专题时间线
国内政治
关键事件：阿尔伯塔省今日举行独立公投，加拿大身份危机加剧（El Mundo - International News）〔证据:341566〕；巴黎爆发新一轮冲突，燃料价格抗议升级（Yahoo News - World）〔证据:341514〕
信源画像
来源覆盖
最近更新: 2026-10-19
来源数
80
大陆
4
港澳台
0
海外
74
官媒/官方
8
非官媒
72
聚合源
2
优先原始报道
76
中文覆盖
4
英文覆盖
34
参考链接
200
未归类
2
国家 / 地区: Brazil / Canada / China / EU / France / Germany / India / Indonesia / International / Iran / Japan / Qatar / Russia / South Korea / Turkey / UK / USA / Ukraine
来源样本
China News Service · 大陆 / 官方Xinhua Finance · 大陆 / 官方The Hindu · 海外 / 媒体Ukrinform · 海外 / 媒体The New Indian Express · 海外 / 媒体El Mundo - International News · 海外 / 媒体Al Jazeera Middle East · 海外 / 媒体USA TodayYahoo News - World · 海外 / 聚合The New York Times · 海外 / 商业媒体Le Monde International · 海外 / 媒体POLITICO Europe · 海外 / 媒体
来源样本来自本期引用与配置元数据，用于追溯覆盖，不代表背书或投资建议。
覆盖差异
覆盖差异
仅基于来源结构生成的规则观察，不包含立场判断。
覆盖以海外信源为主
提示当前窗口内海外信源 74 个，大陆信源 4 个。
英文覆盖多于中文覆盖
提示当前窗口内英文信源 34 个，中文信源 4 个。
研究投影
研究投影
关联品种: AU黄金 / PS多晶硅 / SC原油 / SR白糖
跟踪状态: 跟踪中 16 / 待复核 17 / 已复核 15
生命周期建议: 继续跟踪 · 近 30 天仍有多样本延续
最近检查点
- AU 1y · 跟踪中 · scheduled_long_horizon_checkpoint
- AU 6m · 待复核 · target_bar_missing_backfill_required
- AU 3m · 待复核 · target_bar_missing_backfill_required
- AU 1m · 待复核 · target_bar_missing_backfill_required
2026-10-19
2026-10-19
关键事件
- 阿尔伯塔省今日举行独立公投，加拿大身份危机加剧（El Mundo - International News）〔证据:341566〕
- 巴黎爆发新一轮冲突，燃料价格抗议升级（Yahoo News - World）〔证据:341514〕
- 马克龙承诺法国抗议骚乱后保持"完全透明"（POLITICO Europe）〔证据:341529〕
来源
China News Service / Xinhua Finance / The Hindu / Ukrinform / The New Indian Express / El Mundo - International News / Al Jazeera Middle East / USA Today / Yahoo News - World / The New York Times / Le Monde International / POLITICO Europe / DW (Deutsche Welle)
参考链接
- [1] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/oil-tanker-on-fire-after-hitting-mine-in-hormuz-irans-guards/article71596177.ece
- [2] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-ato/4175713-droni-fp1-sil-oboroni-urazili-u-peterburzi-obekti-naftovoi-ta-cifrovoi-infrastrukturi.html
- [3] https://www.newindianexpress.com/business/2026/Oct/18/vedanta-doubles-south-africa-zinc-capacity-with-600-million-investment
- [4] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/10/19/6ad3b2cee85eceb80e8b4575.html
- [5] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/18/gcc-condemns-houthi-attacks-on-saudi-arabia-as-yemen-fighting-intensifies?traffic_source=rss
- [6] https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/weather/2026/10/18/el-nino-atmospheric-rivers-west-coast/92248452007
- [7] https://uk.news.yahoo.com/france-faces-aftermath-worst-unrest-094920368.html
- [8] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/18/us/inflation-snap-benefit-cuts-families-food-pantry.html
- [9] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/10-19/10716915.shtml
- [10] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/10/18/en-direct-guerre-en-ukraine-donald-trump-accuse-volodymyr-zelensky-de-ne-pas-vouloir-mettre-fin-a-la-guerre-avec-la-russie_6796922_3210.html
- [11] https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-transparency-france-protest-unrest/?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=RSS_Syndication
- [12] https://www.dw.com/en/saudi-arabia-sends-skyscraper-employees-home-amid-houthi-threats/a-79693225?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [13] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20261019/70f4757ce64c4cdba0107f09fff4abe8/c.html
- [14] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/zelenskyy-says-trump-could-lift-more-russia-sanctions/article71597822.ece
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/18/taiwan-drives-away-16-chinese-ships-accused-of-maritime-harassment?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Oct/18/egypts-top-security-body-agrees-to-help-saudi-arabia-defend-itself-against-houthi-attacks
- [17] https://www.newindianexpress.com/business/2026/Oct/18/gold-etf-doors-shut-this-diwali-is-digital-gold-a-safe-substitute
- [18] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/18/gaza-families-fear-food-shortages-as-israel-halts-commercial-shipments?traffic_source=rss
- [19] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/us-resumes-intelligence-sharing-ukraine-135650691.html
- [20] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/10/18/au-venezuela-la-prix-nobel-de-la-paix-maria-corina-machado-reconnue-leader-de-l-opposition-lors-d-un-grand-accord-national_6797230_3210.html
- [21] https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-to-address-france-as-trump-says-the-country-burning/?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=RSS_Syndication
- [22] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/sh/2026/10-18/10716842.shtml
- [23] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/10/18/6ad4f7befc6c83b4228b45a4.html
- [24] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/10-19/10716910.shtml
2026-10-18
2026-10-18
进展要点
- 法国多地周六爆发反对高物价的示威活动，警方与组织方统计参与人数在55万至80万之间；示威结束后出现冲突、纵火、抢劫和破坏，约400人被逮捕。（France 24 - France News）〔证据:340927〕
关键事件
- 法国反高物价示威演变为暴力冲突（France 24 - France News）〔证据:340927〕
来源
Xinhua Finance / CBS News / Stern Politik / Al Jazeera Middle East / Jovem Pan News / Poder360 / The New York Times / La Libre - International Europe / El País Internacional / ANTARA News Jawa Timur / POLITICO Europe / France 24 - France News / Focus Taiwan Politics / RT News / Ukrinform / Yahoo News - World / Le Monde International / The New Indian Express / French Presidency - Élysée
参考链接
- [1] https://www.cbsnews.com/live-updates/iran-war-us-trump-strait-of-hormuz-yemen-houthis-saudi-arabia
- [2] https://www.stern.de/politik/ausland/iran-krieg--iran-meldet-erneut-explosion-an-supertanker-38412164.html
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/10/17/iranian-tv-airs-video-said-to-show-tanker-explosion-in-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://jovempan.com.br/mundo/trump-derruba-lei-que-estabelecia-novas-sancoes-e-tarifas-contra-a-russia
- [5] https://www.poder360.com.br/poder-internacional/trump-decide-suspender-pacote-de-sancoes-contra-a-russia
- [6] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/17/us/politics/russia-gas-trump.html
- [7] https://www.lalibre.be/economie/2026/10/16/les-vingt-sept-nont-pas-de-solution-miracle-pour-endiguer-la-flambee-des-prix-de-lenergie-et-se-tournent-vers-von-der-leyen-FHMV33EYZZC3TIOHEWSAALH764
- [8] https://elpais.com/us/2026-10-17/trump-suspende-temporalmente-sanciones-contra-rusia-por-interes-nacional.html
- [9] https://jatim.antaranews.com/berita/1108101/rencana-phk-di-stelco-picu-ketegangan-kanada-dan-produsen-baja-as
- [10] https://www.politico.eu/article/volodymyr-zelenskyy-says-vladimir-putin-looking-cause-ukraine-wide-blackout/?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=RSS_Syndication
- [11] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/le-d%C3%A9bat/20261015-dette-la-france-au-pied-du-mur
- [12] https://focustaiwan.tw/business/202610170012
- [13] https://rt-english.com/news/647327-trump-musk-ukraine-starlink/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [14] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20261017/9762181207b14d439b4caa480f4b94c7/c.html
- [15] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-economy/4175462-rosiani-vranci-atakuvali-zaporizstal-e-poskodzenna.html
- [16] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trumps-decision-waive-russian-sanctions-150900278.html
- [17] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/10/17/en-direct-guerre-en-ukraine-donald-trump-exempte-la-russie-de-nouvelles-sanctions-kiev-denonce-un-encouragement-a-poursuivre-les-attaques_6791198_3210.html
- [18] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Oct/17/zelenskyy-urges-support-for-new-us-sanctions-on-russia-after-trump-puts-them-on-hold-2
- [19] https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2026/10/16/declaration-de-presse-conjointe-franco-allemande-sur-lavenir-de-lindustrie-automobile-europeenne
- [20] https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ukraine-trump-zelenskyy-starlink-russia-war-drones
- [21] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/17/business/trump-corporate-tax-revenue.html
- [22] https://www.lalibre.be/international/europe/guerre-ukraine-russie/2026/10/17/trump-exempte-la-russie-de-nouvelles-sanctions-invoquant-linteret-national-des-etats-unis-UR5Q676DGVHBDKXOBAOOP6B5PA
- [23] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-10-16/trump-tacha-de-verguenza-la-reanudacion-de-los-ataques-ucranios-contra-las-refinerias-rusas.html
- [24] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/17/business/trump-russia-sanctions-congress.html
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/17/trump-faces-bipartisan-backlash-over-russia-sanctions-waiver?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/zelenskyy-urges-support-us-sanctions-101109241.html
- [27] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/10/17/10-17-egypt-saudi-houths-clip?traffic_source=rss
- [28] https://www.france24.com/fr/france/20261017-affrontements-incendies-sc%C3%A8nes-de-chaos-%C3%A0-l-issue-des-manifestations-contre-la-vie-ch%C3%A8re-macron-melenchon-paris
2026-10-13
2026-10-13
进展要点
- 美国总统特朗普宣布与普京达成俄罗斯柴油分阶段交付协议，随后又宣布俄乌能源停火，旨在中期选举前压低汽油价格，但这一政治算计风险极高。（France 24 #3）〔证据:335713〕
关键事件
- 特朗普借俄柴油协议干预中期选举，政治风险高企（France 24 #3）〔证据:335713〕
关联路径
俄柴油协议 / 美汽油价格预期 / 选举前能源市场波动
来源
Xinhua Finance / China News Service / ORF.at News / RT News / Yahoo News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #3 / The Hindu / ANTARA News / The New York Times / DW Germany News / ANTARA News Jawa Timur / Die Zeit Politics / Google News - World / BBC News (Top) / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://orf.at/stories/3444847
- [2] https://rt-english.com/news/647096-iran-us-tech-targets/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [3] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/saudi-arabia-vows-retaliation-against-224323273.html
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/10/12/oil-tanker-reportedly-attacked-in-strait-of-hormuz-region?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20261013/8b64f945b61541cb8df7f5082a12cfea/c.html
- [6] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/le-d%C3%A9bat/20261012-ukraine-un-pi%C3%A8ge-tendu-par-trump
- [7] https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/doval-speaks-to-iran-nsa-discusses-latest-developments-after-ships-attacked-in-hormuz/article71576822.ece
- [8] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5782784/india-kecam-serangan-ke-kapal-kapal-komersial-di-wilayah-selat-hormuz
- [9] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/12/world/europe/russia-diesel-trump.html
- [10] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/10-13/10712346.shtml
- [11] https://www.dw.com/en/germany-news-merz-says-trump-s-russia-diesel-deal-out-of-question-for-europe/live-79636427?maca=en-rss-en-ger-1023-rdf
- [12] https://jatim.antaranews.com/berita/1106070/harga-minyak-mentah-indonesia-naik-jadi-11281-dolar-as-per-barel
- [13] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-10/drohnenangriffe-schwarzes-meer-bulgarien-handelsschiffe-russland
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwAFBVV95cUxPYWxLV1J6R2V3UDNKc2FwUU9oQ2dvUGVXd2FQTTNQdFM2QVVBLU54eWN0SFktR25BT0l3U3NIRldielJHYjBLY1lfMTk1OGZGVUZtOG4yMXhINzZSVDhwdXZScWtCUDdVYWxjSkF6RThTcHhyMWN3Z1hrWjNMSFJFMm04eVRKZ2luSkJjWUpKM2RYSXdXa2ZKbk94MjRjaXFDRDRtLXd3c3pMbk1Ld21LOE13WEZMUXp5YWdEcnNYMzc?oc=5
- [15] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvlyd4pdlwkxo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/10/12/iran-sets-crosshairs-on-us-uae-oil-shuttle-out-of-strait-of-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/the-debate/20261012-how-exposed-is-saudi-arabia-yemen-s-houthis-scale-up-drone-and-missile-attacks
- [18] https://rt-english.com/news/647087-zelensky-not-good-ally-us/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [19] https://rt-english.com/news/647078-yemen-houthis-trump-warning/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [20] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9co-tech/20261012-%C3%A9lections-midterms-poutine-gazole-russie-faux-joker-politique-pour-donald-trump-%C3%A9tats-unis
- [21] https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/article/3-charts-sum-up-why-many-us-households-are-struggling-right-now-153911897.html
- [22] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/12/world/europe/russia-ukraine-war-us-diesel-deal-negotiations.html
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitwFBVV95cUxQdGdCZ0NpSU92cjlMRS1LM2RvN202dGRWb1FKOG9hQllkeWNfTUFwbUdJQzRsX0Z0cGFaOTgzUkJjNEF1aWtOcnQyWnRFNllYOHREOVF3dTZpOEs5ZjNmcUgwLUk0TG5mX0V3dmtKYlBQUV9LdTVET1piY0stTS1lUEFyeHBsZS1wVmlnMzZWRkZ4Nnh2bDJKNFVEODZtQnZ6NDk2RFJ6RjhSOW9qMmVSWlpyWVNsMTjSAbwBQVVfeXFMTnlxN3ZuVzR0OGdibldycElnSElZbUcxemV6c1VaM0hVYy10ZDRxREp5c2FzRndLNy1kZFZhV1E1UzRmZFFkTExtOXlLWGRLZnNQbWo1cjZHRDd5dDdBS2xVcGdXZVlld0p0UFVMWjVBaVBkTHFaZ1FPTUVSWWtpZ2htM1VMaXF2b2xxdWlGWVo4azZkT281ekdlZnR
- [24] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-10/waffenruhe-ukraine-russland-donald-trump-energieanlagen
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/12/why-are-the-houthis-striking-saudi-airports?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/12/economy/federal-reserve-inflation-pain
2026-10-11
2026-10-11
进展要点
- 特朗普政府临时允许从巴西等国免税进口牛肉以压低价格，但牛肉零售价仅微降约2%，牧场主因牛价下跌200-400美元而愤怒，可能影响中期选举。（Yahoo News - World）〔证据:333878〕
关键事件
- 特朗普牛肉进口计划未压价，牧场主与选民不满（Yahoo News - World）〔证据:333878〕
关联路径
牛肉进口政策 / 牛价下跌 / 牧场主利润受损
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / RT News / The New York Times / La Libre - International Europe / El Mundo - International News / Jovem Pan News / Valor Econômico Politics / n-tv Politik / Stern Politik / The New Indian Express / Yahoo News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / DW (Deutsche Welle)
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/647021-pasta-us-russia-diesel-deal/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20261010/ef4664c1deb04152b166a3132fd2babf/c.html
- [3] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/10-11/10710859.shtml
- [4] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/10/world/europe/ukraine-russia-trump-diesel-talks.html
- [5] https://www.lalibre.be/international/europe/2026/10/10/accord-moscou-washington-sur-le-petrole-lallemagne-travaille-avec-lue-a-de-nouvelles-sanctions-contre-moscou-7JVWQ5QBAJFY7O6MHM2UM7AZHM
- [6] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/10/10/6aca2172e4d4d847628b4582.html
- [7] https://jovempan.com.br/mundo/aeroporto-de-riade-tem-operacoes-suspensas-apos-ataque-que-deixou-varios-feridos
- [8] https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/10/10/exploso-em-aeroporto-de-riad-deixa-vrios-feridos-dizem-testemunhas.ghtml
- [9] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Massiver-Angriff-direkt-nach-Diesel-Deal-Ukraine-beklagt-15-Tote-id31403522.html
- [10] https://www.stern.de/politik/donald-trump-bestellt-diesel-bei-putin---berlin-haelt-an-sanktionen-fest-38377012.html
- [11] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Oct/10/eu-says-lifting-diesel-sanctions-gives-russia-revenues-to-wage-war
- [12] https://uk.news.yahoo.com/loud-blast-heard-riyadh-airport-141257574.html
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/10/10/damage-seen-inside-saudi-airport-after-third-attack-this-week?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://www.dw.com/en/trump-slams-zelenskyy-says-ukraine-should-elect-new-president/a-79629740?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [15] https://www.rt.com/news/647031-ukraine-should-elect-new-president/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [16] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/10/10/6ac9e972e9cf4a3c6a8b4591.html
- [17] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/10/09/6ac94ab6fdddffec1c8b45a2.html
- [18] https://www.rt.com/news/647035-trump-saudi-strikes-yemen/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [19] https://jovempan.com.br/mundo/e-hora-de-a-ucrania-ter-um-novo-presidente-diz-trump-ao-criticar-ataques-a-refinarias
- [20] https://www.lalibre.be/international/amerique/2026/10/10/trump-scelle-un-accord-surprise-avec-poutine-sur-le-diesel-zelensky-sindigne-une-decision-faible-JAKYKLCRCNFPXBHUHX63ERFGYA
- [21] https://www.lalibre.be/international/europe/guerre-ukraine-russie/2026/10/10/les-frappes-russes-sur-lukraine-sont-le-merci-de-moscou-pour-laccord-avec-washington-sur-le-petrole-OAZ3Y2EJO5F7TIAJPG4HA42YIQ
- [22] https://valor.globo.com/financas/noticia/2026/10/10/analise-crise-da-divida-francesa-mantem-mercados-europeus-em-alerta.ghtml
- [23] https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/10/10/trump-pede-que-zelensky-pare-de-atacar-refinarias-russas-e-defende-novo-lder-na-ucrnia.ghtml
- [24] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Bundesregierung-nimmt-Trumps-Diesel-Deal-zur-Kenntnis-id31403428.html
- [25] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/10/us/politics/republicans-midterms-trump-diesel-russia.html
- [26] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/10-11/10710858.shtml
- [27] https://www.politico.com/news/2026/10/09/trumps-beef-gamble-isnt-paying-off-01112692
- [28] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/10/trump-says-ukraine-needs-a-new-president-who-will-agree-to-end-the-war?traffic_source=rss
2026-10-10
2026-10-10
进展要点
- 巴西卢拉政府在第二轮选举前两周宣布扩大对汽油、乙醇和柴油的补贴。此举可能旨在稳定燃料价格，影响能源市场。（Terra Notícias - Política）〔证据:332747〕
关键事件
- 卢拉政府扩大汽油、乙醇和柴油补贴（Terra Notícias - Política）〔证据:332747〕
关联路径
巴西燃料补贴扩大 / 燃料价格与需求预期 / 糖 / 乙醇及原油市场
来源
China News Service / Xinhua Finance / RT News / Valor Econômico Politics / Yahoo News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / Die Presse / Jovem Pan News / Anadolu Agency Politics / Kremlin President News / O Globo Politics / Sky News / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Terra Notícias - Política
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/647016-washington-suspends-sanctions-russian-fuel/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://valor.globo.com/financas/noticia/2026/10/09/petroleo-fecha-em-alta-de-mais-de-us-104-com-preocupacoes-sobre-a-oferta.ghtml
- [3] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/10-10/10709968.shtml
- [4] https://www.cnn.com/2026/10/09/business/oil-gas-diesel-trump-iran-hormuz
- [5] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/10/9/trump-announces-russian-diesel-deal-amid-soaring-us-fuel-prices?traffic_source=rss
- [6] https://www.diepresse.com/41342972/diesel-deal-trump-berichtet-von-aeusserst-erfolgreichem-gespraech-mit-putin
- [7] https://jovempan.com.br/mundo/trump-anuncia-acordo-com-putin-para-fornecimento-de-diesel-russo
- [8] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20261009/2efe592401b04a4292c83c77a4c969ec/c.html
- [9] https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/trump-says-big-announcement-coming-on-diesel/4083937
- [10] http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/80960
- [11] https://oglobo.globo.com/economia/noticia/2026/10/09/trump-diz-que-putin-concordou-em-liberar-diesel-para-o-mercado-global.ghtml
- [12] https://news.sky.com/story/trump-says-russia-will-immediately-supply-300000-tons-of-diesel-with-millions-more-to-follow-13597040
- [13] https://www.dw.com/en/china-eu-reach-deal-to-moderate-china-s-car-exports-to-eu/a-79621394?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [14] https://www.terra.com.br/economia/governo-lula-amplia-subsidios-sobre-gasolina-etanol-e-diesel-a-duas-semanas-do-2-turno,dd951926c88a152f9ceb513055a88f41rb4o6srg.html
- [15] https://www.rt.com/news/646904-trump-putin-phone-call-ukraine/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [16] https://washingtonpost.com/world/2026/10/09/after-pledging-swift-results-trump-team-prepares-long-economic-war-with-iran
- [17] https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/10/09/trump-diz-que-rssia-fornecer-imediatamente-300-mil-toneladas-de-diesel-aos-eua.ghtml
- [18] https://valor.globo.com/financas/noticia/2026/10/09/ouro-sobe-e-se-aproxima-de-us-42-mil-com-juros-de-treasuries-longe-de-maximas.ghtml
- [19] https://www.rt.com/news/647010-iran-us-elections-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [20] https://www.diepresse.com/41342972/trump-berichtet-von-aeusserst-erfolgreichem-gespraech-mit-putin
- [21] https://jovempan.com.br/economia/governo-lula-zera-imposto-federal-sobre-a-gasolina-e-cria-subsidio-para-diesel
- [22] https://oglobo.globo.com/economia/noticia/2026/10/09/trump-anuncia-investigacao-da-casa-branca-sobre-lisa-cook-diretora-do-banco-central-dos-eua.ghtml
- [23] https://oglobo.globo.com/economia/fabio-graner/post/2026/10/sem-repasse-da-desoneracao-anterior-governo-zera-tributos-e-pressiona-postos-de-combustiveis.ghtml
- [24] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/9/hurricane-isaias-strengthens-into-category-3-storm-with-us-in-its-sights?traffic_source=rss
- [25] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20261009/368e73714b4747cc91aaea7f1fa3b4cc/c.html
- [26] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20261009/b87a14db587c44ef9df58153ac92cdc0/c.html
- [27] https://jovempan.com.br/economia/inflacao-sobe-082-em-setembro-apos-queda-registrada-em-agosto-diz-ibge
2026-10-05
2026-10-05
进展要点
- 巴西2026年总统大选首轮投票结束，卢拉与博索纳罗阵营竞争激烈，市场关注选举结果对巴西政策走向的潜在影响。（Google News - World）〔证据:328293〕
- 巴西总统选举首轮计票完成85%，博索纳罗领先卢拉约5个百分点，两人将进入第二轮角逐。（EL PAÍS América）〔证据:328359〕
- 巴西总统选举首轮投票于本周日举行，外资分析师关注投票结果如何影响10月25日第二轮选举，以及未来巴西财政政策走向。市场普遍预期无论谁胜选，都需要显著的财政整顿才能实现可持...（Valor Econômico Politics）〔证据:328243〕
关键事件
- 巴西2026总统大选首轮投票结果出炉（Google News - World）〔证据:328293〕
- 巴西大选首轮：博索纳罗领先卢拉5个百分点，进入第二轮（EL PAÍS América）〔证据:328359〕
- 巴西大选首轮投票：外资关注财政走向与第二轮前景（Valor Econômico Politics）〔证据:328243〕
来源
China News Service / The Independent / The New York Times / RT News / POLITICO Europe / Los Angeles Times World & Nation / Valor Econômico Politics / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / BBC News (Top) / Ukrainian National News (UNN) - Politics / Die Zeit Politics / EL PAÍS América / Tagesschau
参考链接
- [1] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/iran-brent-israeli-oman-algeria-b3061145.html
- [2] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/04/world/middleeast/houthis-oil-attack-saudi-arabia-yemen.html
- [3] https://www.rt.com/news/646705-houthis-claim-strikes-aramco/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [4] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/10-04/10707982.shtml
- [5] https://www.politico.eu/article/moscow-says-it-will-step-up-strikes-on-ukraine-after-kyiv-vows-to-hit-russian-oil-refineries/?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=RSS_Syndication
- [6] https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2026-10-04/supreme-court-oil-companies-forced-to-pay-for-climate-change
- [7] https://valor.globo.com/brasil/noticia/2026/10/04/analise-poderes-tem-ate-2028-para-evitar-divida-recorde.ghtml
- [8] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxNT0FBUllHNWVmdEJkd2w5M3YzYVR6ZGFZX09NVTNROTRkUy1MSUpsQ3E3NkZWT1JxWnV0NzMyZVZSZWl1dmhRWlp3REF5M1ZBX1lxR0lpWFZCOHppa3p2ZHpGckw2ZTZZQ1hYT0s0R0JzMERRRTR1MGlUZnRqMkJ1NjJONW8wZXA1OW80bUdYa2JLVW54bWg3YlB1OGM4QmdUZHpMdWE3cGp5Vmg4MDVUWU9CRFg5MUdLTEx3?oc=5
- [9] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/the-bottom-line/2026/10/4/war-on-iran-is-escalation-more-likely-than-a-deal-2?traffic_source=rss
- [10] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx8dzj9vpp01o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [11] https://unn.ua/news/ssha-zaproponuvaly-provesty-trystoronniu-zustrich-ukrainy-ta-rosii-do-kintsia-zhovtnia-zelenskyi
- [12] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-10/jemen-offensive-huthi-iran-raschad-al-alimi-bab-al-mandab
- [13] https://elpais.com/america/2026-10-04/resultados-de-las-elecciones-en-brasil-2026-en-vivo.html
- [14] https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/europa/merz-kiew-106.html
- [15] https://www.rt.com/news/646709-macron-eu-nosedive-pilot/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [16] https://www.rt.com/news/646714-yemen-war-offensive-houthis/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [17] https://valor.globo.com/politica/eleicoes-2026/noticia/2026/10/04/o-que-analistas-estrangeiros-vo-observar-no-1-turno-da-eleio-presidencial-no-brasil.ghtml
- [18] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/04/climate/boulder-lawsuit-supreme-court.html
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/4/ukraine-ready-for-us-backed-talks-with-russia-zelenskyy?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://valor.globo.com/politica/eleicoes-2026/noticia/2026/10/04/eleio-brasileira-entra-no-radar-de-preocupao-de-empresrios-argentinos.ghtml
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/10/4/germany-merz-visits-kyiv-air-raids-ukraine?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/04/world/middleeast/iran-economy-rial.html
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxPZkYwdS0xTXN2bFl1SzdPc1JXSFhlRVNmZnBZbFdUcTNPdVFIS18wSmxvRk9wWnFsMkt4WUJIdS1SN2M3RzNzQVJCb0I4X2o3UjlBbWpVa3ludzYtUGpvUF9Qc1VlQ254alhoaG1SZ25aM3ZfNVFfOGZPNmpacWFNODFTVm0?oc=5
- [24] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/10-05/10708002.shtml
- [25] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/10-05/10707997.shtml
- [26] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ck1l34ed592no?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
2026-10-04
2026-10-04
进展要点
- 特朗普在中期选举前全国造势，将选举变成对其个人的公投，但民调显示其经济政策支持率创新低，燃料价格和通胀问题突出。（elDiario.es Internacional）〔证据:327567〕
- 巴西即将举行总统及国会选举，特朗普政府被指通过关税、制裁和外交施压干预巴西选举，白宫否认相关指控。（Yahoo News - World）〔证据:327495〕
关键事件
- 特朗普中期选举造势，民调创新低（elDiario.es Internacional）〔证据:327567〕
- 特朗普被指干预巴西大选，巴西周日投票（Yahoo News - World）〔证据:327495〕
来源
China News Service / Stern Politik / ZDFheute Politik / Deutsche Welle News / Die Zeit Politics / Le Monde International / Valor Econômico Politics / DW (Deutsche Welle) / ANTARA News / El País Internacional / Google News - World / The New Indian Express / elDiario.es Internacional / Prime Minister of Canada - Statements / French Presidency - Élysée / Yahoo News - World / Der Spiegel International
参考链接
- [1] https://www.stern.de/politik/ausland/iran-news--strasse-von-hormus--erneut-zwei-tanker-angegriffen-37087516.html
- [2] https://www.zdfheute.de/politik/diesel-reserve-g7-freigabe-100.html
- [3] https://www.dw.com/de/news-kompakt-g7-geben-rohöl-und-diesel-reserven-frei/a-79526644?maca=de-rss-de-news-1089-xml-mrss
- [4] https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2026-10/g7-oelreserven-freigabe-diesel-spritpreise
- [5] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/10-04/10707673.shtml
- [6] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/10/03/les-houthistes-du-yemen-revendiquent-une-frappe-sur-un-site-du-geant-petrolier-saoudien-aramco-a-ryad_6787808_3211.html
- [7] https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/10/03/tratativas-entre-eua-e-rssia-sobre-ucrnia-incluem-acordo-bilionrio-no-setor-de-petrleo-diz-jornal.ghtml
- [8] https://www.dw.com/en/ukraine-to-step-up-oil-attacks-as-russia-hits-kyiv-bridges/a-79527753?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [9] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5770174/fao-catat-harga-pangan-global-september-tembus-rekor-tertinggi
- [10] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-10-03/rusia-ataca-un-barco-de-carga-en-odesa-tras-el-no-de-putin-a-una-tregua-en-el-mar-negro.html
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTFB0SFhpbnJyVlFHUGpGMUxaY0tXSDdGQ3ZFZVZ5bGJUNm5KOTNGQnBzU2dNR1hUWG54ZzlQRTc4bnoyQ241MFRKanZIcXQyNG50bTlldWJhZ00wX0ZBZ253NHNDUmtMQmxrMUE?oc=5
- [12] https://www.newindianexpress.com/business/2026/Oct/03/weekly-review-indian-markets-under-pressure-oil-outflows-and-a-weaker-rupee-deepen-the-downturn
- [13] https://www.eldiario.es/internacional/trump-echa-carretera-azuza-miedo-convierte-legislativas-plebiscito-si-bate-records-impopularidad_129_13557563.html
- [14] https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/statements/2026/10/02/g7-leaders-statement-global-energy-security-and-market-stability
- [15] https://www.elysee.fr/emmanuel-macron/2026/10/02/g7-leaders-statement-on-global-energy-security-and-market-stability
- [16] https://time.com/article/2026/10/01/trump-brazil-election-interference-accusations-lula-bolsonaro-tensions
- [17] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/ukraine-krieg-russland-warnt-auslaender-vor-aufenthalt-in-kyjiw-a-6d4c6d84-4042-4bcd-8e6b-ca0a4ecba842
- [18] https://www.zdfheute.de/politik/diesel-reserven-europa-freigabe-g7-beratungen-100.html
- [19] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/10-03/10707668.shtml
- [20] https://www.zdfheute.de/politik/ausland/g7-oel-diesel-reserve-iw-expertin-100.html
- [21] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/10/03/en-direct-guerre-en-ukraine-l-ukraine-prevoit-d-intensifier-ses-frappes-sur-les-raffineries-russes-en-reponse-a-la-nouvelle-doctrine-menee-par-moscou_6783795_3210.html
- [22] https://www.dw.com/de/trump-diesel-drohung-war-nicht-ernst-gemeint/a-79528258?maca=de-rss-de-news-1089-xml-mrss
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxQNnh1OTBYempDS1ZVSEFYbTZJcDhOMmxfYklrUldFS0pjTXgxb1BGbXJYdUhxdnZ4c0dLSlU0Q25ac2plU1VqX0MzbWFBZDhkNFRBeVZNYTNLYm5NdlhmN1kyZ2g4NDhQODJhdVdDVHJJV1FwOUswWlZmZVo4OHFJUW9MWUZhbTlZc2lLSHBJM3ViMUcxMHlrN0k4LWEtWHktazA2MlVEYlVJTzN4RFRrenRYYUk?oc=5
- [24] https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/10/03/russia-promete-continuar-ataques-macicos-a-kiev-e-pede-que-diplomatas-deixem-a-cidade.ghtml
- [25] https://www.eldiario.es/internacional/putin-insiste-amenaza-plena-tension-otan-momento-no-podra-cambiar-llegar-forma-inesperada_1_13555073.html
- [26] https://www.newindianexpress.com/india/2026/Oct/03/ukraine-says-indias-ceasefire-plan-is-broadest-open-to-truce-on-energy-and-black-sea
- [27] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/10-03/10707662.shtml
- [28] https://valor.globo.com/financas/noticia/2026/10/03/merz-se-reunira-com-favoritos-a-sucessao-de-lagarde-em-meio-a-disputa-pelo-bce.ghtml
2026-10-01
2026-10-01
进展要点
- 随着中期选举临近，共和党人在伊朗战争、汽油和柴油价格飙升、关税、数据中心及移民执法等问题上与特朗普产生分歧。伊朗战争导致全球贸易中断，汽油均价接近每加仑4.50美元，柴油...（Yahoo News - World）〔证据:324662〕
- 英国首相伯纳姆表示，脱欧弊大于利，政府将评估从维持现状到加入关税同盟、单一市场甚至重新加入欧盟的各种选项。此举可能重塑英国与欧盟的贸易关系，但任何重返都需重新申请并谈判。（RT News）〔证据:324820〕
关键事件
- 共和党中期选举前在汽油柴油价格与伊朗战争问题上与特朗普分歧加剧（Yahoo News - World）〔证据:324662〕
- 英国首相称或重新评估脱欧关系（RT News）〔证据:324820〕
关联路径
Iran war / fuel price surge / farmer cost squeeze
来源
Xinhua Finance / China News Service / Yahoo News - World / The New York Times / Al Jazeera Middle East / The Hindu / Times of India / France 24 #2 / IRIS - Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques / HM Treasury / ECB Press Releases / Google News - World / Ministry of Finance Japan Press Releases / RT News / Fed / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yahoo.com/news/us/articles/u-got-oil-shipments-moving-122822798.html
- [2] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/30/business/pce-inflation-fed-interest-rates.html
- [3] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260930/9eecc932c4bf482cacd912da1fb8d43c/c.html
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/30/russia-warns-nato-of-possible-nuclear-response-if-kaliningrad-is-cut-off?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://www.thehindu.com/sci-tech/energy-and-environment/southwest-monsoon-ends-with-12-deficit/article71529423.ece
- [6] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/indias-monsoon-rainfall-ends-13-below-normal-fourth-lowest-since-2001/articleshow/134596710.cms
- [7] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260930-france-to-unveil-2027-budget-as-debt-hits-record-high
- [8] https://www.iris-france.org/loccident-face-a-la-chine-une-defaite
- [9] https://www.gov.uk/government/news/applications-open-for-scheme-to-slash-electricity-bills-for-over-10000-manufacturers
- [10] https://www.ecb.europa.eu//press/pr/date/2026/html/ecb.pr260929~050089e922.en.html
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimwFBVV95cUxPTU9yRklaM09MX2FHbFFqX3pEd19YVG4tSWxIaVViNzhuOV9RT2x2TlNkUkFHT2FMUEZhRTFtcC1YRkxLNERrdU9RYXhJWjI2VGtJMm5kVm5tWVRDYUJSMmo2UnZrbVhwVExHMmdKRW9Cd2ZVelViUlJmdV9HMVlEWnBBOTNieFh1UUxvS1NKc1B6Sms2VzB1c0N1RQ?oc=5
- [12] https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/international_policy/reference/feio/monthly/20260930e.html
- [13] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/09-30/10706558.shtml
- [14] https://www.rt.com/news/646447-trump-considering-easing-russia-sanctions-atlantic/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [15] https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/bcreg20260930a.htm
- [16] https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/6118768-gop-trump-gas-prices-data-centers-iran-war-immigration-enforcement
- [17] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260930/d6879bebc6a5499caa0ca081674a817a/c.html
- [18] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260930-kenya-l-ambition-d-autosuffisance-p%C3%A9troli%C3%A8re-se-heurte-aux-contestations
- [19] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20261001/88dbf73b5e8742b1ac2d223c76a1a7c3/c.html
- [20] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/le-d%C3%A9bat/20260930-irak-une-nouvelle-%C3%A8re
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/30/trump-set-to-announce-200bn-in-energy-investments-from-south-korea?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://www.thehindu.com/business/Economy/centres-fiscal-deficit-at-end-august-hits-419-of-2026-27-target-on-higher-subsidy-spends/article71528527.ece
- [23] https://www.ecb.europa.eu//press/key/date/2026/html/ecb.sp260930_1~7c6c120482.en.html
- [24] https://www.rt.com/news/646516-uk-may-reverse-brexit-burnham/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/30/saudi-crown-prince-says-no-compromise-on-kingdoms-security-against-threats?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/europe/russian-strikes-kill-seven-in-kyiv-as-crumbling-air-defence-pushes-ukraine-towards-a-harsh-winter/articleshow/134597473.cms
- [27] https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/bihar/bihar-cabinet-gives-nod-to-bihar-green-hydrogen-policy-2026/article71529549.ece
2026-09-30
2026-09-30
进展要点
- 来自卡纳塔克邦及邻邦马哈拉施特拉邦、特伦甘纳邦的数千名甘蔗种植者在胡布利举行大规模抗议，要求提高甘蔗收购价并修订食糖最低销售价格。在联邦部长和当地议员介入后，农民同意前往...（The Hindu）〔证据:324001〕
- 英国新任首相伯纳姆在工党大会上宣布，将加强对护理、能源和住房等领域的国家控制，逆转自1980年代以来的私有化趋势。（n-tv Politik）〔证据:323963〕
关键事件
- 卡纳塔克邦蔗农大规模抗议，要求提高甘蔗价格与食糖最低售价（The Hindu）〔证据:324001〕
- 英国首相伯纳姆宣布扩大公共服务国有化（n-tv Politik）〔证据:323963〕
来源
China News Service / Xinhua Finance / Prime Minister of Canada - News / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #3 / Prime Minister of Canada - Statements / BBC News (Business) / The Hindu BusinessLine / Kyodo News English / RT News / ANTARA News Jawa Timur / ANTARA News / The Hindu / DW (Deutsche Welle) / n-tv Politik / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-30/10705950.shtml
- [2] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260930/e522c78ba39b4cfb812c1e3ad9c6060c/c.html
- [3] https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/news-releases/2026/09/29/prime-minister-carney-welcomes-lng-canada-phase-2-second-largest
- [4] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/29/us-consumer-confidence-hits-its-lowest-level-since-2014-ahead-of-midterms?traffic_source=rss
- [5] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/info-%C3%A9co/20260929-la-dette-de-la-france-atteint-119-du-pib-la-fonction-publique-dans-la-rue-pour-le-pouvoir-d-achat
- [6] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cm1j43y146d2o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [7] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/us-job-openings-fall-to-708-million-in-august-below-forecasts/article71524890.ece
- [8] https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/86721
- [9] https://www.rt.com/news/646435-germany-eu-budget-cuts/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [10] https://jatim.antaranews.com/berita/1102843/amerika-serikat-blokir-penerbangan-iran
- [11] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5763804/mesir-tekankan-keamanan-laut-merah-dan-selat-bab-al-mandab
- [12] https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/karnataka/mammoth-protest-at-kittur-chennamma-circle-by-sugarcane-farmers-farmers-agree-for-talk-at-delhi-with-joshi-after-intervention-by-mlas-tenginakai-patil/article71524508.ece
- [13] https://www.dw.com/en/estonia-blames-russia-for-arson-attack-on-defense-company/a-79478937?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [14] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Britischer-Premier-Burnham-stimmt-Land-auf-tiefgreifende-Veraenderungen-ein-id31361960.html
- [15] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-30/10705951.shtml
- [16] https://www.france24.com/en/business/20260929-france-intends-to-borrow-record-340-billion-euros-covid-era-debt-comes-due
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/29/us-ban-on-1bn-of-canadian-goods-takes-effect-in-trumps-latest-retaliation?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260930/05273158a90c47bbb8cacab976b36828/c.html
- [19] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260929/e3c0c7761e034783bd613d034c67e6e8/c.html
- [20] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/09-29/10705822.shtml
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/29/us-sanctions-10-entities-for-allegedly-supporting-irans-military?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/lula-draws-the-line-amid-trump-interference-in-brazils-close-and-tough-election/article71524237.ece
2026-09-29
2026-09-29
进展要点
- 特朗普政府为应对持续通胀提出多项政策，包括允许免关税牛肉进口、禁止柴油出口、发放5000美元支票等，但均遭遇农民、石油公司及部分共和党议员反对，政策落地前景不明。（Yahoo News - World）〔证据:322905〕
关键事件
- 特朗普多项平抑物价政策遭遇阻力（Yahoo News - World）〔证据:322905〕
关联路径
美国柴油出口禁令讨论 / 成品油贸易流 / 全球柴油价差
来源
Xinhua Finance / China News Service / The New Indian Express / Al Jazeera Middle East / The Hindu / The Independent / The New York Times / Yahoo News - World / RT News / France 24 #3 / Kyodo News English / Times of India / ORF.at News / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.newindianexpress.com/business/2026/Sep/28/crude-prices-surge-to-108-as-iran-us-talks-hit-roadblock
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/28/iraq-looks-for-oil-export-alternatives-to-the-troubled-strait-of-hormuz?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/us-iran-separately-talk-with-mediators-in-latest-bid-to-end-war/article71521582.ece
- [4] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/gas-prices-higher-iran-war-trump-b3057702.html
- [5] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/28/climate/coal-industry-power-plants-trump.html
- [6] https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/6114769-donald-trump-rolls-back-car-efficiency-standards
- [7] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260928/f1dcacf54fd84174a35b54d3782e90e8/c.html
- [8] https://www.rt.com/news/646362-china-backs-cuba-trump-warning/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [9] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/info-%C3%A9co/20260928-budget-2027-les-pistes-de-l-ex%C3%A9cutif-pour-faire-54-milliards-%E2%82%AC-d-%C3%A9conomies
- [10] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/09-28/10705180.shtml
- [11] https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/86555
- [12] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/stock-market-crash-takes-sensex-to-6-month-low-index-tanks-5-in-a-month-as-investors-lose-rs-17-lakh-crore/articleshow/134544486.cms
- [13] https://orf.at/stories/3443485
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/28/iran-touts-hormuz-attacks-as-oil-flows-increase-despite-tensions?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/28/gold-falls-amid-rising-oil-prices-and-higher-us-dollar?traffic_source=rss
- [16] https://www.foxnews.com/politics/largest-ever-us-steel-plant-coming-key-red-state-trump-unveils-15b-investment
- [17] https://washingtonpost.com/business/2026/09/28/every-turn-trumps-ideas-aiding-us-consumers-run-into-resistance
- [18] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/28/briefing/trump-sharply-scales-back-fuel-economy-rules.html
- [19] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/28/climate/trump-gas-cars-mileage-standards.html
- [20] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260928/59169fb620374541adcd7255479d5678/c.html
- [21] https://www.newindianexpress.com/business/2026/Sep/28/industrial-output-rises-8-in-august-on-manufacturing-electricity
- [22] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/spotlight/20260928-saudis-furious-trump-flips-flops-between-deal-with-iran-and-attacks-in-devastating-fashion
- [23] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-29/10705190.shtml
- [24] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-29/10705187.shtml
- [25] https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20260928-hybrid-warfare-the-threat-of-russia-looms-over-the-mediterranean
2026-09-05
2026-09-05
进展要点
- 美国8月非农就业新增16.2万人，远超市场预期的5.6万人，主要由酒店餐饮和教育行业带动。（BBC News (Business)）
关键事件
- 美国8月新增就业16.2万远超预期（BBC News (Business)）
来源
Xinhua Finance / China News Service / Al Jazeera Middle East / Times of India / Yahoo News - World / France 24 #3 / Google News - World / The New York Times / BBC News (Business) / DW (Deutsche Welle) / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/4/us-adds-jobs-in-august-beating-economic-forecasts?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260905/0c2fc3ca5ddf4f24a55b96f95032f0a4/c.html
- [3] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/international-business/cut-rates-or-ill-halt-trade-with-countries-us-has-deficit-with-donald-trump-threatens-federal-reserve/articleshow/133767535.cms
- [4] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/world-food-prices-highest-since-134111051.html
- [5] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260904-accord-p%C3%A9trolier-%C3%A9tats-unis-venezuela-des-remerciements-forc%C3%A9s
- [6] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxNUG5yNUVxVURLdHRCZy01dm9KSXo4VHBTczFHdS0tMHNKU1FhMDhIVTlpYWJ3SVJHVjk2Uk9Ld2pvalJfa3M4UlVEYzNUR2lJQUJXVUktVno3QUprcFZlWHdVc0wwSlN0ZG1SekwtMGphdFVpTmRRUTlERTBYcEdLNXFTNnJaaWZjSXF1WWRnWi0zWTBRT2docjktTUhPQjQyalVTVDNSMNIBrAFBVV95cUxOYnQtY3hmSlN3Y0l2N3ZpaTdnb0RvaThvUXIzYi1zNmpQOFpYbkYybndGSnM0T0JBMXNBNVFQN1lwV2Y2Z1lacWpFcnZqVGxKeFpIQVJidEc5dEhjN0U1RmNEWGtnTklBNTNWSTB2VWZsWVJlb3J4OGdXTmJOZ2hPaWh6bElkOHNDUngxTmswX1ZYU0xBMU92N3NrYm9VcEt1bkVKa0hGVFpPTnZ
- [7] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/04/business/economy/jobs-unemployment.html
- [8] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy0zx2pkpx9o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [9] https://www.dw.com/en/yemen-fighting-intensifies-amid-houthi-push-in-the-west/a-79039588?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
- [10] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/09-04/10690741.shtml
- [11] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/9/4/diesel-price-hits-all-time-high-in-us-amid-iran-war-woes?traffic_source=rss
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/4/conflicts-and-extreme-weather-pushing-global-food-prices-higher-warns-un?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/une-semaine-dans-le-monde/20260904-guerre-en-ukraine-regain-de-tensions-iran-usa-rentr%C3%A9e-politique-en-france
- [14] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/04/business/energy-environment/venezuela-oil-fields-betancourt-trump.html
- [15] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/breather-for-india-trumps-russia-sanctions-bill-may-be-stalled-for-now-could-have-led-to-100-tariffs/articleshow/133768779.cms
- [16] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/oman-says-no-to-iranian-toll-plan-for-strait-of-hormuz-report/articleshow/133770795.cms
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivgFBVV95cUxNSW53Y1hxTVp1TXg2NkVKRGRtTklVVnltOC1lOTMwSERPXzc1YXE2VWJCMUZUR29xMlc2YVJ0ZXE3WFBvN2k3WTVoQlkxWUVKRDc4QjZrUS1rNGxNOWh1eUFRcHVoaS1xTzhUY0tXVU5LaDNGbzVzV3UtVmNkc19la3FjWHdMclJPTWI0YTFRM3pVTno4bUs4cDM1bzJvWGtVbHMzRm91UnRPY01UNlo2Z3VialM4bkhGaml0eUZ3?oc=5
- [18] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/04/business/economy/trump-trade-threats-fed-rate-cuts.html
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxNLU1NbC1FZVV0Q095Zm1Dd05iR1FUQS10bDd5UllGRWdPMjYyY2lOV1JYUzdHOWFWMEREbUtjaHpZLVVTbXBhdUJheWxOa0tEaDZLVl80ZXNvako2bW9XYjJJMHF6dkVOSVR2WFhNM0JQYWc4ZDUyMExoQXdYYnhSVkFWOGtQV1Q1enN5dmFkakg5alRfRTVabFUwS0V5RkhEY0xmdlMzUHo?oc=5
- [20] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/us-issues-sanctions-turkish-bank-145558822.html
- [21] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260904-france-announces-%E2%82%AC1-billion-aid-for-farmers-after-climate-hit-summer
2026-08-08
2026-08-08
进展要点
- 美国劳工部数据显示，7月非农就业岗位减少2.3万个，失业率降至4.1%。（China News Service）
- 特朗普再次尝试解雇美联储理事丽莎·库克，此举可能影响美联储独立性及货币政策走向。（Sky News）
- 美国7月非农就业人数减少2.3万，但失业率有所下降，显示劳动力市场表现复杂。（Le Monde International）
关键事件
- 美国7月非农就业减少2.3万（China News Service）
- 特朗普再施压解雇美联储理事库克（Sky News）
- 美国7月非农减少2.3万，失业率意外下降（Le Monde International）
关联路径
非农走弱 / 降息预期升温 / 美元承压、金价上行
Fed independence threat / policy uncertainty / risk-off
来源
China News Service / Xinhua Finance / Google News - World / Nikkei Asia / Yahoo News - World / Tagesschau / Global News / El País Internacional / The New Indian Express / BBC News (Business) / Ukrinform / ABC News / The Independent / Sky News / n-tv Politik / Al Jazeera Middle East / Le Monde International
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxOZWlZa2pnSEE5cGdyWWwzdG1OOV9waVlMZGIxVXRvdDNJU3lMc2VtczNwZjI3TGRMUGs2RE9tNVJZZ1dOVkM0VlNHMk5KX0l0TndJSHZhcU1ZalJMVVNjblRIUU5TMTV2N2pZNmxfNHU0VFBhNWg5eEJqYUhManFtTzBETFh6MDA3bHJST1dpMFg1amFWZjZvN1JCaTBRNW5lc0RibFB5Z0wwMU5OTlhPY3JFQ3VtdEhtSi1xOU9Ma2VvNUNwekZ1YQ?oc=5
- [2] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/08-08/10674020.shtml
- [3] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/materials/china-rare-earth-exports-to-japan-us-plunge-after-restrictions
- [4] https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/articles/us-employers-shed-23k-jobs-124613432.html
- [5] https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/amerika/usa-russland-sanktionen-134.html
- [6] https://globalnews.ca/news/12013215/us-senate-russia-sanctions-bill-ukraine
- [7] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-08-05/iran-insiste-en-mantener-el-control-del-estrecho-de-ormuz-mientras-trump-amenaza-con-abrirlo-por-la-fuerza.html
- [8] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Aug/07/us-job-data-stocks-jump-as-employers-unexpectedly-cut-23000-jobs-raising-hopes-for-easier-rate-policy
- [9] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cdrvn686dljo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [10] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-economy/4152105-rosiani-masovano-atakuvali-sim-vidobuvnih-obektiv-ukrnafti.html
- [11] https://abcnews.com/Business/jobs-report-expected-show-hiring-boost-july/story?id=135422024
- [12] https://www.independent.co.uk/us/money/jobs-report-labor-trump-iran-war-b3029340.html
- [13] https://news.sky.com/story/donald-trump-tries-again-to-fire-federal-reserve-governor-lisa-cook-13570793
- [14] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260808/7ae7d3bb384e4a0389cdd81abef236cd/c.html
- [15] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/US-Senat-sendet-Signal-an-Putin-Du-wirst-die-Ukraine-nicht-erobern-id31171586.html
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/8/7/war-on-iran-saudi-arabia-turkiye-and-pakistan-sign-defence-pact?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/08/07/aux-etats-unis-23-000-emplois-en-moins-en-juillet-mais-un-taux-de-chomage-en-baisse_6740506_3210.html
- [18] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxPeTJnQUlaVmJJeWhQSmpmNDdrY1A4bS00bUxKeG5ES0MtTUFpYVdsdGtPaEtmM0RvWTdDc2ZUcGdfMnpFTWxpcVViWGtrQl9vWG5nOTUxSTc1SW9GUDlWcUlGQ1hXRl9OMkVkdWZnSTE2LXBEMUpoOWpqVE9CVmxhOS0yZ3NiVlZt?oc=5
- [19] https://globalnews.ca/news/12012909/us-jobs-report-july-2026
- [20] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-08-07/iran-y-oman-ultiman-un-acuerdo-sobre-ormuz-pese-a-las-amenazas-de-trump.html
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimgFBVV95cUxNcm5CZUFmeUtIeDNGUXhOckUxSEN4VnhlY3JBQTNkSTBXWUVfekxRMXNhdzMzcTRjMjZydzVIMDI1czc5aHY5VnB1WmJtTkVhOHNlMFI0MkkzTEJqNlBWb1dBTFExdnhnd1pKOVk5anNzNlRZZXpXMGE5b2xJQVZjN3ZjRkVtQW5SYzNWbXlNTnVPVmNsRF92THJR0gGfAUFVX3lxTFBsdWNwdTgtWUdfM0tlaVIzNVJRRGR3Q0lsVExGV2xyQTFsQTNPWmNyME00aTdTT2RZdENaejVTMmthTDJGZi1tQm9BcHlhWFY3SktiVGdQTkxmTlFXOG1xekZrVEFIcjQzbVZibXI5TjhlZEE3WFdaaXJCUUJyRFhFQzVzbmRHc3VJeHA0MmkzY1FYZVdVYzE4NjYzMnhpRQ?oc=5
- [22] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c20j5rle717o?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [23] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-economy/4152083-vid-pocatku-roku-rosiani-zdijsnili-287-atak-na-obekti-naftogazu.html
- [24] https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-administration-moves-ahead-efforts-184435643.html
- [25] https://asia.nikkei.com/business/energy/india-commits-8.8bn-to-deep-sea-oil-exploration-to-cut-mideast-reliance
- [26] https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/asien/tanker-oel-oman-100.html
- [27] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/8/7/us-labour-market-sheds-jobs-in-july-as-labour-force-participation-slumps?traffic_source=rss
- [28] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-ato/4152135-sili-bezpilotnih-sistem-urazili-se-sist-suden-tinovogo-flotu-rf-i-bazu-fsb-na-hersonsini.html
2026-07-08
2026-07-08
进展要点
- 数百万哀悼者聚集在库姆市的贾姆卡兰清真寺，为伊朗最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊举行葬礼祈祷。（ANTARA News）
关键事件
- 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊葬礼在贾姆卡兰清真寺举行（ANTARA News）
关联路径
Iran leadership change / geopolitical uncertainty / oil supply risk premium
来源
China News Service / France 24 #2 / RT News / BBC News (Top) / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Yahoo News - World / ANTARA News / Al Jazeera Middle East / ABC News / Yonhap News Agency / Google News - World / The Hindu / Sky News / Yonhap News TV / Der Spiegel International / Die Zeit Politics
参考链接
- [1] https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20260707-us-launches-strikes-on-iran-after-ships-attacked-in-strait-of-hormuz
- [2] https://www.rt.com/news/642707-us-new-strikes-iran/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [3] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cwykq59jwpvo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [4] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-us-launches-fresh-strikes-after-attacks-in-hormuz/live-77869350?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [5] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/us-military-launches-strikes-against-212308104.html
- [6] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/07-08/10654726.shtml
- [7] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5639859/kapal-tanker-pengangkut-lng-diserang-di-teluk-oman
- [8] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/7/us-says-strikes-launched-as-explosions-heard-in-southern-iran?traffic_source=rss
- [9] https://abcnews.com/International/live-updates/iran-live-updates-thousands-throng-tehran-streets-khamenei/?id=134509610
- [10] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260708000500315
- [11] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiwwFBVV95cUxQZ2lMY1V0aWFzc1F6V29wV3g5UWVkaXI0cC1xTm1VT1BsZVN4dkt4eEZ3bFU4Uk9Qak1Bd0NNb0l4RlEwSmV1V3RBVTRJSEYwajBWdWhLbDcxTFFveWNHTE9XU1YybXZQdzduY1MyQmxhdldCWlp2ZjRVX3d4VnJhZldMQUtEdlRFSEpuUUxVTjM5REhQTmRTQWRMLWEybWJ6STJ1UVRhd0w0Ti1aMW9sNVFaWTh5ZDJ5UjhfUlRycWVYbUU?oc=5
- [12] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/three-tankers-hit-in-latest-attacks-in-strait-of-hormuz-ukmto/article71194549.ece
- [13] https://news.sky.com/story/qatari-tanker-hit-as-it-travelled-through-strait-of-hormuz-13561225
- [14] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260708000109Sxr
- [15] https://www.spiegel.de/wissenschaft/natur/el-nino-europaeisches-wetterinstitut-rechnet-mit-staerkstem-el-nino-der-geschichte-a-e68e7b5b-6e35-408d-8ed8-66369aee05af
- [16] https://www.zeit.de/politik/deutschland/2026-07/gasreserve-krisenvorsorge-erdgas-notsituation-gasspeicherumlage
- [17] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/ml--iran-us-011240354.html
- [18] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/07-08/10654725.shtml
- [19] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5639841/shalat-jenazah-dilaksanakan-di-masjid-jamkaran-untuk-ali-khamenei
- [20] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/07-08/10654714.shtml
- [21] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/coffin-slain-iranian-supreme-leader-183326480.html
- [22] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/7/7/venezuela-buries-earthquake-victims-as-death-toll-reaches-3535?traffic_source=rss
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixwFBVV95cUxPd0VnUGZPLW1xRUFGRWNnM0hkZzVHaDVrMWdLZEtmWW1tREZ0MDhURkhQWGJ1RnZ5T1ZVMzFkSlQ2X1NXWHlmNC10NmFfU3RFT3oxeFNqSW51OXFOeS1Wa2hfdWU5Ui1FWk5MUThFWGxlNDFmcDNBMWU4YUVMTVREaU1pajZxUmVWc0hkUnZhendKYl9ISTQxbktJNU1McUN2NWJGblBvSEduenZEME9HTy1lUDIyYUo4SGRDRTgwdnJ3dHRxVHo4?oc=5
- [24] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxQNkJPTUhLWWxYT0hLeUhPQmQxZVZZYlV1M0lzVHVzRFEyeW1VeHhLbk9wZWxpb0JVOXRqeVQxb2dRN0Z6aFpHNVdXQmdIa1RUNlFiMkhVeEVGOF9kSm9HRDdSd2JFZGowUEdkaVNOa2FIZmJOeDVuVTV0SFdDMTV6LThFNW1YbXAtdUtfYmdEWDRsMm9DbUx2bDBPamo0UTRQYmsxU0IyWmt3dUkzamc?oc=5
- [25] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260708020833WSX
2026-07-07
2026-07-07
进展要点
- 轨迹（转折）：伊朗最高领袖葬礼表面团结但领导层内部权力斗争浮出水面。
- 哈梅内伊遗体运抵库姆，数百万人参加悼念，葬礼将于7月10日在家乡下葬。
- 伊朗官方维持秩序，但美以战争背景下继任安排存在不确定性。
关键事件
- 哈梅内伊遗体运抵库姆（Al Jazeera Middle East）
- 伊朗在德黑兰举行大规模葬礼（France 24 #2）
- 纽约时报：葬礼短暂团结但领导层存在深层分歧
关注 / 展望
关注伊朗最高领袖继任者选举及对外政策走向，内部稳定度影响油价风险定价。
关联路径
伊朗权力真空 / 政治不确定性 / 石油供应中断风险
来源
The New York Times / Al Jazeera Middle East / France 24 #2 / Google News - World / RT News / Yahoo News - World / Times of India / Tagesschau / Kyodo News English / ANTARA News Jawa Timur / The Hindu / Der Spiegel International / Le Monde International / Die Zeit Politics / Prime Minister of Canada - Statements / El Mundo - International News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/06/world/middleeast/iran-khamenei-funeral.html
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/6/body-of-irans-slain-supreme-leader-ali-khamenei-arrives-in-qom?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/business/20260706-opec-raises-output-but-cartel-s-future-hangs-in-balance
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikwFBVV95cUxOdWl5Sl9wdU5zTlNwRXg0MFN4cVFYOGJ0LWxOcFRRbnRxZzNnNHRtaUJIOEVjc05GVVZaQjNFeDVZYTJ3MVA5alRPelYwT2g4alJBckd4R1VzWkRuWUpGaFZIQXZVc1g5XzFFbHIydEJ1cXFnVk8taXFpTkVrV1RvMktjcS1aWFc5bTY1Z3VleVluMkk?oc=5
- [5] https://www.rt.com/news/642630-iran-mourners-kill-trump-banner/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [6] https://www.yahoo.com/news/world/articles/ukraine-hits-major-oil-terminal-123434233.html
- [7] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/international-business/saudi-arabia-slashes-august-crude-prices-for-asia-by-11-a-barrel-in-biggest-cut-in-over-20-years/articleshow/132217320.cms
- [8] https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/iran-teheran-trauerfeier-100.html
- [9] https://english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/79292
- [10] https://jatim.antaranews.com/berita/1079571/iran-lepaskan-ali-khamenei-dengan-perarakan-besar-besaran
- [11] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/west-asia-war-live-updates-july-6-2026-khamenei-funeral-ceremonies/article71187769.ece
- [12] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/ukraine-mindestens-18-tote-nach-russischem-angriff-auf-grossraum-kyjiw-a-96ff2946-8776-4480-8daa-7b94b9c67bec
- [13] https://www.lemonde.fr/planete/article/2026/07/06/seismes-au-venezuela-le-bilan-s-alourdit-passant-a-plus-de-3-500-morts-annonce-le-gouvernement_6721254_3244.html
- [14] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-07/06/mehr-als-3-500-tote-opferzahl-in-venezuela-steigt-weiter
- [15] https://www.pm.gc.ca/en/news/speeches/2026/07/02/prime-minister-carney-announces-west-coast-pipeline-project-proposal-and
- [16] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/07/06/6a4b94eefc6c83d51c8b4587.html
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisgFBVV95cUxNTDZrY2ZoWnNabEwySFNZSXo4c0psVEs2OFZNNWhNR2VjcGFkcVg5Mmd0RE81UmtrVjkyUmN2NlA2WEZBSlE5Qi1uLXhSODlfeTBfZmFDX1czSXpYeGFRWmJwZkNrRkxrVWhXdjFvZDZPRUk4OGhwR2I0QmMwQ2hIOFdjdDNyT0pqZTBUNVN2MWw0ZEwwbHJJZEpWLUZGRzFIRnhBSWwtdGxaNTlUcldqVHdB?oc=5
- [18] https://www.rt.com/news/642634-europe-heat-economy-cost/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi0gFBVV95cUxQTlJ2bmxFQ3lVX3RDVF9hVEZVRkNra1pwU3prZDdoTHE5Qjl3MjlDb0VuRTVlQlBvMFdNSW0tOHg2WUlGX1Rrc3B0Mkk4X2RvdGxTUjExQmRQM3R1LW80R0UtaXpnUXNxU0JuYnBzcDhaei1CSFVTUXFaLXE2ODBnTVUzTHdLYXpCSWNMSl9FcEdCVS1WemJKT1k2b0x6LWk3dnEyTTFaZHI3OW5ZSkljXzlnYUR0QWhOZEZxTGlIYUtwR2NGN1JCb3QwUURybUY0T0E?oc=5
- [20] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/04/world/middleeast/iran-supreme-leader-funeral-divisions.html
- [21] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/06/business/hormuz-strait-shipping-oil.html
- [22] https://www.france24.com/en/asia-pacific/20260706-his-resilience-his-words-his-character-mourners-grieve-late-supreme-leader-khamenei
- [23] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-slips-opec-agrees-raise-003607304.html
- [24] https://finance.yahoo.com/energy/articles/analysis-world-absorbs-historic-iran-073926094.html
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/7/6/large-scale-russian-attack-on-ukraine-before-nato-summit?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://www.france24.com/en/in-tehran-funeral-attendees-grieve-the-loss-of-supreme-leader-ali-khamenei
2026-07-06
2026-07-06
进展要点
- 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊的葬礼在德黑兰举行，标志着该国政治权力过渡的关键时刻。（France 24 #3）
- 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊遇袭身亡后，其子兼继任者缺席葬礼，引发外界对伊朗权力过渡稳定性的担忧。（ORF.at News）
关键事件
- 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊葬礼在德黑兰举行（France 24 #3）
- 哈梅内伊葬礼缺席引发继任不确定性（ORF.at News）
关联路径
Iran leadership change / Middle East instability / Oil supply risk premium
Iran leadership uncertainty / Middle East risk premium / Oil & safe-haven demand
来源
China News Service / Google News - World / The Independent / France 24 #3 / Die Zeit Politics / The New York Times / Russian Government News / DW (Deutsche Welle) / ORF.at News / Global News / Yonhap News TV / n-tv Politik / El País Internacional / Deutsche Welle German News
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxNem9aeTdMZS1SYzcydDMydVQza0I3eEhwXy1qeVYyYjdzMUxhWjJwajRXNFM4UmVrNm1Ob0ltbnNYX0tCT0NTR1VZWkh4X2JYaUxBOXZYYzl6VmlIZUJ1S2JGRXRqc3NhUDQ3Xy1UdTd4bGptbjRhMFduMk9vUmF5a1ZfS2Y?oc=5
- [2] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/iran-israel-new-york-strait-of-hormuz-saudi-arabia-b3009330.html
- [3] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/07-06/10653267.shtml
- [4] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260705-iran-grande-pri%C3%A8re-pour-les-fun%C3%A9railles-d-ali-khamenei-%C3%A0-t%C3%A9h%C3%A9ran
- [5] https://www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/unternehmen/2026-07/opec-oelproduktion-foerderung-markt
- [6] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/05/business/opec-production-iran-war.html
- [7] http://government.ru/en/news/59229
- [8] https://www.dw.com/en/cargo-ship-reportedly-attacked-in-red-sea-off-yemen/a-77838529?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [9] https://orf.at/stories/3435361
- [10] https://globalnews.ca/news/11953602/canada-seeking-clarity-annual-cusma-review
- [11] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260706053421yqP
- [12] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Trump-trifft-Selenskyj-vor-Nato-Gipfel-id31050907.html
- [13] https://elpais.com/america/2026-07-05/la-paradoja-de-trump-en-venezuela-el-apoyo-a-un-regimen-al-que-prometio-derrocar.html
- [14] https://www.dw.com/de/staatschefs-putin-und-selenskyj-rufen-trump-an/a-77836694?maca=de-rss-de-top-1016-rdf
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxOU2pnNmNzUTctOHVzeDVQdDZCZHBfZFlHUEhzcmN5c3BpUWVzaTlxQm5UNkZ1NC1SYkd3MkRaNFdSWkRSTXVFXzhpNXFjcWhqd0FVSEFFUG1MdTdfeUlLOVhDenh3UUt5N0NVTHRyLUFzbGFHVnpxY2xCZlFxZ204b3lJNUJyLUFGcjFleU5mOTlVak16MXl5cmVQTjBCd9IBowFBVV95cUxOWkhoQTlPVm1JU1RDQmkzc2UxdHZpZEY4U0pBSWdVUTdOcV9nVzBvQnB6eWhvSDhfWnA4REZvOFNsOGk3YXBCdHVMWHd6SlZ2MzhKdkpERm1EaW9OWjdVRFFZaS03SXpldGM4TjhHN0ZiN3paYnNuWGxISmFlckFVd24tYlhzUV9oSU1odTJOTUdGdU9ZSlJXT216b3BxVk43WDRV?oc=5
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqwFBVV95cUxPZnM4c3Z0bXNvTWdmbVhPS0JpZ191RGp5UUduV3UwTm5vblhBQ2RTQ1doeHlCbXBJZnlGcm5XSWc1Sm1Wa29aX3pkRXA0d19GUl9jLWVGNVBjdjNGSU9nVC1fczNmQl9vOVJVOHVUM0Fvb1JFNGR4Y2VtUHB4dnZIXy1YZUtrOTZ1VjJ0OHlBQjJ4VGg5Tm9VZnhUMUxsbTlGSzJIRnpZMDRhOW_SAbABQVVfeXFMTUFjV1V0Ukc3ZnpUNXlSYmN1NmJUTlIzWGFIVGN5aEQ0WUxLWTl1MVFXeE5tU2k3M09Ya1RRMWhxNU9xWVppT1pQZGdWWG9PdXh4OGx5djlBaVcwQy1KRGZkZXhpb0ZfX3pFc09DWHdWWnMxR0ViS3BKOURIVUwzckVfSFEydFhxV3U4U19xQzdzSGpJa3Y3TUd6V3R4dDkwN3lMUFE0Ujg
- [17] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/05/world/middleeast/iran-funeral-khamenei-tehran.html
- [18] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-07/trauerfeier-iran-ali-chamenei-teheran
- [19] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-07/06/selenskyj-fuerchtet-massive-russische-attacke-vor-nato-gipfel
- [20] https://www.france24.com/fr/%C3%A9missions/au-c%C5%93ur-de-l-info-l-invit%C3%A9/20260705-elena-volochine-le-pouvoir-russe-est-sur-une-ligne-de-cr%C3%AAte
- [21] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/07-06/10653265.shtml
- [22] https://orf.at/stories/3435327
- [23] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/israel-tehran-donald-trump-ayatollah-ali-khamenei-strait-of-hormuz-b3009267.html
2026-07-05
2026-07-05
进展要点
- 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊去世，德黑兰举行大规模葬礼，数万人参加，旨在展示国家团结与力量。（Sud Ouest）
- 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊的葬礼在德黑兰举行，可能引发伊朗政治过渡期的不确定性。（The New York Times）
- 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊去世，数千民众参加为期三天的悼念活动，可能引发伊朗政治权力过渡。（France 24 #3）
关键事件
- 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊葬礼：德黑兰万人送别（Sud Ouest）
- 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊葬礼举行（The New York Times）
- 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊逝世，数千信徒悼念（France 24 #3）
关联路径
Iran leadership vacuum / geopolitical risk premium / oil & safe-haven demand
Iran leadership change / Middle East geopolitical risk / Oil supply disruption premium
来源
China News Service / Al Jazeera Middle East / Sky News / RT News / Los Angeles Times World & Nation / Die Zeit Politics / Google News - World / Sud Ouest / The New York Times / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Mehr News Agency / A News / Kyiv Independent / France 24 #3 / El Mundo - International News / BBC News (Top) / Valor Econômico Politics / USTR Press Releases
参考链接
- [1] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/7/5/iran-war-live-huge-crowds-mourn-khamenei-trump-vows-calm-during-funeral?traffic_source=rss
- [2] https://news.sky.com/story/st-petersburg-oil-terminal-hit-as-ukraine-targets-russia-in-major-drone-attack-13560510
- [3] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/07-05/10652908.shtml
- [4] https://www.rt.com/news/642585-iran-ayatollah-khamenei-mourning/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [5] https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2026-07-04/iran-begins-dayslong-funeral-for-supreme-leader-ayatollah-ali-khamenei-killed-in-war
- [6] https://www.zeit.de/gesellschaft/zeitgeschehen/2026-07/erdbeben-venezuela-la-guaira-tote-nachbeben
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilgFBVV95cUxPTnZZMm5oVERvUHpwZGVVazNQOFZmWERRRU9UWmk0Tkhyd2NOQTZJa2xkRXlqcXVGTmNPRFJ4TDdrNmo0ZXJXY1VoMW80QnNYLS1CalgzWmVrck1uZmxVX2JtTk05S1FrbUJpLV9DQkZaNFRSRnotT3YzVlNBN1hPZmpVc29KbmhWM1NlMVBDdmJfV0RhQWc?oc=5
- [8] https://www.sudouest.fr/international/iran/iran-une-foule-compacte-dans-le-centre-de-teheran-pour-un-dernier-adieu-a-khamenei-29795044.php
- [9] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/07/04/world/middleeast/the-funeral-of-irans-supreme-leader-ali-khamenei.html
- [10] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-khamenei-s-funeral-ceremonies-officially-begin/a-77816592?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [11] https://en.mehrnews.com/news/245890/Iran-s-Intel-Min-vows-to-avenge-blood-of-martyred-Leader
- [12] https://www.anews.com.tr/world/2026/07/04/medvedev-says-strait-of-hormuz-gives-iran-leverage-comparable-to-nuclear-weapon
- [13] https://kyivindependent.com/major-russian-oil-refinery-suspends-operations-again-after-ukrainian-drone-strike
- [14] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260704-en-direct-d%C3%A9but-de-l-hommage-de-trois-jours-pour-le-d%C3%A9funt-guide-supr%C3%AAme-iranien-ali-khamenei
- [15] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/07/04/6a492bc9e85ece104c8b457a-video.html
- [16] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c8j2vmzxezro?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [17] https://valor.globo.com/mundo/noticia/2026/07/04/trump-ofereceu-ajuda-a-putin-para-acordo-com-ucrnia-diz-assessor-do-kremlin.ghtml
- [18] https://ustr.gov/about/policy-offices/press-office/press-releases/2026/july/american-farmers-ranchers-manufacturers-and-businesses-applaud-president-trump-not-rubber-stamping
- [19] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/7/4/russias-medvedev-says-strait-of-hormuz-is-irans-nuclear?traffic_source=rss
- [20] https://en.mehrnews.com/news/245884/Iran-warns-against-military-moves-in-Strait-of-Hormuz
- [21] https://www.anews.com.tr/world/2026/07/04/uk-france-say-ready-to-deploy-multinational-force-to-secure-strait-of-hormuz
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMisAFBVV95cUxOUXVfTjQ0NmJWOW9yNFlPTUVySUVqZlV4NW93V0NKWTFRY2cxeWhzVjFDNVRaY1dNekVXSUEwVk1ROG0tSUc0SzJsVWJuUHM4UlFoOXNyeHBNcjNFRjVjX2Q1Qk5ZcVpqR3lZSnJ1X1J6Qmtoc3NCY1p2TkZHUmZ5YU14Q3I0NS1RSEx6M2F0X0NyQk42clZLMXhIZHJORGNxZkhpSnV4MjlaVkU3ZkpCaw?oc=5
- [23] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/07-04/10652893.shtml
- [24] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxPUk1vYU8yRWN0UDZvcTNTSEtCQlc4NjQxdXFSdlVoZ2dSY3RfYlRlZDZGeGdLVGxNOE9lWHFYWW5FV3ZyNjZxSGZvX0FWTmZmZldRMEE5dlVCUEpfbXRmVEpxb19KSkIzWkk0U2llU1dQNm5iZk9ENU0tUDhULXpTSXlORVMxN2ZsQXhDeko4WXd1WVhMV2JPY2dUTXNqRjFMRV9MdGhVRThRY09WMWc?oc=5
- [25] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/7/4/will-economic-pressure-move-the-kremlin-towards-talks-with-kyiv?traffic_source=rss
- [26] https://kyivindependent.com/st-petersburg-oil-terminal-july-4
- [27] https://www.sudouest.fr/international/europe/ukraine/guerre-en-ukraine-la-russie-affirme-que-des-drones-envoyes-par-kiev-ont-touche-un-terminal-petrolier-a-saint-petersbourg-29788535.php
- [28] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/07/04/6a49243521efa0d45f8b458f.html
2026-07-04
2026-07-04
进展要点
- 轨迹（升级）：伊朗全国哀悼已故最高领袖哈梅内伊，大规模葬礼可能成为权力交接的舞台。
- 伊朗高层内部权力博弈加剧，未来领导层方向不明。
关键事件
- 伊朗为遇刺最高领袖哈梅内伊举行全国哀悼（The Independent）
关注 / 展望
继任者身份及政策走向是未来数周关键变量，强硬派与温和派角力将影响伊核谈判及地区政策。
关联路径
最高领袖去世 / 权力真空 / 内政不确定性外溢至地区政策
来源
Yahoo News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / Die Zeit Politics / Google News - World / The Independent / n-tv Politik / Ukrinform / Tagesschau / Le Monde International / RT News / China Government English News
参考链接
- [1] https://finance.yahoo.com/economy/policy/articles/fed-seen-less-likely-raise-130759582.html
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/7/4/iran-war-live-millions-expected-in-tehran-for-funeral-of-ali-khamenei?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-07/04/paris-und-london-wollen-strasse-von-hormus-mit-oman-absichern
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMie0FVX3lxTE1IRmJkU3lmYi1xelNicG5hWFJ5QmJOc2U5dlJxN09Jc2EzM3J4dG5RSDZxNEE1akRYR3JkTEpjQ1VkQmZBVC1xMjdLaWhuVzhSTUhTTGRNZWhhcHN1dkJ6VmpCamxUOG9mZmlrRjdwQ0NsX3U3VGY5UzRxSdIBgAFBVV95cUxQS3FWdEt4UHMtMEM0Rmt0RENXTnJKTC04c3hsVlcxb2hYT2xJelk2SUJndHgwTk56ZnBnSGpiOFBOLW02QlgwcjhzanpIelB1b3otaW51czJPTnJTM0RERWlmdHRFSEJpNVVJcmRwMVdsNU14VUpfTkVaX2g5aGpFRg?oc=5
- [5] https://www.independent.co.uk/bulletin/news/ayatollah-ali-khamenei-funeral-iran-b3008364.html
- [6] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Russland-sucht-Benzin-im-Ausland-id31045531.html
- [7] https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-world/4140474-suputnik-pokazav-stupin-poskodzenna-vijskovih-i-adernih-obektiv-iranu-zmi.html
- [8] https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/ukraine-russland-krieg-142.html
- [9] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/07/03/seisme-au-venezuela-un-dernier-bilan-fait-etat-de-2-645-morts-et-12-666-blesses_6720488_3210.html
- [10] https://www.rt.com/news/642546-iran-us-israel-ghalibaf/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [11] https://english.www.gov.cn/news
- [12] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/3/iran-begins-week-of-funeral-ceremonies-for-slain-supreme-leader-khamenei?traffic_source=rss
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuwFBVV95cUxPanlfMW1EMnFya2ZMNmFLVjBtT3ctNzZIdmVvVlVsYlNYNTJMRXJaTXlRU3BET0dncnF1UDlTMFdmVy14ZnkwdVdjWjNrS203OExQQjBjTUJHRTRBVUdYYkRSVUVLVGszZjF2ZWRMU2VvY0RhWGhVTFpPV0VkTmE1cTVHVnZueU9OOHBnT0xCcmNZdVVmeS1WZzdyS050NUVNcm1BQVlGZmV6N0NySlFJa3NIRG9YNDk2QUhR?oc=5
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/3/yemens-houthis-threaten-saudi-arabia-after-alleged-airspace-intrusion?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.independent.co.uk/news/vladimir-putin-ukraine-russia-crimea-moscow-b3008512.html
- [16] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxNZkg1ZzBwMDZqYVhHLUwtUWhNbWd2eVJkOGdFcDJHZUxKWTRFc3MyZTdoWHpKczlmVTgwR2R5QjQwU0lhUmJNOVYydlppNHR3emVMaEVuQW9GY1RHU1pHVFhYcDRBeWZHcG1sVjFFYWp2blNseUZjVjRHampXU3BPeHVsWDZBMGhOUVJaaWF5dzN1bWdocWR5eFA1MU90ZlQ5cUhvTHEySXJ6LUsw?oc=5
- [17] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-07/rohstofffonds-bundesregierung-johann-wadephul-seltene-erden-brasilien
- [18] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/largest-us-power-grid-pjm-190819959.html
- [19] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-07/carl-skau-welternaehrungsprogramm-vereinten-nationen-hunger-iran
- [20] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/cossacks-volunteers-help-keep-order-043430489.html
- [21] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/07/03/en-direct-guerre-en-ukraine-dans-la-ville-de-kiev-au-lendemain-de-l-attaque-la-plus-meurtriere-depuis-le-debut-de-la-guerre-les-recherche-se-poursuivent-dans-les-decombres_6716525_3210.html
- [22] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Bildet-China-russische-Soldaten-aus-Berlin-bittet-Botschafter-zum-Gespraech-id31046589.html
- [23] https://www.rt.com/news/642553-us-wants-access-cook-islands-critical-minerals-ambassador/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
2026-06-30
2026-06-30
进展要点
- 特朗普在最高法院裁决后再次威胁要解雇美联储理事丽莎·库克，加剧市场对美联储独立性的担忧。（The New York Times）
- 美国最高法院暂时阻止总统特朗普解雇美联储理事丽莎·库克，此举涉及央行独立性。（ABC News）
关键事件
- 特朗普重申解雇美联储理事库克威胁（The New York Times）
- 最高法院暂时阻止特朗普解雇美联储理事库克（ABC News）
关联路径
Political threat to Fed independence / USD uncertainty / Risk-off across rates and equities
Fed independence upheld / monetary policy stability / USD & rates sentiment
来源
China News Service / Google News - World / Yonhap News TV / DW (Deutsche Welle) / France 24 #2 / ANTARA News / Der Spiegel International / Global Issues News / The New York Times / Times of India / BBC News (Top) / ABC News / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxQMVpLSXJnM0gxVVF5Um5raVAzNVVkdGdTRVRqallDVjBXYlhMWGZiTWdhTUdHWWY0enFRcHYwbkRjLXBTQV8zdEdVTjFUTGU1LWdJZTZjd3RNSko4NDAxdWFHVkZqZDlETGF6RjZSM21ITWs5akYwZU5XelYzSklIYXliRW5IN1JZVWdZeg?oc=5
- [2] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202606300651257SU
- [3] https://www.dw.com/en/us-iran-deliver-conflicting-reports-on-fresh-peace-talks/live-77746775?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [4] https://www.france24.com/en/strait-of-hormuz-iran-has-made-it-very-clear-that-there-are-new-rules-analyst-says
- [5] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5628112/iran-menolak-rencana-prancis-bersihkan-ranjau-di-selat-hormuz
- [6] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/strasse-von-hormus-die-iraner-verteidigen-ihr-bestes-druckmittel-a-9d50f451-10b2-4e68-99f6-a2118a92ede5
- [7] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/06-30/10649607.shtml
- [8] https://www.globalissues.org/news/2026/06/29/43441
- [9] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/29/us/politics/trump-fire-fed-governor-cook.html
- [10] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/42-rain-deficit-this-june-is-set-to-be-indias-3rd-driest-in-100-years/articleshow/132079606.cms
- [11] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/clyw31zvpgmo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [12] https://abcnews.com/Politics/supreme-court-blocks-trump-now-firing-fed-board/story?id=134256258
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiVkFVX3lxTE5Vdlc0SjRVXzVDN2NWNDhNQUM4c3RIY1F1T084VjRSbXBFdTB6QkRHcFNpSno1T2Z3djh5eUtWNC11NmtQcUJRWWRRX1BPZ2VrRDZCaXJR?oc=5
- [14] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivwFBVV95cUxQOGNKTl9zUll6dG5Td3ZkWGtWRW5ZYXVGR2ZudGZUeWR5dVdLcWt3bzB6eS1VQ1hMMjBreEpmc1ZMR0VOeVZubjBPUXBlUEZOZ2lCWnFvcENZMkRyeXh6SzNHRGJVYWxtazAtSXotQ2lhUkJraUhfblppM1RXZUY5YTlsUU9yMkptdGYtZVc3VzgzZGZ5M1FHOE5lTm9hZFlnS2lGeFlRZ0hSNFVtVm1YdlZMcU1PaFF1RGNHc1lpYw?oc=5
- [15] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260630033107CD0
- [16] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260630004449cpD
- [17] https://www.france24.com/en/video/20260629-why-oman-has-become-a-key-diplomatic-player-in-mideast-war
- [18] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260629-hostilit%C3%A9s-en-pause-entre-t%C3%A9h%C3%A9ran-et-washington-premi%C3%A8re-rencontre-irano-omanaise-sur-ormuz
- [19] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/06-30/10649623.shtml
- [20] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/no-negotiation-at-any-level-iran-refutes-donald-trumps-claim-of-planned-us-talks-in-doha/articleshow/132079125.cms
2026-06-13
2026-06-13
进展要点
- 据报道，伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊的葬礼可能于6月底或7月初举行。（ANTARA News）
关键事件
- 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊葬礼拟于6月底举行（ANTARA News）
关联路径
Iran leadership transition / Middle East geopolitical uncertainty / Oil risk premium & safe-haven demand
来源
Yonhap News TV / France 24 #2 / Al Jazeera Middle East / Google News - World / BBC News (Business) / UK Government News and Communications / Times of India / The Hindu / ANTARA News / Yahoo News - World / The New York Times / DW (Deutsche Welle) / The Hindu BusinessLine / France 24 #3
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260613085752ynp
- [2] https://www.france24.com/en/middle-east/20260612-middle-east-live-iran-says-us-war-deal-could-be-signed-remotely-in-coming-days
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2026/6/12/will-there-be-a-deal-to-end-the-iran-war-this-time?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiggFBVV95cUxQMy1fbWtVcXVDRm5ISTB2a2lrQURZSjduUXBFUUMwOTZFQkE4dmMyYVJuZVROektFV0xjRVFqNlVfc05LczVnTklEOUxKeTdkalVOY21GOGZ1dGZGMXczRTMyTU41SnpldEdaQ1VsSUszaVdxZm1SMmZGZnVvMXhKU1B3?oc=5
- [5] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/ceqdl8xre7qo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [6] https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-to-set-end-date-for-imports-of-russian-diesel-and-jet-fuel-via-third-countries
- [7] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/sanctions-relief-lebanon-ceasefire-inclusion-hormuz-reopening-inside-the-14-point-us-iran-potential-deal-framework/articleshow/131685000.cms
- [8] https://www.thehindu.com/videos/shows/watch-100-days-of-iran-war-what-are-indias-diplomatic-options-after-3-indians-killed-worldview/article71094310.ece
- [9] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5606137/prosesi-pemakaman-ali-khamenei-dijadwalkan-akhir-juni
- [10] https://www.yahoo.com/news/videos/mediator-iran-talks-says-final-183217578.html
- [11] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/12/world/middleeast/iran-peace-deal-what-to-know.html
- [12] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-trump-disputes-leaked-terms-of-deal/live-77520654?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [13] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/trump-rejects-irans-peace-deal-claims-accuses-tehran-of-attacking-vessels-carrying-indian-seafarers/article71094753.ece
- [14] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260613083858SYX
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi5gFBVV95cUxOWXZFVFVpaWpJR2d1WDM0eklhWVF4SjllZ1RkdXVvTmY4N1VySzRQd3k5TGdHdGQtQ0RnLUthcXRQakdxcUtxejFSblFLWlRQODhIaUtKN2dGcUpDX01LTVdERXJ3WnFMckRwWS1qSjdQaUxCVThCMzExOXNHcl8yM3oyX3ZmdnlITEJsUjl6RGpaZFp5NjlZdFNKcmRLUEF1MXY2ZkhrdTlvZ0lpODZaR2RyT0ozYUhRdUFJaWg5TVkxb0pmM0htTE5LLUVmM0pOcHRLWGVndmJGNGJ4UWpWc1oyaXFRUQ?oc=5
- [16] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/12/putin-admits-ukraine-attacks-hitting-russian-economy-society?traffic_source=rss
- [17] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxPcGlJeWNsNVlXNWZEbDByVlY2MnVLNmZlYlprTFR2QTJqTl9SdFNuRV9SYnBUN29ORUVZZEwyT3VsSkc3MWh4bW55ZXU4ZXNTUGw4YmFHWEhGb2t4TEQ2dW9hdXRGWFJVTldBRURRWC1MZ0hkd09lVGlBLXc3QXRJZVM0dXo?oc=5
- [18] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/the-world-this-week/20260612-iran-ukraine-belfast-albania-s-flamingo-revolution
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260613001746Xv7
- [20] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/forecasts-indicate-el-nio-to-grow-stronger-during-monsoon-imd/articleshow/131695101.cms
- [21] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/home/environment/el-nio-here-63-chance-it-will-be-super-strong-us/articleshow/131695624.cms
- [22] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/6/12/iran-no-timeline-yet-for-signing-us-deal?traffic_source=rss
- [23] https://www.france24.com/fr/vid%C3%A9o/20260612-moyen-orient-l-iran-%C3%A9voque-des-progr%C3%A8s-significatifs-vers-un-accord-avec-washington
- [24] https://www.thehindu.com/videos/india-summons-us-deputy-chief-of-mission-again-after-another-attack-on-ship-with-indian-crew/article71094969.ece
2026-05-20
2026-05-20
进展要点
- 美国参议院投票决定推进一项旨在迫使总统特朗普结束对伊朗军事行动的议案，显示共和党内部对总统伊朗政策的分歧扩大。（The New York Times）
关键事件
- 参议院投票推进迫使特朗普结束伊朗战争的议案（The New York Times）
关联路径
Senate vote / Iran war uncertainty / oil supply risk & safe-haven demand
来源
China News Service / RT News / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / The New York Times / Yonhap News TV / France 24 #2 / Yonhap News Agency / Yahoo News - World
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/640200-us-nato-troop-commitments/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxQM0dIXzRtQmFEWVh6Wkp6a1dmaW9ZT0dtc2ZEVkpfdUZOekJrMkpkWlh3a3lfYnlEVVhkV21xSHJ0UW1lbFJ0bVptS3BfYzlxa0NKc29rM204Sk1mc094b3VvcU9UOFNkNnY0T0lOV3dBV0Y5X2JSNVBpUW1mZVcwRjY4dnpobUpOdzlXbw?oc=5
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/5/20/iran-war-live-tehran-warns-of-many-more-surprises-if-conflict-resumes?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-20/10624660.shtml
- [5] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/19/us/politics/iran-israel-us-leader-ahmadinejad.html
- [6] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202605200830408wz
- [7] https://www.france24.com/en/us-iran-trade-threats-as-tehran-stages-mass-weddings-for-couples-ready-for-sacrifice
- [8] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260520000300315
- [9] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/trump-says-us-may-attack-iran-again-but-that-tehran-wants-deal-154216868.html
- [10] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwFBVV95cUxNWXZfbWNiRkpRS0wxTW9VOE9UdXg0NXF1V0RoQTN5OHp2Y01JeTBUY1pSQWh0UGxNVy03Tno0Tnh2dDVhd3AwTVU2dzJQc19JVWVaQWxBZHFBWHdQb011WUpJdnB6U3FGWXRiZFNfdkU5bDBQWEw1VER0SkpkcF9ITDZzRm5nTnVwejd3NkpPUFA1YlJhSGh3?oc=5
- [11] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/19/putin-meets-xi-why-russia-and-china-need-each-other?traffic_source=rss
- [12] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260520075358kcF
- [13] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260520075556zwz
- [14] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-20/10624644.shtml
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi1wFBVV95cUxPYWR0eUtXLTJQTW1zdkROclZ0UzNTcFN5UXZ2UnFnSlJqSUtCbW5udWdkZXdCWWlaY3V6VkxsaWcyNEVSbkI3bVo1TDlwaFlVRElpcXN5cUtmWVR0Qk1uNFRkSHlBSHIzeEI5c3B4bEtmaEUyVW9Kd1owV1l0MzBsSGdmdlAzM3hKYks0UVhUUzJyNFlFWWg5aFpBcm91ek5nZXNwdDdiNDlOZjl3WTdsRjlDa2ZUaEJ6RFREMUt2b25Uc0dHWnFqWW5mNlplTWRJcjhnTVU1NA?oc=5
- [16] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/19/us/politics/senate-iran-war-authorization.html
- [17] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/19/business/bond-market-iran-war-inflation.html
- [18] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH2026052007274788E
- [19] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH202605200646164Hq
- [20] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR202605200659052fd
- [21] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMid0FVX3lxTE53eGZ5QVM2QVJiTXFmd2tWdDR4dGs4NExPdTRtRFhXSUdJU21ZWVZBLW9NM2hISndmbWF6bHBEMldmQ1BHel9KLTBrazdIUElONnFNeVM3ZFhFbW8zLTI5U2RpSkM1bWR4QlV3YkpQUzdXTUhqYVlz0gF8QVVfeXFMTkpEa0w1aUN1UFBuNWh3aDVsWnFvVjFxak1iUFdkN21ZYlo0UGJkeUh4b3FFMXd6alFsRnBYMjZlVFhaR1FkSTZ1N2VIUWxPV1laYVlIRFpKc1dQVVk0S3J2bXVLNHM2T3RsdDcxZ2dBTVVJUVQ2c19CMGMxaA?oc=5
- [22] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR202605200609143fy
- [23] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE1nSTg2NG41U1hteDhTeWpPVXZMTzg1UUlUc3dRbDlZVzJ2VmUxN3cxMGVNaUhBTGVfS283bFdrb1FHRFFhVi1rWXgwcFlEODJ2cW5BSlBnTTVIc3pzcFFfTWR6ZWJ2Smdvd2V2VEpMTmdIZVhJLThtZg?oc=5
- [24] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260520055900A3d
- [25] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260520051649dwW
- [26] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260520051428irg
- [27] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiwFBVV95cUxNcWpCMXl5RHNwRFkzYnR2NVIyaDNHZXh3MHdIS3RjTnIzWWRfaFlUY3dzbEE1QXl2amRKUjY3Qy1kWjlUU0Y5bDBKSlFMMUNERkVQNHlra1JNOGNXcUxFdmZreU1pNkhFMWxDek1Hcm9YVWVGaUZjU05HYmFIakRSbVA0TFk1NDJJa1Zn?oc=5
- [28] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihgFBVV95cUxQRW1nQjNiSUd4bkRfSEJreUZfcTJvZ0pySWlucWpObkhNT1BNdFd5V2lXVkdfc3ZDTXpXc1FlVWlfclh1c19QaWVnMmF6eDNoWWRZMHIwX1g2bm5PYmRVbWhnUGxLUTlDRVlSVHdPc0JrYlRsLUxDajRmc0hhT1hsNkxfU1R2d9IBiwFBVV95cUxON0pZcmV6OFlLQlJUZ1Jkb2FKeFdtSk1RTnZHaGRISnVBSkJZcW00aEtkV2VseEMwLWZ4VUFkZmh1dlFGWVA4cWltb2JpZUJxM2tLcGZBS0Z3NEZfUWd5eUFHN2RocXR1YldpQUgzRVVWMXBhOTJGYXoxT1Ric2pEUC02TkdtdVpvenFR?oc=5
2026-05-04
2026-05-04
进展要点
- 调查人员确认，特朗普遇刺未遂案的嫌疑人在白宫记者协会晚宴上开枪击伤一名特勤局特工。检察官表示，该特工“明确”被嫌疑人的子弹击中。（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关键事件
- 调查称特朗普遇刺嫌犯在新闻晚宴上枪击特勤局官员（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关联路径
Political violence / Safe-haven demand / USD / Gold up, Equities down
来源
China News Service / Yonhap News TV / Yonhap News Agency / The Hindu / Google News - World / n-tv Politik / France 24 #3 / The New York Times / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Le Monde International / Yonhap News TV Politics Feed / Der Spiegel International / Al Jazeera Middle East / Yahoo News - World / RT News / Global News
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260504090940oLO
- [2] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260504001500315
- [3] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/trump-announces-project-freedom-to-help-stranded-ships-leave-strait-of-hormuz/article70936417.ece
- [4] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijwFBVV95cUxQSVJPVVBjX2Z5alZfTHlJaDBrN0d0aS1WeWVJWlkwQ19kNTRKQldNOVJNaDJzbmtIcjdBd25mOXIyVjdJR0lHeHJtN1htUmxVQXItNUFsTllPbm8teG1oeS01WkxPTGlGOHRPa202RU9tbThkN0tRN2NZQnU2SWNHZHgwQXkyTk5kSmFlVVBwVdIBlAFBVV95cUxPSmJUYzNHM3lybFJuV2NYYjl5NWhGbkdrLWZQTEx4VWtxYmN5SzR0MEVEOTBZcFVEeEItcDZqeTJLdVJFZXQ5eUdoeGdaaUYyR3pqRHRfbWU5cHlVU0lZaDdoNkllY1ZzelBKV2IwX3djLWZJSl93S1RkVzdUd3Bta240RzVDQzNaeUFtZjh4OUlNYWxq?oc=5
- [5] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/US-Militaer-will-festsitzende-Schiffe-aus-Strasse-von-Hormus-geleiten-id30781595.html
- [6] https://www.france24.com/fr/moyen-orient/20260503-en-direct-guerre-iran-marine-americaine-va-escorter-navires-bloques-detroit-ormuz-donald-trump-cessez-feu-liban-israel
- [7] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/03/us/politics/strait-hormuz-stranded-ships.html
- [8] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-04/10615312.shtml
- [9] https://www.dw.com/en/iran-war-trump-says-us-to-guide-ships-safely-out-of-hormuz/live-77021634?maca=en-rss-en-all-1573-rdf
- [10] https://www.lemonde.fr/international/live/2026/05/03/en-direct-guerre-au-moyen-orient-donald-trump-annonce-que-la-marine-americaine-va-escorter-des-navires-bloques-a-travers-le-detroit-d-ormuz-a-partir-de-lundi_6684072_3210.html
- [11] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260504062226PpA
- [12] https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/strasse-von-hormus-trump-plant-einsatz-unter-codenamen-project-freedom-a-9c929e2e-ab18-434a-9f78-bc00c6194ee2
- [13] https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/5/3/iran-lawmaker-says-strait-of-hormuz-will-not-return-to-pre%e2%80%91war-state?traffic_source=rss
- [14] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/ukraine-hits-key-russian-oil-092405352.html
- [15] https://www.rt.com/news/639394-nato-rift-widens-as-trump-eyes-troop-withdrawal/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [16] https://globalnews.ca/news/11827950/iran-war-trump-reviews-proposal
- [17] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260504090443Eyo
- [18] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260504085951Lh9
- [19] https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20260504000500320
- [20] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxObUh2emxTZXgta2JVZzZkUXVmNURoTGM3ejQ0aHBaMUk5WEE4dzJjOXR3UjdtQ0FCNmNtZFJ4NjhGdlFScGdWVjRfeUhpNS1JN3dBNW5PY25rMS1BQUVXVmx4b2NLSVFVU0hyYy0weVZYY1YyY2VVSHdIZGlhOV9CNGNyQm4?oc=5
- [21] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/3/trump-says-us-will-help-free-up-ships-stuck-in-hormuz-strait?traffic_source=rss
- [22] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikgFBVV95cUxQOGJzdEItUzB5NWhkTDhrZHFmcG5VVVNlOFJycUl5UUp0cVF4UXRNdjQ0R2FxWmE3aVRKZ1U4VVdvWFIzWl9xdlRGSzlZWjI2S1JjTXZaTlRwSWZDcjdGX0RiUkVFUzE3UF9BX2k3VFBhc3lfdW43aTRYUnRuaU9rcGF0RFNJOWVNYjUzS2dVbTdNQdIBlwFBVV95cUxPT1dHdGRoYzVMVjNEWENQb2s0QXZjZFNEeDUzQkhNVnJUeVdsaUxmX3c5aWF5eGt1RFJXMUhLRGFXa2xoMDJCbHRGU1NENnQzRUN4eFliWXZmZVliVFF4RVNMX2hfajE2M2tnOFpSMjVPbFh5c2Vxb1haM1kxMHFzNFk0ZHFIWEdCbk90Q0FIU2tSUG4tTGNj?oc=5
- [23] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/5/3/investigators-say-trump-assassination-suspect-shot-officer-at-press-gala?traffic_source=rss
- [24] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/05-04/10615308.shtml
2026-04-28
2026-04-28
进展要点
- 美国代理司法部长表示，调查人员正努力确定嫌疑人是否与左翼活动人士有关联。（The New York Times）
- 美国联邦当局对白宫记者协会晚宴枪击案嫌疑人提出指控，罪名是企图刺杀总统特朗普。（China News Service）
- 华盛顿年度记者晚宴枪击案嫌疑人被控企图刺杀美国总统特朗普。嫌疑人携带多件武器，包括一把泵动枪和三把刀，突破安保后开枪，随后被制服。（France 24 #2）
关键事件
- 特朗普遇刺案嫌疑人被控：基于猎枪弹壳与宣言（The New York Times）
- 白宫晚宴枪击案嫌疑人被控企图刺杀特朗普（China News Service）
- 记者晚宴枪击案嫌疑人被控企图刺杀特朗普（France 24 #2）
关联路径
Political violence / Safe-haven demand / USD / Equities sell-off
Political violence / Safe-haven demand / USD / Gold up, Equities down
来源
China News Service / The New York Times / Al Jazeera Middle East / Yonhap News TV / Google News - World / Federal Foreign Office / France 24 #2 / The Hindu / ABC News / Die Zeit Politics / ANTARA News Agency
参考链接
- [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/27/us/politics/trump-assassination-attempt-cole-allen-charges.html
- [2] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/28/iran-war-live-trump-reviews-peace-plan-un-calls-for-hormuz-to-reopen?traffic_source=rss
- [3] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260428083338GrV
- [4] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-28/10612004.shtml
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijgFBVV95cUxPd2Q4RjJxWldmdnJEOHNpNG0yeUJDR3hDVFBoanBrZHVuTFJoSGw3MnN6QllNTVI4dC1LMUsyYWNwMlhkT1RfN3QxanZXYU5QVFZvaklBN3ZVOS1fMHFNVVBPS3pSTTNCS1RiLWhTNm12TTdTRjRnemt0SXA4aXpZSmNDajZOYkFudlB2cEV3?oc=5
- [6] https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/en/newsroom/news/2769416-2769416
- [7] https://www.france24.com/en/americas/20260427-suspect-in-press-gala-shooting-charged-with-attempted-assassination-of-trump
- [8] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/man-charged-with-attempted-assassination-of-trump-in-white-house-correspondents-dinner-shooting/article70913760.ece
- [9] https://abcnews.com/US/white-house-correspondents-dinner-shooting-suspect-arraigned-monday/story?id=132410865
- [10] https://www.zeit.de/gesellschaft/zeitgeschehen/2026-04/usa-korrespondentendinner-donald-trump-attentat-anklage
- [11] https://www.antaranews.com/berita/5544797/as-tolak-iran-kuasai-selat-hormuz
- [12] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260428083424bVv
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi_AFBVV95cUxPX0xJcUFkRWhScGRqdXdFNV94ZUYyb0JWOHdiRkdiakFSWFRGd2dqZ2tnSXladUpFcklMZkJUVDltX0JvZFkxaDVLV2JPV1lmS0VPVHV3MDJZR05Dc3N0TGVrYUkwU0FHeGhiTmZITnV5cUVpanlwbVVyZWFCbm1hS3BWQUZ5Tk5xRzhTTV94SEcxbVU3ZWJtUnJRNmh6ZkZRUC0zTTBwdG85SHBDUVNXNDl1bDlDZkZLU1N3NFZwRjY4VHNiUjNiQnA1VmVFNmFCLTFjRXhncHlfWWQwSEFhWW5LejItckgxUS1GcDZHOEs2ZEdBSW95cGdTeEY?oc=5
- [14] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/27/hezbollah-and-israel-swap-threats-and-strikes-across-lebanons-border?traffic_source=rss
- [15] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/27/world/middleeast/iran-trump-talks-strait-of-hormuz-nuclear.html
- [16] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/china-vows-countermeasures-if-eu-enacts-made-in-europe-plan/article70913665.ece
2026-04-27
2026-04-27
进展要点
- 轨迹（Escalating）：特朗普两年内第三次遭遇刺杀未遂，政治暴力成为美国大选年核心变量。
- 美代理司法部长确认白宫记者晚宴枪手意图刺杀特朗普及部分官员；嫌疑人事前撰写反基督教宣言。
- 枪击发生在华盛顿希尔顿酒店，特勤局紧急保护官员，现场一度混乱（NYT/Die Zeit/El País）。
关键事件
- 美代理司法部长：枪手意图刺杀特朗普及官员（China News Service）
- 华盛顿希尔顿酒店枪击现场细节：特勤局紧急避险（The New York Times）
- 特朗普称嫌疑人为“病态者”，写下反基督教宣言（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关注 / 展望
关注后续调查是否牵出更大政治动机，以及特朗普支持率因此事件可能得到提振。大选年政治不确定性上升。
关联路径
政治暴力 / 政策不确定性 / 避险资产走强 / 美元 / 黄金上行
来源
Xinhua World / China News Service / Yonhap News TV / BBC News (Top) / Google News - World / The New York Times / ORF.at News / Yahoo News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / Ukrinform / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Times of India / El Mundo - International News / Die Zeit Politics / El País Internacional
参考链接
- [1] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260427091017XG8
- [2] https://www.news.cn/world/20260426/daba923ddc844ddabea5d0129532f166/c.html
- [3] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-27/10611350.shtml
- [4] https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gxgv8j7zlo?at_medium=RSS&at_campaign=rss
- [5] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiugFBVV95cUxPcVBWblkyWXVKYUo5a0NJTU5leldLUzZ2alhRVXFoWHdHWWtkZDJwSUl3WVZWeW92T001QXJNLUEwY1NnNUlxSk4wVEM2LWJ4d290NXBFbzF5RkRpMzFNd3JzQTRGejBHNWx6bjFEM2o2dmJJMy1uVllaenRMcUlzTUp4T2lqel9GU1ZnSW9nd253bFo4UVRjMVhEdVFuMW1mM3EtYXp4WXNCamtaZ2steWtXclVJZGlLTFE?oc=5
- [6] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/26/us/politics/shots-fired-inside-the-pandemonium-at-the-washington-hilton.html
- [7] https://orf.at/stories/3428055
- [8] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/us-wont-renew-iranian-russian-215951473.html
- [9] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/26/israel-issues-forced-evacuation-orders-for-southern-lebanon-in-escalation?traffic_source=rss
- [10] https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-polytics/4116887-zelensky-strike-on-chernobyl-npp-shows-moscow-cannot-be-trusted-as-international-partner.html
- [11] https://www.dw.com/en/russia-north-korea-agree-long-term-military-cooperation/a-76945404?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
- [12] https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/defence/how-israel-deployed-iron-dome-to-uae-amid-iran-war-explained/articleshow/130535531.cms
- [13] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/04/26/69ee3833fdddff1c348b458a.html
- [14] https://www.zeit.de/feuilleton/2026-04/correspondents-dinner-donald-trump-attentat-pressekonferenz-weisses-haus
- [15] https://elpais.com/videos/2026-04-26/cronologia-visual-del-atentado-contra-trump-en-la-cena-de-corresponsales-de-la-casa-blanca.html
- [16] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260427072511bO0
- [17] https://orf.at/stories/3428051
- [18] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/26/world/middleeast/us-iran-peace-talks-pakistan.html
- [19] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxPUDFiSmpOTEdtZlVya0poQkx2Q29ZNlZGWkEtd21lVk5IQ20yXzBTbmZsOV9BM0RvTk9rMUREaTJPYmJEZUV0V2I3cUdVa3lBVkJGY2NJcnd1THVvVGZkWURleFBnWjZrMUVlaW5iZ2g0OEc3dW9hdy1PNzlqeVdRcy1ZU0pWMC1BUGdTb2JPVVFfd1RKdVBBUS1DcFYxdU44cGFzSE5FR2_SAa4BQVVfeXFMTVloSWlMQjRRa0FxRlNoMHBKM3RERjhla2ctajgyUEF6UmNqbFZ2bklrS2lDUF81U0pTZlRmVGlDN2tvNldoRmxEa1Z4cjBQTVJrbmNiUDFDWHo4WEVubnowYWtDbkMxYUpMblJxTkdPN0JYdVZRRlBOQlB2ZktBakFvS0ZIOXVxWFJfeDBrOVBGeU91OF8zZjFDcGVLX2F1ZW9DVGdyTW54LS0
- [20] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/26/trump-his-administration-likely-targets-at-media-dinner-us-official?traffic_source=rss
2026-04-26
2026-04-26
进展要点
- 分析显示，特朗普总统的言论和社交媒体帖子成为标普500指数最大单日涨跌的主要驱动因素，市场波动性显著增加。（Yonhap News TV）
关键事件
- 特朗普言论主导标普500指数极端波动（Yonhap News TV）
关联路径
Trump言论 / 政策不确定性 / 市场波动
来源
China News Service / elDiario.es Internacional / Yahoo News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / El Mundo - International News / Die Zeit Politics / Yonhap News TV / The Hindu BusinessLine / ANTARA News Jawa Timur / Mirror Politics / Tagesschau / Ukrainian National News (UNN) - Politics / Google News - World / n-tv Politik / ORF.at News / IRNA / PBS NewsHour / LIGA.net Politics News / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.eldiario.es/internacional/doble-bloqueo-estrecho-ormuz-atasca-trump-busqueda-salida-caotica-gestion-guerra-iran_1_13168241.html
- [2] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/russian-attacks-kill-3-wound-082655969.html
- [3] https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/4/26/iran-war-live-tehran-rejects-talks-under-siege-trump-cancels-envoys-trip?traffic_source=rss
- [4] https://www.elmundo.es/internacional/2026/04/26/69ecadb421efa0b0538b45a2.html
- [5] https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-04/usa-iran-trump-absage-pakistan
- [6] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260426085319zmZ
- [7] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/world/us-says-its-hunting-for-explosive-mines-in-latest-push-to-open-strait-of-hormuz/article70905372.ece
- [8] https://jatim.antaranews.com/berita/1060483/iran-sita-dua-kapal-di-selat-hormuz-diduga-terkait-dengan-israel
- [9] https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/government-stepping-up-plans-potential-37069193
- [10] https://www.tagesschau.de/newsticker/liveblog-iran-sonntag-112.html
- [11] https://unn.ua/news/perehovory-ssha-ta-iranu-v-pakystani-zirvalysia-shche-do-pochatku-hlava-mzs-iranu-zalyshyv-islamabad
- [12] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-26/10610976.shtml
- [13] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxOUHFYOUgyaGRzV0Z3eWVYQkNoR3Zfd1NxdjJyR000bDhDYk12dUs4RnNRSThKbHF0d2I4STM2NXNyNU5SRTZncGNlcmxDblZrOVV5WUt1VmIxZG5TdTV2YUR2N3RvZ2pYeWxIUW5rUndJd1EzTXJvRE54bHMxNTVkanUwZWFZdHRqanhhalVpZ1NWRi03UDhCLVRseHlQRF9rTVExa2lfN2U4d3MwVEEtMi1HMm4?oc=5
- [14] https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Netanjahu-befiehlt-trotz-Waffenruhe-massive-Angriffe-im-Libanon-id30755821.html
- [15] https://orf.at/stories/3427974
- [16] https://www.irna.ir/news/86137239/%D9%86%D8%AA%D8%A7%D9%86%DB%8C%D8%A7%D9%87%D9%88-%D8%AF%D8%B3%D8%AA%D9%88%D8%B1-%D8%AD%D9%85%D9%84%D8%A7%D8%AA-%D8%B4%D8%AF%DB%8C%D8%AF-%D8%A8%D9%87-%D8%AC%D9%86%D9%88%D8%A8-%D9%84%D8%A8%D9%86%D8%A7%D9%86-%D8%B1%D8%A7-%D8%B5%D8%A7%D8%AF%D8%B1-%DA%A9%D8%B1%D8%AF
- [17] https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/latest-ceasefire-talks-fail-as-irans-top-diplomat-leaves-pakistan-and-trump-tells-envoys-not-to-go
- [18] https://news.liga.net/war/news/vozdushnye-sily-rossiya-vypustila-po-ukraine-47-raket-i-bolee-600-bespilotnikov
- [19] https://www.france24.com/en/tv-shows/spotlight/20260425-strait-talks-what-s-at-stake-in-hormuz
- [20] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR20260426080800Pgk
2026-04-25
2026-04-25
进展要点
- 美国司法部结束对美联储主席鲍威尔的调查，为特朗普提名的央行行长人选沃什扫清障碍。（DW (Deutsche Welle)）
- 美国司法部宣布终止对美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的刑事调查，此举预计将为其继任者凯文·沃什的确认扫清障碍。（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关键事件
- 美司法部终止对美联储主席鲍威尔调查（DW (Deutsche Welle)）
- 美司法部终止对美联储主席鲍威尔刑事调查（Al Jazeera Middle East）
关联路径
Fed leadership clarity / policy continuity / market stability
Fed leadership clarity / policy continuity / market confidence
来源
Xinhua Finance / China News Service / RT News / The New York Times / El País Internacional / Yonhap News TV / The New Indian Express / DW (Deutsche Welle) / Google News - World / Al Jazeera Middle East / The Hindu / Yahoo News - World / France 24 #2
参考链接
- [1] https://www.rt.com/news/639021-trump-hormuz-iranian-boats-warning/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [2] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/24/world/middleeast/iran-us-strait-of-hormuz-blockade.html
- [3] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-04-23/trump-ordena-disparar-a-matar-a-los-barcos-que-minen-ormuz-y-dice-que-iran-no-sabe-quien-es-su-lider.html
- [4] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/MYH20260425090048v87
- [5] https://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2026/Apr/24/us-imposes-sanctions-on-a-china-based-oil-refinery-40-shippers-over-iranian-oil
- [6] https://www.dw.com/en/us-justice-department-drops-investigation-into-fed-chair-powell/a-76929212?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf
- [7] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirwFBVV95cUxOeUFpRTI4WDZhekJUTm1KdGVjNzZiQ3BkR0FySWMzNHlyd1N4SnZTMGpXV2pWRjdQZnYxRUJpM0REUmZxbXFFakRFbG9ZRDJVeWVqM25LcmV3ZURPbWZlXzkxOUhEN0NnOVpwWVdNcU5vakJhazZOVmN5VG5GLVZ0WFAxQ0RXd2pwc1JTYlFOam1raV9CS25lTXQweXhYcUNjWlIzajJzQ013RjgxQS1F0gG0AUFVX3lxTE1UZmFPY2IyMnZvd0lDRmFFVk9HdDhsVnA2RmlfZW52Mkk1allGS0M4RmZ3RHRva01lQmhMZjhCdTFfdnJtNUlBekx5MUJfa09HTE56WURvdGNheDN3Y1Y5SlVVU19SUnFwUWFnYTlUNEZaVDVZQ01DUElDTENMZE9lUnZ1WkYxbFRoTUJxU3dITlFJa014a3liMnkzcFBSNWdwR1R
- [8] https://www.xinhuanet.com/fortune/20260425/0c21b585a3b042a0a07f61a95419c370/c.html
- [9] https://www.aljazeera.com/features/2026/4/24/russian-oil-exports-slump-as-ukraine-hammers-ports-and-refineries?traffic_source=rss
- [10] https://www.thehindu.com/news/international/china-slaps-export-curbs-on-european-firms-over-taiwan-arms-sales/article70901919.ece
- [11] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/04-25/10610558.shtml
- [12] https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/china-bans-dual-items-exports-083335858.html
- [13] https://www.france24.com/en/us-defense-secretary-hegseth-us-blockade-has-gone-global
- [14] https://www.yonhapnewstv.co.kr/news/AKR202604250844155JP
- [15] https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxNbHZtdmRvTVVHbUdLSXRqam5mSEsxZTUxdHFwaENuVktwWVR1NVp6UUVEWnpVbHNxampEMngtRVpad1M0emxUZUhRcThVTTFnbWZrYnFSNHJrVWZXNHR4SHhwQlBHOURMbm8zR04zcmhkdTFYRUlRY0VoVnItdVhsRnhTU1lEZnVyeUc0a0Zqb2xNNGhDeDR4VmtqVUJ2UC1jRF9LY0FLR1B6RWU1WVhreU5uVdIBuAFBVV95cUxPWkVSdXFvTDYyaDhkcFRHRUYxWjM0amJrZGxXSElSb2Q5bnlwREhPbkZ6T0JFQ3U2Ml9QSjJPQW5UYTRmaWEzcDN0RDJ4RkV6akJpWVZfWjJGd3FKQW9pN3Z3UmJQZU1EeE82bzRhUVJQbWJwR0Rxa1hzSFR1TWJIdURzWEJCMjM1b0lKM2UtRjl3YUdySkFXVzlwd1U1U0E
- [16] https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/24/us/politics/kevin-warsh-fed-rates-balance-sheet.html
- [17] https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/4/24/us-justice-department-drops-criminal-probe-of-fed-chair-jerome-powell?traffic_source=rss
- [18] https://www.rt.com/news/639029-israel-threatens-iran-stone-age/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS
- [19] https://www.chinanews.com.cn/gj/2026/04-24/10610537.shtml
- [20] https://elpais.com/internacional/2026-04-24/el-cerco-maritimo-estadounidense-agrava-la-fragil-situacion-economica-de-iran.html