈判僵局 / 地缘不确定性持续 / 市场情绪避险 / 黄金和美元走强
能源危机 / 欧洲通胀压力 / 央行政策转向鹰派 / 利率上升 / 股市承压
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / BBC News (Business) / BBC News (Top) / RT News / Ukrinform
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivAFBVV95cUxPZHZTeElMaGFXSUFuLWF0cm81WmRmc2R3T1FRbVRjZkJNekFQRnZlQS02bl9OWkgyT1JGVkRrUXpqQ1J1Mmt1Y1U2NUhuZlFRajUxTlBxLXlkdHBQM3ZVSks2Vjk5TmlQUUdhWnZPRHNIRTdKTzJYYndFd3J6dmlaTXNld2tZTlRkSnQ5bTF1VVU2Z0c1UWpPYXh1Mk9SeHZnTVl4Z2syVENULVNaY2NmNHJYQ2lDRHR1RVdxbA?oc=5
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/25/explosions-and-smoke-seen-as-iranian-missiles-hit-israel?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c995xp4jxj2o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [4] https://www.news.cn/world/20260325/f6d947b8e24c4f2e8c5b44ea69c57b8d/c.html
- [5] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/26/iran-war-live-us-demands-tehran-accept-defeat-israel-pounds-lebanon?traffic_source=rss
- [6] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-26/10592890.shtml
- [7] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvg0n9z3jlvo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipAFBVV95cUxOZUVaa1BTWEJ5UENmczgyUTZ2VGlvOThaVk54Zy1mX2FlSkVXRkpPM0JoRFN4SkMzYjdqMW5YX19Ib3E3d0hNd2J4VUoweUdxUGZEbHEtb2JJVzNmeW53d0VkQmtMOGJESVBRX2JQZ0VrSUJLRWotVGw3dkFVdDBDaTBSclBnaGNzNmdva2hwa3NXbkpwNVA1VkZ6UVZoMDQ3NzMwetIBqgFBVV95cUxQTTBwMHc0MXZhWElFNnE5UHhqYnppQnYxbkhqMUVKYTJDSzVRRWFHSnJ2dVBnanlWWmFGdzFWbkdWelR1Znl3U1pmTEM4X3NGa0FmMUJIX0w1V1UwYVhIV2VDaUlLS21rTTdFQUV0VFNvMkZxYkotd1VfT1Fud1Zwc1VQSU90WXlIcHk3aXRoS3BXV21oWVdnd2N5SlBPd0NqQjZZbHppb19sQQ?oc=5
- [9] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxQMXdid0VGVnlDTGxyM0hLVm5YQ0t5clFwMHJiTG84R0dSM25BMjN6cmZMbzJTNnRjM05rV0UtVmVNTC1XLWx0UWFwaVBEd1VXYXVNamxuUHI5NEZPeFZHN1FKZFpJTW1LSDd0aW02RGVXU0NSM1VQRHJyY09MZU00TGYtSlk3QVk0QUNvSUhwbHUtUkxQc2pLNGtZMmhwZlRQWVlmQnhrUFE?oc=5
- [10] https://www.rt.com/news/636210-us-israel-war-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [11] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4105605-war-update-140-clashes-on-frontline-pokrovsk-sector-remains-most-active.html
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/25/iran-releases-video-claiming-to-show-downing-of-us-jet?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/25/us-tells-iran-to-accept-defeat-or-trump-will-unleash?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMibkFVX3lxTFBaSTB2REZuZkVORnhBWVNzZUxJazU0QjNvX1ZURldXN2pXVl8tUmt4LUtVSXMyRzMxTGZWRUVxWllfeXpzQUJoaENZSFppbGxJTW1JUU91dk9JNFNwVTJCd3hGTkFpTDFKU1Y5WVpR?oc=5
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/25/whats-irans-war-strategy-and-what-risks-does-it-pose?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipgFBVV95cUxPcnFiZWQ3UmpJdmZUOV9JUk1Xdks5TkdMRThxY2NDVXNRczFYbUhOeFVVWnRYU2NGTkpJaFJ5NU1sc0tXUHZhVlZqNHdncmQ1bXQ2VXpnOEY2S3Q4dFUyVmNaUXFnblpWUjdYZE0wbmRVNnBtYjR5bjBHQVhOcWdVbWM5NWZNMVA1bkRlck02VkVOMVhFWWJZTWVHRDREbVItMlIxWjlR?oc=5
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/25/irans-state-tv-outlines-five-conditions-to-end-war?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi8wFBVV95cUxPXzFlbUhpQ2xmVXJWMXI4SWEwU290YVN0dkdJSUdfYWUyZ3RiZW9SNnZNSmI2N0k3cE13T0hMQjNVUk9rMDBHLVZrUFpFblhScnBVX1JSTjViQ01EZUtwNDJkUF96bnNJTHM0ZERnNWNiNE1WS2tFM0p4WFZ6dUx4cXZTZ3dmczBIZjBsLTJKdjRxa0xOWV92WV95RUotcmlneXpVVkpCZEsxMFM0a014Y3RkSnRjTnRWc0Z4dWlYU3RWRkVQZW8xbHQ5MXpSSnRSLUFmMUVmZV92dG1OeFlsQkNEUWpTR2xTMlMySjh1Sjc4Q0U?oc=5
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxOSE9rVnF3d3k4SmhmU01hRkdJdThyM2RiVXpiRDZaWGtqMDQ5NzhyWXVxQW1MNlN0aWd3VXNvcTZCLTUtdlhMQU5qYVNWRWZCWFVwaVJaQ3BhclFLNEtqN1dHekYtcDR1X18yaUNGcE4xaTZBYm53d0VrMUFOUGs3SmdRTTU3TDRDd1pkUDhUT0ZQbFJHR1lsdklIbE9WUi13czY4YTE5b1RRc2V2Z290QQ?oc=5
- [20] https://www.rt.com/news/636167-iran-worse-than-iraq-sanchez/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTFBhNUprVndUd2RfcjlTX25CYWxQX0FURTZxS0FHNHhMTFZ0ellkb2RUcW1WVE5BUkpEdS1EbzBFaUNJWXZiSGhJYjI4NVN1eGhIcjV2MlhJYV9iS01Sc1J4Q25QWE4xY1RBaWFKNXdIeEp2U21mLUJuTw?oc=5
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxQbVB0QmxlZFY1d2N2ajhFMWpMMWJZcWpOa24zV3lYVkZUYk8zMF9iR1lULUJROUZRaWRjanBuUzM0UlN6OUhYQ2JyT3Q2Wm5kMDYwUzZrWTlIUXB0TkJmWnBHV0JyNFUwVnZKRzJ1Q05VSVdKVFF3cmJKbGl1QVpyV1lIU3NmYjlOUkg4Zg?oc=5
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivgFBVV95cUxPUzdaa0lJdElid1NPc2RhSGJGdkRGenM0UGcyWDNfTTUtbWFwMmFHbjgyaVEyb1BDTG5EdVlTamZBVkQtLXhBaE45dWZBX1luTUNGWWhzSmwtVXY2cTkzSmZHQlpNVDNoQjg5R1Y4WkJtTm5uTmNfaHlseDEtZ2xndmtnUHNjckE5Z3lrbDlXMTdEeVJOdkxYb2Z6dzBsRV80Wl8tR0lFeHpTS1pwcWZoUWpJeU5UNjFnaVg2T0RB?oc=5
- [24] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxQSnpPVGY1V0h1RUhCU1ZCNVFyQV9DczRnVHJEMVk4QWFYRHk5VzRxWFpQa1FRSjFaTEk5YkwyejBmLWZTaFVieVJIVnRyck9Yb1JhYjdNX2lsakRySmdUbkFZY1B0aEJuNzdtNFhscXVPZXRGMmhhbUJVRWN4Z1BvQ1hMd0c3Ml9PUjZGQ3dqNzhtc2ZZR3hBSVZYaGwtNk5CVWRYSXRrYUFzMDNkcWJHblFFTW9fdw?oc=5
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/25/war-on-iran-what-troops-is-the-us-moving-to-the-gulf?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMioAFBVV95cUxOdUtCdTFreDRwM3dONWtPQmFoZF9UNEdUMHhJejF1eUcxZEhHVUQ4XzFJdVZ6OUdkckZ2eDNpODJRSHBYYmxpbC1CS2dSOXgxclR4REhmRWlITjFUS2VnVVE1RXRKa2xtODRTeTlhN2dyWXNMejNmYVE0ZlU4R1RmVjREZGZ3TnFxNXNIYV94Sk92VG44aDZvVnFnUW1iQkdo0gGmAUFVX3lxTE54eGZkajBCaklCOElMT1k5TkVMbXlCUWw2Y2pwbUFvYmlEUTZFb05rejhuRXREajA3UXVqYWRzTlZ0QjhObTlMdkZzMHJieGJnVlF2aUFjM0xUY0pHdEY4TnQ1SE44ZW5tc3R2TlJnc29CYjVwa0lDRk14T3dWY1lZd3YxZnlPeDBkOG5ETWNab194NFAtamJjWGloWjh1Wm8xR1RYUGc?oc=5
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiS0FVX3lxTE5uMGZRMTY3dnJWQ1REYWVFY3dqNW9NZGg0Ym52M1o4VC1TZWhzQVpMUjh3ZENlRGs1UTBROXVJZjJ3aXdQQUh3TnZUMA?oc=5
- [28] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260325/70691f988eb542f3acc9660bfd41443c/c.html
- [29] https://www.rt.com/news/636100-shock-and-awe-is-dead/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [30] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/25/israel-talks-up-iranian-threats-to-european-cities-to-justify-war?traffic_source=rss
2026-03-25
2026-03-25
进展要点
- 美国可能进一步军事部署中东，如第82空降师增援，并更新对伊制裁。
- 中国通过财政政策支持银行信贷扩张，重点投向科技创新和基建领域。
- 全球央行或因能源通胀风险调整货币政策，关注利率路径变化。
- 特朗普政府外交策略矛盾，需观察后续军事和经济政策协调。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 避险情绪上升 / 油价金价上涨
LNG供应中断 / 能源价格上涨 / 通胀压力上升
中国特别国债 / 银行信贷扩张 / 实体经济支持
地缘紧张 / 市场波动加剧 / 股市承压
来源
Xinhua World / Xinhua Finance / Al Jazeera Middle East / Google News - World / UNRIC France / Japan Ministry of Foreign Affairs Overseas Safety Information / U.S. Treasury OFAC Recent Actions / ANTARA News [www.antaranews.com]
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/24/building-collapses-after-iranian-missile-strike-on-israel?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/24/iranian-missiles-cause-injuries-and-major-damage-across-israel?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilAFBVV95cUxPQ3N3MFRHWTViTmdtMGhteGRYbFBTaTN0TlFJdWU0eHdkdmtsMkVTY09PbGF3bmFRUnBDT1JmS3pmMGVkSzd3d21UUUlCQkJaNWkxSmRXcHdZMUlqMFY1Mm9BcFJjblp2bzctTmRpWmpPdnNLQUpxdFBMbi1GLWxNZk1nMHNualdrTjBhdTNaR3hRWlBa0gGaAUFVX3lxTE5PQnBMY2FGbVJYZUczQVMyN1Y5em5NZHpEeC1MOHJzR0tfa29wU3c3M0N5NzlDWF9WaW8wRjdhUnZvVTlZOHo2WDZyV0pDSGJiMFJBMWhyNng3bl9hWDl6RXc4MF9Mb0NyQnBXNHkwWFJ1YmVlMFJZQTNpOTkxLVdsdTJleXE5cnpwS1lWMTF0Wml6eC1aQVBpZnc?oc=5
- [4] https://www.news.cn/world/20260324/13137e064ccb478c9939b3b8c9272065/c.html
- [5] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260325/6b6fad3bee41483eadae413812ef9ccd/c.html
- [6] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/25/iran-war-live-trump-again-says-talks-underway-12-killed-in-south-tehran?traffic_source=rss
- [7] https://unric.org/fr/lactualite-de-lonu-en-bref-numero-11
- [8] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/24/arms-manufacturer-thrives-amid-us-israel-war-on-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [9] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/24/trump-claims-us-has-achieved-regime-change-received-present-from-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [10] https://www.anzen.mofa.go.jp/info/pcwideareaspecificinfo_2026C021.html
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTFA4OV82UHJwV3pQdUdsRUc1R3hnSHFFMXIxQ25uLU1TRGFxNUFZMmpBWG9GaDRwRkZHbmplVDlnWklTRTFpcmpWMGJaVGw4aUl1ZVZkRUhMZXpqQQ?oc=5
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMibEFVX3lxTE83NTJQYXhUdGF1U1RIRHpnZVZ5M0NDdzRYMVpySW9kUzZOUUJyS3pObEI1MVFhWTZ1Y0hOYTlrbkFJSFpjdExjWlE0cEU2eUQxZEExN2VMMVhURkhIVkFsR1BZdDJsaElCeGZSRQ?oc=5
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilAFBVV95cUxOWW5Xd3p5UWxSQmdTMjdmRVJOaTBDb0lSNmdFd1FVTVRacU1qOEY1Rmo2d05iUXYwMXQ3ZU11RnhYdHI0RHBrbm4xbGVUSXJydjBOc2ZWdG85c3pOZEFiQ1lOckZ0cjQ5SFJmSUQyc3hsX3JoTE10aDRFTVRzNFM0Ykp6ci1XSWdxUGZTVlNoRjlhYVp4?oc=5
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxOVUswbnBPNGRmZVI3bXFRMWZ4Q3Fucl9Cczd0MnlZQUVZcFUxeF85TzNIbmoyQmUyckl5dWpKTFoyT2Q1OW9UWkdjaGhCNGw3b0t6S203VDJSS2V4bldDSGZVZm9pMk50S3owX0Z1QXB6OU5Hd0kyTWpwbEs2WjllRjJuNkttTHhqNENjd0sxZE1OVEZUVXpjb2IyeEtqTnBvUWxSd0ZWb2dRUmhiVlhkbHdB?oc=5
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/24/has-iran-brought-down-an-unkillable-us-f-35-jet-3?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/24/russia-hits-ukraine-with-deadly-daytime-barrage-as-spring-offensive-starts?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikwFBVV95cUxPZUo5dVE3czd6Mm1zajl0eklhS1ZnVUtPY1FIWDF6N3h0M0ViV2pPa2YzNlZUN3FYNlQ1MENQVWdrUzFNRkhhQThPUldaWmNrcHpzNFNIUkIyc3d1OE5qWjloTk9Xd003d0ZZRzgwaGJkWUNFc2o4ZUVaVzBtZGVDYmgzcFM0cmdGYTlha2VNNWluUlk?oc=5
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxNVVlkMW5RWHd3cEtuaEpTLXYwT1ljcUh1eWxwM1BPbHU4VnFWOWRHMWNCYTlhQ0VESGgxTTBuSFdOa3U2Qmo2bHRfV2FDQy00NDl4NE9MN2Y3LV85Mm5JaUVXZFJNaFk5SVNoWVZXbXZVNkU0U2VvRG5xanBFTi1iS0hud21KZHBsYzlPSUFIdVk2bnYwRlFfc2NqODdXUQ?oc=5
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixAFBVV95cUxQSUJBY25HYjlUaU9STTBWX2VycXdDbktZMjBDZ0xrXzRZbGdhTlo5UXF1djlIYmRLRmNJM1l6QUJZSXN0YXlhNF9SOUNfNzJTM0ZuNjZmUnhVbWVvd0dqMGZBcFZOMEhPVTNjZkdOU3BERnVYbjBtcVlwUmpSb0hwWGJVYjQ1YV9NTzNZc2xFcDA2dl9JT2g1bktUMkJMalBzQVM2NUVBMkxVenpEVGxIc1RzS2hBM0lSNXZOb2RSQW9MbFU3?oc=5
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/24/what-impact-is-the-war-on-iran-having-on-israel?traffic_source=rss
- [21] https://ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxPdkFVRklESDFYLXFHSFhfaWtsTkVnQkt0Z0hQcjNHb0hSbmxoX2U3WUhidy1oM1VxZVNqcGg4eGRrNHJlY2pRdXBQRl90d0hGNGs0dEpRR0RaQW5jR2F6OTBkdGZJX3JseDlmMWhsOF9WRVVoLUpTV2JLT0xYLXdXVlVRbG1pcDZTSW5Gc1E3QnVJZjkwNnlTNUQ3NGVEdFZBb3FtcmZUeDg?oc=5
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/24/israeli-defences-questioned-as-iran-continues-to-cause-damage?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5491798/iran-serang-pasukan-israel-di-gaza-jika-gempuran-ke-lebanon-berlanjut
- [25] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz90gpyw90wo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [26] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivAFBVV95cUxQWnhpTVZWTm5IVFdUc0VzbnpHMXF5MFlMM0hWWDM5ZVV0ZWsxZmRvcTlWZks5OGZCT3huSnpsdUFfMXRLVnowTllnV3Q4eDlGUzdpbDgybjB2ZjBKQmZ5NmpFUGVpcjJIRUJFZGQxUFVzbnJEM21qNllDdUl6aGVrRVFkdGlpcnE5azhnVlJZUElEeWpyQ0JlTHJ0UjdlamFoVUVteC1pdTJaNGc4NzZhNl9kMTFvbGt2al9QRQ?oc=5
- [27] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c625j162yy6o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [28] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/24/moment-rescuers-find-man-alive-under-the-rubble-in-tehran?traffic_source=rss
- [29] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260325000829qiS
- [30] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260324233310JGR
2026-03-24
2026-03-24
进展要点
- 国际能源署可能释放战略石油储备以缓解供应危机，但警告无法根本解决短缺。
- 中国推出财政金融协同政策刺激内需，中央财政安排1000亿元支持投资和消费。
- 特朗普政府对伊朗政策矛盾，暂停打击但谈判信号不明，增加不确定性。
- 巴林推动联合国安理会批准使用武力保护霍尔木兹海峡，需关注国际反应。
- 全球央行可能调整政策应对油价波动和通胀预期变化。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 石油供应风险 / 避险资产需求上升
IEA释放储备 / 油价下跌 / 通胀预期下降 / 央行政策调整
中国财政刺激 / 内需增长 / 经济预期改善 / 亚洲股市受益
俄乌冲突升级 / 俄罗斯石油供应中断 / 全球能源价格波动 / 避险情绪升温
来源
Xinhua World / Xinhua Finance / China News Service / Google News - World / Yonhap News TV / Yahoo News - World / Israeli President's Office / Al Jazeera Middle East
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxQeFlEVTNsOTdEc0ljS0NNM3hWU2tyN3pDanhRRUI3X1NHazA0QlFZUURfMXJ6aFd5TVRrV3FSNkVUWEU1OEFfZGRFWUtHM2Z3cC1RM0dQTlpWZGNGTmN6RGFIM2kycjhsOU9mMG1SY2s1aTJTTnhOUTd1TWJxSEpFWExvRHV4ZDdhS0s1dEd3dnBMR3VXbUktUEVKNE13MnAwcnFydFVRa9IBrAFBVV95cUxORFlJeVpKaDUxalYzQlEzS2YyNkgwb2xuYVhFWGEzeGg3UXp4b1JVdzVJcTBwRWMwQWtCMjhXN29DNlg1WVdQX0FjbzVoZGlVcm9WYzQ2V3NCOEV0Z1hNTWtJSTJxeEVwR3pjZENmMWZrU29qdFZNWGJaMDdkcmMzUVIzd1g0RFVFMHlfZ0VFOGVqVHBPMzVteHliNjlkWnpxcXBKSHlJRGhHUU5
- [2] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260323215112Kkk
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi3AFBVV95cUxOUHkxVlFhd3UwODFGQzA3RmlSSF9VOG9KRE16MGs1RnQ1MTdaTEo5VlU2ZzVpeVpCNEJCYTY0OWhCaW1RdWdkZmZYQndOUzRhWjZ0S19XTWZVSlF3enBRbVVmR2JuU0JrR29MbnFJbXV6UTdhbGlVTHhIc2hpNXVUc2h2bGtyYWJCcU5PUklTWWxka0c0V256d2EyeHM4b251Z1EydVJZMDRJZTJhblRqOFE4cmZKdXpWM0NjMnpDa091ajBTVTk0TjFZMk96a0UtQ19HOFZ1WTdFSGNK?oc=5
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitwFBVV95cUxOWnRuRU44R2hpMFF3QXhhOGcwWWlrNDlBbWluQlVGblNQWjFDczNJbmZ3VGhWS1ZEUFZXUTh1Vk9UVjlVMHpsbWQxOFhBU2dpN1Q1eW9GT1JZNmxoNHNta2lDTUZaOTh6SUY5cUotblNhUUgxYUFvcnlfblBsNmp4b1hEMHV4Z3R1OGphUXF1bVJFaWFTaEI3RmFYQ2NmWFJieHNlWExPaHVyVFlJM1pxUW1qc1RXWWPSAbwBQVVfeXFMTWJ1UC1yMHl1c0I1UFQtQ3pKQUtoX0hhTmlJSFROUWluMkRJYjNsRHM3RlFfWDduUXdvVTFVNUJnS0Z2VlljbXZJRDlLbmVqdk1GWDJleHFQX2ZzMTlHR1NKczkybVdKSTFtdjl6MnhUTXFDUFBsZllxWms2NV9ZaXFRSmpSSkJPU2JRb0dDRE9aMm5jU1R1M2JfU1E
- [5] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/bahrain-proposes-un-security-council-191015009.html
- [6] https://www.news.cn/world/20260323/c3ec2f52c91f48498322e5447855a248/c.html
- [7] https://www.news.cn/world/20260323/532a958446c14f798d6c3c77956c7b8f/c.html
- [8] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260324/b617e78931ec4118a6258dc96ca5904e/c.html
- [9] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE15Yy1taFh4aEtPNVBuTzdWTXN2ZWxhTE55ZzlUdVJ0RENRYzJ2MGctOXJFSzlsTnBhNFJqUXJGOV9HQWdkRGVJd211b1VueWpBdVRhNl9jbjNxdw?oc=5
- [10] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi0wFBVV95cUxPRWtnS3JYeU8xM3A4S0NCMnA1U0s0QWRZbHpWQm9vVC14QkZCRks1cmU1NGJMbVcwbE41VGkxN1BYS1dwR1BxMkJnaWRab29NSVJwYUNzZlBFQk0zaEJlMmRNdTZwOGdXVjlsRXl3dDBmd0RMTjRtb3d5UnBQMjhCbVNqOFR4am8zWEg5dkNNQW1rdWs1blFGZnVDNUlDbzlUQVF1QXZIb3paYmthTTc0ZmFBb1VSN0RaUGY1eEZqcUVPZGpHRHR4LWJROEhXRmJNaEFF?oc=5
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihwFBVV95cUxPZDBuci1xV3lJRmZiRTRrSEIycXJJbTBZcXA3T3dWSjQyM21ieHFFV0NfX3BQWUxyZnRQUmh1SGM1YVZZaXNOX2gxbk85M0hwZ2Ixd3ZiMEVLbEcxSDF6LU9GaGRIZUhwQ2dFdFVNenVkQ1NXSEtYSVR1MEJPNm5EbDdzY09sSDA?oc=5
- [12] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-24/10591666.shtml
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihgJBVV95cUxOaUttbXZMVWI4Ri1UU3NjdVRhenVfZndFMFVXZ0dUNjdOaXBkMHk2cVJmTWVsckxqX0t2RGsxVVFMcGJRckFLRXo4ek9KQWRjUHc4ZzhmXzVqWTNjdUw5cDZxbWVTd3FmUjdYdjN0Q0RwdGtFTU11ekRPMzdRUkNoUVFieC1JZ0tueWJHRVFQZ1FleXBsQmg3QUNDdWxaWUNiZTBtbDQ3ODByVTVoMV9yblhURTZubkpEbzFsakVOYVRCbVI2SlFCbzVjWXpkRGNtcUZjVVhWeHFXcTd3bmxXdmE4QWduWjI0dFJDM1BtaHRlbVhmS3pyVjUtTjRma1pmTVlVODhR?oc=5
- [14] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260324/115f499f8d94454299aca4391317ebef/c.html
- [15] https://www.president.gov.il/%d7%a0%d7%a9%d7%99%d7%90-%d7%94%d7%9e%d7%93%d7%99%d7%a0%d7%94-%d7%91%d7%a7%d7%a8%d7%99%d7%99%d7%aa-%d7%a9%d7%9e%d7%95%d7%a0%d7%94-%d7%95%d7%91%d7%92%d7%9c%d7%99%d7%9c-%d7%b4%d7%a2%d7%9d-%d7%99%d7%a9
- [16] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-24/10591654.shtml
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimwFBVV95cUxNU2NYQUNVbVlyZVNkdkwxMkhPd1lVVTBPODdNV2VjOVd1UTlYVU9yWWM4RnJUWFhyUW5pNXQxc0FUWlRWNFNmUXVJLTAwNGpzVnJnZVpNZ0pZSGRqQ3FPeUllTWNOUGU0Q0dja0JaODQ4bG1IaU9SRUJsMGsxUzRlYkdFczdjNXRQYUdmN0h3VmpkUm9HWGNWUThwaw?oc=5
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/23/have-israel-the-us-and-iran-violated-international-law?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/23/smotrich-urges-israel-to-annex-southern-lebanon-as-assault-intensifies?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://www.rt.com/news/635973-israeli-minister-annex-southern-lebanon/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [21] https://www.rt.com/news/635945-netanyahu-trump-mossad-coup-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxQTmVDemJya1pCcFFiaXg4X0tvQzd3dFVwZ3JYcGZPcW0zdDNoeF9TYWNEWWFiZ1BOb214clNtNDgxekt6Y1V1a2pqZENEZ3ZHXzA0SlpiWXgzNnhaTWFHMVh5MXd4ZktUTDFOQTd6QlpHaWU2N250S3ZzZENBMWw4T2g4V0htQW0yazdCYTh6RkFSRzYzazJsdWxNVUhBQjFCZnBNclBYZ1VJd1ZMZl9icjBvWmNSTHpTeXBn?oc=5
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxPWFBma2Z2eE8zN2Q1STNJYkpNbnhSbXhyUkE4MW1DZXRUcU51NjJaRjNQYUpnNEh5RHNnWHFxN2pDcUlrUkRZcHV4SS1reXViY0JCLUNxQjlvX3ZaNHlRTnItRUQyd2pxd2wxNUFRcXRKNU1zdVZrcXRKRkVIZE1YcEd1SGZIU1l2bHBTc010Zjhwcy03VENWdmdlZ01uVVFfbFdISVRSb192MHZudzUweVpQZzA?oc=5
- [24] https://www.rt.com/news/635916-us-iran-energy-attacks-pause/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/23/ukraine-strikes-key-russian-oil-port-and-refinery?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/23/what-trump-said-about-iran-after-postponing-military-strikes?traffic_source=rss
- [27] https://www.rt.com/news/635922-persian-gulf-sea-mines/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [28] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4104754-zelensky-warns-of-possible-russian-massive-strike-today.html
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE05UDBYcG9nNXA2c0NaNS1zRkNVWjlFODFSVW9Id3duaW5CVmRJemZLVWQwdkNHZml6Q01LVVVtbWg2RTZudXlLdXVHemZUNXpmN0taY1N6aVhHMGJWbmV0TTJPNnNtWmZxMU5USWM4MFZfN2liR190Rg?oc=5
- [30] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitwFBVV95cUxPNG1XQ3RiWWFnZ1VRVmFUN1FHcHA1dEdDdnJXMjRabk52bTRKQTRxOEMxR3ZzUG40b3ZxaHZfM19ua2RJam5PdnI0d0R0NGU5VkwzU2Z3dnBqZUpMS0tNTDFyUHdMOGNCVW5KZ2hkZ2NGNXhLS1dIWG1wYlFoRG9wejRQNC1nVHdibkpfbFBHcS00ak9LU3Blc3c1RS1IbkRWeVFvSFVaZm1MZkZtSk92Q0lpdUNMRFk?oc=5
2026-03-23
2026-03-23
进展要点
- 特朗普政府启动对伊朗谈判准备，提出六项要求包括限制核计划
- 北约秘书长呼吁成员国集结以重开霍尔木兹海峡，支持美国军事行动
- 英国首相斯塔默召开COBRA会议评估伊朗战争对经济的影响
- 美国可能调整军事策略，从空袭转向潜在地面行动以应对海峡封锁
- 伊朗提出强硬谈判条件如停火和赔偿，双方立场分歧大
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 石油供应风险 / 全球通胀和避险情绪
霍尔木兹海峡封锁威胁 / 油价飙升 / 资金回流美国
伊朗报复性袭击 / 地区不稳定 / 黄金和美元上涨
谈判进展不确定性 / 市场波动加剧，影响资产价格
来源
Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / Yonhap News TV / Yahoo News - World / Sky News / The New York Times / Global Issues News / BBC News (Top)
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinwFBVV95cUxQT3ZNV3EtM18yTjlzZDNUYlU3YXljZGRUY0o1N1ZXQ1FvXzVOWG45VUJ6SW1kNTRhU1hEQUpGMzVRVE5pUnNMazZ3VGxHc0lsZE1YRnFudndka255bTVEMFJnM2ZhdkZNdDdLbDIxWGxpbnBzRjlKQ05TWEJoR0JOekFncXpucVFHd1A4UVNnak0xd0lHMmxFemU2Ti1TTkHSAaQBQVVfeXFMT3V5aERRUlAxQmFnYk5NQXZ5ek9OaXhRdlVJTXVfbm9teTRsWDBPNmJxTG1hUW1kTkd4YXZaZHlSdTdlWFdWVGN0ZDB0QkdoOWhGbkRyZzQxRm1GN2pVMEJoWE9xWlRrcmRjYWNOY3NhX0d4REtuR1I2dUtEamJkMVJfZmdURHllNmRnb05qbTRUOWVqR1NxSTR1RmFhRnc5UWpwVlg?oc=5
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwgFBVV95cUxPV1l2bGRCNUZZSnBSb0JSc1RqdG4yZXRvV0cyczhsRDNtRHVyYWZjclhYdVJTZmZHR1RES01FbXNSZkZCUEM0Zm9DQkVFQW1xTDJaV0JJZi0xTkFrYmJFaTlFYVMwaHN4SjRMcVlNNGJMN21yZGdGQmVfQTJxUEctNnB4SzRyXzJWRVVTOUNENEx6eHhLVzhpR21UUHZYYUFKM0JXTWtoTXVkaVlUNXpoQl8yYVBJM2twdzBna3M5TTA2UQ?oc=5
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/22/iran-claims-missile-attacks-on-key-israeli-military-bases?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR202603230031383jb
- [5] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260322232612fdX
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivAFBVV95cUxNaHBrbloxQjlGRzJKSy00dEQ1Qm9VLTZ1VmQ3ZDUtNlZSYzhYSXE0WDYyLXJrSjZGd0lvS0s3Q2EyRzZieUtUWUlMb1loVmVfSUR5Y25rVlhnX092WEMwM0pNVFFQMS1ia2R4bmJhS1l4NHo3SUF4bHJxakVPdzZuQTBXSV8yblRoejhXcWtVVGFrNVIwM3F4czdmX0I4S0prSFJVVHR2ZmFNVTBhdE5PRm0zaWdaR2s3VW14dw?oc=5
- [7] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/22/moment-iranian-strike-hits-central-tel-aviv?traffic_source=rss
- [8] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260323025052Hm3
- [9] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/trump-hints-wind-down-war-051853034.html
- [10] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR202603230243549b3
- [11] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/22/we-do-it-together-in-confidence-netanyahu-backs-us-strikes-on-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [12] https://news.sky.com/story/starmer-to-chair-cobra-meeting-over-iran-wars-impact-on-the-economy-sky-news-understands-13523061
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/quotable/2026/3/22/risk-of-escalation-is-extremely-high-as-iran-shows-it-can?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiXEFVX3lxTE9jcnVocFJLNzlNR1REN0dXWWpZaGdOTDJUWTlZREdLQnlOcEtNZXdBbUwyNHQ4SDNmOURQNmZVT2hSX2xYeEdRUEh2dHp4WWp0b3pvREF1Smk2LWoy?oc=5
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiaEFVX3lxTE5XTFdWUGE5cERnZkhaTXJxOUM2cWFfNHJzMnNzbmxfQkNmTk53Z3dZdkdIM1F0Q1pNV2xRMVBjbWx5MEplVnZIbW5hdmdFYlRLdnBSSi1IYUhjNnN1Rm1TbDFfZ2ItbjI2?oc=5
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxNejFFOG1nc0JZSUs1clVVTEdvb0dOVVEwejJpUlRFR01RUWtfRFVBUW5iYkVpYXNoamxDSXVvVkJEa1JJWkQ3VmtsNDRqNVhfMVNvbUZHMlBocHZfUTFqdms2SGZjV1RnVUk1WGJ4YUNacU1FdUppblNjdGpBQU95N3o5d0x2bEJGYjVSMzJNQUx5djVjNm8zV2JfQm02S1NGeWlpRDAtY0pRQzBTRHfSAbMBQVVfeXFMTVhUbV90T0EwWEs0azhVbk9vN2JHWmx0dURSOTF3a19qUmxzMDQwU3JELTV2SmRsMUFKOVU3NFZxM0t4czFSUXVlZXJsRmtVZThxclpHamNoQWJadFdnX3k1U1pXa1h1TTNJT3B5Y29CeXJzXzUxbTdSbFlFaWhXYkpWdm5vVFJtRnpRRGVJd0tmU3ZVWjZLNXVUbGxZZkdwMEtOYTV
- [17] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/22/us/gas-prices-south-southwest.html
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMickFVX3lxTFB4am5wWjBMYmt1ak8wT1dxNHdzTUJlaWd1ZFBxQ0hmYlVDVUdWeEZ2aFQ5aTJ6Q2I2LV9fcjhWMF9sZG1mMDlIRncwampXY1NhRnRhTlhkWlpjTmZaeU5EWTdDeGdkYXFfeEN2VzM2NXE4QQ?oc=5
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxNclpXV0tqN3l4dmxLZFBuS3IwUTFteTFSeGlxYUE3aENPSGdub0IyaEptN01JSnJudmZUaGlvUzktS19XOV9KTW9NVVFoWUdqRzdscjdTQUd3WWJLUTFxMWZtcTUwTXNiaExNYlFXLWpPcFEyQko1eXVHTENrQjlWYWczX1FBWDJlSHRnNjlwMXdOanBuSi1zMlZaVkk5N0lKUVR6cGE5ZDFsREdsRl9jRUp6UW7SAboBQVVfeXFMTmg3a1lwZFU0VElmREJJaUh5UjE5ekZTLTYwLUZuNU9Dci1rcDVRbXJrcWhBZUN1ck1kRWpLdldobDRqZUVnOFVDaEQtRjNoaVVNTVFoN0FlODdjNnE5dmR6TlZfNjh3Z0YwSmVsYlVYODQ0MlRMRXN2M1lVRVJabi1tbHNJRGtDX1g3YXpRV0tadXZweklUTmdlbEJTRzd
- [20] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260323003254LDq
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/22/iranian-authorities-taunt-us-israel-eu-amid-strikes-and-assassinations?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://www.globalissues.org/news/2026/03/21/42609
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTFBxQlZJNlZWNXI1Q1ZVMmVMaHFKc25vekYtQmtqZl81cjk2SDRQQmRuTUxyU2RnZ3JfSkhxMzhZYkdiSWJEX2hDbGdxYzdDTEdJZndZakdJSENmQXdmajlDNWY2ekdoajFYQy1LZW5wV3dDQ09nbTIxaG9lZzVjLVk?oc=5
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/22/trumps-changing-messages-on-iran-war-what-does-it-say-about-us-strategy?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://www.bbc.com/news/videos/c3v6k0l631vo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [26] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/22/iran-says-will-hit-regions-energy-sites-if-us-israel-target-power-plants?traffic_source=rss
- [27] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4104328-iran-launches-nearly-30-missiles-and-drones-at-uae-today.html
- [28] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilAFBVV95cUxQbEtmcldBb2JsM1BrQ2pUdFpRS3JVZTZmSXBjZ0R4WHVqS201OTVJcWFHQ3Q1eVU1WERjTkx4bjM1MmprVGV4VFdVQl82TkdjOTlzQkpybmpqQ1lORGZjMy1vRWR2OUxhOUVlRjR0VmxJel9lT1ZySGZzdDZ0THhDVmhELTljbXZvV0dzWWRHVFVWcEx1?oc=5
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxPbWJzdnNvOUlTV2Iyc2tVaVJuTjh5ZmJNb3JWLW9SemFheVo5OGRObFZ6MkVuSGRvNzE0ZXMwdEJfOGh1NWw1MTloVXQyZlplTG1GQ21zWDN5MXA3WmZEa0hPek1XS1k3a21sVTlCQlR0UXR5YTJ0WTV2Vnk5Z1pSR1FDRVg?oc=5
- [30] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/quotable/2026/3/22/opening-strait-of-hormuz-will-probably-require-us-boots-on-the?traffic_source=rss
2026-03-22
2026-03-22
进展要点
- 美国政策矛盾：特朗普暗示缩减军事行动但增兵，政策方向不明增加市场不确定性。
- G7可能联合行动确保能源供应，但成员国协调和具体措施待观察。
- 欧盟加速天然气储备以应对冬季需求，能源安全成为优先事项。
- 伊朗坚持对抗立场，外交对话前景渺茫，可能继续军事报复。
- 北约需修复内部裂痕，否则联盟有效性将受质疑。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 石油供应中断 / 全球通胀上升 / 央行政策收紧
地缘紧张加剧 / 避险情绪上升 / 黄金和美元上涨 / 股市承压
能源价格飙升 / 企业成本增加 / 经济增长放缓 / 风险资产抛售
北约内部分裂 / 全球安全不确定性 / 避险资产需求 / 市场波动增加
来源
Google News - World / DW (Deutsche Welle) [rss.dw.com] / RT News / Al Jazeera Middle East / Deutsche Welle German News / The New York Times / Ukrinform
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxOenB5SlRRNUV6NHphaFY0R0lraWlzNVVJMTU5UVRlZGlGZnJMTnRuQkthQTljUkZ5ZDRxbDNJanJ2Y19LWUJqdjV2WXUxdXpoc09HcTU4NmZhS1dqc2ZnTlFiaFBjanRmZlNoZzlybjJKNGxQVHRCOHdXWHNkdUFyUGdDenkteUF0dXgtM24xcnBTd0NZZnY5RVJmXzIzN1ZxN2xGNklUNktzMmJMcUhrYtIBtgFBVV95cUxNR1RCUHlVcnJ5R1ptMFBMMWtxa2l2SERnR016ZEJBY0xXZENsSWoxcXowRmVLNTZ6MVg4UjNQR2FfUUlQdXBYWmZFQ2NjdUZ2WmFEaUdGSjJYSng3SGRiN3JYSFdvMHhvMjJOdGQ3YXhNcEo1SzBsbDFZZ3pNOUlUTVViQ1J3WFlPTjZ6ZWg4UVBTRFRZWTVVSFdxWXh4amVMMWx
- [2] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-natanz-nuclear-facility-hit-by-us-israel-tehran/live-76462692?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [3] https://www.rt.com/news/635767-iran-war-destroy-nato/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijwFBVV95cUxQVEZnZGJQU0pGcTExb2l3ZWh5SGNLeXJZdGI4eHJneGRxRTVuM05INXEzWWd4V3NNRTNXMnE0b2diQXZCRFNqTGNyVTBLMDhRdU5iakVqRjhSd25VRHVqX05xcDNYVnlkbG9QdkY3TklXa0Z2eVEzSGNBdXktMzh2blRtUU1odzRpS3prV0V2VQ?oc=5
- [5] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/21/saudi-arabia-expels-iran-military-attache-and-four-team-members?traffic_source=rss
- [6] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/21/iran-strikes-towns-near-israels-nuclear-site-in-escalating-tit-for-tat?traffic_source=rss
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihgFBVV95cUxOR2lrdEJGdV9VNWlrWWNzbFJhMlZTbDNPSjFmNzJuODN3MzBodndkd0I0dHZvWDNDRDc5SnYtdDNMVkpRaUJJNEtjc2xzdlBNelBjekNpT2Z4aFktUGRpdmJkQ0VBNGVVQUJDY2ZWZTh2SGRIc2Y5c3dxSXBIVVNFOG1lUHNPUQ?oc=5
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixAFBVV95cUxNYk5oblh1ejY5YnJGbDFTQTUyaXZ2MDV6QUJRU2pPemM4bmJQVWowd0NsT1hxbmRSa1JXX0xKWkhPSVV2T05ySXZJNHJPQ0I1VWdtdlZZQ1JVU19NbjhuMkU5T3JKVWFUZmZZenlBZHlteUtWdm5uc2FMX251dUJRVzZpdU1ETThVVU1ySEg3U2VLeHBraDBVTUNTMFBjejl3NTRrUjZveFBDNGQ2YXM3MGl0VE13cVFsT0xjOWlVeHBXS1Rt?oc=5
- [9] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/21/state-of-emergency-declared-as-iranian-missile-hits-arad-in-southern-israel?traffic_source=rss
- [10] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/21/us-says-it-has-crippled-iranian-threat-in-strait-of-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirwFBVV95cUxOZTBKLU8wNmJnX2wwQmRDQmUwXzFFOGN5a1NFU2NBckQ3ZUV0SWJPNkYzRERhMDVBNHNmWDNWNnZUeFNkRnZEbDd3cG9CN0RlaHJmUVhQc0RRZWFMMWJQV2gxdEZ2bXBXdlBNYXhoQldEcTVMV2EtRXByWlVrbGdYcmZmSzZtMW5iVF9kNnRxWUV3MElMMGFtcFlLYWd6LTgyWVlHYXBuWTB4UzRDMkhV?oc=5
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwgFBVV95cUxNYmRtY3N4SWpBdERQM2sxSk50ZWVsN1Q3ZmstTDdCM0dNM0dsaW80WlliTTAzQ1oyOWdXZEZIek4ta2JQZW9XX3lmTkZhalM5SVFhQ0IwemdETWhLN1k3T3YtOHc1Sm9jSGFHSnNQbVhRdG01bmFKRmR6QnBCV1VoR1NndEhTTWFnekFLWlN4cEJ3ZUZheVVEYmtCRnRKXzhGZ1RwWUt1ZWNUendWRnZaMmRjMDlTYjREaGJrMGZrbHg4QQ?oc=5
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiXEFVX3lxTE9PY0h2QzNpNTdxaGI5eWJ5SE05US1rMEdQX213MGdIeWF6eFB1bFBxQWZUM1RjOEpBQm9NeEpHekpXZmZLWldjMmN1bllEZk5jUktTeWxsb3ZIMXp2?oc=5
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMioAFBVV95cUxORmV1TE01QU9sR19VLVR6aURXTzAtVFV6dk90b3FTOXZtcnZQYkM1bjVheTJBVklNbFhpVE54dDFrT29KWl9FZ1B3a3RqdmJXMkktWVluQzBSMlM1QlhmcXpLSmY5T0M4VFpzWElIeF84MXVsRE1LdFIyMEozVjZmd0w2WDl3MmM5eUZTcExPX2VqOGdDZXlSQ0liLUlwY0JZ?oc=5
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiXEFVX3lxTE1jRGZTUnJBRzJkVGdEbHV6TVlzbU1IS2cyeWt4UjhsUms5QVRWX20ydVVkWVN6aWlzOFdMVVhWT3JOT2sxS2J0aU9FLUVjSDRCRS16MEttQnJydzZL?oc=5
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxOV0ZCVlJKLTM2NFJwX3ZJT1Y1aXNwNW02eXl5dVJvZXU0QnBOM2lHakgyaklXLUVnX0NLVlp2M3FVRHdueEp6TFdUeHVYakI4Rm53Y3V2YVZBU0pVWUtyeWp1S2phNDZlTHNid1lvSG8tSld3S1M3UzZqSTNSMXlrbmxsX0FtMTVVblVLbHR2YTc4YTNUQTk0SXVCYWVzcjAtVnZPMXoyNVBBb0JyeTY0aE1Uck9YQQ?oc=5
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxQMGpleDBJbHI1bVNsXzZGSDZRV0xqV0dnOXV6ZHlMRjRmSFhHMDh0bXJOT3ZoSnJ5NEdzMFY3SFdFeDE1S3VMakhJa2o3aXZoT05zcnpCcXcyQlp3dzVjVElOU0dUdVl5WXo0TUdvRzlLd1pUOUR3YVhCT0ttc2FKUl9NS3FGd2t2MEZtUmdlTUFlejRoYzR0MDRlWnBwakw1UnlheEx5LS1fX005UzhqM0Z2UdIBuAFBVV95cUxNT2FDODNFRkZtSkgxNk5adk93MEI2aTRvdXR3VDZFZkRiYURzN0lRTGdHV2JlRGxWb1liTzVFX3lzLUpaTmJUYnZySmxSbG5rUlBVTmN0aDhzYkY3TXhIdjljd0NvT2dGQWczbXFwMEl1MHBxa1d1bXlxM28ySG8yb0VLU1I4aFZkeGJweHRnR1JRNVlCM3QwYS1Hd1V1bE1
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxQWXNaYUpMSHBaQnM0a2Z2MGlfOUg0RmJMR09TSUE5ODVPQ2pqTG9JVVJBVFJyQ2RZYlgzZEhLRUFOdkpYTWRLc1owYUptMjNfQnFfcmNlankxTWdUbzF3T2hQSHp3bTF3cVlSbW1EVkdsVV9lZlRoc2JRM0t5aGF1SG1ZTW84YS1raUt0WGQwNG44YnBzMGljZEFVWmJkZ9IBowFBVV95cUxOUGY4SXRpMGJyRm5UUVVsU1J5NF9OeWxUWjc3dDFyWDZGUi1OWC1uRERQNWc3RFFNX29WTUtReGwyR2JmdHdZZ0JvSnVpZmZJVVNIRnZOQTl6VFBSaTc1dmo2aWN1bVBaS2gwbEtaaGlXSFU3VUo4VnZUMkVwa3NvTGk2YVpSbm9QQ0VnRENsSnp6TE80SmpaeUVyM2ZPclpnTG53?oc=5
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/21/eu-urges-members-to-start-storing-winter-gas-as-iran-war-causes-price-surge?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://www.rt.com/news/635748-how-far-could-gulf-conflict-spread/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwgFBVV95cUxNVWlPb3NHWEZYUV9FTjBCVndXbFNZVnFyWXRNbHJDU1JnNlRXbmhqb2g1UjR5a2xQcmNIZWJCMHVKelA1YXk5NEFnTmdfakhETnUxUmVhazIxSTNUUmtHTVpJMklkOHdMUEVHZno1cEJ1NGREMTBURTJEOTV2Zy1YYU5YaURjb1RqcEhMYWxiWFJaeWxVZFBIaEhhZ2pxOTREQTR1TmFPRlJoMDBCeWUyWkRoU1Ftd0NGVkY2dlI4dnE4UQ?oc=5
- [22] https://www.dw.com/de/iran-krieg-teheran-sieht-keinen-anlass-zur-diplomatie/a-76449132?maca=de-rss-de-all-1119-rdf
- [23] https://www.dw.com/de/israels-regierungschef-netanjahu-der-iran-wird-dezimiert/a-76447499?maca=de-rss-de-all-1119-rdf
- [24] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/20/us/politics/battle-for-strait-of-hormuz.html
- [25] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/21/business/iran-strait-of-hormuz-oil-us-israel-choke-point.html
- [26] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/21/opinion/iran-war-trump-lying.html
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimAFBVV95cUxQOXk3X1NwMHZYN0w1dmM3eDZkd1FVeDFLM2tsU0V1eGhqdE9RTmpPZ0RKb1NvdlM3VzlON2R3U3RzQU5vbEZHT18xQU0wQkZFZVZPQ05XUW5rS1lsdS1wQWhpaTBoTlZpNzlhYzZzN3R6R2szOHZjd2UtUklKMUNERWJkaTgybkFXbTdXOG1ta1RRQlFOaFU2bg?oc=5
- [28] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/21/uk-says-iran-missile-attack-on-diego-garcia-failed?traffic_source=rss
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixAFBVV95cUxQV2FMRkxCdzFTXzRNTHYyOWhyTXo3TDJ3b3M0MmpRMjRvVlNLRG1FMGNyUFQxRWFoNlRNbDBaYnA2Z1ViRVM4dmZuM043d0FZR3gyUkUzLU10NjdvRE44VU9ST3h5cGdqVmo0ZGdjWHBvcUM3ZmVjaW1WZzMtNVY3aHpFNXQ5Qk84V29vYU1renF6SWdJcTNxSkFGbEs2Zkg5ckwwV0dVc0E4Y3d4Yk5ydVNsZjRPWDVwYTkzQkJ2MHFLRXVX?oc=5
- [30] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4104133-war-update-43-clashes-on-front-line-since-morning-most-intense-fighting-in-huliaipole-sector.html
2026-03-21
2026-03-21
进展要点
- 美国解除部分伊朗石油制裁，旨在增加全球供应以稳定油价
- 美联储关注数据中心推高通胀，可能维持高利率政策
- 七国集团协调释放战略石油储备，应对能源市场波动
- 国际社会呼吁缓和局势，但军事行动持续，政策协调不足
关联路径
中东冲突 / 霍尔木兹海峡封锁 / 全球石油供应中断 / 通胀上升 / 美联储政策收紧
能源设施袭击 / 天然气价格飙升 / 工业成本增加 / 经济增长放缓 / 股市下跌
地缘政治风险 / 避险情绪 / 黄金和美元上涨 / 全球资产配置调整
来源
Prime Minister of Canada - News / France 24 #3 / Global Issues News / RT News / Google News - World / BBC News (Business) / The Hindu / Der Spiegel International
参考链接
- [1] https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/statements/2026/03/19/joint-statement-leaders-canada-united-kingdom-france-germany-italy
- [2] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/la-semaine-de-l-%C3%A9co/20260320-guerre-au-moyen-orient-faut-il-craindre-un-choc-gazier
- [3] https://www.globalissues.org/news/2026/03/20/42592
- [4] https://www.rt.com/news/635536-iran-israel-qatar-war-energy/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiVkFVX3lxTE1aakJWRHJxUEJERGhITlRxS3ViX19sYlltZVl4ZVBLMU93bFJ1Q0k5SWtpWFBUazlHN2x2bU5GdXcxM0dyMU82Qm9tQzhQTnZUVEZtd2xn?oc=5
- [6] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9d415g55nno?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [7] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/trump-says-considering-winding-down-iran-war-but-rules-out-ceasefire/article70767398.ece
- [8] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/iran-news-heute-donald-trump-erwaegt-nach-eigenen-angaben-militaereinsatz-gegen-iran-zurueckzufahren-a-ada3a0c1-bf0d-44a1-a66d-48a23b3223ff
- [9] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/middle-east-crisis-trump-says-us-close-to-meeting-objectives-opposes-ceasefire-with-iran/articleshow/129709333.cms
- [10] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260321000353315
- [11] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/uk-allows-us-to-use-bases-for-strikes-on-iranian-missile-sites/article70767389.ece
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiVEFVX3lxTE02b180dHpSREozbXl6aUtXazlWMWVsX3FRUUQ2ajZBUF8zSk8wUnMyLVBQTXNWbGRSUlNObzNFYjQ3MXdfMTVkZGQ5eExKc19VT3B5RQ?oc=5
- [13] https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/articles/jerome-powell-says-blame-data-135528565.html
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxQbzljM25ZTGhrbUF5R2RCbXF2SEFmS09GRGNoUHBaci1yQUwtVjZ4N1hMWXdEbGFpUnR2a0VEdzlFa3dBODllYlFyMnBtYzE1ZmdVcV9vdUNoX2hPeUZoaFQ4dE4tejhrY2lGRFRUX0NmUXhDaTVzRG9jUFJjVE9QYWZZZHp3Vi05ak1IQml1LXQwTTE3OElXaEppaHBQSWpVT0NRTnRvVGk?oc=5
- [15] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260321/945422910d2849e09b2b921213e0d9f5/c.html
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxOdWxHRGNTTnpjZlUxTS12aU9UalFlaWtfblctTVluZFJlaTFyRU9SWGM0d3FtZVAwTEpQaWhqT09iUWpaLUNSbkt1eXJlVnB3UmRGUlZ5QjZYSEhOTGNGWHZ3TmJMY3UzSk42azZ5dlo1MmhsSnBybnJuNERfbnpNSmNINTFBOTZEb0FUUlFwNk5HTGhFa2xremlnQUNjUlVGS29uVkctZUhJeTVZaVNUQ19kMi0xUWVyeXVscVVRR0x3TktfTGJUbg?oc=5
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxORHZrQk1BTFNOV2h1Y1FDV2pPeV9BeHVvVnZNWTdxOGlpWnBCOFlHQnhtamcyUW1tREd6SzVOSmM4UXZ5UjJXWGFHZ0tSZmNacG9jWlJPanIzTm1ETXBlbHZJMmo4b1lvWnFzd3NmaDJHaGxIZy1MSy02cHQ4bE4zNFJSZVlQOTVTTDNyS2dBTC1uMFZwTHg1OTJvSXpQbEZlTVVGdmdveFhXcHVEdW91bGlPd2FmMWlaU0tZ?oc=5
- [18] https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2026/03/19/declaration-conjointe-des-dirigeants-de-lallemagne-de-la-france-de-litalie-du-japon-des-pays-bas-et-du-royaume-uni-sur-le-detroit-dormuz
- [19] https://jatim.antaranews.com/berita/1048858/irgc-iran-nyatakan-juru-bicaranya-tewas-dalam-serangan-as-israel
- [20] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/ran-threatens-global-tourist-sites-as-us-boosts-forces-amid-escalating-war/article70766856.ece
- [21] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/iran-israel-war-usa-west-asia-trump-netanyahu-live-updates-march-20-2026/article70764069.ece
- [22] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/uk/uk-authorises-us-to-use-british-bases-for-strikes-iran-missile-sites-targeting-ships-in-strait-of-hormuz-/articleshow/129708297.cms
- [23] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260320011500315
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/20/military-movements-indicate-trump-is-considering-iran-ground-operation?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/the-take-2/2026/3/20/aje-onl-aj_tt_irn_whatdoeseudo_av_v2-200326?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4103929-russian-forces-intensify-pressure-across-multiple-frontlines-as-weather-shifts-syrskyi.html
- [27] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c36rny6xgppo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [28] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqgFBVV95cUxPSnQ0UDZwS2cyZlZwNFoyVF8teHlLb0Ywekt0TlQxdnFFeXVDRG44THZJMHltMGFSa3dGV1JVc3Y1SlJVUm4tM25RWVM4SDNmcXByZkZidTkwcmpaZEx1Y2R5NzRXU2lPZnhSQkVYUDhva3Q4X3Myc3p2Tl9PNGdNOHJoa25kQ3NyUlVKSWg0Q2ZZaEN1Mzd1dkFlaXg4cVQ0LVdSeDNTX0JZd9IBrwFBVV95cUxOU3VyWWdnczEwTGhoUkJGU21DNUQzVnlCelhSbV83MlQzR3NzYVlpYTQ5UmRzcXd4VTB1QUtjd1NDUldEVEc3akhFVzBCdDZCS1pqbHROMmFKVnBDOGp3eURMcUxTajNxcFRyNjh6Ynlrd2hRbGQ2cWxNci1wbE53SWI0bkVBYTNPRVRFRm9MODFXNnNCWlUxMVhJLVZ6UzZJcWdTRFVkQVJ
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi3AFBVV95cUxOSTQyRFM1dE03MXExaXc0LUJRcEdMTlhJSXFIbTRwSVdKcGVkbVJmUXdzQ2FELTJydXVKVXNhV1RIdXdhdkpac2lJeWl4VGNsXzV1dHMyMHpEMmdrbkVLQXByZG5PRlB4UjZ4UkhieGhmZ0tzdXdJTGxUNXJERXlBQUN2dVFXR3ItNTFnMEktdzZuOUQ4ZTRRMDcwcXNxZkJkTndjbWdzd2doVnNkTm9fbFFpR25QSzA2ZDFGVmRMNjhzbkxZVTM1TUI4M21NaVVPM1lKVUJIQ091VHZz0gHiAUFVX3lxTE4wSkFiaXg0MVFmOGh1MEN6b0N5V1FSZUVqb0FiUzNtZy1Qa3dRT3VHaFNqNzRRYUt4aUE0ckU2S0kzQXlhZWtxZXAzN1R6eFBBTEJPYlhYS0R3UlpTV0pqb1hFT0hiMWxDRld4cG5BQ3Jab0EyYnR
2026-03-20
2026-03-20
进展要点
- 美国财政与军事政策矛盾：财政部拟放松伊朗石油制裁以稳油价，而国防部寻求巨额战争拨款，两者效果可能相互抵消，增加政策不确定性。
- 美国国会成关键变量：2000亿美元战争拨款请求面临共和党内部分歧，通过与否及规模将影响战争持久力和财政前景。
- 欧洲坚持独立外交与多边主义：预计将继续与美国的中东激进政策保持距离，并寻求稳定自身能源供应的替代方案。
- 全球央行陷入两难：能源价格上涨推高通胀，但地缘风险压制增长，主要央行（Fed, ECB）可能延长观望期，而部分新兴市场央行（如菲律宾）已开启降息周期。
- 能源干预工具待命：美国释放战略石油储备（SPR）的可能性上升，成为平抑油价的潜在政策工具。
关联路径
中东能源设施遇袭 / 油气供应物理中断 / 能源价格飙升 / 全球通胀预期升温 / 央行政策更趋谨慎 / 增长预期下调
美国政策分化（增兵 vs. 松绑制裁） / 能源供应前景不确定性增加 / 油价波动率上升 / 通胀与增长预期模糊 / 资产定价混乱
美元指数大幅走弱 / 资金流向非美资产 / 欧元、英镑等货币升值，新兴市场资本流入压力减轻 / 全球风险情绪局部回暖
地缘冲突升级 / 传统避险资产（黄金、美债、美元）与战争相关资产（能源、国防股）获得资金关注 / 市场内部轮动加速
来源
Xinhua Finance / Sky News / RT News / Google News - World / BBC News (Top) / Al Jazeera Middle East / ECB Press Releases / Nikkei Asia
参考链接
- [1] https://news.sky.com/story/iran-war-last-24-hours-show-a-prolonged-conflict-could-do-calamitous-damage-to-global-economy-13521949
- [2] https://www.rt.com/news/635540-israel-iran-chain-reaction/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinwFBVV95cUxPWmJURWNuNE1qQXlDVW9CZ1VsdXg5bFFDazhKdTczM2FNcS1BRzB4YTNSbVcydkZQWFJ6OEZlMk5EbzFzVnpOUlNDVnZQd2hVc053d1QtR2pBUHBPbl8xNzVNVnBtWEdtVFc2RnZldlVvUGU3Z0NUY2QzU1Z6TEd1c0tDUWNhOGlDSExHQ25ydUZSMmloYncyVF9HMWRLYTTSAaQBQVVfeXFMT185TFFjVUItV29qMHhGRmlSRWpMaU9oVzV6RHgzYk0ycjJLZFBHNlRITXhQbWlzdFBNZ2p2MW9BaWJsekJxRHhvTWVPYmRwdWhhTk9lUXh4WDBOZXFtajhuRjN5QWRZNE5OMHhUWndXa3lZQ1BxZFBwbXR2bXhUWndzQ1ZLa1cwRjlydzBHWTFERjExeUs2bTFySzYxd0w4VmhZTVU?oc=5
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE1wM0VKYWFMRnNkN3VCZkwwU0RqdUJadHhzTnVpeEdwaFFBUENvcWlEb0dFTTFmWXQxZDBnMmFXcFN4SjJuMzlfUGt5QkhBNjctRWFQb2lDZjJKZXluVWhhT0lMSkEtRzIxRnRrcXAzNE5nU19MQXVIdw?oc=5
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihwFBVV95cUxNVFZrODBQekpaMWh5Z1ZGbmlGcjZwNUxzb3BQOTlmQlpIVmgzeHZmZFRTUjk5QldEbDVDakZjZWV1aVEzOThxVjc5cjVsaWl6cFNPRmZBa0o0eEVSU21kcHNISkJqUS1ZNGVibkJZUTJzdzVNYy1lZ2FwZ1JkN3Vlb1JKcWVobzQ?oc=5
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxQSW95TzhWVVJJWG50bTRTME5QRHJqeTM5TW95ZXhHTGJwQW9mY25FaXJCUVhpb1ltc0NkX0U0OWV2Z3lVSkxfN3lha1JLNjRFQ1NfQ19MUTBQRENKdFVNbDNZNkd3VGlQcXhFXy1MWmVaaUt4Uk1kY2hzUXRMb1d4WHh1cFdyZmgxbmg1XzBvNkd0VFJ1VlhLQ0VDdjY2RFBxaVlIYlhqZktHODR6WUhGeA?oc=5
- [7] https://www.rt.com/news/635572-invasion-incoming-lebanon-braces/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [8] https://www.rt.com/news/635565-eu-energy-tsunami-dmitriev/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [9] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c2k3jgy9vq3o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [10] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxOak42eXk0ZnZVMURLQUp6N29pWFp4LTFydHpLQ21XUTNMOUI2LWdiXzRKUGpjS0hlZ2NhZ1VBb0N1M0o2cXpzcllFTTRPUy0yalZRbTl5aUJrZGFkTmFLSXdRSmZFdy1TelUzOXRobmFVbnQ1TEJlaFIwZURrTjVJMWw2eXgwVmFKN3hVNWhiQm5JbjNqRUdqcDUwRjFJTkFBMUU4UXA1Y0VwaGpRdzZVUjFQbw?oc=5
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxOZm05M1lGcFZGVEVReFcyb3pUWjlEdjRhVHNEeHJYNGhMSHh2b0JLVVZ3eGFzdFNRcWFxekR0clBLNVlYRjl3VFNLYTZ3ZEZNRkwxcUdOamdTU1UzWGVQVXJ2SVBCYTJabmFfdEowZkk5SGotUzUzT0lPV0NSQTN4eUpNclg3QnNpQVpZ?oc=5
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/19/netanyahu-says-irans-uranium-enrichment-abilities-destroyed?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.ecb.europa.eu//press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/2026/html/ecb.is260319~93b1cbad97.en.html
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivgFBVV95cUxOY3NCMFFRSk1hc1p3enhncl9PTEFaNk5CVzh6MUdONFhWajhyX1oxUmlPT2I0akNjM2hYeHQzQ2NEdTlaZm5EVkxSdEQ0RnlpOE9TRG4yZkhpNTUzRWlFdUcwa3IzdGhZeGsya0FqTWN5X2ZUV0JlQ3l2Sm9RQTk0RXN1YUZqRWJob0wyS0hIOXpzdWxHMm1yRUJvWHA4d1dWMFp3MjV2cWhkNEdDVEpmTFRoaVJ6UHdfRHBKTEdB?oc=5
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/19/how-will-israels-decades-long-assassination-policy-continue?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260320/aa83628e1d4b4717abc8aeb37835e488/c.html
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxOd2Y1WG9fV0tUOExiVW44aHZJS1pKeHZxXzA4TE1kUFdHOHN2YVpnXzFWdFEwSmZQMElYV2FHaHYyUy0zcklRLXRMN2oxTFZ6UThXdnZHTWI3Z0tfdHNtUW41RUxfUVFnbXdlTVhzNkREWC1wSDFiRDBCWHFvRzh4T195Y0FTR1pUTEhOSmJucTNKNWxYRER1NWdyZW84MVB2S1NTRnhzSFZGUkQ2N3A5QdIBtgFBVV95cUxOZDBjWTNKZ2pMMmdmd1dJVm9GbkR2ZDVFQkxBSDA4SXpQODVMNnM5M2trRV83N1luZFJXTXBlNUU3Nml3SDhub0xWQkRvaUlmMVNJTlJ3UHNPcG9WdjNLbUxKWWdaaGpLSTRibXpQNlBNX0JrcFpINDhGS1NBWG1fR0ZKUGtiNkxjUTZlTGw2eWRZMDJjZ2ZpNzRPcVc5cHViU3I
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxQUGZKYzlydEdoTGdkSkRqbzg1RU91VzdKY05qdGVPa05CcnlWdGtYS2I1Y0hhZkRUWlZIdlBKNlctaHYwNVJzellDX2t0cTZHNkFMTklvS2Q0d2xkQ3N0MjFPN1hKamczZGdwU09RY2FtSy04bm1OM3JTMk51YTdJZWFNUDRxdmJNWHpkOUlHdlFwZVVUZlN0ajdvZEZ3NzFlclg2NW9tbHJ0V3lkc1HSAbMBQVVfeXFMTlpBU1JtbG5EM0tmTXprTloxZW1vRXN3d1dHcHYtUDVManJFS09abUpjS2dONzY0SlJBS21fcjBmdU1kYzc0d0NhaHp5NzBBbkdkTWYyWHhmOHk5M1dhdUZDT0JiWVRDQzhQby1jUVJhM3ZnalBjZHNHT3VNX0l2bXpqNmw0cjZzNTJKTmNEZVJBeHpiczF0YnZYcHY0NnRzSXhGbmR
- [19] https://asia.nikkei.com/politics/international-relations/trump-invokes-pearl-harbor-to-defend-surprise-attack-on-iran
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiZ0FVX3lxTFA1REoyQjZ2WDdyZVdTeVZsVTN1TTZfUE5wdi14QVZyU3RyblAzLWkwNXdibjNVaDZpa3BSOWxBZ3I0MzdRUGp5Z0N1ZWF4YjktZVBkODhvalNTUkRYTWxQMzM0Njlxd2s?oc=5
- [21] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9d415g55nno?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [22] https://www.rt.com/news/635548-who-nuclear-catastrophe-iran-us-israeli-strikes/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [23] https://www.rt.com/news/635550-us-help-ending-unlawful/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [24] https://www.rt.com/news/635571-saudi-arabia-threatens-military-action/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/19/smoke-rises-after-iranian-missile-attack-on-israel-oil-refinery-in-haifa?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/19/irans-strike-on-qatar-gas-facility-will-reduce-supply-for-3-to-5-years?traffic_source=rss
- [27] https://unric.org/fr/onu-et-la-guerre-en-ukraine-les-principales-informations
- [28] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/03/df75ca68d5a7da27.html
- [29] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/03/b4a912bebbbbdbf0.html
- [30] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-gulf-states-debate-us-bases-military-alliance/a-76414229?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
2026-03-19
2026-03-19
进展要点
- 美联储维持利率不变，未来决策将依赖通胀和就业数据，中东局势增加不确定性。
- 美国放宽委内瑞拉石油制裁以增加全球供应，应对中东冲突带来的油价压力。
- 加拿大央行维持政策利率在2.25%不变，区域货币政策保持稳定。
- 中东冲突可能迫使各国调整外交和能源政策，包括国际协调和制裁措施。
- 美联储提及中东局势对经济影响不确定，可能影响未来政策沟通。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 石油供应中断 / 油价上涨 / 全球通胀压力
美联储利率不变 / 市场预期兑现 / 美元稳定和全球资产重新定价
避险情绪升温 / 黄金和美元需求增加 / 股市和风险资产承压
地缘政治风险 / 区域安全担忧 / 避险资本流动影响新兴市场
来源
China News Service / Xinhua Finance / Fed / Google News - World / Bank of Canada Press / RT News / Al Jazeera Middle East / JETRO Business News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260318a.htm
- [2] https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260318b.htm
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipAFBVV95cUxNR3J4NDFISFF6T0kzdlJHRVk2OXBLYzBLOU5vd2Vnd0E4aVJ4UFlnbDVWVk95VVg1RkotVnpfRHp3ZTR0NlBaeHRLQkJmN2E1b1hJUWtoOFVPNVZSa2wzTC1HOTZsVXQ4RlhvZjJpSEU1UUxzcjFwdzE1YzdYckU3MkZCVUhCZUcwRVJRZkJYRm1wMDkyRkt0WHRXbHU1RE8wcTJPRQ?oc=5
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE1tVnlOakNMOWNBeHY4ZEZ2YUNJcm1fa0lwYUp2enhhMk42LVU1YTdVN1Fkc3VRUzJrQ25iTE1BWW83X3g0TzBXMkRycTdNcmUtcU55SEhOX3A0T1gyZ1liQ1hfUnNOWS1JLU1hd0RQa3g1SUpMUG43Ug?oc=5
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihgFBVV95cUxPVHE4X3NRdDRKd0g0Nnk5ZHB6WlFRdno4WmxLaEllMzQwM2R5aEozYzhXbFAwOHNYOVNyYmpidTc5WTlxdnNUWkdUS3ZNdUdmMGxYMVdjSnl4ZXpEZFQyTlJPSnAwU1RQOXQ5SWtlNjVVNEZFNS1vM3hvMGVvemhteUwwdGlWQQ?oc=5
- [6] https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2026/03/opening-statement-2026-03-18
- [7] https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2026/03/fad-press-release-2026-03-18
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiVkFVX3lxTE02WGtUSTZvd0JlblNhWEZSOWhnb25vOGduUnZNdXM2NlFoVzJjcjRZa0lyU3NxX0FvTmxNRjc5d1h6Z01wYnZkQmREUVl2RmNZclhVd1N3?oc=5
- [9] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-19/10589119.shtml
- [10] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-19/10589120.shtml
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxPMjVEUTJYMC1BVTVmVHlzdWcwRFZYMy1jbjByTHVuNUNEbVoyTzBweGNKTkhLM25WMTl2OHZaNXdEOHZQaFF2bTR0OGV2RFRxbTVNUjNoTFdnYnowcDlrRnFjbXZKS1RnN21FRUxPczhQUXE5b01QNTkzSXJRdzBpMlZkMzY1VVEzRE03X3J6a0FZaThfb3d4RG5vY003Zw?oc=5
- [12] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260319/e04604ffe1ac44368326e7851d83b5c9/c.html
- [13] https://www.rt.com/news/635458-qatar-iran-israel-gas-field/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/18/us-fed-keeps-interest-rates-steady-amid-economic-geopolitical-uncertainty?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxNRmVjTnI1V3hDTXFoeDg2b3N2dXFHN2RNSS0zMmpjSHEtZm1uMVNtc2dzeXpXcHZZS0sycllGcVRuVVE5Si1vS2JFV0JnbXJGbVhUT3k5dU9XeUlLNklUbC1JQmlOUWdSUms4eWxHVVlhM0x5WEJuRVVaODdoNmVmcE9PUURyODZfTXI5ZFh0RDk2MzQzcVlGdG00THh6WjNESWFv?oc=5
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/18/oil-prices-surge-after-israeli-strike-on-iran-gasfield-irans-threats?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/18/israel-attacks-irans-major-gas-field-in-new-escalation?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/18/qatar-says-iran-missile-attack-sparks-fire-causes-damage-at-gas-facility?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE5lc3FVRHNRZUVLakw3bUdsamVoWi16ejB4UHM2STgxQ2ZRcy1BcGFSQk1aUF96cWRuN1Rpa2wwcjVSSlBKMmxuTjRqQUZ0WnJleHNENHg1SnRudw?oc=5
- [20] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260319/c4c0f387210b408aa707a72cdffef069/c.html
- [21] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/03/84180bbbcd7e8151.html
- [22] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c36364d06x3o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [23] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260319/4d2a6afdb40a47df8b989ac5bd9813be/c.html
- [24] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c2d1dz14k51o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinAFBVV95cUxPYV83RFlCb19LTWxsUnRHQ09lYmloQWthRHNMX0wzbWNpbU4xVFZEOGdUaDJWcFVlNjFDQXlyMHpuS2RCNnJpbk1lQS02bE9KZDlnNjdkZzNjc3E2aHdNLUtFd3pOT0dfQmZ2WjFOelRyODYwT1lKaHVEcUE1aVp5U0I3N2lQOEZ6b0JrcHhYY1lHNDZHa3hPLWdCdEg?oc=5
- [26] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxNbV9scnVOenFHVWJFYWdZYTFrTWVHM2lPLXdQRGF3azFrTFNJVVUwYXFCYk5lUk9oWi1wSTY0dVFFeHBhRHltc2ItemNZeXByS1A5TTFoRWdYR20weUhaZi13OWszX1ZKdi1oZ0VsNUd4UWM5RHNyYXBnRnNnVjlwMlVIRzU4ZG1UZ3VpVGhiclFhQy1oak01OVE4cDA3STRod2taQnkySQ?oc=5
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxPWWZCT3pudllWSmc2Ukd6ZVNvQVhNaUhfS2RzMXlnLU1KVUxNeXRLQzFacWNaTVJBQ2liRXFIaHJwWjJrWV95WDB4Z3NzUUlLYWZYY3d3WENRZno5cWhoVDJyb2tOTmh6Y2dpRGFQU2EtOEVPNUJYekdMWHJGeW1LVk9YYUJKd2Nm?oc=5
- [28] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-iranian-intelligence-minister-killed-by-airstrike/live-76402968?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [29] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260319001319INl
- [30] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260319000114lZ5
2026-03-18
2026-03-18
进展要点
- 美国可能采取单边军事行动保障霍尔木兹海峡，但面临战略风险和盟友反对。
- 欧洲推动外交解决方案，避免直接军事介入，侧重与伊朗谈判重开海峡。
- 国际能源署持续释放战略石油储备，但每日仅100-200万桶，难以对冲结构性供应减少。
- 韩国考虑快速编制补充预算和宪法修订，以应对能源冲击和经济不确定性。
- 美联储鹰派预期因通胀压力持续，美国个人消费支出数据显示防御性消费者态度。
- 全球央行可能因油价上涨而收紧货币政策，加剧经济放缓风险。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡受阻 / 石油供应中断 / 全球通胀飙升
美欧联盟紧张 / 全球安全不确定性 / 避险资产需求增加 / 黄金和美元走强
石油价格上涨 / 消费国经济放缓 / 货币政策收紧 / 股市承压
地缘风险升级 / 市场波动加剧 / 资本流动变化 / 新兴市场货币贬值
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / Yonhap News TV / DW (Deutsche Welle) [rss.dw.com] / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / JETRO Business News / RT News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260317215555sNj
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20260317/2164557d89594613a56d64d4fdd26f58/c.html
- [3] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-nato-making-mistake-on-hormuz-trump-says/live-76387955?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqgFBVV95cUxQdUZpanFtQVFoMUo0RzVkazYxSjBackI3eWhlM21kQ0IzbG03RkxFa2UzUzYxRGJmN3dWSGlTZ0ZucldxaHlKanNaV3MyQ3RRaUhQMjdGT0xOQ0JVdFJuQzM4RS0tM0Y5MDBFUXhDa1VQemt0SWdUR05jOGJPN2RCWnJZcnkyNGFuMmhvc3NUNU42dkxJVDl4aHhmaElyZWRWUW9UbnZYV29OQQ?oc=5
- [5] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-18/10588466.shtml
- [6] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-18/10588451.shtml
- [7] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-18/10588470.shtml
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMioAFBVV95cUxOQVYwc3g1SHBTQUFKYTFtRjJKTDJXcThDbF93bUl2VC1yLUU2RS0teTdUUGpQV1I4S05YWHVyOWlicm9rS3MwV081LWlEQUt6blN4OGRZczBCNlFlOTVPZ3c4akNBcmFrSHBIMGNZV2k0emUxcmlhaWtZZW5BM2FWeHlvXzJfWFVtNUR3UUI5cVhubDRLVUdxaWJTVkNqY2l0?oc=5
- [9] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimwFBVV95cUxQc1RpU1hvdmJZaC1NNE02TlBBUE5uNFFndUJ4MmxlREZCZkhEOHY2aTkxTEota05ScXZ4ZXU1M3BscVUyNTJ4VnZJTVNYM1JHT3p0eUdTUGRsRmUtMlEyRzFPcTB1bEQ2QzlXOVhVVWVhQldBTEdIYk1OQ0hjMmtkbEp6MWcyaExoWDBEd0RiTEFNZU5uaG83alIwMNIBoAFBVV95cUxQRDFlVTY5TGtrN2lWSVFWdGhmY2FRcWZmS21mTm5xYnozZE8xQmVzNl95RXRBUjZuS29BdTQ4eGpKU1lPejBsNjMxdWFXSGEycUMya21WN24xUEYxN1c4YmZudURUUV9sLW5XN0VIYkV1eE03bXgtNm1fRDBRUjVQajlPUlRTbW1ZWUZoZno2cDVKT214cmw2UV9CWTZTMjAx?oc=5
- [10] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260318080325mSr
- [11] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260318073426Hym
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/17/trump-says-us-does-not-need-strait-of-hormuz-help-despite-appeal?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/17/iraqi-capital-baghdad-rocked-by-powerful-blasts-near-us-embassy?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE5tREFqY2plYjg1dUhxaDg4Yk1wV0YwMElCdGlkY0pzT0sydV9CQzNTWDllaWZEc0ZHMzVwbVp6Wk5MdjczXzZSUk85aUtvUExUNW9KWHZJQjBKUQ?oc=5
- [15] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/03/4302adf7471c2579.html
- [16] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/03/f4a871322e6de0b7.html
- [17] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/03/c81778311ad21c48.html
- [18] https://www.rt.com/news/635334-us-counterterrorism-chief-resign-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi6AFBVV95cUxQTDRXZmp2NV93VjdiNXFHX1hVT3RUOVZZaENaX2g2NmNGOFFTeDZFb3ZYdnVrQjE0YmdtaTZxc0JJQ2l4UzFFQTh5a2UwTm5xd0hOZDJfZzJWdS1MUjZkNVM0OTU3cm1OQnozUGc2WU5BakhCVVBzUkZGMEQyOU5JeV9nYm44V0hNeDZzUmtMSHQxZVVvZlA5OUlFVE5qYkd3dDVJRXRCR3o1ME5rSDlLOEwzX1V2QUJGYlJncFZDZWt6cXJKX0hMbUczV1V1b0hMRElIU0RHemxEU205YU5sbDZza2lwamQ2?oc=5
- [20] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/iran-news-am-17-maerz-israel-verkuendet-toetung-von-ali-larijani-a-148e4932-3432-49aa-af78-69f4531254d0
- [21] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c24deezq6meo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwgFBVV95cUxQdlhXdlMwTi03LVJFYktIVVRRMUI0QWpGcFdUQkMtYmY3eFBEU1cxT1YtblNDcy1FNGFQLWFzZ3V2N1N4b214LXcwNFQ0b0trNkpDWXY1M29oWUdSR2wxYVRFQ1VjZ0NyZTJFRDJ5T2ZGSU5YM3hSNm5GbWlMV2E4bDRMcEptSzJSLXlxUDV0Tm02N2tOQ1ptWVA3LW1ULTg3akZ3MktlN19FWlZKMjFUQmNjaTM3Mnh5cUNLbFg2b3JWQQ?oc=5
- [23] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5481950/inggris-susun-rencana-bangun-gugus-tugas-untuk-buka-selat-hormuz
- [24] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikwFBVV95cUxNRDBZNlFoSEdzZVBFaWRZcmh0QTZuZU5wOXhkR0RpYl9XRlRCczFpNnhqNWJTaHczR3J1d2ZWZy1OM0pOTDAzT2Q4VE1Ub0s0eEg0d0o5U0ZXVlB5SFpuM1k0LVMxajVDRE0xSjlzTWFTM3lRNFZacVQ4YTJjTGREOGxHa1NMOXAwRGdzRGdrVWdsclU?oc=5
- [25] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-17/10588412.shtml
- [26] https://www.rt.com/news/635309-strait-hormuz-iran-us/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [27] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260317214541PMn
- [28] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260317212732Gsb
- [29] https://www.news.cn/world/20260317/2e85c70d1e3f4e53a76f31f0fd6bfb22/c.html
- [30] https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2026/3/17/the-us-israel-war-on-iran-is-shaped-by-religion-as-much-as-strategy?traffic_source=rss
2026-03-17
2026-03-17
进展要点
- 美国可能继续施压盟友参与霍尔木兹海峡护航，但多国拒绝，转向外交压力。
- 中国维持稳健经济政策，支持增长和全球供应链稳定。
- 欧洲寻求外交解决霍尔木兹问题，排除军事行动，关注能源安全。
- 伊朗可能寻求谈判或报复行动，领导层危机加剧不确定性。
关联路径
中东冲突 / 霍尔木兹海峡关闭 / 石油供应中断 / 全球通胀上升
油价下跌 / 通胀预期缓解 / 风险资产上涨
中美贸易磋商 / 全球供应链稳定 / 风险情绪改善
中国经济强劲 / 全球需求支撑 / 大宗商品和股市受益
来源
China News Service / Xinhua Finance / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / ABC News / Yahoo News - World / The New York Times / Yonhap News TV
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiogFBVV95cUxQdWh6X3pJTzBFT1lrSTRtcU11Tnlza0RJcjRuU290SlFORDUwU25jbW9yRDJfNzgxdy16c0VkNE9FNE8xSzUzLU52UG5SbmJNR2hyeFQyUVpYMnBlQm1FMjhTUGZoZ1JuUlNSTFdLRkZYOHA0TXYwSm40RjBSNzVlUGJlak9uV0xHaHRjd2hFRS1BaU1BRTB0WGJNOVQ4ME1nQ0HSAacBQVVfeXFMT09HU2M2SDhRbkJNZnQ5bEtfRkxLa1ZMWjY2Nl9taWZNV3pfNVpqOEZQWEZncS1LRVc1UlZkNHczQ05TNHRaZzQ0YjFvNlZFTXhJTkM3SFViUmN1UUgycGdRNVlsOTJPamluRjJtWEZ0RnBUajkyOTBkVnlfMXEtZ2tUbmp6dWhRbXpkU0JJWDJLdWdLdWM2WmNwS1V3Z3k0ZkoyWUVhdXc?oc=5
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/16/civilians-pulled-from-rubble-after-us-israeli-strikes-on-tehran?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://abcnews.com/International/live-updates/iran-live-updates/?id=131108492
- [4] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/exclusive-uae-crude-output-falls-142513245.html
- [5] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-17/10587900.shtml
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxPQ0ZvaGZWQVNDMFIzMXI5NUhpMklaekpDc2hQdmtBT2JPcmU3ajB1NGdRR3R3NEVRc1BFQzNmZXh6RGNjaDVFc3pHYTFTNDJfRHg4OVdxdEFkOUZHMXlrNjZrdC1aZnFEX0xsdlFxRVU3RzlGVm1YTU5UMnF5MVB5Q0lmWHNJMWlU?oc=5
- [7] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/17/iran-war-live-trump-scolds-allies-for-not-joining-strait-of-hormuz-mission?traffic_source=rss
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipgFBVV95cUxNTnpRQ3lnb1I5aVoxZWdGWFZNQ0pHUjR6TzhRSFNkWTdwQlJhV0g3clJuUzgtYlVYOFRLVkU5dkZpLVNYM3ZRVjlqWUtSaUxVbFNsSE9QcldwcllnTTVQSEFkc2lxVkZaQm00TGlhWTk0aWc3Z2ttb2F2RURjSHZ3TGZaWFN1V3FOcy1jeWpsMkxod2EyZnZxbVBvcEJqRjhHUGYwSWt3?oc=5
- [9] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260317/02bbfec081c846b680c3488a1237b614/c.html
- [10] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/16/us/politics/trump-operation-epic-fury-anger.html
- [11] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260317075910BRH
- [12] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260317075936Fc3
- [13] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-17/10587873.shtml
- [14] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gn/2026/03-17/10587870.shtml
- [15] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-17/10587875.shtml
- [16] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-17/10587872.shtml
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiugFBVV95cUxNNWpWbzhtaHpYdUl3VmRyYmJzN0ZmSzhYV28xelo1OHpvOXRUYTR3aHVPbzdVNkFoMlNxRVo0alNHaE1zSm00ZXB2Ty1MSHExTklLMFVZTVo5LVljYmlBMFpWS0VfRi1sNzB4UVJaMlMyNVpDa2lPNkFrRUFJazBJUXJrdC1VRmozWXBQMTdFWmZpWVpiNWZoQS1QVXFqQWJHQk5xSjFuMWRRR05pdXd3OXotUmdaRGhGR2c?oc=5
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/16/trump-claims-strikes-on-iran-prevented-nuclear-war?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxOcXpYNzBzOFFQejJnR1hBandJdzVtMjk1NU9qMG5IWk80NHZrODBqN3V5dHJRSUYwSU5RRDNITmh5dXpuXzQyWU9jaS1zVUExXzNuSzUwYXpYVzc4Rk81bGhqU3liYU51WWI1MG1fbU9LX2lkTXBFb09wRUpxa25nTHIxMzViQkg1WDhTUVNiOGZkWms4NGRHck9QT2xKcjdvR3k1SDAwVUJ0VUE4V0Ffb0N3?oc=5
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/16/trump-seeks-to-delay-meeting-with-chinas-xi-by-month-or-so-amid-iran-war?traffic_source=rss
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwFBVV95cUxOMlRvSmdFeGxqMHZLY2NyZjI0cWc1UlEyTUNaRTR4WjlBWC1nVnNTRXVpQjhJWE9aWDUtWlUzTDZKMnp3WlZoOHByNmoycFczbldhWlFHNmp3S1VwNW9NN0EyeTRSQzliZkVuVjBleVhIUlc1dXNYanlCVHRMcTRpSE16dngzeWdPenpGeUk4T29Ma1JJaFpR?oc=5
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMioAFBVV95cUxOM3NSSUFQSGc4THo3NHVTMWNSRkpoMnpnLXNvTk4yYlBrSXpydG0wY3k4NkdBMk40ZEpYaXRoQmtrTUFRTkVvdlFHQjd6aV9LMExGRFRGZENxQ1dFU1ItWm0tYTIyVndhcjVqSjFQVkFOUVhOeFEyRVpoQk9QdTVHRzFzLTBTaXJEbnR2Tnh2YVF2ZnF1SzZkRVRsYVRNeUt40gGmAUFVX3lxTFA2bTZUU0RVZUpCU2VzZlVCM0h2czluN2puTnJRZHltRURRMVFDZ09zZ1hHcDQ5ZlF1bXIzTzNicE1ybVNETzJOWDJKRW1oZ2ttNUZHc2NwVlZaYUpRUTFiTXRSSEMzbHVacGFZeXgwTTRmQnJPamdrMUxRbUo1UjNSNFNaSE1DTElhU1VIMVJyZzBxYXJRNlVoV1pSZDZadHlLTFk0b2c?oc=5
- [23] https://www.rt.com/news/635249-trump-world-demand-iran-hormuz/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [24] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260317/abeeed7f095443298ab1350ba00a80b7/c.html
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/16/how-big-of-a-problem-is-the-strait-of-hormuz-for-donald-trump?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxPWm9rX1NfdUFFZ1dZTXhqMGRyZER4ZFp5eXZwV0gwT3p4MEJPR2VQYTJrV18wWjdRMjBiVU5PMkJkUW16NTNnS201dlRBQVJSZjV6eWJhVFdkc2hWOWZyLTFlWmwwX1pPbmVsNDhLQ2duamxDeTZtZmtjUmtlSE5VODVhazFaYkgtcVJ2dzVRdWREaFpkQl91Yi11TFUzQk9TQkR3UjN4eXl6VG1vQVc1Vzg0blRnVFBJQ2RwSmM2OHBRYWZIUVE3TtIBzgFBVV95cUxOTFpwZ2hfM1Vaa01zcC1idm5uaVkza05RTldvdlJzTk04SW56TGFyUXpiRHJmb2xRc0xkUkhkbksxUzN4U1pXZElUS1NidHcxMDM1OGdUblJTSzJVMzI3NDdidDdkbmZmNDBnWk9fNnlqOVhyaDYtdkJ4UUJNbDJSaVREcy1EWks1WHR
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiS0FVX3lxTFBmUWNHLXBpdldRMVE1S0ozRUpZTEk5TzNHRTlXbURfTnlBOHdQV1l6d3dHMm1mTnJxaUJGQUNKZm1UMV9ETTRaRXpRaw?oc=5
- [28] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/16/israeli-forces-in-southern-lebanon-as-ground-operation-announced?traffic_source=rss
- [29] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/16/trump-says-hormuz-strait-help-on-the-way-as-allies-reject-military-action?traffic_source=rss
- [30] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/16/world/europe/europe-iran-war-trump-hormuz-warships.html
2026-03-16
2026-03-16
进展要点
- IEA石油储备释放执行情况将关键影响短期油价，亚洲立即开始释放可能缓解供应压力。
- 美国可能进一步评估攻击伊朗石油设施的选项，取决于伊朗在霍尔木兹海峡的行为。
- 美中贸易谈判焦点在月底峰会，关注关税调整和稀土出口控制的实质性进展。
- 海湾国家可能加强防空和航运保护措施，以应对伊朗持续攻击。
- 全球央行可能因通胀风险上升而维持鹰派立场，但中东冲突增加经济不确定性。
- 美国301调查进展可能引发贸易报复，影响全球供应链和关税预期。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡航运风险 / 石油供应中断 / 油价上涨和全球通胀压力 / 央行政策调整
美中贸易谈判与地缘施压 / 关税和出口控制不确定性 / 全球供应链中断 / 风险资产波动和避险需求
IEA石油储备释放 / 增加市场供应 / 缓解短期油价压力 / 降低通胀预期和风险溢价
俄乌冲突升级 / 区域安全风险增加 / 避险情绪上升 / 黄金和美元需求增加 / 股市承压
来源
China News Service / RT News / Al Jazeera Middle East / Google News - World / Yonhap News TV / BBC News (Top) / The New York Times / Ukrinform
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/635086-iran-us-kharg-island/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/15/moment-iranian-missile-hits-tel-aviv?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMie0FVX3lxTE9YYzNLRkJjdzFUMVNUS1hrQW5kSkVfYU5qa3ZpVnlwSHdDUDNDRU15NFl0OWpWbW9wRzVLamZ5bTZabUVZVHNycVhGdzJIRmxuWVZRcGxRamd1dG5mekRES0lUbUU0eUhEeUM3U2duVFk4V293MVM4WG1kVQ?oc=5
- [4] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-15/10587266.shtml
- [5] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260316092310T0U
- [6] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260316091506CIc
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxNeUxQQzY4eUc3Z05ZZ3JEdU1WTHBJd3VOejFrRmJCMVpFT3JMVDV3eHBBd0J4NmJpZVdtZVdGM3VYbGFZeHFIVkRlRjlzem41YWlVakNCT0tHb1NsTTNVTnd2X3NkcGZ2OFNSTlRnYlN6ZzhKSmw2U2ZvRmx2QWk4UGFIUlZVbjg4dXlVWEVMX0xyaFVRVDVsUGpqbUduSjRDZWFGTWhBdV9CR1FYX2c2VWQ5QjVoTnFEMTQ1THJZV2pQbDJWUVNiWdIBzgFBVV95cUxPaXFxN1ZrQnVwbzE0bkdhbFB0cHlVTzVIYUF3Y0UyNjl2amUzcE9qclFPYjFub2ZON0F5d1Rsek92OU9jTzNWWjJ4eEZOczdKMDlRUVNsMzVtQ2RqOWY0bXd6dVoyS2hGTXFBczZjNmxrN3VEdVR5aWctTk53TlNrcWpna3RVR2NWM2V
- [8] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/15/whats-the-impact-of-the-iran-war-on-china?traffic_source=rss
- [9] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gn/2026/03-16/10587332.shtml
- [10] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-16/10587321.shtml
- [11] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj0dlvl086eo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixwFBVV95cUxPOXJxSGdudjU3bzh6ZHlQLVJNdHVxa0pTZElnV0JxOHVSckd6Q0JaeTRGMDRFMHROYXpoWldOeXhIQ205VEQ0RlZCUkw0UGtmLXdFSEJyTFZicXVsVkRuUUVrc19tLTNiQ1d4Qml1cXhhLXVpRFRPLUx5cGFOOFFvbS1jajhTZ1BNLTZ6MkE2VkI4blQzWk1BR0N6Y2dOUWc1N3ZPTEluVkJrUGgzS1lqS29zT2V6T1NjLUQ1aElLdUY0ZHhNLTdJ?oc=5
- [13] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-16/10587318.shtml
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiZ0FVX3lxTFA3Qm0xZXZrSm9BVmhMRVNTQlRoSWg0MWtoeFNZN2ctaG41NDlhdUpsSnQ5V0hCd1JfSnhzTGdXNHE2Z0MxakhuVTJ4MHNZTHRVVG8ybzBsTDM1M2doQTcydXhEWUFOaGc?oc=5
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260316061843kmn
- [16] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/15/world/middleeast/trump-strait-of-hormuz-iran-warships.html
- [17] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260316052639PnR
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMizgFBVV95cUxPY0hIVzdNUFprdVRNTkx2Smdhb2lyUjBwcUZQZmFmWjkzLWFYUy1nUGVOV3REMDVEVkQ0aFBQUVY3YklKZkpneC1yQUtjQjFrZDNodjBhelRZZGpWazJ4djZ4WkdEY2JzbnVKUVM1aXNaQUZwaG1HYXB6aHlta1U1M1ZYUTBvQUhnaFh6MkZveHpXdkdxMS1Ldzg1S2JLVTdZMk52WElKd1hWR0ZTTUdHb3NoS3Y5ZktwWENLRXhCbk8zTnE5b1Vnd04tbGhqQQ?oc=5
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiygFBVV95cUxQdGo1V3dYMFh5dWE3ZXo1Q0VSSWVGWXZJZDZKUXBXQnVzcVhNRC1LallDSlNUTDVoTERHUnEyZkRyVDZuNzRVelI2Z1VqMEFHTzNKV2pQNWgtUlpZYU5HLWpSaE5FNFlkQXE2WF9DNF9OdDlTVjhQMUxUbG1vWVV2VTdZTnVWWWtVZTYyRTBFZTgwVllMMTR1N0kwRTlXTzl4YTdsSlk0WXF1RzhQS0tMVDRzSGEyMlVyQzFOcXpuS2hZd3N1UDhWbkRR?oc=5
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE1EMU5EeFZjbGR1OE9YRXdQVmFmVUVUNmlzcFYtckNmOEN4empraTY0UVFITmlJaVcxVWs5RDlvbG5VMWRVa3lMeHN1b00zYUliSW5hamdUTTRoUQ?oc=5
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/15/what-is-force-majeure-and-why-are-some-gulf-countries-invoking-it?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/15/us/politics/trump-stark-choices-iran-war.html
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxQV0EtVnVRd2FHeGJYUjAwWjlid01aVHNNVkdJS1pwR3NjNi1rX3RGNlZ3RG1xTDVUTWFVQ1psZnNRZHRIWFcwakgwejl0dnBWSFdoN2RsWENJUzFNXzZ1aUFaVmgyOWdwRHJXVFlpWTJrMTUwUnotbGxVcW8xQ2hKd19BaGhYeGN2QWxndGFlQU5XMzhmOFpRS0pLTkdBdjM4a3dmZGhCRktoSVE3LXfSAbMBQVVfeXFMT2tENFBrbVRMamozSlZrOTlMMkdNTnNYM2J2UTM4amY2bGdkWEc4ZUl0UUs3SW5tcktVTlRCUHFhcXVRd2RMcnJtdGtNTXpTWFNXOFJtQllxMzhhQmRFR1NQaDVMZFg3THBuZERkNmlmR0dqbWkwdEtNc0Z3anduaU9RMndnODVSMkVRN0RvTnNId3hKUHQ5TGZBUUVtVlFmOWFKQkd
- [24] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE4xZWdUQXhkXzVhT1RrLTBfNUt2eHoyOTZjbEJHNE9KbWhzWHBVbE1HbUJCclRSeWpZN3BrRXZKS2Ntczl5RVc4Sk1Pb1VCYzJXNjloLVZ5WmZqUQ?oc=5
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiggFBVV95cUxOcUlPUzlqMXVIeldBRVdicUxOLVRrVWpIWFRGMVdUS0s2RE5WRzg5N2pOaG9HRWVucTBxRGNyN3BXY0JrX05oS1ZfTGJ4UWhZYzlMaGJMXzVwM2xadXpETVdjOTFXQW9RRnJXZDdOQndVUE90aUh5YmIxdTJmcTVFQ2NB?oc=5
- [26] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR202603160250479UF
- [27] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260316022052JtR
- [28] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260316013532JZg
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivgFBVV95cUxNekRxMzNpNEdXdXZMQWQwcFA5Ukt5Qlp0Q2ZrTWRZVGtQdHBWaUZwdE5CSzl5Y1Rkb1BtWGVJT3FfeklwTm45MlV3Nk9CTHVoV1JqMndtd1ZuZUgtaUxsTlgwMk1Hc19uZkx2dXlsRUx6ZjZUNF9aNUFscnc3S2V1c3hoSm9PUmc1TUJpTkc5SHFIeldONEg2QWlsamJ1TklsTVpSZm1Bc3Z4Y0R6RE1kanJBcmtvR3ItLWJFNVZR0gG-AUFVX3lxTE53c0htMGNhcldNaGQ5Rm5rVUhFS1V1OFU0XzFqYTFIZmdpcTR3UmtSQm1yNnl2aGVxT2Q1bF9kaHNkNEY3cUt4dERnMTFIZ0ExZ1IycW9pY05FT0s0bUN3eFJqcEF2QUhkUU5vQmZHeXdqOXRNWEhPQ2lkWUlEQWZsdDN1NFpWNzBDZnA4NHpHU3ozSDd
- [30] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4101896-war-update-49-combat-clashes-since-morning-three-sectors-see-fiercest-fighting.html
2026-03-15
2026-03-15
进展要点
- 美国可能推动多国海军联盟应对伊朗封锁霍尔木兹海峡。
- 中国'十五五'规划强调稳增长和创新，支撑经济预期。
- 伊朗坚持关闭海峡，外交解决前景黯淡。
- 欧洲可能就黑海袭击事件提出抗议，但行动有限。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 石油供应风险 / 油价上涨 / 全球通胀压力
霍尔木兹海峡关闭 / 运输中断 / 避险资产需求上升
地缘政治紧张 / 风险情绪恶化 / 股市下跌和债券收益率波动
中国政策稳定 / 区域增长预期 / 亚洲资产相对韧性
来源
China News Service / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / Ukrinform / Sky News / The New York Times / RT News
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMie0FVX3lxTFA5TGhOa20zcEI5ZVlpWFJuZmVtWVYwbWk3TlpiUVZvMFJiSmhQX1NLdHl2UHBBU3VFc29sUGRRU05ZZ0F2SE5udHNUT19TdW85d1BILU5helJoNElpMUVBZlQ4bzE0RFMxVXlOY2NBamh4a01ac0RBZ0FCRQ?oc=5
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijwFBVV95cUxOTDB3elIzT25OVk8wQnFtMktXWW01QjFSWkNoS2JWZmlrRTE4c1djdFotRUlJWC1wbFRDM0pqMURMSk1SZGdZMjZrX0ozTE82SUFzZ2tjWHZVdm9qUUVMWUhfUVJSd2x5VGMwQ3NkM1dzdjcyel82WWlUamNIajdsdHpsQXZoZDd0UGluX0dLTQ?oc=5
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipgFBVV95cUxPVjZuR25oazhiV0ZmTkVXZVVLTGpUQWxpSWEzLWV6c0wxSlRZZHZYSVFvdjNTZk5LT2I4LTdPZ0lpNndSYUpRYUg0Rm1UYUVXSjEwZHJOb0RuU0FGaGtPLUJyb3cxQ3ZCVldPdEQ1dlZfWnlTdkJROEoxMk9YMVNudmJkX084VjhISWJ0cm50V3RUb3Iwa0ZDTzAzYU9HZzI2NGFMbXdR?oc=5
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxQVlQxTy1qRU0zZy1ZMlVQaExCcGNiamVEaWhudXBHR0dxREZ5VDlPUkRqNFdtME5NYnNqNGtmZlhmdUlhd3ZRX2puU2dXZUtOemFLaHVxUmJRSE5JVjhHdVNZMFZUbXRqOU9HSENmd09NMVJMZHEzTVZLclBMd2ExSlo5VDFBN1BLWXNITERKeTlGRGhWVjJRcFptWThFQk5uQUh5c21lbFJzbHJiMURrbzd6LXBOUQ?oc=5
- [5] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/15/iran-war-live-trump-urges-world-to-keep-hormuz-strait-open?traffic_source=rss
- [6] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-15/10586979.shtml
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxNeDhPbEdMMktxYWRDQXFlR3BrVU9uMWR4SlNjNnNZY016TGJ0bmo1OVQ3SWpDTVdVaVplX0c0UGtINjF4Q3JlVUpjMTVwY0VZcTFqWE1STkZCUTJRUjBXdWpVd2xnMWdNcnhpeVk5ejNtNGR3bXQtZ2xqdHVyZGd3WlFaRE9vNFJUbWlxY21fazEtbTRNbEx4dktlbXlsbmlmUXRRNlItODJFSXpqYkpiMW1fRQ?oc=5
- [8] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4101708-war-update-117-clashes-on-front-lines-as-russia-launches-68-airstrikes.html
- [9] https://news.sky.com/story/five-killed-in-russian-strikes-on-ukraine-as-peace-talks-stall-amid-middle-east-conflict-13519726
- [10] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/14/us-israeli-strike-kills-15-at-isfahan-factory-iranian-media-says?traffic_source=rss
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE9MSHk4Wi0tRXM0VHh6c1Myc0NJakpvUnl5VllrbmtYcGM4R3JaUDVWNW9TdnVDWjlFMGRvXzlHanpiYlctTExOWnZHejBWTGp6dUJoRGpVQWpDYWNfZnVIZW1fZ01jSHN1Tm5wc0IyQWFQZFVNSXlhaA?oc=5
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiXEFVX3lxTE4yNGQ0WUtDZ1UyalZ5eHdlQUhULW15STloeWVmYzhoWXJ3ZzIzOHlEaHhXZlNkV0c4TGZLcmxhNHJEVnF0WnUtX1Z4Vzk2NmZpMzcwNTFkY2ZhMXF4?oc=5
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxPQWFDRVFIYmlJUWJ4c1VJY1VLS0dEYWF5X3djSXpyNG1jcXJfUWJ5U3hRbzNDMDVkajhyUElRMlJ5OUJiS2I4V2dLUlRYT2l0MkhQaGVTTURPQV8yaWlhcnRELTVlU0FNcU9oSTBYRC1WLTJmOTg0aEFsTUtwTUd4S0VsajliWnNlbFBBaHlqUlpNNkVYVmVuQWlBMXJrWmVZYjFEVFNuQjQwYXhWN1UyVmNrMNIBuAFBVV95cUxQRVFZU2ZINmRNeHFnWGx0aTVhZGdmNi1iYjN2RHVJWllXMEJURl9KbU9kQ01SYzh4TzRGNmZrRkhyLU9tYU5lYm14eEZfWkZTb21uRUFTNEZqdUYzM0Z6TVUya3JUbk1wdXFhcWRpclNiVFFMRTI4YnpGNkVma1ZjSWh3MnF2cE8xVDJCZ0VHbjRLZ1Q3WU03OTl2QjlKcm1
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/14/turkey-on-alert-as-iran-conflict-escalates-warns-against-provocations?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/quotable/2026/3/14/israel-targeting-irans-security-forces-may-aim-to-encourage?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/14/trump-says-many-countries-will-send-warships-to-hormuz-amid-iran-blockade?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/14/us/politics/rubio-trump-iran-war.html
- [18] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/14/business/energy-environment/iran-strait-hormuz-oil-middle-east.html
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxORy1RZkVhX0NxZmRSZURTRHhKb3ZNZTVTeGwxeF80TGRQME5CUjV1QUl2VGN3ZDRyZzVBYU9EN3REakRockVuOU9pdHFBazJkYlhkYlZreUlJTnF2UVozdExpdGEyOGN1RlNFaG5TMFdmY0R3eDM2UGhNQ2l0M1MtaTcxdjNvMGtwMDA4Z1NMTTg4S24tU056dmpibVUzVFRSTnhRUVY0S3Q0V1BpV1l5NG0zMA?oc=5
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi1AFBVV95cUxOT1BlRjRRZVpteFFkc3l6MzBORl9aNXp6NlZINWNGdmtucmx4STAwc01qRXBrcXpNY0d1Y05TZ3hzUkpXYk9YYnlkZWw5X3lad3VVQzVzam5XVFFuYUlTR2dYVDZJcDl3SEx1dnYyLU93VVlYV0pmZmFQOU5TQ0pGWlFyXzRabFltSjkxY3hKS2dxNTlYd1pBS2s2ZTlSc3NUYjFmOWUwV3hlY1duUTlySVBoY25zeDJTRWJiaE5xa3c5M0VaT1JCZVNscHBlOU4wS0NTQw?oc=5
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixwFBVV95cUxOSHlZVXQ2V3h4UVlRaVg2bDJaNmZiWHktTVFkQXNCU0Z3V3ZZQTlvSUxZaExEa1Bfdy04MDZCQjdoSEl3ZVd1Z1dOYmlNN3hUNWdRQlFUSkIwLTY3UWp5ejdrLURMa01qRndiMlFVLWdUREloUkoyd1JnQnZLRXVHaGU4bVRKVUhzVTdCVlo5RkhRcHdPQmp6a0NnSHJ1OWdNck44SS1NNU9zUzJIMVdKVWVkSjZnZW9OanM5MHAxU2xQdmlDdDlR?oc=5
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinwFBVV95cUxQempZYXZOZXBHVzRTMENFaF9ZTUJwaG44NHU4anE0TUh0UW5IaS1nMDNmTmNaZUdsX0VZT3ZHS05tNjBQYi1GR2JCeDlGbGU5QzQtSnY3MEFNcmVfRzR1djZteTBpNmd6SHo0d0lRN2ljRDhLSGZfZXRETHNLLUpSTDZZNGEwbUZ2NndkNUFzcmxCdDlMWmtKbFRBQTRtMGvSAaQBQVVfeXFMTkNTemktVnR6SkF6LTFXTGEyWTlaWTN2clRXakVEWmlvay1KUHVOcGU2M0x3bFRqSVNsNHVxV1J4TXFCcGNuN2tKeWI3U253aEpYRVktV3EtOGF1cXhyUFdHVnNlTmpadFdaLXcyOGZkOUtRZU9VM0NHaW9WMGpmQ3dUSmZhUG5RMzBWbjJqSjZuNVVYX3R4MUdXemluS2tUX0JqUFY?oc=5
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/14/israel-bombs-basij-checkpoints-in-tehran-as-us-iran-trade-fire-and-jabs?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-14/10586968.shtml
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiZ0FVX3lxTE14aFhiZ1B2ZEZmNHdHRW5OZjI1V1g4MWdQb3Ftb0UwY0NoaWRXUjczaW4tYXF0OU9IWG9EZ0x3WTNIRVA4ekVwSVRWUnA3MUc0M215Z0J2QTlmRVZndjA5MHdXUVVQdzQ?oc=5
- [26] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/14/iran-says-strait-of-hormuz-will-not-be-reopened-to-us-ships?traffic_source=rss
- [27] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/03-14/10586955.shtml
- [28] https://www.rt.com/news/634983-greek-flagged-oil-tanker-attacked-black-sea-russian-coast/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimgFBVV95cUxOV09TTXY0cTVIanNiSDFDeHlVMEw0a1BXV0lxUTliR281WmxUV1lZOGpOY0Fuc0ZDek9KSDdrZ3U5a2lFbW1Dc3NBX1VDS2YwM2JlTThJbldjUUh6XzlVbmVBNDJaSVhrRU5tT2xVQjRKVUtlZzlkd0Nqd2tSeUtpX1lld2xQQ0NwQW5NVkpvSTVhYkRlRlFXcmxB?oc=5
- [30] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-emergencies/4101625-iran-drone-attack-causes-fire-at-uae-oil-hub-fujairah-port-halts-loading-bloomberg.html
2026-03-14
2026-03-14
进展要点
- 美国可能进一步升级军事行动，包括打击伊朗更多石油基础设施。
- 各国央行或调整货币政策以应对油价上涨带来的通胀压力，如加拿大央行利率决策。
- 美国放宽对俄石油制裁可能持续，以平衡全球供应，但中东风险主导市场。
- 外交调解渠道受阻，特朗普政府倾向军事解决方案，增加政策不确定性。
- 区域国家如阿联酋可能加强防御措施，影响商业和投资环境。
- 全球能源政策可能转向多样化供应，以降低对中东石油依赖。
关联路径
美伊冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡风险 / 石油供应中断 / 油价上涨和通胀压力
中东地缘政治紧张 / 避险情绪上升 / 黄金和美元需求增加 / 资产价格波动
美国增兵和军事行动 / 区域不稳定扩大 / 全球风险规避 / 股市下跌和债券上涨
石油供应冲击 / 央行政策调整 / 利率和汇率波动 / 全球市场溢出效应
来源
Al Jazeera Middle East / Yonhap News TV / Times of India [timesofindia.indiatimes.com] / Bank of Canada Press / Ukrinform / Google News - World / RT News / France 24 - France News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/14/iran-war-live-pentagon-vows-to-ramp-up-us-military-campaign-against-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260314081707PPX
- [3] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260314083318PVl
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260314081016HKz
- [5] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202603140004322cj
- [6] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/13/iranian-missile-strike-in-central-israel-sets-building-ablaze?traffic_source=rss
- [7] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/iran-war-enters-day-14-as-conflict-completes-two-weeks-what-we-know-so-far-tehran-explosions-israel-strikes-us-aircraft-crash/articleshow/129550155.cms
- [8] https://www.bankofcanada.ca/2026/03/bank-of-canada-interest-rate-announcement-2026-03-18
- [9] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4101359-iran-launches-missile-strike-on-central-israel.html
- [10] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTFBuOXJsam9kY21GZDVSeFAydmwtZEtQaVRKUEdNZzR2TE1mQ0VPTEhKZUdNRC1BVEJVTF92NGp3QTJqajRmTkdJLVliVE53TDdPeXhCVF9Vc21VOUFaNVJBLXU3aGJlVWROaE5icEtBQ2FWZnpNWmcxdE5RSTE0Q0E?oc=5
- [11] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260314090641MLm
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxNeUJTQ1VSNHVHVmZNZndxaWtfLU5ySEN4S1FrRjF1MTF5SnVZU1M5bVliRy1UNUZ0SmZaemNucEk5a3dFUUg2UXd6VmRZZVlKNE0yZGFLQlpjNDJQRm0tb1pHT0Y3QnRNR1JLdTYxMnBFd25NbXNWR3NjeEVHcTN5cUpTQnU?oc=5
- [13] https://www.rt.com/news/634898-us-iran-israel-updates/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE9KdXFiNE5BTzBZSlNYb1YyaEdqZTFLMFNiNFNCbHdGc3dMdzZSMldrMXA2ZjRWZnBuWm5JWDkyOXFzalZtWkFsTmRGcHlabVg0QlJvMDlodGFrYURCSWFxM3RyVEM1Qko1Z2ZSUklDUC1qOFAxRHFwdw?oc=5
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi0gFBVV95cUxQOTd5a0lmYXlEQVNOS0ZsRW5MZHItQ3pMSE4xcVpEa3VnamFHbUU0Wi1uMmlWcFJvVHo1R1dqMTBwc2VwR1FXU3E1d21ydi1KVFM5dmFBOU5SREpTYlhDV1VBbTFQaU96WlctVVBpWExsTm1Qa2RWZWNpbzU0NHdES0xTOVlWYklGODZNYkFmWHRQT2ZTNHFNQjVpMnNmaFA0b1JOTVZjUlBEWms5akhjcktJS0ZMRjlDdXo5WlVqRGVFQmhWNm8wY3VJd01lYlhIUUE?oc=5
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxPQWFDRVFIYmlJUWJ4c1VJY1VLS0dEYWF5X3djSXpyNG1jcXJfUWJ5U3hRbzNDMDVkajhyUElRMlJ5OUJiS2I4V2dLUlRYT2l0MkhQaGVTTURPQV8yaWlhcnRELTVlU0FNcU9oSTBYRC1WLTJmOTg0aEFsTUtwTUd4S0VsajliWnNlbFBBaHlqUlpNNkVYVmVuQWlBMXJrWmVZYjFEVFNuQjQwYXhWN1UyVmNrMA?oc=5
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxOUlR4U3FSeEZEZHV0T0lEODh6WmRxaHpNbEdVajRodjdkT2xtS3lKSUo2QTVidjhkb3FyN2JtTjl3ZmtLejJBTVc4S2RBN3h1VlNDNEZsWXJVdHlJUWk5SjhVSUhjcWNacFRFOTM1cEpQcVZjamszelR3enR4MEVNMmFCNFNKN3pQcmRFMUM0akx3XzNCN215dG14ZXhIQQ?oc=5
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwJBVV95cUxPbWcyZUo1VDViaVM5WF9pcWJkY1lZWHVnRVB5cmlFQUZaNkdBbG1tQWRSMDUxRzRVbXlNTXJuc0YzalpkemFWdm9mai1TSFIxalhyUjcwSXdxS0J0ek9Lb1h4NE1lT2RKWkdJRHQtQmZVRTRweFZxSVVVa2RmOGJWTThOdGNyeTVoQUNVeFZjY182aTM5Y1c2NVBEVVhNXzQ1bndjcm00ZTVoMklhZ1Z3azRMYTRWR291Ri1LeUZNdW5LZzFSV25kTW9EMndoZkdkX3QxX0RLa1hBUUZOa0dldzRiakE5U2NGMVoyUVJlM2ptcnBZWHVEYnFwSEd5TG5wQzNxWmdQWmpVUzR5VnVnbWswUWczUEE?oc=5
- [19] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/politique/20260312-troisi%C3%A8me-jour-de-guerre-en-iran-quels-buts-de-guerre-pour-trump
- [20] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/eskalation-in-nahost-iran-nimmt-den-oelhandel-in-den-wuergegriff-a-b1f06920-cb9d-44fe-90c2-1f4c53fba5a0
- [21] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260314000200315
- [22] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/trump-says-us-would-escort-ships-in-strait-of-hormuz-if-needed-fox-news-interview/article70739248.ece
- [23] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/logistics/28-indian-vessels-with-lng-lpg-and-crude-stranded-near-hormuz/article70738142.ece
- [24] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/us-offers-up-to-10m-for-info-on-mojtaba-khamenei-and-other-key-iran-leaders-offers-relocation/articleshow/129562970.cms
- [25] https://www.bankofcanada.ca/multimedia/press-conference-policy-rate-announcement-march-2026
- [26] https://www.dw.com/en/us-eases-oil-sanctions-at-an-ideal-time-for-russia/a-76349758?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [27] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-us-ramping-up-strikes-in-coming-days/live-76340941?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [28] https://www.rt.com/news/634859-dubai-finished-iran-war/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxQU0JHaTJ3YTF3Qzc1Vmp2VU45bnRoRDAyMlhodmhuY2pORXlGNm5LZGxpM0w1Rk5UUW1faDFHU2NCd1UwOHI4QmhudHd1MFJhUEt0QW1mc3R0N1BJajN2Q0x4SDA0bTUwZWNIcllYSHdBeFlZaExfSl9mWEhqX2NBcmtEczRCd0VK?oc=5
- [30] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijwFBVV95cUxPT3VuT1JwVDB3WU5LVzM5ckJsQnRJQ3BBN3JWc0hQQ2tXdnJtZXFHYjZ5SWdBS2lWNXNXM0o2VmV4d3FRZHVHQzNRZ3BDUnVuMWY0dDZlb2VZRDA2NldJQVY1cUlzWjd4Zll6UVQ3WUo3RGJRNEZWTmF5NEJfclVpS1VMUzJkTEZ6RVMxVTd0OA?oc=5
2026-03-13
2026-03-13
进展要点
- 美联储等主要央行将更难转向降息，高油价带来的二次通胀风险成为政策核心考量。
- 美国可能考虑并正式宣布释放战略石油储备（SPR）以平抑油价。
- 中国“十五五”规划将聚焦科技自立、产业链安全与内需提振，相关产业政策将陆续出台。
- 欧洲在能源安全压力下，可能加速推进替代供应来源和绿色能源部署。
- 各国财政政策或将更多转向应对能源价格上涨对低收入群体的冲击。
关联路径
伊朗封锁霍尔木兹海峡 / 全球石油贸易流量骤降 / 油价飙升 / 全球通胀预期升温 / 央行政策收紧预期强化 / 风险资产估值承压
美伊军事对抗升级 / 区域全面战争风险溢价上升 / 资金逃离股市等风险资产 / 涌入美元、美债、黄金 / 美元走强，金价上涨
油价暴涨 / 企业成本（尤其是运输、制造业）上升 & 消费者购买力下降 / 企业盈利预期下调 & 经济增长预期放缓 / 股市盈利与估值双杀
地缘政治不确定性持续 / 全球资本开支与贸易活动趋于谨慎 / 全球经济增长前景蒙阴 / 周期性资产表现落后
来源
China News Service / Xinhua World / Xinhua Finance / France 24 #3 / France 24 #2 / Google News - World / Ukrinform / Al Jazeera Middle East
参考链接
- [1] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-13/10586035.shtml
- [2] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260312-guerre-au-moyen-orient-t%C3%A9h%C3%A9ran-bloque-le-d%C3%A9troit-d-ormuz
- [3] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260312-war-in-the-middle-east-explosions-heard-overnight-in-tehran
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilAJBVV95cUxOQkFHVlYxNWxWZEFDYU5vU294Y2FHZ182ejhLcDlnWDFlZFFVNW5EcHotTmtLZzVrU2lBMDRvWUxkU1R3dnNqREg5WnNVUGdfZXctUW9Rd3p2ek1jY2xNMVlIMTBmdmZPdHB3TjJua2loZnExQm95cl9WS1JtWEVadGxGZ2ZXLXRMb011Y2o2V1Jxbi1ROXdpZW9qRU9Ja0p0UHpJQnpMWTlxRVcyNm1Rc1NwSDVzcnVScXEwbEJUbHJXUk1yazBWZmpFbVlzOU9DNUFfVURPY2lsRkFYUHlwY0FWODJjajd2ZklkV0ZwY1hxQWVsbWo0VzhSSjVGUkNGUFBiYWNKWmxVNTFjYm5Ma0h6RXI?oc=5
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivAFBVV95cUxOeFgzZmV4V0FqeHVnMnZxS2VSbGN4MUxqdFpud0haREV2OVBnUFcyZW0zQWJrU2lEQS1KSTFLRGNESWNQLW9QSnlWWVZBWGNGQS1Na0RDM09vZ3VFeE5ncm9ZSXVaVFMybk1nNjlRdUNNV19fd1FUYm1iV1pKaS11NFBsZmxxel84dXpjdmYtckNkWWNRaUVUX1lyQUJuZVFwTHR5YUh5ekx5WnpiNVNONXB3MlBvZ0RpSDQxb9IBwgFBVV95cUxQaV91WmNNSHR2MWljUngtRThOR1Mtb0lnSVZXMkViYUhFUHU1ejFzU2prMi1IdHYxWVVua2hEc0tyLWpGS1l5VWNubFlsanhBaUlkbUs2aF93eGk5Wjc5ZzVZQmhqeDNNMVlPZWJueW44b1g5aFZfSjZBcGRqTzd3Z1lkQ3lqcldMTFNoMGdkM2tFaEphb0x
- [6] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-polytics/4100837-israel-claims-to-have-attacked-nuclear-facility-in-iran.html
- [7] https://www.news.cn/world/20260312/06fbe756e8fa4e52a455987d905ec2e2/c.html
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE1VNnZxUmVhdk1rRkx3ejd4U01FaHFsMnV2ek9aVms3U2haNU9HTUpwXzM4dk5QbFFZaW1SN0JoOWtmWHRXT1doalh1bWdhckVDLUpQSWNpRnZOdw?oc=5
- [9] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4101001-war-update-122-clashes-along-frontline-russian-attacks-intensify-in-huliaipole-and-kostiantynivka-sectors.html
- [10] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinwFBVV95cUxNS05TU1p3Rk5HVzVHMVNrUzJVb2ZwRjVZQjlMU3lLNENuYUwwY05ZQWV0OHhZNVE2Q0FPQVgwV2tucDBGMXNsclFsOWVtRU9sOElwSUxtRkdtUElENGw5SW9QSUdZYzREZXViVEIzbWdfRUFwdG1FNGRKSnk5QUpWNHhtaG5xaTRuZUJLdlIzR3pHWldyeXI5aEpwQU5Jd0XSAaQBQVVfeXFMTTNLVExKRjhKY2sydWM4a1dPQThsVWhPZkhfXzVNRFFoYnRHeDh1VFlrUEFlUHc2dXhqX1FwN0JDdGFIQUVnWEJCVENFOTJaWXNEcmlsLTVlWGhSX2I2akRhVmZOV2lfdEgwZGtzc1BHck9FY3c5Qm9JOVpjQnlPYVBMcUZMOFFXckF6OWZpRWNWSlFEZzBPeHU3eHRvMUV5RFZjcm8?oc=5
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiugFBVV95cUxNb1B4UWQ0RjBPTEVDZkZDbXZvMTNtRWFNYUFWT2pPYlQ0NTlZSFRXZElDNm1CdEFrN0g5RVJGQXZYY0Y3SXozU0Y0WlRTVlFSaDVfNldjNVhBQnl0M3RNT3p1aEpNd2xTZTBmdW9wQjdSWlh5X2hLVmZBSVNHTmFRQmw2dHNqbjUyWkdqNVpNZjc3VDd3XzdPV0M2bUpOMG9YUnREeHRxcGlKa0pxb3RTdDg3RHVZNUFTdWfSAb8BQVVfeXFMTTh5ZFlmMFhYNlFOQk5MM1pZbW8xU3kzYk9ZYWVBcEJ3dHE4cm1xeHV6VEtZSWRFSGhXdHJlX2NjZG5lQUFOYXllaXZXb0VJSUFuczhaREg1OFJLMHRhT0lWenc4enR1MWxEWWJ0OGhtLVlvUW4xQTJac3QzNl9QQURyVDQzaWNXdnFCMk1VNDJqbWE2QU9EdG1
- [12] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260313/f6a9912e7ba541df91412c5b34d9e1e4/c.html
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/12/fuel-shortages-bring-queues-protests-around-the-world?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/12/netanyahu-says-israel-stronger-than-ever-in-first-speech-since-iran-war?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxPSFBSakVBQjhjZHBxX3lUTnM2YjVCMHNaZVlrU3d5ckdWcnAtei1DWUlQWDY4NDEzNURCeXNDQnFzcW93OVRyRjM4ZS0tSjZfaWpCWDVyV21XVXJORDhHRlRtVHRNMzBiYXJoemhBUU5nRk8tSkZuVHJhTGhiZXJBcEpNcktjSDFBWEJZa1dDMmdsci02dW9XZktXblFCdjNMT0M4T0w5S3BMY1hxbWhYRDBYZW4?oc=5
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihgFBVV95cUxQOVI1bEFyQXhWeUVCR2pqYk00RGt0OXV0UjJHSTNHa2lJTzFhZjE4RmRBaUlnWjNjQWp1WUYxcW92LUZOaHpJUVpMemxNM3NRT2lWN0JXSkYtN0dtTFZxVDFkWDVjekJyS3F4eXBEX1o3UFpIWGk0MkhEUlNBYmswbXZTR0k4Zw?oc=5
- [17] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260313/108a1631b7364fe08ac49dd751650ccc/c.html
- [18] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-12/10586021.shtml
- [19] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gn/2026/03-12/10586020.shtml
- [20] https://news.sky.com/story/us-navy-to-escort-oil-tankers-through-strait-of-hormuz-treasury-secretary-tells-sky-news-13518742
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwFBVV95cUxQR1BzbW95SnlZUl9qRUNfbVh3WngxcHNKQWVhMGNESTEtbXBBWDJQaVpvZ19tRVNia0ZXRjBoSHY5aHF0RjAwVDdYeXFKcG5vYzFWekFwNVdDcExjZmRYNkZSRTItb0dKd05kcEhNRjFRSDdTY3MxVl91cWRVckd0a0hJTQ?oc=5
- [22] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/12/how-will-the-war-on-iran-impact-the-us-economy?traffic_source=rss
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/12/does-president-trump-have-an-exit-strategy-for-the-war-with-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMie0FVX3lxTE5pN2RpbnBXSTZWX1V5NlFLODl1dWpfS21aNFVMMEs2MVFyZ2N3d0ZTRmhLQ3BaQkEyX0NXNWQxN19ZSEFsZk5IR2NYTEV2RVlsdDdKZERwbnluZ2ZBZFlhb1ZRVXh5Y3dZQTlwUlZReGRZZUhsQk0tbnlXMNIBgAFBVV95cUxQc0F2d2tZVUJHVW9IWFNqTnE1TkN6OEdHMU9xY2hvOWMyeVJPWERNd2lkVW9UcWR0T1ZZWFpJcXN6MkNIRDBCNm5wUzBqS3hTaVZGbVdsMnR1dHQyVGQxSElOcTQ5VUc0YjNULUxDc1FaWDFqdHc1Z3hyRUR2ZXdIUg?oc=5
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikwFBVV95cUxQTVl2b3NaY3JkSVItLXZPYlh0S3QtVGZXNDBHenE2T2E3RExlcVM4VVBvbjVFeTdEYkxxR09xMkhLQ21PbXAxOTVHVFN6UWVJeVZRVEwxa0loNEZfcHNmb3k2TkZuV3o4REdISTlwZDhpYjNHVVZKaFFJLW1rRWl2RWNENndKSmlYWE1ndWpMNWI0RkU?oc=5
- [26] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4100977-war-enters-new-stage-as-russia-accelerates-creation-of-drone-units-syrskyi.html
- [27] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/12/iran-vows-to-make-trump-pay-for-grave-miscalculation-if-us-escalates-war?traffic_source=rss
- [28] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/the-take-2/2026/3/12/aje-onl-irn_tuesdayupdates_av_v2-100326?traffic_source=rss
- [29] https://www.iris-france.org/a-limage-du-monde-un-moyen-orient-de-plus-en-plus-sombre
- [30] https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/march-2026-economic-and-fiscal-outlook
2026-03-12
2026-03-12
进展要点
- 美国及IEA石油储备释放将持续，但若冲突升级，可能需更多干预措施。
- G7国家可能加强协调，推动外交解决方案，但军事行动短期难降温。
- 中国等新兴大国斡旋角色增强，可能影响地缘政治平衡。
- 欧洲国家面临能源价格压力，可能出台补贴或储备释放政策。
- 贸易政策转向保护主义，新调查可能引发报复性关税，冲击全球贸易。
- 中东国家可能加速减少对美安全依赖，寻求多元化伙伴关系。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡航运中断 / 全球石油供应减少 / 油价飙升 / 通胀压力上升 / 央行政策收紧 / 风险资产下跌
伊朗威胁及袭击 / 石油供应风险 / 避险情绪升温 / 黄金和美元需求增加 / 股市波动加剧
全球石油储备释放 / 供应增加 / 油价下行压力 / 通胀预期缓和 / 风险情绪部分修复 / equities 反弹可能
贸易调查升级 / 关税风险上升 / 全球贸易放缓 / 经济增长担忧 / 避险资产需求 / FX 市场波动
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / Xinhua Finance / RT News / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / Prime Minister of Canada - News / Ukrinform
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/634559-us-israel-iran-war-updates/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://www.rt.com/news/634546-war-on-iran-could-remake-world/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiZ0FVX3lxTFByQ3hWa01uVlpZWmtUSU82S1J2UTViaXhJcVdhRVdDb1FfYWkxWFBtbkh5d3hnTVprc0JmRkM1TzI2NUJhbllqSDRmVnRQMUE1UzZ1Z2EwMmM0cTl0blFpc19sWTNtQXM?oc=5
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxPUy1FZ0pyVHZBZEdvcjJLR2JWN20ycFg2LWF0RzNjbWtvLUplYjN0Ry1ZMFRmUi1FeEwwT0hmSXJ3SGVsMDVVUzl5MzRpOWh2bTJTbzZ0aDdaVU9SN0hUR0tRRUhPV1Rmdk5Pbjg0NGV3ekVodi1ZV05QaFM5VjdHcUEyZ3NvUUM0cGtINlprbWJQWWp6R1BVMTQ5NDR2eEhpYTQ1SURPQ2h2ZHNsR0Nnbld3?oc=5
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinwFBVV95cUxNWkJYckV1U051V0J0RXlsdVNIdDJBVkZROGp6aUstdWk3UFA4MEZGOTRqeVF5ZkZYZTJvaF95RWlzQTQzT3BYOTZ2LVBCN2VhemM1elpKOFhrVEJLVnFXN0VsaTZMV0k3WTFkRWlHNjVqWEgyVkI0Z0J2bm9wYmg3cXBRaUp3OWZzeTdCVG9SYjdPWS1PNUNLQW8tNjNJV1nSAaQBQVVfeXFMT2VTOHplSUtXMzZtRUxIVE1tczJVVUw4VUI5aUNXZngzdnR0Q1dERkpvNGM0d3FyQm00N3V3WGh4SEI3UC1qWHExeDhrX2JZNk54UC1jZ0w4TFdoQ2NJcDg1bHdGQXJRTjVWcWNYamxodHNKZTdpODlQdlA4Z3h1QW5OaFplMDN4d1lDa2tWbnFxalNXQkJneFBhN0FTV2dLR2xoZXo?oc=5
- [6] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/11/irans-irgc-says-not-one-litre-of-oil-will-get-through-strait-of-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [7] https://www.news.cn/world/20260311/442a0fe4bc42480281d4d0bc28f4c6c2/c.html
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMioAFBVV95cUxNMmZrdGVSVzRwWlUyNWh1eXd4dGRaclJ3OGdxbGNPTkVUSFpUNTE2UFlpV24wWnI2NkpfNjJHc2t1TUdyMmNZbHAwT1BmSzdaMDRYRTlvYzlPeFVsNUdHNklRV0tnNWxQdElwblc2T1c4MTJUdzNVa2dlYnlVeUdKeU91bC1qQzU2QnJOV2pzM1NJQWFrTEZhcnh1cjFka1lK?oc=5
- [9] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/12/iran-war-live-oil-tankers-hit-in-iraq-tehran-sets-3-conditions-for-peace?traffic_source=rss
- [10] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-12/10585394.shtml
- [11] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/11/massive-fires-on-two-oil-tankers-after-attack-in-iraqi-waters?traffic_source=rss
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilgFBVV95cUxNWXlWY3F2U0ZWSHFVbnZneDlSeGJvS2J4bU54OEFLeElaUjZGYm5YQ2h2N0RnQnQ2amhpRVU0STRYUS1sVGhlMXBMa2JLeDBRUWlhRFZlYU5yNHlEazU3T3dIV2RXMFJWMXgza3JXcTRlcjdKWTMxdHJOTzNLbVUwdDhES3pPU3hKN3NHY2dIN2pia05CMEE?oc=5
- [13] https://www.news.cn/world/20260311/2be5a84701ad4b978bff009439d40bce/c.html
- [14] https://www.news.cn/world/20260311/5efec14abc7b4d53998e9199af28ff2b/c.html
- [15] https://www.news.cn/world/20260312/72fd109f77e741cebd3ae5372865e46a/c.html
- [16] https://www.rt.com/news/634541-us-strike-iran-school/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitwFBVV95cUxQSUEzMWRHZDMxYWRvemZSdzFWekVpSm9xaW9pcS1vc0l1bVVjQ2pRR0E2eml0dlMxblI5a1FaV1JrQ3VOaUg5Nm95NWo5ODZIYnhvb3BfM0RUamZ4eUVXcnRwRnI5Q3JKaVZ3djNlMkZhSS1wSHgyUEJ2ZUItanVYYXlQRkpvRmd5eDNOQVZObzFnaEVVZlRBaTBiMlQ0X0RTVHpfbUFGZFNpVFNONjgyWnQ5amRVYkXSAbwBQVVfeXFMUHJDNk96bmoxMDE5NnZsaGVjTDZaUXF1cXpYSmVURUYwcmIxOGZLRzNtVDgzUk0xd0xNU2pIcUFiZ0ZvS3QzZXBTNUxlRHZKTFllNlFDckpBQ3dyb21BSU5rSjk1bUM3T1FNVG82UHBzdWhYTjFhSlZHLVhWUkVXQU4zTFpRek1rcjdPVDhERnJkbWUzN3M2WHQ2a1E
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijwFBVV95cUxQR2VYVTZXdTZ1bG9sOUJGMDlobXBSb1pBU05pdW1wZTdJZllYMm5yNUNKY0Q1b1I5a014WFNDdHF2RGJzNTVQTEg0XzM0TGJaYnlRdmZTT2dzd0dNNXVTdmFjelJOMm9KQldUaEJINTFRTUx0NnIwdVp6aHlFbVFsQm1Hc3d0Yk1LTlhxWW1mWQ?oc=5
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxQaVpsanBCMzd1VkU1WWFkTkk5Rk9zQWdLMEJkQmZsNGRnU3Q5VTJ3SXZHSjlBNXhTNWZCV2o5Zm1SMDVtb3NFNDAxZ2dGM3ZQbkRkV3IyR19GcDlJdkg4aWdYS0U4VkJ1OTFJeEl4cFBhNUNuLTNDMFFDSW5pT2xaS2RGeFdoUjd2eEdyekR3?oc=5
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/11/why-does-the-iran-war-pose-more-dilemmas-for-europe?traffic_source=rss
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimgFBVV95cUxQQWEzSjZuZFlqQzZOX2M1bFB2ZTl5cjA3SU55QVJaSXRxU1dVUnhXaXJ5N1podkg5LXRBSU5hdnJadEx1RFMycEpCOG9JcXYwSkdWVE1La05iM21ONnVtWDd5Tk9MTGVlSzlzUnJ2alZsMWNOUzB3S2QzX0E1ZUgwZWI5MFB2M1RtNnEwN1NZVFRKa0xHYks4blNn?oc=5
- [22] https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/readouts/2026/03/11/prime-minister-carney-participates-virtual-g7-leaders-meeting-situation
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTE9tc0pNV3hRZ185TFJLNlQ2SkF1NGExb1NkdTlxYzRldDJXMkdHeGVjT2t6UHFuWE5fejBOS2wtVEtoQXNLM3RFV0E0SUZGQ0NhbDF2dVQ2bnFNSUZURnZmNnN4OVVGdmQ0S1ZlbjNQOTVFdHNuam93SElscThMbVk?oc=5
- [24] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260312/8a27c89d85d94d73afa65276ee67cfd5/c.html
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxORzRjNjhXOFFPSTRtcktYdk1vVmhWdjV2UFd3X0dPeVhLMzVZTnNRRWduQjRYOENnbmhUbGVsa2JyUzVXOGVQMms1dU9sQ1F3MlEyMzZ5b0pzYXdUWmhOLVJkUV9KaF83NmpzSUlYV245ejFlVDBvOG55VXNIcGljdXJ1cHVaTXNZVHZod0Q4bk9VWng2ZUxIX3RobGxRZ0VfSjROUURwcmZycEhjengwODN3?oc=5
- [26] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxOY1VEblp3ZlhTcjBpR1NKU1NvR0hzeklVbEt4WmtSOHpobW56QWR4SFJ4a3ZUeE41bzRJVnBicWJnUm1DNmFNMzc3QWNTRTVjcDNIc1V6MkxEdjAxa05TMXJqbUVDMHZLTVR6MkZlcGY3UHJ4dG9VRzJoVDVGLUN4Y0pQNjlqbTBsTXZhWUtncHJxZi01SGVZelowUEZaaDJqV2xB?oc=5
- [27] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-economy/4100584-record-400-million-barrels-iea-releases-emergency-oil-reserves.html
- [28] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/11/whats-left-in-iran-could-be-taken-out-in-an-hour-says-trump?traffic_source=rss
- [29] https://www.dw.com/de/hohe-spritpreise-wegen-iran-krieg-öl-reserve-wird-angezapft/a-76306889?maca=de-rss-de-top-1016-rdf
- [30] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiygFBVV95cUxPNGFGS0YxQnVyaVhYNGZ0ejQwZmo4YUNnc1NycHdjdGt3WlE1dkNzNXZNY1hXNnZzQjZ4VGkyQU1SbXdHZGQ5Rk1laExkbGVjeXdTLV9Dc0NjMWtsM09oT09oeElQUm9DS0ZXSUtqS1lMRDQySjNiQ2JuNFEtX1BTaERGTGg5TXMxRkpiNlh3Q3lGY2ZQci1fZ2JpOEtjM3NlSmpibzBYc1ZmbXZuNEhacWlHdkpZUDJZcmZpVlVaNHhLYU5BVm1BTlBR?oc=5
2026-03-11
2026-03-11
进展要点
- 美联储可能因地缘不确定性和通胀风险调整利率路径，偏向鹰派。
- 加拿大央行3月18日利率决策关注食品通胀，加息预期上升。
- 欧盟外交政策协调困难，在伊朗冲突中难以形成统一立场。
- 美国军事战略无明确退出计划，长期冲突可能导致财政压力增大。
- 全球央行需平衡通胀控制与经济增长，政策反应可能滞后于市场变化。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 避险需求 / 黄金 / 美元上涨
石油供应风险 / 油价波动 / 通胀压力
地缘不确定性 / 增长担忧 / 股市下跌
通胀上升 / 央行加息 / 货币走强
来源
Xinhua Finance / Google News - World / Yonhap News TV / RT News / Yahoo News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / BBC News (Top) / Sky News
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxNWE1pdjF6NTVIOEF4aHpWS2QwZ3hfR0hqbWNiXy05Q0oyMG9oYkZRSEhRR09ueDVWblB3djJZNVk4VV9qT1hQSWFiRWZva2tJVzVabzYtTkZYQ2dVQkJKcDNfd3VPbmU2cnF0dXcwRVVEaFI2bDJFMUpiVmRnS2dIRF9Ea2p3dnJNMUZKYXZYMmY2Slk1dFdJemcwbUE1WXQwSVFvWVQ3M0VTY1FwZ2d3UkVPS3czd9IBuwFBVV95cUxOTUJHdnZHdTJZTUFvOEFPNGNSRnJtODhuUWNXXzBtNmR3TmQyX1dHbVN1bGl5NnZGSWpjLWlUWmtreWNJZDhRMzlJYmhWLWRJT3RMRWVhRE1uUXhXWEllYlBjZ3hPS2RNYVdaS3VwRlI0cXFmeTMtS3JySEZUeExQV1pISGtEbC1tcFotek8tdFFNaEN5WGlPZ2xFOVA
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxNUkdiTFNjZENxQ1Z4bHZQb1FfeG1kYjZFblhPdVExeDQ0MjJwN3RYX3ZTRnE1aERiUm9rdzdqZmRWY21nRk03UWNOUVFKYk1tN08weG53UEYzSlZvdkZWRWk4VDdfT3BMbThYb3BWRld3WVRUM21wYWlZc1IxRjVITVQ0QlJnSUlKTmhr?oc=5
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi0wFBVV95cUxOazVDTEpWOThHZHY2dHFZazh0YWhNQW9JMGk4bXVNYWNIVzlTeTA4WlNLLXhYMGRsRHBWMWNBVmtIUkJEVzhjUmFiSU1IVktZSTdLZm5ROV8yNUE1VnVhLUZIWjVid0luT1hmS2MxNnNlY3czT0pMa1VEV05OQ3pqcHhvUkJ5R0ZuZ0dETUZNQkNkZFQ3R29ueDNOVF8wX2ZCYU40UEQ1c1JoUjFIRTd6WUVBWF9iZkNqeXo1ek5QTzZGeVljOUluWW5jOWJnal93S0I00gHYAUFVX3lxTFB5V3dtclAyYms0MlBGbTZnaThKcDNuNmFONmRONjNJeVg1Z1JNVlhwVV9reWJTeS1DcnVKSUpZeDk0eW1FWDYyMGFEQmg4NGtkaFVNV3RlQzNCeUhNVUoxUG1PT0M2S1Q4S0tFRk9ER3hzMlZkVGkxYlQtNmYtSjl
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260310232439BDY
- [5] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260310235751Mhd
- [6] https://www.rt.com/news/634366-tehran-fuel-sites-escalation/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [7] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/us-energy-secretary-deletes-post-181914444.html
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE84cUltYlRQSkRGYmo3SnBVNGpaa01XbUJRSUxnOERzSE1pdXBFWFZIV0p0MFpGR1N0T1M1T0RqMU40T0VIR3V5YnEzSXNKakhyVXBueGFWTHJaQQ?oc=5
- [9] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/10/around-140-us-service-members-wounded-in-iran-war-pentagon-says?traffic_source=rss
- [10] https://www.bbc.com/news/videos/c0rjyr22ypeo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [11] https://www.rt.com/news/634413-trumps-call-to-putin/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [12] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260311/687b46ac645f4341a6d428a202df8b08/c.html
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikAFBVV95cUxNVVYzT1l4TmlxM2FjazNVc3VLdi1LcURsamVBcmhXWVNYSjltb0NkWFV2UmNxUHlIa3NSMEJ0SGtHem9zSlhkWWNtVTNDMzZVMnV3RjBfZU83Sl9uUldtS29fRGx0Sjk3NGtmWXE5NU85MktNSlMzbmx0ZDlKUzNHWTFDOHBwNFJFVlM0bUpHV1c?oc=5
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitwFBVV95cUxPa2gyZDM2MWVreEVscXdpNTlGLVBONlVvUjU2Z2dJZmxXei1hZDJ3UGItYUVJMjJPbGtXTFBXNGtkRzZOc1gtYy11ZHQwMV9NMDJOOTlZRzJLYXo2b0ZLQ1pQM1J4cFdxUWYySUFabHRacDBkMXloQTJLVWRtZlBHQnhMUzhncG5ULW9vajk0SFJYb0VoamJ4X3VSaVphdUgyV0ZqS09paVU3TzZmS0M4ak1nX2ZCbnfSAbwBQVVfeXFMTWRhZm11VVFPbFBRelZJcWtXekRJb1p6YVdXYy1OS1duY1hIbVBLcHdLMllqY25USG1HdXNialpzMjE2RUFlelA1Z0l6TDhIOXFqVXV4cnJNY0pDM1ZsV0gxcDBRNWcxNjhyRjZhQmp5a2ozczhxODhtMDNuWFFvVFFKRnQzQXhlZk82V056UzFtMEFsdG1BNGpJeFV
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiygFBVV95cUxOVnM1SG5iRE9GdkVoUHdZNGhSOU1FdnhaVlNFd1VPOWFPLXdFQXVIVHR4RjAxWjNmaTcyRkF5alpUT29DQUFQR1gzVVlORFRla0FsSXB0Y2taQTFMak5GdUxTZ0pHenpVVXlpeEpDNkdsY3psdTFqV3NNNVZLcU1EYXdFUmxsVVpfay1nWUhSVGVPSGw4VlQ5ZnJJN3I0Mkljc0ZqdFoyN0lVZl9YbGlEU1VnLVdiSmh6aDllOGViNGNGNU9QQ0VVMkV3?oc=5
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/10/german-chancellor-concerned-us-israel-have-no-exit-plan-for-iran-war?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://news.sky.com/story/dark-ships-and-shadow-fleets-8211-what-is-crossing-closed-strait-of-hormuz-13517746
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTFBreGc4VlV5ZnF6bzJfQlhEMlNwcWVhWVBIenBWNUo4XzZIbTVLT2Y5SHRmbl9uX2wxVmlWN1JpUl95ZWRlWUZqV2VLWFV0NnB1UmYwZGVlOE5wQUIwRXgtYTVaVExZOFNtVHc?oc=5
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxNNE5ELWRWNFp2SnFnWGczUWdHMHo5dVM5U21KczN3LUFibjlqY1c0MUJiNS1yaXVrSkkxSGEyMlRfQjFqY0s0Sk1jQlR5TXh1bk1PZXVId2RTaVlxTXU1a1IwRXk1ZUYwZnBvNThHdGlxeWkyTHZzOERVOTRmZ2UtWnE4djFRN3ROVXVn?oc=5
- [20] https://www.rt.com/news/634398-eu-bosses-split-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi2AFBVV95cUxOMmdaVWhxMjJ4cXBHOTBrVldZQ0NkNS1GNXhRemZRVEZkcU95NDU3V0JjWFZWQ3ZEU09SX3JGd0FjUFFCTklPYXBXaWt6bzFXeTZSbWk0RFJubUhwNC05RERMV1lDOXBlcVBUZ2R0YXhpWFk1a3ljck5ObFRqenQ4aTBiOXV3OHo0Q0lQMjBFZTRFRmZOY0pHV3RZazR0MElYdkhnYVBBWWlfcmJYSnRIdmc2MWV2Q2JKd0tqLUlUcVpnU2hFZE9FaTFoTl9zZzlBTC1UcVp1WmU?oc=5
- [22] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/10/global-airlines-hike-ticket-prices-as-iran-war-sends-costs-soaring?traffic_source=rss
- [23] https://cdhowe.org/publication/whats-putting-upward-pressure-on-inflation
- [24] https://www.iris-france.org/iran-10-jours-de-guerre-ou-en-est-on
- [25] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260310-iran-une-guerre-d-usure-s-installe-au-moyen-orient
- [26] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260310-guerre-au-moyen-orient-des-frappes-entendues-au-dessus-de-doha
- [27] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260310-replay-guerre-en-iran-la-strat%C3%A9gie-am%C3%A9ricaine-expliqu%C3%A9e-par-pete-hegseth
- [28] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/focus/20260310-europe-s-borders-under-threat-from-russia-baltic-states-gear-up-for-war
- [29] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260310-trump-says-war-in-iran-will-end-soon-%E2%80%93-but-threatens-to-escalate
2026-03-10
2026-03-10
进展要点
- G7财长会议可能推出联合释放战略石油储备或协调增产措施以稳定油价。
- 特朗普政府或进一步豁免石油制裁，增加从俄罗斯等国的进口缓解供应。
- 美联储等央行可能因通胀飙升而加速加息，但中东风险或暂缓紧缩步伐。
- 美国能源部承诺降低汽油价格，具体措施如补贴或监管干预待观察。
- 国际社会或推动外交斡旋，尝试结束伊朗战争，但进展缓慢。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡关闭 / 全球石油供应中断 / 油价飙升 / 全球通胀加剧
油价暴涨 / 亚太股市暴跌 / 避险情绪蔓延 / 黄金和美元上涨
特朗普缓和言论 / 冲突结束预期 / 油价下跌 / 风险资产反弹
G7政策协调 / 石油供应增加 / 油价稳定 / 市场情绪改善
来源
Al Jazeera Middle East / Google News - World / Yahoo News - World / RT News / Times of India [timesofindia.indiatimes.com] / Xinhua World / Xinhua Finance / China News Service
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/10/iran-war-live-trump-says-conflict-will-be-over-soon-40-killed-in-tehran?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxPTFN3NW5QZFdieXBpUmh0N3dBYndKcjkzaVp3N2lISU1VbkZNelVMZGlHb1V5b3lYSVJTMjY1bzJNdGdjNmljdjFfY3RoV1RwbFpXVENCTE9ndzB4amI3cmdoT25iVDhWRWxXNWtRWU5HR2Y3NkN0QzIxa0djVlBlWjY3eGtaWHhhSlRv?oc=5
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiigFBVV95cUxQNjN6NlVFX0IxVW5penE4TEV4WHZMZTY2YjhER3kwWkxYcHZudldsM1RVN3hBdHlEcFNwS3J6RnNqZllqN2I0cHZXSlBMSjllS05SM0dQWG5tNTJFLWVLXzEtZkxsS2ZxYzJxSEV4ZkFUZ0hUd1V1d2xja0xBcVpJZFBBRDI4TGo1RXc?oc=5
- [4] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/us-israel-launch-strikes-across-175355831.html
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE5lYzVaNzRiRU1vNjF5MWFMb3d4N0VoUlB3UEs0TFpDcjZEZG5JbFRqN2t5Q1lDbFZYSU5hSTZoR1RDYTRHcUgzQ1ZyUXlObmNEdlIzeEdndUxFOEd5SGlPSENZSWJqTVBaV0dLRTVNTTVnLVBpbTV6Qw?oc=5
- [6] https://www.rt.com/news/634212-oil-100-barrel-small-price/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [7] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/iran-fires-second-ballistic-missile-at-turkey-nato-intercepts-will-the-attack-trigger-article-5/articleshow/129332235.cms
- [8] https://www.news.cn/world/20260309/f124c669dd43416f8e4ba9fd908aacf3/c.html
- [9] https://www.news.cn/world/20260309/abea00315f4b47289cfbeefdaac77f79/c.html
- [10] https://www.news.cn/20260309/db66c48278554551bc2be3748f7a46ee/c.html
- [11] https://www.news.cn/world/20260309/5b9e2b8621c04b448f63a5d1d86a1829/c.html
- [12] https://www.news.cn/world/20260309/87c01a718e3449b3bdc495475c795182/c.html
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/9/iran-war-what-is-happening-on-day-10-of-us-israel-attacks?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260309/a509f2ed53c94024ab2516747db85aba/c.html
- [15] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-10/10584278.shtml
- [16] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-10/10584273.shtml
- [17] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-10/10584277.shtml
- [18] https://www.news.cn/world/20260310/fada381db92e44e0af00b9b1e381f1e7/c.html
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/9/trump-says-us-israeli-war-on-iran-will-be-over-very-soon?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi-AFBVV95cUxPMFo5M3IwNzJnbG5TNFBPY1BySkk5M2VkNEJsdW5IekgwUFJLVmR2SEhFTFBuSVRsOWN6R3hWa0xtWlRYcktzSlJlaHJfXzc3V25QZS0zd1dpUlZPc2k5dGptRUYzeFhiWUtYSndEaEQwOWVRdHFmcmMzeDVvb21hNGtlS3dIWHRuUG5oRkZPanZ1b3JMbDlTUUVJUllqclRubGRIVzBCQ20ta0xKc0txWk9MN1hIVkVfSzBUakVrMm9tMDl2YzdwOHF5VFpaWmN1SkN2WGtTY0RKb2JfOHJmdXVWYzBWMDlXZDNaUWtjRm5fMjF0Sm1VYg?oc=5
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi7wFBVV95cUxObXJkNnV2QTNQczJIdmhOX3YwTE1IdUJ2QzZ2MmRxRWJ4YWFKU2h4Y1VaQkFKNG8weVNxX0tIM1J1S2pKMUNiV3gzblB1NndnbHBhRkduX05OOGFlNjdEa3N2WGVMMDhfS2xxb2ZCMVZQVjRBZkJ1SENSTHlaYVdVdDJGdl9id1g0dXZ3OTlJZVp2VFZxdzNQV0lNeXZIc0x5RUFWTWFhRGJYWkNpdTRwQVphcVZFWkptVDNEbktjTUlwbnJFelB6Mkx3WnVUU3B3WF82V3VmMlhwRXNVX0dJUjM5VHZfa1BmN25iMmxOdw?oc=5
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMifEFVX3lxTE4wTExGeE5CMjNoYWJKOWN4bDloaTJMVE9NaGJ5amtkQllLUmpJSVN2RkM5ZDk2VmYyRFRuMU5GQUFDc21JNzVBWThrejhCeDZ3ZGptWVhjQktBRmNqa3QwWXM1bzBkZVMyTHdWb29PUkphMUlPeHItNjk5X1E?oc=5
- [23] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-trump-says-war-to-end-soon-but-not-immediately/live-76271521?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [24] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-10/10584264.shtml
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi3AFBVV95cUxPT2lEbHhnbHQ3ckhiaWplNmV0OXVuZVdPUmVvemFXaG44dGxMNVFIS29nMW5uRkRfZ0V5Q3BnZ0RTSXh1VWcxQzc4WGxLNTBFVnJqdUJXVDZZVHhUTUx4b2h2ZU5VSUwzMm5fcnpJVXBUNEtXZ1IyRXdfRFc5UDU5aXFiSXRRX2M0WWMxdnU5cC1ELU9vU0x2c1pHQVdWcVppWXlhMVdad2x3T3RtQkFnZWtWUzhYQk16eFNTQWlydm50MWJqRDVGX3NDMUJvYTFSQVlIV2xUdVNrakdQ?oc=5
- [26] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4099791-war-update-122-combat-clashes-on-front-lines.html
- [27] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260310071332ggP
- [28] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260310071551lHG
- [29] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260310070742PLx
- [30] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260310070606xM6
2026-03-07
2026-03-07
进展要点
- 美联储可能因就业疲软而倾向鸽派，但油价上涨加剧通胀担忧，政策路径不确定。
- 美国政策转向，允许印度购买俄罗斯石油，试图缓解能源压力，但地缘风险仍在。
- 国际社会对美以行动批评增多，外交谈判空间受挤压，多边协商受阻。
- 特朗普团队内部分裂，暴露政策矛盾，可能影响美国外交连贯性。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 石油供应风险 / 全球通胀压力 / 央行政策收紧预期
弱就业数据 / 降息预期升温 / 美元下跌 / 股市波动
地缘紧张加剧 / 避险资产需求上升 / 黄金和石油价格上涨
海湾生产中断 / 油价飙升 / 经济增长担忧 / 市场风险情绪恶化
来源
Xinhua World / Google News - World / BBC News (Top) / Al Jazeera Middle East / ABC News / BBC News (Business) / Yahoo News - World / Xinhua Finance
参考链接
- [1] https://www.news.cn/world/20260306/ec1ff965f49e473ba5e109ca53a30371/c.html
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipAJBVV95cUxQOFkzal9NUmh6OVNYVlZBUVpJVTNMY2lRTWxqemR6STRpckhJc3lkSTczSWVpT0F3NnZZeUtZUnRLeVpBUmlwR21DSEhIMVp6WjVFWHlva2U1N3lTbWktZF9hcWNUMU0xdE5wTld6SE9OTU05Z3Vuejhsak1uN2VvaXRYckJkV09ySG9oUkl3N1NGTXVyZlpKblByZGNDamJRMnJhNjUwVmtHZFNPVG1qRF85Y25mSkkzV3pmSHVpend6TS04LV9fN3RtbGdWSWZVcHpVRXBQcjk2WVdCdW1aMU1EYlNxUzlzMDB5UnpYODhUeG9UMFBLOXBVUmJFTzluaW8xTmNEVVdhRk0yTFd2bk55U1V1SUJWa1l5Wi1EWXJUTG13?oc=5
- [3] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy031ylgepro?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/6/strikes-on-iran-to-last-four-to-six-weeks-white-house-says?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiVkFVX3lxTFA4aGFEWWF2N1MxbVZUckpRSFBXaWduejNwS3lGSktJbV8wcmFVRW9vRUU1c0hNZERqdWo5S3ViUVZpclZodllUTEJTNU55cURfSnpjbEhn?oc=5
- [6] https://abcnews.com/Business/dow-drops-650-points-iran-war-sends-oil/story?id=130824337
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxNeG5wRnd4dlUyRnM1TWlyUFJMSlIxRHR0NlFyNTlLcUJoUmE4QzhGMWJ1Rm1CeU1jX3BGazgzWTRlUEZhS0tIbEpibjFnY3Z5S2x3X3VwTC11akh1cENhVzN4cnpPRzdFaDVGZjdQQVVwZ045b3hubjhDLTY0Z2hwSGNoTUxQVnA3ODhCYXJWYWFlS1ZzeGdwMTItSzJzeGFHR0h2VXp1bjY?oc=5
- [8] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cjd98091g28o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [9] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/russia-provided-iran-information-help-191321667.html
- [10] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinAFBVV95cUxOTS1SbFJTdkh0alhXZ3J6VTRKSUFNZjcyeFo4SU1UME5laUZuRk5WTmJDQkk0VFNuRmJfN0g4b3c5VlZxWm96Y1FfVXY2T1NOMFZwbTNlbGI0NVlRVndWbktkSzIwazdIY2VWYkFldFlLeFZpemZVQm5HV0FDV1N0dmp2WXlMdzVNVE1RYVhPeGtfYS05UHJ3X0NpTDnSAaIBQVVfeXFMT0VncGZqT0FINHlFY0piRmlHWWJTOXZDaGhzRkJnc25KbklNa3lJaXREWGlFVUR2b21NWGJtZ0Rkd29pcHRFZ09OXzR2MEdSY3FubmNQLXBucFBOczZCY1ZRM0NjUlcwT093ZGE1UkY0cDV4cE9fU1NCSWVsaXVJQ2x1S2lBOUhhQ0JMYWtwTnNLT1hleFpHTmlEM2tMNmdPLUtB?oc=5
- [11] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/6/why-did-the-us-torpedo-irans-prize-warship?traffic_source=rss
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivAFBVV95cUxNVGZmRGhwVEZsMXNxODNwY05xNUtGdUxveXdfakFMakhZbERtcWgxTW9MRXR4LVJFdHhXOWctczRLb05CSVFPZ0E3VkFDVTY4UWxQcDVPOE5kTEJLeWg4Q2dBYUlfXzBSTlF2cktLNEpiTklfc3dnT3dLYnBTdk1iSUh6OVZxOEMyWVZxdTlTZ3JMUlRxb2RrLVAzTUJLUWlRSVB6QkNMMVZfaWNYUGNCZk5GQk5XWDZyTHkxWdIBwgFBVV95cUxQVS1iVFphVlRheUcxNlgzYmhnbVFsTUZlbFljTWJGN0drbWZyd014NjRBT0FOSGprMXlkS3pEdFJiT2FuX09PR1BkU0I0eTVfM1lYSkJWSWJxc3ZrMDViNU9WUWJTY1hHQUZSZ0pUZ0JycXhpMTBXXzR6NjdVT3VVLWtXVWdEUHoyNDFocEVuQTZNX1hROXQ
- [13] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260307/b9c82f2aab50482fb69b63c615e4d37a/c.html
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE15VEw1WUVXMzJiS0ZBUUVRRjRndzlVQktlajVJQWIxc25Gd18xLWJ4X0Uxa3BTZ2dXVHU4alJTYXNMOFdsdXJSaXdocjVwZlhFd0YxSzJ3UW1sQQ?oc=5
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/6/us-and-israel-attacking-iran-at-record-pace-war-monitor-says?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://news.sky.com/story/weve-taught-toddlers-to-take-cover-living-in-dubai-as-iran-attacks-13516244
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE5jaS1FdjUzSFh3Vy03S1JmazRyV1V0ZFF3VzlUblUyV2ZSQmVIYVhwTl9JMnQ2YUVfQUpTdVo5dnB1RHdVUDJ3c01zTVJESzhsV21SZXZRMzVMdw?oc=5
- [18] https://www.rt.com/news/634027-who-will-invade-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxNakVxRTA4NGhrNkNzRW5ScS1OamsyaHo1enBwTmtGNUdMcU9vVTZBdlRFOUlhdWl2YXlva2ZySmxqMkZDTHJrQVZsUDZxTmxIV2VyTWhQLUM1bURTeUQ0dW9JUF9TMzFGY1pMSmpybi1EZlpadW5HTWIwZGJoWDAtMUNKU0xRNnByRFc5cldXNFlPYzNFZS1rSXBIVk9qV1RqcXlxY3BDOGR6bk9FOWpWOA?oc=5
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMicEFVX3lxTE1PSWUwWGZyVlU1QVoyOE1PWk1md1MxR1dKRE1iN3U0SHRFZllvTlNxS0x2cDE1amVLUVFFYmVpQ0V4YTlfMmNBNHFTQXZLR0IyVUVRd0Uza2VBXzFaVlU3dUxmM2l3d2tDQ1VxLVdpSGY?oc=5
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxQM212N1dDQVJlUjJlODFrWlVpVUFYWG1oYkoweE1PQUo1Zy1BWGFQX2Z1emFBc1BVUVJHMUU3MTNUck5PYlNwQ2VkZUR3c0lRYlQ4VVl1SEc1OVJTV21HVWZTRGNTQ0FOaWk1TDFMcjlOVENPZUtycEs5ZnRfanNCbnl6cXhvRmQtYldjbTdQY1NzM09tOUpJT0w4cHdMNW00QVNDVHMtdkR4Zm1wQnVEUGpR?oc=5
- [22] https://www.rt.com/news/634016-iran-war-trump-division/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihgFBVV95cUxPUFh4c0djeTJobnBEVmtQeVUyTVJubkw5UGducS02T1pUMjE2QmhDQnM4aVRlSnRacFoxelVIazZnSExCdGZvMnZKcFU2dmt6dzg3WHcwN2FfQjZLaFNKNXpuemRSckxubXdYdGxXeWptek92dXhfaVNSVmlVWTNJaHJjVDY0Z9IBiwFBVV95cUxNNmVWRVloV2N6OHFickp4MVNwT1BLZGd1ckYxWlhYUll2NVNwNHNOVHpTSDJNQXpNM0lhaDJFN1lCYzYzTlBvb1hZVVRwb05RbjkxZS1TdTYyRkl5bGZ2T0o2WTk3aHJSSGVXTWl1MkFBZU5heG9fNDRyTE8zVjJ3QXB5dFMzci1tRDVB?oc=5
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/6/has-donald-trump-failed-to-sell-the-iran-war-to-the-world?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxPci1VOHg5YXlMYzh5RkNfcXJsZEZGQlFqVDhMYmpyWEZqR2Q4VzRiVlJ6S2hpUVZia21JRU84aElKV3ExU0lKT0Ffc1R4Z2lRTUNMeTFaWWU3UGQ1LTV4YWJ5eG9nQ3Y3VHl4eUx6Y28xLU04Um56S1dVVjJiWVVLS1NnLXFnQUtXT3NrY29VS29WS2ZnNGJhMmZJbEJuZ1ZHek84RUJJNHlxQ0tSVE1FWlFmMEI?oc=5
- [26] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMie0FVX3lxTE1ZVkc1SXRLM0I1RU13T2U2V0NrcnJXMFJONDZmYjVDOVFObEE3ODJmVHVjLXFkNGVjVkQwekZjaC1tQWxDdXhiYzlTRm1xMXhkNUFmY0VKLTA5ZnhMOG9HUnJfVGpKMlB1bmNOVlVmOHRUdlRMMk9Jb0hnbw?oc=5
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxNTXVNdVREcHA3Ti1kMmIwUkhQbkt4cmhWdkNQSlJvb3hlX1E1ZXFPRmlQS3JtMUJaMVo4X0g4bElFLUdZRFk5ZG8yUHNrYTYzQnpnVVdZcVdQOHdqZzBLZmNPdWJDcG4zNU5LWjJtelY2WG02OGdKeHZRM0gtRlhQOTBYRjRORk5XSUFYRDRkTFFJVHEwNFpqakhWYnZmMExYQVZoN291bw?oc=5
- [28] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/6/us-job-market-stalls-unemployment-rate-rises-before-fed-decision?traffic_source=rss
- [29] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpw004xqxnjo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [30] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4g88q764njo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
2026-03-06
2026-03-06
进展要点
- 美国中央司令部增派情报人员和防空系统，为对伊朗长期军事行动做准备，预计持续至少100天。
- 欧洲央行会议记录发布，但中东冲突可能推迟货币政策正常化，关注通胀应对。
- 英国和西班牙等北约盟友提供军事支持，但直接参与程度有限，政策立场谨慎。
- 特朗普政府依赖军事压力，缺乏备用计划，增加战争失控风险。
- 全球央行可能因油价上涨而面临通胀挑战，利率路径或调整。
- 贸易政策紧张，中国稀土限制措施凸显供应链风险，可能引发报复。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡航运瘫痪 / 油价飙升 / 全球通胀和增长担忧
地缘政治风险上升 / 避险资产需求增加 / 黄金、美元上涨和股市下跌
能源供应冲击 / 商品成本上涨 / 央行政策滞后 / 经济放缓风险
冲突扩大 / 第三方国家介入 / 市场不确定性加剧 / 资产价格波动
来源
France 24 #2 / RT News / France 24 #3 / Google News - World / Yonhap News TV / Nikkei Asia / ECB Press Releases / Sky News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260305-war-in-the-middle-east-iran-under-heavy-attack
- [2] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260305-war-in-the-middle-east-global-reactions-and-military-deployments
- [3] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260305-bombing-rages-in-iran-as-war-widens-in-middle-east
- [4] https://www.rt.com/news/633892-iran-crisis-oil-price/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [5] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260305-iran-la-succession-d-ali-khamenei-s-organise
- [6] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260305-iran-pummeled-by-intensive-airstrikes-as-war-enters-day-six
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinwFBVV95cUxNNkItZ0E2aDd2UDRLYm1nWW5KR1EyY05RX3lTUnFOTHpwbnJfckZBR0RjclVNT1paVnRod01rUVgwVTl0dy1KUlB2Y1czZmRZMkNRR1lFaTRnV09FQktuMGRIMnlxVEh6Zk95Vjk0N1dsaVI4Uy1na3ZBcWVNU1NYYkRtMUtGcURZRnpHeFUxaDh4QkRJOGIzUGt2d2ozaGvSAaQBQVVfeXFMTnRsclY0NEk5NHVmMHQwd3BzWjhZNWhSblVFaTRBM19KUWFXbjhzVFNIT1FLc2lyWHpXX0NSVmJyUjRUQTlwQWM0MVI2a0NCNDk1Wi01aHZSR3VMVEs0eUh3QThlLWgyT3laR25SaWR5WnFIdk94LXY4Zmd6eEVOQ3pQaDVRdjEzMzhCb1F4cTVzMjVJdjM2RDdMeXJhZ2Q5czJhcmc?oc=5
- [8] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR202603060611491Qk
- [9] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH2026030606043019B
- [10] https://asia.nikkei.com/spotlight/supply-chain/rare-earth-yttrium-hits-new-high-up-140-fold-in-1-year-on-china-curbs
- [11] https://www.ecb.europa.eu//press/accounts/2026/html/ecb.mg260305~4a9b7afe1c.en.html
- [12] https://news.sky.com/story/diesel-at-16-month-high-as-iran-war-drives-oil-prices-up-further-13515828
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxQZGRlNF9hdHF0dzN0dkZTQU4wWGxla2J6MHB4NkpwalBTVTRrNkxaMWM3TmNVOWZSUEM0TnZ0aXNiNW5XUDhWX1JvOEJLM05tdjFGRlJ2YTQyT040RVdOT2RnYVBrbHFrWU1KSVRtaHFxOTRTbkdHMTFFV1FYSVE2c0VIVWZVTDRDNy1MbGFyVGRYXzJtYjBPbkZHdDRaN3BCT1BSZFVWeWY3UlF6aFdHUG5CV21mZw?oc=5
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/5/us-house-of-representatives-to-vote-on-latest-effort-to-halt-iran-war?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/the-debate/20260305-how-vulnerable-is-the-gulf-iran-war-escalation-undermines-energy-security
- [16] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260305-us-war-on-iran-has-no-plan-b-warns-scott-lucas-trump-just-wants-to-kill-people-and-blow-stuff-up
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivAFBVV95cUxOcGN3STktTEJxdnpGSTc3TUdaWk81eWo0eFR0NmtRaXNBaXhwNF9UV25hZmxPODlsTFplajBmWkJCVEJkYnhicXZncmlVTGJublV3bTFCVC01cDNFY1ZaZ0d4UDJkNWl3S1RWNDd2cl9TRXNzcmVBMm40a3pJcEVNa0VYN0hzS041RVg4TFF0VlhyNHR1aXVjMi1GbEtvYTlKMW5oaGpJckpfQkt2MllEQXdsUnVjR19lYUFVQtIBwgFBVV95cUxPU3FjSXNLdlREWFhzcUdYMkF0U1F3VG1aOE9hREM0VV80RnJwWTljRWhGNGU5NGt3QXR3UVY1ZjUwSU5yOUN4Tm4yNExLYUpWZlB0TlkzUlg2ZFZSZXFfOFNya1VZV1pUQ0tSMmdtbk5RczBfOF9Cb0RZb0xSaC1jNE1XZjF6TEdEZEdxVjJYWTlWMFIwaVZ
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2026/3/5/explosions-rock-tehran-as-israel-intensifies-strikes-on-government-sites?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwy884ekn0jo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2026/3/5/buildings-devastated-by-israeli-strikes-in-lebanon-death-toll-rises-to-77?traffic_source=rss
- [21] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260305-israel-orders-people-to-leave-swathe-of-beirut
- [22] https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/pm-remarks-on-the-situation-in-the-middle-east-5-march-2026
- [23] https://news.sky.com/story/defence-secretary-twice-declines-to-rule-out-britain-joining-strikes-on-iran-13515754
- [24] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilAFBVV95cUxQOUJNX3JOYkZqM1ViTmw1TlpoOUhWT0RkQ0pHeDR6UFhpeHZMWHJ5djlCSnU5WU5PV283ZU1hdHFvTVhDY2ZjQkthWHpZUUJpdjZ5Z2RIMEdFbjBBNlhNU1hfYlNRNFpGNnY3QzlSeHVZeVNHcU5lU21Ud1hVXzFwWk9pREJTOVFsc2NwUXYzVHh0TUJE?oc=5
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitwFBVV95cUxQdVRyUlBoQ3UwOHlodnBjVnJKYnJSS2FmTDVHUkxTQ1dHWG9ucC1sdmFIdVN4dEsxMGE5eGo1Y3VCV2RFbkVvVVRNTDF3Mjg3UVpkUnpUaUt6VXJXUkFmMEl3QmFXT1JOdmRpQmVLMkhGOGxKUi14QzQzdk5TT3NaaExBaUdNN1FGclJCM1ZDdHBacEFiUF9TazNTdUpidUhYWTdYWHFBXzI3TUJtaXIzd0RGSkV6dG8?oc=5
- [26] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5yqqyly9n0o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [27] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/the-take-2/2026/3/5/aje-onl-tt_irn_usiranmonday_av_v1-020326?traffic_source=rss
- [28] https://www.rt.com/news/633899-politico-us-preparing-months-long-war-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxOUWpRVWFsaG5naThuUzljRkpCcjJIenFzeGRnZU5lN1ZIX3VvWFcxMUZJOGVvbTZFaTRNSFcwX1puMGJ2TzhlbF8ybkdLbDJwU1NEUXliVkNxLVA3a3NJVHA3ZnVneXJ3VEpkbEdHeXJXSHJPcTd3MXBxVGU1UlBIZUtFR25ZR1JSb19vY3NHdzd0UExHTEhweEpnTnc0VDR6c0hqYXdBRERwWmFnSjRpT3lqNkF6TU9iN19n?oc=5
- [30] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/5/videos-show-destruction-after-us-and-israeli-strikes-on-iran?traffic_source=rss
2026-03-05
2026-03-05
进展要点
- 美国可能持续对伊朗施加军事压力，目标防止核扩散和削弱伊朗领导层
- 关税上调计划本周实施，特朗普政府强调保护美国利益，但可能面临国内批评
- 潜在外交接触以缓解中东紧张局势，但双方公开立场强硬
- 各国可能出台措施应对石油供应风险，如释放战略储备
- 关注美联储对地缘风险和通胀的货币政策反应
关联路径
美伊冲突升级 / 中东石油供应风险 / 油价上涨和避险资产（黄金、美元）需求
关税上调至15% / 全球贸易成本增加 / 经济增长放缓和股市波动
地缘风险缓解传闻（美伊接触） / 市场情绪改善 / 股市反弹和油价调整
积极经济数据（美国就业） / 支撑风险资产 / 部分抵消地缘负面影响
来源
The New York Times / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / Yonhap News TV / ANTARA News Jawa Timur / Times of India [timesofindia.indiatimes.com] / ABC News / DW (Deutsche Welle)
参考链接
- [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/04/briefing/the-us-accelerating-its-attacks-on-iran.html
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxNdjU0NmlDTWxZNnNDQlhDWGdqSHhJbGt6dzRaX21RRTdYVVdXWUF5MG1OMHlOMVFYWHRtZEpmYzJreTRyR3hSbnRKeVBJRHBpdjdoR096dWkzN0FlcEhhZXNNcnIzVU9lMjlmZEZINHI5Q0xnUXpVUmE4MDloaklUQW01YjdHNjM4aDFPbUcyeXZRNzdqbEtJaGtKR3BHOUV1LWowalhtSkxwSHA3OGpsN2s5R3FTY3hhellV0gHAAUFVX3lxTE5JQm81cFJhanQ2VlJoSlZCZGQxZi1YMFdsWV93a3IwN1kwNVQwQVFWWHBPc0g1QXV5S05zZjFlTGtNYWtZZ29RNXR6aHVweUVUcUZVdWxVZTAweEFmMnprd0lZQXFtdnFMVVhqLS00ZDN3ekZ5Nkk5RkZWb1d3OWc4bko5dVozQktkZnpfb3g1VzlrUjJuVnR
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/4/death-toll-in-iran-surpasses-1000-as-israel-us-strikes-continue?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260305073628QBz
- [5] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202603050522586xF
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimgFBVV95cUxQV0UySVFKQmRQOFNKTUpZX2xFbUFaT0Fpa3ZZdFJld0ZTU3o2V1VEWGlxbTJOYTRnTHNPSy1Ed3p5OXJjcWNjRVJsM2ZWeFctZE5mN3BmY3RVcF9mRDh6UEl4ZXNZTG1XLTZMRnVvNllrNldpT3g3M1R1VGxKOVFFa2M1cjNZVHJLbU1Ga2VUeVMwM3pkS21YUDR30gGfAUFVX3lxTFBiNVBqUnNhVGgyUGhqOVZFeEVlODdvcV90OEpjZnRpV1AxR0FzbXgtYkp2RVF0ZkFjajRVb3ZUaHhJS2dOS1FrRGtXS21GdFNaZjlheElfUkNGMlVTaFllWXJfRDRGelFPU0dBRm4wY1UwTWFoN19LSmI5YXI0d2xJc2V6LTAxanIzWVhSS21VOHdUWGFNTGJrMHMya0dZVQ?oc=5
- [7] https://jatim.antaranews.com/berita/1042499/korban-tewas-serangan-as-di-iran-capai-1045-orang
- [8] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/defence/international/watch-exact-moment-us-strike-hits-iranian-ship-killing-over-85/articleshow/129033347.cms
- [9] https://abcnews.com/Politics/video/us-sinks-iranian-ship-torpedo-indian-ocean-1st-130753852
- [10] https://abcnews.com/Politics/us-sinks-iranian-ship-torpedo-indian-ocean-1st/story?id=130752053
- [11] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/04/world/middleeast/iran-navy-ship-sri-lanka.html
- [12] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260305001514U4x
- [13] https://www.dw.com/en/us-submarine-torpedoes-iranian-warship-in-indian-ocean/a-76216943?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMicEFVX3lxTE9xSDI4dFhkT2E1NklVZXNqMU1hdXJSNEUyMERzSW5xb3BKMm41ZlB1Mk56TFhJMFdzUlhWaGJDcTNmY3Y3YVpjNzZMc2hjR0xYeUdNZEYtQUdzWVdsNlhOdnM3TGdHRTlmX1pXenVraHM?oc=5
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipgFBVV95cUxPNXM5TFNKSmxnUUIyVlVNY1M5Sl9rdkxmSEZ0amVJM1BJQzVLQmNMeENQcDRfLU1TLVh3Ukw4YjRqUnVqM0JOYjV6U0NMVTRrSU8tT2hKOVFqMF82MDNXbjZMRjZvR19lSUFXVTIzQ3pmZTgwTG1PZU1mTVo5cU52TW5aOVJTM1h0QnMxbnFGZm0xdDVIX04xTC1DeGFFa25Oa3VyUWpR?oc=5
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/4/over-100-people-missing-after-us-sinks-iranian-military-ship-off-sri-lanka?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigAJBVV95cUxPN3FTcWRwVG9yZlZtYURzOWhjeS1rX2xkQlBJaEJZZFh2TDg2ei1pOHp3eENOVlpHcmZ3UDduOUtRQTdvaUM4OW5lSWlhdEZ3WHFDb2Vzc1lsYmUydWlCN2V6cFBkTlRvdnZ2bjlHa1lvWTE4dlZhei1oNTFJOVZPeTU4Zk9Mb0htRTdON3BCcWVuUjdCbTN3RTZ3dmhQc1h5Mm1ha1k5VkxBZkNCeGE5OWY4Sm5yeXF5RWxaTmRqT2F5YUNoT1haTE4tWmkyR1lDQWFpenB2SExTa2xwbHNVT2d1azBiZE90cjkxaHByRVVOblBYQ3h4dEZuWGFSYnVT?oc=5
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxNZ3o2Z0QySUZYbzZhdzNBVmgyNkRoNW9YYkF1NmlsM3RDTFRLWFY1M0Y1Z0t5bXg3YngtNHpVeTZ5ZmkwOUhYX2tTN2h1bkRQSnNpZmZKS2V3dENRS3NOMGsta2xtd2lVWktmLURjbzNWY09xWVJwc2lzeTFheVRXYkJsTzJGQjhQLVRITjRIZ1VRc3Y2Zi10Z1dzWEhVN1ViQ0NfWUFaU05SZHdYYWNlMFl4SQ?oc=5
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/4/us-will-rain-missiles-death-and-destruction-on-iran-trump-aides-say?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/4/traders-mint-money-on-betting-platforms-on-us-israel-strike-on-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE1TUi1od2ZDcDNHZHdmaTNhbEREZjV3OTNCZjBPdjluQXYxYWplQ1ZlaTVid1MxRzJZMDMzSjJQSXdlbkkzeTJDWnZ3SUNFREVLX2c3eFI2TG5zUQ?oc=5
- [22] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/4/how-is-the-war-playing-out-in-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/4/trump-us-forces-doing-very-well-on-the-war-front-in-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/international-business/tariff-may-be-hiked-to-15-this-week-scott-bessent/articleshow/129055667.cms
- [25] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260305075648wwf
- [26] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202603050754285ab
- [27] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c99jjr7d40yo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [28] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260305072036cok
- [29] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/middle-east-crisis-donald-trump-rates-us-war-effort-15-out-of-10-vows-to-push-on-against-iran/articleshow/129051534.cms
- [30] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260305065435LlX
2026-03-04
2026-03-04
进展要点
- 美国可能继续军事打击伊朗，但面临国际压力和国内反对。
- 欧洲国家如法国呼吁遵守国际法，可能部署军事力量以维护地区稳定。
- 中东国家需调整能源政策以应对供应中断，可能寻求替代来源。
- 全球央行可能面临通胀压力，需权衡货币政策应对能源价格上涨。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 石油供应中断 / 油价上涨 / 全球通胀压力和股市下跌
地缘政治风险上升 / 避险情绪升温 / 黄金和美元需求增加 / 风险资产抛售
特朗普贸易威胁 / 全球贸易不确定性 / 市场波动和避险资产流入
来源
Al Jazeera Middle East / Yahoo News - World / Ukrinform / RT News / Xinhua Finance / Google News - World / BBC News (Business) / BBC News (Top)
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/4/iran-live-news-us-embassy-in-dubai-hit-israel-pounds-tehran-beirut?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/idf-destroys-secret-nuclear-over-211910871.html
- [3] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-polytics/4097728-us-military-says-over-1700-targets-hit-in-iran.html
- [4] https://www.rt.com/news/633639-energy-markets-reaction/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [5] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260304/2f0d9742944b4a138d93fb39776d074f/c.html
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMibkFVX3lxTE9HcW90OWVjOXIxeDRKc3N4MGNfRkFMRjUtT0VhT2oyeHlsUm91OUZUYWR3TmRudjBGYWJYVWdKRGh2TTNLQnhuaXlEYnpBRE1kVU13Q0htb0lBTXdYMDVYUzBYR1p1azJhUjZrOU5R0gFzQVVfeXFMUDBRTDhHXzNvVFp3dTBfU1ByZEVySElzenoxU0M3QUtzcmY2R2ZYRldEVm9JZnNMQTFJTmdNUXQ4akxfYzBHWTZ2SkJvYm1XY0JHZGp5ZW01aXhRbFJvX2NxeVFaWmZqRVNOLVZHeTRpU2hPdw?oc=5
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTFBHbDdHZ2IyRkpZbjc0WDF1WG9SMkxNWTJNdTlhUmlZNVdHQU5PaVFXT0Q2MngyemZNblpqckhKcG9Pa0hmQkJqMWhPOWZpMjBtMmhuWmNUZFFIdnh1Q2dDQUNyOFZ1M1VxRlVaV3VaZjVZWmlJT25Wdw?oc=5
- [8] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260304/53a69df4e0d74a8eb47ff5e82c504e40/c.html
- [9] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxNb0J1ejdjZU56ZlQ4Z2ZkLVNJZWdyendSUFZFNGJxSTlVQnlQRno5RzV3RjFMWUw5anpjajNFVUkwUDVvVEZRb1F4ME1lZndpa2JuMUdWc2RMV19LRGFabWJ4bmEwdkNxZFhsNXB2UEtuRWY2czVRS3MtMjhNc09qcjZsWkhna0tCWDFORkxfNXA0bVRMZEg5SXkydHFXWDE1M2E3MGlBdmU?oc=5
- [10] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwFBVV95cUxObDJhQXpCWDFZY2ExMWlvM20td3I1a1pJRFdkQ2Joakh3SkpmWTNMWDdjMVVNbnpwd0lrcHRVeG5IMmNGRDRtMFhnYUVPMGplT3BHRzRHVVdWemUwd2p1R2JwZkE4ZjUzZzBrbXZONkMzeWk5R0lLZjhTbEc4aEVBWktqSQ?oc=5
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxOTTR3OWFWWFo1ZTZLRUV4R2NzUXVRV3Z6UUFGNWtJQ1hJU1JDMEN0Sml1ZnZaUXlsYTQ2TGx1NlBoTUxlWmFnQWkxcXNvYVJFX0IzSEpWXzFZUUQwaVllN1ZDcGRGeTd2czFhMkRucW9ZeG5aVWdUOU8xVGM1X2xHSzNOaExta0dpaGJlbW5vR3RRdERmMHNoeDl3OVdEZGdxT1E5N3hpcHNCY0hH?oc=5
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigAFBVV95cUxNaFM1X0dITWZ2b2lSOEluZjVabjJnOVA0dmM3VmNWbTFpbFp4TnFOQ1huOWxSeWNZMHlWaTBYakFwX0psTkJJVEo2M3M4X3NudmJQLUdKTFhLa1ZUd2wzOXE5Zl80NDlBX2dGcHVTR1NCOGdlckQ0R0xFQmxZZS11NQ?oc=5
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuAFBVV95cUxOWk44LTU4dDlfaDJqb2hvSzJ0X2JHWlAyaVEzX1FRYVZBSVV2QWUtNU1LaUpvUkR3V0pJQjJNTHlVSkxzM0Rad3ZLemU1eDlTUlJlRmxkeVhGNDFzU0R3NkZnTzdVal9tc01fLXRrSEktd1dWUnVtQ0o1MjB2dzF0ZlpTcmNyX1hrS2dvUHdleWtBRGxkOV82dFlISUZkN1ctOEZIdk5jeUdIaExrTmQxRlJTUWVLaGRT?oc=5
- [14] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/iran-strikes-saudi-infrastructure-pushing-211940999.html
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/3/unpacking-us-justification-for-iran-attacks?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxQWk9Nb1JVRVF4OGJyQXZDNjBjOXl0dTNXMDM1ZDE1RF9LSVJoTjFyZk03UUZTSFd6eFhodlZUNUgzMzJRbDh4TUpjdkVvWGpBZmhDZy0tRTRYUzdLdlc3UzRHd25CQUZNbXhKWnc0Sm5XQ283QXZCUi0yQk5STW1yenBtT3ZpM2w2aV8zWUhRWkpJWF9xU0w4M2RpYTFMMEJrYWNR?oc=5
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMizAFBVV95cUxOMzQ1dXdtQ1lEOWZzclZuVU4tSERVU21JcnFxRFhVUF9uMWpnd1A3dTJWanE4SGJpRkp2QzhFdVlweV9DNEJkeEdLdl9UUGxCVS1HMUFjSDdjQWNYdEdTbzJCand2NFRVSjZxUkNLSU02bUpCQnR2ajVWcXA2a251ZEhTS3ZIejB0b3VtYnBjeG16T3VwVkdUcVZGMlRnRlEwYzlnVE1xelYzM2hTOXpFc2dNbGdudGxPX1czZm5TOG5BZVJrbzllemJqLVo?oc=5
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTFBSN3NFbjZjS0ZpRm1qUnBKbGl6Yjh1Q29YYWZ1ODQyYVNnX2NydVpWODZkTHBRM08yQnZKZFZ0bHo0Q2dYQ2NERkJrdVlnZFl1Q2tmZVVaZGM1c2hGckp4LWxlLWU5S094LXc?oc=5
- [19] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c20zg54g5vvo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqgFBVV95cUxQWm1TOGdTSmpTb3FHRzJjeGNZTDR0Y2pNaTVCeVNnbG9GRS1SRy1mb19IcFNuWE9hR1hXSkc2N2dvZU1Pd29Pdi1nWXZTQm1hME5aMkp2ZFNXWDJmbHRUMHhmNVZuN0FaSjV3Sk1mRTU0cXpOM18xWW1PXzFYS0hMRUFoakM1ckZIMVM0cTRlbXJPMUk1M1lHRThiQjhUYl9HZ3VqTE93dU0wdw?oc=5
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/3/travellers-stranded-airlines-under-pressure-as-iran-war-escalates?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/3/what-are-the-implications-of-irans-strikes-on-gulf-arab-states?traffic_source=rss
- [23] https://www.rt.com/news/633653-iran-minab-schoolgirls-funeral/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [24] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cr5lz0vgy52o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiX0FVX3lxTE9ZNnlqYV9mM1ZRZnc0MFlGRXZvVzdJZkVKMHZHN2tqeE40dXItRHBqZTBBMHJVVFpUT1JMekRUY21DVm5qZjc3Y3BFQ0Mwd05SZkI2OFhUa1hhdTBSMFZj?oc=5
- [26] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/3/worst-case-scenario-trump-weighs-replacing-khamenei-as-leader-of-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikAFBVV95cUxPSTNiY2docGxMcHdCNjhHZjBJbWRTUmJDU1ZYR0tHVFdMc095a2VMSzBLaUxIa0hmdWFfM1NtaDgzcmlrUWE2QWFFSGNPelY1dWZET21NdWZlVENtU2VVVXZNdks0Rm91SU5FMVBDTUN0UGpxMXpjQkU1MUEteEpkZEFkdVVvbllmYlJPSC12WlQ?oc=5
- [28] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/3/us-will-provide-insurance-for-ships-in-gulf-amid-iranian-attacks-trump?traffic_source=rss
- [29] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/3/iran-mourns-165-girls-staff-killed-in-us-israel-strike-on-minab-school?traffic_source=rss
- [30] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilgFBVV95cUxPenNLZHlGTHVkdFBkR3BNYmRZcWtDdTdscGt2aklhN1AzbzM5OUFhV0ktRE54RjVTMF9vWFhZWmpJb1VOOU81X1NvbGwtWXE4cnN4NEtxWUMyczJlWTFNZjNtWmowMDRYWXpXRzNhak1hTzhxVTBEcC1lQ3NOSlp0dDE4RjRkWmtkeEZfRmgwSTJEemdBanfSAZsBQVVfeXFMT2tmeGx3eHp1cnVGRGdvMkdNOTRMRkZqWjlLa1J3N24xZVFuenAzSjd3NGxFT3BjbklJRnc5cjhJa0oyVkhLbWRfako0QlY3Y3lXLUlOZU8yeWdjSDdIeXI1N1Z1RXVxTnVPeVFnQXlmRmotSHVJOURXeEFJOWRYOUx0MVA3aTE2MXcxS2h6NURjaV9fUlgtOXRGc0k?oc=5
2026-03-03
2026-03-03
进展要点
- 美国可能进一步升级军事行动，包括派遣地面部队，以摧毁伊朗导弹能力和核计划
- OPEC+可能调整产量政策以应对市场波动，增产决定旨在稳定油价但效果不确定
- 各国政府可能释放战略石油储备以缓解油价冲击，如韩国已宣布储备208天
- 美联储等央行加息路径可能受油价上涨驱动的通胀压力影响，政策立场或更鹰派
- 美国敦促公民撤离中东多国，反映地区安全局势恶化，可能影响外交和经济活动
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡封锁风险 / 全球油价飙升 / 通胀压力增加和避险情绪上升
伊朗反击和美国攻击 / 军事不确定性扩大 / 避险资产需求增加 / 黄金和美元上涨
OPEC+增产 / 石油供给增加 / 油价下行潜在压力 / 通胀预期缓和和市场稳定
油价上涨 / 全球能源成本上升 / 影响经济增长和企业盈利 / 股市波动加剧
来源
Yonhap News TV / Al Jazeera Middle East / RT News / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Google News - World / China News Service / JETRO Business News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260303083504hC0
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/2/new-wave-of-heavy-israeli-strikes-hit-tehran?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260303074950oQe
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202603030738314Rj
- [5] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260303065730vHK
- [6] https://www.rt.com/news/633541-iran-attacks-us-bases/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [7] https://www.dw.com/en/ayatollah-ali-khamenei-the-man-who-wanted-to-destroy-israel/a-76169184?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
- [8] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/2/us-israeli-strikes-hit-housing-hospitals-and-more-in-tehran?traffic_source=rss
- [9] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260303050236bRV
- [10] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMizgFBVV95cUxOZy1DTC1Kb2dRcFNJR19MUWpWY3JIajBQTFJoQ3JYdWYtZnNEMGZSYWRVbzZHZ2RSYjg5bEJ2bkpTZHRzQzFlLUhfeHZmZEZRWkJEY29PNjRHYTFhbF9jblpfT2d5Y2RMWmtUaHNnLWlhbk5yRk8tXzlLLUVDQmVZS1pROExLVXRMeTNhTmR6SGdWQXdRS1FPaXVTR3VUOThzd3FPeUt6VE1PQWxCRi1Qa2RrSUR4YVJjcm9Va1FTVXJaZVNPMWJWbU8xM3ZSZw?oc=5
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwFBVV95cUxPRmJEdk53OEpnU01zWnRIak5FX2QzbjNMVGQwWm5DYUVhbmNCZzJiNXRiU2Q0c3FGU2RjWllLVUZmMF9HaWZUbmd4SzJTRUU5eU1GWWdLN0g0cUEyVVBpdGRYZ05NS3RQZU5Zdm5TUGRreFpNSUNBX1kyLTFoSnVUN3NCSUM1OFpJUTE2X3o4cDE0emk3TEMw?oc=5
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqwFBVV95cUxPSjBuZWZ3MVFPbDJUc3YwOF9kNTJWSzYzS19ZYl9RdDUwTmFRV2E3RzJuUDVyck54VzZVX1Z4NUdhZzFHSlVVVE5XMFZFYWRwOGRFMjgxcnJDekZrNG0xdmIzMkVlbk9ldzJsTXktNTRFTXRENWlOYXNTa3RBempwRmt0eDdNVUdvekFaNTB5MFVzMTluSV9aWWtrYUVmQkFyNEZwenJKWmZ2ZFE?oc=5
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxNU2NHaE5XeDg3VUE2STYwLW9pcDhQMDIyblFwcDVwMGlaWUJGQzJkY1NyRTAtVS05QmpVakFfMWNSRzlJd1poLWZsSkhHMmJRa3Q5Wlh3UF94WDJaSkVLSmlILUlaZXIxa0pUMjRMbG1yM2NldVlwZURDMHpvZmFCLTV6VWlGclJzYXZR?oc=5
- [14] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260303083926kBk
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260303084656Em8
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixAFBVV95cUxNeTZ6OFhCUVdnVUxtci1wbHNTSXZ0azNyTkRRbjN1aG5WNW5sQlVPSjhNbUZncFc3VHh5RlEzUk1FbjRGZTF5dHJRbVJSVThabWNiLWVIcmRhZUNMMjEwTW55UXVKdldlVVAyX0Z6Tl9MeVJVOEJWZ1NkbVdFOExkejJHbU93d2FhOVZRYVRLM2U1SWJRSEtqUEdabWRYV3Yxc3lrbDd6SF9NZDVWeW1lWmVZQTNONDlFRUNYa2FJSU5nV25v?oc=5
- [17] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260303083641gZ7
- [18] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-03/10579735.shtml
- [19] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-03/10579730.shtml
- [20] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-03/10579729.shtml
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/2/iran-says-will-attack-any-ship-trying-to-pass-through-strait-of-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202603030756415hf
- [23] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR202603030719278Kr
- [24] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260303071916e5r
- [25] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-03/10579727.shtml
- [26] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxNSDVsRnRWUEg4c2hacEhwbkxLUEhyOEVfY05xRjVEajh4ZWFfOVVXb2Y0dEZsNGN1aXBMdjJIYTVwV2M0YmNnd253RDdBSTkyNW5QYTFJeHNMU1dwcUJSQW9memxMZXJuRHVOckt3U1p3WnJtVmx5NE52RWlpQ0M4VmdOODJOTkRNWGN2a0U1b0ZTTWpONDhHMnczZTVDT0I4S0ZFdjBNUmlwZm1CTUFqNFdxTQ?oc=5
- [27] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/03/00df4d951aa739aa.html
- [28] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/03/6b03954374bb387d.html
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxNaHRKQ2JvNjhkZG5YUl9SWjhGR2JSekg0ZmkwalBqUHpfcFU4X3Rkc2d5Nl9nOFR2UmJjeVUwZ3pIU196SEFqU285WXpHVHU1TDU4VnBXYzVlamhRRzJMREsxWXRybDlVTi12TTRXVDdzaENfVGdqd1N6T2ZTYkxyWE5adjBabkY3aE5ScTVjbG5vZw?oc=5
- [30] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/2/rubio-suggests-timing-of-us-strikes-on-iran-was-influenced-by-israeli-plans?traffic_source=rss
2026-03-02
2026-03-02
进展要点
- 美国可能加强军事部署，总统特朗普誓言继续攻击。
- 伊朗临时领导委员会可能寻求外交途径或升级冲突。
- 联合国安理会已召开紧急会议，呼吁克制。
- 全球各国可能实施制裁或支持外交解决。
- 中国和俄罗斯呼吁停火，推动多边对话。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 石油供应风险 / 油价上涨 / 通胀预期上升
地缘政治不确定性 / 避险情绪 / 黄金和美元上涨
冲突外溢至其他地区 / 全球供应链中断 / 股市下跌
美国军事行动持续 / 财政支出增加 / 美元走强
来源
Yonhap News TV / Google News - World / Xinhua World / RT News / China News Service / France 24 #3 / France 24 #2 / DW (Deutsche Welle) [rss.dw.com]
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260302085315eAe
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijwFBVV95cUxNa3BOSmhLc1liQ1h5MWdwSlI3VkxvYlNtOThEeTFnRGFzR2tXeU9TZzV3WDNpVjEwWVRvT05SMVBFdjV2Ul9FdU9lR0pfeWV2dlZydUw3bWEtX0VVRlpVSjZ6cERqTkVYWDZfbUczaXkzRkgtOEhKREpFNW5TeUU4U05ONi10ZUdKUVJSVW5KWQ?oc=5
- [3] https://www.news.cn/world/20260301/4db67bdab48842a693808cc24803f9b3/c.html
- [4] https://www.rt.com/news/633393-khamenei-killing-america-and-israel/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [5] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-02/10579069.shtml
- [6] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-02/10579053.shtml
- [7] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-02/10579071.shtml
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimgFBVV95cUxQNFBVczFkN1FqZGZQWW82VEdNemVCS0VpSm9OLUxRVGNzZnAtUDJ4TnR5Wi04M2JhRmExT2gwV3Z6TDhiLWx6ZjhjSkhFVGVFdlRNZy1qM09HUVVvdEwtNTRVM054UTFCaWtlTjR3VmtQRy1rMVl3bjJROXVycnNfOTdXXzhBYTBIMzcxSXRWdkZEa3dBRG5NbGxn?oc=5
- [9] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260301-premiers-soldats-am%C3%A9ricains-tu%C3%A9s-lors-de-l-op%C3%A9ration-contre-l-iran
- [10] https://www.france24.com/en/khamenei-confirmed-dead-iran-s-revolutionary-guards-pledge-revenge
- [11] https://www.france24.com/en/israel-hits-tehran-as-iran-s-counterattacks-widen-after-supreme-leader-is-killed
- [12] https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacific/20260301-tensions-rise-over-strait-of-hormuz-as-tankers-caught-in-crossfire
- [13] https://www.france24.com/en/khamenei-confirmed-dead-iran-targets-us-bases-in-retaliation
- [14] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260301-iran-s-supreme-leader-ali-khamenei-has-died-what-are-the-reactions-on-the-gorund
- [15] https://www.dw.com/en/us-confirms-american-troops-killed-wounded-in-iran-clashes/a-76177887?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [16] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-02/10579029.shtml
- [17] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-02/10579027.shtml
- [18] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c363zkp1pgxo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [19] https://www.rt.com/news/633367-jihad-is-coming-khameneis-death/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [20] https://abcnews.com/GMA/News/video/latest-us-israel-attack-iran-130647282
- [21] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/israel-strikes-tehran-as-irans-counterattacks-widen-after-supreme-leader-was-killed/article70691620.ece
- [22] https://www.news.cn/world/20260301/8fdd8eced80a4f8ebcff41ababa9766e/c.html
- [23] https://www.dw.com/de/ali-chamenei-der-mann-der-israel-zerstören-wollte/a-76168647?maca=de-rss-de-all-1119-rdf
- [24] https://www.dw.com/de/trump-verkündet-großen-kampfeinsatz-gegen-den-iran/a-76160970?maca=de-rss-de-all-1119-rdf
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipAFBVV95cUxQN1lCSVpTTkdMUnJsbXdkR1NaQVg5Y0xWRWVCWEdCRjJpZlpabEs1RDdvYmNPU2w3OXl4aHlscGF1dVYwcjJCTi1FVnZybjBMQzNyc3JUeEZISV9WeWNQckU4Qjh4ZGVpTVNueGhGNTJRVlM2YklKQjl3QjVtNWtNZ3FSSDBCX1BrZUd3ZFdGX2lGaGNNQmFYNDJkdDdqQnFkc1BEQg?oc=5
- [26] https://www.dw.com/en/khamenei-s-death-never-thought-i-would-see-this-day/a-76175776?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
- [27] https://www.rt.com/news/633168-world-reacts-us-israel-attack-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [28] https://www.rt.com/news/633328-iran-airspace-chaos-stranded/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [29] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/more-strikes-aimed-iran-us-035109978.html
- [30] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimgFBVV95cUxQWlRWdS1HSGlJd3dKSkZBbWxwRGtTV1hIaDNydm1mbTlhc2VFN1dqTkRxdVRmdWZjbDZjQVlVZnFvZjVKUThJRHQwMDFja3B6RTJINlNCSGkwTEs4cFpycmhOREVmS2dkT0ctYWxCU2lwV004alg2UlZxcW5WMFFYS1NSR0hibzJEUjZrSjlaUmJ2M3dacFF3ZXFR?oc=5
2026-03-01
2026-03-01
进展要点
- 美国可能持续军事行动直至伊朗政权更迭，但面临国内法律和国际压力。
- 联合国安理会召开紧急会议，寻求外交停火，但美俄分歧可能阻碍进展。
- 各国或释放战略石油储备以平抑油价，并加强能源供应链多元化。
- 央行可能调整货币政策应对油价驱动的通胀，但增长担忧限制激进收紧。
- 伊朗宣布40天全国哀悼，临时领导委员会选举新领袖过程受关注。
关联路径
美以打击伊朗 / 霍尔木兹海峡封锁 / 油价上涨 / 全球通胀和增长放缓
中东冲突升级 / 避险情绪 / 黄金和美元上涨 / 股市和风险资产下跌
伊朗政权真空 / 区域不稳定 / 石油供应中断 / 能源市场动荡
地缘政治风险 / 央行政策不确定性 / 利率和汇率波动
来源
China News Service / Yonhap News TV / The New York Times / Yonhap News Agency [en.yna.co.kr] / Times of India [timesofindia.indiatimes.com] / Al Jazeera Middle East / RT News / Google News - World
参考链接
- [1] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-01/10578570.shtml
- [2] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260301085431RoG
- [3] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260301085325DhA
- [4] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/28/world/middleeast/iran-leadership-khamenei-shamkhani-pakpour-nasirzadeh.html
- [5] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260301080040SGr
- [6] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260301082402NCK
- [7] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260301080138VzD
- [8] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260228003155315
- [9] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/khamenei-killed-after-us-israel-strike-iran-issues-unforgettable-lesson-10-things-to-know/articleshow/128900888.cms
- [10] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/khamenei-killed-in-us-strike-who-are-his-potential-successors/articleshow/128898535.cms
- [11] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/us-israel-iran-strike-heavy-and-pinpoint-bombing-will-continue-what-trump-wrote-as-he-announced-khameneis-killing/articleshow/128898991.cms
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/28/ayatollah-ali-khamenei-the-leader-who-shaped-irans-defiance?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260228003154315
- [14] https://www.rt.com/news/633223-they-didnt-catch-iran-off-guard/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [15] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260228003153315
- [16] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260228003152315
- [17] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260228003151315
- [18] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/us-israel-attack-iran-plume-of-smoke-rises-near-burj-khalifa-as-iran-missile-attack-hits-dubai-video-captures-chaos/articleshow/128894990.cms
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260301040750Sgd
- [20] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR202603010443058D5
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiywFBVV95cUxQeXIwVVpWbERtSnFRX3BjR042VUl2SmpmdnE0VzBHWU93UkxNMzF2dUFRdGVwcl90NHBXYllORG1OcGhGX1ZEZHltUERPWjVnZHpQX3ppLXJUcmFPS0dBVHFqdmV3WkhBdWVHeE1oZU90cUt3UHZCX2pCQkdPWkloSS1Fc3BGUnJOQ3NyWEpmcVNCTUhyUnJoS1NuT01qM2hQTnYzRXA1M1F1RUp2enBuaDg1SUJwYkFPME1XdkRvTndQYmRkMC1sWm9GOA?oc=5
- [22] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260228-en-direct-isra%C3%ABl-lance-une-attaque-pr%C3%A9ventive-contre-l-iran-d%C3%A9cr%C3%A8te-l-%C3%A9tat-d-urgence
- [23] https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacific/20260228-live-israel-says-launched-preventive-strike-against-iran-declares-state-of-emergency
- [24] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilgFBVV95cUxNREtzcnNZRS1jT3FXeExGamY5ck55emtiMjBYVXpkbjQyT0FzZDRQcHFIMEVEbDFMRHUtMEs4MlZYUmdzZVUwZmJkQ3AxbGdGU1R4RXdLQ3hqX2ZlV0piZjJ0VFI0MFlkTzdvWjF3WnQxMGVsaVdQS2pfTlZzZmpuU1RvYlF5NS04NGxnb05ReXAySl9Zd1E?oc=5
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxOYkVZQzRBSzJXaEM1WmhhRmN3LTRqUW93dzZ4bTA0WWRqNTlTZ2JsX0dQQUlOemN1MXZNSFd4bmdUOTlON3p3TVdOcXZ6MHpPRGhSRHFYSGZfX0FqNjVtTkxhLVMzN3JqWEJyY2pMb1VrLXJndldJOVpzXzhQZzF6UE1fY3NidDBaNk40SGhYNWRCaG9TMkhmZkVrU2RqXzBnd3FCQU9Icw?oc=5
- [26] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/2/28/us-and-israel-strike-iran-what-happened?traffic_source=rss
- [27] https://www.rt.com/news/633237-has-wwiii-just-started-whats-happening-iran-israel-us/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [28] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4g0pnnj8xyo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [29] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260228-frappes-am%C3%A9ricaines-en-iran-aucun-moyen-de-cette-ampleur-n-avait-%C3%A9t%C3%A9-d%C3%A9ploy%C3%A9-depuis-2003
- [30] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260228-isra%C3%ABl-et-les-%C3%A9tats-unis-frappent-l-iran-comment-l-op%C3%A9ration-s-est-elle-d%C3%A9roul%C3%A9e
2026-02-28
2026-02-28
进展要点
- 德国通胀下降至1.9%，或促使欧央行提前降息，提振风险资产
- 欧盟军事建设加速，国防开支目标提高，长期影响财政政策
- 美国对伊朗实施新制裁和旅行警告，外交与军事手段并用
- IMF对乌贷款提供短期财政支持，但还款能力依赖国际援助，风险极高
关联路径
中东紧张 / 石油供应风险 / 通胀压力上升
欧洲核威慑 / 地缘风险溢价 / 避险资产上涨
俄乌管道中断 / 能源安全担忧 / EUR和欧股承压
德国通胀下降 / 欧央行降息预期 / EUR下跌、德债上涨
来源
Times of India [timesofindia.indiatimes.com] / RT News / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Der Spiegel International / Al Jazeera Middle East / Ukrinform / The New York Times / Google News - World
参考链接
- [1] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/dont-want-to-but-sometimes-you-have-to-trump-again-warns-iran-of-possible-military-action/articleshow/128861540.cms
- [2] https://www.rt.com/news/633137-nordic-nations-host-nukes/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [3] https://www.dw.com/en/us-allows-staff-to-leave-israel-as-trump-attack-on-iran-looms/a-76157922?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
- [4] https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/inflation-rate-faellt-ueberraschend-unter-zwei-prozent-marke-a-91486dcb-02d3-42ac-b7c4-cf9b68bbdbfd
- [5] https://www.rt.com/news/633125-iran-us-talks-results/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [6] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/the-take-2/2026/2/27/aje-onl-irn_genevatalks2026_av_v2-260226?traffic_source=rss
- [7] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4096330-war-update-57-clashes-on-front-line-since-morning-heaviest-fighting-in-huliaipole-sector.html
- [8] https://www.rt.com/news/633113-hungary-slovakia-druzhba-commission/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [9] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/27/world/middleeast/us-embassy-jerusalem-authorized-departure.html
- [10] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4096266-at-ramstein-ukraine-unveils-its-war-plan-secures-historic-partner-support-dm-fedorov.html
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikAFBVV95cUxPWmZ0NnBLOEhNMzdJUUlXWnhFdWRpLW10eG5OWHZCT2FHM0U2dzUyVTg2enNtM0Roblg4VHdmU0s1WUUwLUNxN3hFOGdIUEdnX0t5cFNXakdIM0s4dzNYdTRlRk1OemQ4bENPSGdvOWRfbnd6aG1qV2dxZVNZdWdFQkI5ajl5WW00ZmZxY1hab2o?oc=5
- [12] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/vp-vance-says-us-sees-222809233.html
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/27/hong-kong-linked-company-decries-search-of-panama-canal-port-offices?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://www.rt.com/news/633148-pentagon-anthropic-national-security-risk/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [15] https://www.rt.com/news/633147-americans-warning-iran-rubio/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [16] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/kriegserklaerung-von-pakistan-das-sind-die-hintergruende-zum-konflikt-zwischen-pakistan-und-den-taliban-a-4098daa5-213b-4876-87a9-e33eb8edd2bf
- [17] https://www.rt.com/news/633141-iraq-militia-us-iran-war/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [18] https://www.rt.com/news/633144-ukraine-shut-oil-pipeline-fico/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/27/iaea-eyes-isfahan-nuclear-complex-as-it-urges-iran-to-allow?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/27/ukraine-claws-back-southern-territory-as-russias-war-enters-fifth-year?traffic_source=rss
- [21] https://www.rt.com/news/633145-imf-approve-loan-kiev/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [22] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/israel-auswaertiges-amt-raet-dringend-von-reisen-ab-a-780a281e-d0b8-4b9f-9134-52e69a85d120
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxQRC1jOE50RkxUYkw1YzVFamg3M0xOQjk4LVMzNmxJVTZMVEhqUGJMakVDbjBBaUJSVHVsUFc2V2EtVEtiMXlhd0VfNmNSY1pUV1BQbzd3VTRCTUZWOHdpdEdKOFNRbHp1ZkJTZGFrQ0JJWU9iUjVqSEdMQVVzaEJvS0I1b0RlZV9kQ0RKRmVsSFkyYjlsT3dNT2lFcVBkQjZkVlpjRFBVTlNiNFUxX3lzSA?oc=5
- [24] https://www.rt.com/news/633139-us-wants-war-iran-ritter/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/27/marco-rubio-plans-israel-trip-as-trump-says-hes-not-happy-with-iran-talk?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://www.rt.com/news/633132-pakistan-and-afghanistan-are-at-war/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipAFBVV95cUxNNEJmUVJrMUpHUHZicWN1NlJHTmlYa3BfdXI4UTdDS3dhbDlGbFdzQzQ1MGxUYVU2ckxsT3FnSEl2eXdDRlozODAxZzgtMXJuUmItMVF5QThVcFllZ2dCa0xWLTVXemhfeHFKem11Rk5kV1RpUnE1WnNHVDBkMHZKTlJLSkIxWW15ZVgxOG5PUHplUGkyZGE4aGpocWFTYWo0S1VJYw?oc=5
- [28] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4096376-russian-army-attacks-three-districts-of-dnipropetrovsk-region-over-three-dozen-times-causing-damage.html
- [29] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/2/27/residents-describe-panic-as-pakistan-attacks-afghanistan-in-open?traffic_source=rss
- [30] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/27/iran-says-us-must-drop-excessive-demands-in-nuclear-negotiations?traffic_source=rss
2026-02-27
2026-02-27
进展要点
- 日本央行理事暗示加息以应对通胀风险，市场关注货币政策转向信号。
- 韩国央行维持基准利率2.5%不变，上调2026年增长预期至2%，反映亚洲经济韧性。
- 美国抵押贷款利率三年来首次跌破6%，借贷成本降低可能刺激经济活动。
- 欧盟推出900亿欧元乌克兰援助计划，财政扩张增加欧元区债务压力。
- 中国实施对日出口管制，贸易政策趋紧，可能影响全球供应链。
关联路径
中东紧张升级 / 石油供应风险 / 油价上涨 / 全球通胀压力
俄乌核威胁 / 避险需求增加 / 黄金上涨、股市下跌
中美贸易摩擦 / 供应链中断 / 避险资产需求 / 美元和黄金走强
日本央行加息暗示 / 日元升值 / 全球利率预期调整 / 套利交易逆转
来源
China News Service / Yahoo News - World / RT News / Yonhap News TV / Nikkei Asia / German Foreign Office Press Releases / KBS World News / German Federal Foreign Office
参考链接
- [1] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/02-27/10577302.shtml
- [2] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-says-met-us-trade-104937996.html
- [3] https://www.rt.com/news/633096-ukraine-nukes-france-uk-russia/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR202602270343599DY
- [5] https://asia.nikkei.com/economy/bank-of-japan/boj-board-member-hints-at-rate-hikes-to-keep-ahead-of-inflation-risk
- [6] https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/de/newsroom/2757498-2757498
- [7] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260227013818iIw
- [8] http://world.kbs.co.kr/service/news_view.htm?lang=e&Seq_Code=199741
- [9] https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/en/newsroom/news/2758258-2758258
- [10] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4095967-war-update-120-combat-clashes-since-dawn-afu-have-success-in-northern-slobozhanshchyna-and-kursk-sectors.html
- [11] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/02/e4f19a798abdc080.html
- [12] https://www.rt.com/news/633078-iran-and-united-states-met-geneva/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [13] https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2026/02/24/declaration-des-dirigeants-du-g7-sur-la-guerre-en-ukraine
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/26/how-trumps-2026-iran-war-script-echoes-and-twists-the-2003-iraq-playbook?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/02-27/10577282.shtml
- [16] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/02-27/10577278.shtml
- [17] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/02-27/10577293.shtml
- [18] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/02-27/10577292.shtml
- [19] https://news.sky.com/story/significant-progress-in-us-iran-talks-but-no-deal-as-negotiations-to-resume-next-week-13512695
- [20] https://finance.yahoo.com/personal-finance/mortgages/article/mortgage-rates-fall-below-6-for-first-time-in-over-3-years-110032209.html
- [21] https://www.rt.com/news/633101-iran-us-geneva-talks/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [22] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/iran-says-good-progress-in-us-talks-next-round-within-a-week/article70681431.ece
- [23] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260227065659cma
- [24] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/afghanistan-launches-military-strikes-on-pakistan-updates/article70681434.ece
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/2/26/iranian-foreign-minister-says-us-iran-moving-closer-to-deal?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://www.rt.com/news/633087-thomas-penn-franco-british-nuke-plot-ukraine/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [27] https://www.rt.com/news/633076-us-iran-nuclear-talks/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [28] https://www.dw.com/en/us-and-iran-meet-in-geneva-for-talks-amid-military-posturing/a-76128226?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
- [29] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/26/us-iran-talks-conclude-claims-progress-few-details?traffic_source=rss
- [30] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-polytics/4096039-next-round-of-peace-talks-to-be-held-in-abu-dhabi-in-early-march-zelensky.html
2026-02-26
2026-02-26
进展要点
- 美联储政策受地缘风险和通胀影响，利率路径不确定性增加。
- 日本央行再通胀派任命可能推动宽松政策，日元贬值压力上升。
- 欧洲央行关注贸易紧张和能源风险，货币政策保持谨慎。
- 澳大利亚通胀持稳，但RBA可能维持鹰派立场以控制通胀。
- 美国关税政策实施细节待明确，全球贸易协议面临调整。
关联路径
中东紧张 / 石油供应中断 / 全球通胀上升 / 央行政策收紧
美国关税 / 全球贸易收缩 / 经济增长放缓 / 风险资产下跌
俄乌冲突 / 地缘风险溢价 / 避险资产需求增加 / 黄金和美元上涨
BOJ宽松预期 / 日元贬值 / 亚洲货币压力 / 区域汇率波动
来源
RT News / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Yonhap News Agency [en.yna.co.kr] / Google News - World / Nikkei Asia / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #2 / BBC News (Top)
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/633038-us-f22-israel-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://www.dw.com/en/us-iran-nuclear-talks-deal-or-military-strike/a-76120548?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
- [3] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260225010600315
- [4] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260225010651315
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMicEFVX3lxTE5VWWp2VmJHb0liMGVrZE5KMVFSTGdtcnZmWFJGc3BYNllRZTBuQmIzMHRteEZhaWJRem8xeTdPWTJlbXAzMzhtUkVOUEt2c0VlZGNaaHBtTU05UDhlXzRIQ2NBS3NpUkZkdHlUTVAwQmo?oc=5
- [6] https://asia.nikkei.com/economy/bank-of-japan/japan-picks-reflationists-for-boj-board-echoing-takaichi-s-policy-view
- [7] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/25/us-issues-new-sanctions-as-it-dials-up-pressure-on-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [8] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260225-trump-lays-out-case-for-possible-attack-on-iran-in-state-of-the-union-address
- [9] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cge821xwyz8o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [10] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/02/7e819bdee446797a.html
- [11] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260225214248P2A
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2026/2/25/four-years-into-the-ukraine-war-moscow-sees-vindication-not-failure?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://news.admin.ch/en/newnsb/bJ0L6pzhsU8kjJi3lMFRi
- [14] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/tech/semiconductors/nvidia-reports-73-revenue-jump-but-warns-on-china-uncertainties
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/25/zelenskyy-speaks-with-trump-about-peace-efforts-eyes-leaders-level-talks?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/kuba-grenztruppen-greifen-us-schnellboot-an-vier-tote-a-8d7b55c4-a9e2-4b05-96f5-ad2e4b8dbbd4
- [17] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-polytics/4095617-ukraine-insists-at-un-on-ceasefire-as-basis-for-peace-talks-betsa-says.html
- [18] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/markets/currencies/yen-touches-roughly-2-week-low-against-us-dollar-on-boj-board-picks
- [19] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/25/business/trump-tariffs-refunds-lawsuits.html
- [20] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/le-d%C3%A9bat/20260225-discours-sur-l-%C3%A9tat-de-l-union-de-d-trump-l-am%C3%A9rique-d-abord-%C3%A0-quel-prix
- [21] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/cant-let-craziest-regime-to-have-nuclear-weapons-jd-vance-ahead-of-us-iran-talks-in-geneva/articleshow/128791664.cms
- [22] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4095557-general-staff-confirms-strikes-on-russian-s400-triumf-pantsir-and-grad-systems-in-occupied-territories.html
- [23] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260225-iran-us-talks-set-to-resume-in-geneva-as-trump-ups-pressure
- [24] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/25/world/asia/china-germany-merz-visit-xi.html
- [25] https://ministers.treasury.gov.au/ministers/Jim-Chalmers-2022/media-releases/Inflation-steady-in-January
- [26] https://news.admin.ch/en/newnsb/O5M0QLVwbVE7A1uwQIJj-
- [27] https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/en/newsroom/news/2757258-2757258
- [28] https://www.rt.com/news/633024-iran-nuclear-trump-accusations/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxQWWhpcEY4Rk1HMUE1S2dFd1pGcVRZQ1hibjl1WXBqamtRaXhyam1XbVE0Y1RoTkhWSFYwQVpPbFFJM21NTXZPdFd4cWtTMmlPdjE2V3ktd3dLXzIzNnlQMFpCNnVQVlZFUndQQnVGTWd5Tk5rWFkzME5IMVdaVnU1RmxmTHI?oc=5
- [30] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxNSFc3VlA2cG5id0ZOQ0dxemtYc2VhSkJtZVg4ZzZhaU5XMzVTOVRxMnRNQ01TNTgzTG84UjdQZHJLaW9lQi1uNjY2ckN5NGpvNmthWjZ1ZG5BWklKRl9hVTBsSWFaY1M5aW9xblZXdVNKTGI4OUxoR3VKcjlmeGRwVlh4QlhEZDl3UnByVUFEc044dnI2cGVBTUZyM2lhYjFWa0ZMWVBaRmgtZU96VUh0Tkcxdw?oc=5
2026-02-25
2026-02-25
进展要点
- 美联储货币政策保持中性，贴现率会议纪要未释放激进信号。
- 美国贸易政策波动，特朗普可能通过新法律依据实施额外关税。
- 欧洲继续支持乌克兰，但需协调内部分歧以维持制裁效力。
- 日本通胀放缓可能促使日央行维持鸽派立场，支持股市。
- 中国科技产业政策加速，芯片自给目标推动供应链调整。
关联路径
美伊紧张升级 / 中东供应风险 / 油价上涨 / 全球通胀压力
俄乌战争持续 / 能源和粮食供应担忧 / 避险资产需求上升 / 黄金和美元走强
美国关税政策波动 / 贸易不确定性 / 全球增长放缓 / 风险资产下跌
涉台紧张 / 区域风险升级 / 避险情绪 / 日元和黄金需求增加
来源
China News Service / Al Jazeera Middle East / Google News - World / Fed / State Duma of Russia - News / German Federal Government News / ANTARA News [www.antaranews.com] / RT News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/02-25/10576199.shtml
- [2] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/02-25/10576183.shtml
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/2/24/state-of-the-union-live-trump-to-address-nation-amid-tariff-iran-tensions?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxQR0dENGtNRnNpRjFmX0UzLW5YbW1pRE5sdjN1S3VpbkhfcC1FV2p3V3dtZlN1cGk4UVN6R05ockNfT3QyVGZtNHd5cV9wZnBVRDBqbDlBS1FXdV80Y0J3dmpfWVNPdHF4eVRoLTRLQWNnX2RvMVJEdjN2NEpLa3RLR25iM1VrS1dWb0w5OXBfcnRkdllJcHp4NExoYTk0OXQybXdCQ1kzUGdjSlhL?oc=5
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxQbXAxc2wwZEZXQjdxSnVZZXNmVVdDSzc0NzdGYXFzNDEzS1lUQ19QaXJtZ3lSV3U0bDBYNWNPQV9ndFZWU1REaUJLVWZaMTFFajJBOG9wT2VMSUM2LTJ2a0FzakVwY19vSlAwQkptQTAwZGdzdzQ4Vms1OHoxVm16NHJfa2FnaEtRay1FYlVJcGRDcnh3blZjdDJ4OV9WLXQ0WWRHVVMzX2V2bE5jMVJDYnZETQ?oc=5
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqwFBVV95cUxNb2VFeXBiRnh2UFlkampWRER5cThwZHZUQ2Z3VGlRaW44Sk4wYVA4Tm1qX0d2VGJIN0lpTjY3Q2dYcVY3cHo3dnptN0JyWE9zRmtlWFZUXzZPZlRQMEF5dmhwZ2VBQmdiZDQ4T082RDVCaDVWSmNsVktrUGoySWVMSTNnNWV3WVZOVXZYWTFhODZnMGxBQ3pDcW5IMW9FaWoxOGRCYzFXRFc5UFHSAbABQVVfeXFMTmxDb21QY2d6LUQyc3lCYXRXaWNOeklZUV9LVHNJazJvZVFpWTN4WWRtd19XYXZKUmNzUkVxbVFZLVJqX3RieW5vNDZfYVpKNFBRU3RheUU4RlNPSXBuZU1GMVpwMWlXMmF5MEw2QXBDYXpMUUtqZ3l4bVplN09haWU1MW5pWnlzdjVjb2xyRmhVakRsQ3BRLURKWkE3ZHBESmpPb1VxMjZ
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixAFBVV95cUxNMVoxQzM1QW93QTNXV0R2RzB1ZWVyLWI0VW9FSHlKWk5FUTB0YkpNc2lCNTFHd01ZOTNQUEhpQXFQWXY3VHlzMUVudHdvdUFDNFZmWjFSdVp5bGUwejNUWXppTTJNbHN3SURJTzcwSVNrenpodjFpMUN0THlOQ0FhZkx0aHl2cTg0d21iS1lLLXYtcUJCaFExVlJVR1VLblQ4SlprdFI4c3dSLUZjSGFmUkx0OV90MUVGcnYwUWFYZmdTeUE5?oc=5
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiVEFVX3lxTE9yc1hKTEpwV3h5SkMwTjVFUmY0Q3d3blo0TWNXMzAwajlnb1dMOUZCTGVaeGxkUUFCcm8wRUZrel80VWZOUlBudzJiS2NzTWZKMkJ2MQ?oc=5
- [9] https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260224a.htm
- [10] http://duma.gov.ru/en/news
- [11] https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-de/aktuelles/co-chairs-statement-coalition-of-the-willing-call-24-february-2026-2408478
- [12] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5435854/china-desak-as-hentikan-tarif-global-sepihak-baru-10-persen
- [13] https://www.rt.com/news/632991-kallas-russian-assets-theft/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [14] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4095073-war-update-50-clashes-on-front-line-fighting-continues-in-four-sectors.html
- [15] https://www.dw.com/de/usa-und-iran-säbelrasseln-im-atomstreit/a-76106219?maca=de-rss-de-news-1089-xml-mrss
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigAFBVV95cUxPSGZtcGVJc3QwQS1xVW4wUHNCM2FYVzZLWTZ2Zk90elNHSVBYdXVuVGxMN0lOQTJWa2Fzc0tueFlSSHFlaFp3RjUtekFGUkpWLVlWNTZjTVpESlpRM3lOWFFTb0hxZExGOHhqVm9xY0NDQ0dkODFSVnUtV2hLbW5FbNIBhgFBVV95cUxQbFpwMmxVMk1TT3RJU3ZlYlRqd1g2cTVoT3p1YlVSczZ1aXVmaGZsY3NZNzN0M3FCbl9oNDFVa1kxTDlfOWk5X2pqUTZFbXcxclo5dVpWbGgtNHluR0ZxeUVwZ3V1NWstQ2lPY0JjRHNnb09mRFh1Vm1BYndDck9HYnZ4ZG1DUQ?oc=5
- [17] https://jatim.antaranews.com/berita/1038942/trump-jajaki-skema-tarif-baru-usai-putusan-mahkamah-agung-as
- [18] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/02/04ff54e9ab07efbd.html
- [19] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/02/01180e362b158f46.html
- [20] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/02/d83e4d3bb21cdefc.html
- [21] https://www.rt.com/news/632957-trump-iran-bad-day/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [22] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4094965-ukrainian-forces-strike-russian-logistics-command-posts-atacms-missiles-hit-targets.html
- [23] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/02-25/10576184.shtml
- [24] https://news.sky.com/story/european-leaders-came-together-in-solidarity-on-ukraine-war-fourth-anniversary-but-peace-seems-a-long-way-off-13511729
- [25] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/02-25/10576177.shtml
- [26] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-polytics/4095209-nordic-baltic-countries-to-provide-eur-125b-in-defense-support-to-ukraine-zelensky.html
- [27] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/24/russia-has-not-won-as-ukraine-war-enters-fifth-year-zelenskyy-says?traffic_source=rss
- [28] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/technology/tech-asia/china-aims-for-5-fold-increase-in-advanced-chip-output-to-meet-ai-demand
- [29] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/the-take-2/2026/2/24/what-to-expect-from-trumps-state-of-the-union-address-2?traffic_source=rss
- [30] https://www.globalissues.org/news/2026/02/23/42411
2026-02-24
2026-02-24
进展要点
- 特朗普政府可能继续使用行政权力实施关税，国会反应是关键。
- 美联储或关注通胀和汇率波动，利率政策受地缘风险影响。
- 欧盟需应对匈牙利等成员国的阻挠，推动对乌援助和制裁。
- 各国可能寻求外交途径缓解贸易和地缘紧张，但进展缓慢。
- 美国对伊朗军事选项仍在考虑中，谈判结果将决定冲突方向。
关联路径
关税威胁 / 全球贸易不确定性 / 股市下跌和避险资产上涨
美伊冲突升级 / 石油供应风险 / 油价上涨和通胀担忧
欧盟内部分歧 / 乌克兰援助延迟 / 欧元承压和能源紧张
AI技术恐慌 / 科技股抛售 / 市场情绪恶化
来源
ABC News / France 24 #3 / France 24 #2 / Yonhap News TV / Nikkei Asia / Xinhua Finance / Al Jazeera Middle East / RT News
参考链接
- [1] https://abcnews.com/Business/stocks-tick-lower-after-trump-ratchets-tariffs/story?id=130407007
- [2] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/info-%C3%A9co/20260223-l-ue-suspend-la-mise-en-oeuvre-de-son-accord-commercial-avec-les-etats-unis
- [3] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/business/20260223-eu-hits-pause-on-trade-deal-with-us-trump-warns-countries-not-to-play-games-after-supreme-court-ruling
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260224085849AAo
- [5] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260224090135XIg
- [6] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260224084544ukS
- [7] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260224084052pwz
- [8] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/markets/currencies/us-treasury-secretary-initiated-january-s-yen-dollar-rate-check-sources
- [9] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260224073233Pgh
- [10] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/questions-directes/20260223-trump-menace-une-nouvelle-escalade
- [11] https://www.france24.com/en/trump-says-he-ll-raise-tariffs-to-15-after-supreme-court-ruling
- [12] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/the-debate/20260223-why-the-threat-of-bombing-campaign-trump-s-iran-gambit
- [13] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260224065241EuW
- [14] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260224/84374dde8fbd4226aa8c5a424796e21a/c.html
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260224062855mu7
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/2/23/are-the-us-and-iran-moving-closer-to-war?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/2/23/trumps-new-tariff-threats-trigger-economic-uncertainty-trade-deals-stall?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.rt.com/news/632935-hungary-ukraine-loan-veto/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [19] https://www.dw.com/de/zeitenwende-an-der-front-vier-jahre-krieg-in-der-ukraine/a-76058071?maca=de-rss-de-all-1119-rdf
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/23/eu-sanctions-russian-officials-as-hungary-blocks-funds-to-ukraine?traffic_source=rss
- [21] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260224024633GH2
- [22] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2rv212wwyo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [23] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/israel-unimaginable-force-iran-attacks-180831400.html
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/23/iran-banks-big-on-murky-oil-trustees-as-war-with-us-on-the-horizon?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260223-iran-t%C3%A9h%C3%A9ran-sous-la-menace-d-une-frappe-am%C3%A9ricaine
- [26] https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20260223-hungary-blocks-eu-ukraine-loan-russia-sanctions-on-eve-of-war-anniversary
- [27] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5433530/ancam-kenakan-tarif-lebih-tinggi-trump-sebut-tak-perlu-restu-kongres
- [28] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260223-us-trade-deals-thrown-into-doubt-after-trump-s-new-tariffs
- [29] https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20260223-ukraine-europe-on-the-front-line
- [30] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260223-nervous-times-in-tehran-ahead-of-crunch-us-talks-and-strike-threat
2026-02-23
2026-02-23
进展要点
- 美国贸易政策：短期内，特朗普政府将依赖《贸易法》301条、《贸易扩展法》232条等工具维持高压关税态势，法律挑战将持续。
- 韩国应对：加速推进《对美投资特别法》立法（目标下月9日），并通过民官联合会议寻求出口多元化和竞争力强化，被动应对色彩浓厚。
- 欧盟立场：坚持“协议就是协议”（DW），但面对美国单边行动，除外交反对外缺乏有效制衡手段。
- 货币政策环境：全球增长风险与地缘性通胀风险（油价）并存，主要央行政策路径复杂性增加，可能推迟宽松周期。
关联路径
美国关税提高至15% / 全球贸易成本激增 & 供应链扰动 / 企业利润下调 & 经济增长预期恶化 / 全球股市（尤其出口国）& 周期类资产下跌。
美伊 / 俄乌地缘风险升级 / 石油供应中断风险溢价上升 & 避险情绪高涨 / 油价 & 黄金 & 美元同步上涨 / 风险资产（股票、公司债）遭抛售。
美国301条款调查启动 / 特定国家（如中国、巴西）及行业（如半导体、汽车）面临精准打击风险 / 相关国家货币、股市及行业ETF波动加剧。
欧盟对俄制裁内部分歧（匈牙利阻挠） / 削弱对乌支持效力 & 暴露欧盟政治裂痕 / 欧元汇率承压 & 欧洲资产风险溢价上升。
来源
Al Jazeera Middle East / Yonhap News TV / Yonhap News TV Politics Feed / Google News - World / BBC News (Top) / DW (Deutsche Welle) / DW (Deutsche Welle) [rss.dw.com] / The New York Times
2026-02-22
2026-02-22
进展要点
- 美国贸易政策转向强硬，关注后续行政命令及国会反应，可能使用其他法律工具维持关税。
- 欧洲需协调对俄乌冲突的能源和安全政策，应对内部成员国分歧。
- 中东外交努力聚焦美伊谈判，但军事选项风险上升，可能影响核协议进程。
- 韩国等贸易依赖型国家将加强政策应对，评估产业影响并寻求多边协调。
关联路径
全球关税上调 / 贸易成本增加 / 经济增长放缓 / 风险资产下跌
俄乌冲突升级 / 能源供应中断风险 / 油价上涨 / 通胀压力上升
中东紧张加剧 / 避险需求增加 / 黄金和美元走强 / 股市承压
政策不确定性 / 市场波动加剧 / 资本流向安全资产
来源
Yonhap News TV / Xinhua World / China News Service / DW (Deutsche Welle) [rss.dw.com] / Sky News / RT News / Al Jazeera Middle East / BBC News (Top)
2026-02-21
2026-02-21
进展要点
- 美联储面临通胀超预期压力，鹰派预期可能升温，影响利率路径。
- 特朗普贸易政策反复，基于《1974年贸易法》的新关税实施细节待澄清。
- 美国最高法院裁决限制总统紧急权力，但特朗普寻求替代法律途径。
- 欧盟对俄制裁和能源政策分歧持续，可能影响内部团结和能源安全。
- 伊朗核协议谈判进入关键期，外交进展或军事行动将决定中东局势。
关联路径
特朗普新全球关税 / 全球贸易成本上升 / 增长担忧 / 避险资产上涨
美伊军事紧张 / 中东不稳定 / 石油供应风险 / 油价和黄金上涨
通胀超预期 / 美联储鹰派预期 / 美元走强 / 股市承压
欧盟对乌援助受阻 / 地缘风险上升 / 避险情绪 / 黄金和美元需求增加
来源
Nikkei Asia / RT News / ABC News / BBC News (Top) / Al Jazeera Middle East / Yahoo News - World / DW (Deutsche Welle) / BBC News (Business)
2026-02-20
2026-02-20
进展要点
- 美联储政策受白宫干预，信誉受损可能影响未来利率路径。
- 美国贸易逆差创新高，关税政策效果有限，引发市场对贸易战担忧。
- 制裁延长对俄施压，但可能加剧地缘紧张，影响全球供应链。
- 中东和平委员会承诺加沙重建资金，但军事行动持续增加政策矛盾。
关联路径
中东紧张升级 / 油价上涨 / 通胀预期上升 / 风险资产承压
俄乌会谈进展 / 地缘风险降低 / 风险资产反弹 / 避险需求下降
美联储政策不确定性 / 美元走弱 / 黄金和外汇市场波动
贸易逆差扩大 / 关税政策失效担忧 / 股市下跌 / 避险情绪上升
来源
Xinhua World / ABC News / RT News / BBC News (Top) / Al Jazeera Middle East / UN News / Yahoo News - World / Sky News
2026-02-19
2026-02-19
进展要点
- 美联储政策路径将密切关注地缘冲突引发的能源通胀压力。
- 欧洲央行面临能源供应中断与通胀反弹的双重压力，货币政策可能被迫维持更长时间的限制性。
- 美国或加大对伊朗的制裁压力，并可能强化对中东盟友的安全承诺。
- 欧盟可能被迫加速能源来源多样化，并协调成员国应对能源供应冲击。
- 美国对华核指控（据RT新闻报道）可能加剧双方战略不信任，影响双边关系氛围。
- 英国新政府延续并强化对乌军事援助及欧洲防务领导角色（据RT新闻报道）。
关联路径
中东 / 俄乌冲突升级 / 石油 / 天然气供应风险 / 全球通胀预期升温 / 央行政策预期转鹰 / 利率敏感型资产（成长股、债券）承压
地缘政治紧张 / 避险情绪 / 资金流向黄金、美元、美债 / 风险资产（新兴市场货币、欧股）承压
能源危机风险（欧洲） / EUR区增长与通胀前景恶化 / EUR贬值 / 美元被动走强
美联储政策信号（纪要） / 全球流动性预期调整 / 风险资产估值重估
来源
Al Jazeera Middle East / ABC News / RT News / Fed / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Google News - World / Ukrinform / Xinhua Finance
2026-02-18
2026-02-18
进展要点
- 美国可能对伊朗实施新制裁或军事施压
- 欧洲或加强制裁俄罗斯，支持乌克兰防御
- 中国可能驳斥美国指控并推动外交回应
- 英国务实对华政策可能影响欧美对华协调
- 国际原子能机构可能在美伊谈判中发挥技术作用
关联路径
美伊谈判紧张 / 油价上涨 / 通胀预期上升 / 央行政策调整
俄乌战事升级 / 避险资产需求增加 / 黄金和美元上涨 / 股市下跌
美中紧张关系 / 全球贸易风险 / 避险情绪上升 / 资产波动加剧
2026-02-15
2026-02-15
进展要点
- 货币政策：地缘政治风险成为央行（如ECB）决策的关键变量，可能延缓降息周期或加剧政策分化。
- 美国外交与军事政策：特朗普政府在中东呈现‘以战迫和’态势，军事选项优先级明显提升。
- 欧洲防务与产业政策：战略自主将从口号加速转向具体预算与项目（如联合防务工业）。
- 制裁与出口管制：美国将持续高强度执法，重点针对规避对俄制裁及对华技术封锁的行为。
- 财政政策：冲突相关国家（如乌克兰、欧洲前线国家）及大国（如美国）的国防开支压力增大。
- 能源政策：欧洲将加速能源来源多元化以降低地缘风险，但对传统能源的短期依赖可能回升。
关联路径
中东军事升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡航运风险 / 原油供应预期收紧 / 油价飙升 / 全球通胀预期重估 / 央行政策更谨慎 / 风险资产重定价
美欧战略分歧 / 全球政策碎片化 / 贸易与投资不确定性上升 / 增长预期下调 / 企业盈利承压 / 股市估值压缩
俄乌冲突持续 / 升级 / 欧洲能源安全担忧 + 国防开支大增 / 欧元区滞胀压力 / 欧央行政策困境 / EUR疲软 & 欧洲股市相对弱势
核军控失效 + 多地冲突 / 系统性风险溢价永久性上升 / 长期避险资产（黄金、部分国债）配置价值重估 / 风险资产长期估值中枢下移
2026-02-14
2026-02-14
进展要点
- 美联储可能因通胀降温而考虑降息，支撑风险资产
- 中国社会融资规模创新高，显示宽松货币政策持续，支持经济增长
- 欧洲防务开支增加，可能推高财政赤字，影响欧元区经济
- 美国气候政策变化可能带来法规不确定性，影响能源市场
- 制裁政策（如对伊朗、古巴）持续，加剧贸易和供应风险
关联路径
中东军事升级 / 石油供应风险 / 油价上涨 / 通胀压力
美国CPI降温 / 美联储降息预期 / 股市上涨 / 美元走弱
俄乌冲突 / 黑海航运风险 / 全球粮食和能源供应波动
欧洲政治紧张 / 避险需求增加 / 黄金和美元走强
2026-02-13
2026-02-13
进展要点
- 美联储货币政策面临不确定性，需观察通胀数据和金融稳定性以决定利率路径。
- 美国贸易政策持续施压，如对日本汽车关税导致利润损失，可能引发报复措施。
- 欧洲寻求自主防卫，减少对美依赖，政策改革和防务合作将加速。
- 气候法规放松可能短期提振能源行业，但长期加剧环境风险和监管不确定性。
- 制裁与出口控制收紧，如美国对华半导体管制，影响全球供应链和科技股。
关联路径
俄乌地缘紧张 / 避险资产需求上升 / 黄金和美元走强
中东冲突升级 / 石油供应风险 / 油价上涨和通胀压力
美国金融危机信号 / 安全港需求变化 / 贵金属价格暴跌
AI担忧加剧 / 科技股抛售 / 全球股市避险情绪
2026-02-12
2026-02-12
进展要点
- 美联储可能在强就业数据后维持或收紧政策。
- 欧盟推进资本市场改革和防务合作。
- 美国国会预算办公室预测赤字债务恶化。
- 潜在美印尼关税协议影响区域贸易流动。
- 美国以中国影响力为由制裁太平洋岛国官员。
关联路径
强劲美国就业 / 美联储鹰派预期 / 美元↑、利率↑
伊朗紧张 / 中东不稳定 / 油价↑、黄金↑
俄乌升级 / 能源供应风险 / 大宗商品↑
欧盟改革 / 增长乐观 / 欧元↑、股市↑
2026-02-11
2026-02-11
进展要点
- 美联储政策受地缘风险影响，避险情绪可能延迟加息
- 中国央行维持适度宽松，定向支持科技、绿色等领域
- 日本央行或面临美国加息压力（三月美日峰会前）
- 欧盟财政一体化受阻（德国否决欧元债券）
- 特朗普政府持续运用关税与制裁作为外交工具
- 欧洲战略自主性推进，但内部分歧明显
关联路径
美伊军事升级 / 中东石油供应中断 / 全球油价飙升 / 通胀压力上升
俄乌冲突升级 / 欧洲能源危机深化 / 工业活动放缓 / 欧元区衰退风险
美国关税政策不确定性 / 全球贸易成本上升 / 增长预期下调 / 风险资产抛售
台海紧张 / 科技供应链中断风险 / 半导体板块波动 / 全球风险情绪恶化
2026-02-10
2026-02-10
进展要点
- 欧洲央行保持中性政策立场，关注通胀和增长平衡
- 美国可能对华加征关税，施压贸易伙伴削减俄能源进口
- 中国深化经济体制改革，推动高质量发展和外资流入
- 日本央行低调减持ETF，可能推动日元升值
- 伊朗制裁解除前景取决于核谈判进展，影响全球石油供应
- 西方对乌克兰防空援助加强，但交付时间不确定
关联路径
中东紧张升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡风险 / 油价上涨 / 全球通胀压力
俄乌冲突持续 / 能源供应中断 / 避险资产需求 / 黄金和美元走强
中美贸易摩擦 / 关税威胁 / 风险资产抛售 / 日元和瑞郎升值
中国减持美债 / 美债收益率上升 / 美元贬值 / 新兴市场货币压力
2026-02-09
2026-02-09
进展要点
- 日本可能加速修宪和防卫政策调整，推动'强日本'议程
- 美国对伊朗保持强硬制裁，但开放谈判窗口，政策取决于外交进展
- 白宫重申支持强势美元，但市场反应有限，需观察美联储动向
- 特朗普政府加强美日联盟，可能增加对日武器销售和区域军事合作
关联路径
地缘政治紧张 / 避险情绪上升 / 黄金、美元需求增加
中东冲突 / 石油供应担忧 / 油价波动并影响通胀预期
日本政策变化 / 亚洲地区风险 / 资产价格调整和汇率波动
谈判僵局 / 不确定性升高 / 全球资本流向避险资产
2026-02-08
2026-02-08
进展要点
- EU likely to implement 20th sanctions package on Russia, focusing on energy and banking sectors.
- US maintaining 'maximum pressure' on Iran with sanctions and tariffs, while engaging in diplomatic talks.
- UK tilting towards rate cuts as inflation expectations fall, influencing European monetary policy.
- India-US trade deal execution to proceed, reducing tariffs and boosting bilateral trade, setting a precedent for US trade strategy.
- Potential for further sanctions on Russia and Iran, with EU and US coordinating on export controls.
关联路径
EU sanctions on Russia / Russian oil supply constraints / Global oil price increase / Inflationary pressures / Central bank policy responses
Middle East tensions / Iran threats and US actions / Oil market volatility / Risk-off sentiment / Safe-haven asset flows
Russia-Ukraine conflict escalation / Energy infrastructure damage / European gas supply risks / Economic growth concerns / Equity market sell-offs
US-India trade deal / Tariff reductions / Improved trade sentiment / Regional equity gains (e.g., Indian markets) / Broader EM optimism
2026-02-07
2026-02-07
进展要点
- 美联储政策：关注鹰派主席提名进展和利率路径，市场波动可能持续。
- 欧洲央行：维持利率稳定，政策谨慎，未来取决于通胀数据。
- 中国财政刺激：国务院研究促进有效投资，旨在稳定经济增长。
- 美国制裁政策：对伊朗和俄罗斯的制裁持续，可能升级，影响全球贸易和能源。
- 中国经济增长：政策支持稳健，对全球贡献约30%，但需监控投资效果。
关联路径
美股反弹 / 全球风险情绪改善 / 风险资产上涨，美元波动
美伊制裁 / 中东紧张 / 石油供应风险 / 油价上涨，通胀预期升
俄乌冲突 / 避险需求增加 / 黄金和美元走强， equities受压
中美紧张 / 安全港需求 / USD / Gold up，贸易流调整
2026-02-06
2026-02-06
进展要点
- 美联储政策不确定性高，鹰派信号与弱就业数据矛盾
- 欧洲央行维持利率不变，政策稳定，但全球经济前景不确定
- 美国财政部长未排除起诉美联储的可能性，威胁政策独立性
- 特朗普关税政策影响全球贸易，需监控后续行动
关联路径
美俄军控失效 / 地缘紧张升级 / 避险资产需求上升
美联储鹰派信号 / 美元走强 / 金银价格下跌
中东紧张升级 / 油价上涨 / 通胀预期变化
股市抛售 / 避险情绪升温 / 美元和黄金需求
2026-02-05
2026-02-05
进展要点
- 欧洲央行可能维持鸽派立场，因通胀低于目标，支持宽松货币政策。
- 美国继续通过外交和制裁施压伊朗和中国，贸易和能源政策偏向保护主义。
- 欧盟财政整合推进，对乌贷款显示共同债务工具使用，可能影响欧元区债券市场。
- 某国央行加息至10.25%（国家未指明），反映新兴市场通胀压力或资本流动管理。
- 关注美联储对地缘风险和油价上涨的反应，可能调整利率预期。
关联路径
地缘冲突升级 / 能源供应中断 / 油价上涨 / 全球通胀压力
外交谈判进展 / 风险偏好改善 / 股市反弹和避险资产回调
央行鸽派信号 / 货币贬值 / 出口竞争力和资本流动变化
制裁和脱钩政策 / 供应链重组 / 商品价格波动和贸易摩擦
2026-02-04
2026-02-04
进展要点
- 美国政府支出法案通过，但国土安全部资金仅延长两周，移民政策争议待解。
- 美联储政策受地缘风险影响，可能偏向鸽派以应对避险情绪。
- 中国推进人民币国际化，长期可能挑战美元主导地位。
- 欧盟尝试与俄罗斯重启对话，但内部分歧和乌克兰局势复杂化。
关联路径
中东地缘紧张升级 / 石油供应风险 / 油价上涨和避险资产需求
俄乌冲突加剧 / 欧洲能源危机风险 / 黄金和美元走强
美国政府停摆结束 / 财政不确定性降低 / 风险资产短期支撑
贸易协议调整 / 全球供应链重塑 / 商品价格和汇率波动
2026-02-03
2026-02-03
进展要点
- 美联储在沃什领导下可能转向更鹰派立场，加快加息步伐。
- 美国贸易政策重心向印度偏移，但对中国保持压力。
- 欧盟-印度FTA推动区域经济整合，提振增长预期。
- OPEC+维持减产，支撑油价但面临需求侧压力。
- 美国政府财政僵局可能短期解决，但长期预算争议持续。
关联路径
美联储鹰派预期 / 全球风险规避 / 股市、大宗商品同步下跌
俄乌冲突升级 / 能源供应中断风险 / 油价波动与避险资产需求
美印贸易协议 / 关税降低 / 改善双边贸易与风险情绪
美伊紧张 / 中东不稳定 / 石油供应恐惧与地缘风险溢价
2026-02-02
2026-02-02
进展要点
- 美联储鹰派主席提名若确认，可能加速加息或缩表，支撑美元。
- OPEC+暂停增产政策将维持原油供应紧张，支撑油价和通胀预期。
- 特朗普政府移民政策引发国内抗议，可能影响政治稳定和市场情绪。
- 韩国房地产政策收紧可能拖累经济增长，增加韩元贬值压力。
- 印度预算案细节未充分，需监控财政赤字和改革措施。
关联路径
中东紧张升级 / 石油供应中断风险 / 油价上涨 / 全球通胀压力
俄乌冲突加剧 / 地缘政治不确定性 / 避险资产（黄金、美元）需求增加
美联储鹰派预期 / 美元走强 / 新兴市场货币贬值和资本外流
OPEC+产量不变 / 原油供应受限 / 能源价格上涨 / 企业成本上升
2026-02-01
2026-02-01
进展要点
- 美联储新主席提名可能带来鹰派政策转向，加息预期上升。
- 美国政府停摆风险持续，影响财政政策和市场信心。
- 美国关税政策不确定性，韩国等面临上调威胁。
- 印度发布2026年预算案，强调财政纪律和债务削减。
- 英国转向中国寻求经济增长，但受美国压力影响。
关联路径
Fed chair nomination / monetary policy uncertainty / global risk repricing
Middle East tensions / oil supply risk / inflation and safe-haven demand
U.S. government shutdown / policy instability / market volatility
Russia-Ukraine conflict / geopolitical risk / gold and USD appreciation
2026-01-31
2026-01-31
进展要点
- 美联储主席提名可能导致更宽松的货币政策。
- 欧盟考虑动用紧急基金支持国防开支。
- WTO裁定美国清洁能源补贴违规，可能影响贸易关系。
- 美国政府拨款协议在最后时刻面临障碍。
关联路径
中东紧张升级 / 石油供应风险 / 通胀压力 / 央行响应
美联储政策转向 / 利率下降 / 美元走弱 / 新兴市场资金流
地缘政治风险 / 避险需求 / 黄金和美元走强
贸易争端 / 供应链中断 / 全球增长担忧