专题时间线
大国博弈
特朗普与习近平即将举行会晤，双方各自握有筹码：华盛顿在芯片领域保持重要优势，北京则在稀土供应链上占据主导地位，台湾仍是双方科技与战略竞争的核心。（France 24 #3）〔证据:319309〕；美国总统特朗普在安德鲁斯联合基地亲自到机场迎接中国国家主席习近平，双方预计将讨论贸易、人工智能、台湾及伊朗等议题。（DW (Deutsche Welle)）〔证据:319301〕 关键事件：特朗普与习近平会晤前：芯片与稀土博弈谁占优（France 24 #3）〔证据:319309〕；特朗普在华盛顿迎接习近平到访（DW (Deutsche Welle)）〔证据:319301〕
信源画像
来源覆盖
最近更新: 2026-09-24
来源数
80
大陆
5
港澳台
0
海外
75
官媒/官方
5
非官媒
75
聚合源
2
优先原始报道
78
中文覆盖
5
英文覆盖
35
参考链接
200
国家 / 地区: Brazil / Canada / China / EU / France / Germany / India / Indonesia / International / Iran / Israel / Japan / Qatar / Russia / South Korea / Turkey / UK / USA / Ukraine
来源样本
Xinhua Finance · 大陆 / 官方China News Service · 大陆 / 官方Yahoo News - World · 海外 / 聚合Times of India · 海外 / 媒体The New York Times · 海外 / 商业媒体France 24 #3 · 海外 / 媒体BBC News (Business) · 海外 / 媒体The Hindu · 海外 / 媒体Google News - World · 海外 / 聚合Al Jazeera Middle East · 海外 / 媒体DW (Deutsche Welle) · 海外 / 媒体RT News · 海外 / 媒体
来源样本来自本期引用与配置元数据，用于追溯覆盖，不代表背书或投资建议。
覆盖差异
覆盖差异
仅基于来源结构生成的规则观察，不包含立场判断。
覆盖以海外信源为主
提示当前窗口内海外信源 75 个，大陆信源 5 个。
英文覆盖多于中文覆盖
提示当前窗口内英文信源 35 个，中文信源 5 个。
研究投影
研究投影
关联品种: SC原油 / AU黄金 / EC欧线集运 / PS多晶硅 / PR瓶片 / BU沥青
跟踪状态: 跟踪中 30 / 待复核 42
生命周期建议: 继续跟踪 · 近期报道仍密集
最近检查点
- EC 1y · 跟踪中 · scheduled_long_horizon_checkpoint
- EC 6m · 跟踪中 · scheduled_long_horizon_checkpoint
- EC 3m · 待复核 · entry_bar_missing_backfill_required
- EC 1m · 待复核 · entry_bar_missing_backfill_required
2026-09-24
2026-09-24
进展要点
- 特朗普与习近平即将举行会晤，双方各自握有筹码：华盛顿在芯片领域保持重要优势，北京则在稀土供应链上占据主导地位，台湾仍是双方科技与战略竞争的核心。（France 24 #3）〔证据:319309〕
- 美国总统特朗普在安德鲁斯联合基地亲自到机场迎接中国国家主席习近平，双方预计将讨论贸易、人工智能、台湾及伊朗等议题。（DW (Deutsche Welle)）〔证据:319301〕
- 中国国家主席习近平于当地时间9月23日下午抵达华盛顿，开始对美国进行国事访问。（China News Service）〔证据:319296〕
关键事件
- 特朗普与习近平会晤前：芯片与稀土博弈谁占优（France 24 #3）〔证据:319309〕
- 特朗普在华盛顿迎接习近平到访（DW (Deutsche Welle)）〔证据:319301〕
- 习近平抵达华盛顿开启对美国事访问（China News Service）〔证据:319296〕
关联路径
US-China summit / chip / rare-earth leverage / supply-chain risk
来源
Xinhua Finance / China News Service / Yahoo News - World / Times of India / The New York Times / France 24 #3 / BBC News (Business) / The Hindu / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / DW (Deutsche Welle) / RT News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cqvgyjy23ggjo?xtor=AL-72-%5Bpartner%5D-%5Byahoo.north.america%5D-%5Bheadline%5D-%5Bnews%5D-%5Bbizdev%5D-%5Bisapi%5D
- [2] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/international-business/trump-weighs-90-day-diesel-export-ban-as-us-fuel-prices-hit-record-high-report/articleshow/134443699.cms
- [3] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/23/business/bonds-interest-rates.html
- [4] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260924/9f75e20b6ebe4f1ebfb514f18f2b91c8/c.html
- [5] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/les-cl%C3%A9s-de-l-info/20260923-trump-xi-qui-a-l-avantage
- [6] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx305ymq4ldqo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [7] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/zelenskyy-says-ukraine-ready-for-maritime-truce-and-puts-onus-on-russia-to-respond/article71501134.ece
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilgFBVV95cUxPOTZWQVc0Z0NRMVp5VkdLOXk4RWM3TjBZZzNiaXk2djBNUl9wZm0yWHhJaC1iaTNxSDU4SUtxUk9tZ1ZEbjRGRklUcVRJMVFUcFFBT000NWlZUGZnNU1mU01KUnI0VE9tUjd0TExPR3JUdWFEaGNkSURjbHduMHVYdVNlT0kyYVRxQ0lTVW1Id1J1d0dFeWc?oc=5
- [9] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/23/trump-pushes-russia-ukraine-energy-truce-can-it-work?traffic_source=rss
- [10] https://www.dw.com/en/live-updates-trump-welcomes-xi-to-washington/live-79404511?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [11] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gn/2026/09-24/10702696.shtml
- [12] https://www.rt.com/news/646127-us-iran-aviation-sanctions/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [13] https://uk.news.yahoo.com/hope-progress-us-iran-hold-103122383.html
- [14] https://www.france24.com/fr/am%C3%A9riques/20260923-donald-trump-re%C3%A7oit-xi-jinping-aux-%C3%A9tats-unis-avec-des-%C3%A9gards-exceptionnels
- [15] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/iranian-advisers-helped-houthis-seize-yemens-red-sea-coast-in-less-than-48-hours-report/article71501137.ece
- [16] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260923/95f7f3e143cb45bc988c856867ef4b86/c.html
- [17] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/africas-richest-man-picks-indian-psu-for-450-million-refinery-contract-in-kenya/articleshow/134432368.cms
- [18] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/%C3%A9l%C3%A9ment-terre-la-quotidienne/20260923-r%C3%A9duire-les-%C3%A9missions-%C3%A0-l-%C3%A8re-de-l-ia-et-de-la-crise-des-carburants-le-casse-t%C3%AAte
- [19] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gn/2026/09-24/10702684.shtml
- [20] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/23/briefing/at-the-un-iran-says-it-will-not-give-up-its-nuclear-program.html
- [21] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/zelenskyy-at-un-urges-leaders-to-keep-choking-russias-revenues-and-impede-its-war-efforts/article71501448.ece
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimAFBVV95cUxPSWU4WXp4UDJYb25pa3BRYTNqSW1rcFhDdF9vMXdoekszMG1JbEttak9SWDhnWnotU21ucFhVYlByOGQwaFdoRE1DeU04WXVjTVN2a0dmSzJoR3VsNGozZi0zQ0tNbkdMRkVRd0Z3MzE3QnFNWkNpYTgycTBqLUJ3QUNYN1hWVFA5NGdnS2JycV9KUTE1VnBQcQ?oc=5
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/23/irans-president-slams-trumps-bullying-in-defiant-unga-speech?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/23/russian-drone-strikes-target-kyiv-infrastructure-after-zelenskyy-trump-talk?traffic_source=rss
2026-09-23
2026-09-23
进展要点
- 特朗普在联合国大会发表37分钟讲话，为对伊军事行动辩护，威胁若无法达成结束冲突的协议将“摧毁伊朗伊斯兰共和国”，并呼吁各国在经济上孤立伊朗〔证据:318421〕
- 特朗普呼吁盟友对伊朗实施“完全经济孤立”，称伊朗面临达成协议或被“摧毁”的选择〔证据:318358〕
- 泽连斯基在联大期间与特朗普会晤，乌方面临防务预算缺口与爱国者拦截弹短缺，特朗普因乌方袭击俄罗斯炼油厂推高美国柴油价格而施压其停止此类打击〔证据:318214〕
- 轨迹（延续）：特朗普延续“双边交易加公开施压”的做法，从9月中旬宣布格陵兰协议到本次联大“达成协议或遭摧毁”的对伊表述〔证据:318421〕
关键事件
- 特朗普在联合国演讲中威胁“摧毁”伊朗，美伊官员在会议场边会晤（BBC News (Top)）〔证据:318415〕
- 特朗普称美方与伊朗调解人举行“非常良好”的三小时会谈，并预测将在11月中期选举后达成和平协议（Yahoo News - World）〔证据:318421〕
- 泽连斯基在联大期间会晤特朗普，乌方面临防务预算缺口与导弹短缺，特朗普要求其停止袭击俄罗斯炼油厂以稳定柴油价格（RT News）〔证据:318214〕
关注 / 展望
关注美伊间接接触是否延续、11月中期选举前是否出现实质协议，以及美国对俄能源买家二级关税是否落地。
关联路径
美伊军事威胁与谈判交替 / 中东供应风险溢价 / 油价与避险资产波动
俄炼油厂遇袭与柴油价格 / 美方施压停火 / 能源供应预期
来源
Xinhua Finance / RT News / Yahoo News - World / The New York Times / Google News - World / France 24 #2 / BBC News (Business) / Times of India / Global Issues News / German Foreign Office Press Releases / BBC News (Top) / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/646093-iran-hormuz-reopening-us/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260922/31bc2254c394496e82a7841dd8b5bc9a/c.html
- [3] https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/article/lets-not-send-out-the-diesel-trump-floats-ban-on-us-diesel-exports-190158139.html
- [4] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/22/business/saudi-oil-pipeline-hormuz.html
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxOWXpnaFo1aGxnUWNfVGE4cDdHQml3Qmx1cGJrVGJuekdYZmJadHFUUGtVSDdEck1jN05jNk80UmxYVzNwRGFETDhPbkVSVkhDX2RNV21nMzUyc1plSlJvUENKUkNYTEFVZ3lwQnkxSWg0bVUyQWZMekFIMG41UF9OUzNMRlk?oc=5
- [6] https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20260922-how-is-the-eu-approaching-record-fuel-prices
- [7] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx305ymq4ldqo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [8] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/international-business/unga-address-donald-trump-touts-venezuela-oil-deal-says-it-will-drive-down-energy-prices-worldwide/articleshow/134415730.cms
- [9] https://www.globalissues.org/news/2026/09/22/44117
- [10] https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/de/newsroom/2803294-2803294
- [11] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c52e0ywl9pr7o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/22/qatars-emir-urges-diplomacy-as-gulf-at-one-of-the-most-dangerous?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/tehran-hints-hormuz-talks-us-122001507.html
- [14] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260923/6bebbfc2647843ea998da98c271bc13c/c.html
- [15] https://www.rt.com/news/646082-us-leaves-middle-eastern-ally-hanging/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [16] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/the-debate/20260922-trump-s-world-leaders-navigate-consequences-of-us-policy
- [17] https://www.france24.com/fr/europe/20260922-flamb%C3%A9e-des-prix-des-carburants-comment-les-autres-pays-europ%C3%A9ens-s-organisent
- [18] https://www.rt.com/news/646079-zelensky-trump-card-bluff-un/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [19] https://uk.news.yahoo.com/trump-warns-un-speech-could-160836184.html
- [20] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/22/briefing/trump-un-speech-iran-unions-ai-threats.html
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMioAFBVV95cUxPam9BZnhXVDJtS0VwWS1nZ2tENzF2OHdwamNwNzlkdmctT1NNZ296ZVFLckFNdTB3d2hCOEhwQU1OOEtFMjh0b3NmNFpZRHUxaGhuVU5la1hOM2NmYnJ4Z1hMRnc3YjlGanp6dDd0LUNjdFFXR2dDOGo3VkdYbmZVNjE2ZXdrdjYtWHRhdkhFenhzU1YweHBMU2JOaElpdjVR?oc=5
- [22] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/9/22/qatar-urges-diplomacy-rejects-strait-of-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [23] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/trump-threatens-to-annihilate-iran-make-a-deal-or-get-destroyed/articleshow/134417865.cms
- [24] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxNYnlCTkxicTUzUWYtb2ZqTjJZMGJJY3ZKWlYzR21UMk1tN2NwRkJ4dE9lVHkyVnhIald4YWxjbGkxMEl6QW1HUE9RdWoyYkVwWjJWYmZRUHRTdlFWeDFBMzhVN3ZBQkVHUHRNRm1oWmZNYU9CTzZFN19ScEtja1lwMXdBV21BSjl6RDJHQ3laX0lrcVFycFVyTU40QzRSTmt1Slc1anVsVGNmWTNl?oc=5
2026-09-22
2026-09-22
进展要点
- 应美国总统特朗普邀请，中国国家主席习近平将于9月23日至25日对美国进行国事访问，这是习近平时隔11年再度对美进行国事访问，也是中美元首继今年5月北京会晤后半年内实现互访（来源：China News Service）〔证据:317263〕
- 《纽约时报》报道特朗普与习近平举行会晤，背景是中美之间脆弱的贸易休战（来源：The New York Times）〔证据:317336〕
- 轨迹（转向）：9月19日中美双方商定在美举行经贸磋商（何立峰出席），今日元首访问安排延续双方接触与磋商路径〔证据:317263〕
关键事件
- 中国国家主席习近平将于9月23日至25日对美国进行国事访问，为时隔11年再次对美进行国事访问（来源：China News Service）〔证据:317263〕
- 《纽约时报》报道称，特朗普与习近平在脆弱的美国—中国贸易休战背景下举行会晤（来源：The New York Times）〔证据:317336〕
关注 / 展望
关注访问成果文件、是否伴随关税或出口管制安排的边际松动，以及经贸磋商对农产品、能源与半导体供应链的指向。
关联路径
中美元首高频沟通 / 贸易休战预期稳定 / 风险资产与人民币汇率情绪改善
来源
Xinhua Finance / China News Service / Yahoo News - World / RT News / France 24 #2 / Die Zeit Politics / Google News - World / The Hindu / France 24 - France News / Al Jazeera Middle East / The Hindu BusinessLine / The New York Times / ANTARA News Jawa Timur / Press Information Bureau (PIB) - Government of India / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://uk.news.yahoo.com/houthis-push-control-yemen-highlands-110616361.html
- [2] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260922/c276665a01374395a5884e1a48e34fef/c.html
- [3] https://www.rt.com/news/646055-trump-considering-blowing-up-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [4] https://www.france24.com/en/france-government-hosts-energy-meeting-amid-fuel-price-tensions
- [5] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-09/kali-belarus-usa-kanada-handelsstreit-donald-trump
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwAFBVV95cUxOM0ZqN3BCT1Q3OXIxNWE5Vl9GVHVTNHNJWUgwdEIwNnQ5OHlPN0lmc0R3RHRubUUzdFB0bGVVZTZrVURNMWRkREczMlNuaGgxS0pyLUVvZ0FRZVpFeE9XdExBcXJtWXM5c01wSVFCRndLelVBNnU3WFFOX2lUTE82NzdzdGxUOXRuTzZWclp1b0JFQUxqcmctUmNKUW1PZWUtOV93M2lnX2NPN2ItZXUtT2lGbHo5cHRrSHRPcFBKa0w?oc=5
- [7] https://www.thehindu.com/infographics/2026-09-21/india-us-tariffs-fta-export-dependence/index.html
- [8] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/les-cl%C3%A9s-de-l-info/20260921-carburants-pourquoi-paie-t-on-si-cher-en-france
- [9] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-22/10701195.shtml
- [10] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/21/faa-halts-flights-to-major-us-east-coast-airports-amid-outage?traffic_source=rss
- [11] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/india-new-zealand-fta-to-kick-in-on-oct-20-with-zero-tariffs-on-indian-goods/article71492439.ece
- [12] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/21/world/middleeast/yemen-houthis-saudi-war.html
- [13] https://jatim.antaranews.com/berita/1100667/bahlil-sebut-pnbp-minerba-naik-meski-pemerintah-pangkas-kuota-produksi
- [14] https://pib.gov.in/PressReleaseIframePage.aspx?PRID=2313222
- [15] https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/article/gas-prices-are-higher-than-theyve-ever-been-at-this-point-in-recent-election-cycles-185840023.html
- [16] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260921-projectile-hits-tanker-as-it-enters-the-strait-of-hormuz
- [17] https://www.rt.com/news/646030-saudi-arabia-houthis-strikes/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [18] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/21/regierung-drueckt-beim-tankrabatt-aufs-tempo
- [19] https://www.rt.com/news/646048-hungary-russian-energy-us-sanctions/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [20] https://www.zeit.de/politik/deutschland/2026-09/tankrabatt-energiesteuer-benzin-diesel-bundesregierung
- [21] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260921-d%C3%A9troit-d-ormuz-un-navire-touch%C3%A9-apr%C3%A8s-de-nouvelles-menaces-des-gardiens-iraniens
- [22] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-22/10701201.shtml
- [23] https://www.thehindu.com/videos/india-new-zealand-fta-to-come-into-force-on-october-20/article71492785.ece
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/21/us-threatens-to-ground-iranian-airlines-worldwide-from-wednesday?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/21/business/economy/trump-xi-china-trade.html
- [26] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/us-treasury-chief-says-iran-airlines-to-be-shut-down-sept-23/article71491890.ece
- [27] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gn/2026/09-21/10701128.shtml
2026-09-21
2026-09-21
进展要点
- 加拿大与挪威发布联合声明，重申北约承诺与对乌克兰支持，并深化在北极安全、关键矿产、能源及防务工业等领域的双边合作。（Prime Minister of Canada - News）〔证据:316522〕
- 乌克兰总统泽连斯基与美国总统特朗普同意在纽约联合国大会期间举行关键会晤，双方强调安全问题并规划降级步骤。（Times of India）〔证据:316446〕
- 美国与中国在纽约举行高层会谈，为本周晚些时候的特朗普与习近平峰会做准备。（Al Jazeera Middle East）〔证据:316482〕
关键事件
- 加挪深化北极防务与关键矿产合作（Prime Minister of Canada - News）〔证据:316522〕
- 泽连斯基与特朗普将在联大期间纽约会晤（Times of India）〔证据:316446〕
- 美中高层会谈在特朗普-习近平峰会前启动（Al Jazeera Middle East）〔证据:316482〕
来源
China News Service / RT News / Yahoo News - World / Google News - World / The New York Times / El País Internacional / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #3 / Prime Minister of Canada - News / The Hindu / Times of India / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/646009-us-sanctions-russia-oil/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/iran-warns-against-escalation-us-131851523.html
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipAFBVV95cUxQWHJRN3ZvMEhQYW9vdzdwX0lkMEdiVGQ1dHBHS2xFdEpwMDBSSldKX3hMM0swNU1CYW1nTkVnTUV3dFBYWmpyNFF0NnljWGx1LTZFOWc5OWNtdWNDamZvMFdjd1FUc21zdTFtMDR5SVNFYmhFbWVSM3JDaEE1enp0RVBXa3RBSUducHppTGswU05WcG9UbmY5WU11S2ZBbUtuVGNEQg?oc=5
- [4] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/20/world/middleeast/saudi-arabia-yemen-houthis-fighting.html
- [5] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-09-20/iran-y-su-aliado-huti-amenazan-la-economia-mundial-con-el-control-de-dos-estrechos-clave.html
- [6] https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2026/9/20/trump-tariffs-hit-canadas-dairy-farmers-as-us-sales-stall?traffic_source=rss
- [7] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gn/2026/09-20/10700483.shtml
- [8] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260920-moyen-orient-washington-craint-une-escalade-rapide-apr%C3%A8s-une-attaque-sur-ryad
- [9] https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/statements/2026/09/20/joint-statement-prime-minister-carney-and-prime-minister-norway-jonas
- [10] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/trump-claims-houthis-agree-not-to-fight-us-as-attacks-mount-on-saudi-allies/article71488627.ece
- [11] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/could-change-a-lot-zelenskky-and-trump-to-meet-in-new-york-ahead-of-unga/articleshow/134373778.cms
- [12] https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/iran-war-trump-us-strait-of-hormuz-oil-houthis
- [13] https://www.rt.com/news/646004-eu-worst-energy-crisis-dmitriev/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [14] https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/article/why-your-cell-phone-bill-is-getting-so-expensive--and-how-that-helped-convince-the-fed-to-raise-rates-100000440.html
- [15] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-09-19/los-huties-de-yemen-se-atribuyen-ataques-con-drones-y-misiles-en-arabia-saudi.html
- [16] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-09-20/ucrania-lanza-uno-de-sus-mayores-ataques-sobre-moscu-en-el-ultimo-dia-de-elecciones-rusas.html
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/20/qatari-pm-warns-against-cycles-of-escalation-in-the-middle-east?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/20/us-china-open-high-level-talks-ahead-of-trump-xi-summit?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260920-les-houthis-frappent-ryad-au-y%C3%A9men-ils-existent-%C3%A0-travers-la-guerre
- [20] https://www.france24.com/en/ukraine-fires-over-1-000-drones-at-russia-in-largest-ever-attack-on-moscow
- [21] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/09-20/10700455.shtml
- [22] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/09-20/10700448.shtml
2026-09-20
2026-09-20
进展要点
- 伊朗最高国家安全委员会秘书穆赫辛·雷扎伊表示，已通过卡塔尔调解方向美国转达七项谈判条件，包括停止所有战线战争、释放被冻结资金、结束海上封锁；美伊谅解备忘录规定的60天谈判期已于上月到期且未达成协议〔证据:315636〕
- 雷扎伊向半岛电视台表示，伊朗愿以6月签署的美伊框架协议为基础结束战争，条件包括全面停战、解冻资产及美国解除海上封锁，该协议曾要求伊朗保障霍尔木兹海峡商船安全通行〔证据:315558〕
- 轨迹（稳定）：德黑兰9月15日曾表示条件未获满足便不谈判，9月19日雷扎伊再度以停止各战线战争、解冻资金与结束海上封锁为谈判前提〔证据:315636〕
关键事件
- 伊朗最高国家安全委员会秘书雷扎伊称，已通过卡塔尔调解方向美国转达七项谈判条件，包括停止所有战线战争、解冻资金与结束海上封锁（RT News）〔证据:315636〕
- 伊朗方面表示愿以6月美伊框架协议为基础结束战争，条件为全面停战、解冻资产及美国解除海上封锁（Stern Politik）〔证据:315558〕
关注 / 展望
关注美方对伊朗条件的正式回应，以及霍尔木兹海峡商船通行与封锁状态是否出现实质松动；谈判若继续僵持，能源运输风险溢价难以下降。
关联路径
美伊谈判僵局 / 霍尔木兹海峡航运受阻 / 能源价格与运费上行
伊朗停战信号 / 海峡风险溢价回落 / 油价承压
来源
Xinhua Finance / RT News / FAZ Wirtschaft / Scroll.in / NPR Politics / TF1 Info Politique / Yahoo News - World / France 24 #3 / Le Monde International / elDiario.es Internacional / The New York Times / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Stern Politik / Tagesschau / Naftemporiki / PÚBLICO / ZDFheute Politik / German Federal Government News / La Libre - International Europe / Die Zeit Politics
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/645990-explosions-rock-saudi-capital/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/mehr-wirtschaft/kevin-warsh-trotzt-donald-trump-bei-der-inflationsbekaempfung-201236493.html
- [3] https://scroll.in/latest/1095849/trump-signs-bill-allowing-100-tariffs-on-india-other-countries-for-buying-russian-oil?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=public
- [4] https://www.npr.org/2026/09/18/nx-s1-5973810/houthi-attacks-saudi-oil-world-markets
- [5] https://www.tf1info.fr/international/en-direct-moyen-orient-les-etats-unis-accordent-un-visa-au-president-iranien-pour-se-rendre-a-l-onu-les-informations-aujourd-hui-vendredi-18-septembre-2028-2464871.html
- [6] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwly5d9v7r43o?xtor=AL-72-%5Bpartner%5D-%5Byahoo.north.america%5D-%5Bheadline%5D-%5Bnews%5D-%5Bbizdev%5D-%5Bisapi%5D
- [7] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260919/8ca4ded061aa4d1fbaf4a385703bc6bb/c.html
- [8] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260919-arabie-saoudite-flammes-fumee-noire-visibles-pres-a%C3%A9roport-de-riyad-apr%C3%A8s-de-fortes-explosions-reservoir-incendie
- [9] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/09/19/arabie-saoudite-la-coalition-militaire-accuse-les-houthistes-d-avoir-lance-un-missile-balistique-sur-riyad_6777045_3211.html
- [10] https://www.eldiario.es/internacional/trump-encadena-reveses-propios-aliados-imponer-agenda-ultra_1_13521908.html
- [11] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/19/business/india-russia-sanctions-oil.html
- [12] https://www.dw.com/en/saudi-arabia-houthis-claim-strikes-on-riyadh-yanbu-port/a-79339010?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [13] https://www.stern.de/politik/ausland/iran-krieg--signal-aus-teheran--iran-will-zurueck-zu-rahmenabkommen-38278122.html
- [14] https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/amerika/usa-trump-russland-sanktionen-100.html
- [15] https://www.naftemporiki.gr/kosmos/2163927/oi-choythi-lene-oti-eplixan-eyaisthites-egkatastaseis-sto-riant-kai-petrelaikes-egkatastaseis-sti-parathalassia-poli-gianmpoy/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=oi-choythi-lene-oti-eplixan-eyaisthites-egkatastaseis-sto-riant-kai-petrelaikes-egkatastaseis-sti-parathalassia-poli-gianmpoy
- [16] https://www.publico.pt/2026/09/19/mundo/noticia/bases-norteamericanas-medio-oriente-sofreram-danos-graves-ataques-iranianos-2188653
- [17] https://www.zdfheute.de/politik/deutschland/sprit-preise-entlastungen-benzin-diesel-regierung-100.html
- [18] https://www.bundesregierung.de/breg-de/aktuelles/bund-und-laender-beschliessen-spritpreis-entlastungspaket-2453198
- [19] https://www.lalibre.be/international/europe/2026/09/19/la-dette-publique-de-la-france-sapprete-a-atteindre-son-plus-haut-niveau-depuis-1995-QLTAIHH7QNAURFXTZH6SCWK2IA
- [20] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-09/donald-trump-russland-sanktionen-usa-wladimir-putin-ukraine-gxe
- [21] https://www.antaranews.com/video/5749325/prabowo-indonesia-tak-lagi-impor-solar-sejak-juli-2026
- [22] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwly5d9v7r43o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [23] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/09/19/6aae878cfc6c83180e8b45bb.html
- [24] https://www.rt.com/news/645989-beijing-condemns-us-sanctions/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [25] https://www.rt.com/news/645996-iran-sends-peace-terms-us/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [26] https://www.lalibre.be/international/europe/2026/09/17/trump-menace-lunion-europeenne-de-droits-de-douane-tres-lourds-en-cas-dassociation-avec-le-canada-6KL6FQSCKVGW7DYQ6TYY43F2ZI
- [27] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260919-smoke-flames-seen-near-riyadh-airport-major-flight-disruptions-reported
- [28] https://www.naftemporiki.gr/kosmos/2163968/toyrkia-oykrania-kai-rosia-echoyn-theseis-poy-dyskola-symvivazontai-pros-mia-symfonia-gia-na-stamatisoyn-oi-epitheseis-se-ploia-sti-mayri-thalassa/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=toyrkia-oykrania-kai-rosia-echoyn-theseis-poy-dyskola-symvivazontai-pros-mia-symfonia-gia-na-stamatisoyn-oi-epitheseis-se-ploia-sti-mayri-thalassa
2026-09-19
2026-09-19
进展要点
- 俄罗斯因乌克兰支持问题扣押法国企业资产，并召见英国特使，克里姆林宫称英国对乌支持等同于认可“恐怖主义”。（Al Jazeera Middle East）〔证据:314466〕
- 美国总统特朗普宣布与丹麦达成协议，美国获得格陵兰岛安全的“永久控制权”，并禁止外国对手在该岛设立基地。（El Mundo - International News）〔证据:314638〕
- 特朗普声称与丹麦达成一项协议，使美国获得对格陵兰的“永久控制权”。该报道为突发新闻，未提供协议细节或官方确认。（Al Jazeera Middle East）〔证据:314634〕
关键事件
- 俄罗斯扣押法国企业资产并召见英国特使（Al Jazeera Middle East）〔证据:314466〕
- 特朗普宣布与丹麦达成协议，美国获格陵兰安全永久控制权（El Mundo - International News）〔证据:314638〕
- 特朗普称与丹麦达成协议，美国获格陵兰“永久控制权”（Al Jazeera Middle East）〔证据:314634〕
关联路径
俄扣押法企资产 / 欧俄紧张升级 / 避险情绪升温
来源
Xinhua Finance / Google News - World / Yahoo News - World / Tagesschau / n-tv Politik / Nikkei Asia / Kyodo News English / El Mundo - International News / The New Indian Express / Ukrinform / Al Jazeera Middle East / ORF.at News / Le Parisien Politics / Le Monde International / ECB Press Releases
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxON1ROYVJ6T0RNSzVUbXVHZTJTc0NDajFSSzB4VjdJcWVpX2JVVk9KcnpmZHNMZFZxS3pIaTFRMlUzSExKZHBiUlRYa2l2M0s1amg4aTd6alZNLW53cmZsWVhFZFRsUG91NnNLMXNSdnhGckhpTTlRTF9JV0xRS0dDNEh3cUhMcFl3NGNCdQ?oc=5
- [2] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/iranians-rally-hundreds-thousands-biggest-082500368.html
- [3] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260919/2d2add943e4f4e87a8b8487fb93fe846/c.html
- [4] https://www.tagesschau.de/eilmeldung/einigung-tankrabatt-spritpreisdeckel-100.html
- [5] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Grundsaetzliche-Einigung-auf-Tankrabatt-und-Spritpreisdeckel-id31323267.html
- [6] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/markets/currencies/boj-conducts-rate-check-lifting-yen-to-upper-156-range-against-dollar
- [7] https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/85701
- [8] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/09/18/6aad6a9be9cf4a7b268b458e.html
- [9] https://www.newindianexpress.com/india/2026/Sep/18/government-increases-30-days-sugar-stockholding-limit-for-bulk-buyers-amid-falling-prices
- [10] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-economy/4165535-ukraina-eksportue-sonasnikovu-oliu-vsima-dostupnimi-logisticnimi-slahami-visockij.html
- [11] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/18/as-houthis-grab-bab-al-mandeb-us-appears-willing-to-watch-from-sidelines?traffic_source=rss
- [12] https://orf.at/stories/3442538
- [13] https://www.leparisien.fr/politique/menace-russe-guerres-prix-des-carburants-approvisionnements-ce-quil-faut-retenir-de-la-prise-de-parole-demmanuel-macron-sur-la-crise-energetique-18-09-2026-73RGITGT3RGE7LGQXSL7U76NYI.php
- [14] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/09/18/en-allemagne-le-gouvernement-annonce-des-mesures-d-allegement-sur-le-prix-du-carburant_6776844_3210.html
- [15] https://www.ecb.europa.eu//press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr260918~295b3ab978.en.html
- [16] https://www.tagesschau.de/wirtschaft/energie/diesel-preis-rekordhoch-100.html
- [17] https://www.cbsnews.com/news/farmer-trump-voter-iran-war-tariffs-cost
- [18] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-leakers-threat-truth-social-b3052336.html
- [19] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260918/7d3e97c698ab4d3f991d0192f5b141bb/c.html
- [20] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/AfD-Spitze-will-wohl-mit-Putin-Berater-ueber-Gas-Geschaefte-reden-id31322730.html
- [21] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260918/df5c5b364d6945d39a7f5ad4fe2c7817/c.html
- [22] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/18/russia-seizes-assets-of-french-firms-summons-uk-envoy-over-ukraine-support?traffic_source=rss
- [23] https://orf.at/stories/3442546
- [24] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/09/18/6aad8e41e9cf4a4b3d8b4579-video.html
- [25] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/09/19/6aadb39f21efa00e708b4583.html
- [26] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/18/trump-claims-deal-with-denmark-gives-us-permanent-control-over-greenland?traffic_source=rss
- [27] https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/europa/klingbeil-finanzministertreffen-dublin-100.html
2026-09-18
2026-09-18
进展要点
- 波兰总理图斯克表示，预计未来几周俄罗斯对乌克兰的袭击将加剧，尤其是在波兰边境附近。情报评估显示，俄罗斯还可能对支持乌克兰的国家，包括波兰，发动“意外”的无人机和导弹打击。（Ukrinform）〔证据:313812〕
- 波兰总理图斯克警告俄罗斯可能对北约国家发动袭击，同时美国总统特朗普表示可能向波兰提供更多美军基地。（n-tv Politik）〔证据:313795〕
关键事件
- 图斯克警告：俄罗斯或对波兰等北约国家发动“意外”打击（Ukrinform）〔证据:313812〕
- 波兰总理警告俄或袭北约，美拟增设基地（n-tv Politik）〔证据:313795〕
来源
China News Service / Xinhua Finance / Yahoo News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / The New Indian Express / RT News / The New York Times / IRIS - Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques / Google News - World / Le Parisien Politics / n-tv Politik / POLITICO Europe / Anadolu Agency Politics / Ukrinform
参考链接
- [1] https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/6093985-senate-republicans-criticize-iran-war
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2026/9/17/us-tariffs-against-russian-oil-buyers-pass-what-it-means-for-china?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://www.newindianexpress.com/videos/interviews/2026/Sep/17/100-tariff-on-india-brics-russian-oil-and-the-collapse-of-convenient-multilateralism
- [4] https://www.rt.com/news/645903-saudi-arabia-yemen-struggle/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [5] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-18/10698623.shtml
- [6] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/17/business/economy/iran-war-energy-prices.html
- [7] https://www.iris-france.org/xi-jinping-a-washington-un-soutien-surprise-a-trump
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMibkFVX3lxTE5aQ2E3YzFncE5mWjR1akxyYnptQi1hOHV5UlVTaGo2WkMwUWpCOVM2UmFUdms4SzVZZFFiNEVyTHlWbUgwZl93MGxkRnUxQzhtamVCemVDS2ZkR1FPT1UxTW5EaTZUS19SUV9QMzRB0gFzQVVfeXFMTmdXVlg2THpkVWxIblF6dnhDdW92UWFwak5OdUh1ajFGWjZWSzJtVm1JdHdVZF9wOVVsaXNjd0ZZeVROeVpfamlLck5VQzZYbmpidTB6alZodWxfS0h4Zl9tbEFEc1FBdFhreWZMS0F1QS0xcw?oc=5
- [9] https://www.leparisien.fr/politique/il-veut-eviter-un-accident-sur-les-marches-financiers-lecornu-devoile-un-budget-historique-a-54-milliards-deconomies-17-09-2026-PTCZCUHLFBHXRJZVKOXVB7QOBQ.php
- [10] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Italien-will-seine-Schiffe-im-Alleingang-vor-den-Huthis-schuetzen-id31318603.html
- [11] https://www.politico.eu/article/carneys-vorstellungen-ueber-handel-in-einer-assoziierten-partnerschaft/?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=RSS_Syndication
- [12] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-says-another-us-mq-9-drone-downed-over-qeshm-island-near-strait-of-hormuz/4060222
- [13] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-world/4165249-tramp-zaaviv-so-zvazue-vazlive-risenna-stosovno-vijni-v-irani.html
- [14] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260918/a5c803b27b1b4534a3fbe984b988d58f/c.html
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/17/china-faces-oil-challenge-as-prices-soar-and-supply-options-narrow?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/17/economy/fed-trump-rate-hike-warsh
- [17] https://www.rt.com/news/645918-heatwaves-europe-potato-shortage/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [18] https://www.newindianexpress.com/india/2026/Sep/17/india-warns-us-sanctions-on-russian-energy-buyers-could-affect-ties-global-markets
- [19] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/17/business/energy-environment/china-oil-iran-war.html
- [20] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-17/10698595.shtml
- [21] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-18/10698628.shtml
- [22] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Klingbeil-fordert-Strafzoelle-auf-Chinas-Plug-In-Hybride-id31317749.html
- [23] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-world/4165226-tusk-rosia-moze-zavdavati-vipadkovih-udariv-po-krainah-nato-zokrema-polsi.html
- [24] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-economy/4165217-putin-peredav-pid-zovnisne-upravlinna-rosijskij-biznes-kompanij-auchan-i-nestle.html
- [25] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Tusk-rechnet-mit-baldigen-russischen-Angriffen-auf-Nato-Staaten-id31318919.html
- [26] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/17/russia-china-veto-un-mandate-to-monitor-iran-sanctions?traffic_source=rss
- [27] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260918/10935a2612684412a0774b97b3f22838/c.html
2026-09-14
2026-09-14
进展要点
- 原定于9月14日在阿曼举行的伊朗与海湾国家区域会议被推迟，官方称出于共识考量。该会议旨在讨论霍尔木兹海峡可能达成的协议。（The Hindu）〔证据:310220〕
- 印度总理莫迪在BRICS峰会上提出技术与关键矿产被“武器化”的担忧，涉及供应链安全与地缘政治议题。（The Hindu）〔证据:310064〕
关键事件
- 伊朗与海湾国家阿曼会谈因共识考量推迟（The Hindu）〔证据:310220〕
- 莫迪在BRICS峰会警告技术与关键矿产被武器化（The Hindu）〔证据:310064〕
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / The New York Times / RT News / Al Jazeera Middle East / Die Zeit Politics / France 24 #2 / The Hindu BusinessLine / Google News - World / El País Internacional / KBS World News / The Hindu / Deutsche Welle German News / BBC News (Top) / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/13/business/oil-prices-jump-on-energy-supply-worries.html
- [2] https://www.rt.com/news/645651-trump-zelensky-diesel-price/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/13/red-sea-nations-watch-as-houthis-seize-bab-al-mandeb-strait?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-09/drohnenangriffe-saudi-arabien-huthi-miliz-oelpipeline
- [5] https://www.news.cn/world/20260914/2051b8fff7334a7c939a18c92641a6eb/c.html
- [6] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260913-yemen-the-houthis-test-iran-s-regional-influence
- [7] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/iran-is-set-to-unveil-hormuz-agreement-to-gulf-nations-on-monday/article71463580.ece
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxQLURQSmFta1pLUy0xa1BESzZtelFyNWktdmJtQUIxaFh3SXBpQjMyVVJ2WTdXZnl1VGdTeC10cDQ3eVJGVHB4OExyUGJ0bzh0UTc5V3Rka0c4MnA1bk9nd3lkSm00Q0k0V0padWhadmF4Wi1sMmE3ZDdDdlUySkhPLVZESDNNZWFFR0dmcmtLNzA5TkFjejJLb2Q1YUJyV2EwQzRPYXdiOA?oc=5
- [9] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-09-13/rusia-ataca-la-zona-fronteriza-entre-polonia-y-ucrania-a-pocos-kilometros-de-territorio-otan.html
- [10] https://world.kbs.co.kr/service/news_view.htm?lang=e&Seq_Code=204216
- [11] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/talks-between-iran-and-gulf-countries-in-oman-postponed-in-the-interests-of-consensus/article71464526.ece
- [12] https://www.dw.com/de/ukraine-krieg-neue-friedensgespräche-schon-im-oktober/a-79251404?maca=de-rss-de-all-1119-rdf
- [13] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-14/10695878.shtml
- [14] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy5zg41dkqwo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/13/trump-tells-zelenskyy-to-stop-hitting-russian-diesel-supplies?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/9/13/09-12-ukraine-drone-russian-tanker-sv?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/13/zwei-tote-in-russland-nach-ukrainischen-angriffen
- [18] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/13/business/trump-ukraine-diesel.html
- [19] https://www.rt.com/news/645663-yemens-houthis-new-push/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [20] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/13/omans-aussenminister-treffen-zu-strasse-von-hormus-verschoben
- [21] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/spotlight/20260913-sucker-punch-how-the-houthis-shocked-the-gulf
- [22] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260913-guerre-au-moyen-orient-le-prix-du-baril-sera-l-arbitre-de-cette-guerre
- [23] https://www.news.cn/world/20260913/f7f7d1d776ed45ad84d0d29f003a9e68/c.html
- [24] https://www.thehindu.com/news/top-news-from-the-hindu-september-13-2026/article71463421.ece
- [25] https://www.rt.com/news/645664-trump-ai-race-china/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
2026-09-13
2026-09-13
进展要点
- 中国向美国表示，如果华盛顿批准新的对台军售，中方打算取消本月晚些时候计划举行的两国领导人会晤。（Kyodo News English）
- 《纽约时报》报道称，伊朗在与美国的对抗中发现，升级局势是获取谈判筹码的有效途径。报道配图显示霍尔木兹海峡的船只，凸显该航道在地区紧张局势中的战略地位。（The New York Times）
关键事件
- 中国警告美国：若批准对台军售将取消峰会（Kyodo News English）
- 伊朗以升级局势在美伊对抗中谋取筹码（The New York Times）
关联路径
美伊升级 / 霍尔木兹风险 / 油运与油价溢价
来源
China News Service / France 24 #2 / El País Internacional / El Mundo - International News / Le Monde International / ORF.at News / NPR Politics / The New York Times / Die Zeit Politics / derStandard.de / EL PAÍS América / Al Jazeera Middle East / The New Indian Express / Kyodo News English / ECNS Politics News / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260912-saudi-arabia-shut-down-east-west-pipeline-as-houthis-tighten-grip-on-red-sea
- [2] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-09-11/el-polvorin-del-mar-rojo-se-suma-al-cierre-de-ormuz-y-agrava-la-crisis-petrolera.html
- [3] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/09/11/6aa4656dfdddffcd6c8b45a2.html
- [4] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/09/12/l-arabie-saoudite-ferme-l-oleoduc-est-ouest-voie-de-contournement-au-blocage-du-detroit-d-ormuz-apres-des-attaques-de-drones-tires-d-irak_6770637_3211.html
- [5] https://orf.at/stories/3441991
- [6] https://www.npr.org/2026/09/12/g-s1-143044/yemens-houthis-capture-red-sea-island
- [7] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/12/world/middleeast/saudi-arabia-oil-pipeline-attack.html
- [8] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-13/10695508.shtml
- [9] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-09/drohnenangriff-oelpipeline-saudi-arabien-irak-iran
- [10] https://www.derstandard.de/story/3000000339480/nach-angriffen-auf-saudi-pipeline-und-huthi-vormasch-droht-weiterer-oelpreis-anstieg?ref=rss
- [11] https://elpais.com/economia/2026-09-11/la-inflacion-en-estados-unidos-se-mantiene-en-el-34-en-agosto-y-deja-un-camino-incierto-para-la-reserva-federal.html
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/9/12/will-houthi-advances-in-yemen-give-iran-leverage-in-its-war-with-the-us?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Sep/12/yemen-government-forces-say-hit-houthis-in-red-sea-city-2
- [14] https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/84865
- [15] http://www.ecns.cn/cns-wire/2026-09-11/detail-ihfkanuz5378464.shtml
- [16] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/09/12/l-arabie-saoudite-ferme-le-pipeline-qui-lui-sert-a-contourner-le-detroit-d-ormuz-apres-des-frappes-de-drones-en-provenance-d-irak_6771330_3210.html
- [17] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/09/12/6aa520ec21efa03b608b45b3.html
- [18] https://www.npr.org/2026/09/11/nx-s1-5966379/houthi-gains-gas-prices
- [19] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-09-12/trump-rechaza-auxiliar-a-arabia-saudi-en-el-mar-rojo-pese-al-cierre-de-un-oleoducto-clave.html
- [20] https://www.npr.org/2026/09/11/g-s1-142822/houthis-red-sea-port
- [21] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/09/12/6aa5611ae4d4d8d2608b4598-video.html
- [22] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260912-offensive-%C3%A9clair-des-houthis-pro-iraniens-qui-verrouillent-la-mer-rouge
- [23] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/12/world/middleeast/iran-escalation-leverage-houthis-strait.html
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/12/iran-backed-houthis-seize-strategic-mayun-island-can-they-hold-it?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/12/divine-triumph-iran-celebrates-houthis-capture-of-yemens-red-sea-coast?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/12/business/india-china-trade.html
2026-09-11
2026-09-11
进展要点
- 匈牙利新总理彼得·马扎尔改变欧尔班时期的亲俄路线，以涉嫌间谍活动为由驱逐十名俄罗斯外交官。莫斯科正考虑以停止天然气供应作为回应。（Deutsche Welle German News）
关键事件
- 匈牙利新总理对俄强硬，驱逐俄外交官（Deutsche Welle German News）
关联路径
匈俄外交冲突 / 俄气断供威胁 / 欧洲天然气风险溢价
来源
Xinhua Finance / China News Service / France 24 #3 / Al Jazeera Middle East / BBC News (Top) / BBC News (Business) / The New York Times / RT News / Deutsche Welle German News / DW Germany News / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260910/ade189eb49f74595a45a4177ea325a28/c.html
- [2] https://www.france24.com/fr/france/20260910-prix-p%C3%A9trole-blocage-d%C3%A9troit-bab-el-mandeb-yemen-houtis-serait-tr%C3%A8s-probl%C3%A9matique
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/10/oil-jumps-to-105-pushing-up-chances-of-a-us-interest-rate-increase?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-10/10694357.shtml
- [5] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c5y48rz2nddo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [6] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/10/business/oil-middle-east-iran-war.html
- [7] https://www.rt.com/news/645399-yemen-houthis-port-city/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [8] https://www.dw.com/de/magyar-kontra-moskau-ungarns-neue-härte-gegenüber-russland/a-79209485?maca=de-rss-de-all-1119-rdf
- [9] https://www.dw.com/en/germany-sets-its-sights-on-russia-s-shadow-fleet/a-79211123?maca=en-rss-en-ger-1023-rdf
- [10] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260910/ebf6d847a41344aab2f3179c0fed1af8/c.html
- [11] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260910-middle-east-live-trump-warns-iran-not-to-get-cute-over-activity-at-pickaxe-mountain
- [12] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260910-le-prix-du-p%C3%A9trole-poursuit-sa-hausse-cons%C3%A9quences-des-guerres-au-moyen-orient
- [13] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/10/business/european-central-bank-interest-rates.html
- [14] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260910/5dc1275c0b36448aabf1c1c355158ae7/c.html
- [15] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-11/10694369.shtml
- [16] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/10/climate/global-coal-demand-iran-war.html
- [17] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c4g7vr0lngwo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/10/yemens-houthis-seize-strategic-red-sea-city-of-mocha?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/9/10/whats-happening-in-yemen-and-how-did-we-get-here-3?traffic_source=rss
2026-09-05
2026-09-05
进展要点
- 美国与沙特可能达成的核协议将允许沙特进行20%丰度的铀浓缩，引发核不扩散担忧。同时，沙特计划在投资核电的同时释放每日100万桶的石油产能。（Google News - World）
关键事件
- 沙特核协议或开启20%浓缩铀路径（Google News - World）
关联路径
核协议 / 地缘风险 / 油价波动
来源
Xinhua Finance / China News Service / Al Jazeera Middle East / Times of India / Yahoo News - World / France 24 #3 / Google News - World / The New York Times / BBC News (Business) / DW (Deutsche Welle) / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/4/us-adds-jobs-in-august-beating-economic-forecasts?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260905/0c2fc3ca5ddf4f24a55b96f95032f0a4/c.html
- [3] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/international-business/cut-rates-or-ill-halt-trade-with-countries-us-has-deficit-with-donald-trump-threatens-federal-reserve/articleshow/133767535.cms
- [4] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/world-food-prices-highest-since-134111051.html
- [5] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260904-accord-p%C3%A9trolier-%C3%A9tats-unis-venezuela-des-remerciements-forc%C3%A9s
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxNUG5yNUVxVURLdHRCZy01dm9KSXo4VHBTczFHdS0tMHNKU1FhMDhIVTlpYWJ3SVJHVjk2Uk9Ld2pvalJfa3M4UlVEYzNUR2lJQUJXVUktVno3QUprcFZlWHdVc0wwSlN0ZG1SekwtMGphdFVpTmRRUTlERTBYcEdLNXFTNnJaaWZjSXF1WWRnWi0zWTBRT2docjktTUhPQjQyalVTVDNSMNIBrAFBVV95cUxOYnQtY3hmSlN3Y0l2N3ZpaTdnb0RvaThvUXIzYi1zNmpQOFpYbkYybndGSnM0T0JBMXNBNVFQN1lwV2Y2Z1lacWpFcnZqVGxKeFpIQVJidEc5dEhjN0U1RmNEWGtnTklBNTNWSTB2VWZsWVJlb3J4OGdXTmJOZ2hPaWh6bElkOHNDUngxTmswX1ZYU0xBMU92N3NrYm9VcEt1bkVKa0hGVFpPTnZ
- [7] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/04/business/economy/jobs-unemployment.html
- [8] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy0zx2pkpx9o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [9] https://www.dw.com/en/yemen-fighting-intensifies-amid-houthi-push-in-the-west/a-79039588?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
- [10] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-04/10690741.shtml
- [11] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/4/diesel-price-hits-all-time-high-in-us-amid-iran-war-woes?traffic_source=rss
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/4/conflicts-and-extreme-weather-pushing-global-food-prices-higher-warns-un?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/une-semaine-dans-le-monde/20260904-guerre-en-ukraine-regain-de-tensions-iran-usa-rentr%C3%A9e-politique-en-france
- [14] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/04/business/energy-environment/venezuela-oil-fields-betancourt-trump.html
- [15] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/breather-for-india-trumps-russia-sanctions-bill-may-be-stalled-for-now-could-have-led-to-100-tariffs/articleshow/133768779.cms
- [16] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/oman-says-no-to-iranian-toll-plan-for-strait-of-hormuz-report/articleshow/133770795.cms
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivgFBVV95cUxNSW53Y1hxTVp1TXg2NkVKRGRtTklVVnltOC1lOTMwSERPXzc1YXE2VWJCMUZUR29xMlc2YVJ0ZXE3WFBvN2k3WTVoQlkxWUVKRDc4QjZrUS1rNGxNOWh1eUFRcHVoaS1xTzhUY0tXVU5LaDNGbzVzV3UtVmNkc19la3FjWHdMclJPTWI0YTFRM3pVTno4bUs4cDM1bzJvWGtVbHMzRm91UnRPY01UNlo2Z3VialM4bkhGaml0eUZ3?oc=5
- [18] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/04/business/economy/trump-trade-threats-fed-rate-cuts.html
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxNLU1NbC1FZVV0Q095Zm1Dd05iR1FUQS10bDd5UllGRWdPMjYyY2lOV1JYUzdHOWFWMEREbUtjaHpZLVVTbXBhdUJheWxOa0tEaDZLVl80ZXNvako2bW9XYjJJMHF6dkVOSVR2WFhNM0JQYWc4ZDUyMExoQXdYYnhSVkFWOGtQV1Q1enN5dmFkakg5alRfRTVabFUwS0V5RkhEY0xmdlMzUHo?oc=5
- [20] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/us-issues-sanctions-turkish-bank-145558822.html
- [21] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260904-france-announces-%E2%82%AC1-billion-aid-for-farmers-after-climate-hit-summer
2026-09-04
2026-09-04
进展要点
- 荷兰央行宣布已将86吨黄金从纽约和加拿大转移至伦敦，以增强危机应对能力。此举紧随法国央行出售其在纽约联储的黄金储备之后，反映出欧洲国家在地缘政治紧张背景下对黄金储备布局的调整。（RT News）
- 荷兰央行以地缘政治动荡为由，削减了存放在美国的黄金储备，以提高黄金的可交易性。此举反映了央行在不确定时期对储备资产安全性和流动性的考量。（The New York Times）
关键事件
- 荷兰央行转移86吨黄金至伦敦以应对地缘风险（RT News）
- 荷兰央行因地缘政治动荡减持在美黄金储备（The New York Times）
关联路径
Central bank gold relocation / geopolitical risk / safe-haven demand
地缘政治风险 / 央行减持在美黄金 / 避险需求推升金价
来源
Xinhua Finance / Google News - World / France 24 #2 / The New York Times / The Hindu / Al Jazeera Middle East / Yahoo News - World / DW (Deutsche Welle) / RT News / ANTARA News Agency / Global Issues News / Nikkei Asia / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiywFBVV95cUxNYWxnVThEUFBybnJWc0RXUGh4Q2Y3aEJydFB6SVMyVGR2ZG91Zm5mWjdubWJ3eGhUb0ZKa3JYU3FZX2ppOVRrU1RFenNTNzVhd2J3RjNNVUFKUlZBOUl0MXpKRTFWN3BkVUJ2MEFxUF9FRmNUTUY0NnBuejlBZDFkLVNDRHpyYmNOZDhrVGZVWVo2OGdMVlRlY3pQdUVPMXBUbmpObEI3d19pdVFYZk15bVptVFlkZ0xtdnBFQlR5TThtYnRaOHZ2RWFQcw?oc=5
- [2] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260903-us-energy-firms-dominate-venezuela-deals-worth-billions
- [3] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/03/business/interest-rates-inflation-federal-reserve.html
- [4] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/iran-attacks-us-targets-despite-trump-threats/article71425433.ece
- [5] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/3/how-much-oil-is-going-through-hormuz-how-data-doesnt-match-us-claims?traffic_source=rss
- [6] https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-prices-rise-escalation-middle-140846139.html
- [7] https://www.dw.com/en/trump-s-iran-strategy-could-this-become-a-forever-war/a-78875030?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
- [8] https://www.rt.com/news/645103-netherlands-transfer-gold-us/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [9] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5725104/trump-dukung-rute-suriah-sebagai-alternatif-selat-hormuz
- [10] https://www.globalissues.org/news/2026/09/03/43959
- [11] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/markets/currencies/yen-hits-1-month-high-of-155-to-dollar-on-boj-rate-hike-speculation2
- [12] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260903/632fa72a0ac4458c963d0166c4c1518f/c.html
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqwFBVV95cUxNTWlHaHJsd0IyR0szVG5zUEU0Q2F3RUEzTkJWUlZXSEhQZlF2MkMzWmU5RVhrbmFyVG15T0RiSVdsOGt5V19TZDdnSW1DdVkyUjF4bmxZdjgwZWdBbUxXbWN2aXFiUzNmcTZDNEdiU28tdmk0VGVnbmQ0UDRhREpfUno5NExnR1RJQlhscWhTS2Mwa2tMTXpzZHVHbFQ1WE1GOUJRdzB5WU51emM?oc=5
- [14] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260903-guerre-au-moyen-orient-escalade-entre-washington-et-t%C3%A9h%C3%A9ran
- [15] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260903-guerre-au-moyen-orient-riposte-de-l-iran-au-kowe%C3%AFt-malgr%C3%A9-les-menaces-de-trump
- [16] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/03/world/europe/netherlands-gold-reserves-us.html
- [17] https://www.rt.com/news/645100-trump-congradulates-hegseth-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/9/3/aje-onl-nf_us-venezuela-oil-deal_colonialism-030926?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/9/3/09-03-iran-child-funeral-minisv?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/03/business/mortgage-rates-housing.html
- [21] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/number-iranian-military-personnel-reported-135003599.html
2026-08-30
2026-08-30
进展要点
- 美国与委内瑞拉达成协议，控制其超过650亿桶的已探明石油储量，此举可能影响全球石油市场供应格局。（Stern Politik）
- 美国特种部队年初逮捕委内瑞拉总统马杜罗后，特朗普宣布美国已获得该国巨大石油资源的开采权。（Neue Osnabrücker Zeitung - Politik）
关键事件
- 美国与委内瑞拉达成石油协议，掌控超650亿桶储量（Stern Politik）
- 美国特朗普宣布获取委内瑞拉巨额石油资源协议（Neue Osnabrücker Zeitung - Politik）
关联路径
US gains Venezuela oil reserves / supply expectations shift / oil prices and risk sentiment react
US gains Venezuela oil access / supply outlook shifts / oil prices & risk sentiment move
来源
China News Service / RT News / Stern Politik / Süddeutsche Zeitung Politik / Poder360 / The New Indian Express / n-tv Politik / Neue Osnabrücker Zeitung - Politik / El Mundo - International News / NBC News Politics / Anadolu Agency Politics / Global News / Le Monde International / Al Jazeera Middle East / La Tribune / Los Angeles Times World & Nation / EL PAÍS América / ORF.at News / Kyodo News English / Times of India
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/644808-eu-gas-winter-panic/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://www.stern.de/politik/ausland/donald-trump--usa-sichern-sich-riesige-oelvorkommen-in-venezuela-38174942.html
- [3] https://www.sueddeutsche.de/politik/usa-donald-trump-venezuela-oel-deal-li.3539010
- [4] https://www.poder360.com.br/poder-internacional/venezuela-confirma-acordo-com-eua-sobre-petroleo
- [5] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Aug/29/trump-announces-us-deal-to-control-65-billion-barrel-venezuelan-oil-reserves
- [6] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Trump-verkuendet-gewaltigen-Oel-Deal-mit-Venezuela-id31245049.html
- [7] https://www.noz.de/deutschland-welt/politik/artikel/rohstoff-deal-usa-sichern-sich-riesige-oelvorkommen-in-venezuela-51264170
- [8] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/08/29/6a922770e9cf4aa4208b45ae.html
- [9] https://www.nbcnews.com/world/venezuela/us-entered-deal-venezuela-take-control-65-billion-barrels-oil-reserves-rcna594966
- [10] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/eurasia/russia-extends-ban-on-diesel-exports-until-sept-30/4041112
- [11] https://globalnews.ca/news/12040400/trump-us-venezuela-oil-reserves
- [12] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/08/29/donald-trump-annonce-la-mainmise-americaine-sur-le-petrole-venezuelien_6759434_3210.html
- [13] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/08-29/10686540.shtml
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/29/whats-behind-the-us-deal-to-seize-control-of-venezuelan-oil-reserves?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.latribune.fr/article/economie/25278884896766/taux-directeurs-linflation-est-preoccupante-aux-etats-unis-selon-le-patron-de-la-fed
- [16] https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2026-08-29/what-we-know-about-trumps-deal-giving-us-access-to-vast-oil-reserves-in-venezuela
- [17] https://elpais.com/economia/2026-08-28/warsh-resalta-su-compromiso-para-reconducir-la-inflacion-al-2-y-anuncia-medidas-si-es-necesario.html
- [18] https://orf.at/stories/3440567
- [19] https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/83364
- [20] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/international-business/trump-vs-carney-cars-homes-booze-and-more-caught-in-us-canada-tariff-war/articleshow/133615510.cms
- [21] https://www.lalibre.be/international/europe/2026/08/29/ils-attaquent-tous-les-navires-commerciaux-la-turquie-convoque-lambassadeur-dukraine-apres-deux-attaques-en-mer-noire-WRYNQOZ7ZZGKZD7SJ6LKRY5ZEM
- [22] https://www.nbcnews.com/video/u-s-enters-deal-with-venezuela-to-take-control-of-65-billion-barrels-of-oil-reserves-269041221982
- [23] https://www.rt.com/news/644802-six-months-iran-us-israel/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [24] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Rund-400-Schiffe-haengen-im-Persischen-Golf-fest-id31245644.html
- [25] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/08/29/6a922a99fc6c831b228b457e.html
- [26] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/08/28/6a91ebf7fdddff8b518b458e-video.html
- [27] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/august-rainfall-fails-to-reduce-indias-monsoon-deficit/articleshow/133619584.cms
- [28] https://orf.at/stories/3440638
2026-08-18
2026-08-18
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普表示不寻求延长与伊朗的谅解备忘录，并称伊朗虽想达成协议但不会达成其认为必要的协议。此举可能影响伊朗原油出口及全球能源市场。（China News Service）
- 澳大利亚Iluka Resources公司在Eneabba的稀土精炼厂正在建设中，旨在与中国在稀土供应方面竞争。（Le Monde International）
关键事件
- 特朗普称不延长与伊朗谅解备忘录（China News Service）
- 澳大利亚稀土精炼厂准备与中国竞争（Le Monde International）
关联路径
US-Iran tension / supply risk / oil price up
稀土供应多元化 / 全球稀土市场格局变化 / 相关资产价格波动
来源
China News Service / Xinhua Finance / Google News - World / Die Zeit Politics / RT News / Der Spiegel International / Al Jazeera Middle East / Le Monde International / The Hindu / Times of India / Yahoo News - World / The New York Times / BBC News (Top) / The New Indian Express / n-tv Politik / C.D. Howe Institute Monetary Policy
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivwFBVV95cUxPVW11cldIazMtZ3FxdFMxclNuV2E0bkxXS1NQTW5fdlVtTmk4WWgyemVPSEJvOE5VWk5RRS1PckxxOWtqdURsOTJ0YTcxZERta1lkSm1UbkQ5TXpMRGh2UEw4NzIwa3kxZ2R2MkgtSk1EbTRsaGplZnpLdGJWcmM1ci1FTXJlM2tkZk1rcmxGbS0xS2J5UWJpQm9RbFdYVjViOWdGbWNLb2NzdTNmaUtLeTFjZG1PVUN4S1JlZEhOOA?oc=5
- [2] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-08/donald-trump-oman-bombenangriff-strasse-von-hormus-iran
- [3] https://www.rt.com/news/644339-trump-bomb-oman-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [4] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/iran-krieg-donald-trump-droht-mit-bomben-auf-oman-a-62a56c45-4e83-4a28-bb9b-c1cfeb89ef5e
- [5] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/17/iran-signals-readiness-for-us-ground-operations-as-mou-expires?traffic_source=rss
- [6] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/08/17/donald-trump-menace-de-bombarder-oman-si-le-sultanat-entrave-un-accord-sur-le-detroit-d-ormuz_6748219_3210.html
- [7] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/houthis-say-they-attacked-saudi-vessels-off-yemens-mocha/article71357619.ece
- [8] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/ongc-gets-us-licence-to-expand-venezuela-operations-boost-oil-output-and-investments/articleshow/133300426.cms
- [9] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/iran-working-finalize-hormuz-agreement-093755581.html
- [10] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/17/world/middleeast/houthis-saudi-strike.html
- [11] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/08-18/10679351.shtml
- [12] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260818/f51ad0271c0042f687c079c3dcc01580/c.html
- [13] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy5dzk0ryzdo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [14] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Aug/17/iran-works-to-finalise-the-strait-of-hormuz-agreement-with-oman
- [15] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Iran-gibt-USA-die-Schuld-an-Umweltverschmutzung-id31202584.html
- [16] https://cdhowe.org/publication/new-alberta-carbon-pricing-deal-lowers-costs-for-oil-sands
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirwFBVV95cUxNVlhmbGlnZVpNUUZsb05qX0U4ZWVIeUFXNEp1Mmo3aWM4el9TQUZfdV9BbGpYRlJmRTc2ZUVxZUkyQXR0MXJSczB5aXpXY3ZxWFpoSnBzSVZMYlJFa1BaY2hFMnRkazJJSVAzXzlaNWpTbDU2bHR0dXF4Y1hEWlFzU1RKc01tOWw2WDVYNkNWa0VicjRGd3pjZUM4ekpRWE9OSjJ2YlJGdWF2dnZVM3FR0gG0AUFVX3lxTE9YSE1qTXMwUEI5R18tVFhxOGlDRkZPUUktaDYtMy1hdXhQbHFLY0pBcTRIcWVuYUhBd3gxRElFOHloX1dFTXJsd2U2dC1KSHlsOEtFbzdhblBsSVp3VnR0UVhIb0J4Vjl6Q3l2UXE1UkZZVFlDSkwtdUtVZTV3QzhSYm9WVkJZOHZPUDNobzh0ZU9INkRTMVNOcEc1T01nMVZTT1p
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiekFVX3lxTE9DeURSb2RBZ010MURVZDdZV3p4ckVPdHBtZy1BeElkRlhWbGVheERZdWplcUN1dlNkbVpITmV0bHk0aGlIejcwU2ZqbTZiUUtTN09kMVBsSzVGaEk0SG9qM3ppRk5WYWVjVmExOFo4UWtoRWtKTkswT1B30gF_QVVfeXFMT1pWTkNWTkhXLUhqMFhINFUtRjJSRFZjbXdBb0pDTTFCcXQyMndfME9ibWVkQjFPYkNtel9CWVVMYWZmam5HODN0YkhpdjJ5ZTVoQUF3UHdTXzR2QUdqNldyQkpyUWUwMzI3V3dIamExVzlYOFV6TDhvSTJDNUdSMA?oc=5
- [19] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/08/17/en-direct-guerre-en-ukraine-les-dernieres-informations-au-17-aout-2026_6746952_3210.html
- [20] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/russia-hits-ukraines-izmail-and-odesa-ports-in-overnight-strikes/article71357616.ece
- [21] https://www.thehindu.com/business/Industry/india-set-for-record-soyoil-imports-as-russia-ukraine-war-disrupts-sunflower-shipments/article71357494.ece
- [22] https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/canadas-july-annual-inflation-accelerates-124206074.html
- [23] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/ukraine-energy-company-says-facilities-111258810.html
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/8/17/war-on-iran-phase-ii-day-37?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/17/trump-demands-iran-put-up-the-white-flag-of-surrender-as-mou-expires?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://www.lemonde.fr/economie/article/2026/08/17/en-australie-une-raffinerie-de-terres-rares-se-prepare-a-rivaliser-avec-la-chine_6747923_3234.html
- [27] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/houthis-escalate-red-sea-attacks-ballistic-missile-strikes-saudi-military-ship-four-escort-boats/articleshow/133298716.cms
- [28] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260817/78aeb7a141e34e72b586f81b99ca3c5a/c.html
2026-08-17
2026-08-17
进展要点
- 澳大利亚前总理基廷私下向现任总理阿尔巴尼斯提供建议，主张在对华关系上从“稳定”转向“接触”，并减少对美国的依赖。此举反映了澳大利亚内部对中美博弈的政策分歧。（POLITICO Europe）
- 美国总统特朗普表示已指示国防部长大幅缩减美韩联合军演，称其成本高昂且对朝鲜发出不当敌对信号。此举可能影响东北亚安全格局及地区稳定。（The Korea Times）
关键事件
- 基廷私下推动阿尔巴尼斯调整对华及对美政策（POLITICO Europe）
- 特朗普下令大幅缩减美韩军演（The Korea Times）
来源
Al Jazeera Middle East / Google News - World / The New York Times / Yahoo News - World / France 24 #3 / ANTARA News Agency / The Hindu / BBC News (Top) / Die Zeit Politics / POLITICO Europe / ANTARA News Jawa Timur / The Korea Times / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/8/16/16-08-clip-erdogan-hormuz-tr?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMizwFBVV95cUxNQ2hhaUsxR3BDcm92cTJiclVLLVNIQ1kxZktzajNHSkRNN0t5LTdKVGVDS05XaTZZTldZOUdZWDR1dHFiWGZrYjV6di1qMmZydW5tbGd5eEFQLTA5THRuV1k4MGN4cUxjY3BXTTkxOVFyaUNBNUNqQnFHZzBYOWdqQlRBZTA0UWh1NTNXcW5XaXliSXM0UlFMX3E1dkp1aGFkajdrb09DY2FJSHoydm1ESjRDdEJMSVh1YVBiM3FrTEc1LXhram56WmpkcmJxVlk?oc=5
- [3] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/15/business/inflation-worker-pay.html
- [4] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/russian-missile-attack-kyiv-sparks-013305567.html
- [5] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260816-guerre-moyen-orient-iran-promet-une-prime-de-30-000-dollars-pour-tuer-ou-capturer-des-soldats-am%C3%A9ricains
- [6] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5697555/serangan-houthi-lumpuhkan-pengoperasian-pelabuhan-mocha-di-yaman
- [7] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/strikes-kill-several-people-in-russia-and-ukraine/article71353917.ece
- [8] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1411pgje8xo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [9] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-08/16/cdu-mv-verlangt-aussetzung-von-co2-preis
- [10] https://www.politico.com/news/2026/08/16/anthony-albanese-paul-keating-china-trump-01038854?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=RSS_Syndication
- [11] https://jatim.antaranews.com/berita/1090816/pertamina-penurunan-harga-bright-gas-sesuai-dinamika-pasar
- [12] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/foreignaffairs/20260817/trump-orders-pentagon-chief-to-substantially-reduce-s-korea-us-military-drills?utm_source=rss
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxNVUlfa05PcVAySlJlejZ3N0lNb1VZSGVVcHhLWlAxT0REM2lVMktFTHZ2XzBfdzVtektMWW1hSk54SHJ6ZHVrZjJRaDJ0aDV3MTM2Z3ZYMU1TTjhTTFJPLUU3SFJWWG9vWURqTWFZMTJ6dGVUSnR0b0U2ZHJ2N2tWUFlRWkY4RzdjS0tKelZXY01GbEwzekxUdFdVNm9lSzN6YTUyRFItM2ZhM0VLZ1R1Q2F3?oc=5
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxPSW9mTFNZNmhNT3Rucy1OdzIyUzZxYlZVMk1oY2liVkNobXMtYXJPTUI2MFZfYWt3QkJwTVhaNnlEbzY2M0I4NWZtVFRyLVpwX3JQdUZXOVlkZVZXNThuQmRXMjFsOFN2QWRnX3ZCNk1DRlUyQWZIdUNrM0IwWGFRdHhIWHQ?oc=5
- [15] https://www.yahoo.com/news/videos/ukraine-launches-one-largest-aerial-125611052.html
- [16] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260816-iran-offers-30-000-bounty-for-killing-or-capturing-us-soldiers
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/16/us-iran-mou-is-set-to-expire-what-to-know?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/8/16/erdogan-says-israeli-attacks-on-lebanon-are-a-serious-concern-for-turkiye?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5697563/garis-pantai-sepanjang-12-km-di-oman-terdampak-tumpahan-minyak
- [20] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/south-korea-says-it-fired-warning-shots-after-north-korean-soldiers-crossed-demarcation-line/article71353597.ece
- [21] https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20260816-drone-and-missile-strikes-kill-19-in-russia-and-ukraine
2026-08-15
2026-08-15
进展要点
- 叙利亚新政府虽寻求与西方和海湾国家合作，但仍依赖俄罗斯的食品、能源和军事支持。俄叙签署新备忘录，调整军事基地使用框架，并恢复人文交流。（RT News）
关键事件
- 叙利亚新政府仍需俄罗斯：食品、能源与军事合作（RT News）
来源
China News Service / Xinhua Finance / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Al Jazeera Middle East / Times of India / Google News - World / RT News / Yahoo News - World / The Hindu / The New York Times / ABC News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.dw.com/en/donald-trump-to-declare-hormuz-us-territory-soon/a-78377755?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/14/trump-says-he-will-declare-strait-of-hormuz-a-us-territory?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/pretty-soon-trump-vows-to-claim-hormuz-as-us-territory-iran-hits-back/articleshow/133251741.cms
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTFBWbGN2eXRreVRtbzJ4SnZxOGZzNXkzNy1fMkNuUHFlSkx1RHJpMjFYUEJUVlFpUVRyV2V5Q013cUtaaGg4Y1VrYjZMd181dzF2LXNOX3pnZFNDajNETmJfaWh2cXZpMjdnODNzcExKWGVUSzBRUkI4YUVTOHJIZHM?oc=5
- [5] https://www.rt.com/news/644239-romania-nuclear-shut-danube-drought/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [6] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/08-15/10678016.shtml
- [7] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-urges-americans-accept-higher-203543611.html
- [8] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/lower-oil-prices-not-irans-nuclear-programme-now-top-priority-us/article71347037.ece
- [9] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260815/8d5cb24501f94f0db6d7250acd69b3ae/c.html
- [10] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/14/business/retail-sales-july.html
- [11] https://abcnews.com/Politics/trump-signs-proclamations-imposing-new-drone-tariffs-orders/story?id=135629301
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiogFBVV95cUxOU19BM2l2RGhNUW5aWGxpdXJRU1QwVWtzekJ1ckw2bUdzWlhBSWcxX3U3T1JVblRkYW92MEhkaS1rakhweUN6MnlYc0xVbzVQcUtwdXRBbGFPUzV5T2Q5a3lmbVNqdE0zZFgyT0J3OGt6bzlwT1dWb2dtdVBieEtuOVFQXzdlNFdzUm8tU3FrV1JQS1hEUGpscjl3Q1BRczR4RlE?oc=5
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxPOVNydXRhV2dnb1hSMEpVNkhwU3lMdUpaT1lHaDNiOG90MFNBdEZHeVpVMnRpbW56REpNellvZWdYMEpiM3dmNHhKVldRNWpoc1Z4VVFYdUNSeDJxbXBuNHk5Tlp4blZRUF9SX3ZiVEZvLURscnpjZ0xGbm52c3ZWV3o4UW5DSmYzWUZmSTdnOTdwWFN1SlJ6aWt4U2k0R2Ruc3I2TGx1OExpeU9STVlIV1JZRQ?oc=5
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/8/14/new-aerial-video-reveals-huge-scale-of-oil-spill-off-oman?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260815/1bb4eb11488f43c19dc5d24cefcd6c9e/c.html
- [16] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/14/business/japan-yen-intervention.html
- [17] http://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/shipin/2026/08-14/news1065467.shtml
- [18] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260814/87794fe883b74d58b703556b7e545208/c.html
- [19] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/canada-government-source-says-us-173525441.html
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/8/14/houthi-attack-on-port-kills-four-eroding-truce-with-yemens-government?traffic_source=rss
- [21] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/rest-of-world/strong-7-4-magnitude-earthquake-hits-indonesia/articleshow/133253276.cms
- [22] https://www.rt.com/news/644263-syria-new-rulers-need-russia/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [23] https://www.yahoo.com/news/us/articles/fda-assigns-highest-risk-class-145426771.html
2026-08-11
2026-08-11
进展要点
- 一家与美国前总统特朗普有关联的石油公司未经格陵兰政府许可，向该地区运送了钻井设备，计划进行石油勘探。此举引发了对美国可能试图吞并格陵兰的担忧。（RT News）
关键事件
- 特朗普关联企业未经许可在格陵兰勘探石油（RT News）
关联路径
地缘政治紧张 / 原油供应预期 / 油价波动
来源
Xinhua Finance / China News Service / Google News - World / RT News / Al Jazeera Middle East / DW (Deutsche Welle) / France 24 #2 / Deutsche Welle News / Yahoo News - World / Deutsche Welle German News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260811/07f7c143afd946ec8315c5d1c065b7fb/c.html
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMibkFVX3lxTE5xcnRIaENDM0VobHdzWGIteUx1Y1pwYU42VUlVdzhMUDRvMGV3MWZ2cEppX0NnV29nSE5ZWTFWS3dGd0ZNYjByWldRM3VERU10ZFBaUnY5X2VmTDJ6ekgxNUV4RUJ2U3ZYemZhS0NB?oc=5
- [3] https://www.rt.com/news/644068-iran-us-hormuz-diplomacy/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/8/10/oil-prices-stocks-surge-as-hormuz-closure-drags-on?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://www.dw.com/en/middle-east-iran-wants-us-concessions-before-opening-hormuz/live-78305309?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [6] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/08-11/10675462.shtml
- [7] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260810-iran-backed-houthis-strike-red-sea-port-of-mocha-threatening-shipping-routes
- [8] https://www.dw.com/de/straße-von-hormus-iran-stellt-harte-forderungen-vor-öffnung/a-78293294?maca=de-rss-de-news-1089-xml-mrss
- [9] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/ukrainian-drone-attack-russian-city-071432874.html
- [10] https://www.dw.com/de/hitzerekord-in-westeuropa-niedrigwasser-bedroht-den-rhein/a-78300214?maca=de-rss-de-all-1119-rdf
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwFBVV95cUxOTjVPYzNKci1mcFBISlptNTlUNnFqMjZ3UjZGUWxkQkdWMVRYTnV1eElzRGJMRTNTTW9IVUNoX3Z5Q08xSFFHbnVvNTk5MUxuN1JXcVVtNEt4V0lTU2MtczhuQW4xd2p3QmMwV3g4cC1FS1NmQUhGeWFlN3NlNXRNSmo4Q2VjRHB3SnkwNHBydDh0TjZ5V2Ew?oc=5
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimAFBVV95cUxNbTl0TXZOenBQNzZtOHJ0Yk5hTkN0Sk1PeVlBUEFiMWxpUGJYaVpTM2liNFJ3bVhuUVJobXRoZ1NWc2dZVnlGUXpudjJ2RmRBQzRmZjludFFEVnMwOHBONXRrYnpLaTQ3bUM0SnVfVjF4NGtFeHNXbFJRZXNYY1JYRk8tY0NoZGJJbVhtTW1CZ1ZNX3RiX2hHOQ?oc=5
- [13] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260811/80b78f0990434b6dbb3f2f7b7ce67ca7/c.html
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2026/8/10/iran-changed-the-rules-in-hormuz-the-gulf-is-changing-the-rules-for-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260810-ukraine-drone-strike-on-russian-oil-refining-city-kills-12-people
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/8/10/trump-to-demand-compensation-for-tehrans?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://www.dw.com/de/dürre-in-westeuropa-hitzewelle-bedroht-die-schifffahrt/a-78300214?maca=de-rss-de-news-1089-xml-mrss
- [18] https://www.rt.com/news/644086-trump-oil-greenland-annexation/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxPOU9pdEZ4SjZld3FEaWdEaUNVZnZoV083SWl1bndMQzVmOHZUX0ttRzhpLVIyM1RNQ3VuNlFnLUVWeUhlbjZfd3FWWEJUT0JORG5WZjVUXzZ6Y1VBNlBoOHNpMXpubHhmd0lHWUY3d1JXZ2F4QUREdk8tSjNGRU9oekkwQWNvbHdXUkhJY1VRZzRZNm5lOElrY3d6b3ZReGJRbWZneElnYkRDY2xJMXVDM3lGdjU0S01MbWhj?oc=5
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitwFBVV95cUxON0pPV0R0aC02SFNUNzZwUkNUdFNadFAwZ1hhR3BOWnJ3NkdXQmJPRFhZQmpjeUNhWnAwSlVONHBVWk9KMXBILVFMOU1ramJ5aDlCNmlzb2dOOWVXV2JlZUlmbWpacEptV1U2SnJUMHUyOVhsTEJzY0tGcU90bTZWcnFTbktzM2VjQTludnRGc3JKUnRGVjczSEtOOUhySnVKdUphcGVUN0hPcmJHdHl0MEJIeEFWZW_SAbwBQVVfeXFMUHQwSDFOdVJxQTZITGY4UTE2YVRjUnNtRl9GWEY4bmplSG1rXzRDQ1Fpb0ZfZ2I2V3UzUWFGZTNhXzdTWVNrNGNaNmRVMk1OZW9aUDdoaGdVOXFwaHFYUmlGR1NDd0VrTkNKUmZrNHpHU2hmaWNoYm9fZWdvS0s1OW1nMnlFaHFHUDVOZ3E1RTNjMDdRa1ZteDRrVEh
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMid0FVX3lxTE5PSlBQSkZDeVFXczJmMmRVYU4zbFdIejBqeUVSa1Z2cHNMaXUtVHZ5eUVKUEZzb2RMUWpYVE1aQWV0b21BNkM0VE9WNFI2dTFsUGNQUXNfOWtNV211WkhlLUxOTm9zOW01UHJVU0o2eDM1Wm5TREVz0gF8QVVfeXFMT1FxMFFZOTZCbGpROU5BX0xLVW9kMmtFLTBRRk9PTm5DaXJpdTJyRUpiNk5XcTQ5eUtmLThVUWIxOW5MSjE2NEhLZWtfV0ZFS1hiV0t5d2V3VmdacWdXTG0wSlV3MHYwY0NsMUVrb0pSSWpvYlM5Sm1vUEc5cg?oc=5
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixAFBVV95cUxPWmFXOGFFSU15XzVjYmpRc1VOMF9NWlZWbDJULXIxaldkeGd1RHVtQzFiOTF6T1Zmcmt0T2FZOW5LdzQwc2lZSW4yai1tQVR0UlVGY0Q3eTF4N1AyWFJJS1l2SXZyb1FqQ1FWX1NoSWE3aE9XT0V1aDdiTHBmZkxjbWxCNTFwVk5hekVDcWthT1A4U3haS2ZBcTZ0UVNqZExSQmVIeXV2ZGJQTHpkTjMxVlVqalB5UUVYVHk0bFQzZTQ4aVdK?oc=5
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxOTTY5TTlwdkYwOHlVbjNDM1Jia3BsMkc0LWdrNjJ4dlEtZFgzRkxTdDc2bFRvUnUzMUNJMzlSUjNmellWTWwtVWY2ejBrRG9ETkNOdkt5el8zV1F0a29CU1k3aW9BcXJrc1NmOE9vWVJXT2J0ZEtkb0NHVnVLMml4M2FxMjFBUFhEWDhIVzc3VnZVODU0dllLTVdVYW9pRDd6d3hSaFhsZlEtS2xp0gGyAUFVX3lxTE5OUkxXWmxET0s2MzdDb2RXZklsTnJIb3BtZkZ3c1ZINWw2YmoyWXlZRzM0WmpGdVlidFBSdnNMUUdURlV2Tmk0Q3o1c3ZYZTJ1MnNBVDdnVkxPSVVZNExSXzczV0loZHM2SEJ6VVNENlFEZzBpY21qal9oUDhZRXdjZlNHTzBiRXZuRUQ4TTBrem9yOVpaOFlSQzUzdnBkUmNvc2s0ZTd
- [24] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiywFBVV95cUxQX3dqbHVnc1RTLW5XOVYycjU1dExQZEUxRy1ORVBiWEtWLWFLQ3VoVGtTaFk5U3hQcThZRGdobnlSczZwYkJDOWR2OGtXbWhVMmdqTFV0U0xhVWtNMXQ1Z25GVnNtME0xWjJIV3RtNnpUUHFtOGFOSEtlblpZN3F0RUp3MzRreDRXVXRCaFlVczlOTmRSczlCQTBvODF4bnM0ZUJPeS1qNC1ZSzhwZXNEV0RoRDV2a0swVVFYTHNUU1dvcEFaT0xzY1VxTQ?oc=5
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxQMEFMdWhGY3EyeFpWUngzbEZERlFnWTBoUWxLajNUdlRZTjljX1RZUFVacW90WG5ERC1KSTJiS3B2aTE3LTZSNTJrangzS240VGtzcWw5NHRrak1aamZLbGVQSzdON2t4QVYwX0lobXZZWkVqOUw2X3FfN3RoTXhDVGsxQ25YWE1TUWVxWGtBN0wwU0NzYURaNk40Yzdtdw?oc=5
- [26] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxQbVNRem0xaGF1aW1KdzZITkVwY0F4Sm9fUVlSdDIzbUdtLVlILWRyalFsVHpnLTZoa1o3YWF1TDRBN0FITFRNa0x1QUFVdFA5T2x5WVdOWjRXTlUtNGlEOGxUbUUxUzZLYXZySnZhZ3IyV29zQ0ZhNEhNdDJjQ01sOVpaMTMzRDFSX0xBUjJ5d0J5RHRJelRsWGpBd1F0V0VhendJWWlPa9IBrAFBVV95cUxQT3NEekJkT0RaNFEzVnp4dXdRWjNyakVaejg2OGpPTnNJeFpNc0lzeTBXMkVxRW5PaG92OTRjYjF2WE85R2x5Z0pMSXJtRndwQlp0Y2psRHVuMXFfRGMtUE0wOUstU0VqaVFQNjZrY1BDSjZVd3BLLVdha1BKMkNVZmJEc244RlVSSWxNYlE0ZXNGNk4tWVZnWTlieWpIM1lHRXNrY1VLY2JXelN
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE9USkJkVnFrUTdSMV9zT2lwRHVJVDZWRmVCZU15ckl1bkp4SkZjQWwteVptd25Pd29hUkYzd1AyeWNNeThVVnRPWWk4TjhNSkpRTEd0LUpTS0lLMnFQcm11U20yR0RPYng1N2ItMm8tQWF5dEFGOGxiR9IBfkFVX3lxTFAxOW9SRDV2aWVHT2JCeEN2X01JZTVHUEVabTJQZXYwRlRFOHhyRHFVYnc4Nkc0VVZPS0J3cVNPZUtkR0lyalhsVTdBWVNaTnl3THBJcXFtMVIyaUNQcU5CNElYbjF1RFc0UW50THQ1VnFyaWZ1aGJJR01aYUVQQQ?oc=5
- [28] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigAFBVV95cUxNdkVrQ2Q0MERpaVZuQWJZNXV2SEZPOElTdWVPRXRpMmNmSXQ1VDFyU2tNUDRjTjI5M3NiQ0hYQzVmRmhiVmJzVGlkTVgyWXA0VzFUR19BTFNQMmVIZkZ4ZVJCdF9JOGVpT0xocDZNdWNVRDh2QmcxZV9ReXNwZjlJVg?oc=5
2026-08-08
2026-08-08
进展要点
- 沙特阿拉伯、土耳其和巴基斯坦在麦加签署三方防务协议，旨在威慑侵略行为。（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关键事件
- 沙特、土耳其、巴基斯坦签署防务协议（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关联路径
Defense pact / Middle East tensions / Oil supply risk
来源
China News Service / Xinhua Finance / Google News - World / Nikkei Asia / Yahoo News - World / Tagesschau / Global News / El País Internacional / The New Indian Express / BBC News (Business) / Ukrinform / ABC News / The Independent / Sky News / n-tv Politik / Al Jazeera Middle East / Le Monde International
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxOZWlZa2pnSEE5cGdyWWwzdG1OOV9waVlMZGIxVXRvdDNJU3lMc2VtczNwZjI3TGRMUGs2RE9tNVJZZ1dOVkM0VlNHMk5KX0l0TndJSHZhcU1ZalJMVVNjblRIUU5TMTV2N2pZNmxfNHU0VFBhNWg5eEJqYUhManFtTzBETFh6MDA3bHJST1dpMFg1amFWZjZvN1JCaTBRNW5lc0RibFB5Z0wwMU5OTlhPY3JFQ3VtdEhtSi1xOU9Ma2VvNUNwekZ1YQ?oc=5
- [2] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/08-08/10674020.shtml
- [3] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/materials/china-rare-earth-exports-to-japan-us-plunge-after-restrictions
- [4] https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/us-employers-shed-23k-jobs-124613432.html
- [5] https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/amerika/usa-russland-sanktionen-134.html
- [6] https://globalnews.ca/news/12013215/us-senate-russia-sanctions-bill-ukraine
- [7] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-08-05/iran-insiste-en-mantener-el-control-del-estrecho-de-ormuz-mientras-trump-amenaza-con-abrirlo-por-la-fuerza.html
- [8] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Aug/07/us-job-data-stocks-jump-as-employers-unexpectedly-cut-23000-jobs-raising-hopes-for-easier-rate-policy
- [9] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cdrvn686dljo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [10] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-economy/4152105-rosiani-masovano-atakuvali-sim-vidobuvnih-obektiv-ukrnafti.html
- [11] https://abcnews.com/Business/jobs-report-expected-show-hiring-boost-july/story?id=135422024
- [12] https://www.independent.co.uk/us/money/jobs-report-labor-trump-iran-war-b3029340.html
- [13] https://news.sky.com/story/donald-trump-tries-again-to-fire-federal-reserve-governor-lisa-cook-13570793
- [14] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260808/7ae7d3bb384e4a0389cdd81abef236cd/c.html
- [15] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/US-Senat-sendet-Signal-an-Putin-Du-wirst-die-Ukraine-nicht-erobern-id31171586.html
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/8/7/war-on-iran-saudi-arabia-turkiye-and-pakistan-sign-defence-pact?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/08/07/aux-etats-unis-23-000-emplois-en-moins-en-juillet-mais-un-taux-de-chomage-en-baisse_6740506_3210.html
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxPeTJnQUlaVmJJeWhQSmpmNDdrY1A4bS00bUxKeG5ES0MtTUFpYVdsdGtPaEtmM0RvWTdDc2ZUcGdfMnpFTWxpcVViWGtrQl9vWG5nOTUxSTc1SW9GUDlWcUlGQ1hXRl9OMkVkdWZnSTE2LXBEMUpoOWpqVE9CVmxhOS0yZ3NiVlZt?oc=5
- [19] https://globalnews.ca/news/12012909/us-jobs-report-july-2026
- [20] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-08-07/iran-y-oman-ultiman-un-acuerdo-sobre-ormuz-pese-a-las-amenazas-de-trump.html
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimgFBVV95cUxNcm5CZUFmeUtIeDNGUXhOckUxSEN4VnhlY3JBQTNkSTBXWUVfekxRMXNhdzMzcTRjMjZydzVIMDI1czc5aHY5VnB1WmJtTkVhOHNlMFI0MkkzTEJqNlBWb1dBTFExdnhnd1pKOVk5anNzNlRZZXpXMGE5b2xJQVZjN3ZjRkVtQW5SYzNWbXlNTnVPVmNsRF92THJR0gGfAUFVX3lxTFBsdWNwdTgtWUdfM0tlaVIzNVJRRGR3Q0lsVExGV2xyQTFsQTNPWmNyME00aTdTT2RZdENaejVTMmthTDJGZi1tQm9BcHlhWFY3SktiVGdQTkxmTlFXOG1xekZrVEFIcjQzbVZibXI5TjhlZEE3WFdaaXJCUUJyRFhFQzVzbmRHc3VJeHA0MmkzY1FYZVdVYzE4NjYzMnhpRQ?oc=5
- [22] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c20j5rle717o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [23] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-economy/4152083-vid-pocatku-roku-rosiani-zdijsnili-287-atak-na-obekti-naftogazu.html
- [24] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-administration-moves-ahead-efforts-184435643.html
- [25] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/energy/india-commits-8.8bn-to-deep-sea-oil-exploration-to-cut-mideast-reliance
- [26] https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/asien/tanker-oel-oman-100.html
- [27] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/8/7/us-labour-market-sheds-jobs-in-july-as-labour-force-participation-slumps?traffic_source=rss
- [28] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-ato/4152135-sili-bezpilotnih-sistem-urazili-se-sist-suden-tinovogo-flotu-rf-i-bazu-fsb-na-hersonsini.html
2026-08-06
2026-08-06
进展要点
- 美国资深共和党议员麦考尔表示，特朗普总统预计将很快向国会提交一项价值140亿美元的对台军售案，并强调美台军售不受美中关系影响。（Focus Taiwan Politics）
- 美国五角大楼正在制定一项新的核战略，旨在为总统提供更广泛的核选项，以应对与俄罗斯或中国的潜在冲突。该战略强调在地区冲突中更多使用短程战术核武器，以增强威慑力。（RT News）
关键事件
- 特朗普拟向国会提交140亿美元对台军售案（Focus Taiwan Politics）
- 五角大楼起草对俄中核战略，扩大总统核选项（RT News）
来源
Xinhua World / Valor Econômico Politics / Anadolu Agency Politics / The Korea Times / Neue Osnabrücker Zeitung - Politik / The Irish News / Google News - World / BBC News (Top) / Euronews / Al Jazeera Middle East / Focus Taiwan Politics / ECNS Politics News / RT News / BBC News (Business) / SIC Notícias
参考链接
- [1] https://valor.globo.com/financas/noticia/2026/08/05/bc-faz-quarto-corte-seguido-na-selic-e-taxa-vai-a-14percent-ao-ano.ghtml
- [2] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/houthis-claim-they-hit-2nd-saudi-oil-tanker-in-a-day/4019517
- [3] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260806/iran-threatens-to-hit-gulf-states-if-us-launches-new-strikes?utm_source=rss
- [4] https://www.noz.de/deutschland-welt/politik/artikel/bericht-usa-und-iran-vor-ubergangsdeal-in-strasse-von-hormus-51027876
- [5] https://www.irishnews.com/news/world/trump-says-deal-to-reopen-strait-of-hormuz-could-come-as-early-as-wednesday-DSLT27FMCFI4DOWAOXYUUX3HTM
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxNRFhWUm13bDV5N1k3cTRza0RwN2JJSlB2bldrYWU5ZVBNcEpEY2k5NDJHejRMVDRWTVNCV19CY19JTk85bEtUUVVxTlBqOUVmZXN4NG5TVnNZV1JHRDNwVmpDQU5CM2ZCdDZ2dFQtZzZvdWtKZnJVa2ZYSE5MQS1WWFBqdGdNWGpNWDhpbmxUMHk0QQ?oc=5
- [7] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1e14zn0pxeo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [8] https://www.euronews.com/rss?level=program&name=europe-news
- [9] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/5/iran-says-hormuz-talks-with-oman-in-final-stages-as-route-approved?traffic_source=rss
- [10] https://www.news.cn/world/20260805/90df553c9925475abc39093068f5d2b7/c.html
- [11] https://focustaiwan.tw/politics/202608040017
- [12] http://www.ecns.cn/cns-wire/2026-08-05/detail-ihfhziqh0062455.shtml
- [13] https://www.rt.com/news/643913-us-pentagon-nuclear-russia-china/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [14] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwyewn5wexvo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [15] https://sicnoticias.pt/especiais/tensao-eua-irao/2026-08-05-irao-e-oma-chegam-a-acordo-sobre-nova-rota-maritima-no-estreito-de-ormuz-f9864da9
- [16] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260806/iran-says-close-to-hormuz-plan-with-oman-but-reopening-depends-on-us?utm_source=rss
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwFBVV95cUxNMVdVODNiYzNHUXdESW9Hb0NPMExXVFJseWhOdHIzZ1VfRG9mUzFYNWRoZjdzRV8xdnA0YWFQajJzTGpyYmxjTlN1SDEtUDEzR0s5cWFwckNsN3VTWFhmekxnd2xsdDM0RGlsMVF6YTVkSHpoWEN1ZmlYTi10cU9QQUNKNNIBiAFBVV95cUxNQVNZNURhYmhuYWNhRl81dVY2WHRNRlFjeHdZc1pseGY1bnJDTzctWE55SmJNclhrME5vQmVRbElKWkdyX0RscGNOUDVZVmQtRGZfajUzeHNwVTJGLTczdmUxTTJZcVQyU3c4YTNJcGp2X2hESDlON2VqVEU0TlM4LU92V1NPZmd6?oc=5
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwFBVV95cUxOZ3luLUxvekFtWFdpQU9vSnJ2RzRwdndUZ205VmYwcEl2WDNPSmZ1YUNteThESjB4LW5SdHlXX3pyZkdqNGtQd0JDQU5oeER4U21BY1AtMUpiSEdDWHZacnV5SGdQOXpzdllRU1lTLUtFZlFlU25JWGgtMnRSaE9sdVNOWQ?oc=5
- [19] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/us-military-says-it-redirected-48-vessels-while-enforcing-iran-blockade/4019496
- [20] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/israels-netanyahu-hints-at-unilateral-military-action-against-iran-amid-regional-de-escalation-efforts/4019514
- [21] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260806/mideast-deal-hopes-lift-dow-sp-to-records-spacex-amd-drag-nasdaq?utm_source=rss
- [22] https://www.noz.de/deutschland-welt/nahost-krieg/artikel/krieg-in-nahost-einigung-auf-neue-route-durch-strasse-von-hormus-50530859
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/8/5/war-on-iran-us-iran-deal-edges-closer?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/8/5/is-the-conflict-between-russia-and-ukraine-deepening?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://sicnoticias.pt/programas/confronto/2026-08-05-video-pode-haver-acordo-eua-irao-em-48-horas--616cb3e7
2026-08-04
2026-08-04
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普表示正在与伊朗进行对话，并称这是最后的机会，同时提及霍尔木兹海峡完全开放及伊朗非核化议题。（Yonhap News TV）
- 美国总统特朗普表示，伊朗有机会达成核协议，但这是最后的机会。（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关键事件
- 特朗普称与伊朗对话，此为最后机会（Yonhap News TV）
- 特朗普称与伊朗谈判为达成协议的最后机会（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关联路径
美伊对话 / 霍尔木兹海峡开放 / 油价波动
Geopolitical tension / supply risk premium / oil & safe-haven demand
来源
Xinhua Finance / China News Service / France 24 #2 / Yonhap News TV / The Hindu / Al Jazeera Middle East / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Google News - World / Die Zeit Politics / The New York Times / Times of India / BBC News (Top) / RT News / Sky News / Der Spiegel International / ORF.at News / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260803-trump-says-us-iran-talks-continue-warns-tehran-faces-last-chance
- [2] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH2026080406040419c
- [3] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260804/0c3e11cc29fd4351868b454b0a393bb9/c.html
- [4] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/new-talks-last-chance-for-iran-to-forge-deal-avoid-escalation-of-us-strikes-trump/article71302832.ece
- [5] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/3/trump-blasts-duplicitous-iran-after-tehran-denies-it-is-in-talks-with-the-us?traffic_source=rss
- [6] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-trump-tells-iranians-to-make-deal-or-surrender/live-78210315?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxPRVh3V1FLVExDcEN6Sm80UnlINWYxYlAtSUZtYWtRZDJ2R0RqTnl4RFp4MWp3Z1J0VHZ1M25UUGk3LTZlV1o2Q3F0bHg0VGg0QVpzS1hPVjJFLTVpZXhobjZRdVhldnBpajlLOGM1ZUcwZldWT2RqUTdqSVlHSnBZa2dhYVU2RFVXUGc5YWxzMG9FOG5wME5zRlNDdHEwM3Bsb2JoR0hYZTk0cGsyUUJpMA?oc=5
- [8] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-08/03/neue-hitzebelastung-und-rekordtief-des-rheins
- [9] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/03/business/us-japan-yen-intervention.html
- [10] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/centre-raises-windfall-tax-on-petrol-diesel-and-atf-exports-from-august-3/articleshow/132835740.cms
- [11] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c78gn8zvrx4o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [12] https://www.rt.com/russia/643796-qeshm-iran-american-airstrike/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [13] https://news.sky.com/story/eastern-and-central-europe-on-brink-of-energy-emergency-amid-record-low-water-and-heatwaves-13569304
- [14] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/neue-zoelle-von-donald-trump-25-demokratische-bundesstaaten-klagen-dagegen-a-83290b12-453d-4133-aa8d-91be7696d66e
- [15] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/08-04/10671498.shtml
- [16] https://orf.at/stories/3438109
- [17] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260804060458ilO
- [18] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260804034515bgC
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqwFBVV95cUxOQ1dLLUtEN1BOZURoRGtpQ1JYaDRibllHa25fRHBpNXlrSUdLV1N3NzVETUFZN3FXTFZlUTB2dmJWd1hSWUNRdDdVcUNnTmNfTTgtVXd1eTJ3WmNoRWxrY2FhcFdlX1d4bUxQdzVIcWM5RHNHNDBsOEN0TjFVTGN5ZHMtZkJ2SW5JTVJLWC04YzJmRG9CTlM5MGRVdzFTNVNYcVVOcGlzeFlSamc?oc=5
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE5TSnN1U21sR0JiWU5yZno0cmQzUUo1NGFPMGFiYzlmV1VrRnZEaFR5c0V4NmFkWTJ6MC1EN09wSU9jS2loS0s3YklOV21hUlctUlRlXzVrX2hTdw?oc=5
- [21] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9co-tech/20260803-aux-%C3%A9tats-unis-25-%C3%A9tats-contestent-en-justice-les-nouveaux-droits-de-douane-de-donald-trump
- [22] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-08/us-zoelle-donald-trump-bundesstaaten-klage
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/8/3/trump-says-talks-with-iran-are-last-chance-to-forge-a-deal?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/irankrieg-donald-trump-droht-teheran-mit-letzter-chance-wieder-einmal-a-e0755007-43cf-4199-95c5-b9453dca4011
2026-08-03
2026-08-03
进展要点
- 特朗普总统宣布已与伊朗就霍尔木兹海峡问题达成协议，并预期将达成无核化协议。双方计划于当地时间周一举行会谈。（Yonhap News TV）
关键事件
- 特朗普称与伊朗就霍尔木兹海峡问题达成协议（Yonhap News TV）
关联路径
地缘风险缓和 / 油价承压 / 通胀预期降温
来源
Google News - World / The New York Times / The Independent / Yonhap News TV / Yahoo News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #3 / Nikkei Asia / El Mundo - International News / elDiario.es Internacional / Die Zeit Politics / ORF.at News / Times of India / BBC News (Top) / The Hindu BusinessLine / El País Internacional / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxPSDBJUW9hNDF0UEVzelo4M3N0c1JyWHZWVjhxa1hEanZzMHQ0YzNUbnJPUDRDbTBuSFJFaXBJMjB4TFVaMV9IQVZ3dDRaUEJlYUhnRk1PSk85djZyRWljM3oyaEJ3STR3Ny1rTlB1RFR1anYydmt6X1c4bG9JQ2cyWmJDVzRhd2pVVFFBSURPWDVOcDFZb2RLcXRhbnFKUjFqQ1BtdEQzRE93emNRVnZvM0dR?oc=5
- [2] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/08/02/business/oil-prices-plummet-iran-war.html
- [3] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/iran-trump-us-war-live-hormuz-attack-israel-saudi-b3025947.html
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260803070710TKB
- [5] https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/chevron-ceo-warns-iran-conflict-171601296.html
- [6] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/2/iran-says-negotiations-with-oman-over-strait-of-hormuz-in-final-stages?traffic_source=rss
- [7] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260802-trump-suspend-les-frappes-contre-l-iran-sous-condition-d-un-accord-rapide
- [8] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/markets/currencies/japan-us-carried-out-joint-forex-intervention-friday-for-1st-time-since-2011
- [9] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/08/02/6a6ed77cfdddffca358b458b.html
- [10] https://www.eldiario.es/internacional/trump-asegura-paraliza-ataques-iran-espera-concretar-acuerdo-ponga-guerra_1_13423329.html
- [11] https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2026-08/opec-oel-foerderung-produktionsmenge-obergrenze
- [12] https://orf.at/stories/3438010
- [13] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/europe/hungary-shut-its-only-nuclear-plant-for-the-first-time-in-44-years-after-the-danube-fell-too-low-to-cool-its-reactors-nearly-half-its-electricity-supply-is-now-affected/articleshow/132809525.cms
- [14] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c998gg5pe09o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [15] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/trump-holds-off-iran-strikes-on-pledge-a-hormuz-deal-is-close/article71298637.ece
- [16] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-08-02/donald-trump-dice-que-suspende-los-ataques-contra-iran-a-la-espera-de-un-acuerdo-rapido.html
- [17] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260803051905NxS
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMioAFBVV95cUxNSVY4RGctRkYyaklJaDlVN0RvWUZTcWdrUjJnM0ZubGI2bENzQ1lSU1NtNGZIX0NBTEJFU1pvMnlwemhnSnVwRl9uTU9Rc3pNUS1GcEpSMWhaX1VtdU9vdUpkRk1tZFNjZjIwLXlJdWtzcTBkVFJEY01ocXNNSUxzN3lIOGlvakt3T3VSNXRFanRicXd4dFBDVHBVU2dNR1VL?oc=5
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE1oYUZ6VWhYbnNlNndSMVlVdmtXeU0wWEFJek51QUtTNm1Taks0ODMwTzdhV3hnbkQtVUc0Sy01S1p1akNpY2lqeTl2RkRyTWhJMTlNdEMxQ2lXQQ?oc=5
- [20] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260802233335tUN
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/8/2/no-breakthrough-on-strait-of-hormuz-as-trump-halts-attack-on-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-says-order-halt-iran-040913054.html
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/8/2/ukrainian-farmers-use-temporary-storage-to-revive-grain-exports?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://www.france24.com/en/us-israel-to-hold-off-on-iran-strikes
2026-07-25
2026-07-25
进展要点
- 美国情报评估认为伊朗新最高领袖可能更开放于寻求核武器，这为特朗普政府升级军事行动提供了额外理由。（The New York Times）
关键事件
- 美情报称伊朗新领导人更倾向拥核（The New York Times）
关联路径
Iran nuclear risk / Middle East tension / Oil supply disruption premium
来源
Xinhua Finance / Google News - World / RT News / France 24 #3 / The New York Times / Al Jazeera Middle East / Yonhap News Agency / The Hindu / Global Issues News / DW (Deutsche Welle) / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTFBjUnVoSV82cTc3bXdyQWsybzFVMXl1SDZCaDUwU0NNaUw4TE85cnBGai1ycUxyUTlBM1c1YXpvNXA1bFczV2M3R2pJZjBYMTZ1Vm54LUNZb3BhQQ?oc=5
- [2] https://www.rt.com/news/643432-iran-strikes-us-bases-bahrain/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [3] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260725/b3539910469346489a70ae316f6eacbc/c.html
- [4] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260724-l-iran-revendique-des-attaques-de-drones-contre-le-bahre%C3%AFn-la-jordanie-et-le-kowe%C3%AFt
- [5] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/24/us/politics/iran-nuclear-weapon.html
- [6] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/24/oman-talking-with-tehran-on-hormuz-as-us-and-iran-continue-strikes?traffic_source=rss
- [7] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260725000200315
- [8] https://www.thehindu.com/videos/shows/watch-iran-chokes-hormuz-houthis-hold-the-red-sea-what-happens-to-oil-prices-business-matters/article71263015.ece
- [9] https://www.globalissues.org/news/2026/07/24/43668
- [10] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-yemen-s-houthis-deny-they-closed-bab-al-mandeb-strait/live-78093040?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigAFBVV95cUxOLTE3MVJMNG1NX0poY3YyV2RqdmVlMU82US1NWGZ1cFBvQjF4V21IcU5lUXZ6RWNzcmdibGM2SmJMY010MGZOVXY3ZlN6anRHeU5uYlVrQ05SZjh5YXcyUExxTW5nY1ktMWM4WjNTMkRvOUpaOXRUWm1QQTdiUVp5RQ?oc=5
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijwFBVV95cUxQd2tBdjIzSWNNMXZMd0hFNjRqS2l6YUdXS1NuajQ4S2RKRS1FTnRSRDFjVXZtd1U3TWVwNjNBYnhncm13N19QX0F0YVBMVV9GUy1XZlR0c3c5a0Y1ZU1qaHJjeUg2TFVDLVFYR0MtRUExdFE1MHNTVUtQdkMwakR0dHpnQmJoSUlmMXZvRm43Zw?oc=5
- [13] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260724-us-pummels-iranian-sites-tehran-targets-regional-bases-stationing-us-forces
- [14] https://www.rt.com/news/643447-trump-threatens-eu-google/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [15] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/24/business/trump-interest-rates-bonds.html
- [16] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/24/business/iran-war-tariffs-economy.html
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/24/extremely-disappointing-us-trade-partners-respond-to-trumps-new-tariffs?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260724-moyen-orient-treizi%C3%A8me-nuit-cons%C3%A9cutive-de-frappes-am%C3%A9ricaines-contre-l-iran
- [19] https://www.rt.com/news/643427-us-forced-labor-tariffs/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/24/saudis-strike-yemens-houthi-held-hodeida-rebel-media?traffic_source=rss
2026-07-11
2026-07-11
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普表示伊朗要求继续谈判，美方已同意，此举可能影响中东局势及原油市场。（China News Service）
关键事件
- 特朗普称伊朗要求继续谈判，美方同意（China News Service）
关联路径
US-Iran talks / geopolitical risk premium ↓ / oil prices ease
来源
China News Service / The New York Times / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / Yahoo News - World / The Hindu / Yonhap News Agency / ANTARA News Agency / France 24 #3 / RT News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/10/us/politics/iran-war-escalation.html
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxNWU8weHNqWU10dDFxUGpMR3Z5LW0xVVVnTlNuU2ZBaWpXS0ZnbHQ4c3BENmZ2QVZMZ0VLWmIyUnU0NVM2Tkp4T0lONVM2NnF5cHluZWRxR3FkOXdsNEJoQ3I1VmV3a3hOcExFWll0Vkp2VUJKN2xpcU13US1lOEkxWE1CcEY2dWZGbUZ4TzZ3V0lYRUhLdC1CZjJNTDVJZVM2TDZpSUU0V0lQdkZn?oc=5
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/7/10/ukrainian-attacks-cause-chaos-at-fuel-stations-across-russia?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/top-iranian-officials-admitted-supreme-162000309.html
- [5] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/ukrainian-drones-hit-southern-russian-refineries-azov-port/article71207976.ece
- [6] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260711000300315
- [7] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5644808/as-dorong-kapal-niaga-tetap-gunakan-jalur-selatan-hormuz
- [8] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260710-les-hostilit%C3%A9s-entre-l-iran-et-les-%C3%A9tats-unis-reprennent
- [9] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gn/2026/07-10/10657209.shtml
- [10] https://www.rt.com/news/642860-iran-khamenei-death-lesson/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqwFBVV95cUxQd3p4VkVsUUpoYmxDY0ROM2c0Qk9IVEVGWnZFZkxOdjYtNEZuVmRSMFBXNkpwSU5Ka3M2MkRrUGV1U3hRaktUTVFFdmhWZjNHeG13NHJscUVKd0hLSnlrZ2k4bWV6VklQVHppSWhLV2ZNQUJBNjhhUVBONy1DUGc5dERTbUJaeHZ2dTI5ay1HU0U3M2JxWVh6WHNLS3Naa1U0aHg5Ym1uc3RVdHM?oc=5
- [12] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/10/business/iran-shipping-strait-of-hormuz.html
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihgFBVV95cUxOanFsbUNrR3NoakU1cEowb1ZIa3oyWU55NTZaYll6VDJHal9KVGhGclVuUFNuNFZ3bEV5bDNFUWVyY0E3ZlE2YjFoV0V0N1pqdzFJaU13Y0RvUlBLMDBWTXpKWU8xdG5TRnFveTRjVDBvSHVqRGZZQkVGcFdHenZVNTBneEtCUQ?oc=5
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/10/trump-says-us-has-agreed-to-continue-iran-talks-but-ceasefire-over?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/ml--iran-us-105500253.html
- [16] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/us-senators-agreement-reached-trump-171753021.html
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/10/russian-attacks-kill-four-as-ukraine-continues-to-target-oil-infrastructure?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/iran-has-asked-to-continue-talks-and-the-us-agreed-trump-says/article71207807.ece
- [19] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/chinastemporary-export-ban-on-helium-explained/article71206477.ece
- [20] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/une-semaine-dans-le-monde/20260710-reprise-des-hostilit%C3%A9s-iran-usa-sommet-de-l-otan-marine-le-pen-condamn%C3%A9e
- [21] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5644803/as-ingin-israel-tak-terlibat-serang-iran
- [22] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/07-10/10657255.shtml
- [23] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/sh/2026/07-10/10657250.shtml
2026-07-10
2026-07-10
进展要点
- 加拿大总理卡尼访问沙特，双方同意建立协调委员会，深化贸易、投资、能源、矿产等领域合作，并谴责伊朗在霍尔木兹海峡袭击商船。（Prime Minister of Canada - News）
关键事件
- 加拿大总理卡尼与沙特王储穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼承诺深化双边关系与经济合作（Prime Minister of Canada - News）
关联路径
Canada-Saudi cooperation / LNG / hydrogen investment / energy supply diversification
来源
China News Service / Der Spiegel International / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / BBC News (Business) / BBC News (Top) / Yahoo News - World / France 24 #2 / Nikkei Asia / Prime Minister of Canada - News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/iran-krieg-in-der-strasse-von-hormus-faehrt-schon-wieder-fast-nichts-mehr-a-2d1d09c2-0512-461e-a4ef-deeddac13e10
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxPLXg5T2JPTTAwZUtYN0Z6TDNURjVQQ0dIQkZNdHJTX3JzM3dldHg5aEdKbGtmU2tpd01IajlCMjkxX0RvaVZ4d28tR1YtbXROMUNuY1JVRDE0N3U5ZXpGNGE4czNWbWdfOTlZdUxVclRGRHRaWmVpTkJtcGhmcVJ5UnJvNjJUQlgtS2xLZVlxdk5aeUhQb0haWDVDNlBGMEYtdVk2LVQzdDVUVkxSVmJ5SWJQZFJ6Uk1iTkpJ0gHAAUFVX3lxTE9oaDRrbklIamJFU00zR3dtbFlqMWdReXV0SVFxcXRuTFk5UU5RbGEzWGxWMTlYSUtSb0JQTlZNZm9rT2t4U0YtNjRpLUN4Y3R6OVVuQkdCSjg4a0lEV2UxMnFzdlN6d1NERGU3ZWFQRGhEbW04SExnb2NxVUkwNzBWazBBakd2bGJZcFVJM3U4RGlWazAxYjd
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/9/how-strait-of-hormuz-dispute-led-to-latest-us-iran-cycle-of-fighting?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c932ed8nv75o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [5] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c621k5r8764o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [6] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/us-unleashing-attacks-iranian-official-132635907.html
- [7] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/07-09/10656391.shtml
- [8] https://www.france24.com/en/iran-claims-us-strike-hit-near-nuclear-powerplant
- [9] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/energy/indonesia-launches-b50-biodiesel-to-curb-fuel-imports
- [10] https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/statements/2026/07/09/prime-minister-canada-mark-carney-and-crown-prince-and-prime-minister
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxPYWUtOFlPYmpMTHRWUjQ5ZTNjOFRaaVNCV0Z1aWZJY2E1UkcxV0t5M1dUYjExWWljV0lEbTd2ZE9semxVZjZQXzlYQnlQWjY0dWx0YUMyTXUtWnJsa3hYUlJGY3MxSWpuQmRUNmJxU19YZU41S0l5WDBLWlY1aTZHQVROdzNIcE1GYjlfTXJka3NNbGNTV2hvRFlxRllZd1AzOHlYRVJwSUtFUURha0NtbWdtWXBxb0MwaEEwNkFpaW9sQzlfajAwSQ?oc=5
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/9/explosions-heard-in-iran-as-us-military-denies-involvement?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihwFBVV95cUxPMTluaGZLSkREMHJXUUgwVko5MXRPQ0l0cGhFUFEtZTJkT3BzTGZDdURQZElaMkpocnFkUmtmNXpVWHkzSE9CSUdPWnlHaGpqV2NNSVE5cFY5dWJwblA3Q2Y3ZU1PQ252bUV1NVl1cF9pbDVMam9PNEhWRlo2MXdld3R6VlJMbkE?oc=5
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/7/9/why-the-us-strategic-petroleum-reserve-matters-amid-us-iran-tensions?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/nahost-iran-beschiesst-jordanien-und-bahrain-und-wird-selbst-massiv-angegriffen-a-21eff440-2bcf-447e-8146-243650d51132
- [16] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/07-09/10656183.shtml
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilgFBVV95cUxQb1FJY0ZsOU5VeHpXeFdyNXJfSWhsUDdMLWViM0FnLTVqUTJYWWxUbENwd3JQcnlMcENuMFIyTHFEQTU2emlIUWxRajlVclJPaTE4VnhQQkxhWHg3OG9Tb3pGUFRUTExqVXlVWDZZTC1rSU5hY2VqOXJteUxGZ2FaY3dodnE4WjUtN3NPREZibUI0a1lBWFE?oc=5
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixwFBVV95cUxPWDRJcW1wUllxQmpHN0tycGF5SERVMEtKQ0p0QXhXMmpnaWRFUlJJN3c4SXh1S3Z1alpXSGdiN2VoeENReDh1Q0o1d2ZBdlUyUkQ2RDZNNVVSUDA5M3NreVRhVzR6bklmbnRvUVN6M2JHOWtCZTczcm9pOGFfV1Y1ekY1TjRHMkNMYWtYVVBibGE0LU9wbWJ3M2l0YXNQb3c2cll6OENacnpiYk96dUlld0FvSVZBZlExVFZ1M1JGZDc0WUZnN2lV?oc=5
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/7/9/us-expands-iran-strikes-iran-hitting-fishing-piers-near-nuclear-plant?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixgFBVV95cUxOcjJ3MFQwQ3VucnA5X2wzVVA4S2M2dm54OExheU41WFVMQWZXd2hKNzQzaktCUGFGTWdFNS02WEttdlhaU1R2WHY3ZDBBbE9zdW9CeVlhWEx2OUtOVkU2cnRqZkVPMWMzUE5ZbW1nSDVqb2hrd0M0aHdFRVE2SFpfVlY4OFZ2cWV0TWhCcWE1NVRxQVRZRkJxaWVCR005ZkRnRU9xdjV1Ty01NlIyZEZKbUVmN3pLdXc5bDFZcDRTUXZFdC1zM3c?oc=5
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/7/9/will-nato-get-involved-in-securing-strait-of-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxNLWRoOE9KTTRPTGtUN0R0Z1VzUUhyOU5UVmQ5Z3dGY0otTTNOYnhfQXZhb0FDM1FnT0V1T3QxM05zVWV2UE5BLS1QUHNRbVFSZ0ExdlQyeXk3dE5UTFdnRFlPaVk4dkJ5QThvSVV6S1dkZ0FnMWlGUW10eWo3VHdOTmpNaTQ?oc=5
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/9/strait-of-hormuz-what-has-happened-since-the-us-iran-mou-on-june-17?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMicEFVX3lxTE5zR2FVTHZrcGRpMzdzaU11YWZTMU9GN2ZWbTFtNkM2YkNRWGh6cEoxdlhQa0Vvd2FpbHVuXzZiWHJRTVBWNU5VU2Y2ZkRVOVNvYjhzMWJMSUs2d0ItV3hoRjFfT2NpUmlGYzBsSHVGRGY?oc=5
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxQMFdRNlpaV0ZCRU1vbThIVlFSQy11anNlcDc5RUxFbmhraHU2SWptSXVNdFBjX0FmM3hTRlFpa2V2QUlaMGVpZGtJNEY4MzNmMGNwR2RmNm9MaXdqbnBldzRnbnpZUHR3Z2NMbUNBTHpIS2ZRaHIzUWxGQmgwSlUtUllCVmpaVkVRUm9SSi1R0gGTAUFVX3lxTE00X3NPUnQ1dzlkZVBwMGpuYzd1RFJVdlhINXVUTlBRMkdidGpiQ0ZoUVdJYmFZdGRHUkgxcGlSeVJCVTlaUzNNWHNRX2UzZC1QTWs0RU10MjZhcVRHSzVhWUl3alo0WThDY3l4YkpCTTM5WUdQSFNPWFdoNjU5Zl85aTNMMzBCQTZHVjVhWkdvRVZ1bw?oc=5
- [26] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwwFBVV95cUxOSzYzNzBjcjFnUWdFWUV3UzBsZzVhcnVVX0ZHOUlXN2lfQWdBWlB6d0RCOGJOd3JKdHpBVkVWd0ViZnd0UndyQ3owUjFhei1BNlQ5WTJZR29WTkowMHd6ZGgwczdrUXlHNjZuSnZSdmZZWXFndTNBbUpyQTVLZXQyMFJYZmZSNjJ5WS1wMF82UnY3dmNRZE56UlVGX2Y1bTY4SDRBTjVPRDVYSUxYN19hX28yLU9wNU1uUmowcm41T0lodU3SAcgBQVVfeXFMT1hZZkt5OTdLdDVMODZSNXJkNE5GU1BLemRqaFlxWlUxbFlCVGJyQmhvMTVzVTRvMWp1VmZONHZ4NVVqUmFwRlpoUE05UHBFczJKSTdrcFFHUi1rX2I4WHkwS1dWUERvM2FFSjZ0T3d6U3VvMFhLWGlfSmdXUUc1aGRaeVhfdkhSNXNyaGJIZFp
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimwFBVV95cUxPYmQyTXJRVFgtVE1uM1MtLUhNb0dLaUNLMUxyYUpLcUhHWmowR2JhZGZtamJZaWJNNG13TkI5RFU4N19sZHl3czZkblU1Mi1tcDVCUjlRTGdXWDRLc3Y4bkc3ai1ObmVwQV9oYXdvN3lwVEdhX0F1bk5aUm05WktoZ2FrVm9JQnpfeUQxZF9tRmoxdXF6VWlnYXVKbw?oc=5
2026-07-07
2026-07-07
进展要点
- 轨迹（激化）：欧洲领导人在布鲁塞尔紧急会议讨论与美国“不可逆转的决裂”，跨大西洋关系出现重大裂痕。
- 报道称欧洲认为与美国关系已不可逆转，将寻求战略自主。
关键事件
- 欧洲与美国决裂：内部视角揭示不可逆转的转折（El Mundo - International News）
关注 / 展望
欧美裂痕可能加速全球贸易格局重组，避险资金流向美元及黄金。
关联路径
欧美关系恶化 / 全球贸易不确定性上升 / 避险需求推升黄金与美元
来源
The New York Times / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #2 / Google News - World / RT News / Yahoo News - World / Times of India / Tagesschau / Kyodo News English / ANTARA News Jawa Timur / The Hindu / Der Spiegel International / Le Monde International / Die Zeit Politics / Prime Minister of Canada - Statements / El Mundo - International News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/06/world/middleeast/iran-khamenei-funeral.html
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/6/body-of-irans-slain-supreme-leader-ali-khamenei-arrives-in-qom?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/business/20260706-opec-raises-output-but-cartel-s-future-hangs-in-balance
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikwFBVV95cUxOdWl5Sl9wdU5zTlNwRXg0MFN4cVFYOGJ0LWxOcFRRbnRxZzNnNHRtaUJIOEVjc05GVVZaQjNFeDVZYTJ3MVA5alRPelYwT2g4alJBckd4R1VzWkRuWUpGaFZIQXZVc1g5XzFFbHIydEJ1cXFnVk8taXFpTkVrV1RvMktjcS1aWFc5bTY1Z3VleVluMkk?oc=5
- [5] https://www.rt.com/news/642630-iran-mourners-kill-trump-banner/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [6] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/ukraine-hits-major-oil-terminal-123434233.html
- [7] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/international-business/saudi-arabia-slashes-august-crude-prices-for-asia-by-11-a-barrel-in-biggest-cut-in-over-20-years/articleshow/132217320.cms
- [8] https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/iran-teheran-trauerfeier-100.html
- [9] https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/79292
- [10] https://jatim.antaranews.com/berita/1079571/iran-lepaskan-ali-khamenei-dengan-perarakan-besar-besaran
- [11] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/west-asia-war-live-updates-july-6-2026-khamenei-funeral-ceremonies/article71187769.ece
- [12] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/ukraine-mindestens-18-tote-nach-russischem-angriff-auf-grossraum-kyjiw-a-96ff2946-8776-4480-8daa-7b94b9c67bec
- [13] https://www.lemonde.fr/planete/article/2026/07/06/seismes-au-venezuela-le-bilan-s-alourdit-passant-a-plus-de-3-500-morts-annonce-le-gouvernement_6721254_3244.html
- [14] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-07/06/mehr-als-3-500-tote-opferzahl-in-venezuela-steigt-weiter
- [15] https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/speeches/2026/07/02/prime-minister-carney-announces-west-coast-pipeline-project-proposal-and
- [16] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/07/06/6a4b94eefc6c83d51c8b4587.html
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxNTDZrY2ZoWnNabEwySFNZSXo4c0psVEs2OFZNNWhNR2VjcGFkcVg5Mmd0RE81UmtrVjkyUmN2NlA2WEZBSlE5Qi1uLXhSODlfeTBfZmFDX1czSXpYeGFRWmJwZkNrRkxrVWhXdjFvZDZPRUk4OGhwR2I0QmMwQ2hIOFdjdDNyT0pqZTBUNVN2MWw0ZEwwbHJJZEpWLUZGRzFIRnhBSWwtdGxaNTlUcldqVHdB?oc=5
- [18] https://www.rt.com/news/642634-europe-heat-economy-cost/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi0gFBVV95cUxQTlJ2bmxFQ3lVX3RDVF9hVEZVRkNra1pwU3prZDdoTHE5Qjl3MjlDb0VuRTVlQlBvMFdNSW0tOHg2WUlGX1Rrc3B0Mkk4X2RvdGxTUjExQmRQM3R1LW80R0UtaXpnUXNxU0JuYnBzcDhaei1CSFVTUXFaLXE2ODBnTVUzTHdLYXpCSWNMSl9FcEdCVS1WemJKT1k2b0x6LWk3dnEyTTFaZHI3OW5ZSkljXzlnYUR0QWhOZEZxTGlIYUtwR2NGN1JCb3QwUURybUY0T0E?oc=5
- [20] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/04/world/middleeast/iran-supreme-leader-funeral-divisions.html
- [21] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/06/business/hormuz-strait-shipping-oil.html
- [22] https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacific/20260706-his-resilience-his-words-his-character-mourners-grieve-late-supreme-leader-khamenei
- [23] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-slips-opec-agrees-raise-003607304.html
- [24] https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/analysis-world-absorbs-historic-iran-073926094.html
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/7/6/large-scale-russian-attack-on-ukraine-before-nato-summit?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://www.france24.com/en/in-tehran-funeral-attendees-grieve-the-loss-of-supreme-leader-ali-khamenei
2026-07-06
2026-07-06
进展要点
- 特朗普政府被指实际支持委内瑞拉马杜罗政权，与其此前推翻该政权的承诺相悖，可能影响委内瑞拉石油出口及全球能源市场。（El País Internacional）
关键事件
- 特朗普对委内瑞拉政策悖论：支持曾誓言推翻的政权（El País Internacional）
关联路径
US policy shift / Venezuela oil supply uncertainty / global oil price volatility
来源
China News Service / Google News - World / The Independent / France 24 #3 / Die Zeit Politics / The New York Times / Russian Government News / DW (Deutsche Welle) / ORF.at News / Global News / Yonhap News TV / n-tv Politik / El País Internacional / Deutsche Welle German News
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxNem9aeTdMZS1SYzcydDMydVQza0I3eEhwXy1qeVYyYjdzMUxhWjJwajRXNFM4UmVrNm1Ob0ltbnNYX0tCT0NTR1VZWkh4X2JYaUxBOXZYYzl6VmlIZUJ1S2JGRXRqc3NhUDQ3Xy1UdTd4bGptbjRhMFduMk9vUmF5a1ZfS2Y?oc=5
- [2] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/iran-israel-new-york-strait-of-hormuz-saudi-arabia-b3009330.html
- [3] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/07-06/10653267.shtml
- [4] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260705-iran-grande-pri%C3%A8re-pour-les-fun%C3%A9railles-d-ali-khamenei-%C3%A0-t%C3%A9h%C3%A9ran
- [5] https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/2026-07/opec-oelproduktion-foerderung-markt
- [6] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/05/business/opec-production-iran-war.html
- [7] http://government.ru/en/news/59229
- [8] https://www.dw.com/en/cargo-ship-reportedly-attacked-in-red-sea-off-yemen/a-77838529?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [9] https://orf.at/stories/3435361
- [10] https://globalnews.ca/news/11953602/canada-seeking-clarity-annual-cusma-review
- [11] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260706053421yqP
- [12] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Trump-trifft-Selenskyj-vor-Nato-Gipfel-id31050907.html
- [13] https://elpais.com/america/2026-07-05/la-paradoja-de-trump-en-venezuela-el-apoyo-a-un-regimen-al-que-prometio-derrocar.html
- [14] https://www.dw.com/de/staatschefs-putin-und-selenskyj-rufen-trump-an/a-77836694?maca=de-rss-de-top-1016-rdf
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxOU2pnNmNzUTctOHVzeDVQdDZCZHBfZFlHUEhzcmN5c3BpUWVzaTlxQm5UNkZ1NC1SYkd3MkRaNFdSWkRSTXVFXzhpNXFjcWhqd0FVSEFFUG1MdTdfeUlLOVhDenh3UUt5N0NVTHRyLUFzbGFHVnpxY2xCZlFxZ204b3lJNUJyLUFGcjFleU5mOTlVak16MXl5cmVQTjBCd9IBowFBVV95cUxOWkhoQTlPVm1JU1RDQmkzc2UxdHZpZEY4U0pBSWdVUTdOcV9nVzBvQnB6eWhvSDhfWnA4REZvOFNsOGk3YXBCdHVMWHd6SlZ2MzhKdkpERm1EaW9OWjdVRFFZaS03SXpldGM4TjhHN0ZiN3paYnNuWGxISmFlckFVd24tYlhzUV9oSU1odTJOTUdGdU9ZSlJXT216b3BxVk43WDRV?oc=5
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqwFBVV95cUxPZnM4c3Z0bXNvTWdmbVhPS0JpZ191RGp5UUduV3UwTm5vblhBQ2RTQ1doeHlCbXBJZnlGcm5XSWc1Sm1Wa29aX3pkRXA0d19GUl9jLWVGNVBjdjNGSU9nVC1fczNmQl9vOVJVOHVUM0Fvb1JFNGR4Y2VtUHB4dnZIXy1YZUtrOTZ1VjJ0OHlBQjJ4VGg5Tm9VZnhUMUxsbTlGSzJIRnpZMDRhOW_SAbABQVVfeXFMTUFjV1V0Ukc3ZnpUNXlSYmN1NmJUTlIzWGFIVGN5aEQ0WUxLWTl1MVFXeE5tU2k3M09Ya1RRMWhxNU9xWVppT1pQZGdWWG9PdXh4OGx5djlBaVcwQy1KRGZkZXhpb0ZfX3pFc09DWHdWWnMxR0ViS3BKOURIVUwzckVfSFEydFhxV3U4U19xQzdzSGpJa3Y3TUd6V3R4dDkwN3lMUFE0Ujg
- [17] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/05/world/middleeast/iran-funeral-khamenei-tehran.html
- [18] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-07/trauerfeier-iran-ali-chamenei-teheran
- [19] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-07/06/selenskyj-fuerchtet-massive-russische-attacke-vor-nato-gipfel
- [20] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/au-c%C5%93ur-de-l-info-l-invit%C3%A9/20260705-elena-volochine-le-pouvoir-russe-est-sur-une-ligne-de-cr%C3%AAte
- [21] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/07-06/10653265.shtml
- [22] https://orf.at/stories/3435327
- [23] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/israel-tehran-donald-trump-ayatollah-ali-khamenei-strait-of-hormuz-b3009267.html
2026-07-04
2026-07-04
进展要点
- 轨迹（升级）：德媒称中国在境内训练俄军，德国召见中国大使抗议，中俄军事合作引发西方关切。
- 美国新任驻太平洋岛国大使将确保库克群岛关键矿产（钴）列为优先，加速供应链去中国化。
关键事件
- 中国被指在境内训练俄军，德国召见中国大使抗议（n-tv Politik）
- 美国新任特使：确保库克群岛关键矿产供应为首要任务（RT News）
关注 / 展望
中俄军事关联若被证实，将加剧西方对华制裁风险；关键矿产竞争长期利好钴、稀土等战略金属。
关联路径
中俄军事合作 / 欧盟对华施压 / 风险情绪承压
美国矿产外交 / 供应链重组 / 关键金属价格波动
来源
Yahoo News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / Die Zeit Politics / Google News - World / The Independent / n-tv Politik / Ukrinform / Tagesschau / Le Monde International / RT News / China Government English News
参考链接
- [1] https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/fed-seen-less-likely-raise-130759582.html
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/7/4/iran-war-live-millions-expected-in-tehran-for-funeral-of-ali-khamenei?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-07/04/paris-und-london-wollen-strasse-von-hormus-mit-oman-absichern
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMie0FVX3lxTE1IRmJkU3lmYi1xelNicG5hWFJ5QmJOc2U5dlJxN09Jc2EzM3J4dG5RSDZxNEE1akRYR3JkTEpjQ1VkQmZBVC1xMjdLaWhuVzhSTUhTTGRNZWhhcHN1dkJ6VmpCamxUOG9mZmlrRjdwQ0NsX3U3VGY5UzRxSdIBgAFBVV95cUxQS3FWdEt4UHMtMEM0Rmt0RENXTnJKTC04c3hsVlcxb2hYT2xJelk2SUJndHgwTk56ZnBnSGpiOFBOLW02QlgwcjhzanpIelB1b3otaW51czJPTnJTM0RERWlmdHRFSEJpNVVJcmRwMVdsNU14VUpfTkVaX2g5aGpFRg?oc=5
- [5] https://www.independent.co.uk/bulletin/news/ayatollah-ali-khamenei-funeral-iran-b3008364.html
- [6] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Russland-sucht-Benzin-im-Ausland-id31045531.html
- [7] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-world/4140474-suputnik-pokazav-stupin-poskodzenna-vijskovih-i-adernih-obektiv-iranu-zmi.html
- [8] https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/ukraine-russland-krieg-142.html
- [9] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/07/03/seisme-au-venezuela-un-dernier-bilan-fait-etat-de-2-645-morts-et-12-666-blesses_6720488_3210.html
- [10] https://www.rt.com/news/642546-iran-us-israel-ghalibaf/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [11] https://english.www.gov.cn/news
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/3/iran-begins-week-of-funeral-ceremonies-for-slain-supreme-leader-khamenei?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxPanlfMW1EMnFya2ZMNmFLVjBtT3ctNzZIdmVvVlVsYlNYNTJMRXJaTXlRU3BET0dncnF1UDlTMFdmVy14ZnkwdVdjWjNrS203OExQQjBjTUJHRTRBVUdYYkRSVUVLVGszZjF2ZWRMU2VvY0RhWGhVTFpPV0VkTmE1cTVHVnZueU9OOHBnT0xCcmNZdVVmeS1WZzdyS050NUVNcm1BQVlGZmV6N0NySlFJa3NIRG9YNDk2QUhR?oc=5
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/3/yemens-houthis-threaten-saudi-arabia-after-alleged-airspace-intrusion?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/vladimir-putin-ukraine-russia-crimea-moscow-b3008512.html
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxNZkg1ZzBwMDZqYVhHLUwtUWhNbWd2eVJkOGdFcDJHZUxKWTRFc3MyZTdoWHpKczlmVTgwR2R5QjQwU0lhUmJNOVYydlppNHR3emVMaEVuQW9GY1RHU1pHVFhYcDRBeWZHcG1sVjFFYWp2blNseUZjVjRHampXU3BPeHVsWDZBMGhOUVJaaWF5dzN1bWdocWR5eFA1MU90ZlQ5cUhvTHEySXJ6LUsw?oc=5
- [17] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-07/rohstofffonds-bundesregierung-johann-wadephul-seltene-erden-brasilien
- [18] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/largest-us-power-grid-pjm-190819959.html
- [19] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-07/carl-skau-welternaehrungsprogramm-vereinten-nationen-hunger-iran
- [20] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/cossacks-volunteers-help-keep-order-043430489.html
- [21] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/07/03/en-direct-guerre-en-ukraine-dans-la-ville-de-kiev-au-lendemain-de-l-attaque-la-plus-meurtriere-depuis-le-debut-de-la-guerre-les-recherche-se-poursuivent-dans-les-decombres_6716525_3210.html
- [22] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Bildet-China-russische-Soldaten-aus-Berlin-bittet-Botschafter-zum-Gespraech-id31046589.html
- [23] https://www.rt.com/news/642553-us-wants-access-cook-islands-critical-minerals-ambassador/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
2026-06-23
2026-06-23
进展要点
- 美国与伊朗在瑞士谈判中同意一份最终协议的路线图，卡塔尔和巴基斯坦调解方称谈判取得令人鼓舞的进展。此前特朗普曾威胁对伊朗采取强硬行动。（NPR Politics）
关键事件
- 美伊达成最终协议路线图，调解方称谈判取得进展（NPR Politics）
关联路径
US-Iran deal progress / Iran oil export normalization / lower crude risk premium
来源
China News Service / Index.hu - Külföld / Il Fatto Quotidiano / Google News - World / BBC News (Business) / Mehr News Agency / NPR Politics / Jornal Económico / Yahoo News - World / SVT Nyheter / Rador News Agency / Meduza / Valor Econômico Politics / Yonhap News Agency / The Hindu / Times of India / RT News / Al Jazeera Middle East / DW (Deutsche Welle)
参考链接
- [1] https://index.hu/kulfold/2026/06/21/iran-izrael-libanon-hezbollah-egyesult-allamok-tuzszunet-hormuzi-szoros-beke-donald-trump-benjamin-netanjahu
- [2] https://www.ilfattoquotidiano.it/2026/06/22/sanzioni-petrolio-iraniano-usa-sospese-notizie/8426689
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiggFBVV95cUxQM1d6VF85bFlSZ1NnQnVEVFY5QmNzWklpWUtjUDQxd2ZWNUdmLWUtMi1JSUhwdnltMy04dkZaRi1kbHJDcmFXNzE2enVEUWNKOFUza0doZzFsMUx6emxlbVRrSVlyTHlMamVrOXFiR1dLNF9JLTBxdF9xRXZIdTE0WGF3?oc=5
- [4] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3vy3nr63gxo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [5] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/06-23/10645322.shtml
- [6] https://en.mehrnews.com/news/245525/China-imposes-fresh-sanctions-on-56-US-firms
- [7] https://www.npr.org/2026/06/21/g-s1-129222/us-iran-deal-lebanon-israel-strait-hormuz-jd-vance
- [8] https://jornaleconomico.sapo.pt/feed
- [9] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/ml--qatar-explosion-015432903.html
- [10] https://www.svt.se/nyheter/utrikes/explosion-vid-industrizon-i-qatar
- [11] https://www.rador.ro/2026/06/22/statele-unite-suspenda-sanctiunile-asupra-petrolului-iranian-pana-pe-21-august/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=statele-unite-suspenda-sanctiunile-asupra-petrolului-iranian-pana-pe-21-august
- [12] https://meduza.io/news/2026/06/22/v-katare-proizoshel-vzryv-na-krupneyshem-zavode-po-pererabotke-szhizhennogo-gaza-pogibli-13-chelovek-desyatki-raneny
- [13] https://valor.globo.com/financas/noticia/2026/06/22/petroleo-tem-forte-recuo-com-avanco-diplomatico-entre-eua-e-ira.ghtml
- [14] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260623000251315
- [15] https://www.thehindu.com/business/us-waives-sanctions-on-iranian-oil-ships/article71134513.ece
- [16] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/international-business/us-eases-oil-sanctions-on-iran-after-vance-says-it-has-agreed-to-nuclear-inspections/articleshow/131916209.cms
- [17] https://www.rt.com/news/641977-iran-learned-to-stop-worrying/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-partially-lifts-iran-oil-sanctions-amid-encouraging-talks?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://www.dw.com/en/us-waives-iran-oil-sanctions-citing-progress-in-talks/live-77653016?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [20] https://index.hu/kulfold/2026/06/22/egyesult-allamok-iran-koolaj-szankciok-mentesites
- [21] https://index.hu/kulfold/2026/06/21/donald-trump-iran-izrael-egyesult-allamok-jd-vance-tuzszunet-targyalas-beke-delegacio-svajc-libanon-hezbollah
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiXkFVX3lxTE9uZDBib00zTHk3QkFwR1BmbUZWdkJZT0ctTHdwdDAtOE9rNnlPWWtOUmlrQU1ONmlGaWFFVjI0Wk5hSHhJZUJRbm1ZMUtTbVJFaE9OMU95NFEtVTNKZEE?oc=5
- [23] https://www.ilfattoquotidiano.it/2026/06/22/ucraina-la-guerra-al-petrolio-di-putin-arriva-fino-in-siberia-colpita-una-raffineria-russa-a-2mila-km-dal-confine/8426521
- [24] https://meduza.io/news/2026/06/22/dostignut-obnadezhivayuschiy-progress-v-shveytsarii-proshel-pervyy-raund-peregovorov-ssha-i-irana
- [25] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/china-targets-us-rare-earth-021542815.html
- [26] https://www.yahoo.com/news/videos/u-authorizes-iranian-oil-sales-162616323.html
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxOUU9JUFRuQUZpYXZHOW41LXpUcGJGUmh1c2J2Mkk2Tm5FbUROWVB5WllmdWMzalk2dDNDLXh2MDBWOVk1MmRmSEIwQWE4Z2dJcGd3U0J5VGR1MnJKR0VJaE84ak9LSEhVU0s3eWJjZjZzRjhWMWdRWEhtNUxuODNITUJ6OHdsV3VuUU9IYkpEUnJMMG0yWWl2NElBOENRUndNdENv0gGoAUFVX3lxTE80M3kxY0J3d2lVRklaSVUybGtNQjdqVkF2VWJza3ctSmRoamdnMjE0VktNM2l2ZmdXZkRFMEplYVJCWFJBSnViVHBqMFkySFNPemw5QzlpWGdfV05QZmNUb1BXeGJxS0ZTY2Z0RU4yRXZ3Mk9wTXdhc1RiVVhfcFFmUFFWMXpEcjNLOGE0YkZUendHSllDcUJhZUFSbndPRWFENDZ0WVNsNg?oc=5
- [28] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260623000200315
2026-06-22
2026-06-22
进展要点
- 伊朗与美国启动历史性和谈，设定60天路线图，可能影响中东地缘政治格局及能源市场。（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关键事件
- 伊朗与美国启动历史性和谈，设定60天路线图（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关联路径
Iran-US peace talks / reduced geopolitical risk premium / lower oil prices
来源
China News Service / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #3 / RT News / Google News - World / Times of India / ANTARA News Agency / Yonhap News TV / Yahoo News - World / BBC News (Top) / The Hindu / The New York Times / El País Internacional / Die Zeit Politics / El Mundo - International News / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/6/21/whats-next-in-the-strait-of-hormuz-crisis?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260621-fermeture-du-d%C3%A9troit-d-ormuz-qu-est-ce-que-cela-implique-pour-les-marins-sur-place
- [3] https://www.rt.com/news/641944-qatar-lng-blast-fire/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinAFBVV95cUxNRWxtYWxIa0RhbldFTENsNlZndFdweFBoWlhoWFkxWXY0RVZ0SUIxT3dDNVNQSlVjNjlPQ3JEZHVqa0FyM3hSRVBXUFUxYXJ6T1VxQ3NMeV9wX1F6TldlR0RHUThTb0JDMmFpN18zRmNIcGZfWENjMkpQTVFVU3B5RjlQc05sZEI1YUdHNDRUUTcwSE5NWEZHSGRXcUM?oc=5
- [5] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/you-wont-make-it-back-to-your-country-amid-us-iran-talks-trump-warns-tehran-against-closing-strait-of-hormuz/articleshow/131894037.cms
- [6] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5617119/trump-tak-ada-pungutan-di-selat-hormuz
- [7] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260621205657HfU
- [8] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-says-us-begin-charging-204800472.html
- [9] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwy0q41v1lzo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [10] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/as-vance-meets-top-iranian-officials-in-switzerland-trump-threatens-tehran-from-afar/article71131391.ece
- [11] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/06-22/10644712.shtml
- [12] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/21/business/oil-rises-amid-uncertainty-over-strait-of-hormuz.html
- [13] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-06-21/crimea-prohibe-la-venta-de-gasolina-a-civiles-y-empresas-ante-el-bloqueo-logrado-por-los-drones-ucranios.html
- [14] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-06/usa-iran-gespraeche-buergenstock-donald-trump-drohung-strasse-von-hormus
- [15] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/06/21/6a382733e85ece96668b45b2.html
- [16] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/spotlight/20260621-what-s-the-state-of-the-strait
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiggFBVV95cUxOcG5XRXhqYllSMDk1cko0aTRtX2dLWTFEVjMxYjhBVUh0WVZueEN4NEtLMUowNkVwNE1SRHFEUE5PMUhVY2o2MGJUbjEwMTlUalZrVzQtOUdxZG96YXFjc1c4LUFnaGtiMDFIeVdEaThKakJsdEJiVXZaX3ZHMFNDRk5R?oc=5
- [18] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/will-hit-harder-trump-threatens-fresh-military-action-against-iran-amid-switzerland-peace-talks/articleshow/131893832.cms
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/6/21/iran-u-s-launch-historic-peace-talks-with-60-day-roadmap?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://www.france24.com/en/israeli-strikes-start-again-in-lebanon-after-several-hour-lull-amid-us-iran-talks
- [21] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260621231906eN2
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi9AFBVV95cUxOQ0p4dkJLYlNGX3JSMjhGeFJtUXZhZHFvSWhmYXIxblIxTzlqbm5meTJVTS1kVGRBYm5LUzA4NjZxcFdFWHFnVFRTNENLaHZuamJRd01tTmQwcEdyNC1TTDc2Wko2ZWgzdXJqOUxJY3ZrXzE4UldsNUJ0SmplUkJYVXR4cFRGMDJxeE43M0hZbnoySFZ4M0MxMGNHQXJDcUJmR2FyZXVzbDJYbDlXNzRrRm1Dc2VJNU01OXcxS2ZqTFdvWTdoaXE4a2lWX3lRQTM2MjBLTHBDUnhiNld1MHZKWVV5YzZRcE1HMjY5bktTOExrYzRy?oc=5
- [23] https://www.rt.com/news/641945-us-iranian-talks-switzerland/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [24] https://www.yahoo.com/news/videos/trump-threatens-iran-over-hezbollah-150657905.html
- [25] https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/commodities/articles/ingredient-needed-pretty-much-food-140000111.html
- [26] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/06/21/6a37a407e4d4d8a0388b459f.html
2026-06-19
2026-06-19
进展要点
- G7领导人声明承诺加强对乌克兰的军事和能源支持，强化对俄罗斯油气行业的制裁，并欢迎美伊就霍尔木兹海峡达成协议，同时推动能源供应路线多元化。（Prime Minister of Canada - News）
关键事件
- G7领导人声明：强化对乌支持，制裁俄油气，欢迎美伊协议（Prime Minister of Canada - News）
关联路径
G7制裁俄油气 / 供应收紧 / 油价上涨
来源
China News Service / RT News / Nikkei Asia / Al Jazeera Middle East / Yahoo News - World / Deutsche Welle German News / Prime Minister of Canada - News / The Hindu BusinessLine / DW Germany News / Google News - World / BBC News (Business) / Times of India / Der Spiegel International / France 24 #2 / BBC News (Top)
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/641788-us-iran-war-toll/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/06-19/10643623.shtml
- [3] https://asia.nikkei.com/spotlight/iran-tensions/iran-war/at-least-6-oil-tankers-sail-through-hormuz-following-us-iran-deal
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/18/us-military-says-it-has-lifted-naval-blockade-of-iranian-ports?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/oil-slips-again-us-iran-005602163.html
- [6] https://www.dw.com/de/bundeswehr-bereitet-einsatz-in-der-straße-von-hormus-vor/a-77604603?maca=de-rss-de-all-1119-rdf
- [7] https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/statements/2026/06/17/g7-leaders-declaration-securing-supply-chains-critical-minerals
- [8] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/trumps-iran-deal-extends-ceasefire-opens-hormuz/article71119147.ece
- [9] https://www.dw.com/en/strait-of-hormuz-german-military-prepares-for-possible-deployment/a-77613999?maca=en-rss-en-ger-1023-rdf
- [10] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwFBVV95cUxPeFRjLUpWQkxqczhQeE1SVXZvMW1JYi15Q2lTMEJxVFg0enRjX0Z1SjIzNjVybWg2Vkx5dTNyYVVETVlMWFNRdkJ1aXVmV0pxZUJ5T0NWRUJQdVBRUUZtLXhId1V0bEFwUkNiY1ZDMEN2YVBmSkY4d1lUNEt2M1NDN1dyZw?oc=5
- [11] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdjkl78vd7lo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [12] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/us-iran-ink-mou-real-test-begins-now-a-defiant-israel-can-still-derail-peace-efforts/articleshow/131831253.cms
- [13] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/russland-drohnenangriff-setzt-raffinerie-bei-moskau-in-brand-a-ad2abc9f-5e62-4d10-a1b9-65c0dd5a0bc4
- [14] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260618-us-forces-lift-iran-ports-blockade-as-uncertainty-clouds-planned-switzerland-talks
- [15] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c98291g5rr1o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [16] https://www.rt.com/news/641805-iran-stood-its-ground/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [17] https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/statements/2026/06/17/g7-leaders-statement-geopolitical-issues
- [18] https://www.rt.com/news/641759-iran-war-america-lost/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [19] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/06-18/10643467.shtml
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/6/18/iran-says-it-will-charge-a-payment-for-services-in-the-strait-of-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimAFBVV95cUxPM3pfclk0WUtnVUZNOFY5ZG9hZjc4VUhTTFpEaTlobENoSVBYdmp3Z29YQjJMY1p4a0JmdFlkV0VwTHBBb25oTi02d2dpY2RlOTZRNkItVGFBUkVYcnlhODMxYmFmT2o0cEZhUTNuMEN0VlYyWm1OeDVjZjI2UWE4YkpqS1hQQ1Bic25IMjJSMVVTT0drdnlKVg?oc=5
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilAFBVV95cUxNZHFfTVVjT2JDRmh2elRxemtfQ1QzdU5vR3Jpb3ZydU55ZjFoaEJqUmNRZmZDYy1GZTRFaWpuWVY5WVE5OFZvbTJ5TERsdF9Wdk1QSDZmeU4xcUxQY3JTd184c0ZmRnVNRGZ6eWJDRzdPWTJLMDdLbGhJY05jaFpTcFhET29oUThzWHhfOEhfZXhlVU00?oc=5
- [23] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/ukraine-krieg-eu-verlaengert-russland-sanktionen-erstmals-um-zwoelf-monate-a-a88b3c92-6692-41be-b02d-c4d030fe1504
- [24] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/us-lifts-naval-blockade-iran-200444482.html
- [25] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c8r2eejdd35o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [26] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c932yqz8lggo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [27] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/18/irans-supreme-leader-says-approved-us-deal-despite-having-different-view?traffic_source=rss
- [28] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/pure-hell-moscow-ukrainian-drones-161406314.html
2026-06-18
2026-06-18
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普与伊朗总统签署协议，旨在结束中东战争。伊朗同意稀释浓缩铀，以换取大规模经济援助。（France 24 #2）
关键事件
- 特朗普与伊朗总统签署中东和平协议，伊朗同意稀释浓缩铀换取经济援助（France 24 #2）
关联路径
Iran deal reduces geopolitical risk / oil supply disruption premium falls / crude oil prices decline
来源
China News Service / Xinhua Finance / Xinhua World / KBS World News / Al Jazeera Middle East / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Yahoo News - World / France 24 #2 / Google News - World / The Hindu / Sky News / RT News / Yonhap News Agency / The New York Times / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://world.kbs.co.kr/service/news_view.htm?lang=e&Seq_Code=202250
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/6/18/iran-war-live-trump-pezeshkian-sign-mou-to-end-fighting-reopen-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/06-18/10642747.shtml
- [4] https://www.dw.com/en/read-us-officials-release-14-point-initial-agreement-to-end-war-with-iran/a-77595563?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [5] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260618/d28e93fb4ee047b38fef1fd0ee5b19dd/c.html
- [6] https://www.news.cn/world/20260617/cdbbe7893b9146d1916ad79178e95bf8/c.html
- [7] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/protesters-block-copper-exports-china-090335412.html
- [8] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260617-middle-east-live-trump-iran-s-president-sign-deal-to-end-mideast-war
- [9] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE9MMnJvejl3QjRFcno3YnZMX1EtZGotcndHcmRrVEpPUDRQZ08wQmZhLWpHR3lkY3dLejdZSmVHdFFNWllvdGJ6bExfQ183OVkzMmdJYzlqeEtGdw?oc=5
- [10] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/us-iran-confirm-deal-signed-to-end-west-asia-war/article71115548.ece
- [11] https://news.sky.com/story/the-14-point-us-iran-deal-what-is-in-it-13555121
- [12] https://www.rt.com/news/641756-us-iran-memorandum-signed/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [13] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260618000600315
- [14] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/17/world/europe/trump-iran-school-us-strike-minab.html
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/6/17/trump-eyes-us-iran-peace-deal-signing?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://www.news.cn/world/20260618/99cc2a94226f4ec3aa9a880318ccc0d0/c.html
- [17] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/06-18/10642750.shtml
- [18] https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20260617-trump-has-signed-iran-deal-says-us-official
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxNMTk2dUxGSkc5YkZnMDk1VUo4b1A1WXJpV0RVZ1NJdG1uMFdrVHFoZ0dFOGY3eUNVa3lGSjMzZjQ1OEI5ZXQ0OVd3TFR1bGlXOFh5X2VRZl9ubl91T2hnbWJ3Qi12NFFfS19WVzNkOWk0cHVfdjZwOERBMkUxMVp4bDJkRV9UcWpQQlg2NG84TnZUZ0NqRVFaMkJMYm94czl5cEhUUU9RS19PUUdf?oc=5
- [20] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260617-ce-que-contient-accord-n%C3%A9goci%C3%A9-entre-iran-%C3%A9tats-unis
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/17/read-the-us-account-of-unreleased-14-point-iran-ceasefire-memorandum?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260618000552315
- [23] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260618/aa5d53819de2443ebe73c57185490253/c.html
- [24] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260618000500315
2026-06-06
2026-06-06
进展要点
- 轨迹（升级）：英国发出俄罗斯对北约威胁的时间表警告，欧洲安全局势趋于紧张。
- 英国首相斯塔默警告俄罗斯可能在四年内攻击北约成员国（Euronews）。
- 拉脱维亚总统警告攻击波罗的海国家将影响整个北约。
关键事件
- 英首相称俄四年内可能攻击北约（Google News）
关注 / 展望
关注北约军费开支及东翼防御部署变化，俄欧对峙升级可能性。
关联路径
英俄紧张 / 北约东翼防御加强 / 欧洲安全风险溢价 / 避险资产需求
来源
Xinhua World / Xinhua Finance / China News Service / Google News - World / BBC News (Top) / The New York Times / Yonhap News TV / Al Jazeera Middle East / Times of India / Yahoo News - World / Nikkei Asia / BBC News (Business) / RT News
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiigFBVV95cUxPY1h5Qk1UNmoyeVpUMGJlLVlteWk0TTlqd1pCSHNGX1h5Q1c2aW9PZ3NaY1BNM1NHdWs5bUFHRHdkX0ZPallOVFRMNmVBSkFMM1prWW9mUHVKSmpZa3MxSWZBQkh3aFNqNWpCRERmYzBUREN3MzVUcUgzRFpxNVdaX0pkMC1SazlvX2c?oc=5
- [2] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgzgyjk2weo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [3] https://www.news.cn/world/20260606/912e6ead9b444be290f454777f877243/c.html
- [4] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/05/us/politics/iran-attack-drones-hormuz.html
- [5] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260606081137QFK
- [6] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260606/eae75f7046dc4589b87dc6d2ca6a350b/c.html
- [7] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/5/how-the-us-naval-blockade-has-bled-iran-of-nearly-6bn-in-oil-revenues?traffic_source=rss
- [8] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/gdp-rose-7-7-in-fy26-7-8-in-q4-rbi-trims-this-years-projection-to-6-6/articleshow/131540667.cms
- [9] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/regional-tensions-grow-us-iran-140940634.html
- [10] https://asia.nikkei.com/spotlight/supply-chain/canadian-miner-taps-brazil-to-carve-china-out-of-rare-earth-supply-chain
- [11] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/06-06/10635218.shtml
- [12] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cwy2yq0dj58o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [13] https://www.rt.com/news/641055-us-house-russia-sanctions-bill/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [14] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/05/business/stock-market-jobs-report.html
- [15] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/rbi-cuts-growth-hikes-inflation-forecast-as-west-asia-crisis-bites/articleshow/131540469.cms
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/6/5/zelenskyy-putin-choosing-war-by-rejecting-offer-for-in-person-talks?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/5/are-us-and-iran-closer-to-war-or-to-a-deal?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260605225934y2G
- [19] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/g-secs-rally-as-govt-and-rbi-ease-foreign-investing-rules/articleshow/131540533.cms
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwgFBVV95cUxNd3lVaV9sbzJUbWphYmttd1hmZEpuVk1rdFhCLUdhQ3ZyMVJlRk0tQU1vUG85SExFb0hfR2M4RHZXZHRkZzlRMXpaUkVNQ2R6ZnVNUUs2QXNaMVFrb3hLemhKdFlUemVVRFN5VlFqU25nSXRGellhMERIRkhCOXBkc2FNXy1KY3p5bW9uLUJycGlJT2RsMnVZVWgycDZtWDdaZno0eERsRHowdmZ3OHNWMEJWbkpHdF91VEpuTEE2T1ZEZw?oc=5
- [21] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/exclusive-iran-supreme-leader-adviser-162047145.html
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi1wFBVV95cUxQaF9IeHFIdjFvU25TUmF5TnpSMzgyc0V2cGVWbE5PTWJ6cUJOX0xCaTFCRUFvd0VJMFI1NFJybVQyanJCdnV5WldCZDFQdW5RdFFDNjRXOFdkblFPb1drd3N2QUl2c01ER3dsU2FxNDBMR1pqRHBXRHNvREZieWFPdmFxLTl5QlFhdUZhM0JiSmNlR0NtTXliTUpMTnM2dzRtbk1vc2xtUjlzMnpLa2NVMlRxQks4RGRkZUlnM3hkT2FIaU9tU2FUaHdMLW5HNG5FU1NDV1pNYw?oc=5
- [23] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260606/39ea86c505ea4b46b236852f195dec1d/c.html
- [24] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cpqpqx5qe40o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
2026-06-01
2026-06-01
进展要点
- 轨迹（持续升级）：特朗普要求修改美伊协议，涉及霍尔木兹海峡通行权和高浓缩铀移除（BBC News）。
- 美方要求加强条件，显示出对伊朗不信任。
关键事件
- 特朗普要求修改美伊协议，涉及霍尔木兹海峡与高浓缩铀（BBC News）
关注 / 展望
美伊谈判陷入拉锯，市场对协议短期达成的预期降温，霍尔木兹海峡风险溢价将持续。
关联路径
美伊协议推诿 / 地缘政治不确定性 / 原油风险溢价居高不下
来源
China News Service / Yonhap News TV / Der Spiegel International / The New York Times / RT News / BBC News (Top) / Yahoo News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / The Hindu / Times of India / France 24 #2 / Google News - World / Yonhap News Agency
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260601083800WLF
- [2] https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/kuenstliche-intelligenz-usa-verschaerfen-exportregeln-fuer-ki-chips-nach-china-a-15b42aee-08a0-41c4-a840-9dfff45b15da
- [3] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/31/business/us-military-guides-strait-of-hormuz.html
- [4] https://www.rt.com/news/640792-eu-change-oil-price-cap-russia/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [5] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-31/10631913.shtml
- [6] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1w2xve315do?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [7] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-reveals-key-iran-concession-135725729.html
- [8] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/5/31/the-largest-israeli-advance-into-lebanon-in-years?traffic_source=rss
- [9] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/ukraine-hits-russian-energy-targets-and-denies-striking-kremlin-occupied-nuclear-plant/article71045684.ece
- [10] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/trump-sends-back-revised-iran-deal-text-seeks-tougher-language-on-nuclear-terms-strait-of-hormuz-reopening/articleshow/131425476.cms
- [11] https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20260531-ukraine-hits-russian-energy-targets-denies-striking-zaporizhzhia-nuclear-plant
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxNc29NbGRQTERqM0hUOU9zc1ZhVlFIaGktVUNkRjAtbVoydV9uRGlrSDkwemFHcTQ2ZFh6WUVOd3hwb2xYTWJ3NnpKSGZ1YW8yVjI1NEk5bk5HRDY1b1B0Q1ZycWVmYktIMWVhOEdxdVlXSUc2LWtsTy1TNzUxYVh1ZjloM3NsOFR1TEVaVVVWZHFxQlk4UlRBMnpoWElnYWlxZ01OVUNhbUVCYUVt?oc=5
- [13] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260601001700320
- [14] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260601011051eIh
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260531235807ifN
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/31/iran-%e2%81%a0says-some-gas-production-restored-at-south-pars-facility?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/iran-says-does-not-trust-us-as-trump-toughens-terms/article71045389.ece
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxNMjQ3WTRRZnVOa2RaRFMyT2NIckVQYnZudnJ2TnpwOWttUU1BTldxazl2azJRZFRxRDlScXpKanAtdnpfbjBiVEgtckpNNUUzY2lJUGp4OC1jSXBsdHJnQmt0Z3hPdVlUam9yWWtJQ3VVN1JTTExmNDRXTzZVLUhGaGpGcDl3MGcybzZYOG1aeXlqM216ZXRXUWt4NzBGVktEeVNnanBTQWE3VWlVd2l6VXp5NA?oc=5
- [19] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260601002300320
- [20] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/06-01/10631944.shtml
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipgFBVV95cUxPdzF6anpWTVZuYm52VFphS290bU54SVhQMFk5MGotaU1saVVXMnNZWDhtd3UyR05YV0tXU2ktdXZlZ2drcllMcVhhWGtyejJ0S2FRQl9qRmwyaVJyTjB0MlJGMnBaMG9nekhfRWpiejhRQlVwa0FZWFlrOFFFSlRLeEVXYlU5dElGOTJwUWVYZ3I3MlBja1FtZnUtSktWeU54NFZNc0lB?oc=5
2026-05-30
2026-05-30
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普宣布将召开战情室会议，对伊朗谈判做出最终决定，此举可能影响伊朗原油出口及全球能源供应。（Yonhap News Agency）
- 美国总统特朗普表示将与顾问会面，就伊朗核协议做出最终决定。此前官员确认美伊已就协议框架达成一致。（BBC News (Top)）
- 特朗普尚未批准与伊朗的拟议协议，强调任何协议必须满足其条件，包括防止伊朗获得核武器。不确定性影响能源市场，地区紧张局势升级。（Times of India）
关键事件
- 特朗普将召开战情室会议对伊朗谈判做最终决定（Yonhap News Agency）
- 特朗普召集会议对伊朗核协议做出最终决定（BBC News (Top)）
- 特朗普坚持伊朗核协议须满足其红线（Times of India）
关联路径
US-Iran negotiations / Iran oil supply uncertainty / Crude oil price volatility
Iran deal decision / oil supply uncertainty / crude price volatility
来源
Xinhua Finance / Yonhap News TV / Al Jazeera Middle East / Google News - World / Yonhap News Agency / DW (Deutsche Welle) / BBC News (Top) / Nikkei Asia / Times of India / The New York Times / Der Spiegel International / Yahoo News - World
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260530084204GYK
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/5/29/netanyahu-says-israeli-forces-have-crossed-lebanons-litani-river?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitwFBVV95cUxQWV85YWg3MmVfOVloemFFRkN2eWhycXYtV0huendnME9XZ3ltRnJ1SXBNakVDcGo4OVFoZVNVbU9Fc19GTUNYTHRMeTA0Q3RicHB2TUZBRUJMV2JDb215QmM0LWlrMTRNeEN5dm1fSEE2RzZxdWpEUW9WMFZGNG83VVAxVGtrZjNVVFkxaHRVXzl3a2hiVmZuSUp5X0JaN0E1TWtxSjRMUVZNQlg3QUxlOUJSYzR3amM?oc=5
- [4] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260530000251315
- [5] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-us-to-lift-naval-blockade-of-ports-trump-says/live-77338255?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [6] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0r2d40r91qo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [7] https://asia.nikkei.com/editor-s-picks/interview/us-rate-hike-on-the-table-as-inflation-persists-chicago-fed-chief
- [8] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260529/c8f2bd52fad54a01b6872e804fc07aec/c.html
- [9] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/trump-will-accept-only-iran-deal-that-meets-his-red-lines-white-house-official-after-2-hour-meeting/articleshow/131402044.cms
- [10] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/29/world/middleeast/irans-hard-liners-deal.html
- [11] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/russland-wladimir-putin-droht-armenien-bei-weiterer-eu-annaeherung-a-25ac0ff2-909d-41b8-8974-7f55c7ff074e
- [12] https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/inflation-rises-isnt-hotter-expected-134746577.html
- [13] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260530042120YEX
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/5/29/trump-heads-into-situation-room-to-potentially-finalise-iran-deal?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260530000403PDN
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi0wFBVV95cUxNV3dWOVpUZldOcWpPTGI4aHlVUkNXdmVnaHN5TmVrNmhPTmNWWDhrM1RiZmtvTzQ3NGZnSklsUW9saWdQN0Jqb2NwTjVUOXJUS2toeFIzc3NhR0FCdXJQN3pnMVhMUHpTMW9Ub3VQc2xfVHIyS1RscDZZei1CeldDam1rbjJjZGhXUE1MS2lMN2FnMGJjMlZ5ellWdlpKWW1zZzRmSVpwZWNDUDU1VGVVdHVkUkJONklsZVdBY0NTUVIwZnQtaTRVVmVUMC1na3FQRHRv0gHTAUFVX3lxTE1ZdUg1dUdFdXpCbEx3Uk96R0hjUGs5d3RtRzdWcnNQQ0tnT1AybXcwY0piMGVYcGY4amw4M3NSZEZIc2ExeVY1azltaW14MW1IY3lZbEdwTEd1Ri1TZnBHVVR3UGFfS1FVNE1kRGVFMDN1YVUwdGc5c0MwSXlBRGl
- [17] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260530000253315
- [18] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260530000400315
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihwFBVV95cUxPTlZSS3ZkeXNFYnYzNVl6N1hkYWNMM3prZ0xDaTNsaFh4SThvdlE2TG1LYjM5QmhEay1pUzNWYldwVTVmOTlCaDVQMHhDS2J3SmlBd0FjZko4M0tqbWtaSzY0TEdnQ2hIV2N3ZW1BejJhWWlQem83Z3pkNHkwbG05NEZNRUluRTA?oc=5
- [20] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/60-chance-of-deficient-monsoon-as-imd-downgrades-rain-forecast/articleshow/131398673.cms
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/29/trump-says-final-determination-to-be-made-on-possible-iran-deal?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/meeting-now-to-make-final-determination-trump-on-us-iran-draft-truce-deal-lists-conditions-for-tehran/articleshow/131394024.cms
2026-05-27
2026-05-27
进展要点
- 四方安全对话（Quad）计划动员200亿美元资金，用于达成关键矿产协议，旨在减少对中国供应链的依赖。（Times of India）
关键事件
- 四方安全对话拟动员200亿美元布局关键矿产，剑指中国（Times of India）
关联路径
Quad funding / critical minerals supply chain shift / commodity prices & risk premium
来源
Google News - World / BBC News (Business) / France 24 #2 / ANTARA News / Yonhap News TV / Yahoo News - World / The New York Times / The Hindu / Nikkei Asia / Al Jazeera Middle East / Der Spiegel International / Times of India / RT News
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMic0FVX3lxTFBqYzdyRkVnYnVJbDBrS0Fpb2VULTI2XzNIQlN2ZVZSMlg0b01VLTJXY1VDeDJ6NTlTQ1BScXdKTGEzaTdUWWR0UFdyalJneDlyUGZEckFpSFMzcjJvVFNfVUhJblIxWFM0MktoeXBLcG94UFk?oc=5
- [2] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ce8pw464986o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [3] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260526-iran-says-us-violated-ceasefire-with-strikes-near-hormuz-war
- [4] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5584131/washington-post-fase-awal-pembukaan-selat-hormuz-pencabutan-blokade
- [5] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260527061626j2f
- [6] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/brent-crude-jumps-4-us-193926790.html
- [7] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/26/world/canada/canada-germany-natural-gas-lng.html
- [8] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/iran-accuses-us-of-breaking-truce-after-new-strikes/article71026498.ece
- [9] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/energy/china-amasses-30-day-coal-supply-ahead-of-el-nino-power-crunch
- [10] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/26/tehran-labels-us-attacks-gross-violation-says-it-is-prepared-to-respond?traffic_source=rss
- [11] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/irankrieg-tanker-meldet-explosion-vor-der-kueste-omans-a-0c1ca1d1-f70c-405c-92d3-2d5450eab0a1
- [12] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/international-business/eye-on-china-partners-to-mobilise-20-billion-for-critical-minerals-deal/articleshow/131337201.cms
- [13] https://www.rt.com/news/640590-us-no-authority-hormuz/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxQdWNxOXY0a2JjUEZLa3dfU1JWRTh2YU1vOUpXcEtfdVMzY1dWSWpESlFJUEttcXdQaGxjMk81eW1IZjFHcE9ZcXhrbkRXUFAwdFNrMEo5cHpYcHN3WHNLWGg2VmJESy1oQmFUZ2tkTTYxN0JWZmJ3dGM4N3BhV0RjVmw4WFl3TlM5RUtLSE5Ybk1TYmxDR1R3bkV2X0Z1S3UtaHQ3VnNfVVlCU0Yy?oc=5
- [15] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5584127/centcom-as-serang-pangkalan-rudal-dan-kapal-penebar-ranjau-iran
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMidkFVX3lxTFBDb0ZISnNqX0dMNHVHNER2VWU3M3gxZGxGdUxWcTd5SkZHWndsMDRyeFo0Q0FSRkhidkhlUEJpYnczUVhkaVNwZlRJcHJFOE94NkhrZ2E3SGJ5WWR0ajJNMWFkNUM5alJLdmI5M3Q3YThHQXRSOEE?oc=5
- [17] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260527015437ddQ
- [18] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR202605262139534lN
- [19] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/markets/currencies/yen-s-purchasing-power-sinks-to-new-low-as-oil-prices-sap-strength
- [20] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/eu-member-states-summon-russian-141543128.html
2026-05-26
2026-05-26
进展要点
- 特朗普对伊朗协议提出强硬条件，威胁若协议不满足要求将退出。伊朗方面称在霍尔木兹海峡重新开放等问题上取得进展，但核计划、制裁解除等重大分歧仍存。（The Hindu BusinessLine）
- 美国总统特朗普在伊朗谈判中采取谨慎立场，从“最后阶段”转向维持压力，可能影响能源市场。（JETRO Business News）
关键事件
- 特朗普要求伊朗协议必须“伟大且有意义”，否则美国将退出（The Hindu BusinessLine）
- 特朗普对伊朗谈判持谨慎态度，维持施压（JETRO Business News）
关联路径
US-Iran deal uncertainty / Strait of Hormuz risk / Oil supply disruption premium
US-Iran tension / supply disruption risk / oil price up
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / Yonhap News TV / Der Spiegel International / KBS World News / BBC News (Top) / Al Jazeera Middle East / Yonhap News Agency / RT News / Yahoo News - World / Google News - World / Nikkei Asia / The Hindu BusinessLine / Times of India / JETRO Business News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202605260849226bc
- [2] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/irankrieg-usa-greifen-ziele-im-iran-an-mitten-in-verhandlungen-zum-kriegsende-a-35074028-1cd5-4e3b-bcff-af0425d0fb4c
- [3] https://world.kbs.co.kr/service/news_view.htm?lang=e&Seq_Code=201690
- [4] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvgzzn4y1n8o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [5] https://www.news.cn/world/20260525/104870725f26430aac971137b3b40e2f/c.html
- [6] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/5/26/iran-war-live-israel-pounds-lebanon-iranian-officials-in-qatar-for-talks?traffic_source=rss
- [7] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-26/10628481.shtml
- [8] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260525004353315
- [9] https://www.rt.com/news/640566-iranian-speedboat-attacks-hormuz/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [10] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/russia-says-magnetic-mines-found-101635715.html
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTFA4MHBZb25FbHBBa1QzNEI4T2tjaDdiYVZjWUJIb3huNHBYbGxIbldJNjlWWE5Ca3dTQ3JJNmxQTVIwdjNxVFMxZWRfWmNvSExOZ1RDZTdFTFB4Zw?oc=5
- [12] https://asia.nikkei.com/spotlight/iran-tensions/iran-war/iran-to-open-hormuz-30-days-after-us-deal-to-end-fighting-source
- [13] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/trump-says-iran-deal-must-be-great-and-meaningful-or-us-will-walk-away/article71022492.ece
- [14] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/saudi-arabia-emerges-as-gulfs-key-trade-route-as-iran-war-blocks-hormuz-strait/articleshow/131310656.cms
- [15] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/05/c4e3ed15d098de0a.html
- [16] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260526080022bhb
- [17] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260526062910IBB
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwFBVV95cUxNcWFSYzlYSDhhR3BSOHB1Q0RXalE0ZHpHVGhXTGlJYUp2M0hjTGszVlN1Q2p3LTVPSi1DSjZpTVYtQW9lM291OFk4N0hRYkI0X0RGRjdtcUVRcjZyM2NiX2loQmlYcEJlZWRRdE9ubGJTbV96VUk1U0FCaldGcUc0RjdGTdIBiAFBVV95cUxObHVDM01oY0VteWt1OVdlYUVPcDR3VHlWOHdSZEVNUUNMblpLb012WFpRVFlNNU82MTlEN2pmOEZBVElrT3lERXliS3Nrc29HNmFLSXdYRHYyMTlTc0ZpVWV5eDV5bTlUelJnM18zYTlZTWw1N096WHJUQmtMemhrXzhweXV3LTVi?oc=5
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivAFBVV95cUxOaEYzalpGWXR1T2dtLXZLUTkzOXVnSEZtNlJzc2R6S3NqaEJ0TTNuc2VRd09KcC1wYldfV0tLTW1zMzF3Rm1ULW1LejBIMGRIMXZIVFIxalAwd0t5S1dIaFZ4T2d1Wi1UVWt1RTlYaWd3MURFZXQxOGxONnF0TVVfYldsWkJENUYtZFdmVGpabXFta1VhN0Zla1pZY0hQaU9Vc3h5LUk4OTk0Z3NRaU5vZ2VUc3NVU2RlVEZoWQ?oc=5
- [20] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260525004351315
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/25/could-brazilian-oil-emerge-as-one-of-the-big-winners-of-the-iran-war?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2026/05/d0a6a02b71d729e1.html
- [23] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-26/10628476.shtml
2026-05-25
2026-05-25
进展要点
- 特朗普批评对伊朗协议的批评者，称谈判有序进行，但指示代表不要急于达成协议。报道称协议草案涉及霍尔木兹海峡重新开放、伊朗清除水雷、美国解除封锁并发放制裁豁免允许伊朗出口石油。（RT News）
关键事件
- 特朗普抨击批评伊朗协议者，称谈判有序推进（RT News）
关联路径
Iran deal progress / oil supply expectations / crude price
来源
Xinhua World / Nikkei Asia / The New York Times / BBC News (Business) / Yonhap News TV / France 24 #3 / ANTARA News Jawa Timur / Google News - World / BBC News (Top) / The Hindu / Yahoo News - World / ANTARA News Agency / Times of India / RT News / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/energy/global-oil-inventories-to-fall-below-100-days-of-demand-on-hormuz-blockade
- [2] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/24/business/strait-of-hormuz-reopen-iran.html
- [3] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c809m7g29r7o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260525084834QL4
- [5] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260524-guerre-au-moyen-orient-que-contient-le-protocole-d-accord-entre-les-%C3%A9tats-unis-et-l-iran
- [6] https://jatim.antaranews.com/berita/1068257/as-klaim-pembukaan-selat-hormuz-tanpa-pungutan
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiggFBVV95cUxQSjd6U1BqRl9fdVNBbmdTc292V29zNW04b0RWQXBZRXZqeFlnYm1DMDlYeGRUTFVBWEhWbTFUYTVRcHJWNWxvMUoyc0RNcldDZDJCalpJMW5vUkZKTnNGT3ZEdFpWcmRHcFdWYkdFRF9NRHhUb3B6QzQ2b2s2aFRKeEln?oc=5
- [8] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/clyp0040x7po?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [9] https://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/the-us-ends-russia-oil-waiver-implications-for-india/article71018329.ece
- [10] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/u-prepares-military-strikes-against-221519788.html
- [11] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5580861/as-klaim-ada-kemajuan-soal-pembukaan-selat-hormuz-tanpa-pungutan
- [12] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/mission-unaccomplished-trumps-gulf-gamble-runs-aground-as-iran-survives-american-assault/articleshow/131293549.cms
- [13] https://www.rt.com/news/640508-us-iran-deal-hormuz/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [14] https://www.news.cn/world/20260524/fa65dd01d6d84218bb140866f8c9620f/c.html
- [15] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/24/us/strait-of-hormuz-reopen-iran-deal.html
- [16] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260524-time-is-on-our-side-trump-tempers-expectations-of-a-peace-deal-with-iran
- [17] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/24/world/middleeast/senate-republicans-iran-deal-trump.html
- [18] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260525034445NmC
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTFBnMHpHTWRhQmlPMGIzMVV4NHYxYU9NMDlabVZvM050d3Fxc3E1ZkpuM0xFbS1tVUI2bW5iSjFRd2o3YmQ4M1NqcWw5VnI1Tjh3MHNlZ0duamNTTkE2TlpvS19UZEZLTWhwd2VIQUZVMDBqNnU1YXBDbtIBfkFVX3lxTE9WOWxkT3BiVzFPVlRQQkpTQlljMkZQNU5TSVRfLXF4cWVFRXRlbzhlSHpkcHczcHgydjB6N3RvMW16b3NsVHl3bEw3UC03QjBUdHlZOWRyaWV3MWRKYjNmTXg2bWpZSlJ3Q0hRVjRJaEU5MTFHOUdUWGlMVWxiQQ?oc=5
- [20] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5580831/trump-as-pertahankan-blokade-laut-sampai-iran-teken-kesepakatan-damai
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivgFBVV95cUxPM2xoYUpMYWxuUzQ4aWQzaTF4d1RVYjBGUHVfMnhldHpQcXRTVFpvWk1uS2NSRWhHeUFocWxicExGYVhpcG9qOUZ2MmhMU2FCLVJfMkl3WE1xb0ozSWZEMW5HUS1FTWhwUTJ0eDZMT0xNRUVIc1pLSWRsZTNfeXZ2Q2tlOVktQlhFVW96czhxZ3BPTzZzVWtsNC1SN2MwWWR5cDFOWlIwZG1NSWRFdzVqZUhndUYzRzNjLU9Zam5R0gHDAUFVX3lxTE9HdUVDc04tX2pUWl92M3U4Z295cW5maThrNktoN0ZVaFpjN2prRWRtWUZvRjhFXy1CNWVzR2k1bHBKZThTZlJSbVR2VmVwQWd6UWZiSldjaTFfLWNULUFraElGdmFZMDAzb0J2d2xEdUdtaDYyUE0zQU00NVNvU1JQQU5BZmZFMk1ERkd1Z180eV8zMm5
- [22] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/trump-turnaround-open-the-straits-close-the-war/articleshow/131293243.cms
- [23] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260525090851EoQ
- [24] https://www.rt.com/news/640524-trump-iran-deal-losers/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
2026-05-22
2026-05-22
进展要点
- 轨迹（Escalating）：俄罗斯向白俄罗斯交付核弹头，北约紧张局势升级（Google News - World）。
- 普京与卢卡申科视频指挥联合核力量演习，演练战略和战术核武器指挥控制（Kremlin）。
- 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊下令禁止将高浓缩铀转移至国外，与美国谈判要求相悖（KBS）。
关键事件
- 俄罗斯向白俄罗斯交付核弹头，北约紧张局势升级（Google News - World）
- 普京与卢卡申科启动俄白联合核力量演习（Ukrinform）
- 伊朗最高领袖下令禁止转移高浓缩铀（KBS World News）
关注 / 展望
核博弈进入新阶段，北约可能加强东翼部署，同时美伊核谈判前景恶化。
关联路径
俄白核演习 / 战略风险溢价 / 避险资产需求上升
伊朗核僵局 / 地缘政治风险 / 原油供应不确定性
来源
China News Service / Yonhap News TV / Nikkei Asia / Ukrinform / Google News - World / Yonhap News Agency / RT News / Kremlin President News / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #2 / BBC News (Top) / KBS World News / BBC News (Business) / Times of India
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260522083300AKw
- [2] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/markets/commodities/speculators-rush-into-copper-as-sulfur-supply-risk-ai-drive-up-prices
- [3] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4125902-putin-and-lukashenko-launch-joint-exercises-involving-nuclear-forces-of-russia-and-belarus.html
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxQZXAyY0JKTEhXY3BzdFkxXy1wM1U3VzAzY1dTYTMyRVJxenBZWEIxa3RENjFnNHI0cy1YLXhmSFNBcUhraG9pOEM2elZia2xoRnRtTUlYNUpMNU9rRmxhNkhPT3ZwaWZOOVdaa1F3VkEzSjRvX0NQNGpidHhKWGtaWVEwMGtJa3FObXJaZzF5YVdSUm5jVUZqSGZ4Zzh5MlhFMnhiSTdmc05rWVVIU2o0LVJB?oc=5
- [5] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260522000200315
- [6] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-22/10626220.shtml
- [7] https://www.rt.com/news/640347-rt-hormuz-gridlock-video/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [8] http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/79802
- [9] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/5/21/russia-rehearses-use-of-nuclear-forces-in-drills-with-belarus?traffic_source=rss
- [10] https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20260521-iran-war-squeezes-europe-economy-growth-slumps-prices-surge-energy-shock
- [11] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cq5py64gvwzo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [12] https://world.kbs.co.kr/service/news_view.htm?lang=e&Seq_Code=201631
- [13] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cj9prkzwr8vo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [14] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/bitumen-crisis-due-to-iran-war-to-hit-road-work/articleshow/131254256.cms
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202605220725520ki
- [16] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260522054906qzT
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTFBqWC1XOU9TYW5sSUZuc3BIdHF5UjFrS1pXX1p4YVhTUGpHYnBRbUZGS2xQVUY1eVJaYTktNEJ2Q2dWMUttbjU0dmM4N2R2dDhjSmVKelQ4NkM2MmhIYmpYSHc5Sjg5azI2eGc?oc=5
- [18] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-22/10626219.shtml
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxPckNRR0ZlV1BmZGFHSDUtMDhpMW80VnI1d2tFMmg0Zk5zUlNNemFBYmkwZDdaM3l0V0xrUnhiZ2JUZlFZTWloM1pPV1pEdjIwRzlhMHhZNF94RGlMRjNfZVFkdkpTdkVsVDdGSXhnVkxXS25mYjNfenpyQXBId3Q0LUM0anlTak9jS3VNcU9IT3QxX2lJU2U5ZkVUUnRMTHV1Z3NtMGM5VHE3cm5yNUo4a1BManrSAboBQVVfeXFMUFJhWl9QYmxMa3pXN1FZUWY0N1lpMUFibG1vZ2g4NUlodloxQktGR1FvU0FmNk5EOGxrWlk4b1NKWmxvcV8zODg5NU1lX3ZqclhtR0U5R1dyS2dBTXRRcmtoQnBORF9zSmR0dG9IWG0tV3paS3VieXV6UmFzSnVoUmlzdHJpMGxDQWJITFQwZHJ6REZoblRKV28wTmlScDF
- [20] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-21/10626210.shtml
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2026/5/21/maths-behind-hormuz-toll-is-paying-iran-for-transit-cheaper-than-blockade?traffic_source=rss
2026-05-21
2026-05-21
进展要点
- 特朗普访华数日后，普京抵达中国与习近平举行峰会，中俄关系进一步强化。（Al Jazeera Middle East）
- 特朗普表示中俄领导人会晤是好事，并计划与台湾领导人赖清德通话，此举可能刺激中国。（Yonhap News TV）
关键事件
- 特朗普访华后中俄元首会晤深化战略协作（Al Jazeera Middle East）
- 特朗普称中俄峰会为好事，拟与台湾领导人对话（Yonhap News TV）
关联路径
中俄深化合作 / 地缘风险上升 / 避险资产受追捧
US-Taiwan contact / China retaliation / risk-off flows
来源
China News Service / Al Jazeera Middle East / Times of India / Yonhap News TV / Nikkei Asia / Google News - World / The New York Times / The Hindu / Fed / Global Issues News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/5/21/iran-war-live-tehran-says-no-surrender-to-us-diplomacy-wiser-than-war?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-21/10625478.shtml
- [3] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/us-military-boards-iranian-oil-tanker-suspected-of-breaching-blockade/articleshow/131237565.cms
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260521075924OFd
- [5] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/tech/semiconductors/nvidia-reports-85-revenue-jump-but-still-excludes-china-in-outlook
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwgFBVV95cUxORWpQYXVORlppVlY3QlBsMV9YNWo3UC1RM1lNV25wM0oxcTQyeDNkMHpRTXZPRDNGYXZCWkRtbDl3YWxvS0YzeTZ5SkFIX1JXOHN4ZnE1UXJFbXhjbERsOTFDR0hTNEdZaXF3ZmpwRTZfb2hBbllBekRKSWJhNjN5eUlfMFhkMUo4M1JkOENoSk5nNy02clZEdmFDWDJZajVqbEZhOGZNZzcyallNN05QRWVnV1N4b3V6TWV1SWFaTnJTQQ?oc=5
- [7] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/20/business/economy/fed-minutes-interest-rates.html
- [8] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/war-would-spread-beyond-west-asia-say-iran-guards/article71003575.ece
- [9] https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260520a.htm
- [10] https://www.globalissues.org/news/2026/05/20/43089
- [11] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH2026052107543066Q
- [12] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202605210736262b9
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/5/20/china-and-russia-unite-after-trumps-beijing-visit?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/knowledge-centre/us/donald-trump-warns-iran-of-nasty-us-action-as-negotiations-enter-final-stages/articleshow/131235009.cms
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxOQ0ZFY25hdmpwMElXdkFNMzVTLWo2amc5bXlPTkN6M2diVFVtcVctYzNURlBVdUk1dTZpZGVhZTlDdHhTVEM3OFhnUWJWRU1iT3RVZk9lb1ZLalk1cmF5aFNycl9rR0IzNU1jN2UwN1k5SWdnaG9maGpfU2hRWnRKMlpjQTcwZnBfbjVFTW9mck93RElQaVpoVVVoUHFVWHhaWkZz0gGoAUFVX3lxTE1vOWF5M1ktZzlFTTZRNHkyY0ltUWRSOG5kRXpjd1dFWmUtRE9SczFuVHU0OTVjVkdLRzludlZqUVcwNllTZTdHZ0RYT0J5d1Fkd2w1dlJJVWxES1pzbTlDZ29uMXRybzdlYV9ocUZQLWNtR2Fwc0E4Z1A5M3J0NER3YmVEUlFnbjdJZkJZS0pYYTZkajZjTmtONE5kWDB5dUhWdmRIUzFJSg?oc=5
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikAFBVV95cUxPaS1tT1g1ek9Vd0J6N3hxTXRRajNNaUNjRGRWb2tma2pUeXlVSC1nZ2dMWkc3WlNLLTJmQlg2czB0RUpBUnFJOWtOZGJGVjZhVzVweEJDN29WRmFBMkszOG1Bblk0cGNsMkJXUDJaOXMzUmVCLWZERFlfTy02UDQtRWUzVVdKRGREZGF1QkdvNTg?oc=5
- [17] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/defence/42-aircraft-over-29-billion-what-trumps-iran-operation-cost-the-us-military/articleshow/131223225.cms
- [18] https://asia.nikkei.com/spotlight/iran-tensions/iran-war/over-160-oil-tankers-stuck-in-gulf-as-iran-tightens-grip-on-hormuz
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/20/iran-says-it-coordinated-crossing-of-26-vessels-out-of-strait-of-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260521064359ngM
- [21] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260521055115XiN
- [22] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260521055710iM2
- [23] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260521052403wBo
- [24] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202605210518568Yk
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqwFBVV95cUxPUzJqdzZGSXA2c250V2k3RVJVRllBLXBYNHJEUGJaeGdmb1lWVmFpRlBHVEdaNmlVaC13bmhnZ3pMcDVDMTVnZ2RJWVFZQnNYaERRVXlVVWQ2dEQyQjVuQWJKTFI1Z0J0NWl3OXgweFYxRDJGeGE5ZTlyeXByN3hNZndXYmpQUENyQnZUMWQwaFpIT2Q0ZnAzZFdsTDRGemVRNUt0VHZrVE9LSGM?oc=5
- [26] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/20/at-least-eight-killed-in-israels-air-attacks-on-southern-lebanon?traffic_source=rss
- [27] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/im-in-no-hurry-donald-trump-says-us-will-give-one-shot-to-peace-talks-with-iran-after-threatening-to-attack/articleshow/131228839.cms
- [28] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260520235425ydt
2026-05-20
2026-05-20
进展要点
- 俄罗斯总统普京在特朗普离开北京后次日抵达中国，与习近平举行会晤，凸显俄中战略协作的深化。（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关键事件
- 普京会晤习近平：俄中战略协作深化（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关联路径
Geopolitical tension / safe-haven demand / risk asset selloff
来源
China News Service / RT News / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / The New York Times / Yonhap News TV / France 24 #2 / Yonhap News Agency / Yahoo News - World
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/640200-us-nato-troop-commitments/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxQM0dIXzRtQmFEWVh6Wkp6a1dmaW9ZT0dtc2ZEVkpfdUZOekJrMkpkWlh3a3lfYnlEVVhkV21xSHJ0UW1lbFJ0bVptS3BfYzlxa0NKc29rM204Sk1mc094b3VvcU9UOFNkNnY0T0lOV3dBV0Y5X2JSNVBpUW1mZVcwRjY4dnpobUpOdzlXbw?oc=5
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/5/20/iran-war-live-tehran-warns-of-many-more-surprises-if-conflict-resumes?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-20/10624660.shtml
- [5] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/19/us/politics/iran-israel-us-leader-ahmadinejad.html
- [6] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202605200830408wz
- [7] https://www.france24.com/en/us-iran-trade-threats-as-tehran-stages-mass-weddings-for-couples-ready-for-sacrifice
- [8] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260520000300315
- [9] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/trump-says-us-may-attack-iran-again-but-that-tehran-wants-deal-154216868.html
- [10] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwFBVV95cUxNWXZfbWNiRkpRS0wxTW9VOE9UdXg0NXF1V0RoQTN5OHp2Y01JeTBUY1pSQWh0UGxNVy03Tno0Tnh2dDVhd3AwTVU2dzJQc19JVWVaQWxBZHFBWHdQb011WUpJdnB6U3FGWXRiZFNfdkU5bDBQWEw1VER0SkpkcF9ITDZzRm5nTnVwejd3NkpPUFA1YlJhSGh3?oc=5
- [11] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/19/putin-meets-xi-why-russia-and-china-need-each-other?traffic_source=rss
- [12] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260520075358kcF
- [13] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260520075556zwz
- [14] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-20/10624644.shtml
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi1wFBVV95cUxPYWR0eUtXLTJQTW1zdkROclZ0UzNTcFN5UXZ2UnFnSlJqSUtCbW5udWdkZXdCWWlaY3V6VkxsaWcyNEVSbkI3bVo1TDlwaFlVRElpcXN5cUtmWVR0Qk1uNFRkSHlBSHIzeEI5c3B4bEtmaEUyVW9Kd1owV1l0MzBsSGdmdlAzM3hKYks0UVhUUzJyNFlFWWg5aFpBcm91ek5nZXNwdDdiNDlOZjl3WTdsRjlDa2ZUaEJ6RFREMUt2b25Uc0dHWnFqWW5mNlplTWRJcjhnTVU1NA?oc=5
- [16] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/19/us/politics/senate-iran-war-authorization.html
- [17] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/19/business/bond-market-iran-war-inflation.html
- [18] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH2026052007274788E
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202605200646164Hq
- [20] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR202605200659052fd
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMid0FVX3lxTE53eGZ5QVM2QVJiTXFmd2tWdDR4dGs4NExPdTRtRFhXSUdJU21ZWVZBLW9NM2hISndmbWF6bHBEMldmQ1BHel9KLTBrazdIUElONnFNeVM3ZFhFbW8zLTI5U2RpSkM1bWR4QlV3YkpQUzdXTUhqYVlz0gF8QVVfeXFMTkpEa0w1aUN1UFBuNWh3aDVsWnFvVjFxak1iUFdkN21ZYlo0UGJkeUh4b3FFMXd6alFsRnBYMjZlVFhaR1FkSTZ1N2VIUWxPV1laYVlIRFpKc1dQVVk0S3J2bXVLNHM2T3RsdDcxZ2dBTVVJUVQ2c19CMGMxaA?oc=5
- [22] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR202605200609143fy
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE1nSTg2NG41U1hteDhTeWpPVXZMTzg1UUlUc3dRbDlZVzJ2VmUxN3cxMGVNaUhBTGVfS283bFdrb1FHRFFhVi1rWXgwcFlEODJ2cW5BSlBnTTVIc3pzcFFfTWR6ZWJ2Smdvd2V2VEpMTmdIZVhJLThtZg?oc=5
- [24] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260520055900A3d
- [25] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260520051649dwW
- [26] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260520051428irg
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxNcWpCMXl5RHNwRFkzYnR2NVIyaDNHZXh3MHdIS3RjTnIzWWRfaFlUY3dzbEE1QXl2amRKUjY3Qy1kWjlUU0Y5bDBKSlFMMUNERkVQNHlra1JNOGNXcUxFdmZreU1pNkhFMWxDek1Hcm9YVWVGaUZjU05HYmFIakRSbVA0TFk1NDJJa1Zn?oc=5
- [28] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihgFBVV95cUxQRW1nQjNiSUd4bkRfSEJreUZfcTJvZ0pySWlucWpObkhNT1BNdFd5V2lXVkdfc3ZDTXpXc1FlVWlfclh1c19QaWVnMmF6eDNoWWRZMHIwX1g2bm5PYmRVbWhnUGxLUTlDRVlSVHdPc0JrYlRsLUxDajRmc0hhT1hsNkxfU1R2d9IBiwFBVV95cUxON0pZcmV6OFlLQlJUZ1Jkb2FKeFdtSk1RTnZHaGRISnVBSkJZcW00aEtkV2VseEMwLWZ4VUFkZmh1dlFGWVA4cWltb2JpZUJxM2tLcGZBS0Z3NEZfUWd5eUFHN2RocXR1YldpQUgzRVVWMXBhOTJGYXoxT1Ric2pEUC02TkdtdVpvenFR?oc=5
2026-05-19
2026-05-19
进展要点
- 美国特朗普政府以盟友未履行共同防务义务为由，暂停了自二战以来与加拿大持续的双边联合防务合作。（Al Jazeera Middle East）
- 美国总统特朗普提议对台湾进行军售，此举可能加剧中美紧张关系，影响地区稳定。（Yonhap News Agency）
- 据沙特媒体Al Hadath报道，伊朗在最新对美和平提案中提出，愿将高浓缩铀库存移交俄罗斯，以换取长期冻结核计划。美方已初步拒绝该方案。（RT News）
关键事件
- 美国暂停与加拿大二战以来联合防务合作（Al Jazeera Middle East）
- 特朗普提议对台军售，中美关系再添变数（Yonhap News Agency）
- 伊朗拟将高浓缩铀库存移交俄罗斯（RT News）
关联路径
US-Canada rift / NATO cohesion doubts / safe-haven demand
US-China tension / safe-haven demand / risk-off
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / Yonhap News TV / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #3 / Google News - World / RT News / Yonhap News Agency / Times of India / Nikkei Asia / Yahoo News - World / The New York Times / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260519091315xGx
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20260518/8bfbdb980c9a492da446372bcd238fa0/c.html
- [3] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-19/10623872.shtml
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/18/us-suspends-joint-defence-effort-with-canada-dating-back-to-world-war-ii?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260518-iran-creation-organisme-charge-gerer-detroit-d-ormuz-petrole
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikwFBVV95cUxOR2h2bTQ1OHQ2dHhLZGhDeWN6WGFqVUJTOFozOTkxdWIyNEl0QUZEdFd1Sm5iNnpoc0NWZjZuY3pEQ1UxaFMtc3phanVXUmtJWlF2QnE3QTJYempnSlRneEsyQVhUcUNhNFlnRDI3cHhxcG9BZVlmcHpCOVRHVHBSb0F4SHBjUzcyMEtqWm9mSTBoV3M?oc=5
- [7] https://www.rt.com/news/640153-trump-iran-major-attack/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [8] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260519000800315
- [9] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/conflict-pushes-freight-charges-for-west-asia-bound-container-cargo-up-10-times/articleshow/131185778.cms
- [10] https://asia.nikkei.com/spotlight/supply-chain/japan-kicks-into-high-gear-steering-iran-war-oil-shock-response
- [11] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/russian-nuclear-head-situation-ukraines-202449317.html
- [12] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/18/us/politics/trump-iran-strikes.html
- [13] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/info-%C3%A9co/20260518-le-g7-finances-veut-pr%C3%A9server-l-%C3%A9conomie-des-effets-de-la-guerre-au-moyen-orient
- [14] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202605190829530g4
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260519075241GMc
- [16] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-19/10623855.shtml
- [17] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-19/10623853.shtml
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxPUHY2WnRUSktfZlBnbTB4R0ZfcWMtSkpFcFZPNk9rRHlTQVZNT1A0TzNUMWFCdm01eUlMbi05Rzc2ZjBoYkVVV2FzVWVpbHd5YjRFSDhRQnlxb25QTThONktyT0JkbFROWWoxSEM4Wk85RU04c3RBQ3g3VEpOTklTS1cwOWlqd0prdW9zdndtd3I3NnY3QlRvV3VkMGZVVUVVME1fLXRRMmh0VWwzUlRKanQ0MNIBuAFBVV95cUxPZmltNEdtaVRpejB0ZW9HakJlbUhUd1NmN2kwMXRDekNqVGVzSExic08yel9PckQ5bGM2R1ZsOG1mdmJpTmNGbFNIOUl4OFRWUDZiWDFkREQxaUQ5R0VQRTZjU29wTlZqd21aMTB6cDJjQTBuU0lKam1kTWoyLWZfRGNZWTczcFNsUkJyV2l0UkQtMElpcHR4SUFhSXZaNkZ
- [19] https://www.rt.com/news/640152-iran-nuclear-stockpile-russia/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxQY1lRcmJNWlBDcFFrRXRMR2xSUVZpQkdZV1R3NURUb3lVdjlDM2ZYQ0hVSFJjemk0TE1wNVdJaUNLX3RkQ3ZTREIxTTY2c2I2b3NNSElKSnRRTzdVa2h5Q25tUVN2dXZUNFA1UFRGcF9MZ2VPOFdnRG1MTHJrZUo1QnB3R3F1VE5rcVBEZ1c4WldSVDNXYXlBMHVKeU96emk1LWpUeHNTRXI?oc=5
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/5/18/trump-pauses-possible-iran-strike-after-gulf-intervention?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260518-iran-announces-new-body-to-manage-strait-of-hormuz-as-peace-talks-stall
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/18/trump-delays-scheduled-attack-on-iran-crediting-serious-negotiations?traffic_source=rss
2026-05-18
2026-05-18
进展要点
- 中美两国元首会晤，同意在互惠关税削减框架下扩大双边贸易，并达成多项共识，为两国关系注入稳定性。（China Government English News）
- 白宫公布美中首脑会谈成果文件，双方同意基于公平与互惠原则建立战略稳定的建设性关系。特朗普邀请习近平今秋访美，若成行，年内将实现两次美中首脑外交。（Yonhap News TV）
关键事件
- 习近平与特朗普会晤为中美关系定调（China Government English News）
- 美中同意构建战略稳定关系，习近平今秋访美（Yonhap News TV）
关联路径
US-China trade deal / risk appetite ↑ / EM FX & equities rally
US-China détente / risk appetite up / EM FX & equities rally
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / France 24 #2 / Yonhap News TV / Times of India / Google News - World / RT News / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Al Jazeera Middle East / China Government English News / Der Spiegel International / Ukrinform / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260518-trump-warns-iran-peace-deal
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20260517/6f805f5dc9f8456d97ec34ce8a9e91c7/c.html
- [3] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260518085340jvh
- [4] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/dangerous-escalation-india-expresses-concern-after-iranian-strikes-target-uae-nuclear-facility/articleshow/131163786.cms
- [5] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-18/10623012.shtml
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuAFBVV95cUxNenBpWTRtUml3dFhzQ2VHcFgyVUVSMnB0THMyQ0NQMHZ5VmZ4b1dJZkVybE91bUlnMjlYU0J3UW5YeGZhQTFEemFndU9MX281S1doUmpSWEE1X0FtVFFYNG9LSXpRR3hDejBHbklSM0tGS3hJMlBwYjJMQlNhbm9ZRmhPR1diUWFnTUhSUGhFa21NdDZIYklqY3pDV1d4NnJWckJrTlBCY2ljRnVYYTlmTnBuQTVEMjVi?oc=5
- [7] https://www.rt.com/news/640106-eu-natural-gas-stockpile/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [8] https://www.dw.com/en/middle-east-trump-warns-iran-time-is-ticking-on-deal/live-77179563?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [9] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/17/wont-be-anything-left-trump-issues-threat-to-iran-amid-stalled-talks?traffic_source=rss
- [10] https://english.www.gov.cn/news
- [11] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/donald-trump-droht-iran-erneut-mit-zerstoerung-a-ba5618b5-ab3f-44e2-b548-9a9b93ef227f
- [12] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-polytics/4124365-cuba-acquires-300-attack-drones-from-russia-and-iran-and-discusses-potential-attacks-on-us-axios.html
- [13] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260518083124NV8
- [14] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260518082234r6K
- [15] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-18/10623008.shtml
- [16] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260517-drone-strike-sparks-a-fire-on-the-edge-of-uae-nuclear-facility
- [17] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260517-les-emirats-d%C3%A9noncent-une-agression-inacceptable-apr%C3%A8s-une-frappe-de-drone-sur-un-site-nucl%C3%A9aire
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMidEFVX3lxTFBRbU14clM0UlJtWGkxcnpwcHB4NU1idTE4VFZkdW41akdidWZEN1N5SDNPYU5BWEl3M0NZcGE4T2ZsZVhIVEhNWDdqSGtvRHdKMktRZnJiYl81UjZnWDZjZmtSOTM2NFlWSFp5MEtjTFRNanc1?oc=5
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/17/israel-kills-five-in-lebanon-after-ceasefire-with-hezbollah-extended?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/there-wont-be-anything-left-trump-says-clock-is-ticking-for-iran-as-nuclear-talks-stall/articleshow/131161674.cms
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxQN0Q3c3h1X0QwTW12M19VTDR4dWRlUDMzTDROSnl3YmRrMGczaHBORmRUQ09qRzBBckJiQXBSMVRXZ3p2SUhXdVJJdlZJZnpoQXA4RnRXWUJZVXMzaWhTYm9xY25leUFiczIwanZpa19RRmtHdnF0cUlycW5fUDctUHVFanExcU9rYXpWVFVLSV8xRDBLV1AtOFBXcncxMFRlcTRyM1I5NVg1S3lqUDdvWENQbw?oc=5
2026-05-17
2026-05-17
进展要点
- 特朗普表示，对台军售可作为美国对华施压的筹码，暗示可能推迟或取消已承诺的武器交付。（Neue Osnabrücker Zeitung - Politik）
- 俄罗斯总统普京宣布将于下周对中国进行为期两天的访问，与习近平会晤。此举发生在美国总统特朗普结束对华国事访问后不到24小时，凸显中俄战略协作的加强。（El Mundo - International News）
- 美中两国就伊朗核问题及霍尔木兹海峡安全达成协议，可能影响全球能源运输与地区稳定。（Yonhap News Agency (Vietnamese)）
关键事件
- 特朗普：对台军售是美国对华施压的好筹码（Neue Osnabrücker Zeitung - Politik）
- 普京宣布访华紧随特朗普之后，中俄关系深化（El Mundo - International News）
- 美中就伊朗核问题与霍尔木兹海峡达成协议（Yonhap News Agency (Vietnamese)）
关联路径
US-China tension / safe-haven demand / USD / Gold up, equities down
中俄走近 / 地缘风险 / 避险资产需求
来源
Al Jazeera Middle East / Le Monde International / The New York Times / Neue Osnabrücker Zeitung - Politik / Yonhap News TV / n-tv Politik / Google News - World / Die Zeit Politics / The New Indian Express / SOL / France 24 #3 / 9News Australia / ERTnews / BBC News (Top) / Politika / El Mundo - International News / Yonhap News Agency BIZ / Yonhap News Agency (Vietnamese) / La Croix / La Tribune
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/5/17/iran-war-live-tehran-eyes-tolls-in-hormuz-trump-warns-of-very-bad-time?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/05/16/taiwan-revendique-son-independance-apres-une-mise-en-garde-de-donald-trump_6689757_3210.html
- [3] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/16/business/economy/china-tariffs-trump-summit.html
- [4] https://www.noz.de/deutschland-welt/politik/artikel/trump-zu-waffenverkauf-an-taiwan-gutes-druckmittel-fuer-usa-50646913
- [5] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260517081519Kel
- [6] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/US-Sanktionen-gegen-russisches-Oel-greifen-wieder-id30828365.html
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi0gFBVV95cUxOaTducmtkWk5TSUMzWHdKTmNsRkU3RnFDanVwaVUzTWVXY1d6YVhLYmpURjQ4MmZlVFJFTTRveEFvVnhlYUtVOFlCYVJDWFozX0VfTGtZSWlKanAwVU5uWUwzUXVOUXJZRGVza2hHdDF3VE5uT09KM0stcmFxWHhpbE5jOElXcUI2WjZOcndSUl9WdHVxMWF6YllFZF9JYlZyVUVjRjJXYWVwQlJvTWJYRFdJT2l4N0s3bV9lWTF0S2JEakJhWjJrc0QwMnpaWXVyanc?oc=5
- [8] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-05/israel-angriffe-libanon-sueden
- [9] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/May/16/uss-ford-returns-home-after-11-month-deployment-supporting-iran-war-and-maduros-capture
- [10] https://sol.iol.pt/opiniao/noticias/marco-serronha-a-guerra-do-golfo-de-2026-algumas-observacoes-estrategicas-e-geopoliticas-tempos-de-preocupacao-e-algumas-muitas-ilusoes-parte-1/20260516/6a0760770cf2d0ed34b846a1
- [11] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260516-mort-chef-branche-arm%C3%A9e-hamas-tu%C3%A9-par-frappe-isra%C3%A9lienne-ezzedine-al-haddad
- [12] https://www.9news.com.au/world/iran-war-vote-congress-house-of-representatives-senate-usa-politics-news/a816e23a-d2e8-479d-8bf0-a4076caf9588
- [13] https://www.ertnews.gr/eidiseis/diethni/live-to-iran-tha-perasei-poly-dyskola-an-den-yparksei-symfonia-proeidopoiei-o-tramp
- [14] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2132w81jqo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [15] https://www.politika.rs/scc/clanak/755676/sad-nisu-produzile-uredbu-o-izuzecu-za-kupovinu-ruske-nafte
- [16] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/05/16/6a086573e4d4d885558b4580.html
- [17] https://en.yna.co.kr/k-biz/news
- [18] https://vi.yna.co.kr/view/AVI20260515000200880
- [19] https://www.la-croix.com/international/sommet-a-pekin-donald-trump-met-en-garde-taiwan-contre-toute-proclamation-d-independance-20260515
- [20] https://www.latribune.fr/article/transports/1686023441399214/liran-fait-etat-de-discussions-avec-des-pays-europeens-pour-franchir-le-detroit-dormuz
- [21] https://www.20minutes.fr/monde/taiwan/4223757-20260516-chine-taiwan-affirme-etre-nation-independante-subordonnee-malgre-critiques-trump?at_medium=display&at_campaign=149
- [22] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/5/16/taiwan-says-it-is-an-independent-nation-after-trump-arms-sale-remarks?traffic_source=rss
- [23] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260516-apr%C3%A8s-la-mise-en-garde-de-trump-ta%C3%AFwan-rappelle-washington-%C3%A0-son-engagement-sur-les-ventes-d-armes
- [24] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260516-le-chef-de-la-branche-arm%C3%A9e-du-hamas-tu%C3%A9-%C3%A0-gaza
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/16/in-response-to-trump-taiwan-says-it-is-sovereign-and-independent?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMicEFVX3lxTE82V2RmaV9VT005Qk15ZWVIZ25yVmRHUXVFWS0weUVoSHZJc2pfQjZwT1N0R283VzU2SjZKY2pvNExRVmNxT3R3ZWtXcGxzMW1MQ2FtbFczdEQ4UWQyQnRKaXB6a25RWTR2M3hTaV94Y1Y?oc=5
- [27] https://www.la-croix.com/international/direct-guerre-iran-israel-usa-jour-78-moyen-orient-bilan-resume-aujourdhui-20260516
- [28] https://sol.iol.pt/internacional/noticias/medio-oriente-estreito-de-ormuz-sob-tensao-enquanto-paises-europeus-tentam-negociar-com-o-irao/20260516/6a08a0bc0cf27f6588a6a9d7
2026-05-16
2026-05-16
进展要点
- 轨迹（转折）：特朗普与习近平峰会后，美方暗示调整对台军售政策，但未作明确承诺。
- 特朗普称已与习近平‘非常详细’讨论对台军售，暗示可能改变延续44年的政策（Yonhap News TV）。
- 特朗普在峰会数小时后警告台湾勿宣布独立，重申一个中国政策（Yahoo News - World）。
- 峰会整体成果有限，关税、伊朗等核心议题未获实质突破（RT News）。
关键事件
- 特朗普暗示调整对台军售（Yonhap News TV）
- 特朗普警告台湾勿独立（Yahoo News）
- 中美峰会成果有限（RT News）
关注 / 展望
关注美方是否正式调整对台军售政策，以及习近平9月访美能否推动实质进展。
关联路径
US-China tension / safe-haven demand / USD / Gold up, equities down
Taiwan risk premium / regional FX volatility
来源
China News Service / Yonhap News TV / The New York Times / Google News - World / France 24 #2 / UK Government News and Communications / RT News / Yahoo News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / The Hindu / DW Germany News / Yonhap News Agency / The Hindu BusinessLine / Times of India / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260516083028hzn
- [2] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-16/10622124.shtml
- [3] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/15/world/middleeast/israel-gaza-haddad-hamas.html
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiVkFVX3lxTE5HRjZxVTlZdTJNaGpKMWtMREpUeUtlWmVyYmQ4d0pEREdJN3pOdjdMZmJoT29SdWc2ZmowekRlVDlmaGpfRWlHZFdkc1hkX3BjYXBnelZn?oc=5
- [5] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/the-world-this-week/20260515-trump-xi-carry-on-westminster-the-french-pivot
- [6] https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/the-crisis-in-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-triggered-challenges-across-the-world-uk-statement-at-the-un-economic-and-social-council
- [7] https://www.rt.com/news/640055-xi-trump-results-summit/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [8] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/trump-says-made-no-commitment-141341009.html
- [9] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/5/15/is-the-us-dialling-down-its-support-for-taiwan?traffic_source=rss
- [10] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/death-toll-in-attack-on-kyiv-apartment-building-rises-may-15-2026/article70984671.ece
- [11] https://www.dw.com/en/germany-news-iran-war-set-to-halve-growth-in-second-quarter/live-77168830?maca=en-rss-en-ger-1023-rdf
- [12] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260515009551315
- [13] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/will-make-decision-on-lifting-sanctions-on-chinese-firms-buying-iran-oil-trump/article70984451.ece
- [14] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/china/xi-to-visit-us-on-september-24-at-trumps-invitation-china-says/articleshow/131121278.cms
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202605160830433MA
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMib0FVX3lxTFBzRmtDckNTcWFyTER5RmVXWUd4TFdXLVBLLU00NnYyZFByNTgwcGVCcjFfS2ZSRDBOR2tpeFBpM2ljaUlTdGtNNnMzRE4xSHFzdjBrbGgtTDZKTzFuOWRfaEpkYnkzdXRwZjFKRy1ZMA?oc=5
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxNTGNXUWxwbG5FZ0kzQkdWTE9mQlNIaG1EckxUOVFfeVhkbkhXR09HdFFDNU9FTlNtT194emVtWUhQWTB4MVJMQ1RGcXRVTFRKRFNZZmtJTjFlQnBQZnFUR3VPZmhqdTRyanJQYnRweDYwUk1laHVCbXRnUjl0UUlqbmM5UzEtYkpwWTlJZFk5Y0ExQS15V0ZzUUdaMXZsYlBnc3Jrbkx5bEVYTWFzSVp2bWtnOVZZQQ?oc=5
- [18] https://www.france24.com/fr/asie-pacifique/20260515-chine-apr%C3%A8s-rencontre-avec-xi-trump-met-en-garde-ta%C3%AFwan-contre-toute-proclamation-ind%C3%A9pendance
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/15/zelenskyy-vows-response-after-russian-strike-kills-24-in-kyiv?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/15/russia-pounds-kyiv-as-its-war-machine-grinds-to-a-near-standstill?traffic_source=rss
- [21] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/15/world/asia/trump-china-arms-sales.html
- [22] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/15/world/europe/trump-xi-china-summit.html
2026-05-15
2026-05-15
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普与中国国家主席习近平在北京举行第二轮会谈，这是此次访问的最后一天。（Yonhap News Agency [en.yna.co.kr]）
- 特朗普在特习峰会期间表示，习近平承诺中国不会向伊朗提供武器。（Nikkei Asia）
- 中国国家主席习近平警告美国当选总统特朗普，双方在台湾问题上的分歧可能导致冲突。（Yahoo News - World）
关键事件
- 特朗普与习近平在北京举行第二轮会谈（Yonhap News Agency [en.yna.co.kr]）
- 特朗普称习近平承诺不向伊朗提供武器（Nikkei Asia）
- 习近平警告特朗普：台湾问题分歧或致冲突（Yahoo News - World）
关联路径
Summit outcome / trade policy expectations / risk appetite
US-China summit / Iran arms pledge / Geopolitical risk
来源
Al Jazeera Middle East / Times of India / Yonhap News Agency / France 24 #3 / BBC News (Business) / Nikkei Asia / Google News - World / UK Ministry of Defence / The New York Times / Yahoo News - World / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/5/15/iran-war-live-trumps-visit-to-china-shadowed-by-conflict-with-tehran?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/iran-permits-30-vessels-to-pass-through-strait-of-hormuz-overnight-lebanon-strikes-israel-top-developments/articleshow/131105399.cms
- [3] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260515000800315
- [4] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/info-%C3%A9co/20260514-kevin-warsh-confirm%C3%A9-%C3%A0-la-t%C3%AAte-de-la-fed
- [5] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/clypj01189lo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [6] https://asia.nikkei.com/spotlight/trump-xi-summit/trump-xi-summit-live-xi-promises-not-to-give-iran-arms-trump-says
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixgFBVV95cUxPVXJSWmJiMV9CLUM2SURhbHFRVm1DeVE4NjBCY0E5azNhSDNSZXh6RnJORFVNbWpSOUdhdlhVSGNqM0s4a3F6SGFWWkR2aDZRd0ozTXBYYzZYODhVWnNyRGo0c09YTE81OVpUNHQ4cHFNNUFSTkV1ZmJlaGh2MnE3TzZwWlFvX3A1dndjVWNCMEd2YU9lSmV4eTlsSDFIYTcwUm8xOVl2VE9zRTNNTE02RkVzTmlmUlM3bVNQQUlubGFaa0RJc2c?oc=5
- [8] https://www.gov.uk/government/news/joint-statement-on-the-multinational-military-mission-for-the-strait-of-hormuz-12-may-2026
- [9] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/14/world/middleeast/iran-strait-hormuz-china-ships.html
- [10] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/as--china-trump-000017487.html
- [11] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/le-d%C3%A9bat/20260514-trump-xi-d-%C3%A9gal-%C3%A0-%C3%A9gal
- [12] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/technology/tech-news/during-trumps-china-visit-anthropic-just-reminded-america-why-it-should-not-sell-top-end-nvidia-chips-to-china-since-most-/articleshow/131102724.cms
- [13] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/markets/currencies/yen-tests-post-intervention-low-as-iran-war-us-rate-uncertainty-lift-dollar
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/the-take-2/2026/5/14/aje-onl-chn_trumpvisit2026_av_v2-140526?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.france24.com/en/trump-says-xi-offered-help-to-open-hormuz-vowed-not-to-arm-iran
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikAFBVV95cUxPOEZTX2ZkbVUwMGszck1IeUFkSE9VMmh3RXBoRzdjeG9HSTYwdGZidWYyQVlYTDJsTWdXd0xfLTNSdFVOekdwZW5ZZmdBWmlRWkJINTM5MjdUZ19SOGhMSUxHWVRESC1taUVqWDFhZlBnbk1SN0J6aF9UbEJydVVTM3R3bFplS1Nvc0sxMlBvMjQ?oc=5
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/5/14/israels-ben-gvir-storms-al-aqsa-during-jerusalem-day-march?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/trump-says-xi-vowed-not-to-arm-iran-offered-help-to-open-hormuz/articleshow/131098611.cms
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinAFBVV95cUxPZ3F4RDFfMWRrb1RYQUZiNjRhSk9DZXc3MkFKSjRlck9XamJDYnZFREtrLWdtd21ReW9sckNvWThielVnYnAwbG5HUDlIRDNVRnJWT09zTHg2WDVLQTJxekowMWFSdEhvblluMHdub05CUzkzQnBROTZkZDMxVV9raHgzMWNqRjFCbEhiSC1zSDdkb0paN1paZTV0OFfSAaIBQVVfeXFMUFZ1ZEpKM19xclBhQjVTSmlJVlAyUG14c1ZrY3dVOXlFWWtRYkdxX3BGQlhsUjI0N1pDZUE1QnRGeE43WUthQWkzdExSNkVUakd1dUJ6dndMSGdVV2V3LTBRckx3WERFSHVmbVBGNF90dGE0WWVhU2FrTjdKX0M2S2Q1ZTE0UEVneklPWWZjbUU0eEFvdGNjLTcyZ0NBeWczZzVB?oc=5
- [20] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/14/us/politics/china-us-sanctions-ai-cybersecurity.html
- [21] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/14/world/middleeast/saudi-arabia-uae-iran-attacks.html
2026-05-14
2026-05-14
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普与中国国家主席习近平举行关键峰会，讨论双边关系及贸易问题。（Nikkei Asia）
- 美国总统特朗普与中国国家主席习近平计划举行峰会，讨论贸易、伊朗、台湾及其他关键议题。（Yonhap News Agency [en.yna.co.kr]）
- 中国国家主席习近平正寻求重新定义中美互动方式，表明中国在当前地缘政治格局下不急于与美国达成协议。（The New York Times）
关键事件
- 特朗普与习近平峰会开幕：关键会晤启动（Nikkei Asia）
- 特朗普与习近平将举行峰会讨论贸易、伊朗、台湾等关键议题（Yonhap News Agency [en.yna.co.kr]）
- 习近平无需与特朗普达成协议：中国重塑对美博弈策略（The New York Times）
关联路径
Summit outcome / trade policy expectations / risk appetite shifts
Summit uncertainty / safe-haven demand / USD / Gold up, equities down
来源
France 24 #2 / Times of India / The New York Times / Nikkei Asia / Yonhap News Agency / RT News / Google News - World / BBC News (Business) / Yahoo News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20260513-senate-confirms-trump-pick-kevin-warsh-as-federal-reserve-chair
- [2] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/trump-ally-kevin-warsh-confirmed-as-next-us-federal-reserve-chair-after-tight-senate-vote/articleshow/131076625.cms
- [3] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/13/us/politics/kevin-warsh-fed-chair-confirmed.html
- [4] https://asia.nikkei.com/spotlight/trump-xi-summit/trump-xi-summit-live-presidents-set-to-kick-off-crucial-meeting
- [5] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260514000900315
- [6] https://www.rt.com/news/639955-pentagon-revises-iran-war-cost/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi2gFBVV95cUxPWkJfX2lCWUg1YjR3aktOUUU4ajlIa0xDbGxDMWlJbHh0ZzZjLW9RZUJMcXdNRFlTbEUxZVVWWjNHRHJxNkNFVEhPQmFTeFI3S2QzN3BGdTlPYWkwWW1ZWURuRjg5d2RQTEx0aDY5RG05OGdqTXNqV3ZEZkY1eklEbHJlb2pYTUkxdXp1aDdHQTNub2RBejU1UzF3SUhGSWlqUWR3TkEtWjZaM25vbVd2OWREM0NTeXh3OWlDZ291bWloSWpFN2ExTnRGZWxHZVczV2lMN2pLZW9sQQ?oc=5
- [8] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ce8p71p4nezo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [9] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gold-holds-decline-jump-us-060857543.html
- [10] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/13/netanyahu-visited-uae-in-secret-during-us-israel-war-on-iran-office-says?traffic_source=rss
- [11] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/govt-hikes-duty-on-gold-silver-from-6-to-15-in-bid-to-lower-demand/articleshow/131079515.cms
- [12] https://www.france24.com/fr/am%C3%A9riques/20260513-%C3%A9tats-unis-s%C3%A9nat-valide-nomination-kevin-warsh-t%C3%AAte-fed-reserve-federale-trump
- [13] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/13/world/asia/xi-trump-china-us-taiwan-iran.html
- [14] https://www.france24.com/en/trade-tech-and-rare-earths-to-dominate-trump-s-china-trip
- [15] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/13/briefing/trump-china-meeting-fed-chair.html
- [16] https://www.rt.com/news/639954-netanyahu-secret-uae-visit/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [17] https://www.rt.com/news/639942-saudi-covert-strikes-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/5/13/kevin-warsh-confirmed-as-new-us-federal-reserve-chair-amid-controversy?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiygFBVV95cUxPZHBka0lybnhwRXkzY1pwOWpFSnN5Njd0RnFpNlg0ZlRYN1lqY3FFZ1dFOXJQUTBKczZITllGdU1TU01iMGNIWnNfYXVBeFVNZnVlaE02Wkd6T2lFTUo2VXBzeDBZVVAxNVZKUC1OZG9LUFVaQmMyR1dhaTMxYi1KZ0owc3JpNkhXYkUyY2xQaUcyNmI5YlU4U3FCVU9aNFk5SzJueFAwd3VNU0xOTmtXWHlNNTdxUW0wMGFtRnBaMmRTc0haakpTd25B?oc=5
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/13/trump-xi-summit-chinas-help-in-iran-may-require-us-concessions?traffic_source=rss
- [21] https://asia.nikkei.com/economy/trade-war/trump-xi-set-to-talk-trade-after-30-drop-during-tariff-war
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxPLXI4dThVYmpObHQwS1B6bk9vNmFEX0dxbldUbWNqYUhxSUJzaTV5LTFvcFJGR1JuUm13dWJUZE0tZHVZOXY4VkMzUjZCNFA4OWx2UERXeldBNXNoWUktWUFLOUdpMzhja3JOZ0hhbVoyTzB0ZmZMQlV3MXBUc1UyUWJSdXN2UlNmRDZDMQ?oc=5
2026-05-13
2026-05-13
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普启程前往北京，与中国国家主席习近平举行高风险峰会，讨论贸易、朝鲜等问题。（Yonhap News Agency [en.yna.co.kr]）
- 俄罗斯总统普京通过视频会议接收战略火箭军司令关于萨尔马特重型洲际弹道导弹成功试射的报告，该导弹将取代苏联时期的沃耶沃达系统，计划年底前在克拉斯诺亚尔斯克边疆区乌茹尔导弹师...（Kremlin President News）
- 美国总统特朗普将于5月13日至15日对中国进行国事访问，中美元首将在北京会晤，旨在为中美关系校准方向、注入稳定性。（Xinhua World）
关键事件
- 特朗普启程访华，与习近平举行高风险峰会（Yonhap News Agency [en.yna.co.kr]）
- 普京宣布萨尔马特导弹试射成功，强化战略威慑（Kremlin President News）
- 特朗普访华：中美元首会晤聚焦大国关系（Xinhua World）
关联路径
Summit outcome uncertainty / safe-haven flows / USD / Gold bid
Russia missile test / geopolitical tension / safe-haven demand
来源
Xinhua World / IRIS - Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques / BBC News (Business) / Al Jazeera Middle East / RT News / Der Spiegel International / France 24 #2 / The New York Times / Google News - World / Yahoo News - World / The Hindu / Yonhap News Agency / The Hindu BusinessLine / Kremlin President News / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://www.iris-france.org/les-chaines-dapprovisionnement-petrolieres-asiatiques-perturbees-par-le-blocus-du-detroit-dormuz-perspectives-pour-linde-le-japon-et-la-coree-du-sud
- [2] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c202pgxx89lo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/5/12/us-faces-rising-costs-with-iran-war-driving-energy-prices-inflation-higher?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.news.cn/world/20260513/c04811ca4c6a4d49abe7cdffeca2c363/c.html
- [5] https://www.rt.com/news/639918-turning-point-in-post-cold-war-order/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [6] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/us-berufungsgericht-laesst-donald-trumps-zehn-prozent-zoll-vorerst-bestehen-a-0e854705-6afa-4fbb-9f55-dfb8f923ef7f
- [7] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260512-iran-us-peace-plan-middle-east-truce-failure
- [8] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/12/briefing/iran-war-costs-inflation.html
- [9] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwFBVV95cUxOVHIyMlF1Rk1fUk9rY3JiNVh0LUVBUlhlX0dtQk5OSjUwcVFPVXJUbWdSRkpwa25iZ1lRSVcxbFNraGM2RWFsdXJJVEhHeTBPU21WckJFOFdSWHVMZ21pdS1Sc1NiWHZ5TXExWnN2Vy16eUVwcUNsdnZpWUtveUg4eVBrMnNBcjg3QU5sbHY1b2tza21pQkg0?oc=5
- [10] https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/energy/articles/iran-kharg-island-oil-shipments-174555890.html
- [11] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/trump-china-visit-xi-jinping-meeting-us-china-trade-negotiations/article70971552.ece
- [12] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260512011352315
- [13] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/us-cpi-climbs-38-in-april-as-oil-prices-and-energy-costs-fuel-inflation/article70971393.ece
- [14] http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/79724
- [15] https://www.news.cn/world/20260512/7dd5a996fb1a4b938d278e287586e4c7/c.html
- [16] https://www.news.cn/world/20260512/aa49121bccfb49a08819de9df26fb8d6/c.html
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/5/13/iran-war-live-trump-travels-to-china-as-conflict-with-tehran-looms-large?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/5/12/us-court-pauses-decision-blocking-trumps-10-percent-global-tariff?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://www.france24.com/fr/asie-pacifique/20260512-iran-tensions-commerciales-ta%C3%AFwan-donald-trump-chine-pour-visite-majeure
- [20] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/business/20260512-japanese-crisp-bags-turn-black-and-white-due-to-iran-war
- [21] https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/russland-testet-sarmat-interkontinentalrakete-laut-wladimir-putin-erfolgreich-a-129038fc-f885-400f-a2c4-d08eb689345d
- [22] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/12/us/politics/trump-xi-summit.html
- [23] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/12/us/politics/iran-war-cost-hegseth-congress.html
- [24] https://www.rt.com/news/639893-us-iran-could-renew-war/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [25] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxObTF3M0FrTkx0dDl4bjA2QzFvZUNQV2JXdWVBNWduSG1nTmVMR2pPdE9wN2F3WnVWaTJtZzd4Nzg1ODN3RmZPSzhjaktQalhUY0l1S2tNSVdlVk5NRzh3M0pvT3Rjbnk3V0h1ZTFYbTdZaHkzakUzVHZfNFkyQWxmTnNSSjZLOHVSYmpCdXRMWGs2eFdTZE5PMmpWX0VsTDN4M0N2ZHZoUkxWd0dPOHc?oc=5
2026-05-12
2026-05-12
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普抵达北京与中国领导人举行面对面会晤，此前其3月行程曾推迟。社交媒体上流传的视频显示美方安保车队及总统专车已提前抵达。（El Mundo - International News）
- 中国确认特朗普将于5月13日至16日访华，期间将与习近平会晤，讨论中东局势、关税、AI、台湾及南海问题。（France 24 #3）
- 特朗普表示将在与习近平的会晤中讨论对台军售问题，此举可能加剧中美紧张关系。（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关键事件
- 中美首脑北京会晤：全球两大强国领导人面对面（El Mundo - International News）
- 习近平访伊斡旋中东和平（France 24 #3）
- 特朗普称将与习近平讨论对台军售（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关联路径
US-China summit / geopolitical risk reassessment / safe-haven flows
US-China summit / geopolitical risk repricing / safe-haven flows
来源
Xinhua World / Yonhap News TV / El Mundo - International News / DW (Deutsche Welle) / The Independent / Die Zeit Politics / Yahoo News - World / Tagesschau / ORF.at News / Anadolu Agency Politics / France 24 #3 / El País Internacional / Google News - World / Evening Standard Politics / Global Issues News / Al Jazeera Middle East
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260512044249qt7
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20260511/2f185f2c68764459ad6402eda8c3e354/c.html
- [3] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/05/12/6a01a4fefdddff9f478b4577.html
- [4] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-trump-says-ceasefire-on-life-support/live-77126070?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [5] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/gas-prices-iran-war-midwest-ohio-trump-b2974499.html
- [6] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-05/usa-china-iran-sanktionen-scott-bessent
- [7] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/article/iran-responds-to-us-peace-proposal-to-end-the-war-state-media-says-164241820.html
- [8] https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/iran-krieg-verhandlungen-100.html
- [9] https://orf.at/stories/3429549
- [10] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/us-gov-t-asks-court-to-keep-trump-s-10-global-tariffs-in-place-during-appeal/3934366
- [11] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/le-d%C3%A9bat/20260511-xi-jinping-faiseur-de-paix-en-iran
- [12] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-05-11/trump-el-alto-el-fuego-con-iran-esta-agonizando.html
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimgFBVV95cUxQV3Zja29WajNJeTJvT3FaSlZ6ZDZwcXkwakZMZTRHTVg3dEI4WU82UHhOWTkxNzAzc2puQ0dJZEl5XzJfUXdRWlFlai1vanEwUFYzQkdPRmNlUnZXLXBPRFFKUmJRM3dJMVJaZjl4RWk1VzQ1dlRDSXVyOS13ZUxXSUhwZWpaejQzTDlBbGgyOU1uTGd3UlFpMDN3?oc=5
- [14] https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/donald-trump-congress-iran-petrol-prices-b1281950.html
- [15] https://www.globalissues.org/news/2026/05/11/43001
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/11/trump-says-he-will-discuss-arms-sales-to-taiwan-in-meeting-with-chinas-xi?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/us-sanctions-12-firms-individuals-over-alleged-role-in-iranian-oil-trade/3934363
- [18] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/trump-to-travel-to-china-with-17-major-ceos-including-musk-and-cook-white-house/3934290
- [19] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/pentagon-reveals-location-nuclear-armed-171703119.html
- [20] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260512044730SbY
- [21] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260512042140mfe
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimwJBVV95cUxOdkoyb2dvdHlJdmpIaDc3d0N2U1kxandSSmxCN3c5eWs0UHk1Q3F4YVpLNDhLR1ZJb2s1UG1mS1BFcXJWQmZBSU5WRFRKMlV0ek1qUGt2MDlnOGRrX0lwdW94UjEycHFyMGs3VlVCVElpdHlLU3FWSmh5V09mQkhLZVRtMktEejdSdzk4c0I2MTcyREpCcnJNOXVudUZDREw0TUJmUjFBbE1EYnFMYTVhMTBrOEJKT3ZtOFlxU1lmME5vTUFGVjcwZldZM3BSMDEyNjNpRER1QlFTVDlubUtVSmNxUXhjREFoTUJxWmhhdFE1YzBGRV9zdHY2bEdpZnktVXoyeGxWN2xKSjQwb3hsZDFWMmlwYXVwUjZN?oc=5
- [23] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260511-t%C3%A9h%C3%A9ran-exige-la-fin-de-la-guerre-et-le-d%C3%A9gel-des-avoirs-une-r%C3%A9ponse-inacceptable-pour-trump
- [24] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiS0FVX3lxTE1CR1Nfc2JxRHM4N0NjWVViWXh2czVFblA1akE3dFhjUmctQVlBLUpwSW1KUF9ETUpJV2tlRW4wcDM3RW1VYURWQ2pKWQ?oc=5
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/5/11/trump-says-ceasefire-is-on-life-support-after-rejecting-irans-proposal?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/iran-new-york-israel-consumers-wall-street-b2974516.html
- [27] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/05/11/6a02182721efa03c0b8b4577.html
2026-05-09
2026-05-09
进展要点
- 美国宣布从德国撤军5000人，并搁置原定在德国部署的中程核导弹计划，作为对德国总理默茨未完全顺从的惩罚。此举标志着美德关系进一步恶化，德国面临经济困境与政治危机。（RT News）
关键事件
- 特朗普因德国未充分绥靖而惩罚柏林：撤军、搁置导弹（RT News）
关联路径
US troop cut / NATO cohesion risk / safe-haven demand
来源
China News Service / The Korea Times / El País Internacional / Al Jazeera Middle East / Google News - World / Yahoo News - World / Sky News / Detik Pemilu / Metro News Politics / RT News / Ukrinform / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Neue Osnabrücker Zeitung - Politik / BBC News (Business)
参考链接
- [1] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260509/us-fires-on-2-more-iranian-tankers-as-tensions-rise-in-strait-of-hormuz?utm_source=rss
- [2] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-05-07/ultima-hora-de-la-guerra-de-estados-unidos-e-israel-contra-iran-en-directo.html
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/5/8/pentagon-releases-video-of-strikes-on-iranian-oil-tankers?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-09/10617849.shtml
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxQVWVDc01rQW5teU9vRkZ6eGY5TkkwT2tWekM0VVBrRjFHMVZjNGhDRUI3ZEhqdy1MamR2QVhWODlMTHNuQUhVbkViWUpIdmcySEJlcU9WdVpvU1VJSmRabXBhckhnUHJyb29jMXZHTkRoUF9mUjJXZVdMMFpFM0k2bmRENGc5ZzNFNTN1SGhlVFdQYjFvdldIQkk5S1VnTGlzQUhrMV9abw?oc=5
- [6] https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/ceo-maersk-ships-14-everything-170854545.html
- [7] https://news.sky.com/story/three-day-ceasefire-between-russia-and-ukraine-announced-13541685
- [8] https://news.detik.com/internasional/d-8481206/trump-umumkan-rusia-dan-ukraina-sepakat-gencatan-senjata-3-hari
- [9] https://metro.co.uk/2026/05/08/donald-trump-announces-three-day-ceasefire-russia-ukraine-28292148
- [10] https://www.rt.com/news/639696-trump-russia-ukraine-ceasefire/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [11] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-polytics/4121333-trump-says-threeday-ceasefire-between-russia-and-ukraine-agreed.html
- [12] https://www.dw.com/en/trump-announces-3-day-ceasefire-between-ukraine-and-russia/live-77091251?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [13] https://www.noz.de/deutschland-welt/ukraine-krieg/artikel/ukraine-krieg-trump-verkuendet-waffenruhe-so-lange-ist-geplant-48342649
- [14] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c86dp85g59xo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/5/9/iran-war-live-tehrans-reply-to-us-deal-expected-amid-clashes-in-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-09/10617843.shtml
- [17] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-09/10617837.shtml
- [18] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-05-07/la-guerra-se-asoma-a-un-nuevo-vencimiento-pendiente-del-acuerdo-entre-estados-unidos-e-iran.html
- [19] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-05-08/ultima-hora-de-la-guerra-de-estados-unidos-e-israel-contra-iran-en-directo.html
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMicEFVX3lxTE0zQmxqdHQ0cTdBOHJtcEx1ajdXR0RhRkthS0tvOS0wM2IwMzUtdk1vUVB4VFBabXNySUdaX19OaV8zME56SmhOQ1BIZTZad0pfdTJBSWlPVDlzeUU2RHpvS24tLWN5emhXWE1ReFItUDI?oc=5
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/8/libyas-largest-oil-refinery-halts-operations-during-fighting?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/jobs-report-set-show-hiring-090728306.html
- [23] https://www.rt.com/news/639659-trump-punish-germany-appeasement/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
2026-05-04
2026-05-04
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普宣布将从德国撤出约5000名美军，并可能进一步削减驻军，此举加剧了美国与欧洲北约成员国之间的分歧。（RT News）
关键事件
- 特朗普计划从德国撤军，北约裂痕加深（RT News）
关联路径
NATO rift / safe-haven demand / USD / Gold up, EUR down
来源
China News Service / Yonhap News TV / Yonhap News Agency / The Hindu / Google News - World / n-tv Politik / France 24 #3 / The New York Times / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Le Monde International / Yonhap News TV Politics Feed / Der Spiegel International / Al Jazeera Middle East / Yahoo News - World / RT News / Global News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260504090940oLO
- [2] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260504001500315
- [3] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/trump-announces-project-freedom-to-help-stranded-ships-leave-strait-of-hormuz/article70936417.ece
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijwFBVV95cUxQSVJPVVBjX2Z5alZfTHlJaDBrN0d0aS1WeWVJWlkwQ19kNTRKQldNOVJNaDJzbmtIcjdBd25mOXIyVjdJR0lHeHJtN1htUmxVQXItNUFsTllPbm8teG1oeS01WkxPTGlGOHRPa202RU9tbThkN0tRN2NZQnU2SWNHZHgwQXkyTk5kSmFlVVBwVdIBlAFBVV95cUxPSmJUYzNHM3lybFJuV2NYYjl5NWhGbkdrLWZQTEx4VWtxYmN5SzR0MEVEOTBZcFVEeEItcDZqeTJLdVJFZXQ5eUdoeGdaaUYyR3pqRHRfbWU5cHlVU0lZaDdoNkllY1ZzelBKV2IwX3djLWZJSl93S1RkVzdUd3Bta240RzVDQzNaeUFtZjh4OUlNYWxq?oc=5
- [5] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/US-Militaer-will-festsitzende-Schiffe-aus-Strasse-von-Hormus-geleiten-id30781595.html
- [6] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260503-en-direct-guerre-iran-marine-americaine-va-escorter-navires-bloques-detroit-ormuz-donald-trump-cessez-feu-liban-israel
- [7] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/03/us/politics/strait-hormuz-stranded-ships.html
- [8] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-04/10615312.shtml
- [9] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-trump-says-us-to-guide-ships-safely-out-of-hormuz/live-77021634?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [10] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/05/03/en-direct-guerre-au-moyen-orient-donald-trump-annonce-que-la-marine-americaine-va-escorter-des-navires-bloques-a-travers-le-detroit-d-ormuz-a-partir-de-lundi_6684072_3210.html
- [11] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260504062226PpA
- [12] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/strasse-von-hormus-trump-plant-einsatz-unter-codenamen-project-freedom-a-9c929e2e-ab18-434a-9f78-bc00c6194ee2
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/5/3/iran-lawmaker-says-strait-of-hormuz-will-not-return-to-pre%e2%80%91war-state?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/ukraine-hits-key-russian-oil-092405352.html
- [15] https://www.rt.com/news/639394-nato-rift-widens-as-trump-eyes-troop-withdrawal/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [16] https://globalnews.ca/news/11827950/iran-war-trump-reviews-proposal
- [17] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260504090443Eyo
- [18] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260504085951Lh9
- [19] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260504000500320
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxObUh2emxTZXgta2JVZzZkUXVmNURoTGM3ejQ0aHBaMUk5WEE4dzJjOXR3UjdtQ0FCNmNtZFJ4NjhGdlFScGdWVjRfeUhpNS1JN3dBNW5PY25rMS1BQUVXVmx4b2NLSVFVU0hyYy0weVZYY1YyY2VVSHdIZGlhOV9CNGNyQm4?oc=5
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/3/trump-says-us-will-help-free-up-ships-stuck-in-hormuz-strait?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxQOGJzdEItUzB5NWhkTDhrZHFmcG5VVVNlOFJycUl5UUp0cVF4UXRNdjQ0R2FxWmE3aVRKZ1U4VVdvWFIzWl9xdlRGSzlZWjI2S1JjTXZaTlRwSWZDcjdGX0RiUkVFUzE3UF9BX2k3VFBhc3lfdW43aTRYUnRuaU9rcGF0RFNJOWVNYjUzS2dVbTdNQdIBlwFBVV95cUxPT1dHdGRoYzVMVjNEWENQb2s0QXZjZFNEeDUzQkhNVnJUeVdsaUxmX3c5aWF5eGt1RFJXMUhLRGFXa2xoMDJCbHRGU1NENnQzRUN4eFliWXZmZVliVFF4RVNMX2hfajE2M2tnOFpSMjVPbFh5c2Vxb1haM1kxMHFzNFk0ZHFIWEdCbk90Q0FIU2tSUG4tTGNj?oc=5
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/3/investigators-say-trump-assassination-suspect-shot-officer-at-press-gala?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-04/10615308.shtml
2026-04-30
2026-04-30
进展要点
- 特朗普表示可能延长对伊朗的海上封锁以施压其弃核，同时考虑削减驻德美军，引发欧洲盟友关注。伊朗内部就核谈判出现分歧，阿联酋宣布退出OPEC+，特朗普表示欢迎。（Yonhap News TV）
关键事件
- 特朗普暗示延长对伊朗海上封锁，考虑削减驻德美军（Yonhap News TV）
关联路径
US-Iran tensions / oil supply disruption fears / risk-off
来源
China News Service / Xinhua Finance / Yonhap News TV / RT News / Der Spiegel International / The Hindu BusinessLine / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / BBC News (Business) / Ukrinform
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260430062349378
- [2] https://www.rt.com/news/639259-iran-war-60-days/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [3] https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/iran-krieg-brent-oelpreis-schiesst-nach-drohungen-von-donald-trump-in-die-hoehe-a-c6abe27e-8f4f-4aea-b3d3-03577bd2bcce
- [4] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/fed-keeps-rates-unchanged-powell-to-stay-on-after-chair-term/article70922354.ece
- [5] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-30/10613439.shtml
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiugFBVV95cUxQOWMyU0ZNQ0M1YklBdzNpTmFlc0xyRGh5MllkbUtGRUMwS0FyaVlJVlh4c3JXNjlDVWpQSTdfOTVROXl3WHBOV3MteFBlZ1ZxZTdFYmVQMzJpLXpocklLUm9nYTRHa3pEbzZxYlN5M1duUktiOXY3dVc4RU9yNXlneWNsOW9qaFd3TlZDV1RrVXY4clpVY1pJazdfbTZ3bk5oWXAwZDJaRklSeGNnZ3diU3ppUkZCcTBUNXc?oc=5
- [7] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/4/29/uae-quits-opec?traffic_source=rss
- [8] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62rm4zk3kgo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [9] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260430/b6793c9c730a4df7b1476b9cadc8dde6/c.html
- [10] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4118026-putin-announces-his-readiness-to-declare-ceasefire-on-may-9.html
- [11] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260430090250cDZ
- [12] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/us-keeps-iran-blockade-trump-links-move-to-nuclear-deal-as-oil-nears-120/article70922353.ece
- [13] https://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/fed-chef-jerome-powell-er-bleibt-a-1f5db838-3887-49a4-8788-36fcaef16b6d
- [14] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-30/10613435.shtml
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/4/29/why-is-the-uae-quitting-opec-and-whats-the-impact?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202604300833473Qc
- [17] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260430080150X59
- [18] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260430080002e2g
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202604300732533nE
- [20] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260430072101IHb
2026-04-23
2026-04-23
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普延长与伊朗的停火协议，加上企业财报提振市场情绪，美国股市收盘上涨。（Anadolu Agency Politics）
关键事件
- 特朗普延长对伊停火协议，美股收高（Anadolu Agency Politics）
关联路径
地缘风险缓解 / 风险偏好上升 / 股市上涨、油价下跌
来源
Xinhua World / Xinhua Finance / China News Service / Google News - World / The Korea Times / POLITICO Europe / BBC News (Top) / Anadolu Agency Politics / The New Indian Express / White House Presidential Actions / RT News / Al Jazeera Middle East / LIGA.net Politics News / BBC News (Business)
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirwFBVV95cUxPUTdJWGw0MnB0amZkdDE2aXVJckZnRlFYd0xfa3RYc2dmTHNFWXVLLWdRb0Nld2otX2tFc0dTclBJdFpYMEtPbnltRXREUV9jdVhTa01lMXl3Rzl2MFV5T29xOWR4b0l0SGpvTzROcWRzZFhpdjNVS0xNMDZjbGI4WXpGZW1USEdKQU9rSG80OWo1bjV0UnJLckh0ZlZPVTVLa2FNcjZmNmtzUEpydmFN0gG0AUFVX3lxTE1tc3Qxd1ZDQnhhcXU0TEs3aFB2aGZMVmhZRzQ2aGU4MkpTTG04YnU5QUpEbG9rTjhFOVBOTm5IMDFWaURnMHhWVXR1R1NSc2xEbktZRXpycUlOcVV1eEVkVEZSdVhneFNSdWF1dWZzWV9mTzlZQnEwa0tmX3hBUFZCWm5zb0dzMTZVbHkzQ09rVGM5dm5ocWc3ZEhtMFlHMTY2RXB
- [2] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260423/iran-fires-on-3-ships-in-the-strait-of-hormuz-as-us-maintains-blockade-diplomacy-stalls?utm_source=rss
- [3] https://www.news.cn/world/20260423/3da4708309dd4578bd9853b98a86c87a/c.html
- [4] https://www.politico.eu/article/uk-divers-mines-strait-of-hormuz/?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=RSS_Syndication
- [5] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3w3vqv0edpo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [6] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/us-stocks-close-higher-after-trump-extends-ceasefire-with-iran-earnings-boost-sentiment/3915269
- [7] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260423/69a4fb69dfc24375a06c1ec4201d8b04/c.html
- [8] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Apr/22/irgc-fires-on-container-ship-in-hormuz-as-trump-says-iran-collapsing-financially
- [9] https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions
- [10] https://www.rt.com/news/638934-fuel-crisis-summer-holidays-europe/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [11] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/04-23/10608931.shtml
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/22/ukraine-restarts-russian-oil-flows-to-europe-unblocking-90bn-eu-loan?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://news.liga.net/war/news/vozle-chernobylskoi-i-hmelnitskoi-aes-proletalo-35-kinzhalov-nekotorye-upali-kravchenko
- [14] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c995dkl4dvvo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [15] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260423/iran-fires-on-3-ships-in-hormuz-as-us-blockade-holds-talks-stall?utm_source=rss
- [16] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/us-turned-back-29-vessels-since-start-of-naval-blockade-of-iran-centcom/3915220
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxPRFZKelM2ZlBobW5DVjNhY2ZWeDc2a0VKZ3otVU1xNWFIOHFSVFhKUTFMenFtc3JUSTNwcWRoYW5uN05RZFhYcHFYQ1RNTHQ1YjVtQUlUcm55SHJmcV9FdzBzNFBIRDRDS3MzanlnN280bWFDSVRpY3NQZW5xanBHWWFzLVp5SUltSEh3eVV5ZmpjcWpUZDJ0eTZUVW8wMG9DdVdNcEpOM2t3bE0ydGVJZkZKTHhJVHp3UEdv?oc=5
- [18] https://news.liga.net/politics/news/evrosoyuz
- [19] https://www.politico.eu/article/german-government-slashes-economy-growth-forecasts/?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=RSS_Syndication
2026-04-22
2026-04-22
进展要点
- 特朗普在停火协议截止期限前数小时宣布无限期延长与伊朗的停火协议，同时海军封锁措施继续有效。特朗普还批评北约在伊朗问题上缺乏支持。（O Globo Politics）
- 日本驱逐舰穿越台湾海峡后，中国采取行动增加压力，涉及中日关系和台湾问题。（Nikkei Asia）
- 美国总统特朗普透露美国扣押了一艘载有'不友好'物品的船只，称其为'中国给伊朗的礼物'，并关联到伊朗紧张局势，威胁轰炸桥梁且无意延长伊朗停火。（Times of India [timesofindia.indiatimes.com]）
关键事件
- 特朗普无限期延长与伊朗停火协议，海军封锁持续（O Globo Politics）
- 日本驱逐舰穿越台湾海峡后中国加大施压（Nikkei Asia）
- 特朗普称美扣押船只载有中国给伊朗的'礼物'，暗示中美理解破裂（Times of India [timesofindia.indiatimes.com]）
关联路径
停火延长 / 地缘风险降低 / 油价下跌 / 股市上涨
地缘紧张升级 / 避险情绪上升 / 美元黄金上涨
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / UK Ministry of Defence / O Globo Politics / Al Jazeera Middle East / Valor Econômico Politics / Nikkei Asia / Evening Standard Politics / BBC News (Top) / Times of India / RT News / Google News - World / The Independent / ECB Press Releases / The New York Times / Ukrinform
参考链接
- [1] https://www.news.cn/world/20260422/82f87a374e194c6eaba6c6c350563634/c.html
- [2] https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-and-france-to-lead-multinational-strait-of-hormuz-military-planning-conference
- [3] https://oglobo.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/04/21/trump-estende-indefinidamente-o-cessar-fogo-com-o-ira-horas-antes-de-fim-de-prazo.ghtml
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/21/eu-eyes-options-as-iran-conflict-threatens-jet-fuel-shortages?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://valor.globo.com/financas/noticia/2026/04/21/petroleo-sobe-com-impasse-nas-negociacoes-entre-eua-e-ira.ghtml
- [6] https://asia.nikkei.com/politics/international-relations/japan-china-tensions/china-dials-up-pressure-after-japanese-destroyer-transits-taiwan-strait
- [7] https://www.standard.co.uk/business/business-news/donald-trump-primark-rollsroyce-jd-vance-tim-cook-b1279515.html
- [8] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c8dl3ez4mpno?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [9] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/thought-i-had-understanding-with-xi-trump-says-ship-seized-by-us-had-gift-from-china-for-iran/articleshow/130421362.cms
- [10] https://www.rt.com/news/638850-japan-pacifict-policy-shift/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [11] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/04-22/10608177.shtml
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxPX05YQks4SXZnMmVqN1Zxb1l5VDVvQkpzUlJKWHNhNjZFSVhsVEczYV9nTTluTHlROHl4b3FkeHY3MG83a21DVkVWQ2MwSzBmRmVNWHByd19DNGdIRzR0MTN0X3Q3LV9SRWFTOWxObm9raE11MkJOeXB2b2RMS3d4VHlSSERCNngwdEx1X0hESUtNTWpaS0F6dXljbDN4bS1NSXVTNU50RllVWXprMXhaSg?oc=5
- [13] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/peace-deal-trump-bombing-ceasefire-deadline-b2961967.html
- [14] https://www.ecb.europa.eu//press/key/date/2026/html/ecb.sp260420~cdf674023e.en.html
- [15] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/21/business/energy-environment/strait-hormuz-oil-natural-gas.html
- [16] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4114995-zelensky-approves-list-of-ukraines-next-military-operations.html
- [17] https://www.news.cn/world/20260421/d76e6830831749beb548e9357889dd1c/c.html
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/21/trump-announces-extending-iran-ceasefire-but-says-blockade-remains?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/04/21/ir-diz-que-bloqueio-naval-dos-eua-ato-de-guerra.ghtml
- [20] https://oglobo.globo.com/economia/noticia/2026/04/21/kevin-warsh-diz-que-fed-precisa-de-novo-arcabouco-para-enfrentar-a-inflacao.ghtml
2026-04-21
2026-04-21
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普宣布美伊新一轮谈判将于4月21日开始，同时表示若临时停火到期前未能达成协议，延长停火可能性极低。伊朗方面表示将综合评估各方面因素决定下一步行动，并指出美国的...（Xinhua World）
- 美国总统特朗普表示，美国不会解除对霍尔木兹海峡的封锁，除非与伊朗达成协议；此言论发布之际，伊朗是否参加本周在巴基斯坦举行的和平会谈尚不确定。（BBC News (Top)）
- 特朗普总统明确表示不会结束对伊朗的封锁，并认为延长停火协议的可能性极低，随着截止日期临近，局势趋于紧张。（The Independent）
关键事件
- 美伊新一轮谈判今日启动，伊朗评估后续行动（Xinhua World）
- 特朗普称美方在达成协议前不会解除霍尔木兹海峡封锁（BBC News (Top)）
- 特朗普拒绝解除伊朗封锁，称延长停火可能性极低（The Independent）
关联路径
谈判破裂风险 / 中东紧张升级 / 油价上涨和避险需求
US-Iran tensions / Oil supply disruption risk / Higher oil prices
来源
Xinhua World / Xinhua Finance / China News Service / BBC News (Top) / Al Jazeera Middle East / The Independent / The New York Times / Google News - World / ABC News / RT News / Yonhap News TV
参考链接
- [1] https://www.news.cn/world/20260421/65dcf44dad444df1af920586d6915969/c.html
- [2] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdxd88r2wjzo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/4/20/how-is-the-iran-war-affecting-the-russia-ukraine-conflict?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260421/e881f10543754b00b9e5db0a154542e5/c.html
- [5] https://www.independent.co.uk/bulletin/news/trump-iran-war-ceasefire-strait-of-hormuz-blockade-b2961365.html
- [6] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/20/us/politics/military-blockade-iran-strait-hormuz.html
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxORXd1REM4UGE3TGNlNUo3SENlLVVKU0c5a0pYSE9tUGxVSXZ4TTR5UDhNdjMtMzMyUGxSaXdMZFRaajVvZkl4X01FOER2QWFHTExmdUppX0N2UlpLdW5BOFp6R1dCQkpESGh0TDRLZU5ORlB3OXo2aFhMVTA1V1EyNmlkNndvMGU4MEl5WVB5eVVXUW1NY3p3aThMNjE3VVYtMTlybGpIMA?oc=5
- [8] https://abcnews.com/International/live-updates/iran-live-updates-marines-uss-tripoli-seized-iranian/?id=132196152
- [9] https://www.rt.com/news/638762-israel-blood-feud-us-iran-james-webb/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [10] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260420221202mpn
- [11] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/dxw/2026/04-20/10607342.shtml
- [12] https://www.news.cn/world/20260421/4c7f703fb14b4f41ad1af9f68fb3055c/c.html
- [13] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c75kg0vdxyro?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [14] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/20/us/politics/kevin-warsh-fed-senate-banking-committee-hearing.html
- [15] https://www.rt.com/news/638768-trump-iran-threats-acceptable/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwAFBVV95cUxQZklJTEJXMTV5c3o3REtYRTJCTmFRRVFWZEYzY2p2OEtGSTc2S3BnUVBLcmVDanltVGpvUVR1OWUydnJONTdETElIampPT1pCeXpiaVM0bXl4Tnk4YWtLQTdGM04tekZDUlg2SHdXX0lCNHBGSjlteUpJR05HbXRCV0NXNFZVNkpTay1sTGxoZXJ3ckhVRG5ZOVM0NWNTTDlybUdsbnlJTE1nMHdIZmpJbXJvbHF5VmNZZ1NwUEppOG8?oc=5
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/20/israel-never-talked-me-into-the-war-with-iran-trump-says?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-israel-iran-war-october-7-b2961183.html
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260420214421sFT
2026-04-20
2026-04-20
进展要点
- 美国在霍尔木兹海峡拦截了一艘试图通过该海峡的伊朗货船，事件涉及美国中央司令部，并展示了美国海军在该地区的活动。（El País Internacional）
- 美国总统特朗普宣布美方代表将赴伊斯兰堡参加美伊谈判，但伊朗方面尚未决定是否派遣代表团。双方在谈判条件、代表团组成及协议内容上存在明显分歧，谈判前景充满不确定性。（Xinhua World）
关键事件
- 美国在霍尔木兹海峡拦截伊朗货船（El País Internacional）
- 美伊新一轮谈判前景不明，双方立场分歧显著（Xinhua World）
关联路径
US-Iran tensions / Strait of Hormuz disruption / Oil supply risk
谈判破裂风险 / 中东紧张加剧 / 油价上涨避险需求
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / Yonhap News TV / Google News - World / BBC News (Business) / Anadolu Agency Politics / Global News / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Al Jazeera Middle East / RT News / BBC News (Top) / Ukrinform / El País Internacional / ORF.at News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260420083047QIP
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiggFBVV95cUxOdlRGMC1MdHFSUm5aa0tZbDA1NDF6d3Rpb0RLNm1SNFF0eGl6YUY3WWJHM011bnFYZEdFX2ltay1yZzY5X0lSaENVM0M2bzUwUUhOZHd4VmEtaElwdndWa3J5cjc4MnRfTk53RUlhUGJyQ1NidEt5cVRFbGhkX0VLaUpn0gGHAUFVX3lxTFBWQUkyUERmREFYWGc2Yk5OSy11Rm9Ed3VZSlpIaEppTC1aVGZHdmJ5bHE3cU9hRzAtSjFPWEwtVWNMQjc2MWtwbWJadzZFaGNMOF9FRlVEeE1mbXdzZWpwbnEwSFdFZjJjYmwzQU1DSzRxTC1Kc2VzeUdKV25uVV9HWlZmTk5nWQ?oc=5
- [3] https://www.news.cn/world/20260420/2abb8511885f4948a0bdb0526b5aae77/c.html
- [4] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5yjzy35825o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [5] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-20/10606799.shtml
- [6] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/us-israel-iran-war/iran-confirms-us-seized-iranian-vessel-says-it-will-retaliate-soon-/3911687
- [7] https://globalnews.ca/news/11808120/iran-oil-prices-strait-of-hormuz-standoff
- [8] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-tehran-vows-response-to-us-seizure-of-cargo-ship/live-76845923?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [9] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/4/19/us-forces-attack-and-seize-iranian-ship-touska-near-strait-of-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [10] https://www.rt.com/news/638742-us-fires-iranian-ship/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [11] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvg4jnn131qo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [12] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-world/4114330-tramp-zaaviv-pro-perehoplenna-iranskogo-sudna-amerikanskimi-vms-v-omanskij-zatoci.html
- [13] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-04-19/estados-unidos-intercepta-un-petrolero-irani-que-trataba-de-superar-el-estrecho-de-ormuz.html
- [14] https://orf.at/stories/3427365
- [15] https://www.news.cn/world/20260419/c7286c8315d6457eb38862da3bdb061f/c.html
- [16] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260420082541zWf
- [17] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-20/10606779.shtml
- [18] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-trump-says-us-seized-iranian-flagged-cargo-ship/live-76845923?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilAFBVV95cUxOanFJd19CUnZMSkRITFo3bmh0OGdPN2hKM2x0V1ZDcGpvSU0tck56YU9nZlY3aWJJdFRsNzVEeDBnLXEyV21BWnI0MUFKTjYtel96T3N1ZzczRGEydWJrWDVoZWprS09qMDJacVVqVVlZX2E4dU9ocmNyd1V6OFdEUkY5X29ORU1UZHRkZjY1aU1CRHlS?oc=5
- [20] https://www.rt.com/news/638736-us-seizes-iranian-flagged-ship/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
2026-04-19
2026-04-19
进展要点
- 伊朗宣布重新开放霍尔木兹海峡，但要求美国结束对该海峡的海军封锁。（Yahoo News - World）
关键事件
- 伊朗重开霍尔木兹海峡，要求美国解除海军封锁（Yahoo News - World）
关联路径
Geopolitical tension / Oil supply disruption risk / Higher oil prices
来源
Al Jazeera Middle East / The Hindu / Google News - World / Yahoo News - World / Anadolu Agency Politics / Ukrinform / NPR Politics / BBC News (Top) / RT News / Ukrainian National News (UNN) - Politics / ORF.at News / El Mundo - International News / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/19/iran-war-live-tehran-says-no-date-set-for-us-talks-hormuz-strait-closed?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/iran-fully-closes-strait-of-hormuz-over-us-blockade/article70879044.ece
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiekFVX3lxTE1PclNJckZUN0o5SXVGa1REVkhfVG9wZUx6T2E4Z1R0SkpmWW9MdE5fU2RaaEhpaGt2dk9Ucm5lLURRV085S3hfb1hWSl9TdjRKc2t4WFZqSHcxeTNqbjI4UHVDczlINHRpcktodGFCLS1ZN3pDN0ZuZ2dn?oc=5
- [4] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/trump-says-iran-war-end-052157501.html
- [5] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/us-israel-iran-war/more-than-1-000-tel-aviv-homes-left-uninhabitable-by-iran-war-mayor/3911064
- [6] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-world/4114122-tramp-obgovoriv-u-situacijnij-kimnati-krizu-sodo-ormuzkoi-protoki-axios.html
- [7] https://www.npr.org/2026/04/18/nx-s1-5789852/iran-closes-strait-of-hormuz-again-israel-lebanon-ceasefire-tenuously-holds
- [8] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cx2631x6nelo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [9] https://www.rt.com/news/638685-us-board-iran-vessels/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [10] https://unn.ua/news/tramp-sklykav-terminovu-naradu-cherez-zahrozu-viiny-z-iranom-zmi
- [11] https://orf.at/stories/3427284
- [12] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/04/18/69e3c454fc6c839d028b459f-video.html
- [13] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260418-l-iran-verrouille-de-nouveau-le-d%C3%A9troit-d-ormuz-face-au-blocus-am%C3%A9ricain
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMioAFBVV95cUxOaWhWNHdua3F2cEE3RVNzZFNHV1o5N0RsOFFybkxtOThyWm5BZ2MzNXRsYTFuVnJHREp1LVotYWJidXc1T2NqM0RzM2NMQmtNdXlyQ1ViZ0RhaEJRckJIVDY2bURJZXpfMW5hZTlWT0F4VGlsdUVRYnlOYlVXNERxWG9IeUN4S2ZZUmJGUkJkUzAwY1FsQ1c3NVFRQWo5N0Rq?oc=5
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/18/iran-closes-strait-of-hormuz-again-over-us-blockade-of-its-ports?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/latest-trump-hints-resuming-attacks-045633309.html
- [17] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/iran-says-hormuz-strait-to-close-until-us-lifts-naval-blockade/3910961
- [18] https://orf.at/stories/3427249
- [19] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-world/4114099-vijskovi-ssa-gotuutsa-do-visadki-na-sudna-povazani-z-iranom-wsj.html
- [20] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260418-guerre-au-moyen-orient-l-iran-verrouille-de-nouveau-le-d%C3%A9troit-d-ormuz
2026-04-18
2026-04-18
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普评论中东战争谈判进程，表示预计与伊朗的和平协议将在一两天内达成。（LIGA.net Politics News）
- 欧洲领导人宣布加速多国行动以保障霍尔木兹海峡航行自由，尽管特朗普拒绝其援助；行动将在停火后启动，旨在维护全球贸易稳定。（POLITICO Europe）
- 中国国防部新闻发言人张晓刚就日本自卫队舰艇过航台湾海峡一事表示严正交涉和强烈抗议，指出日方此举蓄意挑衅并向'台独'分裂势力发出错误信号。（Xinhua World）
关键事件
- 特朗普预计美伊和平协议将在一两天内达成（LIGA.net Politics News）
- 欧洲加速霍尔木兹海峡安全行动，无视特朗普“远离”指令（POLITICO Europe）
- 国防部就日本舰艇过航台海提出严正交涉（Xinhua World）
关联路径
美伊和平协议 / 中东紧张缓解 / 油价下跌、风险资产上涨
Geopolitical tension / Oil supply disruption risk / Safe-haven demand
来源
Xinhua Finance / Xinhua World / The Korea Times / Yonhap News Agency / Google News - World / Yahoo News - World / The New Indian Express / LIGA.net Politics News / Al Jazeera Middle East / BBC News (Top) / POLITICO Europe / Nikkei Asia
参考链接
- [1] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260418/how-50-days-of-iran-war-led-to-loss-of-50-billion-worth-of-oil?utm_source=rss
- [2] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260417/2d185ad19a1a47de86f5fc1979224deb/c.html
- [3] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260417009552315
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwwFBVV95cUxNUzlVaVRtODBnRGVTaG1TUzFDNG9KN2pZMEZxdmMzMU9QemsydzVmLXZXRmROZnBGbjZDYTBtTU1pV3lJWHRBWUNzTkJVR0tuejR0eHBDNWRLUDVCQTNuMzRDbE9zeTJpbkotRjVRaExWc3loZ1lyUlgtRVB2MUNmUDdCemYxLTVWQmhCUXJhbmU2SDNoU1duS1pRVDhQUzk3SjB6NDRnTldDS0pRLTRNLWlkazFMWDVTZ01yaEhKbVhqYm8?oc=5
- [5] https://www.yahoo.com/news/videos/stocks-surge-oil-prices-plummet-134523237.html
- [6] https://www.newindianexpress.com/editorial/quick-take/2026/Apr/17/quick-take-dial-i-for-hormuz
- [7] https://news.liga.net/politics/news/tramp-dumayu-mirnoe-soglashenie-s-iranom-budet-cherez-den-dva
- [8] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/17/world-reacts-to-the-opening-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-amid-us-iran-conflict?traffic_source=rss
- [9] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ckg045z73z1o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [10] https://www.politico.eu/article/europe-to-accelerate-effort-secure-hormuz-despite-donald-trump-order-to-stay-away/?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=RSS_Syndication
- [11] https://www.news.cn/world/20260417/8f9f2d58ec6b4645bb2039f88bd37eaa/c.html
- [12] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/markets/oil-tumbles-nearly-15-after-iran-says-strait-of-hormuz-completely-open
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxOZGV0aXlsUV9hejJ5LVBuU3BramFsdS14V2YwVG8zcGRtOW9WWlZjQnkyU1I4bHVuZFRrdnB3VlplemJPaDM0NUt4Ql9qRDF1SzlFZnUteXVncGI4MGk1bW5VQUhYMDVpdUdIQzZfcEtocTFRUXpWNmk0NlNQanRrSTZ4a3g?oc=5
- [14] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260418/1f1df6c278ae404fbac5646e4671ca71/c.html
- [15] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-prices-plunge-after-iran-says-strait-of-hormuz-is-completely-open-trump-says-regime-has-agreed-to-indefinitely-suspend-nuclear-program-134154875.html
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/the-take-2/2026/4/17/aje-onl-tt_irn_kharg_av_v3-170426?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260418/traders-place-760-million-bet-on-falling-oil-ahead-of-hormuz-announcement?utm_source=rss
- [18] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260417009551315
2026-04-17
2026-04-17
进展要点
- 轨迹（转折）：美伊谈判从前期有望达成协议转向本周可能重启，但双方立场仍存分歧。
- 特朗普声称伊朗已同意不拥有核武器，谈判或本周末恢复，同时警告若无法达成协议将重启战斗（The Korea Times）。
- 法国财长强调霍尔木兹海峡必须开放，G7准备缓解战争影响（Yahoo News - World）。
- 美国防长赫格塞思警告伊朗若拒协议将重启军事行动（Xinhua World）。
关键事件
- 特朗普称伊朗同意无核化，谈判或重启（The Korea Times）
- 法国财长呼吁开放霍尔木兹海峡（Yahoo News - World）
- 美国防长威胁重启对伊作战（Xinhua World）
关注 / 展望
监控本周末美伊谈判进展及伊朗回应；若谈判破裂，中东紧张可能再度升级。
关联路径
美伊谈判进展 / 地缘风险降低 / 油价下跌和股市上涨
美国军事警告 / 中东不稳定 / 石油供应风险和避险需求上升
来源
Xinhua Finance / Xinhua World / Australian Prime Minister's Office - Media / The Korea Times / Yahoo News - World / Google News - World / RT News / Al Jazeera Middle East
参考链接
- [1] https://www.pm.gov.au/media/press-conference-putrajaya-malaysia
- [2] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260417/trump-says-iran-has-agreed-to-no-nuclear-weapons-negotiations-may-resume-this-weekend?utm_source=rss
- [3] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/france-finance-minister-says-hormuz-204128014.html
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxQRmlydkxwa0Vfd1Fvc0JaYjdqWjhfLU13OExTZ3oxdWRIYU5Tak1TY2I2UUNXVC0tZXhNME43T1I5aTllYUpDTHNYVGZvNks1ZThvbUExb1lIWTFJRWhuNmNORjRKdlZ6OUdqS2ZJampPd3JIcGttTlZtRmhEZklfOTJWVFp5c2hj0gGOAUFVX3lxTFB4UnY2ZHZJbFBPNDdwUVFiczQ1dW1NaWxCak0xMHpxb1gtcnVHaWY2QTFDcVZoclJiNjNrbVVtVHBGOTNlczRRXzZQeTJoWS0xUWJSZnFRZG9rN0dRV3UwWGtYTjZpYWMzbFpIOGVNMkdDZS1YaTRBWmRRblI1dlZ3WkI3c3JKZ2lOZDh3ZHc?oc=5
- [5] https://www.rt.com/news/638507-iran-war-fertilizers-famine/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [6] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/4/16/10-day-lebanon-israel-ceasefire-announced-by-trump?traffic_source=rss
- [7] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260416/f13262ef761049358c15786f1e02ef5f/c.html
- [8] https://www.news.cn/world/20260416/08b82853835e4380a67c6de63981ce96/c.html
- [9] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuAFBVV95cUxNWHpSTjlBOFZyYUZXaEdfNGNaM2NkZ0VvRktZT2paVnpJbkdWbk5PdVRkU1VUREJRbFRPVlNNRnlObEJ6Y2phV1dxVkZ3aVZ6TlRvUl9mZmQwT2haYXo2Q3UtTng1WHBBTnh6SS05UDJFVEZqdDgxOWtScWRDZENQYVBTYWxYMTVUWmZHV0FPNUVBbWczVnpTdWhfRHJmWHNLMkJGUTQ0QnRLeFpHREh4cFh2ZmUwRWR50gG-AUFVX3lxTE4ybmRKM0txaHgtcmEyZmhCZVdHcjEtTXM2bnBMdHBXSmZZY2hrLUxlaGw4bXYzbTNsTWVRRnNyeVZDYmhVZ0tnSUxTZGxPMFRTZlU3SUNkNGthUEs1UkhjbXhGWS1iMmlfUzRRNlA0YzZZN1NhSjJNdkRjd0h1RDRQd2pSNjVNZ1JmRXI0NjBuTHZ4VF9BSENBeDU
- [10] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260417/us-to-target-iran-linked-ships-worldwide-beyond-blockade?utm_source=rss
- [11] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/latest-us-blockade-iranian-ports-053249833.html
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/4/16/us-general-clarifies-iranian-ports-under-blockade-not-strait-of-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.rt.com/news/638501-pentagon-us-carmakers-weapons-production/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [14] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260416/105f7d3562064f4e99b35cc5fdd9723a/c.html
- [15] https://www.news.cn/world/20260416/cca4a32d56a74796a5da62065ceadc15/c.html
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMifkFVX3lxTE10Q0lhRXhMX2hjajFNX1BFeVFWcVhlY1FjelE0b2tnUHBmUmtwMHBHeEJGdWhVQWlKcXRrZl9HOHlQUWVFd1dHSDJCa3NldEQ2dm1HZU5oeVRKaTlyRmI2a3JVbXBta3N3VmZTQ0NRWlp4LVpVZ2tNUFRRTndDUQ?oc=5
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwFBVV95cUxQMHRMcmlCcHJaRmxTSTU3M2syUkZmZUNpWlhuNU5hMDFtV1FDbHZVaWJ6SnhVcnc2a0RxUDBaQWpBcTNQWmZHd0JEUzZnREZWYVlHdmxYWGRXWTBMRkJIby1jbXpIOVhvZFV0LTlDenNSMWZvdzdBWTZHX2Zvd180OHlCeWFyd0VDQVJKN2tkQklyM204ZFNj0gGcAUFVX3lxTFBlMkdFLUVmNXlCa3QwOVRyZHZCUWo0enpQV2RWYkxWWjd1a1A4QXdqQjFhOTJxZWJGaFNVMDgwQmdjZ21Ccy00UHhMMVluZTVtTEdHdzlZR09vdXA3OXNiNWd6ajVyUnQ1MjFQOW5WVkZGeW8ySzdFdlNhcGNXaXdlWjUxVS1qY2dFUnBqZXZ6UHpWU1BXbWtNaTNrVQ?oc=5
- [18] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260417/hegseth-calls-on-iran-to-choose-wisely-says-us-military-locked-and-loaded?utm_source=rss
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/16/trump-says-israel-and-lebanon-agree-to-temporary-ceasefire?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikwFBVV95cUxNOS1zX0NqaTM5Qmg3YmpLX2h0MVBNUXNGTzl5bEdtVFR5NWNzcXJveG1JLU5YS2t5QVhVd2ZZTnQtdWlvSWhIdjd5aGVnMjcxSG96Y2h5VTY4ZkNJWG0wUFlnaXFJLUVSMmVqeHdLT1RNQU1oRDNlRzl4eV9tcWxtZC1GM0xKYUoxTy1KQUttWmZUMm8?oc=5
2026-04-16
2026-04-16
进展要点
- 轨迹（Pivoting）：美伊谈判信号释放，但德英警告中东冲突分散对乌克兰关注，显示大国竞争复杂化。
- 美伊双方释放重启谈判信号，可能在未来两天或本周晚些时候举行，地点或为伊斯兰堡或日内瓦（Xinhua World报道）。
- 德国和英国警告伊朗战争分散对乌克兰的关注，油价上涨帮助俄罗斯增加战争资金（DW报道）。
- 专家认为谈判核心分歧（如霍尔木兹海峡控制权、伊朗核项目）依然显著。
关键事件
- 美伊新一轮谈判前景分析：时间地点待定，核心分歧难解（Xinhua World）
- 德英警告伊朗战争分散乌克兰注意力，油价上涨助俄（DW）
关注 / 展望
谈判进展将影响中东稳定与全球油价，同时大国在乌克兰问题上的协调成为关键观察点。
关联路径
美伊谈判不确定性 / 中东紧张 / 油价波动
大国竞争加剧 / 全球战略资源（如能源）争夺 / 市场波动性上升
来源
China News Service / Xinhua World / The Independent / The Korea Times / Google News - World / Ukrinform / BBC News (Top) / NBC News Politics / Yonhap News TV / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Yahoo News - World / ABC News / Al Jazeera Middle East
参考链接
- [1] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/iran-us-war-live-trump-strait-of-hormuz-israel-lebanon-b2957846.html
- [2] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/04-16/10604577.shtml
- [3] https://www.news.cn/world/20260415/c69fe273d1b744b2944108ca02a8801a/c.html
- [4] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260416/ukraines-zelenskyy-pursues-more-arms-deals-with-allies-to-help-check-russias-invasion?utm_source=rss
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxQbHV0TWtpcXI1MGV4QlVkX2FES0hra0VSdExoT2V1Z1BqdXctZjF2VHpUYUhRRkJZS1hQekVCUzJ4RVRTSWNmcTZhaDlHUk5jdE5rZXlRNTZ6TUxYb3V2Z25XOHN1VWlrd1o0dXM2NG0yOVZvSnhLMGxQVFFYLXNOWks1UXNBNFRhYWxiTnNiYk9GaXpJaE9zSmE1bGo0d21WY25BLUhOeS0wV3BENzNRaHhR?oc=5
- [6] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4113009-combined-attack-on-ukraine-air-defense-downs-20-missiles-349-drones.html
- [7] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn5330l73y2o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [8] https://www.nbcnews.com/news/military/us-military-turned-back-six-ships-first-24-hours-iranian-port-blockade-rcna331828
- [9] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260416030852ajh
- [10] https://www.dw.com/en/germany-the-uk-warn-the-iran-war-distracts-from-ukraine-and-oil-price-rises-help-russia/a-76797004?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
- [11] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/us-blockade-iran-talks-fail-021511400.html
- [12] https://abcnews.com/video/132069550
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/15/iran-warns-us-naval-blockade-threatens-ceasefire?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://www.news.cn/world/20260415/31b1cba1e11b4a908fb2652045db2bc4/c.html
- [15] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-16/10604568.shtml
- [16] https://www.independent.co.uk/us/money/stock-market-today-wall-street-iran-war-b2958559.html
- [17] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260416/us-stocks-hit-all-time-high-on-middle-east-optimism?utm_source=rss
- [18] https://www.nbcnews.com/business/markets/sp-500-hits-new-high-iran-war-rcna331900
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxNMHBnOGZlNTdlN1lMMWVITElFc3FtNVdTZFA1b3k0NkU5NFFVN1Jod3gtSDRJTzJVQk5McDB2S2FKbzBTTkZQUm5OREVkQXhHbnl6UnpfLWVTVmU0cmF5NEttbHVkdGh2R3d3MjZaWUFfbEJJSGR4NWhtSGVxcTV4eE44SjRRelpPeFZ0WEZhY3lmOHlKblZyaEd0T0gwd01sNmRN0gGoAUFVX3lxTE43b1AxT0NfZTdSY2kyMGJZSkZ1Yy15R2VOQUhsVTJFYTBJU2JDRlFEbWNET1VlSDc2MUxEUHZxR1lGc0ZNTW43bTd0Vko0aFhXNDlBekdOX0F2dGlfNEpSWUo5NHpwZUVTNlVqVHBpRWQ2REVQaUItdTg5YXpISUhTdzg1aERRcHE2RHJ6OEF6eURQSkx1aFNMbE5NWF96dWt3dDJONUtueg?oc=5
- [20] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/live/stock-market-today-dow-sp-500-nasdaq-mixed-after-trump-orders-hormuz-blockade-against-iran-145712025.html
2026-04-15
2026-04-15
进展要点
- 乌克兰与德国达成防务协议，旨在支持乌克兰对抗俄罗斯，协议内容包括无人机生产和军事援助。（Google News - World）
- 俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫访问中国，与中方讨论双边合作及应对西方遏制，并计划普京与习近平的峰会。（RT News）
- 尽管美国对伊朗港口实施封锁，美伊谈判可能在本周恢复，这有助于缓解石油市场的紧张情绪。（The Korea Times）
关键事件
- 乌克兰与德国签署防务协议以对抗俄罗斯（Google News - World）
- 拉夫罗夫访华强化俄中‘无上限’伙伴关系，西方试图遏制金砖国家（RT News）
- 美伊或本周恢复谈判，港口封锁未阻外交努力（The Korea Times）
关联路径
军事升级风险 / 避险需求上升 / 黄金和美元走强
地缘紧张升级 / 避险需求增加 / 美元黄金上涨
来源
Xinhua Finance / RT News / Yonhap News TV / BBC News (Business) / The Korea Times / ECB Press Releases / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / Fed
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/638432-israel-lebanon-forever-war/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260415085953vI1
- [3] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cjr9qrnp821o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [4] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/economy/20260415/import-prices-post-sharpest-rise-in-over-28-years-in-march-amid-middle-east-crisis?utm_source=rss
- [5] https://www.ecb.europa.eu//press/key/date/2026/html/ecb.sp260414~b312adeb55.en.pdf
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxNenlEY3B4eEpDckI2bllJNTJVNzU1SDNMYjlPTzlpTC11UzA0TTRGUWstSnlSeWdsZURiNjBIODNxRmR6d01kbXUtUl95Q1FrSmFpOE9hQVRnZ2QzQWsyMkVnRkIxdHdrWVZqMzNfbXgza0EtZElMaHEyQlZtZzBsR1ppZWVvWWV2R2w5YUZ3ZkVWQdIBlwFBVV95cUxOb0dhOFBmYUVaMFFOMVZISkMzVWk1N2oxZmxiR3QxbjBqZlJXNlBwQ3VVX2VCdWpDbmEtMXFYcEJoYmJiVkJBMXU4bm1LemR5YzRhVHBGcDBQRzJNVkw3a2ZyRDJYSk1nZTdsRS1ZUjNab25aWG10V1RKdllNbFM3bTJ1SDhkN1J3bXlPS2dBbVVpLVRaM3VJ?oc=5
- [7] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/4/14/how-us-blockade-on-iran-will-worsen-energy-crisis?traffic_source=rss
- [8] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260415/98576a4fba914ded8bf1975303f65b5b/c.html
- [9] https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260414a.htm
- [10] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202604150910068Su
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimAFBVV95cUxPZ0FvbkthQTRrQTJWUmN4N3ZBRVd5SlFwX2JVYjhEQkY4MTRRLVRVcUxYbHkwRDItOGhKcVNWbDFkOFFuSmhZcnFRTEJRU01NMnlTYjM0TUxjUTN1S0pwODFoZno0Q0pta0FqMl9mQ2U3Qm1qdHJwdG5sSENtVGw0dHNVT0I4Y0RRak5iWWNzTGVqZ3FxYVlIVQ?oc=5
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/4/14/imf-cuts-global-growth-forecast-during-hormuz-blockade?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.rt.com/news/638423-russia-lavrov-china-visit/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [14] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260415/us-iran-may-resume-talks-this-week-despite-port-blockade?utm_source=rss
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260415065334Y9r
- [16] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260415063604GEG
- [17] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260415064308ULl
- [18] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260415062259Y0J
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260415064537UqS
- [20] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260415063507Wuh
2026-04-14
2026-04-14
进展要点
- 美国军方宣布将在阿曼湾、霍尔木兹海峡以东的阿拉伯海实施封锁，未经授权进入或离开该区域的船只可能被拦截、改道和扣押。（Xinhua World）
- 特朗普威胁中国，涉及伊朗问题，可能影响中美关系。（Google News - World）
关键事件
- 美军宣布封锁霍尔木兹海峡及周边海域（Xinhua World）
- 特朗普就伊朗问题威胁中国（Google News - World）
关联路径
封锁霍尔木兹海峡 / 石油供应中断风险 / 油价上涨和避险情绪
US-China tensions / trade war risk / safe-haven demand
来源
Xinhua World / Xinhua Finance / The Korea Times / Yonhap News TV / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / RT News / Yahoo News - World / DW (Deutsche Welle)
参考链接
- [1] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260414/trump-says-us-military-has-blockaded-iranian-ports-to-pressure-tehran?utm_source=rss
- [2] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260414075312mTn
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMic0FVX3lxTE9lTGVSaGRfSFNsX1ByeERMLWoxdWREdGtBVXNaQy1EeUdZeU9RSVZYY1UxcVh6NzRadndia294eTlGbUtLOVl3N2wySTZ6aVZlMWtjRmlWNF9rVG81NDltb2ZJTU9QWVRGS1JaUUlPaHNZdjA?oc=5
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/13/trump-says-iranian-ships-will-be-eliminated-as-us-naval-blockade-begins?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://www.news.cn/world/20260413/9b39653c127e47d3aa204c72aa1d20fb/c.html
- [6] https://www.rt.com/news/638355-us-israeli-war-poverty-un/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [7] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/us-military-enforce-blockade-gulf-115534084.html
- [8] https://www.dw.com/en/us-maritime-restrictions-increase-economic-pressure-on-iran/a-76760110?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
- [9] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260413/42286c72c63d41fba01b7147f7cb9dd5/c.html
- [10] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260414/physical-oil-hits-fresh-record-high-near-150-a-barrel-as-hormuz-crisis-worsens?utm_source=rss
- [11] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260413235728qQL
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/4/13/energy-prices-rise-despite-jones-act-suspension-by-trump?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.rt.com/news/638318-iran-israel-us-war-hormuz/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [14] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/iranian-passenger-plane-destroyed-us-154212642.html
- [15] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-trump-warns-iran-ships-to-steer-clear-of-blockade/live-76758809?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTE90S1NYeU1HLWdoVmJNRXQtb2t2cUxuc1JObDV0bmlLbXVTZTM5Qko0YmVJZk1hZUxoeG5hUmNpZzVPdzdFS1JEdTNHSWFiNUFOZnQzQ1dxd2hQVzFCamdEb0tmTWtSUE9ZZ0U3TEJkdFNXWTQwaEtUTm90MnhvYVU?oc=5
2026-04-13
2026-04-13
进展要点
- 美国军方宣布，根据总统特朗普的公告，自周一东部时间上午10点起，将封锁进出伊朗港口的所有海上交通，适用于所有国家的船只。（KBS World News）
- 澳大利亚总理安东尼·阿尔巴尼斯在电视采访中被问及美国前总统特朗普计划封锁霍尔木兹海峡一事，主持人提及该计划可能从午夜开始实施。（Australian Prime Minister's Office - Media）
关键事件
- 美国宣布自周一起封锁伊朗所有港口海上交通（KBS World News）
- 澳大利亚总理回应特朗普计划封锁霍尔木兹海峡（Australian Prime Minister's Office - Media）
关联路径
US blockade / oil supply disruption / higher oil prices
Hormuz blockade / oil supply disruption / inflation and risk aversion
来源
China News Service / Yonhap News TV / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #2 / The Hindu / Le Monde International / n-tv Politik / El País Internacional / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Times of India / El Mundo - International News / Yahoo News - World / KBS World News / BBC News (Top) / Australian Prime Minister's Office - Media
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260413082525uXU
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/13/iran-war-live-us-military-to-block-iranian-port-traffic-in-hormuz-strait?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260412-trump-orders-naval-blockade-of-strait-of-hormuz
- [4] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-13/10602662.shtml
- [5] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/us-military-says-it-will-start-blockade-of-all-ships-going-to-and-from-iran-on-monday/article70855422.ece
- [6] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/04/12/en-direct-guerre-au-moyen-orient-l-armee-americaine-annonce-un-blocus-naval-de-tous-les-ports-iraniens-a-partir-de-lundi-apres-midi_6676633_3210.html
- [7] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/US-Praesident-Trump-kuendigt-Blockade-der-Strasse-von-Hormus-an-id30705712.html
- [8] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-04-12/trump-anuncia-su-propio-bloqueo-naval-del-estrecho-de-ormuz-y-las-negociaciones-quedan-en-el-aire.html
- [9] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-trump-orders-strait-of-hormuz-naval-blockade/live-76750859?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [10] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/strait-to-crisis-trump-orders-hormuz-blockage-after-talks-sink/articleshow/130210828.cms
- [11] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/04/12/69dbaae6fc6c83b0518b4570.html
- [12] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/article/trump-announces-naval-blockade-of-strait-of-hormuz-after-iran-talks-collapse-over-nuclear-demands-133605926.html
- [13] https://world.kbs.co.kr/service/news_view.htm?lang=e&Seq_Code=200747
- [14] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn781z4lgg4o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [15] https://www.pm.gov.au/media/television-interview-abc-news-breakfast-36
- [16] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260413075746ide
- [17] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/04/12/en-direct-guerre-au-moyen-orient-donald-trump-ordonne-un-blocus-du-detroit-d-ormuz-et-menace-les-soutiens-de-l-iran-apres-l-echec-des-negociations_6676633_3210.html
- [18] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260412-trump-says-us-will-begin-blockading-the-strait-of-hormuz
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/12/trump-announces-strait-of-hormuz-blockade-after-us-iran-peace-talks-end?traffic_source=rss
2026-04-12
2026-04-12
进展要点
- 美国和伊朗的第三轮面对面谈判已结束，双方在部分议题上存在严重分歧，同时美军在霍尔木兹海峡开始行动加剧紧张局势。（Yonhap News TV）
- 伊朗和美国在伊斯兰堡继续进行直接会谈，霍尔木兹海峡被认为是关键争议点。（Al Jazeera Middle East）
- 美国和伊朗的谈判已进入第二天，霍尔木兹海峡的对峙局势正在加深，双方官员正直接会面，而非通过中介进行间接沟通。（The Hindu）
关键事件
- 美伊第三轮谈判结束，双方存在严重分歧（Yonhap News TV）
- 伊朗与美国在伊斯兰堡举行历史性面对面会谈（Al Jazeera Middle East）
- 美伊谈判进入第二天，霍尔木兹海峡对峙加剧（The Hindu）
关联路径
谈判分歧 / 地缘紧张 / 油价上涨
谈判进展 / 地缘风险缓解 / 油价下跌 / 股市上涨
来源
China News Service / Yonhap News TV / Al Jazeera Middle East / The Hindu / The Korea Times / Le Monde International / Die Zeit Politics / ORF.at News / PBS NewsHour / France 24 #3 / The New York Times / Yahoo News - World / Ukrinform / Der Spiegel International / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260412091323e3R
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/12/iran-war-live-historic-face-to-face-talks-with-us-continue-in-islamabad?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/us-iran-talks-extend-into-second-day-as-strait-showdown-deepens/article70852336.ece
- [4] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260412/us-iran-talks-pause-for-now-disagreements-remain?utm_source=rss
- [5] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-12/10602264.shtml
- [6] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/04/12/en-direct-guerre-en-iran-les-negociations-entre-teheran-et-washington-se-poursuivent-toute-tentative-de-navires-militaires-de-franchir-le-detroit-d-ormuz-fera-l-objet-d-une-reaction-severe-menacent-les-gardiens-de-la-revolution_6676633_3210.html
- [7] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-04/iran-krieg-verhandlungen-usa-islamabad-strasse-hormus
- [8] https://orf.at/stories/3426624
- [9] https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/u-s-and-iran-hold-historic-direct-negotiations-in-pakistan-as-wars-fragile-ceasefire-holds
- [10] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260411-washington-affirme-commencer-le-d%C3%A9minage-du-d%C3%A9troit-d-ormuz
- [11] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/11/opinion/trump-iran-war-middle-east.html
- [12] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/navy-tests-hormuz-blockade-expert-172203991.html
- [13] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-world/4111582-dva-korabli-vms-ssa-pocali-rozminuvanna-ormuzkoi-protoki-cnn.html
- [14] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/strasse-von-hormus-irans-marine-warnt-us-kriegsschiff-vor-durchquerung-a-e7da4550-99e4-4487-b95d-6815467ea8a6
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260412090741Hbt
- [16] https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/world/20260412/us-iran-talks-extend-into-second-day-as-strait-showdown-deepens?utm_source=rss
- [17] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260411-iran-us-negotiations-underway-in-pakistan-us-says-strait-of-hormuz-being-cleared
- [18] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/numbers-us-thrashed-military-targets-103019697.html
- [19] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/04/11/en-direct-benyamin-netanyahou-soutient-qu-israel-a-aneanti-les-programmes-nucleaire-et-balistique-iraniens-les-etats-unis-affirment-que-deux-de-leurs-navires-ont-traverse-le-detroit-d-ormuz_6676633_3210.html
- [20] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-12/10602257.shtml
2026-04-11
2026-04-11
进展要点
- 轨迹（紧张中）：美伊关系紧张，军事威胁增加，谈判前景不明。
- 美国总统特朗普警告伊朗，若谈判失败将采取重大军事行动（Times of India）。
关键事件
- 特朗普警告伊朗若谈判失败将军事行动（Times of India）
关注 / 展望
关注军事部署和谈判进展，评估地缘风险溢价。
关联路径
美伊紧张 / 中东不稳定 / 石油供应风险
来源
Xinhua Finance / Ukrinform / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #2 / Google News - World / Nikkei Asia / Le Monde International / El País Internacional / Der Spiegel International / Times of India / The Independent
参考链接
- [1] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4111356-invaders-strike-highrise-in-sumy-with-drone-casualties-reported.html
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/4/10/us-iran-negotiations-in-islamabad-what-to-expect?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260410-iran-sets-preconditions-ahead-of-ceasefire-talks-as-vance-warns-tehran-not-to-play-us
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiggFBVV95cUxPQ2d4akxuNWFVSkhyeUJpOHlJdExpc2ZkVW44NjNiVGJjdExCV3Nnam1iUklTTndtQ0xQOFB4UFA2VEtnX2lmSElETWxIeFpBQXdyQlR0NXBRNHZiWDN4ZHhINnRLSjhHdWNHMnlubmR5VWxpOUFuM1NtVkFCVENOMUlR?oc=5
- [5] https://asia.nikkei.com/economy/trade-war/trump-tariffs/trump-s-latest-global-tariffs-challenged-in-federal-court-friday
- [6] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/04/10/en-direct-guerre-en-ukraine-malgre-l-annonce-d-une-treve-pascale-le-service-de-securite-d-ukraine-appelle-la-population-a-rester-vigilante_6676836_3210.html
- [7] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-04-10/los-ultimos-ataques-israelies-en-libano-y-el-bloqueo-irani-del-estrecho-de-ormuz-ponen-en-peligro-las-negociaciones-de-paz.html
- [8] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/ukraine-krieg-kyjiws-truppen-attackieren-russische-oelterminals-a-d4e9f8b2-892e-464c-9f38-5e258e66d585
- [9] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/we-are-loading-warships-with-best-weapons-trump-hints-at-big-op-if-iran-us-talks-fail/articleshow/130175216.cms
- [10] https://www.independent.co.uk/bulletin/news/bulletin-world-briefing-friday-10-april-2026-b2955434.html
- [11] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260410/05d6312f9e134201bb0b6f53f49d0ddf/c.html
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/10/new-tensions-emerge-before-us-iran-war-ceasefire-talks-in-pakistan?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxQN2p1TmlnSW85azJoOTM2MXFtSjNHS1RpN2piNXBkeUVGdHpORnd6TGkwVVJKTGh3UTc0dVY1d0NzaUJ4bzZqNXJ0QVJkaUFjNDZpRmdrWjd1UTV4eXNFTHhwUFFxSHBaVU82RVBDaWtieGxGNnMxVnMxbU80aUo1SGd3U2hMUUlyaWc1LWJyZXVDZ0VDVFhQdFUzd0dwSWRuS01ral9NS2U1RkE2NlN4cE5sNS0?oc=5
- [14] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/04/10/en-direct-guerre-au-moyen-orient-le-president-du-parlement-iranien-exige-un-cessez-le-feu-au-liban-et-le-deblocage-des-actifs-avant-toute-negociation_6676633_3210.html
- [15] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260410-us-and-iran-prepare-for-ceasefire-talks-as-netanyahu-authorises-negotiations-with-lebanon
- [16] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/inflation-trump-iran-war-usa-b2955258.html
- [17] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/sensex-jumps-919pts-as-west-asia-peace-plan-moves-ahead/articleshow/130182187.cms
2026-04-10
2026-04-10
进展要点
- 在特朗普总统最后通牒到期前，美国和伊朗达成停火协议，特朗普称德黑兰发生“富有成效的政权更迭”。（Deutsche Welle German News）
- 特朗普总统对即将在巴基斯坦举行的伊朗停火谈判表示乐观，伊朗虽曾接近报复以色列但同意参会，谈判焦点包括霍尔木兹海峡限制和内部分歧。（Yonhap News TV）
关键事件
- 特朗普暗示美伊关系缓和，双方达成停火协议（Deutsche Welle German News）
- 特朗普对伊美停火谈判表示乐观，伊朗同意参会（Yonhap News TV）
关联路径
美伊停火 / 地缘风险降低 / 油价下跌、避险资产需求减少
谈判乐观 / 地缘风险降低 / 油价下跌、股市上涨
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / Xinhua Finance / NPR Politics / Ukrainian National News (UNN) - Politics / The Hindu / NBC News Politics / Yonhap News Agency / Yonhap News TV / Al Jazeera Middle East / RT News / Deutsche Welle German News / Google News - World / Ukrinform / Federal Register
参考链接
- [1] https://www.npr.org/2026/04/08/nx-s1-5776818/wall-street-stocks-oil-trump-iran-ceasefire
- [2] https://unn.ua/news/putin-oholosyv-velykodnie-peremyria-z-ukrainoiu
- [3] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/iran-israel-us-war-west-asia-conflict-live-updates-on-april-9-2026/article70840935.ece
- [4] https://www.news.cn/world/20260409/d037e456c7be42ed80a590404ec1bdde/c.html
- [5] https://www.nbcnews.com/world/iran/strait-hormuz-shipping-traffic-effectively-standstill-iran-ceasefire-rcna267391
- [6] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260410000451315
- [7] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260410083045iUE
- [8] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/this-is-america/2026/4/9/us-iran-ceasefire-uncertainty-over-whats-next?traffic_source=rss
- [9] https://www.rt.com/news/637877-iran-war-eu-lesson/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [10] https://www.dw.com/de/waffenruhe-trump-stellt-annäherung-mit-iran-in-aussicht/a-76701125?maca=de-rss-de-all-1119-rdf
- [11] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-10/10601269.shtml
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiywFBVV95cUxOUG43N0U2MXF3b3RKdnkwaTRPeDZhWm1QZjJBYUhyMHB1N0pRdFgxaXZMWGFwT2dSSHFiRHFhdFZEQm14UVc5RlRaclNSR0dHS2I3ei1IeVE1b2NRUjE5NDNqd01SQ1lyTUZZam5WbmI0NlEzNmdTWUxFaWhSdmxzQndlYk1aOTFITHdISHB4RWZQTVlnZnMwLVhTV1RWUFFvSkdlUlNaeUYxMl9qRG9TdThRWGFieDJISndiei1UTGczUkxYYTBOTW1RNA?oc=5
- [13] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260410/f1a5072f1da04bd588110bf9c7bb5a9f/c.html
- [14] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-polytics/4110989-putin-announces-easter-ceasefire.html
- [15] https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2026/04/09/2026-06960/strengthening-actions-taken-to-adjust-imports-of-aluminum-steel-and-copper-into-the-united-states
- [16] https://unn.ua/news/zelenskyi-pohodyvsia-na-velykodnie-peremyria-yake-oholosyv-putin-ta-zaiavyv-pro-hotovnist-do-dzerkalnykh-krokiv
- [17] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/putin-declares-ceasefire-in-ukraine-for-orthodox-easter/article70844673.ece
- [18] https://www.news.cn/world/20260409/be450cc8cf7d4952b19e8c0e2a8b768d/c.html
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260410080207ixS
- [20] https://www.rt.com/news/637873-america-has-reached-limits/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
2026-04-09
2026-04-09
进展要点
- 特朗普政府考虑惩罚未支持美国对伊朗行动的北约成员国，同时伊朗谴责以色列在黎巴嫩的袭击并誓言报复，美伊停火协议脆弱且面临违反。（RT News）
- 特朗普政府表示正在考虑在伊朗战争后退出北约，并批评欧洲伙伴未提供军事支持。（Al Jazeera Middle East）
- 美国白宫宣布，美伊首轮会谈将于当地时间11日上午在巴基斯坦首都伊斯兰堡举行，谈判将以闭门方式进行，前提是霍尔木兹海峡保持安全开放。（Xinhua World）
关键事件
- 特朗普拟惩罚北约盟友，伊朗誓言报复以色列（RT News）
- 特朗普政府考虑伊朗战争后退出北约（Al Jazeera Middle East）
- 美伊首轮会谈将于11日在伊斯兰堡举行（Xinhua World）
关联路径
Geopolitical tensions / Safe-haven demand / USD / Gold up, Oil volatility
US NATO withdrawal signal / global alliance uncertainty / safe-haven demand
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / Xinhua Finance / RT News / Google News - World / Yonhap News TV / Al Jazeera Middle East
参考链接
- [1] https://www.news.cn/world/20260409/c45d7601476d458ea57a85851efbc952/c.html
- [2] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-09/10600672.shtml
- [3] https://www.rt.com/news/637771-us-isral-iran-ceasefire-updates/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxQM0M4QVNLMzRVZGI1YTVINHdJUWZFYU5DbEs5NjBxNVNkXzU2YUw0VDNlMXE3NTg2ZTRucjRaLXVBc19aaTF5RTA5Q1ZFOTlpZ2NYVUpqUFhMMERzRW5SdVV5dzUyajZLaVowRFR6WTM0Sks5MFFsb3NlYnRyR1lsTUdLaVBsejlaamtFcEUtODZHcjk4cjBIa2tnekhrZWpFTDlj?oc=5
- [5] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260409070324dDx
- [6] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/8/trump-administration-says-it-is-mulling-nato-withdrawal-after-iran-war?traffic_source=rss
- [7] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260409/4294f804a81c42af86e0af9172b98888/c.html
- [8] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/sh/2026/04-09/10600695.shtml
- [9] https://www.news.cn/world/20260409/65e4ed07bbbd4ed4a2d01a8c03640431/c.html
- [10] https://www.rt.com/news/637763-why-iran-looks-winner/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipgFBVV95cUxQUllNR1JLdmFuV2FFOTVNQVc0UEFwWkhtbXVxTEJFcVA0bWVKenJJYWlRSElYaDU1WDg4VkVJajZiQ1hNd0d5VWFPNE40YlZYYWhPN0Z5TnZsbksydlplVmU1VWc0Ulc5cEd6MTk0MzhCSWZPX0ViQWc5eldQTUNiMlFmbWRpbC1hWDBRallTeFNsTUpHOWh6Wk0yT0FxOEcta1Y2WWl3?oc=5
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/4/8/trump-has-found-his-iran-off-ramp-but-at-what-cost?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260409/fae39f2b949e4afd9c1d92b275cbc5f2/c.html
- [14] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/04-09/10600691.shtml
- [15] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-09/10600689.shtml
- [16] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-09/10600685.shtml
- [17] https://www.news.cn/world/20260409/560122b87c614361b1028d6d3d7c9d1d/c.html
- [18] https://www.news.cn/world/20260408/c1abc49b173845e99a5c8994d1391518/c.html
- [19] https://www.news.cn/world/20260408/e435b5af7fff443c85477fa3acb93775/c.html
- [20] https://www.news.cn/world/20260408/c7c27550cf9147f6845906a92171ec14/c.html
2026-04-08
2026-04-08
进展要点
- 据报道，美国在与伊朗的谈判中可能由副总统万斯接替现有谈判代表，以推动和平协议。特朗普设定了最后期限，威胁若伊朗未重新开放霍尔木兹海峡将发动空袭。（Xinhua World）
- 特朗普在截止日期前使用毁灭性语言威胁伊朗，涉及霍尔木兹海峡的开放和攻击暂停，同时面临共和党内部异议。（Google News - World）
- 特朗普总统在伊朗问题上做出让步，但伊朗的具体让步细节和霍尔木兹海峡的局势仍存在不确定性。（The New York Times）
关键事件
- 美国在伊朗谈判中启用副总统万斯（Xinhua World）
- 特朗普以毁灭性言论威胁伊朗，霍尔木兹海峡局势紧张（Google News - World）
- 特朗普让步，伊朗让步与霍尔木兹海峡问题待解（The New York Times）
关联路径
谈判破裂 / 中东冲突升级 / 油价上涨 / 避险资产需求增加
US-Iran tensions / Oil supply disruption risk / Safe-haven demand
来源
China News Service / Xinhua World / Google News - World / Yonhap News TV / RT News / detikNews / Al Jazeera Middle East / Ukrinform
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxOQWdMR2RQZEpSSnE3R1BPd1dPVVNvX21tYjhCbFZjcVJRMkozZVFxc3NKUFZid19fMTBZR2Zia3lhbmtLbDlXV21fSERfY3JNYkhEMktlNHZKVXdzaEk4UGlkcDBienpZWjl2OHpwQW9pRnBBaUh2aU5sQlBsVlNkM1FLLVowRXB4WFhWc2g3dmQxYjZzelJzNWhXRlROZjFmN2psUkJWbS1NcHF0?oc=5
- [2] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260408000339Jrv
- [3] https://www.rt.com/news/637586-us-strikes-irans-kharg-island-live/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [4] https://news.detik.com/internasional/d-8433834/as-israel-serang-pulau-kharg-hingga-jembatan-di-iran-jelang-deadline-trump
- [5] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-08/10600068.shtml
- [6] https://www.news.cn/world/20260407/d18e8a525d8f4ff289dc27c811313025/c.html
- [7] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/4/7/trump-agrees-to-pause-attacks-on-iran-if-strait-of-hormuz-opens?traffic_source=rss
- [8] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-world/4110231-slidom-za-ssa-izrail-tez-pogodivsa-na-dva-tizni-pripiniti-bojovi-dii-proti-iranu-cnn.html
- [9] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-04/08/irans-aussenminister-kuendigt-oeffnung-der-strasse-von-hormus-an
- [10] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c8r40y3rv75o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [11] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/world/middleeast/iran-war-trump-us-israel-oil-strait-of-hormuz.html
- [12] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-trump-announces-two-week-ceasefire/live-76700191?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [13] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202604072357426WW
- [14] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-08/10600071.shtml
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipAFBVV95cUxPTm1PeUtWSkM2Q01OaUZfME5YM3F4WDNnVXQtT01LQUFWbGNEWkF6ZjZDdWNsNDQ0bFBybUxhSEo5UUV0Vm1TS3BhUXNGWDZXOXJzNXRLODVqd2Z4aURvRTFqRGZDSWhLeEUyVmk5X0tqZGRfWDFvd005cXpoYUNLWFJjeU1lRkx5bmZOdHgzcjB2U0Z6SnE4Z3VSdUlWMmhYX2lVaA?oc=5
- [16] https://www.news.cn/world/20260407/797d2505268b4defb0b9a7e2b0e8ddf3/c.html
- [17] https://news.detik.com/internasional/d-8434046/trump-tangguhkan-serangan-dewan-keamanan-iran-tangan-kita-di-pelatuk
- [18] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/07/world/middleeast/trump-iran-2-week-ceasefire.html
- [19] https://www.rt.com/news/637638-trump-iran-ceacefire-extension/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
2026-04-07
2026-04-07
进展要点
- 轨迹（转折）：美伊从僵持转向有限谈判，但威胁与回应并存，局势仍脆弱。
- 伊朗向巴基斯坦提交十项停战要求（China News Service），强调永久停战。
- 特朗普威胁摧毁伊朗关键基础设施以施压开放霍尔木兹海峡（Al Jazeera Middle East）。
- 白宫称特朗普尚未批准45天停火方案（Yonhap News TV），军事行动继续。
关键事件
- 伊朗回应美国停战提议并提出十项要求（China News Service）
- 特朗普威胁摧毁伊朗关键基础设施（Al Jazeera Middle East）
- 白宫称特朗普尚未批准45天停火方案（Yonhap News TV）
关注 / 展望
监控特朗普最后期限后的美伊互动，以及伊朗是否软化立场以达成协议。
关联路径
美伊紧张升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡风险 / 石油供应冲击
谈判破裂风险 / 中东冲突扩大 / 全球避险情绪
来源
China News Service / Yonhap News TV / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / RT News / ANTARA News / Die Zeit Politics / Ukrinform
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260407000106tbx
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi-wFBVV95cUxNZFFCRlBwWHNqMUpxQWFwUTVHS3Jld3BVY2ExUFNJRDNUWUx2X3FpM1dtX3dfQ1hzaEhVejlGcDZSa2hVRjZuZnNOTXFudEM4dUFlRHJWWE1PV2lfTFpoMlVCVl91ZWdEZHZPY2E4V3h3dEh6UzhoQ1JRd01DM3BsYjZLbTVDWmM5YmU0eFB0LWNINTVlenFMS0wxZ1RnZFF3U25XdlZqeGlhbzlmN3Y1c3hoYzctcHVGV05zN2hCLUJZcFBFazJzLWNkemt5d0dzdE50amU3M3NobllWTjVlTkd3UXpBbENOM3lPajMwN0xocGxPcDlEMXp0QQ?oc=5
- [3] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-06/10599509.shtml
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/6/where-are-irans-power-plants-that-trump-has-threatened-to-destroy?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://www.rt.com/news/637429-iran-night-demonstrations/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [6] https://www.antaranews.com/video/5514373/irgc-selat-hormuz-tak-akan-pernah-kembali-ke-kondisi-sebelumnya
- [7] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-04/iran-madschid-chademi-geheimdienstchef-revolutionsgarden
- [8] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4109748-general-staff-confirms-strikes-on-novorossiysk-oil-terminal-and-be12-amphibious-aircraft.html
- [9] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260406224226NBH
- [10] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxQMnpFd1FWT0JmYXNZMmd5MTVzdm84bnEtS1N3Wm44a0Nrb2NCV2NXeG5DY2hsSWJYYWFFYjB5SksyMWNfdEJPQXhka1hDTGxPUGQzaWNVSEd1bkt4UWJUTEFsTEJFeDhiT1ZTT0dRejV6M2NfMTh6TWxDN2M5YU85UWR3aFU3Q2RpcTRQTHZyYnBMT3hIMk5jdnlvMHphWFUyZXZvMU5YS1I1V3JlOVQ3S1RR0gG3AUFVX3lxTFBTWEEtS0pNcGZsWUdRUHVDQlJLSVJMM0gtc3ZZWldYOHZ3b1l6QUltMjlNcXBKbUxIVlFDQi1PUjd4WnFmWFp3aFZCemhwcEtVdnJsX1ppeGZGUjFtTXAzUkw1Ql9RYS0xc1J3VnFDREFxbmgtcGctQjBTWC04RXNsRWFIZk9hYm5Wa0NDM0NmdndsamxjXy1FakpSYW5hQTk
- [11] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5514365/as-israel-serang-30-universitas-di-iran-sejak-awal-konflik-28-februari
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/6/ukraine-strikes-russian-black-sea-energy-hub-novorossiysk?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-06/10599512.shtml
- [14] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260406235051YOT
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260407000948Iak
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixgFBVV95cUxPeEtPRS00QThJQ3gxWUM1MXpENklRekdZWTlsZ1l0ejN6NFlwaVZ5RG9HdmdoQmxBalFHM1FlRWZfS3BMLURnSS1sc2VOUXF2OW03S3lYSW5vb0ZRVVdmX29FUkNSd3MtVzJoWjRmd2laVW13R0xCam9ESTRmZDZtUWtvcTBXaDBrVWVwWTFPOUEtT1M3MzRIS1hnTG1BMEFrX0VqRXR5azRzQlBxZm15eFktTFVYYk9lVTFoR1Vab3R0STdoLXc?oc=5
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxPR2JlSVpraHJZeDN5MFFBOHRMLWk0VEt5NEFPSnVwa1pCTHI0eDJ3Q0tiREdpSzRGYmlCcm9wQ3pDX3lkVHZGejYwMGxDYXVnZU5OMFBEYTIyc3RDRTBWNnpfQ0phb1NMM2Nrd3JJWkw3QkVKX3J1LVRPZUZSTGtJNUhYNlBPYjBQ?oc=5
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/4/6/in-maps-and-photos-five-iranian-civilian-bridges-at-risk-of-us-strikes?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260406224344Cz8
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuAFBVV95cUxQYkg1WnlBNjRXLXdHclNNd1pyRi10LUt6VlF1TDB0UHdqUF9FYUhFQjVmZ0doQ2prUnBBYUk4a3JjalFxYjUyZmEyVk4zejR3ZDlERnM0RTJfbVVQaHBkbjYtV1VpMkRKeEYtVmdWeEh4Y3pKYjNIZ0o1WXNSMzVjU2VQc1MzUFNrUEpQS2Zacmxod1Z0LUllVUd0c3FuSUp4QWxSMFVPY21tYTI4elBMSm0yTlN1WU1L0gG-AUFVX3lxTE1sU2pETk50dU5nclhCYndfWllvTXkxNk9lcjFHdnJJclItU2hUWUlMWXRBSW96R3lNdW9fSTVNaEVuZTF5cWJacjNFMWc3b1J4RFhNZGRXS0lmRjBIWENVQnFkUXJySWI5SmR6cXozVWMyYWRTZDNyTDhZMEt0YWlZajJ0UGdGaE1IRGJMckRjYzdtTnhWclc3bXR
2026-04-06
2026-04-06
进展要点
- 轨迹（升级）：美伊谈判进展受阻，特朗普威胁军事行动，大国对抗风险上升。
- 特朗普通过ABC新闻威胁，如果伊朗在48小时内未达成和平协议，将采取军事行动（ABC News）。
- 特朗普向伊朗发出最后通牒，威胁攻击发电厂以开放霍尔木兹海峡（Die Zeit Politics）。
关键事件
- 特朗普威胁48小时内无协议将军事行动（ABC News）
- 特朗普最后通牒威胁伊朗发电厂（Die Zeit Politics）
关注 / 展望
观察美伊间接谈判是否能在最后期限前取得突破，或冲突进一步扩大至其他大国介入。
关联路径
US-Iran tensions / Oil supply disruption risk / Inflation & growth concerns
大国对抗 / 全球不稳定 / 避险资产需求
来源
Yonhap News TV / Le Monde International / El País Internacional / Al Jazeera Middle East / Google News - World / Ukrinform / El Mundo - International News / ORF.at News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260406075350GcU
- [2] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/04/05/en-direct-guerre-en-iran-donald-trump-repousse-l-ultimatum-adresse-a-mardi-soir-vous-allez-voir-des-ponts-et-des-centrales-electriques-s-effondrer-a-travers-tout-le-pays_6676633_3210.html
- [3] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-04-04/ultima-hora-de-la-guerra-de-estados-unidos-e-israel-contra-iran-en-directo.html
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/6/iran-war-live-tehran-rejects-trumps-tuesday-deadline-on-strait-of-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTE9xQUhSalZYRUpHRTR4a1dtUktxeU5ULTRnNS1vR0RONkxhaTNFZzBwOVBQbTk5Y2QxbkJoczlnaWZBcmdkWlN1cEI3WWN6T2U1ZFRwYnVUZDBWZw?oc=5
- [6] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-world/4109433-tramp-ogolosiv-novij-krajnij-termin-dla-iranu-sob-rozblokuvati-ormuzku-protoku.html
- [7] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/04/04/69d13b44e4d4d89b5e8b4587.html
- [8] https://orf.at/stories/3426028
- [9] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-04/opec-foerderung-erdoel-iran-krise
- [10] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-06/10599292.shtml
- [11] https://abcnews.com/International/trump-blowing-country-iran-deal-reached-48-hours/story?id=131744086
- [12] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvg0q6wdzp1o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [13] https://news.liga.net/war/news/ofitsialno-ukraina-nanesla-udar-po-zavodu-lukoila-bolee-chem-v-1000-km-ot-linii-soprikosnoveniya
- [14] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260406091907xC4
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwwFBVV95cUxNa0YxRFgzNTB6RTIxbVFKbURISmpWM2R4Y1N0VUlzamhJQjU0dUdyU1YyMmJIRHpiREoxSzJlN0hFanE0OENZcWZ4WUtRVnhVRmtLb011eGxIWFd4bUd0eGhXdUptaVFjOC1sWTdsWnF3ZkdKQjdLallNZXVsOGM5SFRtVmtEWkdCRE5jcnlBU0htNndib0V0aGtXUmtIRGpiQU5pZFJJaENtWFVzZXlCX0VoZHFBdThxZHozSUR3RzhBZGM?oc=5
- [16] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/04/04/69d13870e9cf4a79038b457f.html
- [17] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-04/donald-trump-iran-ultimatum-hormus
2026-04-05
2026-04-05
进展要点
- 轨迹（升级中）：美伊对抗加剧，伊朗拒绝通牒，美国增加国防预算，大国博弈白热化。
- 特朗普向伊朗发出48小时最后通牒，要求开放霍尔木兹海峡（France 24 #2）。
- 伊朗军方拒绝特朗普48小时通牒，强调捍卫民族权利（China News Service）。
- 白宫向国会提出约1.5万亿美元的国防预算请求，创历史新高（ABC News）。
关键事件
- 特朗普向伊朗发出48小时最后通牒 - France 24 #2
- 伊朗军方拒绝特朗普48小时通牒 - China News Service
- 白宫要求创纪录的1.5万亿美元国防预算 - ABC News
关注 / 展望
观察伊朗是否妥协或采取报复行动，以及美国国防预算的国会批准进展。
关联路径
US-Iran tensions / Middle East instability / Oil supply risk
国防支出增加 / 财政赤字扩大 / 通胀预期上升
来源
China News Service / Times of India / Google News - World / detikNews / Valor Econômico Politics / Yahoo News - World / BBC News (Top) / O Globo Politics
参考链接
- [1] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/watch-trump-claims-many-of-irans-military-leaders-killed-in-massive-strike-shares-video/articleshow/130029871.cms
- [2] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-05/10598980.shtml
- [3] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivwFBVV95cUxPOTB5bHJDZGp3M2ZVSUpJeGZnTDFvOGFhMDh6ODlDTlotQnlwVnJ4d1lPZTZCSV9CblY3V1hSeEFpOGZHVWViUEJYeVVPc0h2d3UwOUN0YXJTMG1fWm8xOTRhOG1Ld3U1eWdZY0RvX1VhbDB6RWRSZzh2YnJ6M05JQWVzMWRHWFdWQUtVdExRcU9jZ0ZPUDhJaDJkTGJIVXBFLUU3TXpaakpfSFVYOWFxYzVlTW5KTEk1ek9Zc3ZuVQ?oc=5
- [4] https://news.detik.com/internasional/d-8429643/hari-kelam-as-israel-saat-2-jet-tempur-dan-3-drone-dilumpuhkan-iran
- [5] https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/04/04/ataque-de-israel-a-petroqumicas-no-ir-deixa-ao-menos-cinco-mortos-e-170-feridos.ghtml
- [6] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/trump-administration-proposes-expanding-chinese-141748633.html
- [7] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5y90jl8veyo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [8] https://oglobo.globo.com/economia/noticia/2026/04/04/inflacao-dos-eua-deve-disparar-na-primeira-leitura-desde-a-guerra-com-o-ira.ghtml
- [9] https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacific/20260404-trump-gives-iran-48-hours-to-make-a-deal-as-search-continues-for-missing-us-pilot
- [10] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/4/4/tehran-psychiatric-hospital-not-usable-after-us-israeli-strike?traffic_source=rss
- [11] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/trump-gives-iran-48-hours-to-make-deal-or-face-hell/article70824622.ece
- [12] https://abcnews.com/Politics/white-house-asks-record-breaking-15-trillion-defense/story?id=131683487
- [13] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-05/10598976.shtml
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxNWkNya1ZKR25aN2tadGxuN25YX3JyY29KTGprQXpPY3ZydVBaUmdjRFdCWko4NnE1QUp5d2V6UFM3TkZRZG5ZZ1RHeUgzT1ZxS0RkcnFfcW42LTlId2xUWXNKcW9JX1BHR1pwWFEwVWNZdjMxV1FUNnI1R2V0N0ZreElnSnFVZGhXbFBVSGdERFlnSVB5NHk2UmFkeE5ZRjI3MFQ0?oc=5
- [15] https://oglobo.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/04/04/nova-etapa-de-ataques-dos-eua-ao-ira-deve-usar-quase-todo-o-estoque-de-misseis-de-cruzeiros-disponivel-no-pais.ghtml
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/4/universities-hit-as-us-israel-ramp-up-attacks-on-irans-infrastructure?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://news.detik.com/internasional/d-8429487/tuan-rumah-pangkalan-militer-as-dapat-ultimatum-dari-iran
- [18] https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/04/04/israel-se-prepara-para-atacar-instalaes-de-energia-do-ir-e-aguarda-aprovao-dos-eua-diz-fonte.ghtml
- [19] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cm2k1dgz142o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss