Digest_20260129.md

# Daily Digest (2026-01-29) Generated at: 2026-01-29 08:51 (Asia/Shanghai) ### 📊 系统胜率看板 (last 7 days) Top 3 Sources: - 1. SHFE Notices: 0% (n=8) Top 3 Symbols: - - ### 🌍 全球情报追踪 (last 24h) #### 🇧🇷 Brazil (78 events) - [2026-01-29 07:32] Press Releases - Vale | Impact=2 | Source=Vale Press Releases - 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品数据或事件详情。 - [2026-01-29 05:50] Press Releases - Vale | Impact=2 | Source=Vale Press Releases - 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、可持续发展、社区修复及定期发布的商品生产和销售报告等信息，但未提供具体商品数据或事件详情。 - [2026-01-29 05:39] Press Releases - Vale | Impact=2 | Source=Vale Press Releases - 该文本是淡水河谷公司新闻稿页面的导航和结构内容，主要涉及公司运营、投资者信息、可持续发展、社区修复等一般性企业活动，未包含具体的商品生产、库存、价格或天气数据。 - [2026-01-29 04:52] Press Releases - Vale | Impact=2 | Source=Vale Press Releases - 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、企业责任、投资者关系及商品生产销售报告等信息，涉及铁矿石、镍等大宗商品的生产数据和公司活动。 - [2026-01-29 04:41] Press Releases - Vale | Impact=2 | Source=Vale Press Releases - 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存、价格或天气数据，但提及了铁矿石和镍等商品名称。 - [2026-01-29 04:40] Últimas Notícias Conab — Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento | Impact=3 | Source=CONAB - 巴西国家供应公司（CONAB）发布多条农业相关新闻，包括谷物产量预测、农产品价格动态、物流数据以及食品分配计划。 #### 🇺🇸 USA (21 events) - [2026-01-29 03:06] Federal Open Market Committee reaffirms its "Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy" | Impact=3 | Source=Fed - 美联储公开市场委员会重申其《长期目标和货币政策战略声明》，表明维持现有货币政策框架的立场。 - [2026-01-29 03:06] Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement | Impact=3 | Source=Fed - 美联储发布联邦公开市场委员会声明，涉及货币政策决策。 - 🔥 [2026-01-29 02:15] Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) | Impact=4 | Source=EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] - 美国能源信息署（EIA）发布了截至2026年1月23日的每周石油状况报告，提供了原油和石油产品的库存、生产、进口等数据，并包含价格信息。 - 🔥 [2026-01-28 23:44] Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) | Impact=4 | Source=EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] - 美国能源信息署（EIA）发布了截至2026年1月23日的每周石油状况报告，提供了原油和石油产品的库存、生产、进口等数据。报告包括重新基准调整，影响了国内原油生产估计。 - [2026-01-28 22:14] Coal-fired generation rose to meet demand during Winter Storm Fern | Impact=3 | Source=U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 - 在冬季风暴费恩期间，为满足电力需求，燃煤发电量显著增加。与2025年同期相比，一月初天气温和导致燃煤发电量较低，而风暴期间则出现大幅增长。 - [2026-01-28 16:25] Crude oil prices fell in 2025 amid oversupply | Impact=3 | Source=U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 - 2025年原油价格因全球市场供应过剩而普遍下跌，但中国原油库存增加、地缘政治事件等因素部分缓解了跌势。 #### 🇦🇺 Australia (13 events) - [2026-01-29 07:54] Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Impact=2 | Source=Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements - 无法获取皮尔巴拉港口管理局的媒体声明内容，网站访问请求失败。 - [2026-01-29 07:01] Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Impact=2 | Source=Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements - 无法获取皮尔巴拉港口管理局媒体声明内容，网站访问请求失败。 - [2026-01-29 06:55] Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Impact=2 | Source=Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements - 无法获取Pilbara Ports Authority关于Lumsden Point的媒体声明内容，请求失败。 - [2026-01-29 06:50] Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Impact=2 | Source=Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements - 无法获取Pilbara Ports Authority关于Lumsden Point的媒体声明内容，因为请求不成功，可能涉及网站访问问题。 - [2026-01-29 06:44] Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Impact=2 | Source=Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements - 无法获取Pilbara Ports Authority关于Lumsden Point项目的媒体声明内容，因为请求不成功，可能涉及网站访问问题。 - [2026-01-29 06:39] Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Impact=2 | Source=Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements - 无法获取Pilbara Ports Authority关于Lumsden Point的媒体声明内容，因为请求不成功，可能涉及网站访问问题。 #### 🇨🇳 China (4 events) - 🔥 [2026-01-28 17:25] 关于对部分客户采取限制开仓监管措施的公告 | Impact=5 | Source=SHFE Notices - The Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) announced regulatory action against 12 groups of accounts with actual control relationships for exceeding daily opening position limits in certain contracts, violating exchange rules. - 🔥 [2026-01-28 17:10] 关于调整镍等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 | Impact=5 | Source=SHFE Notices - SHFE announces adjustments to price limits and margin requirements for multiple futures contracts, effective from January 30, 2026. The changes affect nickel, alumina, lead, zinc, stainless steel, cast aluminum alloy, rebar, hot-rolled coil, gold, and silver contracts. - 🔥 [2026-01-28 15:16] 关于同意吉利百矿集团有限公司“吉利百矿”牌铝锭注册的公告 | Impact=4 | Source=SHFE Notices - 上海期货交易所批准吉利百矿集团有限公司旗下两家子公司生产的'吉利百矿'牌铝锭注册，总注册产能50万吨，可用于铝期货合约交割。 - 🔥 [2026-01-28 15:11] 关于同意新疆其亚铝电有限公司“QY”牌铝锭注册的公告 | Impact=4 | Source=SHFE Notices - 上海期货交易所批准新疆其亚铝电有限公司的'QY'牌铝锭注册，允许其用于铝期货合约交割，注册产能为80万吨。 #### 🌐 Global (2 events) - 🔥 [2026-01-28 22:14] U.S. Energy Information Administration - EIA - Independent Statistics and Analysis | Impact=4 | Source=EIA International Energy Outlook - 美国能源信息署（EIA）发布分析，指出2025年底原油油轮运费因东亚需求增加而升至多年高位，随后在2026年初回落，重点关注波斯湾至亚洲和美国墨西哥湾至欧洲等关键航线。 - 🔥 [2026-01-28 16:25] U.S. Energy Information Administration - EIA - Independent Statistics and Analysis | Impact=4 | Source=EIA International Energy Outlook - 美国能源信息署（EIA）网站提供了全面的能源数据和报告，包括石油、天然气、电力、煤炭、可再生能源等领域的统计、分析和预测。 ## 🏛️ 全球时政与宏观政策 (last 24h) - [2026-01-29 03:06] Fed | Impact=3 | Federal Open Market Committee reaffirms its "Statement on Longer-Run Goals and Monetary Policy Strategy" - Facts: 美联储公开市场委员会重申其《长期目标和货币政策战略声明》，表明维持现有货币政策框架的立场。 - Affected: Gold Futures (CN)(AU0) neutral w=3, Crude Oil Futures (CN)(SC0) neutral w=3, Copper Futures (CN)(CU0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260128b.htm - [2026-01-29 03:06] Fed | Impact=3 | Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement - Facts: 美联储发布联邦公开市场委员会声明，涉及货币政策决策。 - Affected: Silver(AG0) neutral w=3, Tin(SN0) neutral w=2, Gold(AU0) neutral w=3 - URL: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260128a.htm - [2026-01-29 01:59] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Entregar Declaração de Opção pelo Regime Especial de Regularização Patrimonial - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于提交特别资产正规化制度选择声明的服务信息，涉及税务合规程序。 - Affected: Coffee(CF0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2, Soybeans(A0) neutral w=2, Sugar(SR0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=1 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/entregar-declaracao-de-opcao-pelo-regime-especial-de-regularizacao-patrimonial - [2026-01-29 01:59] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Efetuar o pagamento integral do imposto e da multa ou, no caso de parcelamento, da primeira quota. - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于税务缴纳的官方通知，要求纳税人全额支付税款和罚款，或在分期付款情况下支付首期款项。 - Affected: Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/agenda-de-eventos-de-servico/efetuar-o-pagamento-integral-do-imposto-e-da-multa-ou-no-caso-de-parcelamento-da-primeira-quota - [2026-01-28 20:45] Brazil Ministry of Agriculture News | Impact=3 | News — Ministério da Agricultura e Pecuária - Facts: 巴西农业部发布多项农业贸易与合作协议进展，包括与日本、墨西哥等国的合作备忘录，以及欧盟恢复巴西禽肉和蛋制品预列名机制。同时，巴西获得多个新市场准入，如马来西亚、韩国、新加坡等，并庆祝口蹄疫无疫区认证。 - Affected: Egg Products(JD0) neutral w=3, Beef(-) bearish w=3, Poultry Meat(-) bearish w=3 - URL: https://www.gov.br/agricultura/en/news - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Solicitar desenvolvimento de curso para a Escola Virtual de Governo​ (E.V.G) - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于为政府虚拟学校（E.V.G）申请课程开发服务的公告，这属于政府教育政策范畴。 - Affected: Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/solicitar-desenvolvimento-de-curso-para-a-escola-virtual-de-governo200b-e-v-g - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Passar por atendimento no centro de oncologia do hospital de clínicas da universidade federal do triângulo mineiro - Facts: 巴西政府网站提供联邦大学医院肿瘤中心就诊服务信息，属于公共服务政策范畴。 - Affected: Soybeans(A0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/passar-por-atendimento-no-centro-de-oncologia-do-hospital-de-clinicas-da-universidade-federal-do-triangulo-mineiro - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Solicitar migração de curso para Escola Virtual de Governo (EV.G)​ - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于政府虚拟学校课程迁移服务的通知，涉及政府教育服务流程。 - Affected: Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/solicitar-migracao-de-curso-para-escola-virtual-de-governo-ev-g-200b - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=4 | Passar por atendimento na Hemodinâmica do Hospital de Clínicas da UFTM - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于在UFTM临床医院血液动力学部门接受服务的公告，内容涉及医疗服务的行政安排。 - Affected: General CN Commodity Futures(-) bearish w=4 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/passar-por-atendimento-na-hemodinamica-do-hospital-de-clinicas-da-uftm - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Receber atendimento em situações de violência sofrida pela Mulher, no Hospital da Mulher - Hospital de Clínicas da UFTM - Facts: 巴西政府提供针对女性暴力受害者的医疗服务信息，涉及社会政策层面的公共服务。 - Affected: Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/receber-atendimento-em-situacoes-de-violencia-sofrida-pela-mulher-no-hospital-da-mulher-hospital-de-clinicas-da-uftm - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Inscrever-se em cursos autoinstrucionais na Escola Virtual de Governo - Facts: 巴西矿产能源部发布关于政府虚拟学校自主指导课程注册的信息，属于政府教育服务范畴，不涉及商品市场或具体政策变动。 - Affected: Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/inscrever-se-em-cursos-autoinstrucionais-na-escola-virtual-de-governo - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Solicitar certificação de conclusão do ensino médio - ENEM, junto ao IFRR - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于通过ENEM考试申请高中毕业证书认证的服务信息，涉及教育政策执行。 - Affected: Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/solicitar-certificacao-de-conclusao-do-ensino-medio-enem-junto-ao-ifrr - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=1 | Matricular-se em curso de graduação - UFC - Facts: 巴西矿产能源部发布关于联邦大学本科课程注册的官方信息，属于政府教育政策范畴。 - Affected: Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=1, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=1, Soybeans(A0) neutral w=1 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/matricular-se-em-curso-de-graduacao-ufc - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Denunciar Infrações à Ordem Econômica - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部提供举报经济秩序违规行为的服务，涉及监管和执法行动。 - Affected: Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2, Soybeans(A0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/denunciar-infracoes-a-ordem-economica - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Receber Pronto Atendimento em Ginecologia e Obstetrícia – Hospital da Mulher do Hospital de Clínicas da UFTM - Facts: 巴西政府网站发布关于妇科和产科急诊服务的公告，涉及医疗政策或公共服务信息。 - Affected: Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2, Sugar(SR0) neutral w=2, Soybeans(A0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/receber-pronto-atendimento-em-ginecologia-e-obstetricia-2013-hospital-da-mulher-do-hospital-de-clinicas-da-uftm - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Utilizar Créditos Financeiros do Programa Agora Tem Especialistas - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于使用“Agora Tem Especialistas”计划金融信贷的官方信息，该计划属于政府政策支持项目。 - Affected: Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/utilizar-creditos-financeiros-do-programa-agora-tem-especialistas - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Inscrever-se em cursos de especialização e aprimoramento em equidade na gestão do trabalho e da educação no SUS - Facts: 巴西政府提供关于公共卫生系统（SUS）中劳动和教育管理公平性的专业和进修课程注册服务，这属于政府政策举措。 - Affected: Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=1, Soybeans(A0) neutral w=1, Soybeans(A0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/inscrever-se-em-cursos-de-especializacao-e-aprimoramento-em-equidade-na-gestao-do-trabalho-e-da-educacao-no-sus - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Inscrever-se no Programa de Formação de Agentes Educadores e Educadoras Populares de Saúde - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一项关于健康领域教育工作者培训计划的注册信息，这属于政府政策范畴。 - Affected: Iron Ore Futures(I0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/inscrever-se-no-programa-de-formacao-de-agentes-educadores-e-educadoras-populares-de-saude - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=1 | Inscrever-se no Programa de Mais Saúde com Agente. - Facts: 巴西政府推出“更多健康与代理人计划”，这是一项公共卫生政策倡议。 - Affected: Copper(CU0) neutral w=1, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=1, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=1, Soybeans(A0) neutral w=1 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/inscrever-se-no-programa-de-mais-saude-com-agente - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Inscrever-se no curso de Especialização em Enfermagem Obstétrica - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一项关于产科护理专业课程注册的服务信息，这属于政府政策或公共服务范畴。 - Affected: Soybeans(A0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/innscrever-se-no-curso-de-especializacao-em-enfermagem-obstetrica - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Aderir ao Projeto Nós na Rede - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一项名为“Nós na Rede”的公共服务项目，旨在促进能源或矿产领域的网络连接或社区参与，但具体细节未明确说明。 - Affected: Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/aderir-ao-projeto-nos-na-rede - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Inscrever-se em Programas Temáticos​ na Escola Virtual de Governo - Facts: 巴西矿产能源部发布关于在政府虚拟学校注册主题项目的信息，涉及政府教育或培训计划。 - Affected: Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/inscrever-se-em-programas-tematicos200b-na-escola-virtual-de-governo - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Consultar Comunicações de Conformidade Fiscal da Receita Federal - Facts: 巴西矿产能源部发布关于联邦税务局合规通信查询服务的通知，涉及税务合规程序。 - Affected: Iron Ore Futures(I0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil Futures(SC0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/consultar-comunicacoes-de-conformidade-fiscal - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=3 | Inscrever-se em Programa de Desenvolvimento Profissional​ na Escola Virtual de Governo - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于在政府虚拟学校注册专业发展计划的通知，属于政府教育服务信息。 - Affected: Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=3, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/inscrever-se-em-programa-de-desenvolvimento-profissional200b-na-escola-virtual-de-governo - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Aderir ao Programa Receita Social Autorregularização da Receita Federal - Facts: 巴西矿产能源部发布关于加入联邦税务局社会收入自主合规计划的信息，该计划属于政府税收合规政策范畴。 - Affected: Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/programa-receita-social-autorregularizacao - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Inscrever-se em cursos de desenvolvimento profissional​ - Portal da Enap - Facts: 巴西矿产能源部发布关于在Enap门户注册专业发展课程的信息，这属于政府政策或公共服务范畴。 - Affected: Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/inscrever-se-em-cursos-de-desenvolvimento-profissional200b-portal-da-enap - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Solicitar certificação de conclusão do ensino médio - ENEM, junto ao IFS - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于通过ENEM考试申请高中毕业证书认证的服务信息，涉及教育政策执行。 - Affected: Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/solicitar-certificacao-de-conclusao-do-ensino-medio-enem-junto-ao-ifs - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=1 | Inscrever-se em prova de Certificação Profissional​ - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于专业认证考试注册的信息，属于政府政策服务范畴。 - Affected: Soybeans(A0) neutral w=1, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=1, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=1 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/inscrever-se-em-prova-de-certificacao-profissional200b - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Consultar informações sobre o Programa Nacional de Apoio à Permanência, Diversidade e Visibilidade para Discentes na Área da Saúde - Facts: 巴西政府提供关于国家健康领域学生支持、多样性和可见性计划的信息查询服务，这是一个教育支持政策项目。 - Affected: Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=1, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/consultar-informacoes-sobre-o-programa-nacional-de-apoio-a-permanencia-diversidade-e-visibilidade-para-discentes-na-area-da-saude-1 - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Consultar informações sobre o Programa de Educação pelo Trabalho para a Saúde - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于健康工作教育计划的信息查询服务，该计划属于政府政策项目。 - Affected: Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/consultar-informacoes-sobre-o-programa-de-educacao-pelo-trabalho-para-a-saude - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=1 | Consultar informações sobre o Programa de Formação e Educação Permanente para Fortalecimento do Trabalho em Redes​​ - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于网络工作强化培训与教育永久计划的信息查询服务。该计划旨在通过持续教育和培训加强网络工作能力。 - Affected: Iron Ore Futures(I0) neutral w=1, Crude Oil Futures(SC0) neutral w=1 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/consultar-informacoes-sobre-o-programa-de-formacao-e-educacao-permanente-para-fortalecimento-do-trabalho-em-redes200b200b - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Inscrever-se no Programa Manejo Clínico Condições Crônicas Diabetes Mellitus, Hipertensão Arterial e Pré-natal na Atenção Primária à Saúde - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于慢性病临床管理计划的信息，该计划涉及糖尿病、高血压和产前护理，属于公共卫生政策范畴。 - Affected: Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/consultar-informacoes-sobre-o-programa-de-manejo-clinico-de-condicoes-cronicas-diabetes-mellitus-hipertensao-arterial-e-pre-natal - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Aderir ao Programa de Valorização da Gestão do Trabalho e da Educação na Saúde no âmbito do SUS por meio do ValorizaGTES-SUS. - Facts: 巴西政府推出了一项名为ValorizaGTES-SUS的公共卫生系统管理计划，旨在通过提升工作管理和教育水平来加强公共卫生服务。 - Affected: Soybeans(A0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/aderir-ao-programa-de-valorizacao-da-gestao-do-trabalho-e-da-educacao-na-saude-no-ambito-do-suspor-meio-do-valorizagtes-sus - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=1 | Inscrever-se no Banco de Colaboradores​ da Enap​ - Facts: 巴西矿产能源部发布关于国家公共行政学院合作者数据库注册的信息，属于政府行政服务范畴。 - Affected: Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=1, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=1 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/inscrever-se-no-banco-de-colaboradores200b-da-enap200b - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=1 | EBSERH - Filial Hospital das Clínicas da UFG - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布关于EBSERH - 戈亚斯联邦大学临床医院分院的信息，该内容涉及政府机构运作，但未提供具体的政策或商品相关数据。 - Affected: Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=1, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=1 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/orgaos/ebserh-filial-hospital-das-clinicas-da-ufg - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Inscrever-se em ação de desenvolvimento para altas lideranças do setor público​ - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布公共服务，为公共部门高层领导提供发展行动注册服务。 - Affected: Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/inscrever-se-em-acao-de-desenvolvimento-para-altas-liderancas-do-setor-publico200b - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=2 | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN - Facts: 巴西矿产能源部就提前执行合同和加强国家互联系统安全开展公开咨询，CMSE决议提案为容量储备拍卖中标项目制定指导方针。 - Affected: Natural Gas(-) neutral w=2, Aluminum(AL0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2, Copper(CU0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/mme-abre-consulta-publica-para-antecipacao-de-contratos-e-reforco-da-seguranca-do-sin - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=2 | MME participa da 16ª reunião internacional de acompanhamento do Plano de Ação do II biênio do Foro do Lítio - Facts: 巴西矿产能源部参加了第16届国际锂论坛行动计划监测会议，会议讨论了锂矿在能源转型中的技术进展、法规制定和合作战略。 - Affected: 锂 (Lithium)(-) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/mme-participa-da-16a-reuniao-internacional-de-acompanhamento-do-plano-de-acao-do-ii-bienio-do-foro-do-litio - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=3 | Xangai: Silveira se reúne com executivos da SAIC Motor e cobra mais investimentos no Brasil - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部长在上海与上汽集团高管会面，要求增加在巴西的投资，特别强调电动汽车基础设施（如充电站和储能系统）需要新投资。 - Affected: Copper(CU0) neutral w=3, Lithium Carbonate(-) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/xangai-silveira-se-reune-com-executivos-da-saic-motor-e-cobra-mais-investimentos-no-brasil - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=2 | MME reforça diálogo com produtores rurais e prorroga consulta sobre desconto tarifário para irrigação e aquicultura - Facts: 巴西矿产能源部延长了关于灌溉和水产养殖电费折扣的咨询期，并加强与农村生产者的对话。该提案旨在现代化电费折扣、增加时间灵活性并提高农村生产者的自主权，同时提升电力系统效率。 - Affected: Soybean Meal(M0) neutral w=1, Sugar(SR0) neutral w=1, Soybeans(A0) neutral w=2, Corn(C0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/secretarias/secretaria-nacional-energia-eletrica/mais-noticias/mme-reforca-dialogo-com-produtores-rurais-e-prorroga-consulta-sobre-desconto-tarifario-para-irrigacao-e-aquicultura - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=2 | MME reforça diálogo com produtores rurais e prorroga consulta sobre desconto tarifário para irrigação e aquicultura - Facts: 巴西矿产能源部延长针对灌溉和水产养殖电费折扣的咨询期，并加强与农村生产者的对话。该提案旨在现代化电费折扣、增加用电时间灵活性并提高农村生产者的自主权，从而提升电力系统效率。 - Affected: Corn(C0) neutral w=2, Sugar(SR0) neutral w=2, Soybeans(A0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/mme-reforca-dialogo-com-produtores-rurais-e-prorroga-consulta-sobre-desconto-tarifario-para-irrigacao-e-aquicultura - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=3 | MME fortalece cooperação com União Europeia na área de minerais estratégicos - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部与欧盟在战略矿产领域加强合作，预计到2026年3月底前，与欧盟相关的投资者将宣布对在巴西运营的矿业公司进行投资，重点关注全球能源转型所需的关键矿产。 - Affected: Copper(CU0) neutral w=3, Aluminum(AL0) neutral w=2, Zinc(ZN0) neutral w=2, Nickel(NI0) neutral w=3 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/mme-fortalece-cooperacao-com-uniao-europeia-na-area-de-minerais-estrategicos - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=3 | MME publica portaria que traz ajustes nas diretrizes e a sistemática para a realização do Leilão de Reserva de Capacidade na forma de Potência de 2026 - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布法令，调整2026年容量储备拍卖的指导方针和系统，该拍卖定于3月18日举行，旨在确保国家能源安全。 - Affected: Natural Gas(-) neutral w=3, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/mme-publica-portaria-que-traz-ajustes-nas-diretrizes-e-a-sistematica-para-a-realizacao-do-leilao-de-reserva-de-capacidade-na-forma-de-potencia-de-2026 - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Foreign Affairs Press | Impact=2 | Imprensa — Ministério das Relações Exteriores - Facts: 巴西外交部网站提供了其组织结构、职能范围和国际事务的详细信息，包括双边关系、国际合作、贸易政策等。该内容主要涉及外交政策和国际关系，属于政治类别。 - Affected: Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2, Soybeans(A0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2, Soybeans(A0) neutral w=1, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mre/pt-br/canais_atendimento/imprensa - [2026-01-28 20:29] Brazil Ministry of Foreign Affairs Press Notes | Impact=3 | Anúncio de cessar-fogo na Faixa de Gaza — Ministério das Relações Exteriores - Facts: 巴西政府欢迎卡塔尔、埃及和美国宣布加沙地带停火，呼吁各方遵守协议条款，确保永久停止敌对行动，并重申对两国解决方案的承诺。 - Affected: Steel Rebar(RB0) neutral w=2, Gold(AU0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=3 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mre/pt-br/canais_atendimento/imprensa/notas-a-imprensa/anuncio-de-cessar-fogo-na-faixa-de-gaza - [2026-01-28 20:29] Brazilian Ministry of Foreign Affairs Press Releases | Impact=4 | Press Releases — Ministério das Relações Exteriores - Facts: 巴西外交部网站发布了一系列新闻稿，内容涉及G20峰会、农业技术、能源转型、乌克兰和平等政治和外交议题。 - Affected: 甲醇(MA0) bearish w=3, 燃油(FU0) bearish w=3, PTA(TA0) bearish w=3, Crude Oil(SC0) bearish w=4, Soybeans(A0) neutral w=3, Sugar(SR0) neutral w=2 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mre/pt-br/embaixada-londres/press-releases - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério das Relações Exteriores (Brazil) [www.gov.br] | Impact=3 | Celebração do Dia Internacional em Memória das Vítimas do Holocausto — Ministério das Relações Exteriores - Facts: 巴西外交部在国际大屠杀纪念日发表声明，向大屠杀受害者及幸存者致敬，并重申坚决反对一切反犹太主义行为。声明强调，保护大屠杀受害者记忆需要采取措施打击虚假信息、仇恨言论和历史否认主义，特别是在数字环境中。 - Affected: Soybeans(A0) neutral w=2, Iron Ore(I0) neutral w=2, Copper(CU0) neutral w=2, Crude Oil(SC0) neutral w=3 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mre/pt-br/canais_atendimento/imprensa/notas-a-imprensa/celebracao-do-dia-internacional-em-memoria-das-vitimas-do-holocausto - [2026-01-28 20:28] Brazil Ministry of Foreign Affairs Press Releases | Impact=3 | Press releases — Ministério das Relações Exteriores - Facts: 巴西外交部发布了一系列新闻稿，涵盖国际关系、地缘政治事件、多边合作和贸易谈判等多个领域。 - Affected: Crude Oil(SC0) bearish w=3, Corn(C0) neutral w=3, Soybeans(A0) neutral w=3, Sugar(SR0) neutral w=3 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mre/en/contact-us/press-area/press-releases ## 🏗️ 产业数据与商品研判 (last 24h) - [2026-01-29 07:54] Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Impact=2 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements - Facts: 无法获取皮尔巴拉港口管理局的媒体声明内容，网站访问请求失败。 - URL: https://www.pilbaraports.com.au/sustainability/climate-action-plan/media-statements - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Concrete fact: Pilbara Ports Authority media statement page access failed (from facts), blocking updates on port operations. Bull speculation: information blackout could reduce immediate bearish sentiment or hint at supply disruptions, supporting prices. Bear concern: uncertainty may increase risk aversion and speculative selling in iron ore futures. Both arguments are speculative with no confirmed operational data, and historical references show similar access failures without specific impacts. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: No support/resistance levels provided; monitor for news on Pilbara Ports Authority access resolution and any subsequent updates, trade cautiously due to information uncertainty. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T23:01:39.149022+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Summary: 无法获取皮尔巴拉港口管... - 2026-01-28T12:30:17.772881+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Summary: 皮尔巴拉港口管理局发布... - [2026-01-29 07:32] Vale Press Releases | Impact=2 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品数据或事件详情。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Extracted facts show Vale press releases contain only navigation and contact info with no specific commodity data or events (e.g., no production or inventory updates). Bull arguments cite stability from no negative news and indirect support from Brazilian energy discounts, while bear arguments highlight uncertainty and market disappointment from the data void. Historical references confirm similar non-informative posts, increasing ambiguity. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: No support or resistance levels provided; monitor for actual news from Vale, as current info offers no tradeable signals. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T18:30:52.764720+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品数据或事件。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航菜单和媒体联系方式列表 - 页面列出了公... - 2026-01-28T13:02:15.961506+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新... - Nickel (NI0) neutral w=2: Facts indicate Vale press releases lack concrete nickel data or event details, with only navigation info provided. Bull points suggest stability from no disruptions and potential long-term benefits from low-carbon projects, but bear points argue increased uncertainty and speculative risks due to the information gap. Historical references show repeated non-data posts, weakening evidence for either side. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: No price levels available; await substantive updates from Vale, as current content is non-informative. - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T18:30:52.764720+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品数据或事件。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航菜单和媒体联系方式列表 - 页面列出了公... - 2026-01-28T13:02:15.961506+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新... - [2026-01-29 07:01] Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Impact=2 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements - Facts: 无法获取皮尔巴拉港口管理局媒体声明内容，网站访问请求失败。 - URL: https://www.pilbaraports.com.au/sustainability/climate-action-plan/media-statements - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Pilbara Ports Authority media statements page access failures (fact IDs 242, 239) create an information vacuum, increasing market uncertainty; bullish view suggests speculative buying due to potential supply delays, while bearish view fears supply-side risks from lack of data, but no direct evidence of physical disruption exists. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for updates from Pilbara Ports Authority; trade cautiously given high uncertainty. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:17.772881+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Summary: 皮尔巴拉港口管理局发布... - 2026-01-28T22:06:56.980952+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Summary: Pilbara Por... - [2026-01-29 06:55] Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Impact=2 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements - Facts: 无法获取Pilbara Ports Authority关于Lumsden Point的媒体声明内容，请求失败。 - URL: https://www.pilbaraports.com.au/current-projects/lumsden-point/media-statements - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Access to Pilbara Ports Authority media statements failed (Incapsula event ID: 626000180011649206-40135331255813301), with historical failures noted, creating uncertainty on Lumsden Point port. Bull case suggests supply disruptions could support prices, while bear case highlights transparency issues increasing selling pressure. No specific commodity data available, and no upcoming macro events to offset risk. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for updates on port access resolution; no price levels provided. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T22:12:33.224959+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - 2026-01-28T22:50:06.446301+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - [2026-01-29 06:50] Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Impact=2 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements - Facts: 无法获取Pilbara Ports Authority关于Lumsden Point的媒体声明内容，因为请求不成功，可能涉及网站访问问题。 - URL: https://www.pilbaraports.com.au/current-projects/lumsden-point/media-statements - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Pilbara Ports Authority released a media statement on Lumsden Point, but content is inaccessible due to possible Incapsula security measures. Bull speculates this could signal operational issues reducing iron ore supply, supporting prices; bear speculates it indicates negative news or uncertainty, leading to selling. Evidence is weak as no concrete details are available, creating market ambiguity. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Await clarity on media statement content; no market levels provided for price reference. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T19:21:29.393078+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - 2026-01-28T22:39:29.698221+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - [2026-01-29 06:44] Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Impact=2 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements - Facts: 无法获取Pilbara Ports Authority关于Lumsden Point项目的媒体声明内容，因为请求不成功，可能涉及网站访问问题。 - URL: https://www.pilbaraports.com.au/current-projects/lumsden-point/media-statements - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Pilbara Ports Authority released media statements on Lumsden Point, but content is inaccessible due to website access issues, with multiple failed access attempts. Bullish arguments speculate on supply disruptions from Australian ports, while bearish points highlight uncertainty and potential negative news. However, no concrete commodity details or data points are available, making the impact unclear. Geopolitical backdrop from Brazil's Ministry of Mines and Energy (e.g., fact_id 114) may affect global supply competition, but direct relevance is limited. Weak evidence supports low confidence in any directional move. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for news or price reactions; no specific support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T19:21:29.393078+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - 2026-01-28T20:15:20.075529+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - [2026-01-29 06:39] Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Impact=2 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements - Facts: 无法获取Pilbara Ports Authority关于Lumsden Point的媒体声明内容，因为请求不成功，可能涉及网站访问问题。 - URL: https://www.pilbaraports.com.au/current-projects/lumsden-point/media-statements - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Bullish arguments cite potential iron ore supply disruptions from inaccessible Pilbara Ports media statements on Lumsden Point, while bearish arguments highlight uncertainty triggering risk-off selling in CN futures. Key facts show only access failures with Incapsula errors, no specific commodity data or port event details, making both sides speculative. Historical references indicate repeated failures, but no upcoming macro events in CN to offset uncertainty. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for actual news from Pilbara Ports Authority; avoid trading on speculation due to lack of concrete price levels or information. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T19:21:29.393078+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - 2026-01-28T20:15:20.075529+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - [2026-01-29 06:12] Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Impact=2 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements - Facts: 无法获取Pilbara Ports Authority关于Lumsden Point项目的媒体声明内容，网页访问请求失败。 - URL: https://www.pilbaraports.com.au/current-projects/lumsden-point/media-statements - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Pilbara Ports Authority media statement on Lumsden Point is inaccessible (Incapsula error), creating uncertainty about port infrastructure impacting iron ore supply chains. Bull speculates on supply bottlenecks fueling buying; bear speculates on negative news like delays. No concrete data available, leading to ambiguous market impact. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: No support/resistance levels provided; monitor for updates on Lumsden Point media statement content. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T19:21:29.393078+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - 2026-01-28T20:15:20.075529+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - [2026-01-29 06:06] Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Impact=2 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements - Facts: Pilbara Ports Authority 媒体声明页面无法访问，可能影响铁矿石等大宗商品运输信息的获取。 - URL: https://www.pilbaraports.com.au/sustainability/climate-action-plan/media-statements - Signals: - Iron ore (I0) neutral w=2: Pilbara Ports Authority media statements page inaccessible (Incapsula event ID), creating uncertainty on iron ore export data from a key Australian supplier to China. Bulls speculate potential supply disruptions or information delays could support prices, while bears see risk-off selling due to operational concerns and lack of transparency. Evidence is weak as the outage may be temporary with no confirmed impact on actual supply. Historical references show similar access failures, adding to uncertainty but not confirming disruptions. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Await confirmation on port operations status; monitor for updates on page accessibility. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T21:18:41.855958+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Summary: Pilbara Por... - 2026-01-28T12:30:17.772881+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Summary: 皮尔巴拉港口管理局发布... - [2026-01-29 05:50] Vale Press Releases | Impact=2 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、可持续发展、社区修复及定期发布的商品生产和销售报告等信息，但未提供具体商品数据或事件详情。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Bull: Vale's regular quarterly reports (from facts) and Brazil-EU strategic minerals cooperation (fact_id 83) may imply stable demand. Bear: No specific production or sales data provided, suggesting normal operations that could increase supply expectations; lack of China macro events reduces short-term catalysts. Concrete facts: Vale is a major iron ore supplier with ongoing operations, but the event offers no quantitative updates. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for Vale's quarterly report releases; no support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T21:39:10.816794+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该文本是淡水河谷公司新闻稿页面的导航和结构内容，主要涉及公司运营、投资者信息、可持续发展、社区修复等一般性企业活动，未包含具体的商品生产、库存、价格或天气数据。 Key Facts:... - 2026-01-28T20:52:50.873934+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、企业责任、投资者关系及商品生产销售报告等信息，涉及铁矿石、镍等大宗商品的生产数据和公司活动。 Key Facts: - 淡水河谷是全球... - Nickel (NI0) neutral w=2: Bull: Brazil-EU cooperation on strategic minerals (fact_id 83) could boost nickel demand for energy transition; Vale's continuity in reports supports market confidence. Bear: Absence of specific nickel data implies no supply disruptions, potentially bearish; political initiatives may increase future supply. Concrete facts: Vale is a key nickel producer, but the event lacks detailed output or price information. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: Await concrete data from Vale's production reports; no price levels available. - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T21:39:10.816794+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该文本是淡水河谷公司新闻稿页面的导航和结构内容，主要涉及公司运营、投资者信息、可持续发展、社区修复等一般性企业活动，未包含具体的商品生产、库存、价格或天气数据。 Key Facts:... - 2026-01-28T20:52:50.873934+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、企业责任、投资者关系及商品生产销售报告等信息，涉及铁矿石、镍等大宗商品的生产数据和公司活动。 Key Facts: - 淡水河谷是全球... - [2026-01-29 05:39] Vale Press Releases | Impact=2 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该文本是淡水河谷公司新闻稿页面的导航和结构内容，主要涉及公司运营、投资者信息、可持续发展、社区修复等一般性企业活动，未包含具体的商品生产、库存、价格或天气数据。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Bull: Vale's operational stability and Brazil-EU strategic mineral cooperation (fact 83) may support long-term supply. Bear: Same cooperation could increase iron ore supply, pressuring prices. Facts: Vale press releases provide no concrete production, inventory, or price data, limiting evidence to general corporate info. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: No support/resistance levels provided; monitor for specific commodity updates from Vale or market data. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - 2026-01-28T20:52:50.873934+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、企业责任、投资者关系及商品生产销售报告等信息，涉及铁矿石、镍等大宗商品的生产数据和公司活动。 Key Facts: - 淡水河谷是全球... - Nickel (NI0) neutral w=2: Bull: Vale's nickel involvement and energy transition trends, bolstered by Brazil-EU cooperation (fact 83), could improve supply prospects. Bear: Potential increased mining investment may raise nickel supply, weighing on prices. Facts: Vale releases lack specific nickel data, with only general corporate descriptions available. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: No support/resistance levels provided; await concrete production or inventory reports for direction. - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - 2026-01-28T20:52:50.873934+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、企业责任、投资者关系及商品生产销售报告等信息，涉及铁矿石、镍等大宗商品的生产数据和公司活动。 Key Facts: - 淡水河谷是全球... - [2026-01-29 05:18] Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Impact=2 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements - Facts: Pilbara Ports Authority的媒体声明页面无法访问，可能影响铁矿石等大宗商品运输信息的获取。 - URL: https://www.pilbaraports.com.au/sustainability/climate-action-plan/media-statements - Signals: - Iron ore (I0) neutral w=2: Pilbara Ports Authority media statements inaccessible (fact IDs 212, 233, 235), creating uncertainty in iron ore supply data from a key Australian export hub. Bull arguments speculate on potential supply disruptions or logistical issues, while bear arguments suggest negative news or technical inefficiencies. No concrete statement content available; historical access problems add ambiguity. Geopolitical backdrop from Brazil's mining ministry (e.g., fact IDs 99, 114) contributes minor global supply chain uncertainty but direct impact weak. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for updates on Pilbara Ports Authority statements; trade cautiously due to information uncertainty. No specific support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:17.772881+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Summary: 皮尔巴拉港口管理局发布... - 2026-01-28T19:21:29.393078+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - [2026-01-29 04:52] Vale Press Releases | Impact=2 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、企业责任、投资者关系及商品生产销售报告等信息，涉及铁矿石、镍等大宗商品的生产数据和公司活动。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Bull: Brazil-EU strategic minerals cooperation (fact 83) may enhance investment in Brazilian mining, potentially improving supply stability for iron ore. Bear: Vale's press releases lack specific production or sales data, increasing uncertainty and reducing immediate catalysts. Both sides are speculative; no concrete quantitative information from current release. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: No actionable price levels provided; monitor for upcoming Vale quarterly reports for specific data. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T17:16:02.181154+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、可持续发展、社区修复及季度生产销售报告等综合信息，涉及铁矿石等大宗商品的生产和销售数据。 Key Facts: - 淡水河谷是全球主要... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - Nickel (NI0) neutral w=2: Bull: Brazil-EU cooperation on strategic minerals (fact 83) could boost nickel supply for energy transition, supporting futures if demand rises. Bear: No specific nickel data from Vale's release, disappointing markets and reducing price support. Evidence is weak; relies on broader trends without direct data points. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: No actionable price levels provided; await concrete production updates from Vale for clearer direction. - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T17:16:02.181154+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、可持续发展、社区修复及季度生产销售报告等综合信息，涉及铁矿石等大宗商品的生产和销售数据。 Key Facts: - 淡水河谷是全球主要... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - [2026-01-29 04:41] Vale Press Releases | Impact=2 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存、价格或天气数据，但提及了铁矿石和镍等商品名称。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Bullish points: Vale's press release mentions iron ore briquettes and global operations including China, suggesting potential product innovation and supply links. Bearish points: No concrete production, inventory, or sales data provided in the content, increasing supply uncertainty for markets. Concrete facts: The content is navigation and contact info with no numerical commodity data. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: No specific support/resistance levels available; monitor for actual Vale operational data releases. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T13:02:15.961506+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新... - 2026-01-28T16:30:45.739199+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及铁矿石、镍等商品的生产、销售报告以及公司运营活动。 Key Facts: - 页面包含多个季度生产和销售报告标题（如4Q22、... - Nickel (NI0) neutral w=2: Bullish points: Mention of low-carbon nickel projects aligns with green energy trends, potentially supporting demand. Bearish points: Lack of specific data on nickel production or sales from the press release raises doubts about supply reliability. Concrete facts: Content includes terms like low-carbon nickel but no detailed information or data points. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: No clear price zones; await updates on Vale's nickel project developments. - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T13:02:15.961506+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新... - 2026-01-28T16:30:45.739199+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及铁矿石、镍等商品的生产、销售报告以及公司运营活动。 Key Facts: - 页面包含多个季度生产和销售报告标题（如4Q22、... - [2026-01-29 04:40] CONAB | Impact=3 | Últimas Notícias Conab — Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento - Facts: 巴西国家供应公司（CONAB）发布多条农业相关新闻，包括谷物产量预测、农产品价格动态、物流数据以及食品分配计划。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/conab/pt-br/assuntos/noticias - Signals: - Corn (C0) neutral w=3: Bull points to new market access agreements (politics fact_id 213) potentially reducing Brazilian corn exports to China, tightening supply. Bear highlights record 2025/26 grain production forecast and falling basic food basket prices (-9.08% to -1.56% in H2 2025) indicating oversupply. Concrete facts: 2025/26 production forecast new highs, 2025 fertilizer imports at record levels, government PAA support ongoing. Uncertainties include weather impacts on actual yield. - Levels: S/R=2205.00/2314.00 - Action: No specific price levels provided; monitor market reactions to Brazilian supply data and trade flow shifts. - Market: Market Context (C0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2274.00, Position=24% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2269.50, 60D=2228.00). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2205.00/2314.00. ATR14=20.86. Vol20D=0.59%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:28:48.253109+00:00 | CONAB | Últimas Notícias Conab — Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento: Source: CONAB Title: Últimas Notícias Conab — Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento Summary: 巴西国家供应公司（CONAB）发布多项农业相关报告和数据，包括2025/26年度谷... - 2026-01-28T12:30:03.548918+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿... - Soybean (A0) neutral w=3: Bull argues new market access (politics fact_id 213) could divert Brazilian soybean exports from China, supporting prices. Bear cites record 2025/26 production forecast, high fertilizer imports, and falling domestic food prices suggesting oversupply. Concrete facts: soybean included in record grain forecast, 2025 fertilizer imports record, basic food basket prices down. Government PAA support may increase domestic consumption but impact unclear. - Levels: S/R=4150.00/4440.00 - Action: No specific price levels provided; watch for supply-demand balance shifts from Brazilian production and trade agreements. - Market: Market Context (A0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=4375.00, Position=33% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=4330.15, 60D=4189.52). Levels(S/R, 20D)=4150.00/4440.00. ATR14=53.64. Vol20D=0.85%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:28:48.253109+00:00 | CONAB | Últimas Notícias Conab — Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento: Source: CONAB Title: Últimas Notícias Conab — Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento Summary: 巴西国家供应公司（CONAB）发布多项农业相关报告和数据，包括2025/26年度谷... - 2026-01-28T12:30:03.548918+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿... - Soybean Meal (M0) neutral w=3: Bull points to trade agreements (politics fact_id 213) potentially reducing Brazilian soybean meal exports to China, tightening supply. Bear highlights increased soybean production forecast raising meal supply as a by-product, with falling food prices indicating broader agricultural surplus. Concrete facts: record soybean production forecast, high fertilizer imports, basic food basket prices down. Meal supply tied to soybean output; uncertainties in processing and demand. - Levels: S/R=2710.00/2827.00 - Action: No specific price levels provided; monitor soybean production data and export dynamics for meal supply cues. - Market: Market Context (M0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2782.00, Position=11% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2761.45, 60D=2852.77). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2710.00/2827.00. ATR14=28.21. Vol20D=0.72%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:28:48.253109+00:00 | CONAB | Últimas Notícias Conab — Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento: Source: CONAB Title: Últimas Notícias Conab — Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento Summary: 巴西国家供应公司（CONAB）发布多项农业相关报告和数据，包括2025/26年度谷... - 2026-01-28T12:30:03.548918+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿... - [2026-01-29 04:15] Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Impact=2 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements - Facts: 无法获取Pilbara Ports Authority关于Lumsden Point的媒体声明内容，因为请求不成功，可能涉及网站访问问题。 - URL: https://www.pilbaraports.com.au/current-projects/lumsden-point/media-statements - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Pilbara Ports Authority released a media statement about Lumsden Point port development, but content is inaccessible due to request failure (fact key: content unaccessible). Bull arguments speculate infrastructure improvements could increase iron ore export capacity to China, easing supply constraints. Bear arguments highlight the same potential supply increase and uncertainty from lack of information. Key uncertainty is the unknown statement content, making trade signals speculative. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for any updates on the media statement content; no actionable price levels provided. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T19:21:29.393078+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - 2026-01-28T12:30:17.514925+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - [2026-01-29 03:48] Vale Press Releases | Impact=2 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻稿列表，包含商品相关数据，如铁矿石、镍等金属的生产和销售报告，以及投资计划。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Bull: Vale's 70 billion reais investment by 2030 in the New Carajás Plan could enhance production efficiency and align with green policies, potentially supporting demand. Bear: The same investment may increase long-term supply, pressuring prices; autonomous operations and Brazil-EU cooperation (fact_id 83) could accelerate mining investments, boosting supply availability. Key facts: Investment plan and quarterly reports from Vale, but no specific production data provided, limiting immediate impact. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: No specific support/resistance levels provided; monitor price reactions to Vale's quarterly reports and Brazil-EU investment developments. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T13:59:38.760102+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、生产报告、可持续发展项目及企业活动信息，主要涉及铁矿石等大宗商品的生产和销售数据。 Key Facts: - 淡水河谷定期发布季度生产... - 2026-01-28T16:30:45.739199+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及铁矿石、镍等商品的生产、销售报告以及公司运营活动。 Key Facts: - 页面包含多个季度生产和销售报告标题（如4Q22、... - Nickel (NI0) neutral w=2: Bull: Vale's low-carbon nickel project in Morowali supports global energy transition, increasing demand from sectors like EVs; Brazil-EU cooperation (fact_id 83) targets strategic minerals like nickel, potentially attracting investments. Bear: The project may expand nickel supply, and Brazil-EU cooperation could boost production, risking oversupply if demand doesn't match. Key facts: Low-carbon project and quarterly reports, but lack of detailed data limits certainty. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: No support/resistance levels available; watch for market movements tied to nickel production updates and geopolitical shifts. - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T13:59:38.760102+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、生产报告、可持续发展项目及企业活动信息，主要涉及铁矿石等大宗商品的生产和销售数据。 Key Facts: - 淡水河谷定期发布季度生产... - 2026-01-28T16:30:45.739199+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及铁矿石、镍等商品的生产、销售报告以及公司运营活动。 Key Facts: - 页面包含多个季度生产和销售报告标题（如4Q22、... - [2026-01-29 03:21] Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Impact=2 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements - Facts: 无法获取Pilbara Ports Authority关于Lumsden Point的媒体声明内容，因为请求不成功，可能涉及网站访问问题。 - URL: https://www.pilbaraports.com.au/current-projects/lumsden-point/media-statements - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Pilbara Ports Authority released a media statement on Lumsden Point port development, but content is inaccessible, creating information gaps and high uncertainty. Bull arguments speculate on infrastructure improvements boosting iron ore export efficiency to China, potentially supporting demand stability. Bear arguments highlight potential supply increases, logistics enhancements, and similar uncertainty from inaccessible content. Historical references suggest port projects can affect commodity supply chains. Upcoming FOMC Press Conference adds macro volatility, which could impact USD and commodity prices. Evidence is weak and speculative due to the inaccessible statement. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for updates on Pilbara Ports statement and FOMC press conference outcome; avoid aggressive positions due to information gap and macro risk. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:17.514925+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - 2026-01-28T12:30:17.772881+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Summary: 皮尔巴拉港口管理局发布... - [2026-01-29 02:45] Vale Press Releases | Impact=3 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个季度生产和销售报告、公司运营更新及企业社会责任活动，涉及铁矿石等大宗商品的生产数据。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - 铁矿石 (I0) neutral w=3: Bull: Brazilian-EU cooperation on strategic minerals (politics_reference fact_id 83) may increase investment in mining, potentially tightening supply or signaling demand; product innovation like iron ore briquettes (facts key_facts) could boost premium demand; dovish FOMC outcome could weaken USD, aiding Chinese imports. Bear: Vale press releases list quarterly reports but lack specific production or sales data (facts key_facts), increasing uncertainty; hawkish FOMC could strengthen USD, reducing demand; stable operations suggest no supply disruptions. Overall: Neutral due to weak evidence and high macro uncertainty around upcoming FOMC events (market_context). - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for volatility around high-impact FOMC events (2026-01-29 03:00-03:30 UTC); avoid aggressive positions due to lack of concrete data. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T16:30:45.739199+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及铁矿石、镍等商品的生产、销售报告以及公司运营活动。 Key Facts: - 页面包含多个季度生产和销售报告标题（如4Q22、... - 2026-01-28T17:00:52.391440+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及公司运营、生产报告、可持续发展项目等，但未提供具体商品数据或事件详情。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页... - [2026-01-29 02:30] Vale Press Releases | Impact=3 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品数据或事件。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=3: Extracted facts show Vale press release page contains only navigation and contact info with no specific commodity data, providing no immediate supply or demand signals. Bull argues lack of negative data suggests operational normalcy, while Bear points to absence of positive updates and upcoming high-impact FOMC events (Federal Funds Rate, statement, press conference) could introduce volatility, with potential USD strength reducing demand or dovish outcomes boosting prices. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Exercise caution ahead of FOMC events; no price levels from provided data. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T13:02:15.961506+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新... - 2026-01-28T15:15:23.836301+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 页面为淡水河谷公司新... - [2026-01-29 02:15] EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Impact=4 | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Facts: 美国能源信息署（EIA）发布了截至2026年1月23日的每周石油状况报告，提供了原油和石油产品的库存、生产、进口等数据，并包含价格信息。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/ - Signals: - [corr] 甲醇 (MA0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests 甲醇(MA0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=2164.00/2358.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch MA0 near support 2164.00 or on break above resistance 2358.00. - Market: Market Context (MA0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2339.00, Position=47% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2260.75, 60D=2157.45). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2164.00/2358.00. ATR14=52.50. Vol20D=1.58%. - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=4: EIA report shows U.S. crude production cut of 51,000 bpd (0.38% of output) due to re-baselining, but cut is minor and data uncertainty exists. Bull: High source reliability and potential supply tightness. Bear: Minor adjustment insufficient, re-baselining risks, and high-impact FOMC events within 12h (Fed rate decision, statement, press conference) increase macro volatility and USD strength risk. Brazil energy policies hint at long-term demand shifts but short-term impact limited. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor price action around FOMC events; exercise caution due to high volatility and macro risks. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T15:44:39.608305+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly P... - 2026-01-28T08:25:22.689587+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly P... - Fuel Oil (FU0) neutral w=3: As a petroleum product, fuel oil prices correlate with crude oil. Bull: Limited direct support; relies on crude dynamics. Bear: Minor production adjustments and FOMC macro risks from EIA report apply, with added volatility from data uncertainties and re-baselining. Brazil energy efficiency measures may reduce long-term demand but evidence weak for short-term. - Levels: S/R=2415.00/2794.00 - Action: Similar to crude; watch for correlation effects and FOMC-driven volatility. - Market: Market Context (FU0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2735.00, Position=24% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2544.80, 60D=2527.52). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2415.00/2794.00. ATR14=87.50. Vol20D=2.33%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T15:44:39.608305+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly P... - 2026-01-28T08:25:22.689587+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly P... - [corr] PTA (TA0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests PTA(TA0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=4982.00/5476.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch TA0 near support 4982.00 or on break above resistance 5476.00. - Market: Market Context (TA0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=5370.00, Position=55% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=5169.90, 60D=4893.47). Levels(S/R, 20D)=4982.00/5476.00. ATR14=127.00. Vol20D=1.56%. - [2026-01-29 01:59] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Enviar a declaração DERP - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部要求提交DERP声明，涉及能源或矿产相关报告义务。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/agenda-de-eventos-de-servico/enviar-a-declaracao-derp - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Bullish arguments cite potential supply disruptions from Brazil's DERP declaration tightening global iron ore supply, given Brazil's role in exports to China. Bearish points include uncertainty over declaration specifics possibly increasing costs, and upcoming FOMC events strengthening USD, which could reduce demand. Key fact: DERP declaration details are unknown, limiting evidence. Macro risks from FOMC add volatility. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for updates on DERP declaration specifics and FOMC outcomes; avoid positions until clarity emerges. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.769361+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Denunciar Infrações à Ordem Econômica: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) Title: Denunciar Infrações à Ordem Econômica Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部提供举报经济秩序违规行为的... - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.737779+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Inscrever-se em ação de desenvolvimento para altas lideranças do setor público​: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) Title: Inscrever-se em ação de de... - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=2: Bullish view suggests Brazil's DERP declaration could impact oil production or exports, supporting prices via supply tightness. Bearish perspective highlights regulatory uncertainty, potential cost increases, and FOMC events strengthening USD, depressing oil prices. Fact: DERP content is unspecified, leading to weak evidence. Upcoming high-impact USD macro events prioritize risk control. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Await news on DERP details and FOMC results; exercise caution due to macro volatility. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.769361+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Denunciar Infrações à Ordem Econômica: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) Title: Denunciar Infrações à Ordem Econômica Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部提供举报经济秩序违规行为的... - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.737779+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Inscrever-se em ação de desenvolvimento para altas lideranças do setor público​: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) Title: Inscrever-se em ação de de... - [2026-01-29 01:16] Vale Press Releases | Impact=2 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、可持续发展、社区修复及季度生产销售报告等综合信息，涉及铁矿石等大宗商品的生产和销售数据。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Bull: Brazil-EU strategic minerals cooperation (fact_id 83) may lead to investments in Vale by March 2026, potentially supporting supply; upcoming FOMC events could weaken USD, boosting USD-denominated prices. Bear: Vale's quarterly reports (e.g., 4Q22 to 3Q24) indicate ongoing operations with no specific cuts, possibly increasing supply; macro uncertainty from high-impact FOMC events in next 12h adds risk. Facts: No quantitative data provided in press releases, evidence weak. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor FOMC outcome closely; no support/resistance levels available from provided data. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T17:00:52.391440+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及公司运营、生产报告、可持续发展项目等，但未提供具体商品数据或事件详情。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - Nickel (NI0) neutral w=2: Bull: Vale's low-carbon nickel projects (e.g., Morowali) and Brazil-EU cooperation (fact_id 83) could enhance supply for energy transition metals; FOMC events might weaken USD, supporting prices. Bear: Projects may increase future nickel supply; lack of specific production data in reports; macro risks from upcoming FOMC events. Facts: Historical reference mentions projects but no quantitative details, evidence weak. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: Heightened risk due to FOMC events; no price levels provided in market data. - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T17:00:52.391440+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及公司运营、生产报告、可持续发展项目等，但未提供具体商品数据或事件详情。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - [2026-01-29 01:00] Vale Press Releases | Impact=2 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及公司运营、生产报告、可持续发展项目等，但未提供具体商品数据或事件详情。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Nickel (NI0) neutral w=2: Bull: Vale mentions low-carbon nickel projects aligning with energy transition trends; Brazil-EU cooperation (fact_id 83) supports demand for strategic minerals. Bear: Lack of specific data on nickel production adds uncertainty; FOMC events could cause USD volatility, impacting prices. Neutral stance due to vague information and imminent macro events. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: Await FOMC announcements and clearer Vale project details; no market levels provided. - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - 2026-01-28T17:16:02.181154+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、可持续发展、社区修复及季度生产销售报告等综合信息，涉及铁矿石等大宗商品的生产和销售数据。 Key Facts: - 淡水河谷是全球主要... - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Bull: Vale's press releases indicate ongoing operational updates and Brazil-EU cooperation on strategic minerals (fact_id 83) could boost investment sentiment. Bear: No specific production or sales data provided, creating uncertainty; upcoming high-impact FOMC events may strengthen USD, increasing import costs for Chinese buyers. Overall neutral due to information gap and macro risks. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor FOMC outcome and Vale data releases; no support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - 2026-01-28T17:16:02.181154+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、可持续发展、社区修复及季度生产销售报告等综合信息，涉及铁矿石等大宗商品的生产和销售数据。 Key Facts: - 淡水河谷是全球主要... - [2026-01-29 00:30] Vale Press Releases | Impact=2 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及铁矿石、镍等商品的生产、销售报告以及公司运营活动。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Nickel (NI0) neutral w=2: Bull: Vale's low-carbon nickel mining and processing project in Morowali and Brazilian-EU cooperation on strategic minerals (fact_id 83) could enhance demand outlook for energy transition metals. Bear: The project may expand future supply, and lack of specific data increases uncertainty; FOMC events risk USD appreciation, negatively impacting prices. Evidence is weak with no numerical details provided. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: No specific support/resistance levels available; monitor FOMC developments and updates on nickel project progress. - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T17:00:52.391440+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及公司运营、生产报告、可持续发展项目等，但未提供具体商品数据或事件详情。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Bull: Vale's press releases include quarterly sales and production reports (e.g., 4Q22 to 3Q24) and mention of iron ore briquettes, suggesting operational stability and potential demand innovation. Bear: Same reports could indicate ongoing or increased supply, with lack of specific numerical data creating uncertainty. Upcoming high-impact FOMC events (Federal Funds Rate, statement) may strengthen USD, reducing demand for Chinese imports. Evidence is weak due to absence of concrete data. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: No specific support/resistance levels provided; focus on FOMC outcomes and await detailed quarterly report data. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T17:00:52.391440+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及公司运营、生产报告、可持续发展项目等，但未提供具体商品数据或事件详情。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - [2026-01-28 23:44] EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Impact=4 | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Facts: 美国能源信息署（EIA）发布了截至2026年1月23日的每周石油状况报告，提供了原油和石油产品的库存、生产、进口等数据。报告包括重新基准调整，影响了国内原油生产估计。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/ - Signals: - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=4: EIA report shows a minor U.S. crude production decrease of 51,000 bpd (0.38%) from re-benchmarking, with uncertainty due to data accuracy concerns and upcoming system changes. Upcoming high-impact FOMC events (Federal Funds Rate, Statement, Press Conference) in next 12h CN time could cause USD volatility, influencing oil prices: bullish if dovish outcome weakens USD, bearish if hawkish strengthens USD. Bear side highlights re-benchmarking skepticism and report delays, while bull side notes slight supply tightness. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor price action closely around FOMC announcements; avoid new positions until post-event clarity due to high volatility risk. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T18:15:34.451629+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly P... - 2026-01-28T08:25:22.689587+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly P... - [corr] PTA (TA0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests PTA(TA0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=4982.00/5476.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch TA0 near support 4982.00 or on break above resistance 5476.00. - Market: Market Context (TA0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=5370.00, Position=55% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=5169.90, 60D=4893.47). Levels(S/R, 20D)=4982.00/5476.00. ATR14=127.00. Vol20D=1.56%. - [corr] 甲醇 (MA0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests 甲醇(MA0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=2164.00/2358.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch MA0 near support 2164.00 or on break above resistance 2358.00. - Market: Market Context (MA0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2339.00, Position=47% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2260.75, 60D=2157.45). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2164.00/2358.00. ATR14=52.50. Vol20D=1.58%. - [corr] 燃油 (FU0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests 燃油(FU0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=2415.00/2794.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch FU0 near support 2415.00 or on break above resistance 2794.00. - Market: Market Context (FU0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2735.00, Position=24% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2544.80, 60D=2527.52). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2415.00/2794.00. ATR14=87.50. Vol20D=2.33%. - [2026-01-28 23:15] Vale Press Releases | Impact=3 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Nickel (NI0) neutral w=3: Bull points: Vale's low-carbon nickel projects align with green energy trends; Brazilian energy transition initiatives (G20, workshops) could boost demand. Bear points: Absence of current production data creates uncertainty; FOMC events may strengthen USD, reducing commodity appeal. Concrete facts: No quantitative nickel data in press release; high-impact FOMC events imminent. Politics reference includes Brazil's climate action and growth plans. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: Exercise caution around FOMC announcements; no specific entry zones without price data. - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T13:02:15.961506+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=3: Bull points: Historical quarterly reports in Vale press releases could imply stable supply; Brazilian trade negotiations (Mercosur-India) may support exports. Bear points: No specific commodity data from current event adds uncertainty; upcoming high-impact FOMC events (Fed rate, statement) could strengthen USD, pressuring prices. Concrete facts: Vale press release page has no quantitative data; market_context highlights imminent FOMC risk. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor FOMC outcomes for USD volatility; avoid new positions without clear price levels due to lack of data. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T13:02:15.961506+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - [2026-01-28 22:28] Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Impact=4 | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração - Facts: 巴西国家矿业局（ANM）提供矿产生产数据平台，包含原矿产量、加工产量、商业产量、投资额以及矿产勘探金融补偿（CFEM）等信息。通过交互式巴西矿产年鉴和CFEM观测站，用户可以按地区、时间段和采矿权持有企业等维度查询和汇总数据。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/anm/pt-br/assuntos/economia-mineral/producao-mineral - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Bullish points: Brazil's mining sector shows stability with no tailings dam failures for 7 years and high CFEM royalties near 80 billion BRL in 2025, suggesting reliable supply. Bearish points: ANM data platform transparency could reveal higher iron ore supply, and upcoming FOMC events may strengthen USD, making imports more expensive for China and pressuring prices. No specific iron ore production data provided, limiting direct impact. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor price reactions to FOMC announcements for directional cues, given lack of specific support/resistance levels. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:27.609660+00:00 | Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral Title: Produção Mineral — Agênci... - 2026-01-28T14:01:06.918838+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿... - Soybeans (A0) bullish w=4: Bullish points: Brazil has gained new market access and trade agreements, such as with the EU and Japan, per Ministry of Agriculture news, which could boost soybean exports and support prices. Bearish considerations: Upcoming FOMC events pose macro risks that could strengthen USD and reduce global demand, but positive trade news mitigates downside. No direct soybean production data from ANM facts. - Levels: S/R=4150.00/4440.00 - Action: Consider long positions if prices stabilize post-FOMC, given positive trade backdrop; no specific support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (A0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=4375.00, Position=33% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=4330.15, 60D=4189.52). Levels(S/R, 20D)=4150.00/4440.00. ATR14=53.64. Vol20D=0.85%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:27.609660+00:00 | Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral Title: Produção Mineral — Agênci... - 2026-01-28T14:01:06.918838+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿... - Lithium / Battery Metals (-) neutral w=2: Bullish points: Brazil's participation in international lithium forums focuses on energy transition, potentially aligning with China's EV demand. Bearish points: No specific lithium production data from ANM platform, making evidence indirect and speculative. Upcoming FOMC events add uncertainty to commodity prices and risk sentiment. - Action: Await more concrete data or news on lithium supply developments before trading; no specific support/resistance levels. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:27.609660+00:00 | Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral Title: Produção Mineral — Agênci... - 2026-01-28T14:01:06.918838+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿... - [2026-01-28 22:14] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Impact=3 | Coal-fired generation rose to meet demand during Winter Storm Fern - Facts: 在冬季风暴费恩期间，为满足电力需求，燃煤发电量显著增加。与2025年同期相比，一月初天气温和导致燃煤发电量较低，而风暴期间则出现大幅增长。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67084 - Signals: - Coal (-) neutral w=3: Bull: U.S. coal-fired generation surged 31% week-over-week due to Winter Storm Finn (from facts), boosting short-term demand and potential substitution from rising natural gas prices (historical reference). Bear: Demand spike is weather-driven and temporary; upcoming FOMC events could strengthen USD, reducing import demand, while early January's lower generation indicates underlying weakness. Macro uncertainties add risk. - Action: Monitor for volatility around FOMC events; short-term demand changes from weather may drive price swings. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.507013+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Severe winter weather across large portions of the country, natural gas prices increasing: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title... - 2026-01-28T15:44:39.608305+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly P... - [2026-01-28 22:14] EIA International Energy Outlook | Impact=4 | U.S. Energy Information Administration - EIA - Independent Statistics and Analysis - Facts: 美国能源信息署（EIA）发布分析，指出2025年底原油油轮运费因东亚需求增加而升至多年高位，随后在2026年初回落，重点关注波斯湾至亚洲和美国墨西哥湾至欧洲等关键航线。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/ - Signals: - [corr] 甲醇 (MA0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests 甲醇(MA0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=2164.00/2358.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch MA0 near support 2164.00 or on break above resistance 2358.00. - Market: Market Context (MA0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2339.00, Position=47% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2260.75, 60D=2157.45). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2164.00/2358.00. ATR14=52.50. Vol20D=1.58%. - [corr] 燃油 (FU0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests 燃油(FU0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=2415.00/2794.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch FU0 near support 2415.00 or on break above resistance 2794.00. - Market: Market Context (FU0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2735.00, Position=24% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2544.80, 60D=2527.52). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2415.00/2794.00. ATR14=87.50. Vol20D=2.33%. - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=4: Bullish considerations include EIA forecast that U.S. crude production will plateau near 2025 record levels (fact ID 56) and late-2025 freight rate rise indicating robust East Asian demand. Bearish considerations include early-2026 freight rate decline suggesting demand easing, upcoming high-impact FOMC events (Federal Funds Rate, statement, press conference) adding USD volatility risk, and Gaza ceasefire (fact ID 80) potentially reducing oil risk premiums. Uncertainty from historical data with no future predictions and macro risks warrant caution. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor price volatility during and after FOMC events; no specific support/resistance levels provided in market_levels. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:03.045881+00:00 | EIA International Energy Outlook | U.S. Energy Information Administration - EIA - Independent Statistics and Analysis: Source: EIA International Energy Outlook Title: U.S. Energy Information Administrat... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.515974+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: In 2025, U.S. nat... - [corr] PTA (TA0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests PTA(TA0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=4982.00/5476.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch TA0 near support 4982.00 or on break above resistance 5476.00. - Market: Market Context (TA0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=5370.00, Position=55% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=5169.90, 60D=4893.47). Levels(S/R, 20D)=4982.00/5476.00. ATR14=127.00. Vol20D=1.56%. - [2026-01-28 22:01] ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Impact=4 | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração - Facts: 巴西国家矿业局发布多则矿业相关新闻，涉及矿产特许权使用费分配、安全生产预警、监管合作及行业数据报告。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/anm/pt-br/assuntos/noticias - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=4: Bull: Record CFEM collections (80 billion BRL in 2025) and 7-year safety record without tailings dam failures support stable supply, but weather warnings could disrupt output. Bear: High output may increase global iron ore supply, pressuring prices. Upcoming high-impact FOMC events (Federal Funds Rate, Statement, Press Conference) in 12h CN time could strengthen USD, making iron ore costlier for Chinese buyers, adding downside risk. Volatility prioritized. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Await FOMC outcome for direction; high volatility expected. No specific support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:03.548918+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿... - 2026-01-28T12:29:27.609660+00:00 | Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral Title: Produção Mineral — Agênci... - Rare Earths (-) neutral w=2: Bull: Harvard University discussion with ANM and EU cooperation on strategic minerals (fact_id 83) may boost demand outlook for rare earths in green energy. Bear: High CFEM royalty collections (80 billion BRL in 2025) indicate robust mining activity, potentially increasing supply. Uncertainty from preliminary strategy discussions and upcoming FOMC events adds volatility. Both sides balanced with low evidence strength. - Action: Monitor news on Brazilian rare earth strategy and FOMC impact on USD; no support/resistance levels provided. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:03.548918+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿... - 2026-01-28T12:29:27.609660+00:00 | Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral Title: Produção Mineral — Agênci... - [corr] 螺纹钢 (RB0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 铁矿石(I0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests 螺纹钢(RB0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=3085.00/3198.00 - Action: Correlation follow I0; watch RB0 near support 3085.00 or on break above resistance 3198.00. - Market: Market Context (RB0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=3123.00, Position=13% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=3140.20, 60D=3108.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=3085.00/3198.00. ATR14=27.79. Vol20D=0.73%. - [corr] 热卷 (HC0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 铁矿石(I0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests 热卷(HC0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=3233.00/3348.00 - Action: Correlation follow I0; watch HC0 near support 3233.00 or on break above resistance 3348.00. - Market: Market Context (HC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=3280.00, Position=16% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=3293.60, 60D=3282.30). Levels(S/R, 20D)=3233.00/3348.00. ATR14=27.00. Vol20D=0.64%. - [2026-01-28 21:59] Vale Press Releases | Impact=2 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、生产报告、可持续发展项目及企业活动信息，主要涉及铁矿石等大宗商品的生产和销售数据。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Nickel (NI0) neutral w=2: Vale's press releases mention an integrated low-carbon nickel mining and processing project in Morowali, aligning with energy transition trends, but it is in implementation phase with no specific data. Bullish factors include potential future demand from green technologies and Brazil-EU cooperation on strategic minerals (fact_id 83) that could boost investments. Bearish factors point to increased future supply from the project and upcoming FOMC events risking USD strength, reducing demand. Evidence is weak with no immediate impact; macro events add uncertainty. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: Await clarity from FOMC decisions and further updates on Vale's nickel project progress. - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T17:16:02.181154+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、可持续发展、社区修复及季度生产销售报告等综合信息，涉及铁矿石等大宗商品的生产和销售数据。 Key Facts: - 淡水河谷是全球主要... - 2026-01-28T17:00:52.391440+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及公司运营、生产报告、可持续发展项目等，但未提供具体商品数据或事件详情。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页... - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Vale's press releases indicate regular quarterly production and sales reports (e.g., 4Q22-3Q24) and testing of autonomous trucks at Carajás mine, but no specific data provided. Bullish factors include potential operational efficiency gains and Brazil-EU cooperation on strategic minerals (fact_id 83) that may attract investments, supporting long-term supply. Bearish factors highlight increased supply from efficiency improvements and upcoming FOMC events (Federal Funds Rate, Statement, Press Conference in 12h) risking USD appreciation, which could pressure prices. Macro uncertainty is high with no immediate catalysts from Vale's data. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for price volatility around FOMC events and any future Vale quarterly report data releases. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T17:16:02.181154+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含公司运营、可持续发展、社区修复及季度生产销售报告等综合信息，涉及铁矿石等大宗商品的生产和销售数据。 Key Facts: - 淡水河谷是全球主要... - 2026-01-28T17:00:52.391440+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及公司运营、生产报告、可持续发展项目等，但未提供具体商品数据或事件详情。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页... - [2026-01-28 21:02] Vale Press Releases | Impact=2 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Nickel (NI0) neutral w=2: Similar to iron ore, Vale page lacks quantifiable nickel data despite historical references to production reports (historical reference fact_id 222). Bull points note ongoing operations and potential USD impact from FOMC, while bear points emphasize lack of updates and macro risk. Upcoming FOMC events add short-term uncertainty. Evidence remains speculative with no direct supply/demand metrics, leading to neutral outlook amid volatile conditions. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: Monitor for any Vale-specific news post-FOMC; trade cautiously due to macro-driven price swings. - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T15:15:23.836301+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 页面为淡水河谷公司新... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Vale press release page contains only navigational and contact information with no specific production, inventory, or supply data (facts key facts). Bull points cite transparency and potential USD weakness from upcoming FOMC events boosting demand, but evidence is weak; bear points highlight information void and macro uncertainty from high-impact FOMC events (Federal Funds Rate, statement, press conference in next 12h). Overall, lack of concrete data limits directional bias, with volatility likely from macro factors. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: High volatility expected around FOMC events; await post-announcement price action for clearer signals. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T15:15:23.836301+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 页面为淡水河谷公司新... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - [2026-01-28 20:30] Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Impact=2 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements - Facts: 皮尔巴拉港口管理局发布了媒体声明，可能涉及港口运营、气候行动计划或相关商品运输数据，但具体内容未提供。 - URL: https://www.pilbaraports.com.au/sustainability/climate-action-plan/media-statements - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Pilbara Ports Authority media statement lacks specific content, but involves Lumsden Point port infrastructure development, which could affect iron ore supply chains. Bull case speculates on potential supply disruptions or delays; bear case suggests possible capacity increases. Upcoming high-impact FOMC events (Federal Funds Rate, statement, press conference) introduce macroeconomic volatility and USD fluctuations, influencing demand. Evidence is weak due to uncertainty in statement details, leading to a balanced view. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor FOMC outcomes for USD impact and await further details on Pilbara Ports media statement for supply chain implications. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:17.514925+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports... - 2026-01-28T15:15:23.836301+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 页面为淡水河谷公司新... - [2026-01-28 20:30] Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements | Impact=2 | Pilbara Ports Authority - Lumsden Point Media Statements - Facts: Pilbara Ports Authority发布了关于Lumsden Point项目的媒体声明，该项目涉及港口基础设施开发，可能影响大宗商品供应链。 - URL: https://www.pilbaraports.com.au/current-projects/lumsden-point/media-statements - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Media statement on Lumsden Point port infrastructure development may affect iron ore supply logistics from Australia, with bulls citing potential efficiency gains and supply reliability for Chinese demand, and bears fearing oversupply or uncertainty. Concrete details are unspecified, and upcoming FOMC events (Federal Funds Rate, Statement, Press Conference) add macro risk. Historical references (e.g., EIA report) do not directly impact iron ore. Politics facts from Brazil (e.g., 'Nós na Rede') are not materially relevant for this signal. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor price action around FOMC events and any further port development news; no support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:17.772881+00:00 | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements | Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements: Source: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Title: Pilbara Ports Authority Media Statements Summary: 皮尔巴拉港口管理局发布... - 2026-01-28T15:15:23.836301+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 页面为淡水河谷公司新... - [2026-01-28 20:30] ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Impact=3 | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração - Facts: 巴西国家矿业局（ANM）发布了一系列关于矿业监管、特许权使用费分配和行业动态的新闻公告。主要内容包括2025年矿业特许权使用费（CFEM）征收额接近80亿雷亚尔，创历史第二高；向受影响和邻近市镇分配超过1.12亿雷亚尔；以及发布恶劣天气预警等。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/anm/pt-br/assuntos/noticias - Signals: - Lithium (-) bearish w=3: Brazil's participation in lithium forums (fact_id 92) and MME-EU cooperation (fact_id 83) aim to boost lithium production, increasing global supply. High CFEM distributions (5.64 billion BRL in Dec 2025) support sector growth. Bullish factors are limited as weather warnings are preventive, not disruptive. Upcoming US FOMC events may reduce short-term industrial demand and investor appetite. - Action: Consider short positions if lithium prices show weakness post-macro events; monitor Brazil's production announcements. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T14:01:06.918838+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿... - 2026-01-28T12:29:27.609660+00:00 | Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral Title: Produção Mineral — Agênci... - Iron Ore (I0) bullish w=3: Brazil's seven-year record without tailings dam failures reduces supply disruption risks, and high CFEM royalties (80 billion BRL in 2025) indicate strong mining activity, supporting iron ore exports. MME-EU cooperation on strategic minerals (fact_id 83) could attract investments. However, upcoming US FOMC events may cause USD volatility; a hawkish outcome could strengthen USD, making iron ore less attractive for CNY buyers. Weather warnings could tighten short-term supply. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor price action around FOMC events; consider entry on dips if USD weakens. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T14:01:06.918838+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿... - 2026-01-28T12:29:27.609660+00:00 | Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral Title: Produção Mineral — Agênci... - Rare Earth (-) neutral w=2: ANM's collaboration with Harvard on rare earth strategy and MME-EU cooperation (fact_id 83) may accelerate Brazil's production, diversifying global supply for China. However, initiatives are preliminary with no specific production data; high CFEM collections suggest robust mining that could increase supply, bearish for prices. Upcoming US macro events add volatility and uncertainty. - Action: Await concrete production data from Brazil; current developments are preliminary. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T14:01:06.918838+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿... - 2026-01-28T12:29:27.609660+00:00 | Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral Title: Produção Mineral — Agênci... - [2026-01-28 20:30] Vale Press Releases | Impact=2 | Press Releases - Vale - Facts: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 - URL: https://www.vale.com/press-releases - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Bull points reference Vale's quarterly reports and Brazil's trade diplomacy, but facts confirm no specific iron ore production or sales data from Vale Press Releases. Bear points cite lack of data and upcoming high-impact USD FOMC events, which could strengthen USD and pressure prices. Market_context includes Fed rate decision and statements, adding uncertainty. Politics_reference fact_id 213 (Brazil's trade agreements) may support export prospects, but evidence is weak for immediate price impact. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: No support/resistance levels provided; monitor for updates from Vale and USD macro events in next 12h. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T17:00:52.391440+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及公司运营、生产报告、可持续发展项目等，但未提供具体商品数据或事件详情。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页... - 2026-01-28T15:15:23.836301+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 页面为淡水河谷公司新... - Nickel (NI0) neutral w=2: Bull points mention Vale's nickel processing projects and Brazil's sustainability initiatives, but facts show no specific nickel data from Vale Press Releases. Bear points highlight uncertainty from lack of updates and potential USD strength from upcoming FOMC events. Market_context indicates high-impact USD macro events. Politics_reference fact_id 79 (Brazil's G20 focus on energy transition) and fact_id 213 (trade agreements) could influence demand and exports, but no quantifiable data limits confidence. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: No support/resistance levels provided; monitor for Vale news and USD macro developments in near term. - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T17:00:52.391440+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面，包含多个新闻标题，涉及公司运营、生产报告、可持续发展项目等，但未提供具体商品数据或事件详情。 Key Facts: - 内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页... - 2026-01-28T15:15:23.836301+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻发布渠道和媒体联系方式。 Key Facts: - 页面为淡水河谷公司新... - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Consultar informações sobre Mestrado Profissional em Saúde da Família - URL: https://www.gov.br/pt-br/servicos/consultar-informacoes-sobre-mestrado-profissional-em-saude-da-familia - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Bull argues potential indirect supply disruption if Brazil's energy ministry diverts resources to education services, but this is speculative with no direct evidence. Bear highlights lack of commodity-related news from the event and upcoming FOMC events that could strengthen USD, pressuring dollar-denominated commodities. The event from Ministério de Minas e Energia is about educational services (e.g., ENEM certification), not mining or iron ore production. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: No specific price levels provided; monitor FOMC events for USD volatility impact on iron ore prices. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.772030+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Solicitar certificação de conclusão do ensino médio - ENEM, junto ao IFRR: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) Title: Solicitar certificação de conclu... - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.745528+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Consultar informações sobre o Programa de Formação e Educação Permanente para Fortalecimento do Trabalho em Redes​​: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazi... - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=2: Bull suggests indirect supply concerns if Brazilian energy ministry reallocates focus to education, possibly affecting oil regulation, but this is weak and speculative. Bear notes no direct oil policy announcements and risks from FOMC events that could boost USD, dampening oil demand. The event involves educational services (e.g., nursing courses), with no mention of oil markets. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: No specific price levels provided; prioritize risk control around FOMC events for oil price movements. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.772030+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Solicitar certificação de conclusão do ensino médio - ENEM, junto ao IFRR: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) Title: Solicitar certificação de conclu... - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.745528+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Consultar informações sobre o Programa de Formação e Educação Permanente para Fortalecimento do Trabalho em Redes​​: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazi... - Iron Ore Futures (CN) (I0) neutral w=2: Bull points note Brazilian Ministry of Mines and Energy oversees mining, with educational initiatives potentially improving long-term workforce efficiency in iron ore sector, but facts show only educational services (e.g., ENEM certification, training programs) with no direct commodity data or policy changes. Bear points highlight lack of immediate supply catalysts and potential for increased future production from efficiency gains, alongside upcoming FOMC events adding macro uncertainty via USD strength affecting demand. Evidence is speculative and weak. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for reaction to USD macro events (Federal Funds Rate, FOMC); no specific price levels from provided data. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.772030+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Solicitar certificação de conclusão do ensino médio - ENEM, junto ao IFRR: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) Title: Solicitar certificação de conclu... - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.745528+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Consultar informações sobre o Programa de Formação e Educação Permanente para Fortalecimento do Trabalho em Redes​​: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazi... - Soybeans (A0) neutral w=2: Bear argument suggests Brazilian educational programs could enhance agricultural workforce skills, potentially boosting soybean yields and exports to China, but facts are unrelated to agriculture or trade policies. Source events focus on education services with no direct commodity impact. Upcoming FOMC events may strengthen USD, increasing costs for Chinese imports and dampening demand. Evidence is indirect and weak, with no supporting data. - Levels: S/R=4150.00/4440.00 - Action: Monitor for macro-driven price moves; no specific levels from provided data. - Market: Market Context (A0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=4375.00, Position=33% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=4330.15, 60D=4189.52). Levels(S/R, 20D)=4150.00/4440.00. ATR14=53.64. Vol20D=0.85%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.772030+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Solicitar certificação de conclusão do ensino médio - ENEM, junto ao IFRR: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) Title: Solicitar certificação de conclu... - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.745528+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Consultar informações sobre o Programa de Formação e Educação Permanente para Fortalecimento do Trabalho em Redes​​: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazi... - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=2: Bear reasoning posits that training initiatives might improve operational efficiency in Brazil's energy sector, possibly increasing future oil output and exports to China, but facts are educational with no energy production or policy data. Source events provide no direct market catalysts. Upcoming FOMC events could elevate USD strength, raising import costs and reducing demand. Linkage is speculative and evidence is weak. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Watch for macro volatility; no specific price levels from provided data. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.772030+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Solicitar certificação de conclusão do ensino médio - ENEM, junto ao IFRR: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) Title: Solicitar certificação de conclu... - 2026-01-28T12:29:28.745528+00:00 | Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazil) | Consultar informações sobre o Programa de Formação e Educação Permanente para Fortalecimento do Trabalho em Redes​​: Source: Ministério de Minas e Energia (Brazi... - [2026-01-28 20:29] Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Impact=3 | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração - Facts: 巴西国家矿业局（ANM）提供了矿产生产数据平台，包括《巴西矿产年鉴》交互式面板和CFEM观测站，可查询矿产产量、投资和特许权使用费信息。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/anm/pt-br/assuntos/economia-mineral/producao-mineral - Signals: - Lithium (-) neutral w=2: Brazilian MME participation in lithium forums (fact_id 92) signals commitment to energy transition minerals, but ANM event lacks direct lithium production data. Bullish: potential for supply investments; Bearish: evidence indirect, reliant on broader trends. Upcoming macro events (BOC and FOMC) may affect risk sentiment. Weak evidence limits confidence. - Action: Await specific production data from ANM platform; monitor for lithium-related news amid macro volatility. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T14:28:53.217347+00:00 | Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral Title: Produção Mineral — Agênci... - 2026-01-28T14:01:06.918838+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿... - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=3: Brazil ANM mineral data platform enhances transparency but no specific iron ore production figures provided. Bullish: high CFEM collections (80B BRL in 2025) indicate mining activity; Bearish: transparency may reveal high supply, pressuring prices. Upcoming high-impact FOMC events (Federal Funds Rate, statement, press conference) add volatility and USD risk. No concrete data limits direct impact. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor price action around FOMC events (Jan 29 03:00-03:30 UTC), with caution due to lack of specific levels. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T14:28:53.217347+00:00 | Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral Title: Produção Mineral — Agênci... - 2026-01-28T14:01:06.918838+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿... - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministério de Minas e Energia (MME) - Notícias | Impact=4 | Notícias — Ministério de Minas e Energia - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一系列关于能源和矿产政策的新闻，包括调整2026年容量储备拍卖指南、加强战略矿产合作、启动稀土国家战略研究、推进电力市场自由化以及应对降雨不足对电力系统的影响。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/noticias - Signals: - [corr] 燃油 (FU0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests 燃油(FU0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=2415.00/2794.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch FU0 near support 2415.00 or on break above resistance 2794.00. - Market: Market Context (FU0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2735.00, Position=24% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2544.80, 60D=2527.52). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2415.00/2794.00. ATR14=87.50. Vol20D=2.33%. - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=4: Bull: Brazil's capacity reserve auction on March 18, 2026, may indicate stable domestic oil demand; FOMC dovish outcome could weaken USD and boost oil prices. Bear: Energy market liberalization and renewable focus in Brazil could reduce long-term oil demand; upcoming high-impact FOMC events (rate decision, statement, press conference) and crude oil inventories data introduce short-term volatility and potential USD strength. Concrete facts: auction date 2026-03-18; free market electricity consumption at 43%; macro events in next 12h CN. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor FOMC announcement and crude oil inventories data closely for price direction; no support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:05.735411+00:00 | Brazil Government Agriculture News | Retomada a política de formação de estoque públicos com autorização da compra de milho: Source: Brazil Government Agriculture News Title: Retomada a política de form... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - Corn (C0) bullish w=3: Bull: Brazil resuming public corn stockpiling, authorizing purchase of 500,000 tons (historical reference fact_id 202), reduces immediate market supply and could tighten global markets; agricultural credit support of R$7.6 billion (politics_reference fact_id 204) aligns with policy support. Bear: Stockpiling is subject to quality standards and state limits, which may moderate impact. Concrete facts: stockpiling authorization, credit announcement; no current price data for stop-loss. - Levels: S/R=2205.00/2314.00 - Action: Consider bullish positions on supply reduction; watch for quality constraints and state limits from stockpiling policy. - Market: Market Context (C0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2274.00, Position=24% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2269.50, 60D=2228.00). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2205.00/2314.00. ATR14=20.86. Vol20D=0.59%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:05.735411+00:00 | Brazil Government Agriculture News | Retomada a política de formação de estoque públicos com autorização da compra de milho: Source: Brazil Government Agriculture News Title: Retomada a política de form... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - [corr] 甲醇 (MA0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests 甲醇(MA0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=2164.00/2358.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch MA0 near support 2164.00 or on break above resistance 2358.00. - Market: Market Context (MA0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2339.00, Position=47% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2260.75, 60D=2157.45). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2164.00/2358.00. ATR14=52.50. Vol20D=1.58%. - [corr] PTA (TA0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests PTA(TA0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=4982.00/5476.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch TA0 near support 4982.00 or on break above resistance 5476.00. - Market: Market Context (TA0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=5370.00, Position=55% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=5169.90, 60D=4893.47). Levels(S/R, 20D)=4982.00/5476.00. ATR14=127.00. Vol20D=1.56%. - Natural Gas (-) bullish w=3: Bull: Brazil's electricity market liberalization with free market consuming 43% of national electricity in 2025 may increase demand for natural gas as a flexible power source; CMSE precautions due to low rainfall in key basins could boost short-term reliance on gas for power generation. Bear: Upcoming BOC and FOMC macro events introduce volatility and risk-off sentiment; rainfall impact depends on future weather. Concrete facts: electricity market data, CMSE measures; no current price or volatility data. - Action: Monitor rainfall updates and electricity demand trends for price movements; prioritize risk control around macro events. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:05.735411+00:00 | Brazil Government Agriculture News | Retomada a política de formação de estoque públicos com autorização da compra de milho: Source: Brazil Government Agriculture News Title: Retomada a política de form... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts:... - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=3 | Alexandre Silveira discute sistemas de armazenamento de energia com a Huawei em Xangai - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部长在上海与华为讨论储能系统，强调旨在提高4月电池拍卖竞争力的战略，以刺激技术创新并加强巴西能源安全。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/alexandre-silveira-discute-sistemas-de-armazenamento-de-energia-com-a-huawei-em-xangai - Signals: - Lithium (-) neutral w=3: Bull case anticipates demand boost from Brazil's April battery auction and Huawei tech cooperation (facts), while bear case highlights efficiency gains reducing per-unit lithium demand and increased supply from Brazil-EU strategic mineral investments by 2026 (fact 83). Auction specifics are uncertain (from facts' uncertainty notes), and upcoming BOC/FOMC macro events add market-wide risk, limiting near-term conviction. - Action: Monitor developments in Brazil battery auction and Huawei cooperation; avoid aggressive positions due to macro uncertainty and lack of price levels. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.497647+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME fortalece cooperação com União Europeia na área de minerais estratégicos: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME fortalece cooperação com Un... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.495339+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME publica portaria que traz ajustes nas diretrizes e a sistemática para a realização do Leilão de Reserva de Capacidade na forma de Potência de 2026: Source: Mi... - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=3 | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN - Facts: 巴西矿产能源部就提前执行合同和加强国家互联系统安全开展公开咨询，CMSE决议提案为容量储备拍卖中标项目制定指导方针。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/secretarias/secretaria-nacional-energia-eletrica/mais-noticias/mme-abre-consulta-publica-para-antecipacao-de-contratos-e-reforco-da-seguranca-do-sin - Signals: - Electricity (-) neutral w=2: Brazil's MME public consultation on early contract execution and SIN security (Fact 94) could affect electricity supply. Bullish: acceleration may boost demand; bearish: enhanced grid stability could lower prices. Uncertainty high as outcomes undetermined. Upcoming macro events (BOC/Fed decisions) add volatility risk. - Action: Monitor Brazil's consultation results and energy policy developments; no specific price levels provided. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.514001+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME abre consulta públ... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.510734+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME participa da 16ª reunião internacional de acompanhamento do Plano de Ação do II biênio do Foro do Lítio: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title:... - Lithium (-) bullish w=3: Brazil's lithium forum participation (Fact 92) and EU cooperation on strategic minerals (Fact 83) highlight energy transition focus, potentially increasing long-term demand for lithium. Bullish: investments may tighten supply; bearish: policies could boost production and pressure prices. Evidence indirect; weak link to main consultation. Upcoming macro events pose additional uncertainty. - Action: Watch for investment announcements from EU-Brazil cooperation and lithium forum updates; no support/resistance levels available. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.514001+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME abre consulta públ... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.510734+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME participa da 16ª reunião internacional de acompanhamento do Plano de Ação do II biênio do Foro do Lítio: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title:... - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Programa Gás do Povo chega a todas as capitais do Brasil nesta segunda-feira - Facts: 巴西政府宣布“人民燃气计划”于本周一覆盖全国所有首府城市，这是全球最大的清洁烹饪推广计划，已注册超过1万家销售点，预计今年3月前将覆盖全国所有城市。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/programa-gas-do-povo-chega-a-todas-as-capitais-do-brasil-nesta-segunda-feira - Signals: - Natural Gas (-) neutral w=2: Bull: Brazil's 'People's Gas Program' expansion to all capital cities (over 10,000 sales points, target March 2024) could increase domestic natural gas demand, potentially tightening global supply in interconnected markets. Bear: Increased Brazilian consumption might reduce LNG imports, easing global supply; upcoming FOMC rate decision (Jan 29) adds USD strength risk, reducing commodity demand. Uncertainty: Direct evidence linking to global futures is weak, with indirect geographical impact and speculative supply-demand effects. - Action: Monitor for volatility around FOMC decision on Jan 29; no support/resistance levels provided in market data. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.495339+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME publica portaria que traz ajustes nas diretrizes e a sistemática para a realização do Leilão de Reserva de Capacidade na forma de Potência de 2026: Source: Mi... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.497647+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME fortalece cooperação com União Europeia na área de minerais estratégicos: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME fortalece cooperação com Un... - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=3 | NOTA À IMPRENSA - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一份新闻稿，但内容仅包含标题，未提供具体信息。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/nota-a-imprensa-10 - Signals: - Lithium (-) neutral w=2: Main event is an empty news release from Brazil's Ministry (fact_id 84), providing no concrete information. Bull side cites Brazil's lithium forum participation (fact_id 92) and EV infrastructure investments with SAIC Motor (fact_id 91), suggesting potential demand growth. Bear side points to possible supply increases from such initiatives. Upcoming high-impact macro events (e.g., FOMC) add volatility and risk, limiting confidence. - Action: No support/resistance levels provided; monitor for developments related to Brazilian energy policies and upcoming macro events. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.499162+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | NOTA À IMPRENSA: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: NOTA À IMPRENSA Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一份新闻稿，但内容仅包含标题，未提供具体信息。 Key Facts: - 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一份标题为'NO... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.506085+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Larissa Damascena da Silva: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: Larissa Damascena da Silva Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部任命Larissa Damascena da Silva为国家电力能源秘书... - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=3: Empty news release (fact_id 84) creates uncertainty about Brazil's energy policies. Bear arguments suggest potential supply impacts and upcoming FOMC rate decision (high impact) could strengthen USD, affecting oil prices. Bull arguments are not provided for oil. Weak direct evidence and high macro event risk in next 12h limit confidence, favoring caution. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: No support/resistance levels; prioritize risk management around high-impact macro events like FOMC. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.499162+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | NOTA À IMPRENSA: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: NOTA À IMPRENSA Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一份新闻稿，但内容仅包含标题，未提供具体信息。 Key Facts: - 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一份标题为'NO... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.506085+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Larissa Damascena da Silva: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: Larissa Damascena da Silva Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部任命Larissa Damascena da Silva为国家电力能源秘书... - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=3 | Larissa Damascena da Silva - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部任命Larissa Damascena da Silva为国家电力能源秘书处负责人，负责电力能源政策制定与监管。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/composicao/secretaria-de-energia-eletrica-see/gabinete-da-secretaria-nacional-de-energia-eletrica/larissa-damascena-da-silva - Signals: - Copper (CU0) bullish w=3: Bull: Appointment may accelerate grid projects; public consultation on SIN (fact_id 94) suggests infrastructure investments boosting copper demand. Bear: Upcoming FOMC decisions (macro event) could overshadow with volatility. Evidence supports bullish bias due to Brazil's energy security focus, but risk from USD events. - Levels: S/R=96010.00/105650.00 - Action: Watch for announcements on Brazil's capacity reserve auctions and grid expansion plans. - Market: Market Context (CU0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=103060.00, Position=95% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=101832.00, 60D=93885.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=96010.00/105650.00. ATR14=2622.86. Vol20D=1.63%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.514001+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME abre consulta públ... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.515623+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME abre consulta públ... - Lithium (-) neutral w=2: Bull: Brazil's lithium forum participation (fact_id 92) and EU cooperation (fact_id 83) may increase demand for batteries in energy storage. Bear: Enhanced mineral supply from cooperation could pressure prices. Appointment affects electricity policy but direct lithium impact uncertain; upcoming FOMC events add volatility risk. - Action: Monitor Brazil's energy policy updates and lithium market news for directional cues. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.514001+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME abre consulta públ... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.515623+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME abre consulta públ... - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Andréa Mesquita de Menezes - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部任命安德烈亚·梅斯基塔·德梅内塞斯担任社会参与顾问，这可能影响与矿产和能源相关的政策制定和社区关系。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/composicao/assessoria-de-participacao-social/andrea-mesquita-de-menezes - Signals: - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Brazil MME appoints social participation advisor (Andreia Mesquita de Menezes), potentially improving community relations (bullish for supply stability) but risking delays from consultations (bearish). Specific impacts unclear per facts. Upcoming Fed rate decision (2026-01-29 03:00 USD) adds macro volatility. Weak evidence limits confidence. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for Brazilian policy announcements; no support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.514001+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME abre consulta públ... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.515623+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME abre consulta públ... - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=2: Brazil MME appointment may influence oil project approvals (bullish for efficiency, bearish for opposition). Facts show weak direct impacts. Upcoming Crude Oil Inventories (2026-01-28 23:30 USD) and Fed events increase risk. Brazil's energy security focus (e.g., capacity reserve auctions per politics reference) provides backdrop. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Watch for supply-side news from Brazil; macro events dominate near-term action. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.514001+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME abre consulta públ... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.515623+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME abre consulta públ... - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=2 | Glauco Fernando Numata Batista - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部任命Glauco Fernando Numata Batista担任石油、天然气、生物燃料和社会政策相关职务，可能影响能源政策制定和监管。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/composicao/secretaria-de-petroleo-gas-natural-e-biocombustiveis-spg/departamento-de-politicas-sociais-para-o-glp-e-promocao-do-cozimento-limpo/coordenacao-geral-de-monitoramento-e-transparencia/glauco-fernando-numata-batista - Signals: - Oil (SC0) neutral w=2: Bull: Appointment may tighten oil regulations in Brazil, reducing global supply. Bear: Could signal policy changes increasing production or exports. Facts: Appointment of Glauco Fernando Numata Batista in Brazil's energy ministry involves oil, but specific impact is not detailed (uncertainty_notes). Upcoming high-impact macro events (e.g., FOMC decisions) add volatility and risk. Politics: Public consultation on energy contracts (fact 94) and lithium forum discussions (fact 92) indicate ongoing energy policy focus, but direct market impact is unclear. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Await clarification on appointment details; monitor price action around upcoming macro events due to high volatility. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.506085+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Larissa Damascena da Silva: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: Larissa Damascena da Silva Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部任命Larissa Damascena da Silva为国家电力能源秘书... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.504643+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Andréa Mesquita de Menezes: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: Andréa Mesquita de Menezes Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部任命安德烈亚·梅斯基塔·德梅内塞斯担任社会参与顾问，这可能影响与矿产和能源... - Biofuels (-) neutral w=2: Bull: Appointment may boost biofuel production or policy support. Bear: Increased supply from Brazil could pressure prices. Facts: Appointment covers biofuels, but impact is not detailed (uncertainty_notes). Macro events add market-wide risk. Politics: Brazil's participation in lithium forum (fact 92) signals energy transition support, indirectly affecting biofuels, but specific measures are unknown. - Action: Monitor for policy announcements; exercise caution due to upcoming macro events and limited actionable data. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.506085+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Larissa Damascena da Silva: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: Larissa Damascena da Silva Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部任命Larissa Damascena da Silva为国家电力能源秘书... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.504643+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Andréa Mesquita de Menezes: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: Andréa Mesquita de Menezes Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部任命安德烈亚·梅斯基塔·德梅内塞斯担任社会参与顾问，这可能影响与矿产和能源... - Natural Gas (-) neutral w=2: Bull: Appointment could support natural gas policy, increasing demand. Bear: Might lead to enhanced production or export capacity, raising supply. Facts: Appointment involves natural gas, but duties and impact are unspecified (uncertainty_notes). Macro events (e.g., Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC) introduce uncertainty. Politics: Public consultation on system security (fact 94) and energy transition focus from lithium forum (fact 92) provide backdrop, but evidence is weak for direct price moves. - Action: Consider risk control amid macro event volatility; no clear entry zone due to lack of detailed policy information. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.506085+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Larissa Damascena da Silva: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: Larissa Damascena da Silva Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部任命Larissa Damascena da Silva为国家电力能源秘书... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.504643+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Andréa Mesquita de Menezes: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: Andréa Mesquita de Menezes Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部任命安德烈亚·梅斯基塔·德梅内塞斯担任社会参与顾问，这可能影响与矿产和能源... - [2026-01-28 20:29] Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | Impact=2 | NOTA À IMPRENSA - Facts: 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一份新闻稿，但内容仅包含标题，未提供具体信息。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/noticias/nota-a-imprensa-11 - Signals: - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=2: Brazil's Ministry of Mines and Energy released an empty press release titled 'NOTA À IMPRENSA' with no specific information. Bullish: absence of negative policy changes may reduce supply-side fears, supporting stability. Bearish: uncertainty from vague news could trigger selling, especially amid upcoming high-impact CAD and USD macro events (e.g., BOC and FOMC decisions). Evidence is weak due to lack of content, limiting clear directional bias. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Await clarification from ministry or monitor upcoming BOC/FOMC events for price direction; no specific S/R levels provided. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.507525+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | NOTA À IMPRENSA: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: NOTA À IMPRENSA Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一份新闻稿，但内容仅包含标题，未提供具体信息。 Key Facts: - 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一份新闻稿，标题... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.515623+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME abre consulta públ... - Soybeans (A0) neutral w=1: Brazil, a top soybean exporter, released an empty press release with no specific information. Bullish: lack of adverse news might support export flows and reduce downside risks. No bearish arguments provided, but general uncertainty from vague news applies. Evidence is very weak due to missing content; impact is minimal compared to other commodities and upcoming macro events. - Levels: S/R=4150.00/4440.00 - Action: Low impact; focus on broader agricultural developments or macro events for guidance; no S/R levels given. - Market: Market Context (A0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=4375.00, Position=33% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=4330.15, 60D=4189.52). Levels(S/R, 20D)=4150.00/4440.00. ATR14=53.64. Vol20D=0.85%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.507525+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | NOTA À IMPRENSA: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: NOTA À IMPRENSA Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一份新闻稿，但内容仅包含标题，未提供具体信息。 Key Facts: - 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一份新闻稿，标题... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.515623+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME abre consulta públ... - Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=2: Empty press release from Brazil's ministry, a key iron ore exporter to China, provides no details. Bullish: perceived regulatory stability in mining could boost supply confidence. Bearish: uncertainty about potential supply changes or policy shifts may lead to speculative selling, exacerbated by upcoming Fed decision. Historical reference to public consultation on energy contracts is not directly linked to current news; evidence remains weak. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Monitor for follow-up announcements; caution advised due to high-impact USD macro events; no S/R levels available. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.507525+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | NOTA À IMPRENSA: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: NOTA À IMPRENSA Summary: 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一份新闻稿，但内容仅包含标题，未提供具体信息。 Key Facts: - 巴西矿业和能源部发布了一份新闻稿，标题... - 2026-01-28T12:29:26.515623+00:00 | Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) | MME abre consulta pública para antecipação de contratos e reforço da segurança do SIN: Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy (Brazil) Title: MME abre consulta públ... - [2026-01-28 20:28] CONAB | Impact=3 | Últimas Notícias Conab — Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento - Facts: 巴西国家供应公司（CONAB）发布多项农业相关报告和数据，包括2025/26年度谷物产量和种植面积预计创纪录，2025年化肥进口创历史新高，以及2025年下半年基本食品篮价格普遍下降。 - URL: https://www.gov.br/conab/pt-br/assuntos/noticias - Signals: - Soybeans (A0) neutral w=3: CONAB reports record 2025/26 grain production and falling basic food basket prices in Brazil (-9.08% to -1.56%), suggesting increased supply and deflationary pressure (bearish). However, agricultural export growth indicates demand support (bullish). Upcoming Fed decisions (high impact) add uncertainty; weak specific data limits confidence. - Levels: S/R=4150.00/4440.00 - Action: Monitor price action around upcoming macro events; no support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (A0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=4375.00, Position=33% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=4330.15, 60D=4189.52). Levels(S/R, 20D)=4150.00/4440.00. ATR14=53.64. Vol20D=0.85%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调... - 2026-01-28T08:25:41.192864+00:00 | EIA Petroleum Weekly | This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Petroleum Weekly Title: This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy... - Urea (Fertilizer) (UR0) bullish w=3: CONAB reports record fertilizer imports in 2025, indicating strong global demand (bullish). However, no specific import quantities provided, and upcoming macro events (e.g., Fed decisions) could strengthen USD, affecting commodity prices. Evidence is general but trend-supported. - Levels: S/R=1732.00/1830.00 - Action: Consider bullish bias if macro events support; no price levels for reference. - Market: Market Context (UR0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=1799.00, Position=20% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=1780.70, 60D=1707.40). Levels(S/R, 20D)=1732.00/1830.00. ATR14=24.00. Vol20D=0.74%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调... - 2026-01-28T08:25:41.192864+00:00 | EIA Petroleum Weekly | This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Petroleum Weekly Title: This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy... - Soybean Meal (M0) neutral w=2: Derived from soybeans: record soybean production could increase supply (bearish), but export trends are ambiguous (bullish). CONAB data lacks specifics on soybean meal production or trade. Upcoming FOMC events add uncertainty; prioritize risk control. - Levels: S/R=2710.00/2827.00 - Action: Watch for macro-driven moves; no support/resistance provided. - Market: Market Context (M0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2782.00, Position=11% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2761.45, 60D=2852.77). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2710.00/2827.00. ATR14=28.21. Vol20D=0.72%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调... - 2026-01-28T08:25:41.192864+00:00 | EIA Petroleum Weekly | This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Petroleum Weekly Title: This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy... - Corn (C0) neutral w=3: Similar to soybeans: CONAB expects record grain production and planting area for 2025/26, with falling food prices bearish, but export growth bullish. Evidence is weak (no specific data). Upcoming CAD and USD macro events (e.g., Fed rate decision) increase volatility risk. - Levels: S/R=2205.00/2314.00 - Action: General monitoring amid high-impact macro events; no price levels available. - Market: Market Context (C0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2274.00, Position=24% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2269.50, 60D=2228.00). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2205.00/2314.00. ATR14=20.86. Vol20D=0.59%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调... - 2026-01-28T08:25:41.192864+00:00 | EIA Petroleum Weekly | This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Petroleum Weekly Title: This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy... - Apples (AP0) neutral w=2: PROHORT report shows price increases for other fruits and vegetables in Dec 2025, while apples are stable; substitution demand possible (bullish), but direct evidence lacking. CONAB notes falling food prices overall. Weak data and upcoming macro events reduce confidence. - Levels: S/R=9050.00/10019.00 - Action: Light monitoring for fruit inflation trends; high macro event risk advised. - Market: Market Context (AP0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=9532.00, Position=88% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=9531.75, 60D=9406.47). Levels(S/R, 20D)=9050.00/10019.00. ATR14=179.64. Vol20D=1.56%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调... - 2026-01-28T08:25:41.192864+00:00 | EIA Petroleum Weekly | This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Petroleum Weekly Title: This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy... - [2026-01-28 17:25] SHFE Notices | Impact=5 | 关于对部分客户采取限制开仓监管措施的公告 - Facts: The Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) announced regulatory action against 12 groups of accounts with actual control relationships for exceeding daily opening position limits in certain contracts, violating exchange rules. - URL: https://www.shfe.com.cn/publicnotice/notice/202601/t20260128_830277.html - Signals: - Tin (SN0) bearish w=5: Bull: SHFE regulatory action might limit aggressive trading and support tin prices by reducing downward pressure. Bear: Similar past SHFE actions (e.g., Jan 26, 2026 notice) resulted in negative outcomes; lack of contract details and high-impact macro events (FOMC, BOC) heighten bearish risks. Concrete facts: SHFE restricted opening new positions for 12 account groups due to exceeding limits, but commodities unspecified. Failure cases indicate past underestimation of bearish impact from such notices. - Levels: S/R=316730.00/462720.00 - Action: Expect increased volatility from SHFE notice and imminent macro announcements; consider cautious selling or wait for confirmation of bearish trends. - Market: Market Context (SN0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=443800.00, Position=97% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=388544.50, 60D=336194.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=316730.00/462720.00. ATR14=28825.00. Vol20D=4.10%. - Memory: - 2026-01-27T08:54:00+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于对部分客户采取限制开仓监管措施的公告: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于对部分客户采取限制开仓监管措施的公告 Summary: SHFE has imposed restrictions on opening new positions for 9 groups of accounts due to exceeding intraday trading... - 2026-01-27T08:36:48+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于对相关客户采取限制开仓、限制出金监管措施的公告: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于对相关客户采取限制开仓、限制出金监管措施的公告 Summary: SHFE has imposed regulatory measures on 18 clients across 3 groups for suspected failure to declare actu... - Silver (AG0) bearish w=5: Bull: SHFE restrictions on opening new positions for 12 account groups may reduce speculative selling pressure, potentially supporting silver prices. Bear: Historical SHFE notices (e.g., Jan 26, 2026 adjustment) led to bearish price movements; uncertainty in contract specifics and high-impact upcoming macro events (BOC reports, FOMC decisions) increase downside risk. Concrete facts: SHFE imposed restrictions on 12 account groups for exceeding daily position limits, but commodities not specified. Failure cases warn of overestimated bullish factors and underestimated bearish impact. - Levels: S/R=16870.00/30020.00 - Action: High volatility expected from SHFE regulatory news and upcoming CAD/USD macro events; monitor for bearish momentum and avoid new positions until clarity. - Market: Market Context (AG0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=29219.00, Position=100% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=22082.80, 60D=16453.72). Levels(S/R, 20D)=16870.00/30020.00. ATR14=1799.21. Vol20D=4.59%. - Memory: - 2026-01-27T08:54:00+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于对部分客户采取限制开仓监管措施的公告: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于对部分客户采取限制开仓监管措施的公告 Summary: SHFE has imposed restrictions on opening new positions for 9 groups of accounts due to exceeding intraday trading... - 2026-01-27T08:36:48+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于对相关客户采取限制开仓、限制出金监管措施的公告: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于对相关客户采取限制开仓、限制出金监管措施的公告 Summary: SHFE has imposed regulatory measures on 18 clients across 3 groups for suspected failure to declare actu... - [2026-01-28 17:10] SHFE Notices | Impact=5 | 关于调整镍等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 - Facts: SHFE announces adjustments to price limits and margin requirements for multiple futures contracts, effective from January 30, 2026. The changes affect nickel, alumina, lead, zinc, stainless steel, cast aluminum alloy, rebar, hot-rolled coil, gold, and silver contracts. - URL: https://www.shfe.com.cn/publicnotice/notice/202601/t20260128_830274.html - Signals: - Hot-rolled Coil (HC0) bearish w=3: SHFE increased HC general margin to 9%. Price 3280 below 20D MA 3293 and at 16% of 3y range. Bull case suggests potential buying interest, but evidence weak and regulatory changes may reduce liquidity. Similar to rebar, domestic policy uncertainty adds downside risk. - Levels: S/R=3233.00/3348.00 - Action: Watch support 3233 for breakdown; resistance at 3348. - Stop: 3334.00 - Market: Market Context (HC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=3280.00, Position=16% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=3293.60, 60D=3282.30). Levels(S/R, 20D)=3233.00/3348.00. ATR14=27.00. Vol20D=0.64%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: SHFE announces adjustments to price limits and margin requirements for copper and aluminum futur... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知 Summary: SHFE adjusts position limits for silver and tin futures contracts, effective from January 27, 2026, setting maxi... - Rebar (RB0) bearish w=3: SHFE increased rebar general margin to 9%. Price 3123 below 20D MA 3140 and at 13% of 3y range, showing weak demand. Bull case links to domestic policy support, but failure warnings highlight underestimation of bearish impact. Upcoming macro events could further pressure construction sentiment. - Levels: S/R=3085.00/3198.00 - Action: Monitor for break below support 3085; resistance at 3198. - Stop: 3178.00 - Market: Market Context (RB0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=3123.00, Position=13% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=3140.20, 60D=3108.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=3085.00/3198.00. ATR14=27.79. Vol20D=0.73%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: SHFE announces adjustments to price limits and margin requirements for copper and aluminum futur... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知 Summary: SHFE adjusts position limits for silver and tin futures contracts, effective from January 27, 2026, setting maxi... - Gold (AU0) bearish w=5: SHFE increased gold specific contract general margin to 18%. Price 1186.2 at 100% of 3y range and resistance 1186.76, overbought. Bull case cites macro-driven strength, but high margins raise trading costs ahead of Fed decisions. Failure warnings advise against overconfidence in bullish factors. - Levels: S/R=964.00/1186.76 - Action: Sell near resistance 1186.76; support at 964. - Stop: 1240.00 - Market: Market Context (AU0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=1186.20, Position=100% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=1051.24, 60D=989.46). Levels(S/R, 20D)=964.00/1186.76. ATR14=26.86. Vol20D=1.44%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: SHFE announces adjustments to price limits and margin requirements for copper and aluminum futur... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知 Summary: SHFE adjusts position limits for silver and tin futures contracts, effective from January 27, 2026, setting maxi... - Nickel (NI0) bearish w=4: SHFE increased nickel general margin to 13% and price limit to 11%, raising trading costs. Market at 144730 near resistance 152500 with ATR14 6390. Bull case cites above MA strength, but failure warnings indicate past overestimation of bullish factors and underestimated bearish impact. Upcoming Fed events add macro uncertainty. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: Consider selling near resistance 152500, monitor for breakdown below support 125710. - Stop: 157510.00 - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: SHFE announces adjustments to price limits and margin requirements for copper and aluminum futur... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知 Summary: SHFE adjusts position limits for silver and tin futures contracts, effective from January 27, 2026, setting maxi... - Lead (PB0) bearish w=3: SHFE increased lead general margin to 11% and price limit to 9%. Price 16995 below 20D MA 17322 and close to support 16915. Bull case suggests oversold rebound, but weak evidence and failure warnings caution against overestimating bullish signals. Upcoming BOC/Fed events heighten risk. - Levels: S/R=16915.00/17860.00 - Action: Watch for break below support 16915; resistance at 17860. - Stop: 17395.00 - Market: Market Context (PB0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=16995.00, Position=40% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=17322.00, 60D=17253.25). Levels(S/R, 20D)=16915.00/17860.00. ATR14=200.00. Vol20D=0.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: SHFE announces adjustments to price limits and margin requirements for copper and aluminum futur... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知 Summary: SHFE adjusts position limits for silver and tin futures contracts, effective from January 27, 2026, setting maxi... - Silver (AG0) bearish w=5: SHFE increased silver specific contract general margin to 18%. Price 29219 at 100% of 3y range and near resistance 30020, with high volatility (ATR14 1799.21). Bull case highlights dual demand, but historical reference shows past adjustments led to negative returns. Upcoming macro events and margin hike could trigger selling. - Levels: S/R=16870.00/30020.00 - Action: Consider shorting near resistance 30020; support at 16870. - Stop: 32817.00 - Market: Market Context (AG0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=29219.00, Position=100% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=22082.80, 60D=16453.72). Levels(S/R, 20D)=16870.00/30020.00. ATR14=1799.21. Vol20D=4.59%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: SHFE announces adjustments to price limits and margin requirements for copper and aluminum futur... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知 Summary: SHFE adjusts position limits for silver and tin futures contracts, effective from January 27, 2026, setting maxi... - Zinc (ZN0) bearish w=4: SHFE increased zinc general margin to 11%. Price 25605 at 95% of 3y range and near resistance 25650, indicating overbought conditions. Bull case points to high momentum, but historical failures show similar adjustments led to negative returns. Margin hike could dampen speculative demand. - Levels: S/R=23130.00/25650.00 - Action: Sell near resistance 25650; support at 23130. - Stop: 26605.00 - Market: Market Context (ZN0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=25605.00, Position=95% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=24366.75, 60D=23332.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=23130.00/25650.00. ATR14=500.36. Vol20D=1.19%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: SHFE announces adjustments to price limits and margin requirements for copper and aluminum futur... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知 Summary: SHFE adjusts position limits for silver and tin futures contracts, effective from January 27, 2026, setting maxi... - [2026-01-28 16:25] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Impact=3 | Crude oil prices fell in 2025 amid oversupply - Facts: 2025年原油价格因全球市场供应过剩而普遍下跌，但中国原油库存增加、地缘政治事件等因素部分缓解了跌势。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=66944 - Signals: - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=3: Crude oil prices declined in 2025 due to global oversupply (bearish), but mitigated by China's inventory increase and geopolitical events like Israel-Iran and Russia-Ukraine conflicts (bullish). Historical facts show U.S. production remains near record highs and tanker rates fell in early 2026 (bearish), while EIA forecasts lower gasoline prices in 2026-27. Upcoming high-impact CAD and USD macro events (e.g., FOMC) add uncertainty; evidence weak with no specific price magnitudes. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor price action closely around upcoming CAD BOC and USD FOMC macro events; no support/resistance levels provided in market data. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.503400+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Crude oil tanker rates reached multi-year highs in late 2025: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: Crude oil tanker rates reac... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.509723+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | EIA forecasts near-term U.S. crude oil production will remain near 2025 record: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: EIA forec... - [2026-01-28 16:25] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Impact=4 | In 2025, U.S. retail gasoline prices decreased for third consecutive year - Facts: 2025年美国零售汽油价格连续第三年下降，平均价格为每加仑3.10美元，比2024年低0.21美元。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=66964 - Signals: - Natural Gas (-) neutral w=2: U.S. natural gas spot prices increased 56% in 2025 from record lows (historical reference), suggesting a recovery trend. Bull outlook is based on this past performance, but no direct link to current events or gasoline data. Bear evidence is absent, but overall energy market context and upcoming macro events could introduce volatility. Evidence is weak due to reliance on historical data. - Action: Await price action confirmation given no provided support/resistance levels; be cautious due to high-impact upcoming macro events affecting energy correlations. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.528183+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | U.S. retail gasoline prices fall below $3 per gallon, the lowest since 2021: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: U.S. retail... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.515974+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: In 2025, U.S. nat... - Gasoline (-) bearish w=4: U.S. retail gasoline prices fell for the third consecutive year in 2025 (fact), with EIA forecasting further declines in 2026-27 due to falling crude oil prices (historical reference), indicating weak demand and bearish pressure. Bull considerations include potential economic stimulation from lower prices, but evidence is indirect. Upcoming high-impact macro events, such as FOMC decisions, add uncertainty and risk. - Action: Consider short positions if gasoline futures are traded, but avoid overconfidence; monitor for entry opportunities after clarity from upcoming macro events, as no support/resistance levels are provided. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.528183+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | U.S. retail gasoline prices fall below $3 per gallon, the lowest since 2021: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: U.S. retail... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.515974+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: In 2025, U.S. nat... - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=3: Lower U.S. gasoline prices suggest reduced crude oil demand, supported by EIA's forecast of falling crude-driven gasoline prices (historical reference). Bull arguments cite potential demand increase and USD weakness from upcoming FOMC events, but these are speculative. Facts show declining gasoline, reinforcing bearish risks. Upcoming macro events, including high-impact FOMC announcements, increase volatility and uncertainty. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: No support/resistance levels provided; exercise caution and avoid premature positions until after upcoming macro events provide market direction. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.528183+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | U.S. retail gasoline prices fall below $3 per gallon, the lowest since 2021: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: U.S. retail... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.515974+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: In 2025, U.S. nat... - [2026-01-28 16:25] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Impact=3 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low - Facts: 2025年美国亨利枢纽天然气现货价格从2024年的历史低位回升，年均价上涨56%，但日价格波动范围较上年收窄。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=66984 - Signals: - Natural Gas (-) neutral w=3: Bull: Henry Hub price surged 56% in 2025 to 3.52 USD/MMBtu from historical lows, with narrowed daily range (2.65-9.86 USD/MMBtu) suggesting reduced volatility, and EIA forecasts rise in 2027. Bear: EIA predicts slight price fall in 2026, recovery may be overextended, high-impact macro events (CAD BOC and USD FOMC) pose downside risk, and data may have statistical errors. Mixed signals with imminent events. - Action: Monitor price volatility around high-impact macro event times: 2026-01-28 22:45 CN for CAD events and 2026-01-29 03:00 CN for USD FOMC, as no S/R levels provided. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.528183+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | U.S. retail gasoline prices fall below $3 per gallon, the lowest since 2021: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: U.S. retail... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.514762+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | We expect Henry Hub natural gas spot prices to fall slightly in 2026 before rising in 2027: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Titl... - [2026-01-28 16:25] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Impact=4 | We expect Henry Hub natural gas spot prices to fall slightly in 2026 before rising in 2027 - Facts: 根据美国能源信息署（EIA）2026年1月短期能源展望（STEO），预计亨利枢纽天然气现货价格在2026年将小幅下跌，随后在2027年大幅上涨。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67004 - Signals: - Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) (-) neutral w=2: LNG prices are influenced by natural gas; EIA forecasts natural gas drop in 2026 may pressure LNG short-term due to lower costs, but 2027 rise from export demand is bullish. Bear points to near-term bearish effects; bull anticipates demand growth. Uncertainty heightened by upcoming macro events like CAD and USD policy changes. - Action: Track natural gas price trends for directional cues; exercise caution due to macro event volatility. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.515974+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: In 2025, U.S. nat... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.528183+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | U.S. retail gasoline prices fall below $3 per gallon, the lowest since 2021: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: U.S. retail... - Natural Gas (-) neutral w=4: EIA forecasts Henry Hub spot price dropping ~2% to below $3.50/MMBtu in 2026 due to balanced supply-demand, then surging 33% to below $4.60 in 2027 on LNG export-driven demand growth. Bull case cites 2027 rise and historical 56% recovery in 2025; bear highlights 2026 decline and macro risks from upcoming FOMC events. - Action: Monitor price action around EIA forecast levels of $3.50 (2026) and $4.60 (2027), with high volatility expected from upcoming BOC and FOMC macro events. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.515974+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: In 2025, U.S. nat... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.528183+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | U.S. retail gasoline prices fall below $3 per gallon, the lowest since 2021: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: U.S. retail... - [2026-01-28 16:25] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Impact=3 | Solar power generation drives electricity generation growth over the next two years - Facts: 根据美国能源信息署（EIA）的最新短期能源展望（STEO），太阳能发电将在未来两年推动美国电力增长，预计2026年增长1.1%，2027年增长2.6%，达到4,423 BkWh。同时，可调度电源（天然气、煤炭和核能）的份额将从2025年的75%下降至2027年的约72%，而太阳能和风能的份额将从约18%上升至约21%。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67005 - Signals: - Coal (-) bearish w=2: EIA projects U.S. coal share in electricity generation to fall from 75% to 72% by 2027 as solar/wind rise to 21% (facts key_facts). Bull suggests temporary demand support from overall growth (1.1% in 2026, 2.6% in 2027), but bear points to structural shift away from coal and upcoming macro events adding downside risk. - Action: Consider bearish bias if U.S. energy data confirms renewable growth trend; watch for sell-offs during high-volatility macro events (e.g., FOMC), with no specific price levels available. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T02:05:12.917213+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) | EIA forecasts strongest four-year growth in U.S. electricity demand since 2000, fueled by data centers: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.515974+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: In 2025, U.S. nat... - Natural Gas (-) neutral w=3: EIA forecasts strongest U.S. electricity demand growth since 2000 (historical ref fact_id:45), potentially boosting natural gas consumption, but dispatchable share including gas declines from 75% to 72% by 2027 (facts key_facts). Bull cites 2025 price rebound of 56% (fact_id:61), bear notes share reduction and upcoming high-impact macro events (FOMC, BOC) increasing volatility. - Action: Monitor price action during and after CAD/USD macro events (e.g., FOMC at 2026-01-29 03:00) for directional cues, as no support/resistance levels provided. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T02:05:12.917213+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) | EIA forecasts strongest four-year growth in U.S. electricity demand since 2000, fueled by data centers: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.515974+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: In 2025, U.S. nat... - [2026-01-28 16:25] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Impact=4 | EIA expects lower gasoline prices in 2026 and 2027 as crude oil prices fall - Facts: 美国能源信息署（EIA）预测，由于原油价格下跌，2026年和2027年汽油价格将低于2025年水平，其中2026年下降6%，2027年小幅回升1%。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67024 - Signals: - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=3: EIA forecasts gasoline prices to drop 6% in 2026, suggesting crude oil price pressure, with U.S. production high through 2025 and a predicted 2% decline in 2027. Bull points include potential demand stimulus from lower prices and refining capacity issues, but bear points highlight weak demand indicators. Upcoming high-impact CAD and USD macro events (e.g., FOMC) add significant uncertainty and risk. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor price movements around macro events; no specific support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.509723+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | EIA forecasts near-term U.S. crude oil production will remain near 2025 record: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: EIA forec... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.528183+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | U.S. retail gasoline prices fall below $3 per gallon, the lowest since 2021: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: U.S. retail... - Gasoline (-) bearish w=4: EIA directly predicts U.S. gasoline prices to fall 6% in 2026 and remain below 2025 levels, with retail prices already at lows since 2021 ($2.98/gallon in Dec 2025). Bearish due to weak global demand or oversupply, though refinery capacity declines may provide partial offset. Upcoming macro events could increase near-term volatility. - Action: Consider bearish positions based on forecast; watch for supply disruptions from refinery issues. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.509723+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | EIA forecasts near-term U.S. crude oil production will remain near 2025 record: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: EIA forec... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.528183+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | U.S. retail gasoline prices fall below $3 per gallon, the lowest since 2021: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: U.S. retail... - [2026-01-28 16:25] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Impact=2 | Air power: Tallying electricity generating potential from retired military aircraft - Facts: 本文探讨了退役军用飞机在亚利桑那州戴维斯-蒙森空军基地的储存情况及其潜在的发电能力。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67044 - Signals: - Electricity (-) neutral w=2: Event assesses conceptual power generation from retired U.S. military aircraft with no quantitative data (uncertainty notes); historical EIA facts show strongest U.S. electricity demand growth since 2000 driven by data centers (Fact 45) and solar expansion reducing dispatchable sources (Fact 59). Bullish potential from added supply meeting demand, bearish risk from increased supply lowering prices; both sides speculative. Upcoming high-impact macro events (FOMC) introduce volatility and uncertainty. - Action: Avoid new positions due to weak conceptual evidence and high-impact macro events (FOMC); monitor for actual data releases or developments. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.513551+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Solar power generation drives electricity generation growth over the next two years: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: Sola... - 2026-01-28T08:25:03.045881+00:00 | EIA International Energy Outlook | U.S. Energy Information Administration - EIA - Independent Statistics and Analysis: Source: EIA International Energy Outlook Title: U.S. Energy Information Administrat... - [2026-01-28 16:25] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Impact=3 | EIA forecasts near-term U.S. crude oil production will remain near 2025 record - Facts: 美国能源信息署预测，近期美国原油产量将维持在2025年创纪录水平附近，随后在2027年略有下降。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67045 - Signals: - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=3: EIA forecasts show mixed signals: U.S. crude oil production predicted to decrease slightly in 2026 (to 13.5 million b/d) and 2027 (down 2% to 13.3 million b/d), potentially tightening supply (bullish). However, global crude oil production is forecasted to grow by 0.8 million b/d in 2026, with 0.4 million b/d from Brazil, Guyana, and Argentina, and gasoline prices expected to fall in 2026-2027 indicating lower crude prices (bearish). Upcoming CAD BOC and USD FOMC macro events in the next 12h could increase volatility and impact USD strength, affecting oil prices. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor price action around upcoming high-impact macro events: CAD BOC reports (2026-01-28 22:45-23:30) and USD FOMC decisions (2026-01-29 03:00-03:30); no support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.524597+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | EIA forecasts U.S. crude oil production will decrease slightly in 2026: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: EIA forecasts U.S... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.512313+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | EIA expects lower gasoline prices in 2026 and 2027 as crude oil prices fall: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: EIA expects... - [2026-01-28 16:25] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Impact=3 | Severe winter weather across large portions of the country, natural gas prices increasing - Facts: 美国大部分地区遭遇严重冬季天气，导致天然气需求增加，亨利港基准天然气现货价格在过去一周内大幅上涨。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67046 - Signals: - Natural Gas (-) neutral w=3: Facts: U.S. Henry Hub natural gas price rose to 8.15 USD/MMBtu due to severe winter weather increasing demand. Bull: This could tighten global supply and support CN futures via international linkages. Bear: Impact on CN markets is uncertain as it's U.S.-specific, and upcoming FOMC events may increase volatility, strengthen USD, and reduce Chinese import demand. - Action: Monitor for volatility around U.S. weather updates and high-impact macro events (e.g., FOMC); no specific support/resistance levels provided. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.523303+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Colder winter weather increases our home heating expenditure forecasts: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: Colder winter wea... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.515974+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: In 2025, U.S. nat... - Electricity (-) neutral w=2: Facts: Natural gas price increases typically lead to higher wholesale electricity prices. Bull: Rising natural gas costs could increase CN electricity generation expenses, supporting futures. Bear: Evidence is indirect; China may shift to alternative energy sources, and potential economic slowdown from high U.S. costs could reduce industrial electricity demand. - Action: Consider indirect effects from natural gas markets; exercise caution due to upcoming macro volatility and lack of direct data on CN electricity fundamentals. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.523303+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Colder winter weather increases our home heating expenditure forecasts: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: Colder winter wea... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.515974+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: In 2025, U.S. nat... - [2026-01-28 16:25] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Impact=3 | Nuclear plants reported few outages in the first three weeks of January 2026 - Facts: 2026年1月前21天，核电站报告了少量停运，平均停运容量为2.0吉瓦，较2025年同期减少20%，且低于2021-2025年五年范围的天数较多。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67047 - Signals: - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=3: Facts show U.S. nuclear outages in early 2026 averaged 2.0 GW, down 20% year-over-year with 7 days below 2021-2025 range. Bull argues lower outages may support economic growth and indirect oil demand, but evidence weak. Bear cites reduced emergency oil demand for backup power and EIA forecasts for lower crude oil and gasoline prices in 2026-2027. Upcoming high-impact macro events (BOC/FOMC) add volatility and uncertainty. Direct oil price impact is unclear due to indirect data. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: No specific price levels provided; prioritize risk control around upcoming BOC and FOMC events (e.g., 2026-01-28 22:45 to 2026-01-29 03:30). - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.530716+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Hurricanes in 2024 led to the most hours without power in the United States in 10 years: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title:... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.509723+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | EIA forecasts near-term U.S. crude oil production will remain near 2025 record: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: EIA forec... - [2026-01-28 16:25] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Impact=3 | Crude oil tanker rates reached multi-year highs in late 2025 - Facts: 2025年末原油油轮运费创下多年新高，随后在2026年初回落，主要受东亚买家需求增加导致船舶供应紧张驱动。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67064 - Signals: - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=3: Bullish factors include increased demand from East Asia and tight ship supply in late 2025, but bearish factors are falling freight rates in early 2026, EIA forecasts of lower gasoline prices for 2026-27 tied to crude declines, and historical oversupply in 2025. Concrete facts: crude oil tanker freight hit multi-year highs in late 2025 then fell in early 2026; EIA data shows U.S. production near record highs and 2025 price drops. Upcoming high-impact FOMC events and Crude Oil Inventories report add uncertainty; evidence is qualitative with no specific values. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Await clarity from upcoming Crude Oil Inventories and FOMC events; trade with caution around current levels. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.518470+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Crude oil prices fell in 2025 amid oversupply: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: Crude oil prices fell in 2025 amid oversup... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.509723+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | EIA forecasts near-term U.S. crude oil production will remain near 2025 record: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: EIA forec... - [2026-01-28 16:25] EIA Petroleum Weekly | Impact=2 | This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Facts: 美国能源信息署（EIA）已停止发布《本周石油》报告，相关数据可在《每周石油状况报告》和《取暖油和丙烷更新》中获取。报告提供了截至2025年10月24日的原油库存、生产、进出口和炼油厂投入等关键数据。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/weekly/crude.php - Signals: - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=2: Historical EIA data as of Oct 2025 shows mixed signals: crude inventory decreased to 416.0M barrels from 425.5M (bullish), but production increased to 13.644M bpd and refinery inputs decreased to 15.219M bpd (bearish). Data is outdated and price info is NA, limiting predictive power. Upcoming high-impact macro events (e.g., FOMC rate decision) add significant uncertainty; bullish if dovish (weaker USD), bearish if hawkish. Evidence weak due to historical nature. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Await updated EIA reports and monitor outcomes of upcoming macro events; no specific price levels provided. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:22.689587+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly P... - 2026-01-28T08:25:30.924878+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report | Weekly Petroleum Status Report: Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report Title: Weekly Petroleum Status Report Summary: 美国能源信息署（EIA）发布了最新的《每周石油状况报告》，该报告是官方发布的权威数据源... - [2026-01-28 16:25] EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report | Impact=4 | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - Facts: 美国能源信息署（EIA）发布了最新的《每周石油状况报告》，该报告是官方发布的权威数据源，用于监测和分析美国石油市场的关键指标。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/oil_gas/petroleum/data_publications/weekly_petroleum_status_report/wpsr.html - Signals: - [corr] 燃油 (FU0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests 燃油(FU0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=2415.00/2794.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch FU0 near support 2415.00 or on break above resistance 2794.00. - Market: Market Context (FU0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2735.00, Position=24% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2544.80, 60D=2527.52). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2415.00/2794.00. ATR14=87.50. Vol20D=2.33%. - [corr] PTA (TA0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests PTA(TA0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=4982.00/5476.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch TA0 near support 4982.00 or on break above resistance 5476.00. - Market: Market Context (TA0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=5370.00, Position=55% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=5169.90, 60D=4893.47). Levels(S/R, 20D)=4982.00/5476.00. ATR14=127.00. Vol20D=1.56%. - Natural Gas (-) neutral w=2: Report covers natural gas but no specific data points provided in facts; evidence relies on correlation with crude oil and general energy market coverage. Upcoming macro events add volatility. Weak evidence leads to low confidence, with no bullish or bearish concrete indicators. - Action: Await further data; influenced by oil market and macro events. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:22.689587+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly P... - 2026-01-28T08:25:41.192864+00:00 | EIA Petroleum Weekly | This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Petroleum Weekly Title: This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy... - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=4: EIA report shows mixed signals: bullish due to benchmark adjustment reducing domestic production by 51,000 b/d (fact 50) and lower y/y inventories (416.0 vs 425.5M barrels from fact 52), but bearish from y/y production increase (13.644 vs 13.475M b/d) and import decline (5.051 vs 5.975M b/d). Upcoming high-impact macro events (CAD BOC and USD FOMC in next 12h) introduce uncertainty, prioritizing risk control. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor EIA report effects and upcoming macro events; no support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:22.689587+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly P... - 2026-01-28T08:25:41.192864+00:00 | EIA Petroleum Weekly | This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Petroleum Weekly Title: This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy... - [corr] 甲醇 (MA0) neutral w=3: [Correlation] Upstream 原油(SC0) is neutral. Industrial chain transmission suggests 甲醇(MA0) may follow. - Levels: S/R=2164.00/2358.00 - Action: Correlation follow SC0; watch MA0 near support 2164.00 or on break above resistance 2358.00. - Market: Market Context (MA0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=2339.00, Position=47% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=2260.75, 60D=2157.45). Levels(S/R, 20D)=2164.00/2358.00. ATR14=52.50. Vol20D=1.58%. - [2026-01-28 16:25] EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Impact=2 | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Facts: 美国能源信息署（EIA）发布了截至2026年1月16日的《每周石油状况报告》，报告包含原油和石油产品的供应、库存、价格等数据，并提及了基准调整和发布计划。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/ - Signals: - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=2: EIA revised US crude production down by 51,000 bbl/day (0.38%), a minor bullish supply signal, but uncertainty from benchmark adjustments and upcoming high-impact macro events (e.g., FOMC rate decision) could pressure prices. Bearish risks include USD strength from FOMC and data inconsistencies. Weak evidence due to small revision and no inventory data provided. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor price action around current levels for reactions to upcoming macro events and EIA data releases; no specific support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:41.192864+00:00 | EIA Petroleum Weekly | This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Petroleum Weekly Title: This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy... - 2026-01-28T08:25:30.924878+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report | Weekly Petroleum Status Report: Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report Title: Weekly Petroleum Status Report Summary: 美国能源信息署（EIA）发布了最新的《每周石油状况报告》，该报告是官方发布的权威数据源... - [2026-01-28 16:25] EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report Schedule | Impact=3 | Weekly Petroleum Status Report Schedule - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Facts: 美国能源信息署（EIA）每周石油状况报告发布计划，包括标准发布时间和节假日延迟安排。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/schedule.php - Signals: - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=3: EIA weekly report schedule provides certainty with standard 10:30 ET releases and 11 holiday delays, reducing pre-report volatility. Bullish factors include historical inventory decline to 416.0M barrels from 425.5M and production forecasts near record levels. Bearish risks involve schedule uncertainties, potential unplanned delays, and high-impact macro events like upcoming FOMC decision and BOC reports. Neutral stance is warranted due to administrative nature of schedule and external risks overshadowing data. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Trade with caution around EIA release times and macro events; no support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:41.192864+00:00 | EIA Petroleum Weekly | This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Petroleum Weekly Title: This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy... - 2026-01-28T08:25:22.689587+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly P... - [2026-01-28 16:25] EIA International Energy Outlook | Impact=4 | U.S. Energy Information Administration - EIA - Independent Statistics and Analysis - Facts: 美国能源信息署（EIA）网站提供了全面的能源数据和报告，包括石油、天然气、电力、煤炭、可再生能源等领域的统计、分析和预测。 - URL: https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/ - Signals: - Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=2: Bullish: EIA forecasts strongest U.S. electricity demand growth since 2000 (fact_id 45), which could indirectly support oil demand via economic activity; upcoming Crude Oil Inventories report may provide catalyst. Bearish: Demand growth might boost production and supply; upcoming high-impact FOMC events could strengthen USD, reducing demand. Failure cases warn of past EIA prediction inaccuracies. Evidence weak and not oil-specific. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor Crude Oil Inventories report (2026-01-28 23:30) and FOMC decisions for directional cues, given high macro uncertainty. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T02:05:12.917213+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) | EIA forecasts strongest four-year growth in U.S. electricity demand since 2000, fueled by data centers: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调... - Natural Gas (-) neutral w=3: Bullish: EIA electricity demand growth (fact_id 45) could increase natural gas consumption for U.S. power generation, supporting prices; upcoming macro events may weaken USD. Bearish: Evidence indirect as forecast lacks fuel mix details; failure cases suggest caution with EIA data. Upcoming BOC and FOMC events add volatility. - Action: Watch for natural gas inventory data and impact of electricity demand trends, considering macro event risks. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T02:05:12.917213+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) | EIA forecasts strongest four-year growth in U.S. electricity demand since 2000, fueled by data centers: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调... - Copper (CU0) bearish w=4: Bearish: SHFE adjusted international copper futures parameters to 9% price limit and increased margin requirements (10-11% for general/speculative positions, fact_id 28), effective Jan 28, potentially reducing speculative trading and increasing volatility. Bullish: EIA electricity demand growth (fact_id 45) may support copper demand indirectly. Upcoming high-impact macro events (BOC, FOMC) add uncertainty. - Levels: S/R=96010.00/105650.00 - Action: Be cautious around SHFE adjustment effective date (Jan 28) and monitor FOMC impact on market sentiment. - Market: Market Context (CU0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=103060.00, Position=95% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=101832.00, 60D=93885.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=96010.00/105650.00. ATR14=2622.86. Vol20D=1.63%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T02:05:12.917213+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) | EIA forecasts strongest four-year growth in U.S. electricity demand since 2000, fueled by data centers: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调... - Aluminum (AL0) bearish w=3: Bearish: SHFE approved new aluminum ingot registration with 800k tons capacity (fact_id 46), increasing deliverable supply and potentially lowering prices; immediate availability for futures contracts may lead to increased hedging selling. No bullish arguments provided. Upcoming macro events could exacerbate downward pressure. - Levels: S/R=22110.00/25075.00 - Action: Monitor market reaction to new supply availability from Xinjiang and macro event impacts. - Market: Market Context (AL0, as-of 2026-01-27): Price=24305.00, Position=95% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=23982.00, 60D=22555.92). Levels(S/R, 20D)=22110.00/25075.00. ATR14=631.07. Vol20D=1.52%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T02:05:12.917213+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) | EIA forecasts strongest four-year growth in U.S. electricity demand since 2000, fueled by data centers: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调... - [2026-01-28 15:16] SHFE Notices | Impact=4 | 关于同意吉利百矿集团有限公司“吉利百矿”牌铝锭注册的公告 - Facts: 上海期货交易所批准吉利百矿集团有限公司旗下两家子公司生产的'吉利百矿'牌铝锭注册，总注册产能50万吨，可用于铝期货合约交割。 - URL: https://www.shfe.com.cn/publicnotice/notice/202601/t20260128_830263.html - Signals: - Aluminum (AL0) neutral w=4: SHFE approves new '吉利百矿' brand aluminum ingots with 50万吨 total registered capacity, increasing deliverable supply for futures (facts). Bull: may enhance market confidence and efficiency (bull arguments); Bear: could pressure prices due to added supply (bear arguments). Failure-aware warning from past SHFE notice inaccuracies (market_context) and upcoming macro events (e.g., FOMC rate decision) add uncertainty, necessitating caution. - Levels: S/R=22110.00/25075.00 - Action: Monitor price action closely around current levels; no support/resistance levels provided in market_levels. - Market: Market Context (AL0, as-of 2026-01-27): Price=24305.00, Position=95% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=23982.00, 60D=22555.92). Levels(S/R, 20D)=22110.00/25075.00. ATR14=631.07. Vol20D=1.52%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T07:11:33.164458+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于同意新疆其亚铝电有限公司“QY”牌铝锭注册的公告: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于同意新疆其亚铝电有限公司“QY”牌铝锭注册的公告 Summary: 上海期货交易所批准新疆其亚铝电有限公司的'QY'牌铝锭注册，允许其用于铝期货合约交割，注册产能为80万吨。 Key Facts: - 新疆其亚铝电有限公司的'QY'牌铝锭获准在上海期货交易所... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调... - [2026-01-28 15:11] SHFE Notices | Impact=4 | 关于同意新疆其亚铝电有限公司“QY”牌铝锭注册的公告 - Facts: 上海期货交易所批准新疆其亚铝电有限公司的'QY'牌铝锭注册，允许其用于铝期货合约交割，注册产能为80万吨。 - URL: https://www.shfe.com.cn/publicnotice/notice/202601/t20260128_830262.html - Signals: - Aluminum (AL0) neutral w=4: SHFE approved registration of 'QY' aluminum ingots adding 800,000 tons deliverable supply (facts), potentially bearish for prices. Bull: EIA forecasts strongest four-year U.S. electricity demand growth since 2000 (historical reference) could boost aluminum demand. Bear: Historical SHFE notices, like copper adjustment on 2026-01-26 with -0.23% drop (failure cases), suggest bearish reactions, and upcoming macro events (FOMC, BOC) may strengthen USD, pressuring commodities. Evidence mixed; sentiment neutral due to supply-demand balance uncertainties and macro volatility. - Levels: S/R=22110.00/25075.00 - Action: No specific support/resistance levels provided; monitor price action post-SHFE announcement and during upcoming CAD/USD macro events (e.g., FOMC rate decision) for directional cues. - Market: Market Context (AL0, as-of 2026-01-27): Price=24305.00, Position=95% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=23982.00, 60D=22555.92). Levels(S/R, 20D)=22110.00/25075.00. ATR14=631.07. Vol20D=1.52%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调... - 2026-01-28T02:05:12.917213+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) | EIA forecasts strongest four-year growth in U.S. electricity demand since 2000, fueled by data centers: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA... - [2026-01-28 10:05] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) | Impact=2 | EIA forecasts strongest four-year growth in U.S. electricity demand since 2000, fueled by data centers - Facts: 美国能源信息署（EIA）在1月短期能源展望中首次发布至2027年的能源行业预测，预计美国电力需求将出现自2000年以来最强的四年增长，主要受数据中心驱动。 - URL: /pressroom/releases/press582.php - Signals: - Electricity (-) neutral w=2: EIA predicts strongest four-year U.S. electricity demand growth since 2000, driven by data centers, based on January STEO but lacks specific percentages. Bull case: increased demand could support energy commodity prices; bear case: weak evidence, historical inaccuracies in EIA forecasts (per failure cases), and upcoming high-impact CAD macro events add risk. Direct impact on Chinese electricity futures is unclear. - Action: Monitor for impact from EIA data confirmation and upcoming BOC events; no support/resistance levels provided. - Memory: - 2026-01-25T15:57:08+00:00 | EIA | This Week in Petroleum (10/8/2025): Source: EIA Title: This Week in Petroleum (10/8/2025) Summary: The EIA's weekly petroleum report provides supply data as of October 3, 2025, and retail price data as o... - 2026-01-25T15:57:08+00:00 | EIA | This Week in Petroleum (10/16/2025): Source: EIA Title: This Week in Petroleum (10/16/2025) Summary: The EIA's weekly petroleum report provides supply data as of October 10, 2025, and retail prices as of... ## Section 2: High Conviction Signals (impact_weight >= 4) - [2026-01-28 18:54] SHFE Notices | Silver (AG0) bearish w=5 | 关于对部分客户采取限制开仓监管措施的公告 - Logic: Bull: SHFE restrictions on opening new positions for 12 account groups may reduce speculative selling pressure, potentially supporting silver prices. Bear: Historical SHFE notices (e.g., Jan 26, 2026 adjustment) led to bearish price movements; uncertainty in contract specifics and high-impact upcoming macro events (BOC reports, FOMC decisions) increase downside risk. Concrete facts: SHFE imposed restrictions on 12 account groups for exceeding daily position limits, but commodities not specified. Failure cases warn of overestimated bullish factors and underestimated bearish impact. - Levels: S/R=16870.00/30020.00 - Action: High volatility expected from SHFE regulatory news and upcoming CAD/USD macro events; monitor for bearish momentum and avoid new positions until clarity. - Market: Market Context (AG0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=29219.00, Position=100% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=22082.80, 60D=16453.72). Levels(S/R, 20D)=16870.00/30020.00. ATR14=1799.21. Vol20D=4.59%. - Memory: - 2026-01-27T08:54:00+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于对部分客户采取限制开仓监管措施的公告: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于对部分客户采取限制开仓监管措施的公告 Summary: SHFE has imposed restrictions on opening new positions for 9 groups of accounts due to exceeding intraday trading limits, violating ex... - 2026-01-27T08:36:48+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于对相关客户采取限制开仓、限制出金监管措施的公告: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于对相关客户采取限制开仓、限制出金监管措施的公告 Summary: SHFE has imposed regulatory measures on 18 clients across 3 groups for suspected failure to declare actual control relations... - URL: https://www.shfe.com.cn/publicnotice/notice/202601/t20260128_830277.html - [2026-01-28 18:54] SHFE Notices | Tin (SN0) bearish w=5 | 关于对部分客户采取限制开仓监管措施的公告 - Logic: Bull: SHFE regulatory action might limit aggressive trading and support tin prices by reducing downward pressure. Bear: Similar past SHFE actions (e.g., Jan 26, 2026 notice) resulted in negative outcomes; lack of contract details and high-impact macro events (FOMC, BOC) heighten bearish risks. Concrete facts: SHFE restricted opening new positions for 12 account groups due to exceeding limits, but commodities unspecified. Failure cases indicate past underestimation of bearish impact from such notices. - Levels: S/R=316730.00/462720.00 - Action: Expect increased volatility from SHFE notice and imminent macro announcements; consider cautious selling or wait for confirmation of bearish trends. - Market: Market Context (SN0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=443800.00, Position=97% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=388544.50, 60D=336194.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=316730.00/462720.00. ATR14=28825.00. Vol20D=4.10%. - Memory: - 2026-01-27T08:54:00+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于对部分客户采取限制开仓监管措施的公告: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于对部分客户采取限制开仓监管措施的公告 Summary: SHFE has imposed restrictions on opening new positions for 9 groups of accounts due to exceeding intraday trading limits, violating ex... - 2026-01-27T08:36:48+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于对相关客户采取限制开仓、限制出金监管措施的公告: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于对相关客户采取限制开仓、限制出金监管措施的公告 Summary: SHFE has imposed regulatory measures on 18 clients across 3 groups for suspected failure to declare actual control relations... - URL: https://www.shfe.com.cn/publicnotice/notice/202601/t20260128_830277.html - [2026-01-28 18:43] SHFE Notices | Gold (AU0) bearish w=5 | 关于调整镍等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 - Logic: SHFE increased gold specific contract general margin to 18%. Price 1186.2 at 100% of 3y range and resistance 1186.76, overbought. Bull case cites macro-driven strength, but high margins raise trading costs ahead of Fed decisions. Failure warnings advise against overconfidence in bullish factors. - Levels: S/R=964.00/1186.76 - Action: Sell near resistance 1186.76; support at 964. - Stop: 1240.00 - Market: Market Context (AU0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=1186.20, Position=100% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=1051.24, 60D=989.46). Levels(S/R, 20D)=964.00/1186.76. ATR14=26.86. Vol20D=1.44%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: SHFE announces adjustments to price limits and margin requirements for copper and aluminum futures contracts, effect... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知 Summary: SHFE adjusts position limits for silver and tin futures contracts, effective from January 27, 2026, setting maximum daily opening po... - URL: https://www.shfe.com.cn/publicnotice/notice/202601/t20260128_830274.html - [2026-01-28 18:43] SHFE Notices | Silver (AG0) bearish w=5 | 关于调整镍等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 - Logic: SHFE increased silver specific contract general margin to 18%. Price 29219 at 100% of 3y range and near resistance 30020, with high volatility (ATR14 1799.21). Bull case highlights dual demand, but historical reference shows past adjustments led to negative returns. Upcoming macro events and margin hike could trigger selling. - Levels: S/R=16870.00/30020.00 - Action: Consider shorting near resistance 30020; support at 16870. - Stop: 32817.00 - Market: Market Context (AG0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=29219.00, Position=100% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=22082.80, 60D=16453.72). Levels(S/R, 20D)=16870.00/30020.00. ATR14=1799.21. Vol20D=4.59%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: SHFE announces adjustments to price limits and margin requirements for copper and aluminum futures contracts, effect... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知 Summary: SHFE adjusts position limits for silver and tin futures contracts, effective from January 27, 2026, setting maximum daily opening po... - URL: https://www.shfe.com.cn/publicnotice/notice/202601/t20260128_830274.html - [2026-01-29 02:51] EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=4 | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Logic: EIA report shows U.S. crude production cut of 51,000 bpd (0.38% of output) due to re-baselining, but cut is minor and data uncertainty exists. Bull: High source reliability and potential supply tightness. Bear: Minor adjustment insufficient, re-baselining risks, and high-impact FOMC events within 12h (Fed rate decision, statement, press conference) increase macro volatility and USD strength risk. Brazil energy policies hint at long-term demand shifts but short-term impact limited. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor price action around FOMC events; exercise caution due to high volatility and macro risks. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T15:44:39.608305+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly Petroleum Status Repo... - 2026-01-28T08:25:22.689587+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly Petroleum Status Repo... - URL: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/ - [2026-01-29 02:22] EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=4 | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Logic: EIA report shows a minor U.S. crude production decrease of 51,000 bpd (0.38%) from re-benchmarking, with uncertainty due to data accuracy concerns and upcoming system changes. Upcoming high-impact FOMC events (Federal Funds Rate, Statement, Press Conference) in next 12h CN time could cause USD volatility, influencing oil prices: bullish if dovish outcome weakens USD, bearish if hawkish strengthens USD. Bear side highlights re-benchmarking skepticism and report delays, while bull side notes slight supply tightness. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor price action closely around FOMC announcements; avoid new positions until post-event clarity due to high volatility risk. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T18:15:34.451629+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly Petroleum Status Repo... - 2026-01-28T08:25:22.689587+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly Petroleum Status Repo... - URL: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/ - [2026-01-29 02:14] Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Soybeans (A0) bullish w=4 | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração - Logic: Bullish points: Brazil has gained new market access and trade agreements, such as with the EU and Japan, per Ministry of Agriculture news, which could boost soybean exports and support prices. Bearish considerations: Upcoming FOMC events pose macro risks that could strengthen USD and reduce global demand, but positive trade news mitigates downside. No direct soybean production data from ANM facts. - Levels: S/R=4150.00/4440.00 - Action: Consider long positions if prices stabilize post-FOMC, given positive trade backdrop; no specific support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (A0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=4375.00, Position=33% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=4330.15, 60D=4189.52). Levels(S/R, 20D)=4150.00/4440.00. ATR14=53.64. Vol20D=0.85%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:29:27.609660+00:00 | Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral Title: Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Minera... - 2026-01-28T14:01:06.918838+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿业局发布多则矿业相关新闻，涉及矿产特许权... - URL: https://www.gov.br/anm/pt-br/assuntos/economia-mineral/producao-mineral - [2026-01-29 02:02] EIA International Energy Outlook | Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=4 | U.S. Energy Information Administration - EIA - Independent Statistics and Analysis - Logic: Bullish considerations include EIA forecast that U.S. crude production will plateau near 2025 record levels (fact ID 56) and late-2025 freight rate rise indicating robust East Asian demand. Bearish considerations include early-2026 freight rate decline suggesting demand easing, upcoming high-impact FOMC events (Federal Funds Rate, statement, press conference) adding USD volatility risk, and Gaza ceasefire (fact ID 80) potentially reducing oil risk premiums. Uncertainty from historical data with no future predictions and macro risks warrant caution. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor price volatility during and after FOMC events; no specific support/resistance levels provided in market_levels. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:03.045881+00:00 | EIA International Energy Outlook | U.S. Energy Information Administration - EIA - Independent Statistics and Analysis: Source: EIA International Energy Outlook Title: U.S. Energy Information Administration - EIA - Independ... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.515974+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices... - URL: https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/ - [2026-01-29 01:59] ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Iron Ore (I0) neutral w=4 | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração - Logic: Bull: Record CFEM collections (80 billion BRL in 2025) and 7-year safety record without tailings dam failures support stable supply, but weather warnings could disrupt output. Bear: High output may increase global iron ore supply, pressuring prices. Upcoming high-impact FOMC events (Federal Funds Rate, Statement, Press Conference) in 12h CN time could strengthen USD, making iron ore costlier for Chinese buyers, adding downside risk. Volatility prioritized. - Levels: S/R=778.00/831.50 - Action: Await FOMC outcome for direction; high volatility expected. No specific support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (I0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=783.00, Position=35% of 3y range, Below 20D MA (20D=801.23, 60D=786.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=778.00/831.50. ATR14=12.43. Vol20D=1.21%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:03.548918+00:00 | ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração | Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: ANM - Agência Nacional de Mineração Title: Últimas Notícias — Agência Nacional de Mineração Summary: 巴西国家矿业局（ANM）发布了一系列关于矿业监管、... - 2026-01-28T12:29:27.609660+00:00 | Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral | Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Mineração: Source: Agência Nacional de Mineração (ANM) - Produção Mineral Title: Produção Mineral — Agência Nacional de Minera... - URL: https://www.gov.br/anm/pt-br/assuntos/noticias - [2026-01-28 22:28] Ministério de Minas e Energia (MME) - Notícias | Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=4 | Notícias — Ministério de Minas e Energia - Logic: Bull: Brazil's capacity reserve auction on March 18, 2026, may indicate stable domestic oil demand; FOMC dovish outcome could weaken USD and boost oil prices. Bear: Energy market liberalization and renewable focus in Brazil could reduce long-term oil demand; upcoming high-impact FOMC events (rate decision, statement, press conference) and crude oil inventories data introduce short-term volatility and potential USD strength. Concrete facts: auction date 2026-03-18; free market electricity consumption at 43%; macro events in next 12h CN. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor FOMC announcement and crude oil inventories data closely for price direction; no support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T12:30:05.735411+00:00 | Brazil Government Agriculture News | Retomada a política de formação de estoque públicos com autorização da compra de milho: Source: Brazil Government Agriculture News Title: Retomada a política de formação de estoque públ... - 2026-01-28T12:30:00.512603+00:00 | Vale Press Releases | Press Releases - Vale: Source: Vale Press Releases Title: Press Releases - Vale Summary: 该内容为淡水河谷公司新闻发布页面的导航和联系信息，未包含具体的商品生产、库存或供应链数据。页面主要展示公司新闻列表和媒体联系方式，没有提供可提取的量化商品信息。 Key Facts: - 页面为淡水河谷公司新闻发布中心，包... - URL: https://www.gov.br/mme/pt-br/assuntos/noticias - [2026-01-28 18:43] SHFE Notices | Zinc (ZN0) bearish w=4 | 关于调整镍等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 - Logic: SHFE increased zinc general margin to 11%. Price 25605 at 95% of 3y range and near resistance 25650, indicating overbought conditions. Bull case points to high momentum, but historical failures show similar adjustments led to negative returns. Margin hike could dampen speculative demand. - Levels: S/R=23130.00/25650.00 - Action: Sell near resistance 25650; support at 23130. - Stop: 26605.00 - Market: Market Context (ZN0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=25605.00, Position=95% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=24366.75, 60D=23332.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=23130.00/25650.00. ATR14=500.36. Vol20D=1.19%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: SHFE announces adjustments to price limits and margin requirements for copper and aluminum futures contracts, effect... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知 Summary: SHFE adjusts position limits for silver and tin futures contracts, effective from January 27, 2026, setting maximum daily opening po... - URL: https://www.shfe.com.cn/publicnotice/notice/202601/t20260128_830274.html - [2026-01-28 18:43] SHFE Notices | Nickel (NI0) bearish w=4 | 关于调整镍等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 - Logic: SHFE increased nickel general margin to 13% and price limit to 11%, raising trading costs. Market at 144730 near resistance 152500 with ATR14 6390. Bull case cites above MA strength, but failure warnings indicate past overestimation of bullish factors and underestimated bearish impact. Upcoming Fed events add macro uncertainty. - Levels: S/R=125710.00/152500.00 - Action: Consider selling near resistance 152500, monitor for breakdown below support 125710. - Stop: 157510.00 - Market: Market Context (NI0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=144730.00, Position=29% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=141475.50, 60D=125976.50). Levels(S/R, 20D)=125710.00/152500.00. ATR14=6390.00. Vol20D=3.36%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整铜等期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: SHFE announces adjustments to price limits and margin requirements for copper and aluminum futures contracts, effect... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额的通知 Summary: SHFE adjusts position limits for silver and tin futures contracts, effective from January 27, 2026, setting maximum daily opening po... - URL: https://www.shfe.com.cn/publicnotice/notice/202601/t20260128_830274.html - [2026-01-28 17:39] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Gasoline (-) bearish w=4 | In 2025, U.S. retail gasoline prices decreased for third consecutive year - Logic: U.S. retail gasoline prices fell for the third consecutive year in 2025 (fact), with EIA forecasting further declines in 2026-27 due to falling crude oil prices (historical reference), indicating weak demand and bearish pressure. Bull considerations include potential economic stimulation from lower prices, but evidence is indirect. Upcoming high-impact macro events, such as FOMC decisions, add uncertainty and risk. - Action: Consider short positions if gasoline futures are traded, but avoid overconfidence; monitor for entry opportunities after clarity from upcoming macro events, as no support/resistance levels are provided. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.528183+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | U.S. retail gasoline prices fall below $3 per gallon, the lowest since 2021: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: U.S. retail gasoline prices fall... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.515974+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices... - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=66964 - [2026-01-28 17:29] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Natural Gas (-) neutral w=4 | We expect Henry Hub natural gas spot prices to fall slightly in 2026 before rising in 2027 - Logic: EIA forecasts Henry Hub spot price dropping ~2% to below $3.50/MMBtu in 2026 due to balanced supply-demand, then surging 33% to below $4.60 in 2027 on LNG export-driven demand growth. Bull case cites 2027 rise and historical 56% recovery in 2025; bear highlights 2026 decline and macro risks from upcoming FOMC events. - Action: Monitor price action around EIA forecast levels of $3.50 (2026) and $4.60 (2027), with high volatility expected from upcoming BOC and FOMC macro events. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.515974+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices increased from 2024's record low: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: In 2025, U.S. natural gas spot prices... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.528183+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | U.S. retail gasoline prices fall below $3 per gallon, the lowest since 2021: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: U.S. retail gasoline prices fall... - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67004 - [2026-01-28 17:16] U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | Gasoline (-) bearish w=4 | EIA expects lower gasoline prices in 2026 and 2027 as crude oil prices fall - Logic: EIA directly predicts U.S. gasoline prices to fall 6% in 2026 and remain below 2025 levels, with retail prices already at lows since 2021 ($2.98/gallon in Dec 2025). Bearish due to weak global demand or oversupply, though refinery capacity declines may provide partial offset. Upcoming macro events could increase near-term volatility. - Action: Consider bearish positions based on forecast; watch for supply disruptions from refinery issues. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.509723+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | EIA forecasts near-term U.S. crude oil production will remain near 2025 record: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: EIA forecasts near-term U.S.... - 2026-01-28T08:25:49.528183+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 | U.S. retail gasoline prices fall below $3 per gallon, the lowest since 2021: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) #2 Title: U.S. retail gasoline prices fall... - URL: https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=67024 - [2026-01-28 16:43] EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report | Crude Oil (SC0) neutral w=4 | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - Logic: EIA report shows mixed signals: bullish due to benchmark adjustment reducing domestic production by 51,000 b/d (fact 50) and lower y/y inventories (416.0 vs 425.5M barrels from fact 52), but bearish from y/y production increase (13.644 vs 13.475M b/d) and import decline (5.051 vs 5.975M b/d). Upcoming high-impact macro events (CAD BOC and USD FOMC in next 12h) introduce uncertainty, prioritizing risk control. - Levels: S/R=411.00/463.40 - Action: Monitor EIA report effects and upcoming macro events; no support/resistance levels provided. - Market: Market Context (SC0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=460.30, Position=13% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=438.44, 60D=445.53). Levels(S/R, 20D)=411.00/463.40. ATR14=12.07. Vol20D=1.92%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T08:25:22.689587+00:00 | EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] | Weekly Petroleum Status Report - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report [www.eia.gov] Title: Weekly Petroleum Status Repo... - 2026-01-28T08:25:41.192864+00:00 | EIA Petroleum Weekly | This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA): Source: EIA Petroleum Weekly Title: This Week In Petroleum Crude Oil Section - U.S. Energy Information Adminis... - URL: https://www.eia.gov/oil_gas/petroleum/data_publications/weekly_petroleum_status_report/wpsr.html - [2026-01-28 16:25] EIA International Energy Outlook | Copper (CU0) bearish w=4 | U.S. Energy Information Administration - EIA - Independent Statistics and Analysis - Logic: Bearish: SHFE adjusted international copper futures parameters to 9% price limit and increased margin requirements (10-11% for general/speculative positions, fact_id 28), effective Jan 28, potentially reducing speculative trading and increasing volatility. Bullish: EIA electricity demand growth (fact_id 45) may support copper demand indirectly. Upcoming high-impact macro events (BOC, FOMC) add uncertainty. - Levels: S/R=96010.00/105650.00 - Action: Be cautious around SHFE adjustment effective date (Jan 28) and monitor FOMC impact on market sentiment. - Market: Market Context (CU0, as-of 2026-01-28): Price=103060.00, Position=95% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=101832.00, 60D=93885.17). Levels(S/R, 20D)=96010.00/105650.00. ATR14=2622.86. Vol20D=1.63%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T02:05:12.917213+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) | EIA forecasts strongest four-year growth in U.S. electricity demand since 2000, fueled by data centers: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Title: EIA forecas... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调整自2026年1月28日（星期三）收盘结... - URL: https://www.eia.gov/pressroom/ - [2026-01-28 15:16] SHFE Notices | Aluminum (AL0) neutral w=4 | 关于同意吉利百矿集团有限公司“吉利百矿”牌铝锭注册的公告 - Logic: SHFE approves new '吉利百矿' brand aluminum ingots with 50万吨 total registered capacity, increasing deliverable supply for futures (facts). Bull: may enhance market confidence and efficiency (bull arguments); Bear: could pressure prices due to added supply (bear arguments). Failure-aware warning from past SHFE notice inaccuracies (market_context) and upcoming macro events (e.g., FOMC rate decision) add uncertainty, necessitating caution. - Levels: S/R=22110.00/25075.00 - Action: Monitor price action closely around current levels; no support/resistance levels provided in market_levels. - Market: Market Context (AL0, as-of 2026-01-27): Price=24305.00, Position=95% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=23982.00, 60D=22555.92). Levels(S/R, 20D)=22110.00/25075.00. ATR14=631.07. Vol20D=1.52%. - Memory: - 2026-01-28T07:11:33.164458+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 关于同意新疆其亚铝电有限公司“QY”牌铝锭注册的公告: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 关于同意新疆其亚铝电有限公司“QY”牌铝锭注册的公告 Summary: 上海期货交易所批准新疆其亚铝电有限公司的'QY'牌铝锭注册，允许其用于铝期货合约交割，注册产能为80万吨。 Key Facts: - 新疆其亚铝电有限公司的'QY'牌铝锭获准在上海期货交易所注册 - 注册产能为80万吨，执行标准价... - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调整自2026年1月28日（星期三）收盘结... - URL: https://www.shfe.com.cn/publicnotice/notice/202601/t20260128_830263.html - [2026-01-28 15:11] SHFE Notices | Aluminum (AL0) neutral w=4 | 关于同意新疆其亚铝电有限公司“QY”牌铝锭注册的公告 - Logic: SHFE approved registration of 'QY' aluminum ingots adding 800,000 tons deliverable supply (facts), potentially bearish for prices. Bull: EIA forecasts strongest four-year U.S. electricity demand growth since 2000 (historical reference) could boost aluminum demand. Bear: Historical SHFE notices, like copper adjustment on 2026-01-26 with -0.23% drop (failure cases), suggest bearish reactions, and upcoming macro events (FOMC, BOC) may strengthen USD, pressuring commodities. Evidence mixed; sentiment neutral due to supply-demand balance uncertainties and macro volatility. - Levels: S/R=22110.00/25075.00 - Action: No specific support/resistance levels provided; monitor price action post-SHFE announcement and during upcoming CAD/USD macro events (e.g., FOMC rate decision) for directional cues. - Market: Market Context (AL0, as-of 2026-01-27): Price=24305.00, Position=95% of 3y range, Above 20D MA (20D=23982.00, 60D=22555.92). Levels(S/R, 20D)=22110.00/25075.00. ATR14=631.07. Vol20D=1.52%. - Memory: - 2026-01-26T13:31:25+00:00 | SHFE Notices | 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知: Source: SHFE Notices Title: 上海国际能源交易中心发布关于调整国际铜期货相关合约涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例的通知 Summary: 上海国际能源交易中心调整国际铜期货合约的涨跌停板幅度和交易保证金比例，自2026年1月28日收盘结算时起生效。 Key Facts: - 调整自2026年1月28日（星期三）收盘结... - 2026-01-28T02:05:12.917213+00:00 | U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) | EIA forecasts strongest four-year growth in U.S. electricity demand since 2000, fueled by data centers: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Title: EIA forecas... - URL: https://www.shfe.com.cn/publicnotice/notice/202601/t20260128_830262.html ## Section 3: Accuracy Tracker (yesterday) Yesterday's Accuracy: 0% (n=9, correct=0) ## Section 4: Morning Outlook TL;DR: - 高影响力FOMC事件（新闻发布会在12小时内）增加市场波动和美元风险，主导交易情绪。 - 巴西矿业数据缺乏具体更新，淡水河谷新闻和ANM通知模糊，供应端不确定性高。 - 澳大利亚皮尔巴拉港口信息不可访问，铁矿石供应链可见性缺失，加剧市场噪音。 Summary: 隔夜事件聚焦美联储FOMC声明（内容未知但新闻发布会在即）和巴西矿业监管通知（税务合规、矿产数据），但均缺乏具体细节。淡水河谷新闻发布多为导航信息，无量化商品数据；EIA报告原油生产轻微调整，运费波动；CONAB预测巴西农业产量新高。宏观风险突出，大宗商品市场面临信息缺口和FOMC驱动的美元波动，建议谨慎开盘。 Global Politics & Macro: - 美联储FOMC声明已发布，但内容未披露，即将举行新闻发布会（高影响力事件），增加全球宏观不确定性。 - 巴西矿业和能源部发布税务缴纳和资产正规化通知，可能影响矿业运营成本和合规，但细节模糊。 - 巴西-欧盟战略矿产合作（历史参考）可能提振长期投资，但短期影响有限。 - 美联储政策框架重申，暗示维持现状，但市场聚焦即将到来的新闻发布会对利率和美元的暗示。 Commodity Fundamentals: - 淡水河谷新闻发布页面仅含导航信息，提及季度报告（如4Q22-3Q24）但无具体铁矿石、镍产量或销售数据。 - 巴西ANM报告2025年矿产特许权使用费征收近80亿雷亚尔（历史第二高），尾矿坝安全记录7年无事故，支持稳定供应预期。 - EIA每周石油报告显示美国原油生产因重新基准调整减少51,000桶/天（0.38%），数据不确定性高；原油运费在2025年底升至多年高位后2026年初回落。 - CONAB预测2025/26年度巴西谷物产量将创新高，大豆、玉米表现强劲；2025年下半年基本食品篮价格下降，暗示农业供应充足。 - 美国煤炭发电量在冬季风暴期间周环比增长31%，但需求驱动为临时性天气因素。 - 皮尔巴拉港口管理局媒体声明多次访问失败，内容不可用，影响铁矿石出口数据获取和供应链透明度。 - 巴西新卡拉加斯计划投资700亿雷亚尔至2030年，可能长期提升铁矿石产能，但执行不确定性存在。 Backdrop Link: FOMC事件主导风险偏好，任何鹰派信号可能推高美元，打压大宗商品需求（尤其对以美元计价的中国进口商品），而巴西政策模糊性限制供应端明确信号，加剧开盘不确定性。政治脉冲通过汇率和宏观情绪间接塑造商品脉冲，建议优先监控美元走势。 Opening Strategy: - 推迟大额建仓，等待FOMC新闻发布会（约12小时后）结果，以规避美元波动风险。 - 开盘初期关注美元/人民币汇率和黄金、原油等对FOMC敏感的商品，准备短线对冲策略。 - 对铁矿石（I0）和镍（NI0）保持中性观望，因巴西数据缺失和港口信息不可访问，避免过度解读模糊信号。 - 农业商品（如大豆A0、玉米C0）留意巴西出口潜在变动，但基于CONAB高产预测，逢高考虑轻仓卖出机会。 - 设置紧止损，因市场噪音高，利用低流动性时段测试小幅仓位。 - 监控EIA原油数据重新基准调整的后续影响，但优先响应FOMC新闻。 - 避免基于间接推测（如港口访问失败）的交易，依赖直接事实。 Contradictions / Conflicts: - 巴西矿业数据显示生产活跃（高特许权使用费），但FOMC不确定性可能打压全球需求，形成供应充足与需求风险冲突。 - EIA原油生产轻微下调暗示供应紧张，但运费回落和FOMC风险指向需求减弱，数据信号矛盾。 - 淡水河谷提及季度报告暗示运营稳定，但缺乏具体数据与市场对供应更新的期待不匹配，创造信息落差。 - 皮尔巴拉港口访问失败可能暗示供应链问题，但无实证与历史类似失败未确认影响，导致猜测与事实脱节。 Opportunities: - 黄金 波动性交易 (horizon=intraday, conf=0.6): FOMC新闻发布会可能导致美元大幅波动，若结果鸽派则推高黄金，鹰派则打压；利用短期期权或高杠杆工具。 - 原油 观望后逢低买入 (horizon=short_term, conf=0.5): EIA生产调整和运费波动提供轻微支撑，但FOMC风险优先；若新闻发布会后美元走弱，可考虑轻仓做多。 - 大豆 谨慎卖出 (horizon=swing, conf=0.4): CONAB预测巴西高产和价格下降，叠加FOMC美元走强风险，可能压制价格；但需监控巴西出口政策变化。 Risks: - FOMC事件导致美元急剧波动，影响大宗商品定价和需求 | affected=黄金、原油、铁矿石、基本金属 | mitigation=减仓或使用期权对冲，设置动态止损，关注实时新闻流 - 信息缺口（如港口访问失败、巴西数据模糊）引发误判和市场噪音 | affected=铁矿石、镍 | mitigation=避免基于推测交易，依赖技术分析和等待官方确认 - 巴西监管通知执行不确定性增加运营成本，潜在影响供应 | affected=铁矿石、镍、大豆 | mitigation=监控ANM和矿业部后续更新，分散仓位至其他产地商品 Watchlist: - 美元指数（DXY）和美元/人民币汇率 - FOMC新闻发布会直播及美联储声明细节 - 巴西ANM和矿业部后续监管更新 - 皮尔巴拉港口状态和铁矿石出口数据恢复 - 中国商品期货开盘成交量和技术位突破 Lessons Learned: - 避免低估熊市证据：FOMC鹰派风险和高美元影响需充分权重，而非过度乐观于模糊数据。 - 不要高估牛市因素：淡水河谷等新闻缺乏具体数据，应视为中性而非积极信号，防止间接连接导致错误分析。 - 优先直接事实：基于可验证数据（如EIA调整、CONAB预测）交易，减少对推测（如港口失败）的依赖，以提升决策准确性。 <!-- PERFORMANCE_DASHBOARD_START --> ## Performance Dashboard (last 7 days) | Symbol | Win Rate | Avg Profit% | N | Best Source | |---|---:|---:|---:|---| | AG0 | 0% | -5.67 | 3 | SHFE Notices (0%, n=3) | | AL0 | 0% | -0.23 | 1 | - | | CU0 | 0% | -0.78 | 1 | - | | SN0 | 0% | -1.03 | 3 | SHFE Notices (0%, n=3) | <!-- PERFORMANCE_DASHBOARD_END -->