The ScopeGlobal Macro
2026-04-02 07:26 (CN)
THEME TIMELINE
Market Risk Sentiment Contagion
Trajectory (Intensification): Overnight markets priced geopolitical risks rapidly and violently, spreading from crude oil to all risk assets.; Major New York stock indices fell significantly, with declines all exceeding 1.5%, led by industrial and consumer discretionary sectors (Xinhua). Key events: Major New York stock indices fell significantly on the 12th - Xinhua; International oil prices rose sharply on the 12th, with New York crude up 9.72% - Xinhua Watch: Market sentiment has entered risk-off mode, with volatility expected to remain elevated. Any news regarding conflict de-escalation or escalation will trigger sharp two-way swings in asset prices.
SOURCE COVERAGE

Source Coverage

Latest Update: 2026-03-13
Sources
8
Mainland
3
HK/Macau/Taiwan
0
Overseas
5
Official
3
Non-official
5
Aggregators
1
Original-reporting Preferred
7
Chinese
3
English
2
Reference Links
30
Countries / Regions: China / France / International / Qatar / Ukraine
Sample Sources
COVERAGE GAPS

Coverage Gaps

Rule-based observations derived from source mix only.
Coverage leans overseas
WARN
In this window, overseas sources = 5, mainland sources = 3.
2026-03-13
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Updates
  • Trajectory (Intensification): Overnight markets priced geopolitical risks rapidly and violently, spreading from crude oil to all risk assets.
  • Major New York stock indices fell significantly, with declines all exceeding 1.5%, led by industrial and consumer discretionary sectors (Xinhua).
  • International oil prices rose sharply on the 12th, with both New York and London prices up over 9% (Xinhua).
  • 122 clashes occurred on the Russia-Ukraine front line in a single day, indicating unresolved geopolitical risks in Eastern Europe (Ukrinform).
Key Events
  • Major New York stock indices fell significantly on the 12th - Xinhua
  • International oil prices rose sharply on the 12th, with New York crude up 9.72% - Xinhua
  • Russia-Ukraine frontline conflict escalates: 122 clashes in a single day - Ukrinform
Watch / Outlook
Market sentiment has entered risk-off mode, with volatility expected to remain elevated. Any news regarding conflict de-escalation or escalation will trigger sharp two-way swings in asset prices.
Linkage
Stock market plunge / Capital outflow from risk assets / Rush into US Treasuries, US dollar, gold for safety
Oil price surge / Energy sector benefits but squeezes profits in other industries / Sharp divergence in performance across stock market sectors
Sources
China News Service / Xinhua World / Xinhua Finance / France 24 #3 / France 24 #2 / Google News - World / Ukrinform / Al Jazeera Middle East
Reference Links