专题时间线
Regional Conflict
轨迹（升级中）：地区冲突从美伊军事打击扩展到俄乌战场相互影响，停火期限临近加剧战和悬念，近期扣押船只事件激化紧张。；伊朗战争影响俄乌冲突，全球能源危机对双方产生压力（Al Jazeera Middle East）。 关键事件：乌克兰再次袭击俄罗斯炼油厂（Google News - World）；美伊互相报复并指责违反停火（Yonhap News TV） 关注：监控霍尔木兹海峡航运恢复情况及美伊停火到期后行动，地区冲突可能蔓延至更广能源市场。
信源画像
来源覆盖
最近更新: 2026-04-21
来源数
21
大陆
3
港澳台
0
海外
18
官媒/官方
3
非官媒
18
聚合源
1
优先原始报道
20
中文覆盖
3
英文覆盖
12
参考链接
109
国家 / 地区: Brazil / China / France / India / International / Japan / Qatar / Russia / South Korea / UK / USA / Ukraine
来源样本
Xinhua World · 大陆 / 官方Xinhua Finance · 大陆 / 官方China News Service · 大陆 / 官方BBC News (Top) · 海外 / 媒体Al Jazeera Middle East · 海外 / 媒体The Independent · 海外 / 媒体The New York Times · 海外 / 媒体Google News - World · 海外 / 聚合ABC News · 海外 / 媒体RT News · 海外 / 媒体Yonhap News TV · 海外 / 媒体BBC News (Business) · 海外 / 媒体
覆盖差异
覆盖差异
仅基于来源结构生成的规则观察，不包含立场判断。
覆盖以海外信源为主
提示当前窗口内海外信源 18 个，大陆信源 3 个。
英文覆盖多于中文覆盖
提示当前窗口内英文信源 12 个，中文信源 3 个。
研究投影
研究投影
关联品种: SC原油 / AU黄金
跟踪状态: 跟踪中 12 / 待复核 12
生命周期建议: 继续跟踪 · 已有待回看跟踪点
最近检查点
- SC 5y · 跟踪中 · scheduled_long_horizon_checkpoint
- SC 3y · 跟踪中 · scheduled_long_horizon_checkpoint
- SC 2y · 跟踪中 · scheduled_long_horizon_checkpoint
- SC 1y · 跟踪中 · scheduled_long_horizon_checkpoint
2026-04-21
2026-04-21
进展要点
- 轨迹（升级中）：地区冲突从美伊军事打击扩展到俄乌战场相互影响，停火期限临近加剧战和悬念，近期扣押船只事件激化紧张。
- 伊朗战争影响俄乌冲突，全球能源危机对双方产生压力（Al Jazeera Middle East）。
- 乌克兰一周内第二次袭击俄罗斯克拉斯诺达尔边疆区炼油厂，引发重大火灾（Google News - World）。
- 美伊互相指责违反停火协议，伊朗以无人机攻击美军舰作为报复（Yonhap News TV）。
关键事件
- 乌克兰再次袭击俄罗斯炼油厂（Google News - World）
- 美伊互相报复并指责违反停火（Yonhap News TV）
- 中东战和悬念加剧，停火期限迫近（China News Service）
关注 / 展望
监控霍尔木兹海峡航运恢复情况及美伊停火到期后行动，地区冲突可能蔓延至更广能源市场。
关联路径
地区冲突升级 / 原油供应中断 / 油价波动和避险情绪
停火破裂 / 军事行动重启 / 全球市场动荡
来源
Xinhua World / Xinhua Finance / China News Service / BBC News (Top) / Al Jazeera Middle East / The Independent / The New York Times / Google News - World / ABC News / RT News / Yonhap News TV
参考链接
- [1] https://www.news.cn/world/20260421/65dcf44dad444df1af920586d6915969/c.html
- [2] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdxd88r2wjzo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/4/20/how-is-the-iran-war-affecting-the-russia-ukraine-conflict?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260421/e881f10543754b00b9e5db0a154542e5/c.html
- [5] https://www.independent.co.uk/bulletin/news/trump-iran-war-ceasefire-strait-of-hormuz-blockade-b2961365.html
- [6] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/20/us/politics/military-blockade-iran-strait-hormuz.html
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxORXd1REM4UGE3TGNlNUo3SENlLVVKU0c5a0pYSE9tUGxVSXZ4TTR5UDhNdjMtMzMyUGxSaXdMZFRaajVvZkl4X01FOER2QWFHTExmdUppX0N2UlpLdW5BOFp6R1dCQkpESGh0TDRLZU5ORlB3OXo2aFhMVTA1V1EyNmlkNndvMGU4MEl5WVB5eVVXUW1NY3p3aThMNjE3VVYtMTlybGpIMA?oc=5
- [8] https://abcnews.com/International/live-updates/iran-live-updates-marines-uss-tripoli-seized-iranian/?id=132196152
- [9] https://www.rt.com/news/638762-israel-blood-feud-us-iran-james-webb/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [10] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260420221202mpn
- [11] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/dxw/2026/04-20/10607342.shtml
- [12] https://www.news.cn/world/20260421/4c7f703fb14b4f41ad1af9f68fb3055c/c.html
- [13] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c75kg0vdxyro?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [14] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/20/us/politics/kevin-warsh-fed-senate-banking-committee-hearing.html
- [15] https://www.rt.com/news/638768-trump-iran-threats-acceptable/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwAFBVV95cUxQZklJTEJXMTV5c3o3REtYRTJCTmFRRVFWZEYzY2p2OEtGSTc2S3BnUVBLcmVDanltVGpvUVR1OWUydnJONTdETElIampPT1pCeXpiaVM0bXl4Tnk4YWtLQTdGM04tekZDUlg2SHdXX0lCNHBGSjlteUpJR05HbXRCV0NXNFZVNkpTay1sTGxoZXJ3ckhVRG5ZOVM0NWNTTDlybUdsbnlJTE1nMHdIZmpJbXJvbHF5VmNZZ1NwUEppOG8?oc=5
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/20/israel-never-talked-me-into-the-war-with-iran-trump-says?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-israel-iran-war-october-7-b2961183.html
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260420214421sFT
2026-04-02
2026-04-02
进展要点
- 轨迹（升级）：从历史事件看，冲突已持续多天且不断升级，今日事件显示军事行动持续和外交对峙
- 特朗普计划今晚发表全国讲话，可能宣布战争进展或目标达成
- 伊朗政府否认寻求停火，并驳斥美国说法，强调战争将持续
- 俄罗斯宣布完全控制乌克兰卢甘斯克地区，俄乌冲突出现新进展
- 美以联合攻击伊朗伊斯法罕，导致基础设施受损和伤亡
关键事件
- 特朗普将就伊朗局势发表全国讲话（Al Jazeera Middle East）
- 美以对伊朗军事打击进入第33天（Xinhua World）
- 俄罗斯宣布完全控制卢甘斯克地区（Valor Econômico Politics）
关注 / 展望
监控特朗普讲话的具体内容和伊朗回应，以及霍尔木兹海峡通航是否改善；俄乌冲突可能因中东战事外溢而进一步复杂化。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 石油供应风险 / 避险资产（黄金、美元）上涨
俄乌冲突升级 / 地缘风险加剧 / 全球避险情绪上升
来源
Xinhua World / Xinhua Finance / Al Jazeera Middle East / BBC News (Top) / BBC News (Business) / PBS NewsHour / Ukrainian National News (UNN) - Politics / Google News - World
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/2/iran-war-live-trump-to-address-nation-tehran-denies-seeking-ceasefire?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20260402/33177de39fe3445f9a61ae9037bade69/c.html
- [3] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260401/9c763c423582452e84358382a1d6fbf7/c.html
- [4] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c78l70g124jo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [5] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/5c76f8eba9eb47b092d05f092929af41/c.html
- [6] https://www.news.cn/world/20260402/e724e267b7fe4019b374dadc569c27b4/c.html
- [7] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/a2fef62739bd4b41a0bea9e0cf206c9a/c.html
- [8] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c2489v97842o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [9] https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/trump-signals-iran-war-could-end-soon-but-gives-mixed-signals-on-how
- [10] https://unn.ua/news/tramp-zrobyv-zaiavu-shchodo-vykhodu-ssha-z-nato
- [11] https://unn.ua/news/sohodni-dovoli-nasychenyi-dyplomatychnyi-den-zelenskyi-nazvav-masovanu-ataku-rf-rosiiskoiu-vidpoviddiu-na-dyplomatiiu
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTE4xb3ZESG5sSVBvUldEcWdRUXVkc3d0QmtzTkJNOVR2bWl4MGVxZVNmQWhROEhoVEVvYkFYdVFUajBzaWFPc2w4RHNaY2t6WDM5bmo3SUdWV3U4NzFjcjA3OEp6UnEyV1ZlUEZ1YWpwaV83VXkzQjl0Z3F4eXNtQ1E?oc=5
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxQbXpVX3k4YXdlNko5NE1jZkFoRGNnTXVGcnhPbDJ1dXdoQVBLeml2bmRKMEhuUXhzTzhoZ2Nuck12ZWg5Ti1jaVpXNjI0dHVsdnpNaGZUejU1V1FWaFUyRjJQUFE5cktuMDhoVFhYcy1wbWRYLWRsc0dURDlHa0Y2RTBHQ2FVSGg1VGE3amVKbXRqczBKT3ZyY0Zrc2pZeWhoVnpz0gGoAUFVX3lxTE9Tc1NqbERCYXZDY0F0cU93NmR2S2xfMWRnZkRHSllKcHdYaHY1bVNva25XSGIybkhPQVlLZjAwTkNIYzFrYUY1YWsyTV9NRTU4OWptUjhFY3NQZTRGdkVYOE5LWHA4bmZvU0NSNVRoME5fV1cxZmgtYnFrbUlPTVRJdG1lVHcxNmdZUEktTkZhWG1jOUoxdmJrR3UtVlhFRVVDUEJmSi1TNw?oc=5
- [14] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-world/4108174-tramp-vistupit-sogodni-vveceri-zi-zvernennam-pro-peremogu-u-vijni-proti-iranu-politico.html
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxOVnBCaHJjSm1wOHRTS2c1UmhYWXlyeFBwUWxmUTdUenh3NGxKeEJRcURKVEFjWDBwdXJvZHQ5NWFvNTBHNGZrNXFWdjR6Q2R0MDlicHUtYkVIWGtYaGVKZnVvcmZDWWhrcDhqaTBqMFd6ZzdROVFxNjRuZHBIVVdfb2c0aUNQbThDREc3Z1VfTm8yZ3ZzS0lXT0c0VkZvLVBwU2RDNkU3b0FFa3daY25ISg?oc=5
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigAFBVV95cUxQd3pIQndwVTNkZFgzZUVqQmFldUQ4Q2RvR0Y4dkdnb3Z5NGloNllJWlUzY0QtYldPT05tSjYya0hxMmVaY20walNxeWZ5X0FOWkc1QnFlMWV3eERxVGZpSXlXbmZoS2thaVhTQ1FnU3NfeGlMeHNld1lvUTdmSTNyNNIBhgFBVV95cUxNblp6MFR0azlvSWlfOXZYSlQ0Q0hsT1lkS1BXN2lTODlHMmdENFdKZWZ4Zlk1VGhpWUtRamNjaFRScG9ycWU5Q0JLTDhvM3lXbkxVWTNISjRSVUF3cjJjeVpRUDlNdWdLU1NZY0NDYlQ3UUhXbV9GVVVkSjJGSGFaSV82WF9ZZw?oc=5
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxOQUtoOFhoajBOVWFhRUhJc3pxREFDQUt4ZzRJRmFXSHc4OE1WcHRvWElsMTdiVUtZeFNzZGFmOW95c2ZGcWRFRURoVTlvd1FqeUNDNWZYMjBjTURmUWFJNGpZaTBwaFZYNzFqc1FTdkdRT1RqVDBUc3JGOTh4OFprWWdSajlxS0NDRmJjUy01blVUX29reTRNZEM2cjFJMTUxaWlQWTVmMA?oc=5
- [18] https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/article/ahead-of-national-address-trump-says-strait-of-hormuz-must-be-open-free-and-clear-before-ceasefire-talks-161325922.html
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/4/1/smoke-and-embers-seen-over-irans-isfahan-after-strike?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://unn.ua/news/tramp-sohodni-oholosyt-pro-zavershennia-viiny-z-iranom-ta-vysune-ultymatum-nato-politico
- [21] https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/04/01/rssia-diz-que-assumiu-o-controle-total-da-regio-de-luhansk-no-leste-da-ucrnia.ghtml
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwAFBVV95cUxOZms5Smk3QThZbjZrNndNN0JzVHVXWlBZZlRiRmdxQWNfMVJheFhOX0VHWFlJSFljTG1FUnFXbFR5WkQ5a1JjU0Z5ZmpiRUNiTlJIVDN4QXpUdmplMkZBNlVPeXl2NzYxNDMyalJiOVJ1a3V2ZVJkM1hlZTdILVZfdDM0ZXlCT0RuM05SUmVrbmYxY3J3N0w5LXMxOGFyeENlWTFQYVZJVkdhQ0w2eDRkaG5KSG5IaWd5U3hQSFRxWm8?oc=5
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixgFBVV95cUxNcjRCbG93VGRqVlVZeWpyLWtxcXJSbEtFX0d1VE5PQ2VnaGYyVktxMDhFVlQ0a1A4QnlhUjU2SVlSVWlucU5QdkEzZWFMblZQcmVmYVBhN2N4dm52SXRCS0dYZGdmRWdfazNqUU8xZVY0TUY1R3N5czc3MXdWQ2pYLVhWZmlTblIxbm55RFhTdk1FS1Z6THE4MTRTOVp4aWtGdDg3RFhpZEVGaHNmRVB6RHc4ZEVjb2prcXFNa01OVDJFUnY1aEE?oc=5
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/4/1/central-israel-hit-by-one-of-irans-largest-missile-barrages-in-weeks?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://unn.ua/news/rosiia-vidpovila-masovanoiu-atakoiu-droniv-na-propozytsiiu-ukrainy-pro-velykodnie-peremyria-zelenskyi
- [26] https://www.rt.com/news/636985-starmer-albanese-iran-energy/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTFBCel9UNjBCMnFjc2tsQVBmVFpSX3BPbjh3bzVFRFc3QklvQmpaRUZiNGxpZmVqb1VQM0hGRWJ4NWFscHVrSGNtNzV4VDZPLUpiTklnZkVOUzZDUQ?oc=5
- [28] https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/04/01/trump-ameaca-cortar-armas-para-ucrania-se-europa-nao-apoiar-coalizao-para-ormuz.ghtml
- [29] https://www.rt.com/news/636981-iran-war-us-israel-trump/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [30] https://www.npr.org/2026/04/01/nx-s1-5770093/trump-address-iran-war
2026-04-01
2026-04-01
进展要点
- 轨迹（转向）：冲突持续但转向外交谈判可能性增加，历史片段显示谈判与军事压力并存，今日事件包括谈判信号和军事行动。
- 美以联合袭击伊朗伊斯法罕，使用掩体炸弹引发二次爆炸。
- 伊朗通过霍尔木兹海峡管理方案，禁止美以等国船只通行。
- 以色列七线作战，面临兵力和财政压力，内塔尼亚胡称战争未结束。
关键事件
- 美以联合袭击伊朗伊斯法罕（Al Jazeera）
- 伊朗通过霍尔木兹海峡管理方案（Xinhua）
- 内塔尼亚胡称战争未结束（The New Indian Express）
关注 / 展望
关注特朗普是否在4月6日前与伊朗达成协议，以及伊朗是否执行威胁打击美企行动。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡关闭风险 / 油价上涨和避险资产需求上升
谈判进展 / 地缘风险降低 / 油价下跌和风险资产上涨
来源
Xinhua World / Al Jazeera Middle East / RT News / Google News - World / Nikkei Asia / O Globo Politics / EL PAÍS América / The New Indian Express
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/31/us-israel-launch-major-attacks-as-iranian-authorities-maintain-defiance?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/4c4cac52441b485dbd6a8df270ff155b/c.html
- [3] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/38b5771ae34c407f81670651669100ff/c.html
- [4] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/732d80efd7f9462f8d3b745e1ee64101/c.html
- [5] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/4fa12e0e7874490a86812ff9c4188bb1/c.html
- [6] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/18d6a28a2bc847bdb7d6e8b8bdc7b7fe/c.html
- [7] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/8f2ffd6270b542fba98a9d8cbae5a0b7/c.html
- [8] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/048988fff40141b7aecf9cd2c5373dfb/c.html
- [9] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/55e6f8748c3a4d8faeec9c26b56c1f89/c.html
- [10] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/31/trump-says-us-will-be-leaving-iran-in-two-to-three-weeks?traffic_source=rss
- [11] https://www.rt.com/news/636893-nato-without-america-shift/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/31/after-strait-of-hormuz-opens-turmoil-would-still-last-months-analysts-say?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/31/eu-warns-oil-and-gas-prices-wont-quickly-return-to-normal-after-iran-war?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxOdDBCeWVSazlVOWZVR2JNQkVxbTloSjAtOUZtaDBadkwzNW9zZHcyWHNQaFhqNGJYQm1kMlp6UEkxLWRaU1FBLVBmYUNMMEs3UUFSejJpVjMzclFkcjl2Yl8wZ3p5a0N5Tm9TWGNyS3htQ3haRFVlb1g4T3V2ejJGSHhIZlExR01kNDFHU0tydk9BWWswV0R6QjJVWFp0VnhLWVhpdXVmN3A1elpyRXdoQXRKTGJ4dw?oc=5
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxPTGI1RDRzSnZ0MW9jTlhyd0tGNFdjQk5EQkwtS3U3UjJXUzFxR05NRVlmT01WLUtEeGlTZzhiUExVbEpENElQT05YckFqcS1URTRZQUZtMzZ1UF9YSXFUYVNlT2ttbjRaTFlhUXVkQmJHVV9oUUFtNjA2N1VzVFpOS0QxNFkzeWozYmFOYWx0bFZ3YzJESUtxZ2RfREtYR2RiaWFQS2VBRzdhcUpUNTBVRGQyMkYweHFHd0Ew?oc=5
- [16] https://asia.nikkei.com/economy/trade-war/trump-tariffs/us-rushes-to-set-up-refund-portal-to-pay-back-166bn-in-trump-tariffs
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTE53b3lVZW5GdzFVOU5YSGZoOFJDVWNORVl2SHZZTjBQNjhlY05tY2R6RzdpcF9yWWxEMUZ4MllSNU92SDhnRkQ3clBsZU5lV3ltcVA5YllGWVlOemV1TzlEZ2stNk5XMU1uZ3hsVTMzQXJOWFN5eEVmS2F1SkVjQms?oc=5
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxQTEJJSWs3ZWoxYi1rSWs2YXd3VWFMNGs0UEtERkM5OVcwNm44V3dxcVd0anUzb3A1SFZ0MndLU3dHYnROR1FaekxYNDRPaUlMTUQtbHlFWDZXajhWeXRKRmJfUDVnSTYwSDdBX3h6eHVLNncxU2NsSS1zYjcwUzd4MnZwMTdqM1BwaTNNR3BOcEQwdw?oc=5
- [19] https://oglobo.globo.com/blogs/miriam-leitao/post/2026/03/crise-do-petroleo-uniao-europeia-ja-pede-menos-viagens-de-aviao-e-mais-home-office.ghtml
- [20] https://elpais.com/economia/2026-03-31/wall-street-sube-y-el-petroleo-cae-ante-la-disposicion-de-iran-de-negociar-el-fin-del-conflicto.html
- [21] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Mar/31/we-changed-face-of-middle-east-netanyahu-says-war-on-iran-not-over
- [22] https://www.rt.com/news/636876-putin-steps-up-iran-war-live-updates/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/31/hiring-in-the-us-drops-to-pandemic-lows-as-job-market-under-trump-stagnates?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/31/whats-behind-donald-trumps-interest-in-irans-kharg-island?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Mar/31/china-pakistan-outline-five-point-plan-to-end-us-israel-war-on-iran
- [26] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiZ0FVX3lxTE90dHZRdWlORGY0UVFheG5CTUVaYXhmZ2xsdHpzTERQaUMtUjllc0lXMC1udVJMTlJFVTB5ckljUGx5RFZuREtab2JVcVRRNDBiUi1mV3o0NV9FWGlsRHlRY0lXNGFZRjA?oc=5
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTE9MYWZqOWJKMmJsOWl2ZmtOcG1qUHlLWk02b1NzUlFvU2Z0ZVRTaFpYZHRZX01URFM2OExMUmNQTGRWU1NFNlQxMkxpa292TDRYbWJMSGw1R2htR3lpT1l0WHVIY2hkNHN4OWxXckcyanNNdzhlMkRla3IzTXp2YVk?oc=5
- [28] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-plunges-stocks-soar-after-iranian-president-offers-first-signs-of-willingness-to-end-war-with-us-183158792.html
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxNTkNSR1NUcVd4NEkyRXN6TTVBZFVvNEFKZHRJc0RqMjBmVTR6eXBRVVFKeDcwLXA3YmlrQUYxZDlFa1hSb2h1TS03LXVnNy1SellPczFibzVEWUVfSW1XLThHZkZnWG42WENKN1F0NWtMNTJ3TEotaE5GbFdiVXVjNHdrUkhXaWl2V0pwWU5ucDJoRWs5VUlPVHFvT1k5UTcxMWNXV0FjX2I2b19WMXc?oc=5
- [30] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxNZnctT3ZsYkZIVFJPUXNFb1pvWDRxWDJxWjlkM0JmZHlOenltb2dnZVQyYUVCaXE1aVowZkowSlA1eUNRa0RuNGhYc2tsUzF4b0xiWlRJcGRCVTRQV3poUnk2Z1czX2VXMEptUkhQRnF3Ml9mcVNNWDJnUWxsaFNVN1BzMG9qM0xfcTdPbUd6QXVGX2hqY2tEWURGamdjS0NlV1JUeTIwbVJXbUJfMTdvYUhBMFlRZw?oc=5
2026-03-31
2026-03-31
进展要点
- 轨迹（升级）：冲突从持续军事打击转向领导层打击和关键通道管制。
- 美以军事行动进入第31天，伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊和国家安全负责人拉里贾尼在空袭中身亡。
- 伊朗议会通过霍尔木兹海峡收费和禁行法案，威胁全球石油运输。
- 科威特油轮在迪拜港遇袭，胡塞武装参战开辟红海新战线。
关键事件
- 美以空袭致伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊身亡 (Times of India)
- 伊朗议会通过霍尔木兹海峡收费法案 (China News Service)
- 科威特油轮在迪拜港遇袭，联合国部队三人死亡 (Al Jazeera)
关注 / 展望
关注谈判进展，特朗普设4月6日为最后期限，冲突可能进一步蔓延或出现停火机会。
关联路径
中东冲突升级 / 霍尔木兹海峡封锁风险 / 全球石油供应中断 / 通胀压力上升
地缘紧张加剧 / 避险情绪上升 / 股市下跌和黄金需求增加
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / Yonhap News TV / Times of India / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #3 / Yonhap News Agency / BBC News (Top)
参考链接
- [1] https://www.news.cn/world/20260330/a4156a8c98604fbaaee1ed080d686a4e/c.html
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20260330/9f3ed09e09c8421bb08ee61c114fa897/c.html
- [3] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-31/10595633.shtml
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331060611dr8
- [5] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/supreme-leader-ali-khamenei-security-chief-larijani-more-key-iranian-leaders-killed-in-us-israeli-strikes/articleshow/129907599.cms
- [6] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/03-30/10595608.shtml
- [7] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/f4f265702ff24d1292cbd62c8636324f/c.html
- [8] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/b7c8e9000fbd4cfc871051de1ed7b6f9/c.html
- [9] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/0b757beb8ee44c1186169d4b984f3d83/c.html
- [10] https://www.news.cn/world/20260330/2d2a9d5efb5446f99f6a0040090631cb/c.html
- [11] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/31/iran-war-live-kuwaiti-oil-tanker-hit-in-dubai-port-3-un-troops-killed?traffic_source=rss
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/31/al-jazeeras-full-interview-with-marco-rubio-on-us-war-on-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/questions-directes/20260330-crise-%C3%A9nerg%C3%A9tique-le-g7-%C3%A0-la-hauteur
- [14] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260331002400320
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331091039Faa
- [16] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-31/10595636.shtml
- [17] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9qdwpnwzwpo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [18] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/30/us/politics/us-missile-strike-iran-sports-hall-school.html
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331082958BSb
- [20] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202603310824239gJ
- [21] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-31/10595631.shtml
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxPZE1Oc2xwRE93TmlxNGxnNFZldTMzS2RuNG9KZHhTT2o2OVczQlhvR1pBZnJJNXlRSWtndDFlbFY4alFoMThScHZQcHJkcTlSMTJZTnJOcmlZTVNqcU1MdDlPR0ZaWmpMSUt1NE1pY3NFbXdZaWlzdlgyQ0hfSk5MbDhJMGVLUVRmVENQYllYYWhmSnd6NWdUYnJ0S1NRVHdMVlZyZzEzT2g2ekhxVTU2U0dlT0s?oc=5
- [23] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/iran-news-heute-us-spezialeinheiten-im-nahen-osten-angekommen-a-f1df0f24-9734-4bc2-b88c-caa4761ed54d
- [24] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331075620sy9
- [25] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331075817J9n
- [26] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-31/10595626.shtml
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTFBDeXpnM3NIMmhOUGR6Z0o0eU42Mm5JZURDT0hOdko2M05KRHpZeWJMdXNaMnVWeDd0U1RLVnh3VzhOOG9pakVwZnVENHFSYXhRbk1Fam5zM0JjSEpNWGxPcTBFMHlIcUZ2N2c?oc=5
- [28] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/info-%C3%A9co/20260330-contre-la-crise-de-l-%C3%A9nergie-un-g7-in%C3%A9dit-avec-banque-mondiale-fmi-aie
- [29] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/trump-eyes-arab-nations-to-fund-iran-war-amid-peace-talks-with-tehran/articleshow/129910962.cms
- [30] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331072941ROe