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大国博弈
俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫在德黑兰会见伊朗外长阿拉格齐,讨论对美战争与结束战争的途径,这是他自2025年2月以来首次访问伊朗;拉夫罗夫称俄方致力于10月2日生效的俄伊20年战略伙伴协议,并表示俄方专家将在战争期间离开后逐步返回布什尔核电站(来源:Al Jazeera Middle East)〔证据:342324〕;海湾阿拉伯国家合作委员会方面表示,成员国自战争开始以来已遭受超过7000枚伊朗导弹和无人机袭击,并呼吁莫斯科利用其对德黑兰的影响力推动恢复霍尔木兹海峡航运〔证据:342324〕 关键事件:俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫在德黑兰会见伊朗外长阿拉格齐,讨论对美战争与结束战争的途径,并重申俄方致力于10月2日生效的俄伊20年战略伙伴协议(来源:Al Jazeera Middle East)〔证据:342324〕;美国总统表示愿意与俄罗斯总统和中国国家主席会面以结束乌克兰战争,并称乌克兰总统应让其他人代为与莫斯科谈判(来源:El Mundo - International News)〔证据:342609〕 关注:关注拉夫罗夫访伊后俄方对霍尔木兹航运的表态,以及美方是否就三方会面提议作出安排。
信源画像
来源覆盖
最近更新: 2026-10-20
来源数
28
大陆
3
港澳台
0
海外
24
官媒/官方
3
非官媒
25
聚合源
1
优先原始报道
26
中文覆盖
3
英文覆盖
15
参考链接
132
未归类
1
国家 / 地区: Brazil / China / EU / France / India / Indonesia / International / Japan / Qatar / Russia / South Korea / UK / USA / Ukraine
来源样本
Xinhua Finance · 大陆 / 官方China News Service · 大陆 / 官方The HillRT News · 海外 / 媒体Al Jazeera Middle East · 海外 / 媒体France 24 #3 · 海外 / 媒体Le Monde International · 海外 / 媒体ANTARA News Agency · 海外 / 媒体The Hindu BusinessLine · 海外 / 媒体El Mundo - International News · 海外 / 媒体The New York Times · 海外 / 商业媒体The New Indian Express · 海外 / 媒体
来源样本来自本期引用与配置元数据,用于追溯覆盖,不代表背书或投资建议。
覆盖差异
覆盖差异
仅基于来源结构生成的规则观察,不包含立场判断。
覆盖以海外信源为主
提示当前窗口内海外信源 24 个,大陆信源 3 个。
英文覆盖多于中文覆盖
提示当前窗口内英文信源 15 个,中文信源 3 个。
研究投影
研究投影
关联品种: SC原油 / AU黄金 / PS多晶硅 / PR瓶片
跟踪状态: 跟踪中 16 / 待复核 32
生命周期建议: 继续跟踪 · 已有待回看跟踪点
最近检查点
- SC 1y · 跟踪中 · scheduled_long_horizon_checkpoint
- SC 6m · 待复核 · entry_bar_missing_backfill_required
- SC 3m · 待复核 · entry_bar_missing_backfill_required
- SC 1m · 待复核 · entry_bar_missing_backfill_required
2026-10-20
2026-10-20
进展要点
- 俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫在德黑兰会见伊朗外长阿拉格齐,讨论对美战争与结束战争的途径,这是他自2025年2月以来首次访问伊朗;拉夫罗夫称俄方致力于10月2日生效的俄伊20年战略伙伴协议,并表示俄方专家将在战争期间离开后逐步返回布什尔核电站(来源:Al Jazeera Middle East)〔证据:342324〕
- 海湾阿拉伯国家合作委员会方面表示,成员国自战争开始以来已遭受超过7000枚伊朗导弹和无人机袭击,并呼吁莫斯科利用其对德黑兰的影响力推动恢复霍尔木兹海峡航运〔证据:342324〕
- 美国总统表示愿意与俄罗斯总统和中国国家主席会面以结束乌克兰战争,并称乌克兰总统应让其他人代为与莫斯科谈判(来源:El Mundo - International News)〔证据:342609〕
- 轨迹(升级):10月16日已有美乌在军事通信与对俄制裁等问题上龃龉的报道,本期乌克兰总统称美国总统正推动乌克兰向俄罗斯投降(来源:The New York Times)〔证据:342330〕
关键事件
- 俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫在德黑兰会见伊朗外长阿拉格齐,讨论对美战争与结束战争的途径,并重申俄方致力于10月2日生效的俄伊20年战略伙伴协议(来源:Al Jazeera Middle East)〔证据:342324〕
- 美国总统表示愿意与俄罗斯总统和中国国家主席会面以结束乌克兰战争,并称乌克兰总统应让其他人代为与莫斯科谈判(来源:El Mundo - International News)〔证据:342609〕
- 乌克兰总统称美国总统正推动乌克兰向俄罗斯投降,并称乌方在袭击前遭遇美方情报共享疏漏(来源:The New York Times)〔证据:342330〕
关注 / 展望
关注拉夫罗夫访伊后俄方对霍尔木兹航运的表态,以及美方是否就三方会面提议作出安排。
关联路径
前提:海合会方面称成员国自战争开始以来遭受超过7000枚伊朗导弹和无人机袭击,并要求莫斯科施压德黑兰恢复航运〔证据:342324〕 / 关注海峡通行是否出现新的谈判条件。
来源
Xinhua Finance / China News Service / The Hill / RT News / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #3 / Le Monde International / ANTARA News Agency / The Hindu BusinessLine / El Mundo - International News / The New York Times / The New Indian Express / Euronews / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://thehill.com/policy/international/6157194-iran-minister-warns-us-attacks
- [2] https://rt-english.com/news/647401-netanyahu-attack-iran-without-us/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [3] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20261019/f4a3aa9b123f4b4b8dfedf21d404cf22/c.html
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/19/russias-lavrov-to-discuss-us-war-and-regional-security-during-tehran-visit?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/10-19/10717423.shtml
- [6] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/info-%C3%A9co/20261019-manifestations-du-17-octobre-pr%C3%A8s-de-3000-commerces-vandalis%C3%A9s
- [7] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/10/19/en-tournee-dans-le-golfe-persique-emmanuel-macron-cherche-une-issue-a-la-flambee-des-prix-du-carburant_6797585_3210.html
- [8] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5797785/pdb-tiongkok-tumbuh-45-persen-secara-tahunan-pada-q3-2026
- [9] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/china-imposes-export-controls-on-tunnel-boring-machines-sought-by-india-citing-national-security/article71602779.ece
- [10] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/10/19/6ad6745efc6c83a26e8b457f.html
- [11] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/19/opinion/beef-prices-cattle-farmers.html
- [12] https://www.newindianexpress.com/india/2026/Oct/19/us-very-close-to-finalising-trade-deal-with-india-says-marco-rubio
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirwFBVV95cUxQa3FXMzA3eTZOeUZjQTkwRHNfc1FhLWZQdVZhb2xxajdqYTBUNVY4Y3g5R2ppZkotSW5HVTRFTFlWbkNXU3h2Qnl5ZHR1b0tYZnZ1dTY1R3Q4ZzVFSWVJN1Q1SVdWbGtrYzhtdHg2Ym5yV3YzNkNtQTU0ZXBNR2FOOUxweXA3b0g3QUsxbjVyMklDMFlRZGU5WFZ4MGVtUVVzUXN0SkE3R3dmR3J2dGtR?oc=5
- [14] https://rt-english.com/news/647387-trump-great-progress-ukraine-talks/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [15] https://rt-english.com/news/647379-bessent-zelensky-russia-conflict/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [16] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20261019/0b35692da5f445cea05673ce4a190256/c.html
- [17] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/10-20/10717547.shtml
- [18] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20261020/28bdb8c7296341aea6c56c82105c76c9/c.html
- [19] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20261019-macron-kicks-off-three-day-gulf-tour-seeks-securing-fuel-supplies-amid-crisis
- [20] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20261019-%C3%A9mirats-arabes-unis-emmanuel-macron-d%C3%A9bute-sa-tourn%C3%A9e-dans-les-pays-de-golfe
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/19/trump-backs-netanyahu-is-the-us-planning-a-new-iran-attack-with-israel?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/10-19/10717483.shtml
- [23] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/19/world/europe/trump-zelensky-putin-ukraine-war.html
2026-04-21
2026-04-21
进展要点
- 轨迹(升级中):美伊谈判从持续对话转向紧张对峙,特朗普坚持封锁霍尔木兹海峡并威胁摧毁伊朗基础设施,伊朗对美不信任加剧。
- 特朗普宣布美伊新一轮谈判于4月21日开始,但表示若停火到期前未达成协议,延长停火'极不可能'(Xinhua World)。
- 特朗普称美国不会解除霍尔木兹海峡封锁,除非与伊朗达成协议;伊朗是否参加巴基斯坦和平会谈不确定(BBC News (Top))。
- 美国驻联合国代表为特朗普威胁摧毁伊朗民用基础设施辩护,称'完全可接受'(RT News)。
关键事件
- 特朗普宣布美伊新一轮谈判今日启动(Xinhua World)
- 特朗普称不会解除霍尔木兹封锁除非达成协议(BBC News (Top))
- 美国代表为威胁伊朗基础设施辩护(RT News)
关注 / 展望
关注4月22日停火到期前谈判进展,若破裂可能引发军事升级,进一步推高油价和避险需求。
关联路径
谈判破裂 / 中东紧张升级 / 油价上涨和避险资产需求增加
美伊对峙持续 / 霍尔木兹海峡封锁延长 / 全球原油供应中断风险
来源
Xinhua World / Xinhua Finance / China News Service / BBC News (Top) / Al Jazeera Middle East / The Independent / The New York Times / Google News - World / ABC News / RT News / Yonhap News TV
参考链接
- [1] https://www.news.cn/world/20260421/65dcf44dad444df1af920586d6915969/c.html
- [2] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cdxd88r2wjzo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/4/20/how-is-the-iran-war-affecting-the-russia-ukraine-conflict?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260421/e881f10543754b00b9e5db0a154542e5/c.html
- [5] https://www.independent.co.uk/bulletin/news/trump-iran-war-ceasefire-strait-of-hormuz-blockade-b2961365.html
- [6] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/20/us/politics/military-blockade-iran-strait-hormuz.html
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxORXd1REM4UGE3TGNlNUo3SENlLVVKU0c5a0pYSE9tUGxVSXZ4TTR5UDhNdjMtMzMyUGxSaXdMZFRaajVvZkl4X01FOER2QWFHTExmdUppX0N2UlpLdW5BOFp6R1dCQkpESGh0TDRLZU5ORlB3OXo2aFhMVTA1V1EyNmlkNndvMGU4MEl5WVB5eVVXUW1NY3p3aThMNjE3VVYtMTlybGpIMA?oc=5
- [8] https://abcnews.com/International/live-updates/iran-live-updates-marines-uss-tripoli-seized-iranian/?id=132196152
- [9] https://www.rt.com/news/638762-israel-blood-feud-us-iran-james-webb/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [10] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260420221202mpn
- [11] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/dxw/2026/04-20/10607342.shtml
- [12] https://www.news.cn/world/20260421/4c7f703fb14b4f41ad1af9f68fb3055c/c.html
- [13] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c75kg0vdxyro?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [14] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/20/us/politics/kevin-warsh-fed-senate-banking-committee-hearing.html
- [15] https://www.rt.com/news/638768-trump-iran-threats-acceptable/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwAFBVV95cUxQZklJTEJXMTV5c3o3REtYRTJCTmFRRVFWZEYzY2p2OEtGSTc2S3BnUVBLcmVDanltVGpvUVR1OWUydnJONTdETElIampPT1pCeXpiaVM0bXl4Tnk4YWtLQTdGM04tekZDUlg2SHdXX0lCNHBGSjlteUpJR05HbXRCV0NXNFZVNkpTay1sTGxoZXJ3ckhVRG5ZOVM0NWNTTDlybUdsbnlJTE1nMHdIZmpJbXJvbHF5VmNZZ1NwUEppOG8?oc=5
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/20/israel-never-talked-me-into-the-war-with-iran-trump-says?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-israel-iran-war-october-7-b2961183.html
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260420214421sFT
2026-04-02
2026-04-02
进展要点
- 轨迹(升级):特朗普近期频繁发表北约相关言论,威胁退出,增加全球安全不确定性
- 特朗普威胁美国退出北约,并称其为“纸老虎”,原因涉及欧洲拒绝霍尔木兹海峡援助
- 特朗普要求霍尔木兹海峡开放作为停火谈判前提,试图推卸美国责任
- 特朗普威胁削减对乌克兰军援以施压欧洲支持安全联盟
关键事件
- 特朗普威胁退出北约(BBC News (Top))
- 特朗普要求霍尔木兹海峡开放作为谈判前提(Yahoo News - World)
- 特朗普威胁削减对乌军援(Valor Econômico Politics)
关注 / 展望
关注欧洲国家反应和北约紧急会议;特朗普的言论可能引发全球外交重新调整。
关联路径
美国与北约紧张 / 全球安全风险 / 避险资产需求上升
特朗普外交政策转向 / 国际联盟不确定性 / 市场波动性增加
来源
Xinhua World / Xinhua Finance / Al Jazeera Middle East / BBC News (Top) / BBC News (Business) / PBS NewsHour / Ukrainian National News (UNN) - Politics / Google News - World
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/2/iran-war-live-trump-to-address-nation-tehran-denies-seeking-ceasefire?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20260402/33177de39fe3445f9a61ae9037bade69/c.html
- [3] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260401/9c763c423582452e84358382a1d6fbf7/c.html
- [4] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c78l70g124jo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [5] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/5c76f8eba9eb47b092d05f092929af41/c.html
- [6] https://www.news.cn/world/20260402/e724e267b7fe4019b374dadc569c27b4/c.html
- [7] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/a2fef62739bd4b41a0bea9e0cf206c9a/c.html
- [8] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c2489v97842o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [9] https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/trump-signals-iran-war-could-end-soon-but-gives-mixed-signals-on-how
- [10] https://unn.ua/news/tramp-zrobyv-zaiavu-shchodo-vykhodu-ssha-z-nato
- [11] https://unn.ua/news/sohodni-dovoli-nasychenyi-dyplomatychnyi-den-zelenskyi-nazvav-masovanu-ataku-rf-rosiiskoiu-vidpoviddiu-na-dyplomatiiu
- [12] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTE4xb3ZESG5sSVBvUldEcWdRUXVkc3d0QmtzTkJNOVR2bWl4MGVxZVNmQWhROEhoVEVvYkFYdVFUajBzaWFPc2w4RHNaY2t6WDM5bmo3SUdWV3U4NzFjcjA3OEp6UnEyV1ZlUEZ1YWpwaV83VXkzQjl0Z3F4eXNtQ1E?oc=5
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiowFBVV95cUxQbXpVX3k4YXdlNko5NE1jZkFoRGNnTXVGcnhPbDJ1dXdoQVBLeml2bmRKMEhuUXhzTzhoZ2Nuck12ZWg5Ti1jaVpXNjI0dHVsdnpNaGZUejU1V1FWaFUyRjJQUFE5cktuMDhoVFhYcy1wbWRYLWRsc0dURDlHa0Y2RTBHQ2FVSGg1VGE3amVKbXRqczBKT3ZyY0Zrc2pZeWhoVnpz0gGoAUFVX3lxTE9Tc1NqbERCYXZDY0F0cU93NmR2S2xfMWRnZkRHSllKcHdYaHY1bVNva25XSGIybkhPQVlLZjAwTkNIYzFrYUY1YWsyTV9NRTU4OWptUjhFY3NQZTRGdkVYOE5LWHA4bmZvU0NSNVRoME5fV1cxZmgtYnFrbUlPTVRJdG1lVHcxNmdZUEktTkZhWG1jOUoxdmJrR3UtVlhFRVVDUEJmSi1TNw?oc=5
- [14] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-world/4108174-tramp-vistupit-sogodni-vveceri-zi-zvernennam-pro-peremogu-u-vijni-proti-iranu-politico.html
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxOVnBCaHJjSm1wOHRTS2c1UmhYWXlyeFBwUWxmUTdUenh3NGxKeEJRcURKVEFjWDBwdXJvZHQ5NWFvNTBHNGZrNXFWdjR6Q2R0MDlicHUtYkVIWGtYaGVKZnVvcmZDWWhrcDhqaTBqMFd6ZzdROVFxNjRuZHBIVVdfb2c0aUNQbThDREc3Z1VfTm8yZ3ZzS0lXT0c0VkZvLVBwU2RDNkU3b0FFa3daY25ISg?oc=5
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigAFBVV95cUxQd3pIQndwVTNkZFgzZUVqQmFldUQ4Q2RvR0Y4dkdnb3Z5NGloNllJWlUzY0QtYldPT05tSjYya0hxMmVaY20walNxeWZ5X0FOWkc1QnFlMWV3eERxVGZpSXlXbmZoS2thaVhTQ1FnU3NfeGlMeHNld1lvUTdmSTNyNNIBhgFBVV95cUxNblp6MFR0azlvSWlfOXZYSlQ0Q0hsT1lkS1BXN2lTODlHMmdENFdKZWZ4Zlk1VGhpWUtRamNjaFRScG9ycWU5Q0JLTDhvM3lXbkxVWTNISjRSVUF3cjJjeVpRUDlNdWdLU1NZY0NDYlQ3UUhXbV9GVVVkSjJGSGFaSV82WF9ZZw?oc=5
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxOQUtoOFhoajBOVWFhRUhJc3pxREFDQUt4ZzRJRmFXSHc4OE1WcHRvWElsMTdiVUtZeFNzZGFmOW95c2ZGcWRFRURoVTlvd1FqeUNDNWZYMjBjTURmUWFJNGpZaTBwaFZYNzFqc1FTdkdRT1RqVDBUc3JGOTh4OFprWWdSajlxS0NDRmJjUy01blVUX29reTRNZEM2cjFJMTUxaWlQWTVmMA?oc=5
- [18] https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/article/ahead-of-national-address-trump-says-strait-of-hormuz-must-be-open-free-and-clear-before-ceasefire-talks-161325922.html
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/4/1/smoke-and-embers-seen-over-irans-isfahan-after-strike?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://unn.ua/news/tramp-sohodni-oholosyt-pro-zavershennia-viiny-z-iranom-ta-vysune-ultymatum-nato-politico
- [21] https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/04/01/rssia-diz-que-assumiu-o-controle-total-da-regio-de-luhansk-no-leste-da-ucrnia.ghtml
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwAFBVV95cUxOZms5Smk3QThZbjZrNndNN0JzVHVXWlBZZlRiRmdxQWNfMVJheFhOX0VHWFlJSFljTG1FUnFXbFR5WkQ5a1JjU0Z5ZmpiRUNiTlJIVDN4QXpUdmplMkZBNlVPeXl2NzYxNDMyalJiOVJ1a3V2ZVJkM1hlZTdILVZfdDM0ZXlCT0RuM05SUmVrbmYxY3J3N0w5LXMxOGFyeENlWTFQYVZJVkdhQ0w2eDRkaG5KSG5IaWd5U3hQSFRxWm8?oc=5
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixgFBVV95cUxNcjRCbG93VGRqVlVZeWpyLWtxcXJSbEtFX0d1VE5PQ2VnaGYyVktxMDhFVlQ0a1A4QnlhUjU2SVlSVWlucU5QdkEzZWFMblZQcmVmYVBhN2N4dm52SXRCS0dYZGdmRWdfazNqUU8xZVY0TUY1R3N5czc3MXdWQ2pYLVhWZmlTblIxbm55RFhTdk1FS1Z6THE4MTRTOVp4aWtGdDg3RFhpZEVGaHNmRVB6RHc4ZEVjb2prcXFNa01OVDJFUnY1aEE?oc=5
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/4/1/central-israel-hit-by-one-of-irans-largest-missile-barrages-in-weeks?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://unn.ua/news/rosiia-vidpovila-masovanoiu-atakoiu-droniv-na-propozytsiiu-ukrainy-pro-velykodnie-peremyria-zelenskyi
- [26] https://www.rt.com/news/636985-starmer-albanese-iran-energy/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiWkFVX3lxTFBCel9UNjBCMnFjc2tsQVBmVFpSX3BPbjh3bzVFRFc3QklvQmpaRUZiNGxpZmVqb1VQM0hGRWJ4NWFscHVrSGNtNzV4VDZPLUpiTklnZkVOUzZDUQ?oc=5
- [28] https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/04/01/trump-ameaca-cortar-armas-para-ucrania-se-europa-nao-apoiar-coalizao-para-ormuz.ghtml
- [29] https://www.rt.com/news/636981-iran-war-us-israel-trump/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [30] https://www.npr.org/2026/04/01/nx-s1-5770093/trump-address-iran-war
2026-04-01
2026-04-01
进展要点
- 轨迹(调整):美国减少北约角色,欧洲抵制军事行动,历史片段显示北约压力和外交介入,今日事件包括撤离计划和欧洲抵制。
- 特朗普称美国可能在2-3周内撤离伊朗。
- 欧洲国家抵制美国部分军事行动,担忧伊朗战争升级。
- 中国和巴基斯坦提出五点计划旨在结束美以对伊朗战争。
关键事件
- 特朗普称美国将撤离伊朗(Al Jazeera)
- 欧洲抵制美国军事行动(Google News - World)
- 中巴提出五点计划结束战争(The New Indian Express)
关注 / 展望
观察美欧关系演变及大国在中东的外交斡旋,如俄罗斯普京与阿联酋通话表达关切。
关联路径
北约弱化 / 地缘不确定性 / 避险需求增加
大国外交介入 / 冲突缓解可能性 / 风险资产调整
来源
Xinhua World / Al Jazeera Middle East / RT News / Google News - World / Nikkei Asia / O Globo Politics / EL PAÍS América / The New Indian Express
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/31/us-israel-launch-major-attacks-as-iranian-authorities-maintain-defiance?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/4c4cac52441b485dbd6a8df270ff155b/c.html
- [3] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/38b5771ae34c407f81670651669100ff/c.html
- [4] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/732d80efd7f9462f8d3b745e1ee64101/c.html
- [5] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/4fa12e0e7874490a86812ff9c4188bb1/c.html
- [6] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/18d6a28a2bc847bdb7d6e8b8bdc7b7fe/c.html
- [7] https://www.news.cn/world/20260401/8f2ffd6270b542fba98a9d8cbae5a0b7/c.html
- [8] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/048988fff40141b7aecf9cd2c5373dfb/c.html
- [9] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/55e6f8748c3a4d8faeec9c26b56c1f89/c.html
- [10] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/31/trump-says-us-will-be-leaving-iran-in-two-to-three-weeks?traffic_source=rss
- [11] https://www.rt.com/news/636893-nato-without-america-shift/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/31/after-strait-of-hormuz-opens-turmoil-would-still-last-months-analysts-say?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/31/eu-warns-oil-and-gas-prices-wont-quickly-return-to-normal-after-iran-war?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxOdDBCeWVSazlVOWZVR2JNQkVxbTloSjAtOUZtaDBadkwzNW9zZHcyWHNQaFhqNGJYQm1kMlp6UEkxLWRaU1FBLVBmYUNMMEs3UUFSejJpVjMzclFkcjl2Yl8wZ3p5a0N5Tm9TWGNyS3htQ3haRFVlb1g4T3V2ejJGSHhIZlExR01kNDFHU0tydk9BWWswV0R6QjJVWFp0VnhLWVhpdXVmN3A1elpyRXdoQXRKTGJ4dw?oc=5
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxPTGI1RDRzSnZ0MW9jTlhyd0tGNFdjQk5EQkwtS3U3UjJXUzFxR05NRVlmT01WLUtEeGlTZzhiUExVbEpENElQT05YckFqcS1URTRZQUZtMzZ1UF9YSXFUYVNlT2ttbjRaTFlhUXVkQmJHVV9oUUFtNjA2N1VzVFpOS0QxNFkzeWozYmFOYWx0bFZ3YzJESUtxZ2RfREtYR2RiaWFQS2VBRzdhcUpUNTBVRGQyMkYweHFHd0Ew?oc=5
- [16] https://asia.nikkei.com/economy/trade-war/trump-tariffs/us-rushes-to-set-up-refund-portal-to-pay-back-166bn-in-trump-tariffs
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTE53b3lVZW5GdzFVOU5YSGZoOFJDVWNORVl2SHZZTjBQNjhlY05tY2R6RzdpcF9yWWxEMUZ4MllSNU92SDhnRkQ3clBsZU5lV3ltcVA5YllGWVlOemV1TzlEZ2stNk5XMU1uZ3hsVTMzQXJOWFN5eEVmS2F1SkVjQms?oc=5
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxQTEJJSWs3ZWoxYi1rSWs2YXd3VWFMNGs0UEtERkM5OVcwNm44V3dxcVd0anUzb3A1SFZ0MndLU3dHYnROR1FaekxYNDRPaUlMTUQtbHlFWDZXajhWeXRKRmJfUDVnSTYwSDdBX3h6eHVLNncxU2NsSS1zYjcwUzd4MnZwMTdqM1BwaTNNR3BOcEQwdw?oc=5
- [19] https://oglobo.globo.com/blogs/miriam-leitao/post/2026/03/crise-do-petroleo-uniao-europeia-ja-pede-menos-viagens-de-aviao-e-mais-home-office.ghtml
- [20] https://elpais.com/economia/2026-03-31/wall-street-sube-y-el-petroleo-cae-ante-la-disposicion-de-iran-de-negociar-el-fin-del-conflicto.html
- [21] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Mar/31/we-changed-face-of-middle-east-netanyahu-says-war-on-iran-not-over
- [22] https://www.rt.com/news/636876-putin-steps-up-iran-war-live-updates/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/31/hiring-in-the-us-drops-to-pandemic-lows-as-job-market-under-trump-stagnates?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/3/31/whats-behind-donald-trumps-interest-in-irans-kharg-island?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Mar/31/china-pakistan-outline-five-point-plan-to-end-us-israel-war-on-iran
- [26] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiZ0FVX3lxTE90dHZRdWlORGY0UVFheG5CTUVaYXhmZ2xsdHpzTERQaUMtUjllc0lXMC1udVJMTlJFVTB5ckljUGx5RFZuREtab2JVcVRRNDBiUi1mV3o0NV9FWGlsRHlRY0lXNGFZRjA?oc=5
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMif0FVX3lxTE9MYWZqOWJKMmJsOWl2ZmtOcG1qUHlLWk02b1NzUlFvU2Z0ZVRTaFpYZHRZX01URFM2OExMUmNQTGRWU1NFNlQxMkxpa292TDRYbWJMSGw1R2htR3lpT1l0WHVIY2hkNHN4OWxXckcyanNNdzhlMkRla3IzTXp2YVk?oc=5
- [28] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-plunges-stocks-soar-after-iranian-president-offers-first-signs-of-willingness-to-end-war-with-us-183158792.html
- [29] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxNTkNSR1NUcVd4NEkyRXN6TTVBZFVvNEFKZHRJc0RqMjBmVTR6eXBRVVFKeDcwLXA3YmlrQUYxZDlFa1hSb2h1TS03LXVnNy1SellPczFibzVEWUVfSW1XLThHZkZnWG42WENKN1F0NWtMNTJ3TEotaE5GbFdiVXVjNHdrUkhXaWl2V0pwWU5ucDJoRWs5VUlPVHFvT1k5UTcxMWNXV0FjX2I2b19WMXc?oc=5
- [30] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitgFBVV95cUxNZnctT3ZsYkZIVFJPUXNFb1pvWDRxWDJxWjlkM0JmZHlOenltb2dnZVQyYUVCaXE1aVowZkowSlA1eUNRa0RuNGhYc2tsUzF4b0xiWlRJcGRCVTRQV3poUnk2Z1czX2VXMEptUkhQRnF3Ml9mcVNNWDJnUWxsaFNVN1BzMG9qM0xfcTdPbUd6QXVGX2hqY2tEWURGamdjS0NlV1JUeTIwbVJXbUJfMTdvYUhBMFlRZw?oc=5
2026-03-31
2026-03-31
进展要点
- 轨迹(转向):从军事对抗转向谈判努力,但伴随威胁和不确定性。
- 特朗普敦促伊朗达成协议,设谈判最后期限,同时考虑让阿拉伯国家资助战争。
- 美国国务卿鲁比奥声称伊朗战争目标数周内达成,显示军事和政治双轨策略。
- 伊朗拒绝参与停战会议,否认与美国直接谈判。
关键事件
- 特朗普敦促伊朗达成协议,美国将回应海法袭击 (The Jerusalem Post)
- 美国国务卿称伊朗战争目标数周内达成 (Al Jazeera)
- 特朗普考虑让阿拉伯国家资助战争 (Times of India)
关注 / 展望
关注美伊谈判进展,潜在协议可能缓和紧张,但军事风险仍高。
关联路径
美伊谈判进展 / 中东局势缓和 / 石油供应风险下降
大国博弈升级 / 全球不稳定因素增加 / 市场波动性上升
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / Yonhap News TV / Times of India / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #3 / Yonhap News Agency / BBC News (Top)
参考链接
- [1] https://www.news.cn/world/20260330/a4156a8c98604fbaaee1ed080d686a4e/c.html
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20260330/9f3ed09e09c8421bb08ee61c114fa897/c.html
- [3] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-31/10595633.shtml
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331060611dr8
- [5] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/supreme-leader-ali-khamenei-security-chief-larijani-more-key-iranian-leaders-killed-in-us-israeli-strikes/articleshow/129907599.cms
- [6] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/03-30/10595608.shtml
- [7] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/f4f265702ff24d1292cbd62c8636324f/c.html
- [8] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/b7c8e9000fbd4cfc871051de1ed7b6f9/c.html
- [9] https://www.news.cn/world/20260331/0b757beb8ee44c1186169d4b984f3d83/c.html
- [10] https://www.news.cn/world/20260330/2d2a9d5efb5446f99f6a0040090631cb/c.html
- [11] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/31/iran-war-live-kuwaiti-oil-tanker-hit-in-dubai-port-3-un-troops-killed?traffic_source=rss
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/31/al-jazeeras-full-interview-with-marco-rubio-on-us-war-on-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/questions-directes/20260330-crise-%C3%A9nerg%C3%A9tique-le-g7-%C3%A0-la-hauteur
- [14] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260331002400320
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331091039Faa
- [16] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-31/10595636.shtml
- [17] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9qdwpnwzwpo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [18] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/30/us/politics/us-missile-strike-iran-sports-hall-school.html
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331082958BSb
- [20] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202603310824239gJ
- [21] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-31/10595631.shtml
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxPZE1Oc2xwRE93TmlxNGxnNFZldTMzS2RuNG9KZHhTT2o2OVczQlhvR1pBZnJJNXlRSWtndDFlbFY4alFoMThScHZQcHJkcTlSMTJZTnJOcmlZTVNqcU1MdDlPR0ZaWmpMSUt1NE1pY3NFbXdZaWlzdlgyQ0hfSk5MbDhJMGVLUVRmVENQYllYYWhmSnd6NWdUYnJ0S1NRVHdMVlZyZzEzT2g2ekhxVTU2U0dlT0s?oc=5
- [23] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/iran-news-heute-us-spezialeinheiten-im-nahen-osten-angekommen-a-f1df0f24-9734-4bc2-b88c-caa4761ed54d
- [24] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331075620sy9
- [25] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260331075817J9n
- [26] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/03-31/10595626.shtml
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTFBDeXpnM3NIMmhOUGR6Z0o0eU42Mm5JZURDT0hOdko2M05KRHpZeWJMdXNaMnVWeDd0U1RLVnh3VzhOOG9pakVwZnVENHFSYXhRbk1Fam5zM0JjSEpNWGxPcTBFMHlIcUZ2N2c?oc=5
- [28] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/info-%C3%A9co/20260330-contre-la-crise-de-l-%C3%A9nergie-un-g7-in%C3%A9dit-avec-banque-mondiale-fmi-aie
- [29] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/trump-eyes-arab-nations-to-fund-iran-war-amid-peace-talks-with-tehran/articleshow/129910962.cms
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