The ScopeGlobal Macro
2026-04-02 07:29 (CN)
THEME TIMELINE
Global Economic Risks
Trajectory (Rising Risks): BlackRock warns prolonged war will cause recession; conflict has already triggered trade disruptions.; BlackRock Chairman Larry Fink predicts war exceeding one year will trigger global economic recession (EL PAÍS). Key events: Larry Fink warns of risks from prolonged Iran war (EL PAÍS); US-Israel attacks trigger trade disruptions (The New York Times) Watch: Monitor war duration and impact on global growth; high oil prices may weigh on consumer spending.
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SOURCE COVERAGE

Source Coverage

Latest Update: 2026-03-29
Sources
8
Mainland
0
HK/Macau/Taiwan
0
Overseas
8
Official
0
Non-official
8
Aggregators
2
Original-reporting Preferred
6
Chinese
0
English
5
Reference Links
30
Countries / Regions: France / Germany / India / International / Qatar / Russia
Sample Sources
Al Jazeera Middle East · Overseas / MediaGoogle News - World · Overseas / AggregatorYahoo News - World · Overseas / AggregatorTimes of India [timesofindia.indiatimes.com] · Overseas / MediaRT News · Overseas / MediaORF.at News · Overseas / MediaFrance 24 #3 · Overseas / MediaFrance 24 #2 · Overseas / Media
COVERAGE GAPS

Coverage Gaps

Rule-based observations derived from source mix only.
Coverage leans overseas
WARN
In this window, overseas sources = 8, mainland sources = 0.
No mainland source in view
WARN
No mainland source is aggregated in the current theme window.
English coverage exceeds Chinese
WARN
In this window, English-language sources = 5, Chinese-language sources = 0.
2026-03-29
2026-03-29
Open report
Updates
  • Trajectory (Rising Risks): BlackRock warns prolonged war will cause recession; conflict has already triggered trade disruptions.
  • BlackRock Chairman Larry Fink predicts war exceeding one year will trigger global economic recession (EL PAÍS).
  • US-Israel attacks cause most severe trade disruption in 80 years; rising oil prices exacerbate inflationary pressures.
  • Iran employs asymmetric tactics, threatening global economic stability and increasing uncertainty.
Key Events
  • Larry Fink warns of risks from prolonged Iran war (EL PAÍS)
  • US-Israel attacks trigger trade disruptions (The New York Times)
  • Iran adopts asymmetric tactics threatening economy (Yahoo News)
Watch / Outlook
Monitor war duration and impact on global growth; high oil prices may weigh on consumer spending.
Linkage
Prolonged war / Oil price surge / Global growth slowdown / Safe-haven asset rally
Conflict escalation / Supply-chain inflation / Central bank policy tightening / Market volatility
Sources
Al Jazeera Middle East / Google News - World / Yahoo News - World / Times of India [timesofindia.indiatimes.com] / RT News / ORF.at News / France 24 #3 / France 24 #2
Reference Links