The ScopeGlobal Macro
2026-04-02 07:30 (CN)
THEME TIMELINE
Middle East Conflict Escalation
Trajectory (Escalating): US-Israel joint military operations intensify; Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, further increasing conflict risk.; G7 calls for ceasefire, but Israel warns of escalating attacks and threatens to assassinate Iranian officials. Key events: US launches hundreds of Tomahawk missiles at Iran (Yahoo News); Iran's Revolutionary Guard announces closure of the Strait of Hormuz (Ukrinform) Watch: Monitor the resumption of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and progress in US-Iran ceasefire talks; conflict may further escalate or trigger broader regional instability.
SOURCE COVERAGE

Source Coverage

Latest Update: 2026-03-28
Sources
23
Mainland
3
HK/Macau/Taiwan
0
Overseas
20
Official
4
Non-official
19
Aggregators
2
Original-reporting Preferred
21
Chinese
3
English
13
Reference Links
150
Countries / Regions: Canada / China / EU / Germany / India / International / Japan / Qatar / Russia / South Korea / Turkey / UK / USA / Ukraine
Sample Sources
COVERAGE GAPS

Coverage Gaps

Rule-based observations derived from source mix only.
Coverage leans overseas
WARN
In this window, overseas sources = 20, mainland sources = 3.
English coverage exceeds Chinese
WARN
In this window, English-language sources = 13, Chinese-language sources = 3.
2026-03-28
Open report
Updates
  • Trajectory (Escalating): US-Israel joint military operations intensify; Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, further increasing conflict risk.
  • G7 calls for ceasefire, but Israel warns of escalating attacks and threatens to assassinate Iranian officials.
  • US ceasefire proposal rejected by Iran; negotiations deadlocked, while US military depletes large quantities of Tomahawk missiles.
Key Events
  • US launches hundreds of Tomahawk missiles at Iran (Yahoo News)
  • Iran's Revolutionary Guard announces closure of the Strait of Hormuz (Ukrinform)
  • US-Israel joint strike on Iranian heavy water facility (Anadolu Agency)
Watch / Outlook
Monitor the resumption of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and progress in US-Iran ceasefire talks; conflict may further escalate or trigger broader regional instability.
Linkage
Middle East conflict / Strait of Hormuz closure / Oil supply disruption / Rising oil prices / Global inflationary pressure
Geopolitical tensions / Increased demand for safe-haven assets / Gold and US dollar strength
Sources
Yahoo News - World / Ukrinform / Kyodo News English / El Mundo - International News / Die Zeit Politics / Nikkei Asia / Anadolu Agency Politics / El País Internacional
Reference Links
2026-03-19
Open report
Updates
  • Trajectory (Escalation): The conflict enters its 19th day, with Israel expanding airstrikes to Iran's South Pars gas field and killing an intelligence minister, sharply worsening the situation.
  • Iran's foreign minister accuses the US of waging war and demands compensation to end the conflict.
  • Qatar condemns Israel's attack on energy facilities; Iran threatens retaliation that could affect the Gulf region.
  • Reduced vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz heightens oil supply risks.
Key Events
  • Israel attacks Iran's South Pars gas field, oil prices surge (Al Jazeera)
  • Israel claims to have killed Iran's intelligence minister (BBC)
  • Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi accuses the US of waging war (Interview with Iranian Foreign Minister)
Watch / Outlook
Monitor potential Iranian retaliation, risks of further damage to energy infrastructure, and international mediation efforts.
Linkage
Conflict escalation / Energy supply disruption / Rising oil prices and safe-haven demand
Geopolitical tension / Regional security risks / Gold and US dollar rise as safe-haven assets
Sources
China News Service / Xinhua Finance / Fed / Google News - World / Bank of Canada Press / RT News / Al Jazeera Middle East / JETRO Business News
Reference Links
2026-03-18
Open report
Updates
  • Trajectory (Escalating): Israeli airstrike eliminates Iranian senior security official Larijani and launches ground war in Lebanon, expanding conflict from airstrikes to ground operations.
  • Iran confirms Larijani's death and attacks UAE oil facilities and Dubai airport, escalating retaliatory actions.
  • Russia expands military cooperation with Iran, providing satellite imagery and drone technical support, intensifying regional confrontation.
  • Israeli military threatens to pursue and eliminate Iran's new supreme leader, further heightening tensions.
Key Events
  • Israeli Ministry of Defense announces elimination of Iranian senior security official via targeted airstrike (Yonhap News TV)
  • Iran confirms senior national security official Larijani killed in the attack (China News Service)
  • Israeli military issues threat: will 'pursue and eliminate' Iran's new supreme leader (China News Service)
Watch / Outlook
Conflict may further expand; monitor Iran's retaliatory actions, involvement of regional countries, and deepening Russia-Iran cooperation.
Linkage
Middle East conflict escalation / Oil supply risk / Global inflation rise
Geopolitical tensions / Safe-haven asset demand increase / Gold and oil price rise
Sources
Xinhua World / China News Service / Yonhap News TV / DW (Deutsche Welle) [rss.dw.com] / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / JETRO Business News / RT News
Reference Links
2026-03-15
Open report
Updates
  • Trajectory (Escalating): The conflict enters its third week with intensified US military actions and troop reinforcements.
  • The US bombs Iran's Kharg Island oil hub, with Trump claiming to target the core of Iran's oil economy.
  • Iran threatens retaliation against non-US assets, such as UAE ports.
  • Israel conducts an airstrike on Tehran's Basij checkpoint, with US-Israel joint operations continuing.
Key Events
  • Trump announces US bombing of Kharg Island (The Washington Post)
  • US deploys an additional 2,500 Marines to the Middle East (AP News)
  • Iran threatens retaliation against UAE assets (The New York Times)
Watch / Outlook
The conflict may expand further; monitor Iran's retaliatory actions and US military deployments.
Linkage
Middle East conflict escalation / Oil supply risks / Rising oil prices and increased demand for safe-haven assets
Intensified military actions / Regional instability / Deterioration in global risk sentiment
Sources
China News Service / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / Ukrinform / Sky News / The New York Times / RT News
Reference Links